Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   53% 52%  48%  44%  36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  35  39   40   40   45   43   44    42
Other        2   7    7    9   12    7    9    13
Undec        9   3    5    6    7    9   12    11

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/09
Approve     58% 64%  56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%
Disapprove  40  35   42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/15    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. Brewer   59%/36% 60%/36% 45%/50% 38%/57% 42%/53% 44%/48%
T. Goddard  53 /37  48 /45  49 /44  54 /31  54 /32  51 /35

New Hampshire
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 6/26-29; surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 551 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 29%D, 29%R, 42%I.

Lynch As Gov.

-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve     41% 43% 59% 33% 39% 49%  52%   37%  35%  47%
Disapprove  30  32  12  36  42  30   21    40   31   20

Lynch Handling Economy

-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve     40% 42% 59% 25% 42% 43%  45%   37%  30%  38%
Disapprove  30  31  18  36  36  35   26    34   41   24

Oregon
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 963 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley     41% 15% 73% 41% 45% 37%
J. Kitzhaber  40  71   7  27  38  41
Other         10   7  12  14  11   9
Undec          9   7   8  18   6  13

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Kitzhaber  43%/40% 68%/20% 16%/68% 34%/38% 43%/48% 43%/34%
C. Dudley     42 /21  28 /31  60 /10  42 /18  47 /22  38 /20

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
M. Neumann  41%  7% 76% 41% 47% 36% 43%  39%
T. Barrett  36  72   8  29  35  38  38   41
Undec       23  20  16  31  19  26  19   20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
S. Walker   45%  8% 85% 43% 50% 41% 42%  40%
T. Barrett  38  78   5  30  34  41  39   40
Undec       17  14   9  27  15  18  19   20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
S. Walker   36%/28% 13%/47% 63%/ 9% 32%/28% 31%/27% 30%/25%
T. Barrett  28 /30  46 /12  10 /52  28 /26  29 /22  31 /21
M. Neumann  18 /35   9 /44  29 /27  18 /33  24 /27  16 /27

Governor 2010

New Mexico
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 542 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 35%R, 12%I. Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez  44% 20% 82% 41% 53% 36%
D. Denish    43  61   8  36  36  48
Undec        14  14  10  23  11  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Martinez  45%/34% 30%/47% 72%/ 9% 31%/46% 52%/32% 39%/35%
D. Denish    40 /41  59 /19  13 /73  36 /43  34 /51  45 /32

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
T. Corbett   45% 21% 74% 44% 47% 43% 45%
D. Onorato   35  57  12  20  34  36  32
Undec        20  22  14  36  19  21  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
T. Corbett   31%/19% 19%/24% 46%/13% 24%/17% 27%/20%
D. Onorato   22 /25  33 /15  11 /35  12 /26  15 /13

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      55% 52%
S. Bartlett   29  26
Other          8   7
Undec          9  14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      47% 46%
D. Markowitz  40  39
Other          6   4
Undec          8  10

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      52% 51%
M. Dunne      32  29
Other          7   6
Undec         10  14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      51% 48%
D. Racine     36  35
Other          5   5
Undec          7  12

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      55% 51%
P. Shumlin    36  33
Other          6   6
Undec          4  10

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/18
B. Dubie      61%/30% 61%/29%
D. Markowitz  55 /30  53 /33
D. Racine     48 /34  45 /33
P. Shumlin    43 /41  37 /45
M. Dunne      38 /31  29 /42
S. Bartlett   31 /38  29 /42

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  47% 44%  46%  46%  44%     
T. Barrett  39  42   46   42   42
Other        7   6    4    4    4
Undec        7   8    5    8   10

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker   49% 48%  46%  48%  49%
T. Barrett  41  41   44   42   40
Other        3   3    3    2    1
Undec        7   8    7    8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker   51%/35% 52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  49 /37  48 /31  53 /31  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  42 /44  48 /36  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

Governor 2010

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 435 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 6/9). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), businessman Rick Scott (R), CFO Alex Sink (D) and businessman Bud Chiles (I). (Note: Chiles announced his candidacy on 6/3.)

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
B. McCollum  42%  8% 77% 40% 45% 40% 40%  41%  36%   38%
A. Sink      34  72   8  33  31  35  36   31   32    34
Other         2   1   3   2   3   1   1   --    2     1
Not vote      3   1   2   5   3   3   2    2    2     1
Undec        19  19  11  21  18  20  21   25   27    25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott     42%  8% 81% 35% 48% 38%
A. Sink      32  69   4  34  28  36
Other         2   1   2   3   2   2
Not vote      2   1   1   4   3   2
Undec        21  20  11  24  19  23

General Election Matchups (Chiles Subsample)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McCollum  33%  6% 67% 29% 36% 31%
A. Sink      25  56   9  19  23  26
B. Chiles    19  16  12  24  19  18
Other         1   1   2  --   1   1
Not vote      3   2   1   6   3   3
Undec        19  19   8  22  17  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott     35%  7% 73% 26% 39% 31%
A. Sink      26  64   6  19  22  29
B. Chiles    13  11   7  20  15  12
Other        --   1  --  --  --  --
Not vote      2   2  --   5   1   3
Undec        23  16  14  29  22  25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
B. McCollum  37%/29% 18%/39% 50%/22% 38%/31% 38%/18% 35%/15%
R. Scott     31 /22  10 /39  54 /12  29 /22   n/a     n/a
A. Sink      28 /14  45 / 6  14 /23  33 /13  22 /15  24 / 8
B. Chiles    10 / 7  16 / 7   5 / 7   9 / 7   n/a     n/a

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve      50% 38% 61% 51% 53% 47% 51%  56%  53%   53%
Disapprove   28  35  25  30  31  26  25   20   19    16

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve      42% 58% 30% 42% 43% 40% 39%  39%  38%   37%
Disapprove   25  15  36  25  27  23  26   22   23    21

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 829 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

N. Haley     49%
G. Barrett   22
H. McMaster  17
A. Bauer     12

Fav/Unfav

N. Haley     73%/23%
G. Barrett   64 /31
H. McMaster  57 /26
A. Bauer     38 /58

Obama As POTUS

Approve      12%
Disapprove   87

Sanford As Gov.

Approve      63%
Disapprove   36

Wisconsin
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 6/1-2 for Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Walker and '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R).

Primary Election Matchup

S. Walker   45%
M. Neumann  25
Undec       30

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/25
M. Whitman  54% 58% 50% 61%
S. Poizner  19  18  20  11
Other       15  16  14   4
Undec       12   8  16  24

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/25
M. Whitman  56%/23% 62%/ 9%
S. Poizner  31 /51  22 /22

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Poizner and Whitman.

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24
J. Brown    43% 50%  42%  46%  45%  43%   45%
S. Poizner  42  32   27   34   35   32    32
Other        7  10   13    7    9    7     5
Undec        8   8   18   13   11   18    18

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24 1/09
J. Brown    45% 44%  40%  43%  43%  41%   44%  40%
M. Whitman  41  38   40   43   39   41    35%  38
Other        8   9    6    6    7    3     3    5
Undec        7   9   14    8   11   14    18   17

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/19    3/15    2/15    1/19    11/17
J. Brown    53%/42% 51%/42% 46%/44% 53%/41% 49%/40% 48%/41%
M. Whitman  48 /47  47 /43  51 /34  56 /28  48 /30  47 /27
S. Poizner  48 /47  38 /46  29 /47  38 /37  40 /31  36 /26

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 379 Dem RVs and 231 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 5.0% and 6.5%, respectively (release, 5/27). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R) and businessman Oz Griebel (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom
N. Lamont   41% 43% 40%
D. Malloy   24  30  19
Other        2   3   2
Not vote     3   3   3
Undec       30  20  37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
T. Foley    37% 37% 37%
M. Fedele   11  13   6
O. Griebel   5   7   1
Other        3   3   2
Not vote     3   3   3
Undec       42  37  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
N. Lamont   46%/12% 47%/23% 45%/ 6% 43%/13%
D. Malloy   28 / 5  36 / 4  24 / 5  35 / 9

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
T. Foley    34%/ 6% 38%/ 9% 30%/ 2% 37%/ 6%
M. Fedele   15 / 6  21 / 7   7 / 5  11 / 8
O. Griebel  10 / 2  11 / 3   8 /--   5 / 3

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 428 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/27). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), management technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 4/6 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes     64% 47% 36%  35%
D. Porter      8   5   3    3
T. Baker       6  18   7   11
C. Camon       5  n/a n/a  n/a
D. Poythress   1   6   2    2
R. Mangham     1  n/a n/a  n/a
B. Bolton      0  n/a n/a  n/a
Other         n/a n/a  4   n/a
Undec         15  24  48   49

New Mexico
A KOB-TV poll; conducted 5/23-25 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,405 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 464 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 50%D, 37%R, 12%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      43% 41% 46%
A. Weh           33  34  32
D. Turner         8  11   6
P. Domenici       8   7   8
J. Arnold-Jones   3   2   3
Undec             5   6   5

General Election Matchups

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        49% 78% 14% 38% 45% 53%
J. Arnold-Jones  35  11  67  40  41  30
Undec            16  11  19  22  14  17

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        46% 71% 15% 43% 43% 49%
P. Domenici      40  19  70  34  45  36
Undec            14  10  16  24  13  15

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez      49% 23% 83% 50% 53% 45%
D. Denish        43  70   9  38  40  46
Undec             8   7   8  12   7   9

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        50% 79% 14% 40% 47% 53%
D. Turner        36  10  70  37  41  31
Undec            14  11  16  22  12  16

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        47% 77% 11% 36% 44% 50%
A. Weh           42  15  79  45  48  37
Undec            10   9  10  19   8  13

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  44% 46%  46%  44%     
T. Barrett  42  46   42   42
Other        6   4    4    4
Undec        8   5    8   10

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker   48% 46%  48%  49%
T. Barrett  41  44   42   40
Other        3   3    2    1
Undec        8   7    8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker   52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  48 /31  53 /31  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  48 /36  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27).

Barrett As Milwaukee Mayor

Approve     39%
Disapprove  23

Governor 2010

Michigan
A Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/23). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '98 nominee/ex-Kevorkian atty Geoffrey Fieger (D) and '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D).

Primary Election Matchup

G. Fieger         28%
A. Dillon         20
V. Bernero        13
A. Wheeler Smith   8
Other              2
Undec             29

Oklahoma
A SoonerPoll.com poll; conducted 4/5-15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Oversamples of 304 Dem primary LVs and 301 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.6% for each (release, 4/23). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 53%D, 40%R, 7%I. Tested: LG Jari Askins (D), AG Drew Edmondson (D), state Sen. Randy Brogdon (R) and Rep. Mary Fallin (R-05).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 1/5 4/09
D. Edmondson  40% 42% 39% 46% 29%
J. Askins     35  35  36  36  34
Undec         25  23  26  18  38

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 1/5
M. Fallin     62% 60% 64% 68%
R. Brogdon    13  16  11  16
Undec         25  24  25  16

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/5     4/09
M. Fallin     50%/25% 34%/36% 70%/10% 57%/20% 54%/29% 64%/16%
D. Edmondson  43 /24  51 /31  37 /34  29 /31  51 /31  50 /15
J. Askins     36 /20  64 /11  26 /33  43 /20  43 /28  46 /16
R. Brogdon    11 /14   7 /17  18 / 9  17 /17  13 /21  10 / 5

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/16 2/17                 Now 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  46% 46%  44%      S. Walker   46% 48%  49%
T. Barrett  46  42   42       T. Barrett  44  42   40
Other        4   4    4       Other        3   2    1
Undec        5   8   10       Undec        7   8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/16    2/17
M. Neumann  53%/31% 53%/27% 49%/31%
S. Walker   48 /33  55 /28  55 /29
T. Barrett  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Dresner, Wickers & Assoc. (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16-18 for '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/5). Tested: Keet and Gov. Mike Beebe (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Beebe  55%
J. Keet   21

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/31; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/5). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/3 2/3
J. Gibbons    45% 36% 35%
R. Reid       43  44  44
Other          8  15  13
Undec          4   4   8

-             Now 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 42% 36%
R. Reid       38  37  40
Other          9  13  14
Undec          8   8  10

-             Now 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   55% 53% 45%
R. Reid       34  35  33
Other          6   7  11
Undec          4   5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       42% 37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    57  61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

Wisconsin
A WI Public Radio/St. Norbert College poll; conducted 3/23-31; surveyed 400 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/6). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Neumann       43%
T. Barrett       29
Indie/3rd party  10
Not vote          1
Undec            17

S. Walker        44%
T. Barrett       28
Indie/3rd party  13
Not vote          1
Undec            14

Governor 2010

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 3/9-16; surveyed 1,102 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 410 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 3/25). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 1/19
M. Whitman  61% 61% 61% 41%
S. Poizner  11  10  13  11
Other        3   3   2   4
Undec       25  26  24  44

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    46% 73% 17% 41% 41% 50% 44%  47%
S. Poizner  31   7  60  28  36  26  29   31
Undec       23  20  23  31  23  24  27   21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19 12/8
M. Whitman  44% 17% 77% 43% 49% 40% 36%  37%
J. Brown    39  65  10  37  34  43  41   43
Undec       17  18  13  20  17  17  23   20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?

-                   Now 1/19 12/8
Very closely        17% 11%  10%
Fairly closely      46  34   33
Not too closely     28  42   36
Not at all closely   8  12   20

In General, Would You Say You Are Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Your Choice Of Candidates In The 6/8 Primary?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied       46% 47% 51% 39% 45% 48%
Not satisfied   38  38  35  41  40  37

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/25). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  47% 48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      36  35   35  39    35    34
Other         5   4    5   5     5     7
Undec        12  12   13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum  51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink      37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30  50 /32

Tennessee
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/24). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), ex-state House Maj. Leader Kim McMillan (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R) and LG Ron Ramsey (R).

General Election Matchups

B. Haslam     46%             B. Haslam     45%
K. McMillan   26              M. McWherter  27
Other          5              Other          5
Undec         23              Undec         23

R. Ramsey     43%             R. Ramsey     43%
K. McMillan   25              M. McWherter  29
Other          8              Other          5
Undec         24              Undec         23

Z. Wamp       42%             Z. Wamp       41%
K. McMillan   29              M. McWherter  31
Other          5              Other          7
Undec         25              Undec         22

Fav/Unfav

B. Haslam     53%/18%
R. Ramsey     43 /23
Z. Wamp       42 /27
M. McWherter  34 /32
K. McMillan   33 /26

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/23). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 31%R, 35%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
M. Neumann  43%  8% 82% 43% 48% 39% 39%
T. Barrett  38  78   7  26  34  40  41
Undec       19  15  12  31  18  21  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
S. Walker   42%  7% 82% 41% 49% 37% 40%
T. Barrett  39  80   5  29  36  41  40
Undec       19  13  13  30  15  22  20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/22
S. Walker   31%/27% 14%/39% 49%/11% 31%/28% 30%/25%
T. Barrett  29 /22  44 /13  13 /38  28 /17  31 /21
M. Neumann  24 /27  13 /40  31 /15  30 /24  16 /27

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 3/19). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Martin  21%
J. Brewer  20
B. Mills   19
J. Munger  10
Other       7
Undec      23

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     11/18
D. Martin  54%/14% 60%/10%
J. Brewer  52 /44  54 /40
B. Mills   43 /12   n/a
J. Munger  37 /26  28 /22

Florida
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I. Tested: State Sen. Paula Dockery (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 11/18
B. McCollum  47% 51% 42% 45%
P. Dockery    9   7  12   9
Undec        44  42  46  46

Geneal Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
B. McCollum  41%  9% 77% 36% 47% 35% 48%  3% 36% 35%
A. Sink      35  65   5  34  30  40  27  73  47  33
Undec        24  26  18  30  23  25  25  24  17  32

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
A. Sink      37% 67%  5% 38% 33% 41% 29% 75% 49% 35%
P. Dockery   15   4  29  11  17  13  18   3   8  13
Undec        48  29  66  51  50  46  53  22  43  52

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/18
B. McCollum  44%/29% 26%/51% 63%/ 7% 41%/29% 39%/24%
A. Sink      27 /24  51 /11   5 /37  24 /23  25 / 9
P. Dockery   12 / 7   6 /12  21 / 4   8 / 5   9 / 4

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/18). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
M. Neumann  46% 44%           S. Walker   48% 49%
T. Barrett  42  42            T. Barrett  42  40
Other        4   4            Other        2   1
Undec        8  10            Undec        8  10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/17
S. Walker   55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  53 /34  49 /36

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 497 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/15). Tested: Businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
S. McInnis     58% 60% 56%
D. Maes         8  13   3
Y. Mager        2   2   2
M. Vanderbilt   1   1   1
Undec          31  24  39

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
S. McInnis     50%/10% 50%/13% 49%/ 6%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist     47% 33% 63% 43% 52% 44% 49% 28% 57% 50%
A. Sink      27  45  11  25  25  29  27  34  22  29
Undec        26  22  26  32  23  28  24  38  22  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McCollum  44% 20% 69% 38% 50% 39% 49% 23% 43% 21%
A. Sink      31  55  11  25  26  35  29  42  30  38
Undec        25  25  20  36  24  26  22  35  26  42

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. McCollum  25%/26% 17%/31% 33%/20% 21%/27% 27%/31% 22%/21%
A. Sink      23 /27  34 /18  14 /36  21 /25  19 /31  26 /23

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 9/29
S. Walker   46% 39%
S. Neumann  27  14
T. Michels  n/a  4
Undec       27  43

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind
T. Barrett  34% 60% 18% 31%
S. Neumann  34  11  50  39
Undec       30  28  30  28

-           All Dem GOP Ind
S. Walker   36% 13% 57% 38%
T. Barrett  31  54  16  29
Undec       31  32  27  30

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
S. Walker   37%/16% 15%/27% 57%/ 7% 40%/16% 33%/16%
S. Neumann  36 /16  15 /27  53 / 7  39 /15  24 /12
T. Barrett  34 /18  44 / 7  25 /26  38 /19  36 /12

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  48% 46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      35  35  39    35    34
Other         4   5   5     5     7
Undec        12  13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum  53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink      38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30  50 /32

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/20
N. Deal      43% 42%
R. Barnes    37  43
Other         7   7
Undec        14   8

-            Now 1/20
K. Handel    45% 42%
R. Barnes    36  43
Other         5   5
Undec        14  10

E. Johnson   37%
R. Barnes    37
Other         8
Undec        18

-            Now 1/20
J. Oxendine  45% 44%
R. Barnes    37  42
Other         7   6
Undec        10   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     1/20
J. Oxendine  58%/31% 59%/29%
K. Handel    53 /24  52 /24
R. Barnes    48 /43  52 /38
N. Deal      40 /27  44 /29
E. Johnson   36 /25   n/a

New Mexico
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 990 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/24). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 32%R, 15%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        47% 74% 11% 32% 44% 50% 42% 21% 57% 31%
J. Arnold-Jones  33  13  66  37  37  30  40  49  25  38
Undec            19  13  23  32  19  20  18  30  19  31

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        45% 71%  8% 32% 42% 48% 41% 35% 52% 32%
P. Domenici      40  17  75  47  44  37  44  48  35  49
Undec            15  12  17  20  14  16  15  16  13  19

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        46% 71% 11% 32% 44% 49% 42% 28% 54% 32%
S. Martinez      32  14  62  34  38  27  35  54  27  39
Undec            21  15  27  34  19  24  23  17  19  29

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        46% 73%  8% 27% 43% 48% 40% 28% 55% 28%
D. Turner        32  12  62  37  36  28  38  48  24  35
Undec            22  14  30  36  21  24  22  23  21  37

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        48% 75%  9% 32% 47% 48% 41% 35% 58% 34%
A. Weh           30  10  63  30  33  27  37  32  21  28
Undec            22  14  29  38  20  24  22  33  21  38

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind
D. Denish        41%/34% 57%/22% 18%/56% 31%/32%
P. Domenici      27 /35  19 /44  41 /20  25 /36
S. Martinez      17 /21  14 /23  20 /17  19 /19
D. Turner        12 /19   8 /24  16 /12  19 /18
A. Weh           12 /20   8 /25  20 /12  13 /22
J. Arnold-Jones   8 /21   9 /21   8 /18   8 /24

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 2/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,143 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 481 Dem RVs and 340 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.3%, respectively (release, 2/24). Tested: Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty (D), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato    6% 10%  10%
J. Wagner     6   4    9
J. Hoeffel    6   4    6
C. Doherty    4   4    3
A. Williams   1  n/a  n/a
T. Knox      n/a  2    3
Other         5   7    3
Undec        72  72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 1/24
T. Corbett   26% 23%
S. Rohrer     4   5
Other         5   3
Undec        65  69

Fav/Unfav

T. Corbett   21%/ 6%

Rhode Island
A Brown Univ. poll; conducted 2/9-12; surveyed 605 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 357 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 2/23). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

F. Caprio       31%
P. Lynch        22
Undec           48

General Election Matchups

L. Chafee       34%
F. Caprio       28
J. Robitaille   12
Undec           26

L. Chafee       33%
P. Lynch        18
J. Robitaille   14
Undec           36

Caprio As Treas.

-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good  43% 39%
Only fair/poor  31  26

Lynch As AG

-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good  37% 38%
Only fair/poor  53  47

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/24). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) and Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16 7/15 5/6
R. Perry         48% 44% 43%  46%   38%  46%  42%
K. B. Hutchison  27  29  33   35    40   36   38
D. Medina        16  16  12    4     3   n/a  n/a
Other            n/a n/a n/a  n/a   n/a   5    7
Undec             9  11  11   14    19   14   13

Perry As Gov.

-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16
Approve          66% 74% 68%  73%   69%
Disapprove       32  25  31   25    29

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/1     1/17    11/11   9/16
R. Perry         67%/31% 80%/19% 72%/26% 75%/24% 72%/26%
K. B. Hutchison  56 /42  67 /31  73 /25  75 /23  71 /26
D. Medina        35 /47  50 /29  43 /29  16 /29  18 /29

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Neumann  44%               S. Walker   49%
T. Barrett  42                T. Barrett  40
Other        4                Other        1
Undec       10                Undec       10

Fav/Unfav

S. Walker   55%/29%
M. Neumann  49 /31
T. Barrett  49 /36

Governor - Wisconsin (2010)

Governor (2010)
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 9/27-29; surveyed 700 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsamples of 289 Dems and 272 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.8% and 5.9%, respectively (release, 10/4). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 26%R, 29%I. Tested: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), LG Barbara Lawton (D), '04 SEN nominee Tim Michels (R), ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
T. Barrett  38%
B. Lawton   16
Undec       46

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
S. Walker   39%
S. Neumann  14
T. Michels   4
Undec       43

Fav/Unfav
T. Barrett  36%/12%
S. Walker   33 /16
S. Neumann  24 /12
B. Lawton   21 /21