Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R). (Note: Portions of this poll appeared in 6/17's Hotline.)

General Election Matchup

-         Now 5/19
M. Beebe  57% 53%
J. Keet   33  38
Other      1   1
Undec      9   7

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     5/19
M. Beebe  72%/25% 68%/31%
J. Keet   45 /30  47 /27

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 6/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,617 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.4%. Subsample of 500 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 27%I. Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), '06 indie SEN candidate/'04/'08 MN-02 candidate/businessman Peter Idusogie (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                     All Men Wom
M. Dayton             39% 42% 35%
M. Anderson Kelliher  26  22  30
M. Entenza            22  24  19
P. Idusogie            3   4   2
Undec                 11   8  14

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
T. Emmer              35%  7% 72% 30% 41% 29% 41%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  64   6  25  29  36  33
T. Horner             12   9   8  22  14  10   9
Undec                 21  21  14  23  16  25  17

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
M. Dayton             38% 69%  9% 29% 34% 41% 34%
T. Emmer              35   7  73  30  42  29  42
T. Horner             12  10   7  21  14  10   9
Undec                 15  14  10  19  10  20  15

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
T. Emmer              37%  8% 78% 31% 44% 30% 42%
M. Entenza            33  61   7  25  31  35  31
T. Horner             12  12   5  21  12  11  10
Undec                 18  19  10  23  13  24  16

Oklahoma
A SoonerPoll.com poll; conducted 5/25-6/9; surveyed 318 Dem primary LVs and 324 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.5% and 5.4%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: LG Jari Askins (D), AG Drew Edmondson (D), state Sen. Randy Brogdon (R), Rep. Mary Fallin (R-05), rancher/businessman Robert Hubbard (R) and retired businessman Roger Jackson (R). (Note: Interviews for the Dem primary poll ended on 6/8).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 4/15 1/5 4/09
D. Edmondson  37% 40% 35% 40%  46% 29%
J. Askins     36  34  37  35   36  34
Undec         27  26  28  25   18  38

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 4/15 1/5
M. Fallin     59% 63% 56% 62%  68%
R. Brogdon    10   7  12  13   16
R. Jackson     2   1   3  n/a  n/a
R. Hubbard     1   2   1  n/a  n/a
Undec         28  27  29  25   16

Tennessee
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R) and LG Ron Ramsey (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/22
B. Haslam     50% 45%
M. McWherter  32  27
Other          5   5
Undec         14  23

-             Now 3/22
R. Ramsey     44% 43%
M. McWherter  33  29
Other          7   5
Undec         16  23

-             Now 3/22
Z. Wamp       44% 41%
M. McWherter  33  31
Other          8   7
Undec         14  22

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/22
B. Haslam     66%/17% 53%/18%
Z. Wamp       51 /29  42 /27
R. Ramsey     46 /30  43 /23
M. McWherter  45 /38  34 /32

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/13 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    48% 51%  48%  49% 48% 50%
B. White    40  38   44   43  39  40
Other        5   4    2    3   5   4
Undec        8   6    6    6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 5/13 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     53% 55%  59%  54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  45  42   40   44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/13    4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
B. White    55%/36% 47%/41% 54%/36% 54%/34% 46%/38% 49%/35%
R. Perry    53 /45  55 /43  59 /37  54 /46  54 /44  55 /42

House 2010

HI-01
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/11-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16) Tested: ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 30%R, 31%I.

Special Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Asn Oth
C. Djou      32%  5% 72% 28% 38% 26% 47% 26% 22%
E. Case      29  44   8  29  28  30  26  32  28
C. Hanabusa  28  46   4  28  24  32  17  31  37
Other         4   3   4   6   5   3   4   3   5
Undec         7   2  12   9   5   9   6   8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama     61%/35% 85%/12% 24%/72% 66%/29% 57%/39% 65%/31%
E. Case      47 /25  71 /13  18 /45  44 /22  44 /27  50 /23
C. Djou      40 /27  20 /44  68 / 9  39 /23  43 /25  37 /29
C. Hanabusa  37 /31  55 /17  18 /48  33 /31  35 /34  39 /28

FL-10
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/5-8 for state Sen. Charlie Justice (D); surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/14). Tested: Justice and Rep. Bill Young (R).

General Election Matchup

C.W. Young    49%
C. Justice    34

Re-Elect Young?

Re-elect him  47%
Someone new   41

TN-04
An OnMessage Inc. (R) poll; conducted 3/21-22 for the TN GOP; surveyed 300 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.9% (Humphrey, "Humphrey on the Hill," Knoxville News, 4/16). Tested: Rep. Lincoln Davis (D), atty/ex-Rep. Akin CoS Jack Bailey (R) and physician Scott DesJarlais (R).

General Election Matchups

L. Davis        44%
J. Bailey       33

L. Davis        44%
S. DesJarlais   33

Generic GOPer   44%
Generic Dem     29

Fav/Unfav

L. Davis    45%/30%
B. Obama    34 /60
N. Pelosi   21 /66

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.  20%
Wrong dir.  70

House 2010

PA-12
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 3/14-15 for businessman Tim Burns (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (McNulty, "Early Returns," Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, 4/13). Tested: Burns and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

T. Burns    45%
M. Critz    41
Undec       13

Obama As POTUS

Approve     42%
Disapprove  57

Dem Congress

Approve     33%
Disapprove  65

Dem Health Care Plan

Approve     30%
Disapprove  64

TN-08
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 4/5-6 for farmer/gospel singer Stephen Fincher (R); surveyed 401 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/12). Tested: Fincher, physician/TV station owner George Flinn (R), physician Ron Kirkland (R), Randy Smith (R) and Bennie Watts (R).

Primary Election Matchup

S. Fincher   40%
R. Kirkland  17
G. Flinn      7
Others        4
Undec        32

Governor 2010

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 3/9-16; surveyed 1,102 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 410 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 3/25). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 1/19
M. Whitman  61% 61% 61% 41%
S. Poizner  11  10  13  11
Other        3   3   2   4
Undec       25  26  24  44

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    46% 73% 17% 41% 41% 50% 44%  47%
S. Poizner  31   7  60  28  36  26  29   31
Undec       23  20  23  31  23  24  27   21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19 12/8
M. Whitman  44% 17% 77% 43% 49% 40% 36%  37%
J. Brown    39  65  10  37  34  43  41   43
Undec       17  18  13  20  17  17  23   20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?

-                   Now 1/19 12/8
Very closely        17% 11%  10%
Fairly closely      46  34   33
Not too closely     28  42   36
Not at all closely   8  12   20

In General, Would You Say You Are Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Your Choice Of Candidates In The 6/8 Primary?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied       46% 47% 51% 39% 45% 48%
Not satisfied   38  38  35  41  40  37

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/25). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  47% 48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      36  35   35  39    35    34
Other         5   4    5   5     5     7
Undec        12  12   13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum  51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink      37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30  50 /32

Tennessee
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/24). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), ex-state House Maj. Leader Kim McMillan (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R) and LG Ron Ramsey (R).

General Election Matchups

B. Haslam     46%             B. Haslam     45%
K. McMillan   26              M. McWherter  27
Other          5              Other          5
Undec         23              Undec         23

R. Ramsey     43%             R. Ramsey     43%
K. McMillan   25              M. McWherter  29
Other          8              Other          5
Undec         24              Undec         23

Z. Wamp       42%             Z. Wamp       41%
K. McMillan   29              M. McWherter  31
Other          5              Other          7
Undec         25              Undec         22

Fav/Unfav

B. Haslam     53%/18%
R. Ramsey     43 /23
Z. Wamp       42 /27
M. McWherter  34 /32
K. McMillan   33 /26

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/23). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 31%R, 35%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
M. Neumann  43%  8% 82% 43% 48% 39% 39%
T. Barrett  38  78   7  26  34  40  41
Undec       19  15  12  31  18  21  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
S. Walker   42%  7% 82% 41% 49% 37% 40%
T. Barrett  39  80   5  29  36  41  40
Undec       19  13  13  30  15  22  20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/22
S. Walker   31%/27% 14%/39% 49%/11% 31%/28% 30%/25%
T. Barrett  29 /22  44 /13  13 /38  28 /17  31 /21
M. Neumann  24 /27  13 /40  31 /15  30 /24  16 /27

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  22  24  29  28   30

Georgia
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/26-28; surveyed 596 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/2). Party ID breakdown: 40%R, 39%D, 21%I. Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes    43% 81% 12% 32% 39% 47% 30% 83% 48%
N. Deal      38   7  67  39  44  31  49   5  32
Undec        19  13  20  29  16  22  21  13  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes    41% 77% 10% 34% 40% 42% 27% 81% 48%
K. Handel    36   7  64  39  39  34  47   5  32
Undec        23  16  26  28  21  24  26  14  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes    40% 77% 10% 28% 38% 43% 28% 75% 46%
J. Oxendine  39   8  69  42  43  35  51   6  27
Undec        21  15  21  30  19  22  21  19  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Deal      40%  9% 73% 35% 45% 35% 52%  6% 34%
T. Baker     29  62   2  20  27  31  17  66  39
Undec        30  28  25  45  27  33  32  28  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
K. Handel    40% 11% 71% 35% 42% 38% 50% 10% 36%
T. Baker     33  67   4  24  31  35  20  69  43
Undec        27  22  25  41  27  27  29  21  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. Oxendine  42% 11% 75% 38% 47% 37% 53% 11% 29%
T. Baker     33  69   7  18  32  34  21  68  46
Undec        25  20  19  45  21  28  26  21  25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Barnes    36%/33% 58%/18% 17%/48% 33%/33% 34%/42% 38%/24%
J. Oxendine  33 /29  27 /35  41 /23  32 /30  35 /34  32 /25
T. Baker     20 /21  31 /18  12 /26  14 /17  19 /28  20 /14
K. Handel    18 /20  16 /25  20 /17  18 /16  20 /23  16 /18
N. Deal      12 /17   9 /19  17 /15  10 /17  14 /23  11 /11

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/1-2; surveyed 1,237 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/3).

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21 5/11
Approve      70% 74% 62% 72% 71% 74%   71%   74%  73%  68%
Disapprove   16  12  25  16  15  12    11    10   12   12

Do You Think Cuomo Should Investigate Allegations That The Paterson Admin. Improperly Interfered In A Case Of Possible Domestic Abuse, Or Do You Think A Special Prosecutor Independent Of Cuomo Should Be Named?

-                    All Dem GOP Ind
Special prosecutor   61% 56% 64% 66%
A. Cuomo             25  28  27  21
Undec                13  16   9  13

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

-            Now 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     30  35   29    26
Other         5   5    6     5
Undec        10   7    9     5

A. Cuomo     56%
C. Paladino  27
Other         6
Undec        11

A. Cuomo     50%
R. Lazio     19
C. Paladino  15
Undec        16

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14    5/14
A. Cuomo     64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32% 65%/29%
R. Lazio     40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49   n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/22-28; surveyed 1,452 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsamples of 649 Dems and 605 GOPers; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 3/3). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   16% 16% 16%
J. Wagner    11  13   9
J. Hoeffel   10  13   8
T. Williams   2   1   2
Other         1   1   1
Not vote      2   1   3
Undec        59  55  61

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Corbett   43% 47% 39%
S. Rohrer     5   6   4
Other        --  --  --
Not vote      2   3   1
Undec        49  44  55

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14
T. Corbett   41% 15% 75% 39% 49% 34% 46%
J. Hoeffel   30  61   3  20  27  32  30
Other         1  --   1   1   1  --   1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Undec        27  23  21  37  21  33  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   42% 15% 77% 40% 50% 34% 45%   47%
D. Onorato   32  64   3  23  28  36  30    28
Other         1  --   1   1   1  --   1     1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   1   1   1     1
Undec        24  19  19  33  20  28  22    24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   42% 14% 76% 40% 48% 36% 43%   44%
J. Wagner    30  63   4  19  30  30  33    29
Other         1  --   1   1   1   1   1     1
Not vote      1   1  --   2  --   2   1     1
Undec        26  22  19  37  20  32  23    25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/14   9/28
T. Corbett   43%/ 7% 32%/11% 62%/ 3% 39%/ 9% 43%/ 6% 43%/ 7%
J. Wagner    20 / 7  29 / 4  14 / 8  18 / 7  22 / 5  22 / 6
D. Onorato   20 / 8  29 / 5  10 /11  17 / 9  18 / 9  17 /11
J. Hoeffel   15 / 7  20 / 5   9 / 8  15 / 6  13 / 7  13 / 7
S. Rohrer     5 / 3   3 / 2   7 / 4   4 / 3   n/a     n/a
T. Williams   3 / 2   5 / 1   1 / 2   2 / 2   n/a     n/a

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will During The Campaign? (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   19% 19% 20%
J. Wagner    15  21  11
J. Hoeffel   14  16  13
T. Williams   4   3   4
No diff.      5   4   5
Undec        43  37  47

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   18% 17% 18%
J. Wagner    14  20  10
J. Hoeffel   13  16  11
T. Williams   4   4   4
No diff.      3   3   4
Undec        48  40  54

Tennessee
A MTSU poll; conducted 2/15-27; surveyed 634 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/3).

Fav/Unfav

B. Haslem     12%/ 5%
Z. Wamp       10 /10
M. McWherter   6 / 6
R. Ramsey      5 / 6
B. Gibbons     4 / 3
K. McMillan    3 / 4
J. Kyle        2 / 5

Governor - Tennessee (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 10/19-20 for businessman Mike McWherter (D); surveyed 602 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/17). Tested: McWherter, businessman Ward Cammack, state Sen. Roy Herron, state Senate Min. Leader Jim Kyle and ex-state House Maj. Leader Kim McMillan.

Primary Election Matchup
M. McWherter  26%
R. Herron      6
K. McMillan    6
J. Kyle        5
W. Cammack     1
Undec         56

Tennessee - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 7/13; surveyed 604 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Subsample of 261 RVs in the Dem primary and 343 RVs in the GOP primary (release, 7/14). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), state Sen. Roy Herron (D), state Senate Min. Leader Jim Kyle (D), businessman Ward Cammack (D), ex-state House Maj. Leader Kim McMillan (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R), LG Ron Ramsey (R) and Shelby Co. DA Bill Gibbons (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
M. McWherter  23%
R. Herron     13
J. Kyle        6
W. Cammack     5
K. McMillan    3
Undec.        50

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
Z. Wamp       22%
B. Haslam     15
R. Ramsey      7
B. Gibbons     4
Undec.        52