A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).
Primary Runoff Election Matchup
R. Bentley 46%
B. Byrne 27
Fav/Unfav
R. Bentley 59%/ 9%
B. Byrne 43 /24
Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.
Primary Election Matchup
- All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer 76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick 17 17 18
Undec 7 5 10
New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).
General Election Matchups
- Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo 55% 56% 52% 55% 54% 57% 65%
R. Lazio 28 24 29 30 35 29 26
Other 4 6 6 5 5 6 5
Undec 13 14 13 10 7 9 5
- Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo 55% 55% 51% 56%
C. Paladino 25 25 28 27
Other 6 5 6 6
Undec 13 15 15 11
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17
A. Cuomo 63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio 49 /32 38 /38 46 /32 40 /34 45 /34 36 /44
C. Paladino 35 /32 27 /41 31 /31 30 /33 n/a n/a
Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).
General Election Matchup
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland 43% 81% 6% 40% 38% 47% 44% 43% 44% 40%
J. Kasich 38 4 81 37 46 32 38 38 39 40
Other 2 2 -- 4 2 3 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 2 1 2 1 2 -- 1 2 1
Undec 15 11 11 16 13 16 17 17 15 18
Strickland As Gov.
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47% 49% 48% 45% 48%
Disapprove 42 17 67 46 48 38 38 40 40 43 42
Fav/Unfav
- All Dem GOP Ind 4/26
T. Strickland 42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich 29 /19 6 /32 53 / 5 28 /19 27 /10
Strickland Handling Economy
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36% 35% 35% 33% 33%
Disapprove 54 27 73 61 57 51 53 52 53 52 54
Strickland Handling OH Budget
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve 31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36% 37% 32% 36% 32%
Disapprove 52 30 70 57 54 51 48 47 51 47 53
Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes 31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37% 36% 34% 32% 37% 34%
No 48 29 64 53 48 48 41 41 45 43 40 40
Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich 39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41% 38% 41% 41%
T. Strickland 38 68 11 34 35 40 39 38 35 33
No difference 4 3 3 6 4 4 2 2 2 --
Undec 19 19 14 19 14 23 18 22 22 27
Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich 41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40% 39% 42% 42%
T. Strickland 37 68 9 35 34 39 39 38 36 34
No difference 3 3 3 4 3 4 2 2 1 --
Undec 18 17 13 19 16 20 19 21 21 25
Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland 37% 69% 9% 33% 34% 40% 41% 40% 35%
J. Kasich 36 9 71 35 40 32 35 35 36
No difference 8 7 6 12 8 9 7 5 6
Undec 19 15 14 20 18 19 18 20 22
Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland 39% 73% 8% 36% 35% 42% 42% 42% 40%
J. Kasich 38 10 75 37 45 33 36 34 36
No difference 4 3 2 6 4 4 3 2 3
Undec 19 14 15 20 16 21 19 22 21
Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).
Special Election Matchup
- Now 4/8
G. Herbert 58% 57%
P. Corroon 31 29
Other 2 4
Undec 8 10
Herbert As Gov.
- Now 4/8
Approve 72% 70%
Disapprove 25 27
Fav/Unfav
- Now 4/8
G. Herbert 70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon 50 /32 47 /35
Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).
General Election Matchups
M. Mead 49% M. Mead 51%
L. Petersen 22 P. Gosar 23
Other 13 Other 14
Undec 16 Undec 12
R. Meyer 51% R. Meyer 52%
L. Petersen 23 P. Gosar 23
Other 11 Other 12
Undec 15 Undec 13
R. Micheli 47% R. Micheli 46%
L. Petersen 27 P. Gosar 28
Other 11 Other 13
Undec 15 Undec 14
C. Simpson 44% C. Simpson 51%
L. Petersen 28 P. Gosar 24
Other 14 Other 12
Undec 15 Undec 13
Fav/Unfav
- Now 3/25
M. Mead 55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson 52 /24 56 /20
R. Meyer 44 /33 50 /20
R. Micheli 40 /29 38 /18
L. Petersen 33 /36 n/a
P. Gosar 31 /32 n/a
