House 2010

IA-03
A Victory Enterprises (R) poll; conducted 6/17 for state Sen. Brad Zaun (R); surveyed 400 Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/21). Tested: Zaun and Rep. Leonard Boswell (D).

General Election Matchup

B. Zaun     41%
L. Boswell  32
Undec       27

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama    44%/39%
B. Zaun     32 /19
L. Boswell  32 /42

VA-02
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/14-15 for car dealer Scott Rigell (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/21). Tested: Rigell, Rep. Glenn Nye (D) and ex-VA Beach GOP Chair Kenny Golden (I)

General Election Matchup

S. Rigell  41%
G. Nye     35
K. Golden   4

Fav/Unfav

G. Nye     45%/31%

House 2010

VA-02
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/17-18 for car dealer Scott Rigell (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/25). Tested: Rigell, businessman/Naval reservist Ben Loyola, defense contractor/ret. Navy SEAL Ed Maulbeck, Army Reserve Brig. Gen. Bert Mizusawa and Navy SEAL Scott Taylor.

Primary Election Matchup

S. Rigell    47%
B. Mizusawa  10
S. Taylor     9
B. Loyola     6
E. Maulbeck   1

Fav/Unfav

S. Rigell    64%/ 4%
S. Taylor    22 / 4
B. Mizusawa  21 / 1
B. Loyola    21 / 5
E. Maulbeck   7 / 3

VA-11
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13 for '08 nominee Keith Fimian (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/25). Tested: Fimian and Fairfax Co. Supv. Pat Herrity.

Primary Election Matchup

K. Fimian   36%
P. Herrity  23
Undec       41

Fav/Unfav

K. Fimian   52%/10%
P. Herrity  47 /18

House 2010

VA-05
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/10-11 for state Sen. Robert Hurt (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/18). Tested: Hurt, Albemarle Co. Supt. Ken Boyd (R), businessman Ron Ferrin (R), real estate developer Jim McKelvey (R), pilot Michael McPadden (R), activist/teacher Feda Morton (R) and real estate investor Laurence Verga (R).

Primary Election Matchup

R. Hurt      35%
K. Boyd      10
M. McPadden   7
J. McKelvey   5
F. Morton     5
L. Verga      4
R. Ferrin     0

House 2010

VA-11
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 3/10-11 for Fairfax Co. Board of Supv. Pat Herrity (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/6). Tested: Herrity and '08 nominee/businessman Keith Fimian (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Herrity  42%
K. Fimian   21
Undec       37

House 2010

CT-04
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 1/19-20 for Easton Selectman/Private Equity Investment Co. Managing Dir. Tom Herrmann (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/16). Tested: Rep. Jim Himes (D), Hermann, state Sens. Dan Debicella (R), '08 McCain staffer Will Gregory (R), businessman Rob Merkle (R), state Sen. Rob Russo (R) and businessman/ex-Bridgeport mayoral candidate Rick Torres (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

D. Debicella   7%
R. Russo       5
R. Torres      2
T. Herrmann    2
W. Gregory     1
R. Merkle     --

General Election Matchups

J. Himes      49%
T. Herrmann   30

Generic GOPer 43%
Generic Dem   41

Re-Elect Himes?

Re-elect him      28%
Consider another  64

Fav/Unfav

J. Himes      55%/26%

Obama As POTUS

Approve       50%
Disapprove    47

VA-11
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/1 for '08 nominee/businessman Keith Fimian (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 3/5). Tested: Fimian and Rep. Gerry Connolly (D).

General Election Matchups

K. Fimian      40%
G. Connolly    35
Undec          25

Generic GOPer  52%
Generic Dem    33
Undec          15

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama       50%/48%
G. Connolly    38 /33
N. Pelosi      33 /62

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.     28%
Wrong dir.     65

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJHL-TV/WJLA-TV/WTVR-TV poll; conducted 10/30-11/01 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 574 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/2). Party ID Breakdown: 37%R, 32%D, 29%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/19 10/4 9/28
B. McDonnell  58% 18% 91% 60% 62% 54% 58%   59%   54%  55%
C. Deeds      40  81   8  35  36  43  41    40    43   41
Undec          2   1   1   4   2   3   1     1     4    4

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/30-11/1; surveyed 1,457 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 11/2). Party ID Breakdown: 35%D, 35%R, 30%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/26 10/19 9/28 8/31
B. McDonnell  56% 11% 94% 63% 61% 51% 55%   52%   48%  49%
C. Deeds      42  87   6  33  38  47  40    40    43   42
Undec          2   2  --   4   2   2   5     7     8    9

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/26   10/19
B. McDonnell  55%/35% 15%/72% 90%/ 5% 59%/29% 56%/36% 56%/35%
C. Deeds      39 /45  78 /11   8 /74  29 /48  38 /49  41 /48

A Richmond Times-Dispatch poll; conducted 10/28-29 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/1). Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 10/8
B. McDonnell  53%  9% 94% 51% 60% 46% 60%  8% 48%
C. Deeds      41  85   5  36  35  47  35  82  40
Undec          6   6   1  13   5   7   5  10  12

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 34%R, 27%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/16 8/5 6/17 6/3
B. McDonnell  54% 17% 93% 58% 61% 47% 50%  51% 45%  46%
C. Deeds      44  82   5  40  38  50  43   43  44   34
Undec          2   1   2   2   1   3   7    6  11   20

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/16    8/5
B. McDonnell  58%/39% 30%/68% 89%/ 8% 59%/38% 56%/40% 56%/37%
C. Deeds      46 /44  82 / 9   9 /80  42 /49  47 /42  46 /40

A Suffolk Univ. (MA) poll; conducted 10/26-28; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/29). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 41%R, 19%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McDonnell  54% 14% 91% 61% 55% 53%
C. Deeds      40  82   6  24  39  42
Undec          5   2   3  16   6   4

Which Candidate Do You Think Will Win?
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McDonnell  67% 40% 92% 70% 67% 66%
C. Deeds      21  42   4  12  21  21
Undec         12  19   4  16  11  13

A Roanoke College poll; conducted 10/21-27; surveyed 569 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/29). Party ID breakdown: 40%R, 30%D, 27%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McDonnell  53%  4% 88% 55% 57% 49%
C. Deeds      36  87   6  29  32  40
Undec         11   9   5  16  11  11

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A VCU poll; conducted 10/21-25; surveyed 1,007 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 871 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Further subsample of 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/28). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)
-                     LVs LVs LVs LVs LVs  LVs  LVs    LVs
-             All LVs Dem GOP Ind NW  NoVa West SoCent Tidewtr
B. McDonnell  48% 54% 10% 92% 56% 58% 54%  50%  56%    51%
C. Deeds      32  36  81   5  29  27  38   37   35     38
Undec         20  11   9   3  15  15   8   12    8     11

Which Candidate Would Do The Best Job Handling ___? (RVs)
-                                       LVs       LVs
-                       McDonnell Deeds McDonnell Deeds
Economic development    45%       25%   53%       29%
State budget shortfall  42        26    50        29
Transportation          40        28    47        31
Education               40        33    47        37
Environment             31        34    37        40

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/27; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/28). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 10/12 9/29 9/16 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 54% 50%   51%  48%  51% 49%  44%  41%  45%  39%
C. Deeds     41  43    42   46   42  41   41   47   30   30
Other        --  --     1    1    1   2    3    2    5    6
Undec         4   6    10    5    6   7   12   10   20   25

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     10/12   9/29    9/16    9/1     8/10
B. McDonnell 62%/30% 59%/34% 44%/37% 54%/32% 55%/28% 53%/30%
C. Deeds     47 /50  47 /47  46 /45  50 /42  48 /42  48 /39

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 10/25-26 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 37%R, 32%D, 30%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/19 10/4 9/28 9/3 7/28
B. McDonnell  58% 14% 92% 60% 61% 55% 59%   54%  55%  54% 55%
C. Deeds      41  85   7  38  38  44  40    43   41   42  40
Undec          1   1    1  2   1   2   1     4    4    4   5

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 10/23-26; surveyed 729 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 10/27). Party ID Breakdown: 33%R, 31%D, 35%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/19 9/28 8/31 8/3(RVs)
B. McDonnell  55%  9% 94% 59% 63% 49% 52%   48%  49%  45%
C. Deeds      40  84   4  34  34  45  40    43   42   37
Undec          5   7   1   7   3   6   7     8    9    8

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/19   9/28
B. McDonnell  56%/36% 14%/76% 92%/ 4% 58%/31% 56%/35% 53%/31%
C. Deeds      38 /49  75 /17   8 /76  34 /53  41 /48  47 /35

A Washington Post poll; conducted 10/22-25 by TNS; surveyed 1,206 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 10/26). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 34%I. Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.

General Election Matchup
-               Now 10/7 9/17 8/17(LVs) 8/17(RVs)
B. McDonnell    55% 53%  51%  54%       47%
C. Deeds        44  44   47   39        40
Other            *   1    *    1         1
Not vote        n/a  *   --    *         3
Undec            1   2    2    7         9 

(If Deeds/McDonnell) Will You Definitely Vote For This Candidate In Nov., Or Is There A Chance You Could Change Your Mind?
-                    DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Definitely vote for  78%         88%
Chance change mind   20          11

(If Deeds/McDonnell) How Enthusiastic Are You About This Candidate?
-                        DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Very enthusiastic        22%         39%
Fairly enthusiastic      53          52
Not too enthusiastic     21           8
Not enthusiastic at all   3           1

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Clarus Research Group poll; conducted 9/10-14; surveyed 605 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 575 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/20). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup (LVs)
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 9/14(RVs)
B. McDonnell  49%  6% 89% 50% 53% 45% 58%  7% 42% 42%
C. Deeds      41  86   4  36  39  44  32  79  46  37
Undec         10   8   7  15   8  11   9  13  12  20

A WVEC-TV/Virginian-Pilot/Christopher Newport Univ. poll; conducted 10/8-13; surveyed 506 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Tested: Deeds and McDonnell.

General Election Matchup
B. McDonnell  45%
C. Deeds      31
Undec         22

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/12; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/13). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 9/29 9/16 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 50% 51%  48%  51% 49%  44%  41%  45%  39%
C. Deeds     43  42   46   42  41   41   47   30   30
Other        --   1    1    1   2    3    2    5    6
Undec         6  10    5    6   7   12   10   20   25

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     9/29    9/16    9/1     8/10    7/14
B. McDonnell 59%/34% 44%/37% 54%/32% 55%/28% 53%/30% 50%/47%
C. Deeds     47 /47  46 /45  50 /42  48 /42  48 /39  49 /35

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Richmond Times-Dispatch poll; conducted 10/6-8 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/11). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. McDonnell  48%  6% 84% 47% 56% 40% 55%  9%
C. Deeds      40  87   5  33  35  45  33  81
Undec         12   7  11  20   9  15  12  10

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Washington Post poll; conducted 10/4-7 by TNS; surveyed 1,001 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/8). Party ID Breakdown: 31%D, 30%R, 36%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 9/17(LVs) 8/17(LVs) 8/17(RVs)
B. McDonnell    53% 51%       54%       47%
C. Deeds        44  47        39        40
Other            1   *         1         1
Not vote         *  --         *         3 
Undec            2   2         7         9 

(If Deeds/McDonnell) Will You Definitely Vote For This Candidate In Nov., Or Is There A Chance You Could Change Your Mind?
-                   DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Definitely vote for 76%         78%
Chance change mind  21          21

(If Deeds/McDonnell) How Enthusiastic Are You About This Candidate?
-                       DeedsVoters McDonnellVoters
Very enthusiastic       20%         35%
Fairly enthusiastic     59          51
Not too enthusiastic    16          12
Not enthusiastic at all  4           2

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 10/2-4 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 608 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/5). Party ID Breakdown (LVs): 37%R, 32%D, 30%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/28 9/3 7/28 6/7 6/2
B. McDonnell  54% 11% 89% 54% 62% 47% 55%  54% 55%  47% 44%
C. Deeds      43  88   9  39  36  49  41   42  40   43  43
Undec          4   1   2   7   3   4   4    4   5   11  13

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/30). Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 9/16 9/1 8/10 7/14 6/10 4/15 2/4
B. McDonnell 51% 48%  51% 49%  44%  41%  45%  39%
C. Deeds     42  46   42  41   41   47   30   30
Other         1   1    1   2    3    2    5    6
Undec        10   5    6   7   12   10   20   25

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     9/16    9/1     8/10    7/14    6/10
C. Deeds     46%/45% 50%/42% 48%/42% 48%/39% 49%/35% 59%/27%
B. McDonnell 44 /37  54 /32  55 /28  53 /30  50 /47  52 /28 

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 9/25-28; surveyed 576 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 9/29). Party ID Breakdown: 37%D, 29%R, 34%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/31 8/3(RVs) 7/2
B. McDonnell    48%  5% 96% 53% 56% 41% 49%  51%      49%
C. Deeds        43  82   2  37  37  49  42   37       43
Undec            8  12   2  10   7  10   9    8        8

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/31
B. McDonnell    47%/42%  9%/74% 91%/ 7% 49%/39% 53%/31%
C. Deeds        43 /42  78 /10   7 /80  38 /44  47 /35

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
A WDBJ-TV/WJLA-TV poll; conducted 9/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 631 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/29). Party ID Breakdown (LVs): 37%R, 32%D, 29%I. Tested: state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/3 7/28 6/7 6/2 5/19
B. McDonnell  55% 13% 89% 59% 57% 53% 54% 55%  47% 44% 46%
C. Deeds      41  85  10  35  40  43  42  40   43  43  40
Undec          4   2   2   6   3   5   4   5   11  13  15

Governor - Virginia (2009)

Governor (2009)
An InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (IVR) poll; conducted 9/23; surveyed 602 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Politico, 9/24). Party ID breakdown: 35%R, 33%D, 32%I. Tested: State Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) and ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McDonnell  48%  8% 79% 55% 51% 45% 58%  5% 42% 60%
C. Deeds      44  89  12  33  40  48  34  91  58  31
Other          1  --   1   1  --   1   1  --  --   2
Undec          7   3   8  11   9   6   8   4  --   7