Governor 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Brown      45%
M. Whitman    39
Other          3
Undec         14

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?

-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal  32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit   28  28  26  25
Only some     26  28  25  23
Very little   11  12   8  20
No interest    4   3   3  10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D), LG Duke Aiona (R) and '02 candidate/'00 SEN nominee/'02/'03 HI-02 candidate/ex-state Sen./ex-HI GOP chair John Carroll (R).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 3/24
N. Abercrombie  58% 54%
D. Aiona        32  31
Other            3   6
Undec            6   9

-               Now 3/24
M. Hannemann    52% 50%
D. Aiona        30  29
Other            9  14
Undec            9   7

N. Abercrombie  59%
J. Carroll      30
Other            4
Undec            6

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     3/24
N. Abercrombie  62%/33% 63%/33%
M. Hannemann    58 /35  57 /39
D. Aiona        49 /41  50 /41
J. Carroll      27 /35   n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
J. Kasich      43% 16% 73% 45% 44% 43% 42%  42%  39%
T. Strickland  41  72  12  26  42  40  37   44   45
Undec          16  12  14  28  14  17  21   14   16

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
Approve        37% 61%  9% 36% 37% 36% 33%  43%  48%
Disapprove     48  22  79  47  50  47  47   42   35

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
J. Kasich  28%/30% 13%/41% 46%/19% 30%/29% 25%/24% 31%/30%

Senate 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup

B. Boxer      45%
C. Fiorina    41
Other          1
Undec         13

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?

-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal  32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit   28  28  26  25
Only some     26  28  25  23
Very little   11  12   8  20
No interest    4   3   3  10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and social worker John Roco (R).

General Election Matchup

D. Inouye  68%
J. Roco    20
Other       3
Undec       8

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/24
D. Inouye  73%/23% 76%/20%
J. Roco    19 /35   n/a

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/2 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt     48% 45% 50% 48% 47% 49%  49%  44%   46%
R. Carnahan  43  44  42  42  41  42   43   46    46
Other         3   4   4   3   4   3    3    4     2
Undec         6   6   4   7   8   6    5    6     5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/2     5/3     4/6     3/9     2/10
R. Blunt     54%/33% 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40%
R. Carnahan  51 /42  52 /40  48 /47  47 /46  47 /48  49 /45

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/30). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
L. Fisher   42% 84%  6% 37% 37% 46% 40%  41%  37%  36%  42%
R. Portman  40   5  81  39  49  32  37   37   40   39   31
Other        1  --  --   2   2  --   1    1   --   --    1
Not vote     1   1  --   1  --   1   1    1    2    1    1
Undec       17   9  13  21  11  21  21   21   21   24   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     41% 58% 26% 39% 39% 42% 42%  43%  39%  39%  44%
Disapprove  26  10  39  31  33  21  27   23   22   23   21

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26    3/29
L. Fisher   28%/17% 48%/ 4%  9%/31% 25%/20% 27%/13% 27%/13%
R. Portman  26 / 7   9 /12  46 / 2  24 / 7  25 / 8  25 / 8

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29
Support     46% 85% 11% 41% 41% 50% 45%  44%
Oppose      48  11  86  50  54  43  48   46

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do More In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  33% 12% 62% 32% 44% 24%
L. Fisher   30  55   6  27  28  31
No diff      5   3   3   7   5   5
Undec       33  31  29  34  23  41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman  36% 12% 67% 34% 47% 27%
L. Fisher   31  58   7  26  29  33
No diff      3   2   2   5   3   4
Undec       30  27  24  34  22  37

House 2010

HI-01
A Merriman River Group (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6-7 for CivilBeat.com; surveyed 1,081 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/10). Tested: Ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R).

Special Election Matchup

C. Djou      40%
E. Case      26
C. Hanabusa  26

FL-02
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 4/12-13 for the NRCC; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/11). Tested: Rep. Allen Boyd (D) and funeral home chain owner Steve Southerland (R).

General Election Matchup

S. Southerland  52%
A. Boyd         37

Generic GOPer   48%
Generic Dem     35

Re-Elect Boyd?

Deserves re-election    26%
New person              61

Fav/Unfav

A. Boyd         34%/48%
N. Pelosi       25 /58
S. Southerland  14 / 2

WA-02
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 4/20-21 for Snohomish Co. councilor/'00 nominee John Koster (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/10). Tested: Koster and Rep. Rick Larsen (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Larsen   44%
J. Koster   37
Undec       12

House 2010

HI-01
A Honolulu Advertiser/Hawai'i News Now poll; conducted 4/23-28 by Ward Research; surveyed 349 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 5/2). Tested: Ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 56%D, 23%R, 20%I.

Special Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Djou      37% 19% 79% 42% 40% 34%
E. Case      29  37  11  29  30  29
C. Hanabusa  22  34   4  11  22  23
Undec        11  10   6  18   8  15

PA-12
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/27-29 for the DCCC; surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Burns, Politico, 5/3). Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

M. Critz  43%
T. Burns  41

MD-01
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/25-26 for Americans for Prosperity (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: Rep. Frank Kratovil (D), '08 nominee/state Sen. Andy Harris (R) and Richard Davis (L).

General Election Matchup

A. Harris    39%
F. Kratovil  36
R. Davis      6
Other         1
Undec        18

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.   30%
Wrong dir.   62

What Is The Most Important Issue To You In Deciding How To Vote?

Economy/jobs                 28%
Taxes/spending               18
Health care                  12
Budget deficit                9
Education                     7
Social Security/Medicare      6
Moral values                  6
Wars in Iraq/Afghanistan      4
Terrorism/homeland security   2
Illegal immigration           2
The environment               2
None                          1

Do You Favor/Oppose The Health Care Bill Recently Signed Into Law By Obama?

Favor   35%
Oppose  58

NY-13
A Global Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/7-11 for Rep. Mike McMahon (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: McMahon, enviro atty Michael Allegretti (R) and ex-FBI agent Michael Grimm (R).

General Election Matchups

M. McMahon     56%
M. Allegretti  24
Undec          20

M. McMahon     56%
M. Grimm       23
Undec          21

House 2010

HI-01
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/11-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16) Tested: ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 30%R, 31%I.

Special Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Asn Oth
C. Djou      32%  5% 72% 28% 38% 26% 47% 26% 22%
E. Case      29  44   8  29  28  30  26  32  28
C. Hanabusa  28  46   4  28  24  32  17  31  37
Other         4   3   4   6   5   3   4   3   5
Undec         7   2  12   9   5   9   6   8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama     61%/35% 85%/12% 24%/72% 66%/29% 57%/39% 65%/31%
E. Case      47 /25  71 /13  18 /45  44 /22  44 /27  50 /23
C. Djou      40 /27  20 /44  68 / 9  39 /23  43 /25  37 /29
C. Hanabusa  37 /31  55 /17  18 /48  33 /31  35 /34  39 /28

FL-10
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/5-8 for state Sen. Charlie Justice (D); surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/14). Tested: Justice and Rep. Bill Young (R).

General Election Matchup

C.W. Young    49%
C. Justice    34

Re-Elect Young?

Re-elect him  47%
Someone new   41

TN-04
An OnMessage Inc. (R) poll; conducted 3/21-22 for the TN GOP; surveyed 300 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.9% (Humphrey, "Humphrey on the Hill," Knoxville News, 4/16). Tested: Rep. Lincoln Davis (D), atty/ex-Rep. Akin CoS Jack Bailey (R) and physician Scott DesJarlais (R).

General Election Matchups

L. Davis        44%
J. Bailey       33

L. Davis        44%
S. DesJarlais   33

Generic GOPer   44%
Generic Dem     29

Fav/Unfav

L. Davis    45%/30%
B. Obama    34 /60
N. Pelosi   21 /66

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.  20%
Wrong dir.  70

Governor 2010

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Ex-Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D) and LG Duke Aiona (R).

General Election Matchups

N. Abercrombie  54%           M. Hannemann    50%
D. Aiona        31            D. Aiona        29
Other            6            Other           14
Undec            9            Undec            7

Fav/Unfav

N. Abercrombie  63%/33%
M. Hannemann    57 /39
D. Aiona        50 /41

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/28). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

D. Denish        52%
J. Arnold-Jones  30
Other             6
Undec            12

D. Denish        52%
P. Domenici Jr.  35
Other             6
Undec             6

D. Denish        51%
S. Martinez      32
Other             7
Undec            10

D. Denish        43%
D. Turner        34
Other             7
Undec            16

D. Denish        45%
A. Weh           35
Other             7
Undec            13

Fav/Unfav

D. Denish        55%/43%
P. Domenici Jr.  44 /39
D. Turner        33 /30
A. Weh           33 /31
S. Martinez      30 /29
J. Arnold-Jones  26 /32

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/25; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/29). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 2/25
L. Chafee      39% 37%
F. Caprio      28  27
J. Robitaille  22  19
Undec          11  17

-              Now 2/25
L. Chafee      37% 38%
J. Robitaille  26  22
P. Lynch       22  24
Undec          15  16

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/25
L. Chafee      57%/37% 55%/37%
F. Caprio      53 /29  52 /28
P. Lynch       45 /41  37 /48
J. Robitaille  35 /29  31 /31

Senate 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 3/23-25; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4/9% (release, 3/26). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-         Now 6/26 5/18
M. Rubio  48% 23%  18%
C. Crist  37  51   53
Undec     15  26   29

General Election Matchups

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 6/26 5/18
C. Crist  50% 36% 69% 43% 51% 49% 48%  55%
K. Meek   26  45   6  24  24  28  26   24
Undec     24  19  25  33  25  23  26   21

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Rubio  44% 16% 72% 50% 47% 41%
K. Meek   29  55   3  23  29  29
Undec     27  29  25  27  24  30

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     6/26    5/18
C. Crist  37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15%
M. Rubio  27 /17  18 /11  13 / 5
K. Meek   15 / 8  11 / 5  11 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-         Now     6/26    5/18
M. Rubio  42%/10  24%/ 5% 20%/ 2%
C. Crist  37 /32  49 /22  50 /19

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and Gov. Linda Lingle (R).

General Election Matchup

D. Inouye   65%
L. Lingle   25
Other        3
Undec        6

Lingle As Gov.

Approve     45%
Disapprove  52

Fav/Unfav

D. Inouye   76%/20%
L. Lingle   45 /54

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 3/29).

Schumer As Sen.

-               All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10
Excellent/good  51% 67% 33% 45% 53%  47%  51%  54%   58%
Fair/poor       45  29  64  52  43   48   42   42    39

A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 217 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 3/29). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and ex-Bush foreign policy adviser Dan Senor (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      62% 71% 51%
J. DioGuardi    7   2  13
B. Blakeman     4   2   5
D. Malpass      2   2   2
D. Senor        2   3   1
Undec          23  20  27

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi   18% 12% 25%
B. Blakeman    10  12   6
D. Malpass      9   8  10
D. Senor        4   6   3
Undec          59  62  56

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27
K. Gillibrand  54% 75% 26% 52% 51% 58% 58%  52%
B. Blakeman    25   8  53  23  31  19  28   30
Undec          21  17  22  25  18  23  14   18

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  54% 74% 24% 53% 52% 55%
J. DioGuardi   27  10  55  24  32  21
Undec          19  16  21  23  15  24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  54% 74% 27% 50% 51% 57%
D. Malpass     25   9  50  25  31  19
Undec          21  17  23  25  18  24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17
G. Pataki      47% 26% 74% 51% 52% 42% 48%  49%  42%  47%
K. Gillibrand  45  64  19  41  42  48  45   43   45   45
Undec           8   9   7   8   6  11   7    8   13    8

Gillibrand As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good 27% 34% 19% 24% 25%  24%  24%  25%   26%  24%
Fair/poor      51  43  61  52  53   51   51   51    47   43