Senate 2010

Arizona
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 1,139 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      52% 46% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  29  34  24
Other          14  15  13
Undec           6   5   7

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J. McCain      60%/37% 54%/44% 66%/30%
J.D. Hayworth  38 /50  43 /50  33 /51

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/3 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr      44% 50% 48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall  43  36  40  32   35   34   37   38
Other         7   6   3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec         6   8   9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/3     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr      53%/37% 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall  48 /36  41 /39  45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    50%
J. Huffman  32
Other        4
Undec       14

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Sen. Pat Leahy (D) and lumber store owner Len Britton (R).

General Election Matchup

P. Leahy    64%
L. Britton  29
Other        3
Undec        4

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/18
P. Leahy    69%/30% 66%/32%
L. Britton  26 /32   n/a

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6  
P. Murray  48% 47%  49% 45%
P. Akers   38  32   35  37
Other       4   6    6   5           
Undec      10  15   10  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 47%  51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  40  37   36  37  30  34
Other       6   6    4   5   6   4
Undec       6  10    8  11  15  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 48%  48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  47   46  46  49  48
Other       3   2    2   3   3   1
Undec       3   4    3   4   2   5

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/26    5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  54%/43% 52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /44  52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  37 /31  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
P. Akers   33 /32  27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 342 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/23). Tested: Investigative reporter John Dougherty, '94 candidate/ex-Dept. of Health Services dir./ex-state Rep. Cathy Eden, ex-Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman and activist Randy Parraz.

Primary Election Matchup

R. Glassman   12%
C. Eden       11
R. Parraz      9
J. Dougherty   8
Other         14
Undec         46

Fav/Unfav

R. Glassman   29%/14%
C. Eden       23 /12
R. Parraz     22 /18
J. Dougherty  21 /18

Obama As POTUS

Approve       73%
Disapprove    25

Brewer As Gov.

Approve       31%
Disapprove    66

Colorado
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/20-21 for LG Jane Norton (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/22). Tested: Norton and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck.

Primary Election Matchup

J. Norton  39%
K. Buck    33
Undec      28

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15-16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   73% 72%  69%  68%  71%
T. Potter   19  23   24   25   17
Other        2   2    2    2    4
Undec        6   3    5    5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 5/19 4/20 12/15
Approve     88% 87%  83%  87%
Disapprove  13  12   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   86%/13% 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   37 /38  38 /33  43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/24 2/16
R. Wyden    47% 51%  49%
J. Huffman  37  38   35
Other        6   4    7
Undec       10   7    9

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/24    2/16
R. Wyden    52%/41% 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman  35 /25  42 /22  33 /24

A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 6/11-13 for Wyden; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Tested: Wyden, Huffman, financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 3/8
R. Wyden        53% 53%
J. Huffman      23  23
M. Delphine      2   5
R. Staggenborg   2  n/a
Undec           20  20

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
P. Toomey   41% 14% 73% 41% 40% 42% 42%
J. Sestak   41  70  10  21  45  38  36
Undec       18  16  17  38  16  20  22

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
P. Toomey   30%/28% 16%/40% 46%/14% 31%/21% 20%/22%
J. Sestak   29 /28  39 /18  17 /39  24 /27  16 /18

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/25
R. Feingold  46% 46%
R. Johnson   45  44
Other         3   3
Undec         6   6

-            Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold  47% 47%  49%  51%  47%
D. Westlake  41  38   38   35   37
Other         4   7    4    5    6
Undec         7   8    9   10   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold  52%/45% 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson   46 /30  42 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
D. Westlake  34 /32  36 /26  30 /34  34 /26  33 /31   n/a

Senate 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 2/25
C. Fiorina   44% 44% 43% 20%
T. Campbell  21  25  18  33
C. DeVore    14  18  11  11
Other         7   7   8   6
Undec        14   6  20  30

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/25
C. Fiorina   56%/17% 26%/18%
T. Campbell  35 /29  32 /15
C. DeVore    27 /19  18 /17

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Campbell, DeVore and Fiorina.

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     47% 82%  7% 36% 46% 49% 41% 67% 57% 64% 35%
T. Campbell  40   9  82  43  42  38  50  17  20  27  50
Undec        12  10  11  21  11  13   9  17  23   9  15

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     46% 80%  6% 35% 44% 49% 41% 61% 56% 55% 41%
C. DeVore    40   8  86  42  44  37  50  17  21  27  50
Undec        13  12   8  24  13  14   9  22  23  18   9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     45% 78%  7% 32% 44% 46% 41% 67% 48% 55% 37%
C. Fiorina   42  10  87  42  44  40  50  17  30  27  48
Undec        13  12   6  26  12  14   8  17  23  18  15

Boxer As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
Approve      37% 67%  4% 24% 37% 37% 34% 56% 43% 27% 28%
Disapprove   46  13  89  50  49  43  54  22  30  36  59

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
C. Fiorina   22%/30%  6%/43% 48%/18% 15%/23% 22%/34% 21%/28%
T. Campbell  15 /18   7 /21  28 /19  16 /10  19 /20  12 /16
C. DeVore    10 /14   3 /18  20 /12   9 /10  42 /46  38 /49

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 1,159 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 231 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 5/27). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/09
L. McMahon     49% 46% 52% 44%  27%  17%  n/a  n/a  n/a
R. Simmons     23  24  21  34   37   28   43   42   48
P. Schiff      11  12   8   9    4    5    2   --   n/a
Other/others    1   1   1   1    2   13   11   11   11
Not vote        2   2   2   1    2    2    2    1    2
Undec          15  14  16  12   28   36   43   45   39

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  56% 83% 27% 56% 53% 59% 61%  64%
L. McMahon     31   8  64  31  34  29  28   23
Other           1   1   2   1   2   1   1    1
Not vote        2   1   1   2   2   1   1    1
Undec          10   8   7   9   9  11  10   11

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  59% 85% 26% 59% 56% 63% 64%  66%
P. Schiff      25   5  53  24  30  19  21   19
Other           1   1   1   2   2   1  --    1
Not vote        2   2   4   2   2   2   2    1
Undec          13   8  15  12  10  15  13   14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  55% 82% 26% 53% 51% 59% 62%  62%
R. Simmons     28   5  57  30  35  21  26   27
Other           2   1   1   3   2   1   1   --
Not vote        3   1   4   3   2   3   1    1
Undec          13  10  12  11  10  16  10   10

Blumenthal As AG

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20
Approve    76% 88% 63% 76% 75% 76% 79%  84%  78%  78%  79%
Disapprove 16   6  31  14  19  12  13   11   13   14   13

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
R. Blumenthal  61%/29% 82%/10% 41%/49% 58%/33% 70%/18%
R. Simmons     36 /14  25 /19  50 /10  40 /13  38 /21
L. McMahon     32 /39  15 /55  60 /20  31 /40  36 /26
P. Schiff      15 / 6   7 / 8  31 / 4  11 / 7  10 / 6

Do You Think ___ Has The Right Kind Of Experience To Be A Sen. From CT?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  76% 15%
R. Simmons     52  13
L. McMahon     29  52

Would You Say That ___ Cares About The Needs And Problems Of People Like You?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  69% 21%
R. Simmons     48  17
L. McMahon     45  33

Would You Say That ___ Is Honest And Trustworthy?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  60% 27%
R. Simmons     52  11
L. McMahon     45  24

Would You Say That ___ Has Strong Leadership Qualities?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  73% 19%
L. McMahon     54  23
R. Simmons     49  15

How Much Have You Heard Or Read About The Controversy Regarding Blumenthal's Statements About His Military Service During The Vietnam War?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A lot          62% 56% 68% 66% 64% 29%
Some           26  33  18  25  26  26
Not much        7   5   7   6   6   8
Nothing at all  4   3   6   3   3   4

Does This Controversy Make You Think More/Less Favorably Of Blumenthal, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More favorably  4%  4%  3%  5%  5%  4%
Less favorably 43  27  62  46  49  36
No difference  51  66  34  47  44  56

How Important Will This Controversy Be To Your Vote In The General Election For Sen. In Nov.?

-                      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Very important         20%  9% 32% 23% 23% 18%
Somewhat important     21  17  26  21  16  25
Not too important      20  21  16  21  20  19
Not important at all   37  48  24  34  39  34

Does The Controversy About Blumenthal's Statements Regarding His Military Service During The Vietnam War Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     2%  3%  3%  2%  4%  1%
Less likely    33  17  51  35  35  31
No difference  61  75  44  60  60  62

Which One Better Describes How Blumenthal Has Portrayed His Military Service During The Vietnam War?

-                                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Blumenthal has misspoken/not lied  54% 69% 36% 52% 50% 58%
Blumenthal has lied                38  22  56  41  45  32

Are You Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Blumenthal's Explanation Of This Matter?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied      53% 72% 36% 51% 50% 56%
Not satisfied  35  19  54  38  41  31

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 2/16
R. Wyden    51% 49%
J. Huffman  38  35
Other        4   7
Undec        7   9

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/16
R. Wyden    56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman  42 /22  33 /24

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Jim DeMint (R) and Charleston Co. Councilor/ex-circuit judge/ex-state Rep. Vic Rawl (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. DeMint   49% 10% 82% 48% 56% 43% 62%  8% 34%
V. Rawl     30  60   7  27  28  32  22  54  41
Undec       21  30  11  25  16  25  15  38  24

DeMint As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
Approve     43% 14% 67% 42% 50% 37% 51% 21% 21% 44%
Disapprove  36  59  15  42  38  35  31  51  48  29

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
V. Rawl      5%/14%  4%/18%  5%/11%  4%/14%  6%/16%  3%/12%

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

R. Feingold  46%
R. Johnson   44
Other         3
Undec         6

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17   
R. Feingold  47% 49%  49%  47%    
T. Wall      41  43   40   39     
Other         5   3    3    6     
Undec         7   5    9    7 

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold  47% 49%  51%  47%
D. Westlake  38  38   35   37
Other         7   4    5    6
Undec         8   9   10   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold  53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson   42 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
T. Wall      38 /30  35 /33  39 /28  34 /35   n/a
D. Westlake  36 /26  30 /34  34 /26  33 /31   n/a

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/26).

Feingold As Sen.

Approve      56%
Disapprove   39

Re-Elect Feingold?

Deserves re-election      45%
Give new person a chance  49

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R), N.C. "Clint" Moser (R), atty William Barnes (D) and teacher/soul singer Simone De Moore (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
W. Barnes    39% 42% 36% 42% 31%
S. De Moore  11   9  13   9  17
Other         3   4   2   4   0
Uncec        47  45  49  45  52

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Shelby    63% 64% 62%
C. Moser     14  16  12
Undec        23  20  26

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    57% 22% 87% 58% 61% 53% 72%  5%
W. Barnes    33  66   6  29  32  34  22  71
Other         3   2   3   6   4   2   4   1
Undec         7  10   4   7   3  11   2  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    62% 31% 88% 65% 66% 58% 79%  5%
S. De Moore  27  56   4  22  25  29  14  72
Other         3   2   3   5   3   3   4   0
Undec         8  11   5   8   6  10   3  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    61%/31% 38%/57% 77%/11% 69%/25% 65%/28% 57%/34%
W. Barnes    40 /32  62 /11  22 /50  40 /31  38 /35  42 /29
S. De Moore  23 / 9  45 / 5   6 /12  19 /10  22 / 9  24 / 9

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
W. Barnes    46%/17% 49%/15% 43%/19% 49%/15% 39%/22%
S. De Moore  21 / 6  19 / 7  23 / 5  19 / 8  27 / 1

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    63%/28% 65%/27% 61%/29%
C. Moser     12 /15  15 /13   9 /17

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R), Tim Kalemkarian (R) and businessman Al Ramirez (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina      46% 45% 47% 24% 27%
T. Campbell     23  26  21  35  34
C. DeVore       14  15  12  15  14
T. Kalemkarian   4   3   4   3   3
A. Ramirez       2   2   3  n/a n/a
Undec           11   9  14  23  23

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27
Approve     40% 41%  40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%
Disapprove  51  47   50   43   45   49    47    48   44

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) and Labor Commis. Michael Thurmond (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/22
J. Isakson   57% 51%
M. Thurmond  30  35
Other         6   6
Undec         8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/22    3/17
J. Isakson   60%/27% 60%/27% 61%/26%
M. Thurmond  46 /27  45 /32   n/a

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 522 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Reps. Jerry Moran (01) and Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran       52% 54% 48% 42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt      29  28  31  32   33   34   27   32
R. Londerholm   4   5   3   5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec          15  13  18  21   27   29   30   40

New York
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Gillibrand As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     41% 36%   35%   41%  39%  41%  40%  41%  36%
Disapprove  44  44    45    42   39   40   32   37   39

A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Schumer As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     64% 57%   60%   65%  59%  58%  62%  63%  62%
Disapprove  31  37    30    26   35   36   30   30   31

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     51% 51%  49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%
Disapprove  39  35   41   37   40   40    40    32   35

Washington
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 5/3-23; surveyed 1,252 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray      44%
D. Rossi       40
Other           3
Undec          12

P. Murray      42%
Generic GOPer  39
Other           4
Undec          14

Murray As Sen.

Approve        51%
Disapprove     34

A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     47% 46%  42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%
Disapprove  46  48   45   50   39   40    45    41   43

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/6-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 548 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/10). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R) and Tim Kalemkarian (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 4/21
T. Campbell     35% 38% 32% 34%
C. Fiorina      24  26  22  27
C. DeVore       15  14  16  14
T. Kalemkarian   3   4   3   3
Undec           23  19  27  23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 5/8-10; surveyed 631 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/11). Party ID Breakdown: 48%D, 35%R, 16%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
R. Burr        44% 19% 80% 41% 48% 41% 43%  43%  44%  45%
C. Cunningham  39  64   7  32  39  39  35   32   32   36
Undec          17  17  13  27  13  21  22   25   24   19

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
R. Burr        43% 13% 86% 40% 45% 42% 43%  41%  43%  44%
E. Marshall    42  70   6  38  44  40  37   36   33   37
Undec          15  16   8  22  11  18  20   23   23   18

Burr As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
Approve     37% 16% 65% 38% 40% 34% 32%  35%  35%  36%  35%
Disapprove  40  59  14  39  43  37  41   37   35   33   37

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    3/15
E. Marshall    23%/20% 36%/13%  6%/32% 21%/16% 19%/11% 17%/12%
C. Cunningham  16 /18  22 /19  11 /18  11 /16   5 / 8   4 /10

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 633 Dem primary LVs and 449 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.6% (release, 5/10). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D), '08 candidate/'04 GOP candidate/'06 OR-01 candidate/fitness instructor Pavel Goberman (D), farmer/paramedic/journalist Loren Hooker (D), G. Shane Dinkel (R), Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R), businessman Loren Later (R), businesswoman Robin Parker (R), realtor Tom Stutzman (R), Keith Waldron (R) and construction worker Walter Woodland (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
R. Wyden     80% 76% 84%
L. Hooker     9  10   8
P. Goberman   4   5   2
Undec         8   9   6

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
J. Huffman   20% 22% 17%
T. Stutzman  11  15   6
K. Waldron    9   9   9
R. Parker     6   6   5
L. Later      4   6   2
G. Dinkel     4   5   2
W. Woodland   4   5   2
Undec        43  33  57

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/7-10; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak    47% 47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter   43  42  42  42  43  45  48  46  49  48
Other/undec  10  11  12  14  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5
J. Sestak    56%/10% 55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13% 44%/13%
A. Specter   52 /34  52 /35  50 /26  52 /34  54 /34  56 /30

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/10). Tested: Specter, Sestak and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16               
P. Toomey   50% 50%  49%  47% 49%  46%  45%   48%  39%
A. Specter  38  40   40   38  40   42   40    36   50     
Other        7   4    5    5   4    4    6     4    4     
Undec        6   6    7   10   8    8    9    12    7

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
P. Toomey   42% 47%  42%  43% 43%  44%  37%   43%  35%
J. Sestak   40  36   37   35  35   38   38    35   41
Other       10   5    7    7   6    6    6     5    7
Undec        9  12   15   15  16   13   19    18   18

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8
P. Toomey   51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33% 57%/28% 57%/27% 51%/29%
J. Sestak   50 /37  38 /39  40 /38  33 /42  37 /37  36 /38
A. Specter  41 /57  42 /54  42 /54  41 /54  43 /54  44 /50

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%  50%
Disapprove  47  50   43   45   49    47    48   44   42

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20).

Crist As Gov.

-           Now 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve     57% 45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove  42  54   45   47   45    49

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13-14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       54% 49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  34   32
Other           5   6    7
Undec           9  12   15

-              Now 3/18 2/17
J. Hostettler  50% 50%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  32   27
Other           5   4    7
Undec          12  15   19

-              Now 3/18 2/17
M. Stutzman    41% 41%  40%
B. Ellsworth   36  34   30
Other           7   6    9
Undec          16  18   21

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/18    2/17    1/24
D. Coats       61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  47 /30  51 /26  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Ellsworth   40 /37  43 /33  35 /29   n/a
M. Stutzman    37 /30  37 /24  35 /25  31 /26

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     51% 49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%  53%
Disapprove  35  41   37   40   40    40    32   35   34

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     46% 42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%  50%
Disapprove  48  45   50   39   40    45    41   43   45

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 39%D, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested and IDed as a GOPer in a two-way matchup with Meek, as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio, and as an indie in a three-way matchup with both Meek and Rubio.)

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist    46% 29% 65% 39% 51% 41% 49% 28% 43% 54%
K. Meek     33  51  17  29  30  35  31  53  22  25
Undec       22  20  19  32  19  24  20  19  35  21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    44% 13% 77% 34% 52% 37% 51% 13% 35% 38%
K. Meek     39  67  11  41  30  45  33  59  48  46
Undec       18  20  12  25  17  18  16  28  17  17

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    43% 21% 72% 29% 50% 38% 48% 16% 45% 39%
C. Crist    34  54  13  40  32  36  34  47  27  30
Undec       22  26  15  31  18  26  18  38  27  30

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    34%  9% 62% 24% 41% 29% 39% 13% 35% 17%
C. Crist    27  32  18  35  25  28  27  29  22  33
K. Meek     25  47   7  22  22  28  22  45  22  29
Undec       14  12  13  20  12  15  12  13  22  21

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth  
Approve     35% 45% 28% 29% 36% 34% 32% 42% 43% 33%
Disapprove  51  41  58  53  51  50  51  48  57  38

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Rubio    31%/32% 13%/42% 52%/21% 25%/34% 36%/36% 28%/29%
K. Meek     17 /20  29 /13   8 /28   9 /19  13 /28  19 /15

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/8).

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/21
R. Burr    30%/18% 23%/25% 45%/ 9% 20%/13% 33%/20%

Oregon
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 3/5-8 for Sen. Ron Wyden (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Wyden, '06 candidate/state Sen. Jason Atkinson (R), Lewis & Clark College law prof. Jim Huffman (R), Rep. Greg Walden (R-02) and financial planner Marc Delphine (L).

General Election Matchups

R. Wyden     53%
J. Atkinson  22
M. Delphine   5
Undec        20

R. Wyden     53%
J. Huffman   23
M. Delphine   5
Undec        20

R. Wyden     52%
G. Walden    24
M. Delphine   5
Undec        18

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
P. Murray   48% 50%           P. Murray   49% 49%
D. Benton   37  38            C. Didier   30  34
Other        3   3            Other        6   4
Undec       12   9            Undec       15  13

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
D. Rossi    49% 48%           P. Murray   47% 48%
P. Murray   46  46            C. Widener  32  33
Other        3   1            Other        5   5
Undec        2   5            Undec       16  14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/11
P. Murray   53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi    51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier   27 /26  28 /28
C. Widener  26 /26  29 /26
D. Benton   26 /29  33 /28

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Boxer As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 47% 48% 39% 43% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54%
Disapprove 43 45 49 47 48 44 42 47 41

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 48% 48% 42% 46% 48% 46%
K. Meek 32 33 36 34 29 28
Other 11 10 11 9 10 12
Undec 9 9 11 11 13 14

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17
M. Rubio 51% 49% 49% 46% 43%
K. Meek 31 32 35 31 30
Other 7 6 4 8 8
Undec 11 13 12 15 19

Crist As Gov.

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 45 47 45 49 

Fav/Unfav

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41% 64%/35% 57%/36%
M. Rubio 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34 41 /31 n/a
K. Meek 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34 37 /34 37 /36

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

General Election Matchups

- Now 1/26
C. Grassley 53% 59%
R. Conlin 36 31
Other 5 4
Undec 6 5 

- Now 1/26
C. Grassley 56% 61%
T. Fiegen 28 25
Other 6 4
Undec 11 10 

- Now 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 55% 59% 56%
B. Krause 33 26 30
Other 5 7 7
Undec 8 8 7 

Fav/Unfav

- Now 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 68%/29% 67%/30% 68%/30%
R. Conlin 35 /45 35 /45 n/a
B. Krause 27 /31 27 /35 33 /30
T. Fiegen 22 /34 23 /37 n/a 

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), state Sen. Mark Amodei (R), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate/businessman Jon Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

S. Lowden 35%
D. Tarkanian 28
S. Angle 8
C. Christensen 4
M. Amodei 1
J. Chachas 0
Undec 24 

General Election Matchups

H. Reid 40%
M. Amodei 25
J. Ashjian 19
Undec 16

H. Reid 37%
S. Angle 32
J. Ashjian 16
Undec 14

H. Reid 39%
J. Ashjian 22
J. Chachas 21
Undec 17

S. Lowden 42%
H. Reid 37
J. Ashjian 9
Undec 12 

D. Tarkanian 40%
H. Reid 39
J. Ashjian 11
Undec 11 

Fav/Unfav

S. Lowden 39%/17%
D. Tarkanian 35 /17
H. Reid 35 /58
C. Christensen 8 / 5
M. Amodei 7 / 5
J. Chachas 3 / 4 

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 2/9-10 for the Progressive Change Campaign Cmte (D), Democracy for America (D) and Credo Action (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/22). Tested:

General Election Matchups

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Lowden 53% 20% 88% 58% 60% 46%
H. Reid 39 72 5 32 36 42
Undec 8 8 7 10 4 12 

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Tarkanian 54% 21% 89% 59% 60% 48%
H. Reid 40 73 5 34 36 44
Undec 6 6 6 7 4 8

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Wyden As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 50% 53% 53% 51% 55% 56% 53% 55% 55%
Disapprove 37 40 40 40 32 35 34 37 33 

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Murray As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 43% 55% 52% 47% 48% 47% 50% 56% 50%
Disapprove 50 39 40 45 41 43 45 35 34 

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 2/9-14 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

-               Now 10/28 8/2
A. Giannoulias  49% 46%   45%
M. Kirk         45  43    40

Nevada
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 1/31 for the NV State Educ. Assn; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/16).

Reid As Sen.

Excellent/good 34%
Only fair/poor 63

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 2/12-15; surveyed 788 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/17). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        44% 17% 80% 38% 51% 38% 45%  45%   44%   46%
C. Cunningham  32  56   6  26  30  33  36   36    31    27
Undec          24  27  14  36  19  28  19   20    25    27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        44% 16% 80% 37% 51% 37% 46%  43%   45%   44%
K. Lewis       31  57   5  24  29  34  34   37    32    30
Undec          25  27  16  40  20  30  20   21    23    26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        43% 16% 79% 38% 51% 36% 44%  42%   45%   44%
E. Marshall    33  60   6  25  31  36  37   37    34    32
Undec          23  24  16  37  18  28  18   21    21    24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        42% 15% 79% 35% 50% 35% 45%  42%   44%   45%
Generic Dem    35  63   5  26  33  37  36   41    40    34
Undec          23  22  16  39  17  28  20   17    16    22

Burr As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
Approve        35% 16% 57% 35% 39% 31% 36%  35%   40%   36%
Disapprove     35  50  17  35  37  33  33   37    31    35

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/18
E. Marshall    19%/10% 28%/ 8% 10%/13% 13%/10% 19%/12%
K. Lewis        7 /10   7 /10   4 /11  10 / 8   7 /10
C. Cunningham   6 / 9   8 / 9   3 / 9   7 / 7   6 / 8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/17). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    49%
J. Huffman  35
Other        7
Undec        9

Fav/Unfav

R. Wyden    55%/36%
J. Huffman  33 /24