Marist College Poll 2010

Oil Spill
Conducted 6/17-24; surveyed 813 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 6/30).

Would You Say Obama's Response To The Oil Spill In The Gulf Of Mexico Is Better/Worse/About The Same As George W. Bush's Response To Hurricane Katrina? (RVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Better      37% 59% 14% 33% 34% 39%
Worse       23   5  36  29  25  21
About same  34  28  44  34  36  33

Obama Handling Oil Spill In The Gulf Of Mexico (RVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     46% 70% 29% 38% 45% 48%
Disapprove  53  28  70  62  55  52

BP Handling Oil Spill In The Gulf Of Mexico (RVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     17% 17% 22% 15% 17% 17%
Disapprove  83  83  78  86  83  82

Do You Support/Oppose A Moratorium On Drilling For New Oil Supplies In Currently Protected Areas Offshore, That Is, Do You Support/Oppose Temporarily Suspending New Offshore Drilling? (RVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support     46% 57% 35% 42% 42% 49%
Oppose      45  33  57  49  53  39

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

R. Bentley  46%
B. Byrne    27

Fav/Unfav

R. Bentley  59%/ 9%
B. Byrne    43 /24

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.

Primary Election Matchup

-                  All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer   76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick  17  17  18
Undec               7   5  10

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     55% 56%  52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     28  24   29   30  35   29    26
Other         4   6    6    5   5    6     5
Undec        13  14   13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 55%  51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  25   28   27
Other         6   5    6    6
Undec        13  15   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17
A. Cuomo     63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio     49 /32  38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44
C. Paladino  35 /32  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  43% 81%  6% 40% 38% 47% 44%  43%  44%  40%
J. Kasich      38   4  81  37  46  32  38   38   39   40
Other           2   2  --   4   2   3   1    1    1    1
Not vote        2   2   1   2   1   2  --    1    2    1
Undec          15  11  11  16  13  16  17   17   15   18

Strickland As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47%  49%  48%  45%  48%
Disapprove  42  17  67  46  48  38  38   40   40   43   42

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26
T. Strickland   42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich       29 /19   6 /32  53 / 5  28 /19  27 /10

Strickland Handling Economy

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36%  35%  35%  33%  33%
Disapprove  54  27  73  61  57  51  53   52   53   52   54

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve     31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36%  37%  32%  36%  32%
Disapprove  52  30  70  57  54  51  48   47   51   47   53

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes     31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37%  36%  34%  32%  37%  34%
No      48  29  64  53  48  48  41   41   45   43   40   40

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41%  38%  41%  41%
T. Strickland   38  68  11  34  35  40  39   38   35   33
No difference    4   3   3   6   4   4   2    2    2   --
Undec           19  19  14  19  14  23  18   22   22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40%  39%  42%  42%
T. Strickland   37  68   9  35  34  39  39   38   36   34
No difference    3   3   3   4   3   4   2    2    1   --
Undec           18  17  13  19  16  20  19   21   21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   37% 69%  9% 33% 34% 40% 41%  40%  35%
J. Kasich       36   9  71  35  40  32  35   35   36
No difference    8   7   6  12   8   9   7    5    6
Undec           19  15  14  20  18  19  18   20   22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   39% 73%  8% 36% 35% 42% 42%  42%  40%
J. Kasich       38  10  75  37  45  33  36   34   36
No difference    4   3   2   6   4   4   3    2    3
Undec           19  14  15  20  16  21  19   22   21

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 4/8
G. Herbert  58% 57%
P. Corroon  31  29
Other        2   4
Undec        8  10

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/8
G. Herbert  70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon  50 /32  47 /35

Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Mead      49%              M. Mead      51%
L. Petersen  22               P. Gosar     23
Other        13               Other        14
Undec        16               Undec        12

R. Meyer     51%              R. Meyer     52%
L. Petersen  23               P. Gosar     23
Other        11               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

R. Micheli   47%              R. Micheli   46%
L. Petersen  27               P. Gosar     28
Other        11               Other        13
Undec        15               Undec        14

C. Simpson   44%              C. Simpson   51%
L. Petersen  28               P. Gosar     24
Other        14               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25
M. Mead      55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson   52 /24  56 /20
R. Meyer     44 /33  50 /20
R. Micheli   40 /29  38 /18
L. Petersen  33 /36   n/a
P. Gosar     31 /32   n/a

Senate 2010

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 364 Dem primary LVs and 721 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.1% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/28). Tested: '04 candidate/'06 KS-03 Reform nominee/ret. railroad employee Bob Conroy (D), '02/'06 Sec/State nominee/state Sen. David Haley (D), Baker Univ. ass't dean Lisa Johnston (D), ex-newspaper ed. Charles Schollenberger (D), CPA/atty Patrick Wiesner (D), accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Reps. Jerry Moran (R-01) and Todd Tiahrt (R-04).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                  All Men Wom
L. Johnston        24% 19% 27%
C. Schollenberger  16  19  14
B. Conroy          11  15   8
D. Haley           11  13   9
P. Wiesner          4   3   4
Undec              35  32  37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                  All Men Wom 5/23 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran           53% 57% 47% 52%  42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt          33  33  34  29   32   33   34   27   32
T. Little           3   3   3  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
R. Londerholm       2   1   3   4    5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec               9   7  13  15   21   27   29   30   40

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/7 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter    53% 52% 57%  57%  53%  46%
C. Melancon  35  36  34   33   35   36
Other         3   4   3    3    4    5
Undec         9   8   6    7    8   13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/7     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter    62%/32% 60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon  48 /39  46 /41  43 /44  39 /45  39 /46  43 /39

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold  45% 83% 11% 39% 42% 46%
R. Johnson   43   8  78  46  48  40
Undec        12   9  11  15   9  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
R. Feingold  45% 84% 12% 39% 42% 48% 48%  47%
D. Westlake  38   6  72  36  42  34  31   32
Undec        17  10  16  25  16  18  21   21

Feingold As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
Approve      42% 71% 16% 39% 40% 45% 45%  45%
Disapprove   42  10  72  46  50  36  41   37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
R. Johnson   20%/18%  6%/29% 33%/11% 19%/14%  n/a     n/a
D. Westlake   6 /14   2 /20  10 /12   6 /11   2%/ 8%  2%/ 9%

Governor 2010

Massachusetts
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 6/17-23 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 497 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 28%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G). (Note: Trends from 1/6 are among SEN special election LVs.)

General Election Matchup (LVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
D. Patrick  38% 64% 10% 24% 35% 42% 30% 30%
C. Baker    31   9  65  28  38  24  19  20
T. Cahill    9   7   7  15  10   8  23  30
J. Stein     2   3   1   3   2   3  n/a n/a
Other        2   2   1   4   2   2   1   4 
Undec       17  14  16  26  14  21  28  15

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/6     7/21
D. Patrick  43%/45% 63%/26% 19%/72% 34%/52% 39%/50% 36%/52%
T. Cahill   21 /30  20 /31  27 /29  17 /30  39 /15  42 /17
C. Baker    20 /20   9 /31  36 / 3  19 /19  19 /13  16 /14

Patrick As Gov.

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
Approve     42% 41% 63% 20% 29% 39% 45% 41% 35%
Disapprove  49  51  26  74  63  55  42  52  56

Does Patrick's Four Years As Gov. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         30% 48% 13% 18% 28% 32%
Less likely         46  26  70  52  48  43
Little difference   20  23  13  25  19  21

Does Cahill's Four Years As Treas. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         15% 16% 14% 15% 12% 18%
Less likely         30  29  38  24  32  28
Little difference   45  47  40  46  48  42

Does Baker's Record As An Ex-Health Insurance Co. CEO Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         20% 12% 36% 16% 23% 18%
Less likely         30  43  11  31  30  31
Little difference   37  35  43  36  37  37

Who Do You Trust More To Handle The State's Budget And Fiscal Problems?

-                   All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
State legislature   30% 30% 31% 34% 24% 22% 37%
D. Patrick          29  29  40  13  25  36  22
Both equally         8   8  10   4  10   7   9
Neither             27  27  11  43  37  30  24
Undec                6   6   8   6   3   4   8

Patrick Has Brought Reform To Beacon Hill

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Agree       28% 28% 39% 16% 21% 23% 32%
Disagree    55  57  42  70  61  64  46

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/9 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  55% 54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      33  31  35   34   35  33
Other         8   3   6    6    7  11
Undec         4  13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/9     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/27% 62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /48  42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: State Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/10
N. Haley    52% 55%
V. Sheheen  40  34
Other        3   5
Undec        5   6

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/10    12/2
N. Haley    70%/26% 63%/26%  n/a
V. Sheheen  50 /35  46 /36  30%/34%

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25).

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Senate 2010

North Carolina
A WRAL-TV poll; conducted 6/23-24 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/25). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 38%R, 22%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) and businessman/motivational speaker Mike Beitler (L).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Burr      50% 18% 87% 46% 55% 44% 57% 16%
E. Marshall  40  74   7  35  34  47  34  73
M. Beitler    6   3   4  12   8   3   6   3
Undec         5   4   2   7   4   6   3   8

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: UT Alcohol & Bev. Control Commis. chair/deli chain owner Sam Granato (D) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Lee      58%
S. Granato  28
Other        5
Undec        9

Fav/Unfav

M. Lee      58%/32%
S. Granato  37 /33