Senate 2010

Kansas
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/28-29 for Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/1). Tested: Tiahrt, accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Moran       37%
T. Tiahrt      34
T. Little       2
R. Londerholm   1
Undec          26

Do You Think ___ Is A Liberal/Moderate/Conservative?

-              Liberal Moderate Conservative
J. Moran        8%     23       42
T. Tiahrt       5      20       46

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 6/1 5/19 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul    49% 49% 59%  47%  50%  46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway  42  41  34   38   36   38  39  38  42
Other       3   4   4    4    3    4   3   4   4
Undec       6   6   3   10   11   12  11  12  15

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     6/1     5/19    4/28    3/31    3/2
R. Paul    55%/38% 57%/38% 69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26%
J. Conway  51 /35  47 /43  44 /45  47 /36  44 /39  40 /33

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 6/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 18%I.

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Burr    33%/26% 20%/35% 53%/13% 22%/31% 33%/29% 32%/23%

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
L. Fisher   40% 69% 14% 25% 42% 38% 36%  41%  39%
R. Portman  38  10  69  40  38  38  41   32   41
Undec       22  21  17  35  19  25  23   27   20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
L. Fisher   28%/27% 47%/13%  9%/41% 20%/29% 22%/24% 32%/31%
R. Portman  22 /25  10 /32  33 /17  26 /23  16 /19  22 /34

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/2 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13
P. Toomey   45% 45% 42%  42% 47%  42%  43% 43%  44%  37%
J. Sestak   39  38  46   40  36   37   35  35   38   38
Other        6   5   3   10   5    7    7   6    6    6
Undec       11  12   9    9  12   15   15  16   13   19

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/2     5/19    5/6     4/12    3/15
P. Toomey   53%/31% 55%/30% 56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33%
J. Sestak   51 /40  49 /40  52 /33  50 /37  38 /39  40 /38

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 6/25-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 781 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 520 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 33%D, 23%R, 39%I. Party ID breakdown (LVs): 32%D, 25%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), tech salesman/USAF vet Charles Allen (D), the Prudential ex-VP of research and development Bob Burr (D), '06 candidate/'04 Libertarian GOV candidate/'08 WA-07 candidate Michael "Goodspaceguy" Nelson (D), '98/'06 candidate/'04 GOV candidate/'02 WA-01 candidate/moving co. owner Mike The Mover (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '04/'06 candidate/'00 WA-06 candidate/businessman William Edward Chovil (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), Norma Gruber (R), Mike Latimer (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R), '04/'06 Dem candidate/'96 Dem GOV candidate/'08 indie GOV candidate/physician Mohammad Said (Cent.), Univ. of WA prof. James Mercer (I), ret. Navy judge advocate Schalk Leonard (I), '00 GOP Sec/State candidate/'04 GOP Aud. Nominee/'08 GOV candidate Will Baker (Ref.). (Note: Of the RV sample, 177 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviewers. Of the LV sample, 120 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviews.)

Primary Election Matchup (LVs)

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray       37% 72%  7% 29% 32% 39%
D. Rossi        33   7  65  36  29  34
C. Didier        5   0   8   7   3   5
P. Akers         3   2   4   2   3   2
B. Burr          1   1   0   1   1   1
GoodSpaceGuy     1   1   0   1   0   1
M. Said          1   0   0   1   1   1
W. Baker         0   1   0   0   1   0
S. Leonard       0   0   0   1   0   0
Mike The Mover   0   0   0   1   0   0
C. Allen         0   0   0   0   0   0
W.E. Chovil      0   0   0   0   0   0
N. Gruber        0   0   0   0   0   0
M. Latimer       0   0   0   0   0   0
J. Mercer        0   0   0   0   0   0
Undec           19  15  15  22  20  17

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray   38%/34% 70%/ 6% 12%/61% 28%/43% 35%/41% 41%/28%

Senate 2010

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 364 Dem primary LVs and 721 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.1% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/28). Tested: '04 candidate/'06 KS-03 Reform nominee/ret. railroad employee Bob Conroy (D), '02/'06 Sec/State nominee/state Sen. David Haley (D), Baker Univ. ass't dean Lisa Johnston (D), ex-newspaper ed. Charles Schollenberger (D), CPA/atty Patrick Wiesner (D), accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Reps. Jerry Moran (R-01) and Todd Tiahrt (R-04).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                  All Men Wom
L. Johnston        24% 19% 27%
C. Schollenberger  16  19  14
B. Conroy          11  15   8
D. Haley           11  13   9
P. Wiesner          4   3   4
Undec              35  32  37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                  All Men Wom 5/23 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran           53% 57% 47% 52%  42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt          33  33  34  29   32   33   34   27   32
T. Little           3   3   3  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
R. Londerholm       2   1   3   4    5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec               9   7  13  15   21   27   29   30   40

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/7 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter    53% 52% 57%  57%  53%  46%
C. Melancon  35  36  34   33   35   36
Other         3   4   3    3    4    5
Undec         9   8   6    7    8   13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/7     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter    62%/32% 60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon  48 /39  46 /41  43 /44  39 /45  39 /46  43 /39

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold  45% 83% 11% 39% 42% 46%
R. Johnson   43   8  78  46  48  40
Undec        12   9  11  15   9  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
R. Feingold  45% 84% 12% 39% 42% 48% 48%  47%
D. Westlake  38   6  72  36  42  34  31   32
Undec        17  10  16  25  16  18  21   21

Feingold As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
Approve      42% 71% 16% 39% 40% 45% 45%  45%
Disapprove   42  10  72  46  50  36  41   37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
R. Johnson   20%/18%  6%/29% 33%/11% 19%/14%  n/a     n/a
D. Westlake   6 /14   2 /20  10 /12   6 /11   2%/ 8%  2%/ 9%

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R), N.C. "Clint" Moser (R), atty William Barnes (D) and teacher/soul singer Simone De Moore (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
W. Barnes    39% 42% 36% 42% 31%
S. De Moore  11   9  13   9  17
Other         3   4   2   4   0
Uncec        47  45  49  45  52

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Shelby    63% 64% 62%
C. Moser     14  16  12
Undec        23  20  26

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    57% 22% 87% 58% 61% 53% 72%  5%
W. Barnes    33  66   6  29  32  34  22  71
Other         3   2   3   6   4   2   4   1
Undec         7  10   4   7   3  11   2  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    62% 31% 88% 65% 66% 58% 79%  5%
S. De Moore  27  56   4  22  25  29  14  72
Other         3   2   3   5   3   3   4   0
Undec         8  11   5   8   6  10   3  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    61%/31% 38%/57% 77%/11% 69%/25% 65%/28% 57%/34%
W. Barnes    40 /32  62 /11  22 /50  40 /31  38 /35  42 /29
S. De Moore  23 / 9  45 / 5   6 /12  19 /10  22 / 9  24 / 9

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
W. Barnes    46%/17% 49%/15% 43%/19% 49%/15% 39%/22%
S. De Moore  21 / 6  19 / 7  23 / 5  19 / 8  27 / 1

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    63%/28% 65%/27% 61%/29%
C. Moser     12 /15  15 /13   9 /17

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R), Tim Kalemkarian (R) and businessman Al Ramirez (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina      46% 45% 47% 24% 27%
T. Campbell     23  26  21  35  34
C. DeVore       14  15  12  15  14
T. Kalemkarian   4   3   4   3   3
A. Ramirez       2   2   3  n/a n/a
Undec           11   9  14  23  23

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27
Approve     40% 41%  40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%
Disapprove  51  47   50   43   45   49    47    48   44

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) and Labor Commis. Michael Thurmond (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/22
J. Isakson   57% 51%
M. Thurmond  30  35
Other         6   6
Undec         8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/22    3/17
J. Isakson   60%/27% 60%/27% 61%/26%
M. Thurmond  46 /27  45 /32   n/a

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 522 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Reps. Jerry Moran (01) and Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran       52% 54% 48% 42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt      29  28  31  32   33   34   27   32
R. Londerholm   4   5   3   5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec          15  13  18  21   27   29   30   40

New York
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Gillibrand As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     41% 36%   35%   41%  39%  41%  40%  41%  36%
Disapprove  44  44    45    42   39   40   32   37   39

A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Schumer As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     64% 57%   60%   65%  59%  58%  62%  63%  62%
Disapprove  31  37    30    26   35   36   30   30   31

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     51% 51%  49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%
Disapprove  39  35   41   37   40   40    40    32   35

Washington
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 5/3-23; surveyed 1,252 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray      44%
D. Rossi       40
Other           3
Undec          12

P. Murray      42%
Generic GOPer  39
Other           4
Undec          14

Murray As Sen.

Approve        51%
Disapprove     34

A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     47% 46%  42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%
Disapprove  46  48   45   50   39   40    45    41   43

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      52% 47%  48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  40  42   41   31   43
Other           2   2    3    7    6
Undec           6   8    8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/13    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain      70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  67 /31  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

Obama As POTUS

-              Now 4/13
Approve        10% 14%
Disapprove     88  86

California
A M4 Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13, 5/16 for the Small Business Action Cmte; surveyed 600 "high propensity" GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/18). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Campbell  33%
C. Fiorina   28
C. DeVore    15
Undec        22

Fav/Unfav

T. Campbell  42%/13%
C. Fiorina   39 /13
C. DeVore    19 / 5

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/19). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
M. Bennet    45% 81% 10% 39% 41% 50% 46% 39%  40%
K. Buck      39   6  74  40  47  31  40  35   34
Undec        16  13  16  21  12  20  14  19   16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet    44% 77% 11% 42% 40% 49% 43%
J. Norton    41   9  78  40  48  34  43
Undec        14  14  11  18  12  17  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet    44% 78% 10% 39% 38% 49% 45%
T. Wiens     36   7  70  35  42  30  37
Undec        20  15  20  26  20  21  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  41% 79%  6% 34% 37% 45% 44%
K. Buck      38   6  76  36  47  29  36
Undec        21  16  18  29  16  26  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  43% 79%  9% 38% 39% 48% 44%
J. Norton    41   7  77  42  49  32  39
Undec        16  14  14  20  12  20  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  41% 78%  6% 35% 36% 46% 45%
T. Wiens     37   8  73  33  46  28  34
Undec        22  14  21  32  18  25  21

Bennet As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
Approve      34% 54% 13% 32% 31% 37% 32% 31%  34%
Disapprove   44  20  69  47  52  37  46  38   41

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8     8/16
A. Romanoff  31%/26% 48%/14% 11%/38% 32%/26% 28%/26%  n/a
J. Norton    20 /32   9 /45  34 /23  19 /26  25 /35   n/a
K. Buck      19 /24   7 /36  32 /15  19 /18  14 /18  17%/18%
T. Wiens      8 /16   6 /20  11 /15   6 /13  11 /17   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  48% 52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     45  39  35  31  36  34
Other           4   6   3   3   3   3
Undec           3   4   6   7   4   5

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  53% 54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      37  29  32  27  24
Other           4   6   4   6   6
Undec           5  11   6  10  10

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  50% 55% 52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     39  32  38  32  35  33
Other           6   5   4   3   4   4
Undec           5   8   6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/4     4/7     3/2     2/1
R. Blumenthal  66%/32% 72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%
R. Simmons     54 /37  48 /32  48 /40  52 /35  60 /26
L. McMahon     54 /41  55 /31  45 /45  46 /42  51 /34
P. Schiff      43 /29  35 /33  41 /34  37 /34   n/a

Kansas
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13 for Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: Moran, ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Rep. Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Moran       53%
T. Tiahrt      27
R. Londerholm   4
Undec          16

Fav/Unfav

J. Moran       67%/ 7%
T. Tiahrt      50 /12

Senate 2010

Kansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13). Tested: Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01), Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04), state Sen. David Haley (D), Baker Univ. ass't dean Lisa Johnston (D) and ex-newspaper ed. Charles Schollenberger (D).

General Election Matchups

J. Moran           60%        T. Tiahrt          58%
D. Haley           25         D. Haley           27
Other               4         Other               4
Undec              11         Undec              11

J. Moran           61%        T. Tiahrt          57%
L. Johnston        25         L. Johnston        29
Other               5         Other               3
Undec              10         Undec              11

J. Moran           59%        T. Tiahrt          55%
C. Schollenberger  25         C. Schollenberger  30
Other               6         Other               3
Undec              11         Undec              12

Fav/Unfav

-                  Now     2/24
J. Moran           69%/20% 59%/17%
T. Tiahrt          62 /26  53 /27
L. Johnston        31 /39   n/a
C. Schollenberger  30 /38   n/a
D. Haley           28 /37   n/a

Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 5/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 660 Dem primary LVs and 448 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom 4/11 3/3 11/2 8/17
D. Mongiardo   38% 43% 33% 35%  45% 39%  39%
J. Conway      37  35  40  32   27  28   31
D. Price        7   5   9   5    4   2    3
J. Buckmaster   3   4   2   4    3  n/a  n/a
M. Sweeney      3   2   3   2    2   1    1
Others         n/a n/a n/a n/a  n/a 15   13
Undec          12  12  12  21   19  16   14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 4/11 3/3 11/2 8/17
R. Paul        49% 49% 49% 45%  42% 35%  26%
T. Grayson     33  34  32  30   27  32   37
J. Stephenson   3   4   3   3    2  n/a  n/a
G. Martin       3   3   3   2    3  n/a  n/a
J. Scribner     1   0   2   1    1  n/a  n/a
Others         n/a n/a n/a n/a   5  16   20       
Undec          11  10  12  19   19  18   17

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13). Tested: '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle, Guaranteed Financial Services pres. Gary Bernstein, Wall St. banker John Chachas, Assemb. Chad Christensen, ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden, ex-Assemb. Min. Leader Garn Mabey, real estate investor Gary Marinch, Brian Nadell, project mgr./USMC vet Bill Parson, Cecilia Stern, Terry Suominen and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden       30% 30% 30% 45% 47%  26% 25%  23%  14%
S. Angle        25  25  25   5   8   13  13    9    5
D. Tarkanian    22  24  19  27  29   28  24   21   33
J. Chachas       3   2   4   3   1   --   1   --   --
C. Christensen   2   3   1   4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
B. Parson       --  --  --  --  --   --   1    1   n/a
G. Bernstein    --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
G. Mabey        --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
G. Marinch      --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
B. Nadell       --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
C. Stern        --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
T. Suominen     --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Others          n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   1   3    2    1
Undec           18  16  21  16  15   32  33   44   47

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/7
S. Lowden       46%/21% 54%/14%
D. Tarkanian    42 /12  46 /12
S. Angle        38 /11  22 /15
C. Christensen  16 / 5  13 / 1
J. Chachas      13 / 9  12 / 8

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/9-12; surveyed 405 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/13). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2
J. Sestak    44% 45%  47%  47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40%
A. Specter   44  45   43   42  42  42  43  45  48  46  49
Other/undec  12   9   10   11  12  14  13  14  11  12  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8     5/7
J. Sestak    54%/11% 55%/ 9% 56%/10% 55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14%
A. Specter   53 /36  54 /35  52 /34  52 /35  50 /26  52 /34

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/4-10; surveyed 1,161 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 5/12). Tested: Specter, Sestak and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
P. Toomey   47% 12% 86% 52% 55% 41% 46% 42%  44%   43%  44%
A. Specter  40  73   9  31  36  43  41  49   44    42   45
Other       --  --  --  --  --  --  --  --    1     1   --
Not vote     1   1   1   1   2   1   1   1   --     1   --
Undec       12  14   4  15   7  15  12   8   11    13   10

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
P. Toomey   42%  9% 81% 46% 50% 35% 42% 39%  40%   38%  39%
J. Sestak   40  71  10  30  36  43  34  36   35    35   35
Other       --   1  --   1  --  --   1   1    1     1    1
Not vote     1   2   1   1   1   1   1   1    2     1    1
Undec       16  18   8  23  12  20  22  24   22    25   23

Specter As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
Approve     38% 59% 17% 34% 34% 41% 44% 48%  47%   44%  47%
Disapprove  51  25  77  57  58  45  47  45   45    48   46

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/5     2/28
A. Specter  36%/50% 56%/24% 17%/74% 30%/58% 40%/46% 44%/43%
P. Toomey   29 / 9   6 /15  55 / 1  32 / 9  29 / 9  26 / 8
J. Sestak   32 /14  40 /10  23 /17  31 /18  20 /11  18 / 6

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/4). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     31  36  34
Other           3   3   3
Undec           7   4   5

-              Now 1/6
R. Blumenthal  57% 60%
P. Schiff      27  24
Other           6   6
Undec          10  10

-              Now 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     32  35  33
Other           3   4   4
Undec           7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/1     12/7    9/10
R. Blumenthal  72%/26% 70%/27%  n/a     n/a
R. Simmons     52 /35  60 /26  48%/30% 53%/32%
L. McMahon     46 /42  51 /34  45 /35   n/a
P. Schiff      37 /34   n/a    35 /31  27 /35

Kansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/3). Tested: Reps. Jerry Moran (R-01) and Todd Tiahrt (R-04).

General Election Matchups

J. Moran     51%
Generic Dem  26
Other         4
Undec        19

T. Tiahrt    50%
Generic Dem  29
Other         5
Undec        15

Fav/Unfav

J. Moran     59%/17%
T. Tiahrt    53 /27

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/4). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson    45% 44% 45% 40%    
J. Conway     35  40  35  40     
Other          7   3   7   3     
Undec         12  12  12  17

-             Now 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul       46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway     38  39  38  42
Other          4   3   4   4
Undec         12  11  12  15

-             Now 2/2 1/6 9/30   
T. Grayson    44% 49% 44% 44%    
D. Mongiardo  37  35  37  37     
Other          8   5   8   4     
Undec         11  11  11  14

-             Now 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul       49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo  35  37  35  38
Other          3   3   3   6
Undec         13  12  13  13

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/2     1/6     9/30
R. Paul       57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25% 51%/23%
T. Grayson    56 /21  61 /18  57 /21  53 /20
D. Mongiardo  43 /43  45 /43  44 /44  41 /43
J. Conway     40 /33  47 /32  46 /36  49 /27

Senate - Kansas (2010)

Senate (2010)
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 10/2-4 by SurveyUSA; surveyed 475 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 10/5). Party ID breakdown: 86%R, 14%I. Note: KS political parties decide before each primary whether it will be open or closed. Tested: Reps. Jerry Moran (R-01) and Todd Tiahrt (R-04).

Primary Election Matchup
-          All GOP Ind Men Wom 8/9
J. Moran   43% 42% 52% 45% 41% 38%
T. Tiahrt  27  28  16  25  29  32
Undec      30  30  32  30  30  40