Governor 2010

New Mexico
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 542 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 35%R, 12%I. Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez  44% 20% 82% 41% 53% 36%
D. Denish    43  61   8  36  36  48
Undec        14  14  10  23  11  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Martinez  45%/34% 30%/47% 72%/ 9% 31%/46% 52%/32% 39%/35%
D. Denish    40 /41  59 /19  13 /73  36 /43  34 /51  45 /32

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
T. Corbett   45% 21% 74% 44% 47% 43% 45%
D. Onorato   35  57  12  20  34  36  32
Undec        20  22  14  36  19  21  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
T. Corbett   31%/19% 19%/24% 46%/13% 24%/17% 27%/20%
D. Onorato   22 /25  33 /15  11 /35  12 /26  15 /13

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      55% 52%
S. Bartlett   29  26
Other          8   7
Undec          9  14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      47% 46%
D. Markowitz  40  39
Other          6   4
Undec          8  10

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      52% 51%
M. Dunne      32  29
Other          7   6
Undec         10  14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      51% 48%
D. Racine     36  35
Other          5   5
Undec          7  12

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      55% 51%
P. Shumlin    36  33
Other          6   6
Undec          4  10

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/18
B. Dubie      61%/30% 61%/29%
D. Markowitz  55 /30  53 /33
D. Racine     48 /34  45 /33
P. Shumlin    43 /41  37 /45
M. Dunne      38 /31  29 /42
S. Bartlett   31 /38  29 /42

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  47% 44%  46%  46%  44%     
T. Barrett  39  42   46   42   42
Other        7   6    4    4    4
Undec        7   8    5    8   10

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker   49% 48%  46%  48%  49%
T. Barrett  41  41   44   42   40
Other        3   3    3    2    1
Undec        7   8    7    8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker   51%/35% 52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  49 /37  48 /31  53 /31  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  42 /44  48 /36  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 501 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Branstad       57%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
Undec              6

Fav/Unfav

T. Branstad       75%/21%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19
R. Roberts        29 /11

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Experience To Do The Job?

T. Branstad       75%
B. Vander Plaats  13
R. Roberts         4
None of these      2
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Defeat Culver In The Nov. General Election?

T. Branstad       69%
B. Vander Plaats  17
R. Roberts         5
None of these      3
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Ideas For Bringing New Jobs To IA?

T. Branstad       52%
B. Vander Plaats  22
R. Roberts         7
None of these      3
Undec             16

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Cut The Amount Iowans Pay In Taxes?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  23
R. Roberts         8
None of these      4
Undec             17

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Curb Gov't Spending?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  27
R. Roberts         8
None of these      3
Undec             14

Which Candidate Stands Out As Most Committed To Making Decisions For Common Good That May Not Be Popular?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
None of these      2
Undec             13

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Freshest Iseas And New Approaches To IA's Problems?

T. Branstad       40%
B. Vander Plaats  34
R. Roberts        11
None of these      3
Undec             12

If Your Choice Is Not The Nominee, How Likely Is It You Will Support The Winner Of The Primary Against Culver In Nov.?

Definitely vote for GOP candidate          50%
Probably vote for GOP candidate            25
Might or might not vote for GOP candidate  10
Probably will not vote for GOP candidate    8
Undec/no candidate choice                   7

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   47% 41% 54% 45%  39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    33  41  24  27   25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   6   6   6    7   9    7   6    4    3
Others         1   1   1   1   --  n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         12  10  14  21   29  24   31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
R. Reid       44% 77%  7% 44% 38% 50% 42% 42%  43% 48%  49%
J. Gibbons    38  11  71  35  46  30  40  38   36  34   37
Other          2   1   3   3   1   2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           5   4   6   7   6   4  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         11   7  13  11   9  14  18  20   21  18   14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
B. Sandoval   51% 19% 84% 57% 56% 46% 50% 51%  53% 49%  50%
R. Reid       37  68   5  31  34  40  35  29   31  34   33
Other          1   1   1   1   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           1   2  --   2   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         10  10  10   9   8  12  15  20   16  17   17

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8
B. Sandoval   44%/20% 34%/12% 33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%
R. Reid       29 /37  21 /33  22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29
J. Gibbons    27 /47  15 /54  17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             Now     5/11
B. Sandoval   49%/15% 43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /38  33 /41
M. Montandon  17 / 8  19 / 5

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 5/25 3/24
S. Martinez  44% 42%  32%
D. Denish    42  43   51
Other         4   3    7
Undec        10  12   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    3/24
S. Martinez  55%/34% 57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish    51 /41  53 /41  55 /43

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  33  36   36   29   26   28
Other        5   4    8    7    5    7
Undec       13  10   11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  59%/25% 57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  45 /35  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/5-6; surveyed 998 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 6/6). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/23
N. Haley     43% 47% 39% 39%
G. Barrett   23  22  24  16
H. McMaster  16  16  15  18
A. Bauer     12  11  13  13
Undec         7   5   9  14

Primary Runoff Election Matchups

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     51% 56% 46%
G. Barrett   35  31  39
Undec        14  12  15

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     62% 66% 58%
A. Bauer     26  24  29
Undec        12  10  13

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     54% 58% 49%
H. McMaster  35  34  35
Undec        12   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/23
N. Haley     58%/23% 63%/20% 53%/26% 47%/13%
H. McMaster  45 /28  48 /28  42 /28  43 /22
G. Barrett   44 /19  41 /25  48 /13  28 /18
A. Bauer     29 /52  25 /55  33 /49  26 /49

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/10
M. Whitman  46% 41% 51% 52%
S. Poizner  36  42  30  19
Undec       18  17  19  29

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    46% 78%  7% 42% 41% 51% 45%  42%
M. Whitman  42  10  84  43  48  36  41   36
Undec       12  12   9  15  11  13  14   22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    47% 79%  8% 43% 41% 53% 48%  43%
S. Poizner  37   8  78  38  44  30  33   34
Undec       16  13  14  19  15  17  19   23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
J. Brown    48%/43% 78%/16% 11%/81% 45%/41% 52%/40% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  47 /38  25 /58  75 /13  49 /35  51 /35  41 /30
S. Poizner  39 /43  18 /61  68 /20  39 /42  37 /40  35 /27

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), CFO Alex Sink (D), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  46%
R. Scott     22
P. Dockery    3
Other         1
Not vote      4
Undec        25

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind
B. McCollum  34% 11% 65% 26%
A. Sink      32  61  10  26
Other         4   2   4   5
Not vote      4   2   2  12
Undec        26  24  19  31

Idaho
An Idaho Statesman/KBOI-TV poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter, '02/'06 candidate/anti-abortion activist Walt Bayes, ret. systems analyst/comedian Ron "Pete" Peterson, '08 indie SEN candidate/ex-elk rancher Rex Rammell, Ada Co. Commis. Sharon Ullman and hair salon owner Tamara Wells.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Otter     60%
R. Rammell    6
S. Ullman     4
R. Peterson   3
W. Bayes      1
T. Wells      1
Undec        25

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/15 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 36% 23% 29%  45%
C. Paladino  16  17  15  13   n/a
S. Levy      14  11  16  15   16
Undec        41  25  46  43   40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9
A. Cuomo     66% 84% 37% 59% 61%  59%  63% 63%  66%  68%
R. Lazio     24   8  55  27  24   21   25  26   24   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        10   8   8  14  16   17   11  11   10   10

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo     65% 81% 44% 58% 58%  63%
S. Levy      22   8  43  26  23   16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   4
Undec        13  10  13  16  19   17

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15
A. Cuomo     65% 80% 42% 59% 64%
C. Paladino  22   8  46  26  19
Undec        13  12  12  15  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15    3/18
A. Cuomo     67%/21% 76%/12% 58%/30% 60%/29% 66%/18% 63%/22%
R. Lazio     31 /29  26 /38  37 /17  35 /25  29 /25  29 /27
S. Levy      21 /12  21 /12  17 /14  26 / 8  21 /16  16 /16
C. Paladino  15 /10  13 /11  19 / 7  15 / 8  11 /13   n/a

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  36  36   29   26   28
Other        4   8    7    5    7
Undec       10  11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

Governor 2010

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/23
B. Otter    54% 60%
K. Allred   32  28
Other        5   3
Undec        9   9

Otter As Gov.

-           Now 3/23
Approve     55% 60%
Disapprove  42  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/23
B. Otter    56%/36% 62%/35%
K. Allred   37 /32  34 /34

New Mexico
An Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 5/11-13 by Research & Polling Inc.; surveyed 503 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Olson, Albuquerque Journal, 5/16). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

A. Weh           31%
S. Martinez      30
P. Domenici      10
D. Turner         6
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            20

Oregon
A Lindholm Company (R) poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/14). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley, CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin, '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright, ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley, '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan, '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr, '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim, '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins.

Primary Election Matchup

A. Alley     29%
C. Dudley    26
J. Lim       10
B. Sizemore   4
Other         2
Undec        29

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   39% 39% 38% 38%  36% 20% 16%
T. Williams  11  11  11  10    8   5   2
J. Wagner    10  13   8  11    8  13  11
J. Hoeffel    9  10   8   9    9  15  10
Other        --   1  --   1    1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --  --   --  --   2
Undec        31  27  35  32   37  47  59

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
D. Onorato   42%/ 9% 44%/ 9% 41%/ 9% 43%/ 9% 46%/ 5% 27%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 7  25 / 8  17 / 6  19 / 6  17 / 6  20 / 5
J. Hoeffel   16 / 9  18 /12  14 / 7  15 / 7  15 / 6  18 / 4
T. Williams  16 /14  16 /17  16 /11  16 /10  17 / 7   6 / 3

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
D. Onorato   39% 38%  39%  39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34%
T. Williams  15  14   14   14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8
J. Wagner    10  11   11    9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9
J. Hoeffel    9  10   11   11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12
Other/undec  26  26   25   27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
D. Onorato   47%/12% 45%/12% 46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11%
T. Williams  32 /19  30 /17  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13
J. Wagner    24 /13  24 /12  24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9
J. Hoeffel   22 /12  23 /11  25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    51% 48%  49% 48% 50%
B. White    38  44   43  39  40
Other        4   2    3   5   4
Undec        6   6    6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     55% 59%  54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  42  40   44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    55%/43% 59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    47 /41  54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Strategy Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Baselice & Assoc. (R); surveyed 1,005 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/13). Tested: Ex-state Community College chancellor Bradley Byrne (R), ex-AL Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R), real estate developer Tim James (R), ex-AL Economic Development dir. Bill Johnson (R) and state Rep. Robert Bentley (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/4
B. Byrne    24% 27% 21% 20%
T. James    23  24  23   8
R. Moore    18  19  17  17
R. Bentley  12  11  12   4
B. Johnson   2   2   2   2
K. Ivey     n/a n/a n/a  3
Undec       21  16  25  46

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/13). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Beebe  62% 83% 35% 66% 58% 66%
J. Keet   19   5  41  13  23  15
Undec     19  12  24  21  19  19

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/24    12/2
M. Beebe  64%/24% 84%/ 8% 37%/52% 68%/13% 67%/23% 64%/24%
J. Keet   22 /10   9 /17  38 / 4  20 / 8   n/a     n/a

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   45% 42% 49% 39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    27  34  18  25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   7   5   7   9    7   6    4    3
T. Atwood      1   2  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
S. Lusak      --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Others        n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         21  15  28  29  24   31  37   35   46

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval   43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /41
M. Montandon  19 / 5

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13).

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       56% 59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    43  39  36  39   38   34

Oregon
A KPTV-TV/Portland Tribune poll; conducted 5/8-10 by Davis, Hibbits & Midghall; surveyed 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.7% for each (release, 5/12). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R) and '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Kitzhaber  53%
B. Bradbury   23
R. Obrist      2
Undec         22

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

C. Dudley     33%
A. Alley      23
J. Lim         8
B. Sizemore    6
Other          6
Undec         24

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 416 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/14). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3
D. Onorato   39% 39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36%
T. Williams  14  14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8   9   9
J. Hoeffel   11  11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12  11   9
J. Wagner    11   9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9   8   8
Other/undec  25  27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39  37  38

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/12    5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8
D. Onorato   46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9%
T. Williams  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13
J. Hoeffel   25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8
J. Wagner    24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8

A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 5/13). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   46% 49% 42%
T. Williams  13   9  16
J. Wagner     9   9   8
J. Hoeffel    8   9   7
Undec        25  23  26

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Corbett   58% 67% 49%
S. Rohrer    20  21  18
Undec        22  11  32

Fav/Unfav

-            Dems    GOPers
B. Obama     75%/18% 13%/81%
E. Rendell   61 /31  17 /76
D. Onorato   47 /15  21 /30
J. Wagner    24 /14  18 /14
T. Williams  22 /22  12 /20
J. Hoeffel   20 /14   6 /13
T. Corbett   33 /29  61 /14
S. Rohrer     7 /13  25 / 7

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/12). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                Now 4/14 3/4 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis       47% 48%  48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper  41  42   42  49  42
Other             6   4    3   1   2
Undec             6   6    6   6   8

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     4/14    3/4     2/4     1/6
S. McInnis       52%/35% 57%/26% 53%/33% 52%/29% 60%/26%
J. Hickenlooper  49 /43  55 /38  55 /36  56 /36  57 /32

Kansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback (R) and state Sen. Tom Holland (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 2/24
S. Brownback  58% 55%
T. Holland    27  33
Other          7   4
Undec          8   8

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/24
S. Brownback  64%/29% 58%/34%
T. Holland    38 /36  34 /23

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/9-12; surveyed 405 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/13). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2
D. Onorato   39% 37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39%
T. Williams  14  15   15   15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7
J. Hoeffel   11   8   10    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7
J. Wagner     9   9    9   10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6
Other/undec  27  30   34   32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8     5/7
D. Onorato   44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10%
T. Williams  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14
J. Hoeffel   23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8
J. Wagner    22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/4-10; surveyed 1,161 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 5/13). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), Hoeffel, Onorato and Wagner.

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14
T. Corbett   49% 18% 87% 47% 58% 41% 50% 41%  46%
J. Hoeffel   26  55   3  15  21  31  28  30   30
Other         1   1   1   4   2   1  --   1    1
Not vote      1   2   1   1   1   2   1   1    1
Undec        22  24   8  33  18  26  21  27   23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   43% 11% 82% 42% 52% 35% 45% 42%  45%   47%
D. Onorato   37  68   9  29  35  39  33  32   30    28
Other         1  --  --   2  --   1   1   1    1     1
Not vote      1   1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1     1
Undec        19  20   9  27  12  25  21  24   22    24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   47% 14% 86% 49% 55% 40% 48% 42%  43%   44%
J. Wagner    28  57   4  17  24  31  29  30   33    29
Other         1   1   1   2   1   1   1   1    1     1
Not vote      1   1   1   2   1   1   1   1    1     1
Undec        23  28   8  29  18  28  21  26   23    25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/5     2/28
T. Corbett   49%/13% 31%/20% 73%/ 4% 50%/13% 47%/13% 43%/ 7%
D. Onorato   34 /13  46 / 6  22 /20  34 /15  21 /11  20 / 8
J. Wagner    19 / 7  27 / 5  11 / 9  19 / 7  18 / 8  20 / 7
J. Hoeffel   14 /11  20 / 7   7 /13  14 /13  14 /10  15 / 7
T. Williams  12 / 8  23 / 5   5 /10   7 /10   3 / 3   3 / 2
S. Rohrer     9 / 5   2 / 5  17 / 5   9 / 5   7 / 4   5 / 3

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/11). Tested: Gov. Sean Parnell (R), Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels (R), '08 AK-AL nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D), state Sen. Hollis French (D) and businessman/ex-state official Bob Poe (D).

S. Parnell    58%             R. Samuels    43%
E. Berkowitz  30              E. Berkowitz  36
Other          3              Other          7
Undec          8              Undec         14

S. Parnell    62%             R. Samuels    48%
H. French     24              H. French     26
Other          5              Other         10
Undec          9              Undec         17

S. Parnell    62%             R. Samuels    47%
B. Poe        21              B. Poe        23
Other          5              Other         11
Undec         12              Undec         19

Fav/Unfav

S. Parnell    74%/24%
E. Berkowitz  48 /43
R. Samuels    40 /36
H. French     32 /53
B. Poe        30 /40

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/12). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), '06 Green-Rainbow Party nominee Grace Ross (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  45% 35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    31  27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   14  23  19  25    23
Undec       10  15  14  14    19

C. Baker    32%
G. Ross     27
T. Cahill   16
Undec       25

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     48% 46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  50  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20
D. Patrick  53%/47% 49%/48% 43%/55% 42%/56% 48%/50% 40%/56%
C. Baker    41 /34  43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30
T. Cahill   35 /41  49 /29  55 /28  49 /28  49 /25   n/a
G. Ross     24 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/8-11; surveyed 407 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   37% 33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  15   15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     9   9   10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8  10    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  30  34   32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/10    5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6
D. Onorato   44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11%
T. Williams  26 /13  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 6  22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8
J. Wagner    20 /10  17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/5-10; surveyed 945 Dem primary LVs and 995 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 3.1%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   38% 40% 36% 36% 20% 16%
J. Wagner    11  13  10   8  13  11
T. Williams  10   9  10   8   5   2
J. Hoeffel    9  13   7   9  15  10
Other         1   1  --   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --  --  --   2
Undec        32  23  37  37  47  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/5 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   57% 60% 55% 58% 43%
S. Rohrer    14  15  14   7   5
Other        --   1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --  --   2
Undec        28  25  31  35  49

A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 5/3-9 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,023 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 861 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Further subsamples of 404 Dem RVs and 321 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 5.5%, respectively. Further subsample of 150 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 8.0% (release, 5/12). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, Corbett and Rohrer.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All LVs 3/21 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato   27% 34% 11%  6%  10%  10%
J. Wagner     5   8   7   6    4    9
T. Williams   5   6   4   1   n/a  n/a
J. Hoeffel    4   5   5   6    4    6
Other         3   3   2   9   10    9
Undec        57  44  71  72   72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 3/21 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett   29% 28%  26%  23%
S. Rohrer    10   4    4    5
Other         1   2    5    3
Undec        60  66   65   69

Governor 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/6-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 621 Dem primary LVs and 548 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.2%, respectively (release, 5/10). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 4/21
J. Brown        66% 64% 68% 72% 73% 50% 70% 63%
R. Aguirre       4   6   3   2   1  10   5   6
C. Pineda        3   5   2   2   3   6   2   2
J. Symmon        3   3   3   2   2   6   2   3
L. Darling       1   2   1   2   0   1   3   6
V. Greene        1   1   2   1   2   3   0   1
P. Schurman      1   1   1   1   3   1   1   1
Undec           19  18  20  18  16  24  16  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 4/21
M. Whitman      39% 37% 41% 49%
S. Poizner      37  41  34  27
B. Chambers      3   3   2   2
R. Newman        2   3   1   2
K. Miller        2   2   2   1
L. Naritelli     1   2   0   2
D. Hughes        1   1   1   1
D. Tully-Smith   1   1   1   1
Undec           14   9  18  15

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 686 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 177 GOPers; margin of error +/- 7.4% (release, 5/11). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     38% 32% 43%
S. Levy      22  30  14
C. Paladino  13  11  15
Undec        27  27  28

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo     67% 85% 45% 65% 66% 69%
C. Paladino  22   9  42  22  22  21
Undec        11   6  14  13  12  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 2/24 1/27
A. Cuomo     65% 87% 39% 62% 65% 66% 61%  64%  64%
R. Lazio     25   8  53  26  27  23  30   28   27
Undec        10   5   8  12   8  11   9    8    9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
A. Cuomo     63% 84% 39% 56% 60% 65% 65%
S. Levy      25   9  50  28  28  22  26
Undec        12   7  11  16  11  13   9

Cuomo As AG

-                All Dem GOP Ind 3/24 3/8 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17
Excellent/good   64% 70% 58% 63% 61%  54% 67% 62%  64%  66%
Fair/poor        33  27  40  34  34   39  28  32   30   28

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 633 Dem primary LVs and 449 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.6% (release, 5/10). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin (R), '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan (R), '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R) and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 4/11
J. Kitzhaber  59% 56% 61% 54%
B. Bradbury   25  25  25  16
R. Obrist      4   6   3   3
Undec         12  13  11  28

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 4/11
C. Dudley     42% 50% 29% 28%
A. Alley      24  23  26  13
B. Sizemore    8   8   7  11
J. Lim         8   7  10   7
R. Watkins     1   2   0   2
D. Karr        1   0   2   1
B. Forthan     1   1   0   3
W. Curtright   1   1   0   1
C. Colvin      1   0   1   1
Undec         14   8  24  34

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/7-10; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Hoeffel   10   8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
J. Wagner     9  10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  34  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5
D. Onorato   40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10%
T. Williams  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11
J. Hoeffel   22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8
J. Wagner    17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8

Governor 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  38%
R. Scott     24
P. Dockery    7
Undec        31

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum  45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49%  41%  40%
A. Sink      36  63   5  38  34  38  34   35   34
Undec        19  21  16  21  17  21  17   24   26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink      41% 68%  9% 46% 39% 43% 44%  43%
P. Dockery   29   9  56  19  32  26  22   18
Undec        30  23  35  35  29  31  34   39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink      38% 66%  6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott     36  11  70  26  38  34
Undec        26  23  24  35  27  25

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25    6/26    5/09
B. McCollum  32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink      26 /18  24 /15  24 / 9  24 / 3
R. Scott     19 / 8   n/a     n/a     n/a
P. Dockery    6 / 5   4 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            Now     3/25    6/26
B. McCollum  46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott     28 / 1   n/a     n/a
P. Dockery   10 / 4   9 / 4   8 / 3

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn     35  61   5  27  31  39
S. Cohen      3   6   0   2   4   2
Undec        23  21  16  33  22  24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn     36  63   5  28  33  39  47
Other/undec  25  25  16  35  23  27  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
P. Quinn     37%/49% 59%/22%  9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady     35 /37  11 /59  70 / 8  34 /35  29 /41
S. Cohen     19 /24  28 /18   9 /30  16 /27   n/a

Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-               All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley     49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich      41  47  36
Other/neither    3   2   1
Not vote         1  n/a  1
Undec            6   4   5

O'Malley As Gov.

-           All RVs  RVs    All   RVs
-           Now Now  10/08  10/07 10/07
Approve     54% 58%  53%    53%   51%
Disapprove  34  34   37     36    39

O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)

-           Now 10/07
Approve     46% 39%
Disapprove  40  52

How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?

-               Now 10/07
A lot            8%  3%
A fair amount   38  25
Some            29  32
Not much        20  35

Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)

Very closely        26%
Fairly closely      35
Not too closely     23
Not at all closely  15

Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)

Satisfied       49%
Wish had more   45

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          41%       45%  12%     2%
Public education    39        39   14      7
Budget deficit      37        39   18      4
Taxes               36        40   17      7
Crime               35        42   16      6
Environment         29        37   23     11

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          43%       43%  12%     2%
Budget deficit      41        38   16      4
Public education    40        37   14      8
Taxes               38        39   16      7
Crime               33        43   17      7
Environment         26        37   25     11

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   41%      31%      5%  10%     13%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      38       31      11    6      15
 state's future
Strong leader             35       37      10    6      12
He is honest/trustworthy  33       29      12   12      15

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   39%      39%      4%  10%      9%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      36       38      11    5      10
 state's future
Strong leader             34       43      10    6       8
He is honest/trustworthy  31       36      12   11      10

Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment           49%      25%      5%   5%     17%
Working effectively with  49       27       5    5      15
 the MD legislature
Public education          49       29       6    3      13
Crime                     40       34       5    6      16
State economy             39       43       2    4      11
State budget deficit      37       42       4    5      12
Taxes                     36       44       3    5      12

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)

-               TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley     34%         8%             45%
B. Ehrlich       6         31              46

As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)

Need to raise taxes          53%
Meet without raising taxes   36

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              41%  8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  66   7  26  30  36
T. Horner              9   7   5  17  12   5
Undec                 17  19  10  23  14  20

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton             34  66  13  25  31  38
T. Horner              9   6   7  16  10   8
Undec                 15  18   7  19  11  19

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza            31  61   7  28  31  31
T. Horner             10  10   5  19  12   8
Undec                 16  20   8  17  11  22

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner    10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
D. Onorato   42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7
J. Wagner    19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   34%
J. Wagner    17
T. Williams  17
J. Hoeffel    9
Other         6
Undec        17

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   58%/22%
J. Wagner    43 /24
T. Williams  41 /34
J. Hoeffel   29 /34

Rendell As Gov.

-            Now 4/12
Approve      61% 60%
Disapprove   38  39

Governor 2010

Alabama
An Ayers, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Tested: James, state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. James    26%
R. Moore    21
B. Byrne    20
R. Bentley   7

Fav/Unfav

T. James    50%/12%
R. Moore    49 /23
B. Byrne    35 /13

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   32% 29% 35%
B. Mills    14  16  12
D. Martin   13  16  10
J. Munger    5   6   4
Undec       36  33  39

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 86% 15% 55% 44% 52% 41% 80% 74%
J. Brewer   42   6  73  36  47  37  51   3   9
Undec       10   9  12   9   9  11   8  17  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 14% 54% 43% 51% 40% 80% 74%
D. Martin   35   6  61  30  39  31  43   2   6
Undec       18  10  25  16  18  18  17  18  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 85% 14% 56% 44% 52% 41% 82% 75%
B. Mills    34   6  60  27  38  30  42   2   6
Undec       18   9  26  17  18  18  17  17  19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 13% 55% 44% 50% 40% 80% 75%
J. Munger   30   5  55  22  34  26  36   2   6
Undec       23  11  32  23  22  24  24  18  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
T. Goddard  46%/25% 75%/ 8% 22%/40% 49%/22%  n/a
J. Brewer   36 /51   9 /79  64 /25  25 /59  39%/54%
D. Martin   28 /17  13 /28  48 /10  17 /14   n/a
B. Mills    17 /20   9 /34  48 /11  16 /17   n/a
J. Munger    9 /15   4 /22  14 /10   7 /14   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  48% 41% 41%        N. Lamont  42% 37% 40% 
M. Fedele  28  38  33         N. Lamont  35  44  37
Other       9   9   8         Other      11   7   9
Undec      15  12  18         Undec      13  13  14

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  44% 40% 36%        D. Malloy  38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  27  37  35         T. Foley   35  44  36
Other      10   7   9         Other      11   8  10
Undec      20  16  21         Undec      16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/1     2/1
N. Lamont  53%/31% 43%/40% 43%/35%
D. Malloy  46 /24  47 /29  43 /29
T. Foley   42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
T. Branstad       48% 12% 85% 51% 53% 43% 54%
C. Culver         41  80   6  34  37  45  38
Undec             11   8   9  15  10  12   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         46% 83%  7% 43% 42% 50% 48%
R. Roberts        36   7  71  35  41  31  26
Undec             18  10  22  22  17  19  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         44% 81%  6% 43% 42% 50% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  40   9  78  38  45  35  38
Undec             16  10  16  21  15  17  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/17
T. Branstad       57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        27 /35  13 /16

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
J. Hoeffel   11  12  11   9   7   6
T. Williams  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
D. Onorato   40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10% 42%/ 6% 42%/ 6% 45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7  25 / 8  22 / 8  23 / 7
T. Williams  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12  18 /13  16 /13  18 /14
J. Wagner    19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7  22 /10  19 /11  21 /11

Governor 2010

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbits & Midghall poll; conducted 4/14-15 for Nike/The Standard; surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Jaquiss, Willamette Week, 4/30). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) and '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D).

J. Kitzhaber  50%
B. Bradbury   21
R. Obrist      4
Undec         25

A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/10-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 429 Dem primary LVs and 407 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.7% and 4.9% (release, 4/12). Tested: Bradbury, Kitzhaber, Obrist, '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin (R), '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan (R), '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R) and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom
J. Kitzhaber  54% 55% 53%
B. Bradbury   16  18  14
R. Obrist      3   5   2
Undec         28  22  32

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
C. Dudley     28% 28% 29%
A. Alley      13  15   9
B. Sizemore   11  13   8
J. Lim         7   8   5
B. Forthan     3   4   2
R. Watkins     2   1   2
D. Karr        1   2   1
W. Curtright   1   1   1
C. Colvin      1   0   1
Undec         34  28  43

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   41%
T. Williams   8
J. Hoeffel    6
J. Wagner     5
Undec        40

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   23 / 7
J. Wagner    21 /11
T. Williams  18 /14

House 2010

PA-12
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/17-18; surveyed 1,197 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 4/20). Party ID breakdown: 55%D, 35%R, 10%I. Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Burns    44% 22% 77% 51% 50% 39%
M. Critz    41  63  10  31  36  46
Undec       15  15  13  18  14  15

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Burns    45%/26% 28%/37% 70%/ 9% 49%/27% 50%/28% 40%/24%
M. Critz    41 /34  59 /19  14 /57  34 /32  38 /29  44 /29
N. Pelosi   24 /64  38 /44   3 /94  21 /72  23 /68  35 /61
P. Toomey   23 /21  11 /28  39 /13  30 /13  30 /24  16 /18

Obama As POTUS

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     33% 50%  7% 31% 32% 34%
Disapprove  57  35  90  63  59  55

Rendell As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     24% 34% 10% 23% 24% 25%
Disapprove  63  51  80  69  67  59

Cong. Dems Job Approval

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     29% 46%  4% 21% 28% 29%
Disapprove  60  38  93  67  63  58

Cong. GOPers Job Approval

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     26% 15% 46% 23% 28% 25%
Disapprove  56  69  34  61  56  56

Specter As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     28% 43%  6% 27% 27% 30%
Disapprove  60  42  86  64  63  57

SEN General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Toomey   47% 25% 78% 56% 51% 43%
A. Specter  37  55   8  32  35  38
Undec       17  19  14  12  15  19

A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 4/15 for the American Action Network (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/19). Tested: Burns and Critz.

Special Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind
M. Critz    40% 57% 13% 13%
T. Burns    39  21  73  53
Undec       21  22  15  33

Obama As POTUS

-               All Dem GOP Ind
Excellent/good  31% 46%  4% 27%
Fair/poor       68  53  96  73

Pelosi As Speaker

-               All Dem GOP Ind
Excellent/good  20% 28%  6% 13%
Fair/poor       76  68  92  87

Direction Of U.S.

-           All Dem GOP Ind
Right dir.  26% 37%  4% 33%
Wrong dir.  61  48  90  47

The Health Care Law Recently Passed By Congress

-           All Dem GOP Ind
Approve     32% 43%  7% 47%
Disapprove  57  42  87  53

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 3/18 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  45% 47%  48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      38  36   35   35  39    35    34
Other         7   5    4    5   5     5     7
Undec        10  12   12   13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/18    2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20
B. McCollum  50%/31% 51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31%
A. Sink      43 /37  37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 50%  56%  51%  49%   57%   48%  54%  50%
Disapprove  47  42   37   40   40    30    42   36   34

Massachusetts
A Western New England College poll; conducted 4/11-15; surveyed 528 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 481 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 66%  3% 26% 34% 33%
T. Cahill   29  17  32  35  29  28
C. Baker    27   6  64  29  31  23
Undec       10  10   1  10   6  15

Patrick As Gov.

-           All RVs  All  RVs   All   All
-           Now Now  3/09 3/09  2/09  11/08
Approve     34% 34%  41%  40%   47%   50%
Disapprove  48  49   43   43    35    25

Fav/Unfav (RVs)

D. Patrick  40%/48%
T. Cahill   32 /18
C. Baker    20 /13

Direction Of MA (RVs)

-           Now 11/08
Right dir.  30% 39%
Wrong dir.  60  50

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  51%  48%
J. Hoeffel  29  28   29   26
Other       11   5    5    9
Undec       11  18   15   17

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  45% 46%  52%  44%              
D. Onorato  36  29   26   28               
Other        8   7    5    7               
Undec       11  17   17   21

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  48% 46%  49%  43%
J. Wagner   27  33   28   30
Other       11   6    5    8
Undec       14  16   17   20

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32
J. Hoeffel  33 /37  28 /35  33 /33  26 /35
J. Wagner   32 /36  40 /30  40 /28  37 /30

Governor 2010

Pennsylvania
A Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) poll; conducted 4/7-12; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs and 254 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 6.1%, respectively (release, 4/14). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

D. Onorato   32%
J. Hoeffel   13
J. Wagner     6
T. Williams   4
None/other    2
Undec        43

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

T. Corbett   50%
S. Rohrer     7
None/other    3
Undec        40

Governor 2010

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 301 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/7). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes     47% 36%  35%
T. Baker      18   7   11
D. Poythress   6   2    2
D. Porter      5   3    3
Other         n/a  4   n/a
Undec         24  48   49

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/8). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  37  45
Other        7   6  13
Undec       10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/30-4/5; surveyed 1,412 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/8). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14
T. Corbett   50% 18% 86% 48% 56% 44% 41%  46%
J. Hoeffel   28  62   3  19  25  30  30   30
Other        --  --  --   1   1  --   1    1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   1   1   1    1
Undec        21  19  12  30  17  24  27   23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   45% 11% 81% 43% 53% 37% 42%  45%   47%
D. Onorato   33  70   5  25  29  36  32   30    28
Other         1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1     1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   1   1   1    1     1
Undec        21  18  13  29  15  25  24   22    24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   48% 14% 84% 47% 56% 40% 42%  43%   44%
J. Wagner    29  65   3  20  24  33  30   33    29
Other         1  --  --   1   1  --   1    1     1
Not vote      1   2  --   2   2   1   1    1     1
Undec        21  20  12  30  17  26  26   23    25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/28    12/14
T. Corbett   47%/13% 28%/21% 71%/ 3% 45%/13% 43%/ 7% 43%/ 6%
J. Wagner    18 / 8  30 / 4   9 /11  16 /12  20 / 7  22 / 5
D. Onorato   21 /11  35 / 6  13 /16  17 /12  20 / 8  18 / 9
J. Hoeffel   14 /10  19 / 5   8 /14  15 /11  15 / 7  13 / 7
S. Rohrer     7 / 4   4 / 4  13 / 3   4 / 3   5 / 3   n/a
T. Williams   3 / 3   6 / 3   1 / 4   1 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A
Good/Bad Idea?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea    39% 13% 64% 39% 46% 33%
Bad idea     52  83  25  51  49  56

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-4/1; surveyed 934 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 41%R, 12%I. Tested: Corbett, Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and state Sen. Tony Williams (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   46% 20% 78% 37% 49% 43%
J. Hoeffel   31  53   7  26  31  31
Undec        23  27  14  37  20  26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   45% 18% 79% 36% 50% 41%
D. Onorato   32  54   8  27  30  33
Undec        23  28  13  37  20  25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   43% 14% 79% 33% 47% 40%
J. Wagner    30  52   6  23  28  31
Undec        27  34  15  44  25  29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   45% 16% 80% 39% 50% 40%
T. Williams  27  49   4  19  24  30
Undec        28  35  17  42  26  30

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   27%/20% 17%/28% 38%/11% 24%/23% 32%/23% 22%/18%
J. Wagner    15 /10  18 / 9  10 /11  17 /10  17 /12  13 / 8
D. Onorato   15 /13  20 /12   8 /15  13 /13  14 /18  15 / 9
J. Hoeffel   10 /11  13 / 8   7 /14   9 /10   8 /14  11 / 8
T. Williams   6 / 7  10 / 7   3 / 7   3 /11   7 / 9   6 / 6

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
N. Lamont  41% 41%            T. Foley   44% 37%
M. Fedele  38  33             N. Lamont  37  40
Other       9   8             Other       7   9
Undec      12  18             Undec      13  14

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
D. Malloy  40% 36%            T. Foley   44% 36%
M. Fedele  37  35             D. Malloy  35  37
Other       7   9             Other       8  10
Undec      16  21             Undec      14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/1
D. Malloy  47%/29% 43%/29%
T. Foley   45 /25  42 /22
N. Lamont  43 /40  43 /35
M. Fedele  38 /26  39 /22

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 396 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Galloway, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4/7). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     18  13   10   9
N. Deal        9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   7    7   3
Others        11   8    4   6
Undec         31  36   45  50

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady    43% 19% 80% 39% 44% 42%
P. Quinn    33  53   7  31  34  32
Undec       24  28  13  30  22  26

Quinn As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve     25% 37% 10% 23% 22% 27% 25%
Disapprove  53  36  77  54  58  49  55

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Brady    25%/20% 11%/27% 44%/11% 24%/19% 27%/25% 23%/17%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   23  19  25    23
Undec       15  14  14    19

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  38% 34% 32%   34%
T. Cahill   33  30  28    23
C. Mihos    15  19  26    23
Undec       14  16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   49%/29% 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
D. Patrick  49 /48  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40%/56% 48%/51%
C. Baker    43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30  37 /27
C. Mihos    31 /51  38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 3/28-31 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/7). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                 Now
A. Dillon         22%
V. Bernero        15
A. Wheeler Smith  11
Other             10
Undec             42

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 27%  25%  29%
M. Cox        21  21   32   28
R. Snyder     15  12    3    3
M. Bouchard   13  10   16   14
T. George      3   1    2    2
Other          3   3   n/a  n/a
Undec         18  26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Cox        44%
V. Bernero    30
Undec         26

-             Now 2/25 1/26
M. Cox        43% 43%  47%    
A. Dillon     34  36   30     
Undec         23  21   23

P. Hoekstra   42%
V. Bernero    29
Undec         29

-             Now 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra   40% 41%  40%
A. Dillon     33  37   32
Undec         27  21   28

R. Snyder     42%
V. Bernero    26
Undec         32

R. Snyder     42%
A. Dillon     30
Undec         28

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox            38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero         8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   5 / 4   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5
T. George          4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs and 491 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 4/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   20% 18% 22% 16%
J. Hoeffel   15  16  13  10
J. Wagner    13  15  12  11
T. Williams   5   6   4   2
Other         1   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        47  44  49  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   58% 66% 51% 43%
S. Rohrer     7   7   6   5
Other         1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        35  27  42  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
D. Onorato   27%/ 6% 26%/ 7% 28%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 5  24 / 5  18 / 4
J. Hoeffel   18 / 4  20 / 6  17 / 4
T. Williams   6 / 3   8 / 4   5 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   51%/ 3% 59%/ 3% 44%/ 3%
S. Rohrer     8 / 2   8 / 3   8 /--

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
T. Branstad       52% 53%  54%         
C. Culver         36  37   34          
Other              6   6    8          
Undec              6   4    4 

C. Culver         40%
R. Roberts        38
Other             10
Undec             13

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
B. Vander Plaats  42% 46%  43%
C. Culver         40  40   39
Other              8   7    9
Undec             11   7    9

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/18    9/22
T. Branstad       61%/33% 57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  43 /31  43 /34  45 /30
C. Culver         39 /55  42 /55  43 /50
R. Roberts        30 /28   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 630 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich      42% 10% 73% 47% 47% 37%
T. Strickland  37  70  10  24  36  39
Undec          21  10  17  29  18  24

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve        33% 53% 14% 28% 35% 31%
Disapprove     47  23  69  54  50  44

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind
J. Kasich      25%/24% 14%/30% 37%/17% 28%/25%

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato   11%  6%  10%  10%
J. Wagner     7   6    4    9
J. Hoeffel    5   6    4    6
A. Williams   4   1   n/a  n/a
Other         2   9   10    9
Undec        71  72   72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett   28% 26%  23%
S. Rohrer     4   4    5
Other         2   5    3
Undec        66  65   69

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/21
T. Corbett   22%/ 7% 21%/ 6%

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Google community affairs mgr./'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Matt Dunne (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

B. Dubie      52%
S. Bartlett   26
Other          7
Undec         14

B. Dubie      51%
M. Dunne      29
Other          6
Undec         14

B. Dubie      46%
D. Markowitz  39
Other          4
Undec         10

B. Dubie      48%
D. Racine     35
Other          5
Undec         12

B. Dubie      51%
P. Shumlin    33
Other          6
Undec         10

Fav/Unfav

B. Dubie      61%/29%
D. Markowitz  53 /33
D. Racine     45 /33
P. Shumlin    37 /45
S. Bartlett   29 /42
M. Dunne      29 /42

Governor 2010

Pennsylvania
A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) poll; conducted 3/3-6; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/12). Party reg. breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D). (Note: Corbett is IDed as "the Republican candidate," while Onorato and Wagner are each IDed as "the Democrat candidate.")

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett  39% 15% 69% 37% 46% 33%
D. Onorato  24  44   2  16  19  28
None/other   2   3   1   0   2   2
Undec       35  38  28  45  33  36

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett  37% 12% 67% 32% 42% 32%
J. Wagner   26  46   3  18  22  29
None/other   2   2   1   2   1   2
Undec       36  41  29  46  34  37

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/11). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  52% 49% 55%
S. Poizner  19  23  15
Undec       29  28  30

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown    45% 76%  7% 41% 41% 49% 42%
M. Whitman  41  10  83  40  47  35  36
Undec       14  14  10  19  12  16  22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown    48% 79%  8% 46% 44% 52% 43%
S. Poizner  33   5  73  30  39  27  34
Undec       19  16  19  24  17  21  23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12
J. Brown    52%/40% 80%/15% 16%/77% 50%/37% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  51 /35  29 /55  79 /11  53 /32  41 /30
S. Poizner  37 /40  17 /55  64 /21  37 /40  35 /27

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/11). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), state Sen. Tom Bakk (D) ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Rukavina (D), Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R), state House Min. Leader Marty Seifert (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

T. Emmer              37%     M. Seifert            39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  34      M. Anderson Kelliher  35
T. Horner             10      T. Horner              8
Undec                 18      Undec                 19

T. Emmer              36%     M. Seifert            37%
T. Bakk               29      T. Bakk               30
T. Horner              8      T. Horner              9
Undec                 27      Undec                 24

M. Dayton             38%     M. Seifert            39%
T. Emmer              35      M. Dayton             38
T. Horner              7      T. Horner              7
Undec                 20      Undec                 16

T. Emmer              37%     M. Seifert            38%
M. Entenza            28      M. Entenza            30
T. Horner              8      T. Horner              9
Undec                 26      Undec                 23

T. Emmer              38%     M. Seifert            39%
T. Rukavina           29      T. Rukavina           30
T. Horner              7      T. Horner              9
Undec                 25      Undec                 22

R.T. Rybak            38%     M. Seifert            38%
T. Emmer              35      R.T. Rybak            38
T. Horner              9      T. Horner              8
Undec                 18      Undec                 16

Fav/Unfav

R.T. Rybak            49%/37%
M. Dayton             44 /45
M. Seifert            41 /33
M. Anderson Kelliher  39 /41
T. Emmer              38 /26
T. Bakk               27 /22
T. Rukavina           27 /27
M. Entenza            27 /31

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D) and AG Tom Corbett (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   19% 17% 21%
J. Hoeffel   12  14  10
J. Wagner    10  11   9
T. Williams   3   3   3
Undec        56  55  57

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   41%  8% 81% 39% 46% 36%
J. Hoeffel   31  56   5  23  28  34
Undec        28  36  14  38  26  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   40%  8% 79% 39% 44% 36%
D. Onorato   34  61   5  27  31  37
Undec        26  31  16  34  25  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   41%  8% 80% 41% 45% 37%
J. Wagner    32  57   5  25  29  35
Undec        27  35  15  34  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   47% 13% 84% 55% 53% 41%
T. Williams  19  33   3  18  16  22
Undec        34  54  13  27  31  37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   39%/12% 10%/18% 76%/ 5% 32%/10% 43%/10% 35%/14%
D. Onorato   32 /15  47 / 8  14 /24  32 /14  30 /18  34 /12
J. Wagner    30 /14  47 / 6  11 /23  30 /13  28 /17  32 /11
J. Hoeffel   29 /15  44 / 8  11 /24  29 /13  27 /18  31 /12
T. Williams   9 / 3  12 / 2   5 / 5   8 / 2   9 / 4   9 / 2