Senate 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck      46% 45% 44% 44% 45% 43%  42%
M. Bennet    41  40  40  38  41  38   38
Other         5   5   3   6   5   4    8
Undec         8  11  12  11   8  15   12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15                
J. Norton    46% 48% 46% 48% 51% 49%  46%  45%
M. Bennet    40  41  41  39  37  37   37   36 
Other         9   5   5   7   5   3    8    7
Undec         5   6   8   6   7  11    8   12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck      45% 45% 45% 41% 45% 40%  41%
A. Romanoff  39  40  37  40  39  39   39
Other         6   5   4   5   6   5    6
Undec        11  11  13  13  10  16   14

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton    43% 46% 49% 44% 45% 47%  45%  45%
A. Romanoff  42  39  38  42  38  35   34   34
Other         7   6   5   6   7   5    7    8
Undec         8   8   8   9  10  14   15   15

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/3     4/5     3/2     2/2     1/13
A. Romanoff  45%/42% 46%/34% 39%/39% 42%/38% 40%/37% 40%/36%
K. Buck      44 /32  43 /33  42 /22  40 /23  43 /26  38 /20
J. Norton    44 /44  46 /39  43 /39  49 /34  49 /31  51 /28
M. Bennet    39 /50  45 /45  45 /41  42 /43  42 /40  42 /40

Connecticut
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted June 1-3 for ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/8). Tested: McMahon and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Blumenthal  51%
L. McMahon     38

Fav/Unfav

R. Blumenthal  55%/32%
L. McMahon     41 /32

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), developer/financier Jeff Greene (D), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio   37% 39%  34% 37%  42%
C. Crist   37  31   38  30   22
K. Meek    15  18   17  22   25
Undec      11  12   11  11   11

C. Crist   41%
M. Rubio   37
J. Greene  13
Undec      10

Crist As Gov.

-              Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14
Approve        60% 57%  62% 56%  57%  45%  52%  51%  52%
Disapprove     37  42   38  43   42   54   45   47   45

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/16    5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18
C. Crist   62%/37% 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41%
M. Rubio   46 /38  46 /43  42 /48  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27
K. Meek    30 /39  33 /36  32 /36  38 /31  33 /39  42 /33
J. Greene  28 /41   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/9). Tested: Crist, Greene, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchups

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13
C. Crist   37% 37% 28% 51% 36% 38% 32%
M. Rubio   33   7  64  26  39  29  30
K. Meek    17  44   2  10  13  20  24
Other      --   1  --   1   1  --  --
Not vote    1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Undec      11  11   6  10   9  12  13

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist   40% 46% 28% 51% 39% 40%
M. Rubio   33   6  66  25  36  31
J. Greene  14  35   2  10  13  16
Other       1  --  --   1   1  --
Not vote    1   1  --   1   1   1
Undec      11  11   4  12  10  12

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
C. Crist   52%/33% 55%/28% 44%/44% 59%/29% 48%/35% 52%/36%
M. Rubio   36 /28   8 /47  63 /11  31 /30  36 /22  32 /14
K. Meek    17 /13  34 / 6   5 /21  16 /11  18 / 8  18 / 8
J. Greene  11 /11  16 /11   4 /13  15 / 8   n/a     n/a
M. Ferre    8 / 6  14 / 7   5 / 8   7 / 4   n/a     n/a

Crist As Gov.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/09
Approve    57% 61% 49% 62% 55% 58% 49%  50%  59%   60%  62%
Disapprove 35  31  44  33  39  31  39   38   31    30   28

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Crist Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       43% 47% 39% 46% 41% 45%
What's popular     48  44  55  47  52  45

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Rubio Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       33% 22% 52% 30% 38% 29%
What's popular     42  54  28  47  42  43

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Meek Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       20% 35% 15% 16% 20% 19%
What's popular     36  25  38  40  41  31

As You May Know, Crist Dropped Out Of The GOP Primary To Run As An Indie? Which Statement About Crist Best Represents Your View -- Crist Left The GOP Because He No Longer Agreed With The Party's Core Beliefs, Or Crist Left The GOP Because He Thought He Could Not Win The Nomination?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
No longer agreed   32% 41% 20% 37% 28% 35%
Could not win nod  60  48  76  57  64  56

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 4/28 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         42% 46%  41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41% 
A. Giannoulias  39  38   37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            7   5    8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           12  12   13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/28    4/5     3/8     2/3
M. Kirk         48%/39% 52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33%
A. Giannoulias  39 /46  42 /47  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39

Governor 2010

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/4). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
M. Whitman  51% 51% 50% 63%  45%
S. Poizner  25  27  24  14   17
Other/undec 24  22  26  23   38

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/15    1/17    10/5
M. Whitman  62%/24% 56%/16% 34%/ 8% 29%/10%
S. Poizner  40 /39  20 /34  18 /19  24 /16

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Brown In The General Election?

M. Whitman  61%
S. Poizner  21
Undec       18

A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 5/30-6/1; surveyed 750 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/3). Tested: Poizner and Whitman. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Poizner is "Businessman" and Whitman is "Businesswoman".)

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 4/13
M. Whitman  54% 54% 55% 47%
S. Poizner  24  23  23  19
Other        4   4   3  n/a
Undec       16  17  17  31

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  43% 48% 41% 41%    T. Foley   38% 35% 44% 37% 
M. Fedele  34  28  38  33     N. Lamont  36  42  37  40
Other       4   9   9   8     Other       9  11   7   9
Undec      19  15  12  18     Undec      17  13  13  14

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  42% 44% 40% 36%    D. Malloy  44% 38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  28  27  37  35     T. Foley   35  35  44  36
Other       4  10   7   9     Other       5  11   8  10
Undec      25  20  16  21     Undec      17  16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/1     2/1
D. Malloy  52%/27% 46%/24% 47%/29% 43%/29%
N. Lamont  45 /34  53 /31  43 /40  43 /35
T. Foley   40 /25  42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  36 /26  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       44% 46% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  29  32  26
R. Roberts        12  11  13
Undec             15  11  19

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
T. Branstad       51% 15% 87% 56% 56% 46% 48% 54%
C. Culver         42  81   6  34  37  47  41  38
Undec              7   4   7  10   7   7  11   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         45% 83%  6% 41% 41% 49% 46% 48%
R. Roberts        35   6  70  34  40  30  36  26
Undec             20  11  24  25  19  21  18  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         43% 80%  6% 39% 39% 47% 44% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  42  10  83  39  48  36  40  38
Undec             15  10  11  22  13  17  16  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     5/5     2/17
T. Branstad       54%/36% 57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         44 /47  46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  41 /40  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        28 /37  27 /35  13 /16

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   48% 44% 52%
J. Gibbons    27  33  21
M. Montandon   6   7   5
Other          2   3   1
Undec         17  13  21

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       52% 85% 15% 55% 47% 57% 45% 83% 79%
J. Gibbons    31   4  62  27  38  24  37   2   7
Other          8   2  13  11  19   6  10   0   1
Undec          9   9  10   7   5  13   8  15  13

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       43% 78%  6% 40% 38% 48% 36% 80% 72%
M. Montandon  40   9  75  38  44  36  48   3  11
Other          7   3   8  13   7   7   8   0   1
Undec         10  10  11   9  11   9   8  17  16

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
B. Sandoval   51% 21% 84% 51% 56% 46% 59%  5% 26%
R. Reid       41  74   5  38  37  45  34  81  64
Other          5   3   6   9   5   5   6   0   0
Undec          3   2   5   2   2   4   1  14  10

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/28    9/2
B. Sandoval   47%/32% 24%/53% 74%/11% 43%/28%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       42 /39  68 /16  14 /62  39 /46   n/a     n/a
M. Montandon  32 /30   9 /52  59 / 8  29 /26   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    19 /62   5 /88  37 /33  12 /64  21%/59% 17%/61%

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/18 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  56% 48%  52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     33  45   39  35  31  36  34
Other           4   4    6   3   3   3   3
Undec           7   3    4   6   7   4   5

-              Now 5/18 5/4 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  55% 53%  54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      32  37   29  32  27  24
Other           3   4    6   4   6   6
Undec           9   5   11   6  10  10

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/18    5/4     4/7     3/2
R. Blumenthal  64%/32% 66%/32% 72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26%
P. Schiff      38 /26  43 /29  35 /33  41 /34  37 /34
L. McMahon     38 /47  54 /41  55 /31  45 /45  46 /42

Nevada
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-2; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: 06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Guaranteed Financial Services pres. Gary Bernstein (R), Sherry Brooks (R), Wall St. Banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), ex-Assemb. Min. Leader Garn Mabey (R), real estate investor Gary Marinch (R), Brian Nadell (R), project mgr./USMC vet Bill Parson (R), Cecilia Stern (R), Terry Suominen (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom
S. Angle        33% 38% 28%
D. Tarkanian    26  27  25
S. Lowden       25  23  27
J. Chachas       4   2   5
C. Christensen   4   3   4
G. Mabey         1   1   1
B. Parson        1   1   0
G. Marinch       0  --   0
B. Nadell        0  --   0
G. Bernstein    --  --  --
S. Brooks       --  --  --
C. Stern        --  --  --
T. Suominen     --  --  --
Undec            7   6   9

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Men     Wom
D. Tarkanian    65%/17% 69%/15% 62 /19
S. Lowden       52 /32  52 /31  51 /32
S. Angle        55 /25  64 /18  46 /31
B. Obama         9 /87   7 /90  10 /83

If It Was Apparent Your First Choice Could Not Win, For Which Candidate Would You Vote?

-               All Men Wom
S. Lowden       33% 17% 42%
D. Tarkanian    25  33  21
S. Angle        14  25   8
Undec           14   8  17

Which Candidate Has A Better Chance Of Defeating Reid In The General Election?

-               All Men Wom
S. Lowden       33% 30% 36%
S. Angle        27  31  23
D. Tarkanian    23  21  25
Undec           15  15  15

Senate 2010

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 5/19-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,506 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 521 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/30). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 28%R, 27%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Asseb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/30
C. Fiorina   38% 36% 40% 25%
T. Campbell  23  25  20  29
C. DeVore    16  17  14   9
Other         2   3   1   4
Undec        20  18  23  33

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Campbell  45% 18% 79% 52% 52% 40%
B. Boxer     38  64   7  31  33  41
Other         3   2   3   3   4   2
Undec        13  15  10  14  10  16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer     46% 76% 12% 37% 45% 46%
C. DeVore    36  10  73  40  40  34
Other         6   5   5  10   5   8
Undec        10   8  10  13   8  13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer     44% 72% 11% 38% 46% 41%
C. Fiorina   38  12  76  39  39  38
Other         4   2   3   8   3   5
Undec        13  12   9  14  11  14

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/30    11/2
B. Boxer     40%/44% 64%/17% 11%/78% 34%/51% 46%/37% 49%/36%
C. Fiorina   22 /20  11 /29  39 /10  24 /18  11 /16   9 /12
T. Campbell  19 /14  12 /15  30 /12  21 /14  18 /12  17 / 8
C. DeVore    10 / 9   4 / 9  17 / 9  11 / 7   8 / 6   6 / 4

Re-Elect Boxer?

-                        All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Definitely re-elect her  18% 33%  3% 13% 18% 19%
Probably re-elect her    16  27   5  13  15  17
Probably someone else    13  11  17  13  13  11
Definitely someone else  36  10  67  41  47  38
Depends                   4   4   2   5   3   3
Undec                    12  14   6  14   7  10

Do You Want A Sen. Who Will Mostly Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-        All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support  54% 86% 17% 46% 50% 58%
Oppose   35   5  75  39  41  29

Have You Seen Or Heard Any Radio Or TV Ads For Any SEN Or GOV Candidates?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes  77% 73% 84% 77% 79% 75%
No   21  25  14  21  20  23

Connecticut
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/28). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
L. McMahon     48% 54% 42%
R. Simmons     44  39  49
Undec           8   7   9

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/13
R. Blumenthal  52% 80%  9% 51% 49% 55% 56%
L. McMahon     33   7  77  32  37  29  34
Undec          15  13  14  17  14  16  10

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/13
R. Blumenthal  52% 79%  7% 48% 47% 53% 54%
R. Simmons     37   9  81  38  41  33  35
Undec          13  12  12  14  12  14  11

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/10
R. Blumenthal  53%/35% 77%/12% 16%/71% 52%/36%  n/a
R. Simmons     42 /35  20 /55  76 /10  43 /31  43%/17%
L. McMahon     31 /37   9 /53  69 /12  30 /36   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-              All     Men     Wom
L. McMahon     64%/12% 69%/10% 59%/14%
R. Simmons     62 /22  59 /26  65 /18

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 406 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/1). Tested: '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-          All Men Wom
R. Conlin  48% 46% 49%
B. Krause  13  13  13
T. Fiegen   8  11   5
Undec      31  29  32

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Men     Wom
R. Conlin  38%/15% 44%/17% 34%/14%
T. Fiegen  12 /16  14 /21  10 /12
B. Krause  11 /18  14 /26   9 /13

Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 5/25-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 569 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown: 54%D, 40%R, 5%I. Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/2 8/17
R. Paul    51% 29% 82% 47% 54% 48% 39%  38%
J. Conway  45  68  16  34  44  46  44   43
Undec       4   3   3  19   2   6  17   19

New Hampshire
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 505 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R) and '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 2/4
K. Ayotte      38% 36% 39% 37%
B. Binnie      29  31  28  23
O. Lamontagne   9  11   8  12
J. Bender       4   5   4  n/a
Undec          16  13  17  28

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/4
K. Ayotte      57%/16% 49%/11%
B. Binnie      52 /14  38 / 9
J. Bender      20 /15   n/a
O. Lamontagne  20 /17  26 /10

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/25
M. Whitman  54% 58% 50% 61%
S. Poizner  19  18  20  11
Other       15  16  14   4
Undec       12   8  16  24

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/25
M. Whitman  56%/23% 62%/ 9%
S. Poizner  31 /51  22 /22

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Poizner and Whitman.

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24
J. Brown    43% 50%  42%  46%  45%  43%   45%
S. Poizner  42  32   27   34   35   32    32
Other        7  10   13    7    9    7     5
Undec        8   8   18   13   11   18    18

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24 1/09
J. Brown    45% 44%  40%  43%  43%  41%   44%  40%
M. Whitman  41  38   40   43   39   41    35%  38
Other        8   9    6    6    7    3     3    5
Undec        7   9   14    8   11   14    18   17

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/19    3/15    2/15    1/19    11/17
J. Brown    53%/42% 51%/42% 46%/44% 53%/41% 49%/40% 48%/41%
M. Whitman  48 /47  47 /43  51 /34  56 /28  48 /30  47 /27
S. Poizner  48 /47  38 /46  29 /47  38 /37  40 /31  36 /26

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 379 Dem RVs and 231 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 5.0% and 6.5%, respectively (release, 5/27). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R) and businessman Oz Griebel (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom
N. Lamont   41% 43% 40%
D. Malloy   24  30  19
Other        2   3   2
Not vote     3   3   3
Undec       30  20  37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
T. Foley    37% 37% 37%
M. Fedele   11  13   6
O. Griebel   5   7   1
Other        3   3   2
Not vote     3   3   3
Undec       42  37  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
N. Lamont   46%/12% 47%/23% 45%/ 6% 43%/13%
D. Malloy   28 / 5  36 / 4  24 / 5  35 / 9

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
T. Foley    34%/ 6% 38%/ 9% 30%/ 2% 37%/ 6%
M. Fedele   15 / 6  21 / 7   7 / 5  11 / 8
O. Griebel  10 / 2  11 / 3   8 /--   5 / 3

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 428 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/27). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), management technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 4/6 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes     64% 47% 36%  35%
D. Porter      8   5   3    3
T. Baker       6  18   7   11
C. Camon       5  n/a n/a  n/a
D. Poythress   1   6   2    2
R. Mangham     1  n/a n/a  n/a
B. Bolton      0  n/a n/a  n/a
Other         n/a n/a  4   n/a
Undec         15  24  48   49

New Mexico
A KOB-TV poll; conducted 5/23-25 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,405 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 464 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 50%D, 37%R, 12%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      43% 41% 46%
A. Weh           33  34  32
D. Turner         8  11   6
P. Domenici       8   7   8
J. Arnold-Jones   3   2   3
Undec             5   6   5

General Election Matchups

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        49% 78% 14% 38% 45% 53%
J. Arnold-Jones  35  11  67  40  41  30
Undec            16  11  19  22  14  17

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        46% 71% 15% 43% 43% 49%
P. Domenici      40  19  70  34  45  36
Undec            14  10  16  24  13  15

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez      49% 23% 83% 50% 53% 45%
D. Denish        43  70   9  38  40  46
Undec             8   7   8  12   7   9

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        50% 79% 14% 40% 47% 53%
D. Turner        36  10  70  37  41  31
Undec            14  11  16  22  12  16

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        47% 77% 11% 36% 44% 50%
A. Weh           42  15  79  45  48  37
Undec            10   9  10  19   8  13

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  44% 46%  46%  44%     
T. Barrett  42  46   42   42
Other        6   4    4    4
Undec        8   5    8   10

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker   48% 46%  48%  49%
T. Barrett  41  44   42   40
Other        3   3    2    1
Undec        8   7    8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker   52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  48 /31  53 /31  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  48 /36  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27).

Barrett As Milwaukee Mayor

Approve     39%
Disapprove  23

Senate 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 2/25
C. Fiorina   44% 44% 43% 20%
T. Campbell  21  25  18  33
C. DeVore    14  18  11  11
Other         7   7   8   6
Undec        14   6  20  30

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/25
C. Fiorina   56%/17% 26%/18%
T. Campbell  35 /29  32 /15
C. DeVore    27 /19  18 /17

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Campbell, DeVore and Fiorina.

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     47% 82%  7% 36% 46% 49% 41% 67% 57% 64% 35%
T. Campbell  40   9  82  43  42  38  50  17  20  27  50
Undec        12  10  11  21  11  13   9  17  23   9  15

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     46% 80%  6% 35% 44% 49% 41% 61% 56% 55% 41%
C. DeVore    40   8  86  42  44  37  50  17  21  27  50
Undec        13  12   8  24  13  14   9  22  23  18   9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer     45% 78%  7% 32% 44% 46% 41% 67% 48% 55% 37%
C. Fiorina   42  10  87  42  44  40  50  17  30  27  48
Undec        13  12   6  26  12  14   8  17  23  18  15

Boxer As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
Approve      37% 67%  4% 24% 37% 37% 34% 56% 43% 27% 28%
Disapprove   46  13  89  50  49  43  54  22  30  36  59

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
C. Fiorina   22%/30%  6%/43% 48%/18% 15%/23% 22%/34% 21%/28%
T. Campbell  15 /18   7 /21  28 /19  16 /10  19 /20  12 /16
C. DeVore    10 /14   3 /18  20 /12   9 /10  42 /46  38 /49

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 1,159 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 231 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 5/27). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/09
L. McMahon     49% 46% 52% 44%  27%  17%  n/a  n/a  n/a
R. Simmons     23  24  21  34   37   28   43   42   48
P. Schiff      11  12   8   9    4    5    2   --   n/a
Other/others    1   1   1   1    2   13   11   11   11
Not vote        2   2   2   1    2    2    2    1    2
Undec          15  14  16  12   28   36   43   45   39

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  56% 83% 27% 56% 53% 59% 61%  64%
L. McMahon     31   8  64  31  34  29  28   23
Other           1   1   2   1   2   1   1    1
Not vote        2   1   1   2   2   1   1    1
Undec          10   8   7   9   9  11  10   11

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  59% 85% 26% 59% 56% 63% 64%  66%
P. Schiff      25   5  53  24  30  19  21   19
Other           1   1   1   2   2   1  --    1
Not vote        2   2   4   2   2   2   2    1
Undec          13   8  15  12  10  15  13   14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal  55% 82% 26% 53% 51% 59% 62%  62%
R. Simmons     28   5  57  30  35  21  26   27
Other           2   1   1   3   2   1   1   --
Not vote        3   1   4   3   2   3   1    1
Undec          13  10  12  11  10  16  10   10

Blumenthal As AG

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20
Approve    76% 88% 63% 76% 75% 76% 79%  84%  78%  78%  79%
Disapprove 16   6  31  14  19  12  13   11   13   14   13

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
R. Blumenthal  61%/29% 82%/10% 41%/49% 58%/33% 70%/18%
R. Simmons     36 /14  25 /19  50 /10  40 /13  38 /21
L. McMahon     32 /39  15 /55  60 /20  31 /40  36 /26
P. Schiff      15 / 6   7 / 8  31 / 4  11 / 7  10 / 6

Do You Think ___ Has The Right Kind Of Experience To Be A Sen. From CT?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  76% 15%
R. Simmons     52  13
L. McMahon     29  52

Would You Say That ___ Cares About The Needs And Problems Of People Like You?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  69% 21%
R. Simmons     48  17
L. McMahon     45  33

Would You Say That ___ Is Honest And Trustworthy?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  60% 27%
R. Simmons     52  11
L. McMahon     45  24

Would You Say That ___ Has Strong Leadership Qualities?

-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal  73% 19%
L. McMahon     54  23
R. Simmons     49  15

How Much Have You Heard Or Read About The Controversy Regarding Blumenthal's Statements About His Military Service During The Vietnam War?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A lot          62% 56% 68% 66% 64% 29%
Some           26  33  18  25  26  26
Not much        7   5   7   6   6   8
Nothing at all  4   3   6   3   3   4

Does This Controversy Make You Think More/Less Favorably Of Blumenthal, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More favorably  4%  4%  3%  5%  5%  4%
Less favorably 43  27  62  46  49  36
No difference  51  66  34  47  44  56

How Important Will This Controversy Be To Your Vote In The General Election For Sen. In Nov.?

-                      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Very important         20%  9% 32% 23% 23% 18%
Somewhat important     21  17  26  21  16  25
Not too important      20  21  16  21  20  19
Not important at all   37  48  24  34  39  34

Does The Controversy About Blumenthal's Statements Regarding His Military Service During The Vietnam War Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     2%  3%  3%  2%  4%  1%
Less likely    33  17  51  35  35  31
No difference  61  75  44  60  60  62

Which One Better Describes How Blumenthal Has Portrayed His Military Service During The Vietnam War?

-                                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Blumenthal has misspoken/not lied  54% 69% 36% 52% 50% 58%
Blumenthal has lied                38  22  56  41  45  32

Are You Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Blumenthal's Explanation Of This Matter?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied      53% 72% 36% 51% 50% 56%
Not satisfied  35  19  54  38  41  31

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 2/16
R. Wyden    51% 49%
J. Huffman  38  35
Other        4   7
Undec        7   9

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/16
R. Wyden    56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman  42 /22  33 /24

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Jim DeMint (R) and Charleston Co. Councilor/ex-circuit judge/ex-state Rep. Vic Rawl (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. DeMint   49% 10% 82% 48% 56% 43% 62%  8% 34%
V. Rawl     30  60   7  27  28  32  22  54  41
Undec       21  30  11  25  16  25  15  38  24

DeMint As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
Approve     43% 14% 67% 42% 50% 37% 51% 21% 21% 44%
Disapprove  36  59  15  42  38  35  31  51  48  29

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
V. Rawl      5%/14%  4%/18%  5%/11%  4%/14%  6%/16%  3%/12%

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

R. Feingold  46%
R. Johnson   44
Other         3
Undec         6

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17   
R. Feingold  47% 49%  49%  47%    
T. Wall      41  43   40   39     
Other         5   3    3    6     
Undec         7   5    9    7 

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold  47% 49%  51%  47%
D. Westlake  38  38   35   37
Other         7   4    5    6
Undec         8   9   10   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold  53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson   42 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
T. Wall      38 /30  35 /33  39 /28  34 /35   n/a
D. Westlake  36 /26  30 /34  34 /26  33 /31   n/a

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/26).

Feingold As Sen.

Approve      56%
Disapprove   39

Re-Elect Feingold?

Deserves re-election      45%
Give new person a chance  49

Senate 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/10
T. Campbell  37% 41% 33% 33%
C. Fiorina   22  17  27  24
C. DeVore    14  18  10   7
Undec        27  24  30  36

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10
B. Boxer     47% 80%  7% 42% 41% 53% 47%
T. Campbell  40   9  82  40  46  34  43
Undec        13  11  11  18  13  13  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer     47% 80%  7% 43% 41% 53% 49%  53%
C. DeVore    38   7  80  38  44  32  39   29
Undec        15  13  13  19  15  15  12   18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer     48% 82%  7% 43% 42% 54% 49%  52%
C. Fiorina   39   8  81  39  45  33  40   31
Undec        13  10  12  18  13  13  11   17

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
B. Boxer     49%/42% 73%/17% 18%/77% 48%/40% 50%/45% 49%/43%
T. Campbell  43 /42  21 /64  71 /15  44 /41  46 /37  38 /29
C. Fiorina   40 /43  17 /66  68 /14  41 /44  35 /43  22 /29
C. DeVore    38 /44  15 /66  68 /13  40 /45  34 /42  21 /27

Connecticut
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 5/19-20 for AG Dick Blumenthal (D); surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/24). Tested: Blumenthal and ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Blumenthal  55%
L. McMahon     40

Fav/Unfav

R. Blumenthal  55%/28%

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), ex-Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre (D) and developer/financier Jeff Greene (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

K. Meek    33%
M. Ferre   10
J. Greene   9
Other       3
Not vote    4
Undec      41

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind
C. Crist   30% 38% 26% 39%
M. Rubio   27   8  51  12
K. Meek    15  33   3   7
Other       2   1   1   9
Not vote    3   2   0   5
Undec      23  18  19  29

Does Crist Leaving The GOP And Running As An Indie Make You More/Less Likely Top Vote For Him, Or Has It Not Changed Your View Of Him?

-                                            All Dem GOP Ind
More likely                                  24% 36% 12% 26%
Less likely                                  21  11  35  10
Not changed/wld vote for him in any case     25  28  23  29
Not changed/wldn't vote for him in any case  17  16  20   0

As You May Know, FL's State Legislature Has Passed A New Bill That Would Require Ultrasound Tests For Pregnant Women Seeking Abortions In The First Trimester. The Woman Would Be Required To Pay For The Ultrasound And Look At The Image Or Listen To A Description Of The Image On The Ultrasound. The New Bill Would Also Mean That The Woman's Insurance Would Not Cover The Abortion If Her Employer Accepts Any Gov't Funds. Do You Believe That Crist Should Veto This Bill Or Allow This Bill To Pass Into Law?

-      All Dem GOP Ind
Veto   55% 60% 47% 72%
Pass   31  26  40  26
Undec  14  14  12   2

As You May Know, Crist Recently Vetoed The Teacher Tenure Bill That Was Approved By GOPers In The FL House And Senate. This Bill Would Have Replaced Multi-Year Contracts For New Teachers With Annual Evaluations. Do You Agree/Disagree With Crist's Decision To Veto The Bill?

-              All Dem GOP Ind
Agree          53% 54% 51% 60%
Disagree       29  29  32  26
Neither/undec  19  17  17  14

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 4/15
J. DioGuardi   15% 15% 14% 24%
B. Blakeman     8  12   4   7
D. Malpass      4   3   5   5
Undec          74  70  76  65

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand  51% 71% 22% 44% 50% 52% 46%  48%  51%
B. Blakeman    24   9  50  28  28  21  26   24   24
Undec          25  20  28  28  22  27  28   28   25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand  51% 70% 23% 46% 50% 52% 46%
J. DioGuardi   25   8  54  30  29  22  27
Undec          24  22  24  24  21  26  27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand  53% 73% 21% 47% 53% 52% 46%
D. Malpass     22   6  50  26  25  20  24
Undec          25  21  29  27  22  28  30

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15
K. Gillibrand  42%/24% 47%/18% 34%/34% 38%/27% 34%/25%
J. DioGuardi   10 / 8   9 / 7  12 / 5  12 /10  10 / 8
B. Blakeman     6 / 6   6 / 6   6 / 4   5 / 8   6 / 6
D. Malpass      5 / 6   6 / 6   5 / 4   3 / 8   5 / 5

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19 1/14
Elect her      36% 46% 24% 27% 37% 34% 27%  28%  30%  29%
Prefer another 38  27  54  41  40  36  40   38   40   45
Undec          27  26  22  32  23  30  33   34   30   26

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R), Nassau Co. Comp. George Maragos (R), '08 Assemb. candidate/businessman James Staudenraus (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/12
C. Schumer      78% 83% 75% 76% 86% 89% 83%
R. Credico      11  11  11  14   4   5   9
Undec           11   6  14  10  11   5   8

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom
J. Townsend     10% 12% 10%
G. Maragos       5   3   6
G. Berntsen      3   6   1
J. Staudenraus   1   1   1
Undec           81  78  83

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      64% 83% 35% 58% 62% 66%
G. Berntsen     23   7  49  26  29  18
Undec           13  10  16  17  10  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      65% 83% 35% 59% 62% 67%
G. Maragos      22   7  51  23  28  17
Undec           13  10  14  17  10  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      65% 84% 35% 57% 62% 67%
J. Staudenraus  21   7  47  23  26  17
Undec           14   9  18  20  11  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      63% 82% 35% 54% 60% 66%
J. Townsend     24   9  51  27  31  18
Undec           13   9  14  19   9  16

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
C. Schumer      64%/27% 77%/15% 47%/41% 54%/35% 62%/27%
J. Townsend      9 / 7  11 / 8   6 / 6   8 / 7   n/a
G. Maragos       6 / 6   7 / 5   2 / 6   7 / 6   n/a
R. Credico       4 / 6   5 / 5   2 / 6   3 / 9   n/a
J. Staudenraus   3 / 4   2 / 4   3 / 5   3 / 4   n/a
G. Berntsen      3 / 5   4 / 4   2 / 4   2 / 9   n/a

Re-Elect Schumer?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
Re-elect him    52% 69% 35% 38% 51% 53% 56%  55%
Prefer another  35  20  50  49  39  32  31   36
Undec           13  11  15  13  10  15  13    9

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18-19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   72% 69%  68%  71%
T. Potter   23  24   25   17
Other        2   2    2    4
Undec        3   5    5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 4/20 12/15
Approve     87% 83%  87%
Disapprove  12  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   38 /33  43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

House 2010

CT-04
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/19-20 for Easton Selectman/Private Equity Investment Co. Managing Dir. Tom Herrmann (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Tested: Hermann, state Sen. Dan Debicella, businessman Rob Merkle and businessman/ex-Bridgeport mayoral candidate Rick Torres.

Primary Election Matchup

T. Herrmann   16%
D. Debicella   8
R. Torres      6
R. Merkle      5
Undec         64

ND-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18-19; surveyed 500 Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D) and state Rep. Rick Berg (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/20 3/24 2/10
R. Berg     52% 49%  51%  46%
E. Pomeroy  43  45   44   40
Other        2   2    1    3
Undec        3   4    4   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/20    3/24    2/10
R. Berg     56%/27% 53%/28% 56%/22%  n/a
E. Pomeroy  49 /50  51 /48  48 /49  48%/46%

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      52% 47%  48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  40  42   41   31   43
Other           2   2    3    7    6
Undec           6   8    8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/13    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain      70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  67 /31  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

Obama As POTUS

-              Now 4/13
Approve        10% 14%
Disapprove     88  86

California
A M4 Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13, 5/16 for the Small Business Action Cmte; surveyed 600 "high propensity" GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/18). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Campbell  33%
C. Fiorina   28
C. DeVore    15
Undec        22

Fav/Unfav

T. Campbell  42%/13%
C. Fiorina   39 /13
C. DeVore    19 / 5

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/19). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
M. Bennet    45% 81% 10% 39% 41% 50% 46% 39%  40%
K. Buck      39   6  74  40  47  31  40  35   34
Undec        16  13  16  21  12  20  14  19   16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet    44% 77% 11% 42% 40% 49% 43%
J. Norton    41   9  78  40  48  34  43
Undec        14  14  11  18  12  17  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet    44% 78% 10% 39% 38% 49% 45%
T. Wiens     36   7  70  35  42  30  37
Undec        20  15  20  26  20  21  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  41% 79%  6% 34% 37% 45% 44%
K. Buck      38   6  76  36  47  29  36
Undec        21  16  18  29  16  26  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  43% 79%  9% 38% 39% 48% 44%
J. Norton    41   7  77  42  49  32  39
Undec        16  14  14  20  12  20  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  41% 78%  6% 35% 36% 46% 45%
T. Wiens     37   8  73  33  46  28  34
Undec        22  14  21  32  18  25  21

Bennet As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
Approve      34% 54% 13% 32% 31% 37% 32% 31%  34%
Disapprove   44  20  69  47  52  37  46  38   41

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8     8/16
A. Romanoff  31%/26% 48%/14% 11%/38% 32%/26% 28%/26%  n/a
J. Norton    20 /32   9 /45  34 /23  19 /26  25 /35   n/a
K. Buck      19 /24   7 /36  32 /15  19 /18  14 /18  17%/18%
T. Wiens      8 /16   6 /20  11 /15   6 /13  11 /17   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  48% 52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     45  39  35  31  36  34
Other           4   6   3   3   3   3
Undec           3   4   6   7   4   5

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  53% 54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      37  29  32  27  24
Other           4   6   4   6   6
Undec           5  11   6  10  10

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  50% 55% 52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     39  32  38  32  35  33
Other           6   5   4   3   4   4
Undec           5   8   6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/4     4/7     3/2     2/1
R. Blumenthal  66%/32% 72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%
R. Simmons     54 /37  48 /32  48 /40  52 /35  60 /26
L. McMahon     54 /41  55 /31  45 /45  46 /42  51 /34
P. Schiff      43 /29  35 /33  41 /34  37 /34   n/a

Kansas
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13 for Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: Moran, ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Rep. Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Moran       53%
T. Tiahrt      27
R. Londerholm   4
Undec          16

Fav/Unfav

J. Moran       67%/ 7%
T. Tiahrt      50 /12

Governor 2010

Alabama
An Ayers, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Tested: James, state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. James    26%
R. Moore    21
B. Byrne    20
R. Bentley   7

Fav/Unfav

T. James    50%/12%
R. Moore    49 /23
B. Byrne    35 /13

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   32% 29% 35%
B. Mills    14  16  12
D. Martin   13  16  10
J. Munger    5   6   4
Undec       36  33  39

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 86% 15% 55% 44% 52% 41% 80% 74%
J. Brewer   42   6  73  36  47  37  51   3   9
Undec       10   9  12   9   9  11   8  17  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 14% 54% 43% 51% 40% 80% 74%
D. Martin   35   6  61  30  39  31  43   2   6
Undec       18  10  25  16  18  18  17  18  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 85% 14% 56% 44% 52% 41% 82% 75%
B. Mills    34   6  60  27  38  30  42   2   6
Undec       18   9  26  17  18  18  17  17  19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 13% 55% 44% 50% 40% 80% 75%
J. Munger   30   5  55  22  34  26  36   2   6
Undec       23  11  32  23  22  24  24  18  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
T. Goddard  46%/25% 75%/ 8% 22%/40% 49%/22%  n/a
J. Brewer   36 /51   9 /79  64 /25  25 /59  39%/54%
D. Martin   28 /17  13 /28  48 /10  17 /14   n/a
B. Mills    17 /20   9 /34  48 /11  16 /17   n/a
J. Munger    9 /15   4 /22  14 /10   7 /14   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  48% 41% 41%        N. Lamont  42% 37% 40% 
M. Fedele  28  38  33         N. Lamont  35  44  37
Other       9   9   8         Other      11   7   9
Undec      15  12  18         Undec      13  13  14

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  44% 40% 36%        D. Malloy  38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  27  37  35         T. Foley   35  44  36
Other      10   7   9         Other      11   8  10
Undec      20  16  21         Undec      16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/1     2/1
N. Lamont  53%/31% 43%/40% 43%/35%
D. Malloy  46 /24  47 /29  43 /29
T. Foley   42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
T. Branstad       48% 12% 85% 51% 53% 43% 54%
C. Culver         41  80   6  34  37  45  38
Undec             11   8   9  15  10  12   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         46% 83%  7% 43% 42% 50% 48%
R. Roberts        36   7  71  35  41  31  26
Undec             18  10  22  22  17  19  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         44% 81%  6% 43% 42% 50% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  40   9  78  38  45  35  38
Undec             16  10  16  21  15  17  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/17
T. Branstad       57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        27 /35  13 /16

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
J. Hoeffel   11  12  11   9   7   6
T. Williams  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
D. Onorato   40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10% 42%/ 6% 42%/ 6% 45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7  25 / 8  22 / 8  23 / 7
T. Williams  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12  18 /13  16 /13  18 /14
J. Wagner    19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7  22 /10  19 /11  21 /11

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     39  35  31  36  34
Other           6   3   3   3   3
Undec           4   6   7   4   5

-              Now 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      29  32  27  24
Other           6   4   6   6
Undec          11   6  10  10

-              Now 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  55% 52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     32  38  32  35  33
Other           5   4   3   4   4
Undec           8   6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/7     3/2     2/1     12/7    9/10
R. Blumenthal  72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%  n/a     n/a
R. Simmons     48 /32  48 /40  52 /35  60 /26  48%/30% 53%/32%
L. McMahon     55 /31  45 /45  46 /42  51 /34  45 /35   n/a
P. Schiff      35 /33  41 /34  37 /34   n/a    35 /31  27 /35

Kentucky
A WKYT-TV/WAVE-TV/Lexington Herald-Leader poll; conducted 5/2-4 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/5). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 47%D, 42%R, 11%I. Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom
D. Mongiardo    39% 43% 35%
J. Conway       32  29  35
D. Price         6   5   7
J. Buckmaster    4   5   3
M. Sweeney       2   2   2
Undec           17  16  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom
R. Paul         44% 45% 42%
T. Grayson      32  33  31  
J. Stephenson    3   4   2
G. Martin        3   4   2
J. Scribner      1   1   1
Undec           17  13  22

Which Is The Single Most Important Issue In Determining Your Vote?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Economy         41% 43% 38% 42% 38% 44%
Gov't spending  21  16  26  22  25  17
Health care     14  20   8  12   8  20
Nat'l security   8   5  13   7   8  20
Immigration      5   4   5   6   6   4
Moral values     4   3   5   4   4   4
Energy policy    3   5   1   3   2   4
Other            2   2   1   2   3   1

A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for Mongiardo; surveyed 504 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/5). Tested: Mongiardo, Conway, Price and Sweeney.

Primary Election Matchup

-               Now 2/4
D. Mongiardo    46% 43%
J. Conway       34  25
D. Price         2   2
M. Sweeney       2   1
Undec           16  29

A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 5/2-4 for Conway; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/5). Tested: Conway, Buckmaster, Mongiardo, Price and Sweeney.

Primary Election Matchup

-               Now 10/7
J. Conway       37% 37%
D. Mongiardo    31  40
Others           5  n/a
Undec           28  23

Conway As AG

-               Now 10/7
Excellent/good  48% 43%
Fair/poor       30  32

Mongiardo As LG

-               Now 10/7
Excellent/good  40% 39%
Fair/poor       43  43

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/5). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 3/9                       Now 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  49% 45%            P. Murray  52% 48% 48% 50%
P. Akers   35  37             D. Benton  38  40  37  38 
Other       6   5             Other       3   4   3   3 
Undec      10  13             Undec       7   8  12   9 

-          Now 4/6 3/9 2/11              Now 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  51% 47% 49% 49%    P. Murray  48% 48% 46% 46%
C. Didier  36  37  30  34     D. Rossi   46  46  49  48
Other       4   5   6   4     Other       2   3   3   1
Undec       8  11  15  13     Undec       3   4   2   5 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
D. Benton  32 /30  34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers   31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a
C. Didier  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28

An Elway Poll; conducted 4/29-5/2; surveyed 405 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/5). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 27%R, 31%. Tested: Murray, Akers, Benton, Didier and Rossi.

General Election Matchups

P. Murray  50%                P. Murray  51%
P. Akers   26                 D. Benton  27
Undec      24                 Undec      22

P. Murray  50%                P. Murray  51%
C. Didier  24                 D. Rossi   34
Undec      26                 Undec      15

Murray As Sen.

-               Now 6/28 5/03 4/02 6/99 4/98 7/95 1/94 7/93
Excellent/good  48% 53%  44%  47%  50%  40%  44%  44%  40%
Only fair/poor  46  34   47   42   44   50   45   38   37

Is ___ A Reason To Vote For Murray, For Someone Else, Or Not A Factor One Way Or Another?

-                          ForMurray ForSomeoneElse NoFactor
Ability                    55%       31%            15%
Character/integrity        55        25             20
Dem leader                 51        31             19
Political philosophy       47        34             19
Stands on specific issues  47        34             18
People she represents      49        32             19

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     35  31  36  34
Other           3   3   3   3
Undec           6   7   4   5

-              Now 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      32  27  24
Other           4   6   6
Undec           6  10  10

-              Now 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     38  32  35  33
Other           4   3   4   4
Undec           6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/2     2/1     12/7    9/10
R. Blumenthal  69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%  n/a     n/a
R. Simmons     48 /40  52 /35  60 /26  48%/30% 53%/32%
L. McMahon     45 /45  46 /42  51 /34  45 /35   n/a
P. Schiff      41 /34  37 /34   n/a    35 /31  27 /35

Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,894 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.3%. Subsamples of 659 Dem primary LVs and 446 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 4/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 53%D, 39%R, 9%I. Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom 3/3 11/2 8/17
D. Mongiardo   35% 36% 33% 45% 39%  39%
J. Conway      32  29  35  27  28   31
D. Price        5   5   5   4   2    3
J. Buckmaster   4   4   4   3  n/a  n/a
M. Sweeney      2   3   1   2   1    1
Others         n/a n/a n/a n/a 15   13
Undec          21  21  22  19  16   14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/3 11/2 8/17
R. Paul        45% 45% 46% 42% 35%  26%
T. Grayson     30  33  26  27  32   37
J. Stephenson   3   3   2   2  n/a  n/a
G. Martin       2   1   3   3  n/a  n/a
J. Scribner     1   1   1   1  n/a  n/a
Others         n/a n/a n/a  5  16   20         
Undec          19  16  22  19  18   17

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/3
Generic GOPer  44% 18% 80% 37% 48% 40% 43%
Generic Dem    41  67   6  33  39  43  42
Undec          15  14  13  30  13  17  16

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter    52% 57%  57%  53%  46%
C. Melancon  36  34   33   35   36
Other         4   3    3    4    5
Undec         8   6    7    8   13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter    60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon  46 /41  43 /44  39 /45  39 /46  43 /39

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 411 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/13). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      64% 72% 57%
B. Blakeman    15  12  19
Other           1   1   1
Not vote        1   1   1
Undec          19  15  23

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1
K. Gillibrand  47% 72% 15% 43% 47% 47% 44%
B. Blakeman    25   5  62  23  30  21  27
Other           1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Not vote        3   3   3   3   5   2   2
Undec          24  19  20  28  17  30  26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
G. Pataki      45% 22% 81% 49% 50% 40%
K. Gillibrand  40  65   9  32  40  40
Other           1   1  --   2   1   1
Not vote        2   1   3   1   3   1
Undec          13  11   7  16   7  18

Gillibrand As Sen.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve    47% 64% 30% 40% 49% 45% 42% 40%   32%   33%  37%
Disapprove 25   9  44  31  30  20  28  21    20    19   15

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/1
G. Pataki      52%/33% 42%/43% 75%/14% 52%/32%  n/a
K. Gillibrand  37 /23  51 /11  23 /43  32 /24  33%/22%
B. Blakeman     7 / 6   4 /10  16 / 3   5 / 4  11 / 4

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/13).

Do You Feel Schumer Deserves To Be Re-Elected?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1
Yes/deserves    53% 75% 29% 48% 52% 55% 54%
No/does not     32  13  54  39  39  25  33

Schumer As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve     61% 78% 41% 59% 59% 62% 58% 62%   62%   58%  63%
Disapprove  26  10  44  31  31  21  30  27    24    27   23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/13). Tested: Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D), librarian Ann Worthy (D), Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R) and disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall    23% 21% 24% 25% 21%  5% 20%  29%
C. Cunningham  17  22  14  13  26  32  16   12
K. Lewis        9   7  11   9  10   9  11    5
S. Harris       4   5   3   5   1   5   4   n/a
A. Worthy       1   2   1   1   1  --   0   n/a
M. Williams     0   1   0   0  --   5   2    2
Undec          45  42  47  47  40  45  47   51

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/15 2/15
R. Burr        67% 70% 64% 58%  55%
B. Jones        7   4  11   5   10
E. Burks        3   4   1   4    3
L. Linney       1   1  --   1   n/a
Undec          23  21  24  33   31

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-              All     Men     Wom     3/15    2/15
E. Marshall    32%/ 7% 29%/11% 34%/ 5% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
K. Lewis       11 / 9  15 /11   8 / 8   9 /12   9 / 9
C. Cunningham   8 / 6  11 / 7   7 / 6   8 / 9   9 / 7

Burr As Sen. (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
Approve        63% 69% 55%
Disapprove     17  18  15

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
N. Lamont  41% 41%            T. Foley   44% 37%
M. Fedele  38  33             N. Lamont  37  40
Other       9   8             Other       7   9
Undec      12  18             Undec      13  14

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
D. Malloy  40% 36%            T. Foley   44% 36%
M. Fedele  37  35             D. Malloy  35  37
Other       7   9             Other       8  10
Undec      16  21             Undec      14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/1
D. Malloy  47%/29% 43%/29%
T. Foley   45 /25  42 /22
N. Lamont  43 /40  43 /35
M. Fedele  38 /26  39 /22

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 396 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Galloway, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4/7). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     18  13   10   9
N. Deal        9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   7    7   3
Others        11   8    4   6
Undec         31  36   45  50

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady    43% 19% 80% 39% 44% 42%
P. Quinn    33  53   7  31  34  32
Undec       24  28  13  30  22  26

Quinn As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve     25% 37% 10% 23% 22% 27% 25%
Disapprove  53  36  77  54  58  49  55

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Brady    25%/20% 11%/27% 44%/11% 24%/19% 27%/25% 23%/17%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   23  19  25    23
Undec       15  14  14    19

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  38% 34% 32%   34%
T. Cahill   33  30  28    23
C. Mihos    15  19  26    23
Undec       14  16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   49%/29% 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
D. Patrick  49 /48  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40%/56% 48%/51%
C. Baker    43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30  37 /27
C. Mihos    31 /51  38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 3/28-31 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/7). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                 Now
A. Dillon         22%
V. Bernero        15
A. Wheeler Smith  11
Other             10
Undec             42

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 27%  25%  29%
M. Cox        21  21   32   28
R. Snyder     15  12    3    3
M. Bouchard   13  10   16   14
T. George      3   1    2    2
Other          3   3   n/a  n/a
Undec         18  26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Cox        44%
V. Bernero    30
Undec         26

-             Now 2/25 1/26
M. Cox        43% 43%  47%    
A. Dillon     34  36   30     
Undec         23  21   23

P. Hoekstra   42%
V. Bernero    29
Undec         29

-             Now 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra   40% 41%  40%
A. Dillon     33  37   32
Undec         27  21   28

R. Snyder     42%
V. Bernero    26
Undec         32

R. Snyder     42%
A. Dillon     30
Undec         28

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox            38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero         8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   5 / 4   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5
T. George          4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs and 491 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 4/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   20% 18% 22% 16%
J. Hoeffel   15  16  13  10
J. Wagner    13  15  12  11
T. Williams   5   6   4   2
Other         1   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        47  44  49  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   58% 66% 51% 43%
S. Rohrer     7   7   6   5
Other         1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        35  27  42  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
D. Onorato   27%/ 6% 26%/ 7% 28%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 5  24 / 5  18 / 4
J. Hoeffel   18 / 4  20 / 6  17 / 4
T. Williams   6 / 3   8 / 4   5 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   51%/ 3% 59%/ 3% 44%/ 3%
S. Rohrer     8 / 2   8 / 3   8 /--

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 549 Dem RVs and 387 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.2% and 5.0%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Puerto Rican Legal Defense and Education Fund head/ex-state Rep. Juan Figueroa (D), '06 LG nominee/Simsbury first selectwoman Mary Glassman (D), '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), Ridgefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi (D), Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton (R), ex-Rep./ex-state Sen./ex-Univ. of New Haven pres. Larry DeNardis (R), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R), businessman Oz Griebel (R), First Selectman Tom Marsh (R) and Newington mayor Jeff Wright (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
N. Lamont    28% 33% 24%
D. Malloy    18  15  20
M. Glassman   4   3   5
R. Marconi    2   3   2
J. Figueroa   1  --   2
Other         1   1  --
Not vote      2   4   1
Undec        44  41  46

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/19
T. Foley     30% 33% 27% 17%
M. Boughton   4   4   4   6
M. Fedele     4   4   3   8
L. DeNardis   2   3   2   4
J. Wright     2   3  --  n/a
O. Griebel    2   2   1   2
T. Marsh     --  --   1  n/a
Other         2   2   2   2
Not vote      3   2   5   2
Undec        50  47  54  59

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
N. Lamont    43%/13% 47%/17% 41%/10%
D. Malloy    35 / 9  33 /14  36 / 6
M. Glassman  12 / 5  11 / 3  12 / 6
R. Marconi    6 / 3   7 / 5   6 / 1
J. Figueroa   5 / 1   4 / 2   6 /--

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Foley     37%/ 6% 42%/ 7% 31%/ 3%
M. Fedele    11 / 8  11 / 9  12 / 6
M. Boughton   9 / 5  13 / 7   4 / 4
L. DeNardis   6 / 9   6 / 9   6 / 9
J. Wright     5 / 2   8 / 2   2 / 1
O. Griebel    5 / 3   5 / 3   4 / 4
T. Marsh      5 / 4   5 / 3   5 / 6

Michigan
An Inside Michigan Politics poll; conducted 3/10-15 by Marketing Resource Group; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 175 Dem primary LVs and 245 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 7.4% and 6.3%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         21%
V. Bernero         9
A. Wheeler Smith   6
Undec             64

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

M. Cox            21%
P. Hoekstra       21
R. Synder         20
M. Bouchard       10
T. George          1
Undec             27

General Election Matchups

M. Bouchard       45%         M. Bouchard       41%
V. Bernero        23          A. Dillon         26
Undec             30          Undec             31

M. Cox            45%         M. Cox            44%
V. Bernero        26          A. Dillon         27
Undec             27          Undec             27

P. Hoekstra       43%         P. Hoekstra       43%
V. Bernero        27          A. Dillon         27
Undec             28          Undec             28

R. Snyder         44%         R. Snyder         42%
V. Bernero        24          A. Dillon         26
Undec             31          Undec             30

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 1,451 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsamples of 549 Dems and 387 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.2% and 5.0%, respectively (release, 3/17). Tested: Businessman/ex-USAF officer Merrick Alpert (D), AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom 1/12
R. Blumenthal  81% 79% 82% 82%
M. Alpert       6   9   4   4
Other          --  --  --   1
Not vote       --   1  --   2
Undec          13  11  14  12

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/25
L. McMahon     44% 40% 50% 27%  17%  n/a  n/a  n/a
R. Simmons     34  38  28  37   28   43   42   48
P. Schiff       9  12   5   4    5    2   --   n/a
Other/others    1   1   2   2   13   11   11   11
Not vote        1   1  --   2    2    2    1    2
Undec          12   9  15  28   36   43   45   39

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/12
R. Blumenthal  61% 90% 31% 54% 56% 65% 64%
L. McMahon     28   4  63  32  33  24  23
Other           1  --  --   1   1  --   1
Not vote        1  --  --   1   1  --   1
Undec          10   5   5  13   9  11  11

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/12
R. Blumenthal  64% 92% 36% 58% 59% 69% 66%
P. Schiff      21   2  53  23  28  15  19
Other          --   1  --  --  --   1   1
Not vote        2  --   1   2   1   2   1
Undec          13   6  13  17  12  14  14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/12
R. Blumenthal  62% 91% 30% 56% 56% 68% 62%
R. Simmons     26   4  62  28  35  18  27
Other           1  --  --   2  --   1  --
Not vote        1  --   1   1   1   1   1
Undec          10   5   7  13   8  12  10

Blumenthal As AG

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/25
Approve    79% 90% 64% 79% 73% 84% 84%  78%  78%  79%  78%
Disapprove 13   2  31  14  19   8  11   13   14   13    9

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/12
R. Blumenthal  70%/18% 85%/ 3% 52%/41% 68%/19% 74%/13%
R. Simmons     38 /21  31 /24  63 /14  34 /21  36 /18
L. McMahon     36 /26  20 /37  63 /16  40 /21  24 /21
P. Schiff      10 / 6   3 / 7  19 / 2  12 / 6   8 / 5
M. Alpert       4 / 3   5 / 3   3 / 2   3 / 3   3 / 3

Which Type Of SEN Candidate Would You Prefer: A Candidate Who Funds Their Campaign Mostly With Private Donations Or A Wealthy Candidate Who Funds Their Campaign Mostly With Their Own Funds?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Donations   46% 50% 48% 44% 46% 46%
Own funds   36  33  35  38  34  38

Which Type Of Candidate Would You Prefer To See As A Sen.: Someone With Years Of Political Experience, Or A Political Outsider?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Experience  45% 62% 31% 39% 36% 54%
Outsider    45  28  63  51  56  36

Does Blumenthal's Experience As AG Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For SEN?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     60% 79% 37% 57% 53% 66%
Less likely     13   2  34  13  19   8
No difference   25  18  27  29  27  24

Does Simmons' Experience As A Rep. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For SEN?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     21% 18% 34% 20% 27% 17%
Less likely     21  20  23  20  24  18
No difference   52  59  38  53  46  58

Does McMahon's Experience As CEO Of World Wrestling Entertainment Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Her For SEN?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     15%  8% 26% 18% 19% 13%
Less likely     33  43  23  28  34  32
No difference   49  47  49  51  46  51

Fav/Unfav

-                       All     Men     Wom
Professional wrestling  17%/54% 19%/52% 16%/56%

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support     56% 88% 14% 50% 49% 62%
Oppose      36   8  80  39  45  29

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/15; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/17). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16                
P. Toomey   49% 47% 49%  46%  45%   48%  39%
A. Specter  40  38  40   42   40    36   50      
Other        5   5   4    4    6     4    4      
Undec        7  10   8    8    9    12    7 

-           Now 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
P. Toomey   42% 43% 43%  44%  37%   43%  35%
J. Sestak   37  35  35   38   38    35   41
Other        7   7   6    6    6     5    7
Undec       15  15  16   13   19    18   18

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/8     1/18    12/8    10/13   8/11
P. Toomey   53%/33% 57%/28% 57%/27% 51%/29% 52%/27% 54%/26%
A. Specter  42 /54  41 /54  43 /54  44 /50  46 /52  43 /54
J. Sestak   40 /38  33 /42  37 /37  36 /38  37 /34  40 /36