Governor 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,528 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 747 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/20). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D), businessman Dan Maes (R) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       57% 60% 54%
D. Maes          29  28  29
Undec            14  12  17

General Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
D. Maes          45% 50% 40%
J. Hickenlooper  44  42  45
Third party       5   4   6
Undec             6   4   8

General Election Matchup (1,474 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       47% 53% 42%
J. Hickenlooper  43  40  46
Third party       6   6   5
Undec             4   2   6

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

R. Scott     35%
B. McCollum  30
Undec        33

Maryland
A polling company, inc. (R) poll; conducted 6/8-10 for businessman/ex-commodities trader Brian Murphy (R); surveyed 508 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/18). Tested: Murphy, Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchups

M. O'Malley  44%              M. O'Malley  44%
B. Ehrlich   43               B. Murphy    25

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 6/12-15 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 5/26
A. Dillon    34% 29%
V. Bernero   24  23
Undec        42  48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
M. Cox       26% 18%  21%  21%  32%  28%
P. Hoekstra  24  30   27   27   25   29
R. Snyder    20  17   15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  16   13   10   16   14
T. George     2   2    3    1    2    2
Other        n/a n/a   3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        12  17   18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/26 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 47%  42%
V. Bernero   38  34   29
Undec        15  19   29

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  46% 47%  40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    38  35   33   37   32
Undec        16  18   27   21   28

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 51%  42%
V. Bernero   34  28   26
Undec        17  21   32

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 50%  42%
A. Dillon    36  31   30
Undec        15  19   28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/26    3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       36%/33% 35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  33 /15  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  35 /17  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    29 / 9  26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    15 /15  13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero   14 / 9   9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     9 / 6   4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Governor 2010

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 435 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 6/9). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), businessman Rick Scott (R), CFO Alex Sink (D) and businessman Bud Chiles (I). (Note: Chiles announced his candidacy on 6/3.)

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
B. McCollum  42%  8% 77% 40% 45% 40% 40%  41%  36%   38%
A. Sink      34  72   8  33  31  35  36   31   32    34
Other         2   1   3   2   3   1   1   --    2     1
Not vote      3   1   2   5   3   3   2    2    2     1
Undec        19  19  11  21  18  20  21   25   27    25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott     42%  8% 81% 35% 48% 38%
A. Sink      32  69   4  34  28  36
Other         2   1   2   3   2   2
Not vote      2   1   1   4   3   2
Undec        21  20  11  24  19  23

General Election Matchups (Chiles Subsample)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. McCollum  33%  6% 67% 29% 36% 31%
A. Sink      25  56   9  19  23  26
B. Chiles    19  16  12  24  19  18
Other         1   1   2  --   1   1
Not vote      3   2   1   6   3   3
Undec        19  19   8  22  17  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Scott     35%  7% 73% 26% 39% 31%
A. Sink      26  64   6  19  22  29
B. Chiles    13  11   7  20  15  12
Other        --   1  --  --  --  --
Not vote      2   2  --   5   1   3
Undec        23  16  14  29  22  25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
B. McCollum  37%/29% 18%/39% 50%/22% 38%/31% 38%/18% 35%/15%
R. Scott     31 /22  10 /39  54 /12  29 /22   n/a     n/a
A. Sink      28 /14  45 / 6  14 /23  33 /13  22 /15  24 / 8
B. Chiles    10 / 7  16 / 7   5 / 7   9 / 7   n/a     n/a

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve      50% 38% 61% 51% 53% 47% 51%  56%  53%   53%
Disapprove   28  35  25  30  31  26  25   20   19    16

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17
Approve      42% 58% 30% 42% 43% 40% 39%  39%  38%   37%
Disapprove   25  15  36  25  27  23  26   22   23    21

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 829 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

N. Haley     49%
G. Barrett   22
H. McMaster  17
A. Bauer     12

Fav/Unfav

N. Haley     73%/23%
G. Barrett   64 /31
H. McMaster  57 /26
A. Bauer     38 /58

Obama As POTUS

Approve      12%
Disapprove   87

Sanford As Gov.

Approve      63%
Disapprove   36

Wisconsin
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 6/1-2 for Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Walker and '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R).

Primary Election Matchup

S. Walker   45%
M. Neumann  25
Undec       30

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/10
M. Whitman  46% 41% 51% 52%
S. Poizner  36  42  30  19
Undec       18  17  19  29

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    46% 78%  7% 42% 41% 51% 45%  42%
M. Whitman  42  10  84  43  48  36  41   36
Undec       12  12   9  15  11  13  14   22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    47% 79%  8% 43% 41% 53% 48%  43%
S. Poizner  37   8  78  38  44  30  33   34
Undec       16  13  14  19  15  17  19   23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
J. Brown    48%/43% 78%/16% 11%/81% 45%/41% 52%/40% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  47 /38  25 /58  75 /13  49 /35  51 /35  41 /30
S. Poizner  39 /43  18 /61  68 /20  39 /42  37 /40  35 /27

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), CFO Alex Sink (D), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  46%
R. Scott     22
P. Dockery    3
Other         1
Not vote      4
Undec        25

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind
B. McCollum  34% 11% 65% 26%
A. Sink      32  61  10  26
Other         4   2   4   5
Not vote      4   2   2  12
Undec        26  24  19  31

Idaho
An Idaho Statesman/KBOI-TV poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter, '02/'06 candidate/anti-abortion activist Walt Bayes, ret. systems analyst/comedian Ron "Pete" Peterson, '08 indie SEN candidate/ex-elk rancher Rex Rammell, Ada Co. Commis. Sharon Ullman and hair salon owner Tamara Wells.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Otter     60%
R. Rammell    6
S. Ullman     4
R. Peterson   3
W. Bayes      1
T. Wells      1
Undec        25

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/15 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 36% 23% 29%  45%
C. Paladino  16  17  15  13   n/a
S. Levy      14  11  16  15   16
Undec        41  25  46  43   40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9
A. Cuomo     66% 84% 37% 59% 61%  59%  63% 63%  66%  68%
R. Lazio     24   8  55  27  24   21   25  26   24   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        10   8   8  14  16   17   11  11   10   10

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo     65% 81% 44% 58% 58%  63%
S. Levy      22   8  43  26  23   16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   4
Undec        13  10  13  16  19   17

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15
A. Cuomo     65% 80% 42% 59% 64%
C. Paladino  22   8  46  26  19
Undec        13  12  12  15  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15    3/18
A. Cuomo     67%/21% 76%/12% 58%/30% 60%/29% 66%/18% 63%/22%
R. Lazio     31 /29  26 /38  37 /17  35 /25  29 /25  29 /27
S. Levy      21 /12  21 /12  17 /14  26 / 8  21 /16  16 /16
C. Paladino  15 /10  13 /11  19 / 7  15 / 8  11 /13   n/a

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  36  36   29   26   28
Other        4   8    7    5    7
Undec       10  11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

Governor 2010

California
A M4 Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13, 5/16 for the Small Business Action Cmte; surveyed 600 "high propensity" GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/17). Tested: Ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Whitman  49%
S. Poizner  32
Undec       17

Fav/Unfav

M. Whitman  55%/27%
S. Poizner  39 /34

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 448 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 5/18). Tested: Businessman Joe Gschwendtner, businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom 3/8
S. McInnis       50% 49% 52% 58%
D. Maes          15  17  12   8
Y. Mager          4   4   4   2
M. Vanderbilt     3   5   1   1
J. Gschwendtner   0   1  --  n/a
Undec            27  25  31  31

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Men     Wom     3/8
S. McInnis       54%/15% 54%/20% 53%/ 8% 50%/10%

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/15 3/18 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  43% 45%  47%  48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      35  38   36   35   35  39    35    34
Other        11   7    5    4    5   5     5     7
Undec        11  10   12   12   13  12    15    18

R. Scott     41%
A. Sink      40
Other         7
Undec        12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/15    3/18    2/18    2/1     12/14
B. McCollum  48%/33% 50%/31% 51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30%
R. Scott     39 /28   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
A. Sink      38 /32  43 /37  37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31

Governor 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  38%
R. Scott     24
P. Dockery    7
Undec        31

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum  45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49%  41%  40%
A. Sink      36  63   5  38  34  38  34   35   34
Undec        19  21  16  21  17  21  17   24   26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink      41% 68%  9% 46% 39% 43% 44%  43%
P. Dockery   29   9  56  19  32  26  22   18
Undec        30  23  35  35  29  31  34   39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink      38% 66%  6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott     36  11  70  26  38  34
Undec        26  23  24  35  27  25

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25    6/26    5/09
B. McCollum  32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink      26 /18  24 /15  24 / 9  24 / 3
R. Scott     19 / 8   n/a     n/a     n/a
P. Dockery    6 / 5   4 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            Now     3/25    6/26
B. McCollum  46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott     28 / 1   n/a     n/a
P. Dockery   10 / 4   9 / 4   8 / 3

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn     35  61   5  27  31  39
S. Cohen      3   6   0   2   4   2
Undec        23  21  16  33  22  24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn     36  63   5  28  33  39  47
Other/undec  25  25  16  35  23  27  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
P. Quinn     37%/49% 59%/22%  9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady     35 /37  11 /59  70 / 8  34 /35  29 /41
S. Cohen     19 /24  28 /18   9 /30  16 /27   n/a

Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-               All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley     49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich      41  47  36
Other/neither    3   2   1
Not vote         1  n/a  1
Undec            6   4   5

O'Malley As Gov.

-           All RVs  RVs    All   RVs
-           Now Now  10/08  10/07 10/07
Approve     54% 58%  53%    53%   51%
Disapprove  34  34   37     36    39

O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)

-           Now 10/07
Approve     46% 39%
Disapprove  40  52

How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?

-               Now 10/07
A lot            8%  3%
A fair amount   38  25
Some            29  32
Not much        20  35

Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)

Very closely        26%
Fairly closely      35
Not too closely     23
Not at all closely  15

Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)

Satisfied       49%
Wish had more   45

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          41%       45%  12%     2%
Public education    39        39   14      7
Budget deficit      37        39   18      4
Taxes               36        40   17      7
Crime               35        42   16      6
Environment         29        37   23     11

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          43%       43%  12%     2%
Budget deficit      41        38   16      4
Public education    40        37   14      8
Taxes               38        39   16      7
Crime               33        43   17      7
Environment         26        37   25     11

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   41%      31%      5%  10%     13%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      38       31      11    6      15
 state's future
Strong leader             35       37      10    6      12
He is honest/trustworthy  33       29      12   12      15

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   39%      39%      4%  10%      9%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      36       38      11    5      10
 state's future
Strong leader             34       43      10    6       8
He is honest/trustworthy  31       36      12   11      10

Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment           49%      25%      5%   5%     17%
Working effectively with  49       27       5    5      15
 the MD legislature
Public education          49       29       6    3      13
Crime                     40       34       5    6      16
State economy             39       43       2    4      11
State budget deficit      37       42       4    5      12
Taxes                     36       44       3    5      12

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)

-               TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley     34%         8%             45%
B. Ehrlich       6         31              46

As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)

Need to raise taxes          53%
Meet without raising taxes   36

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              41%  8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  66   7  26  30  36
T. Horner              9   7   5  17  12   5
Undec                 17  19  10  23  14  20

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton             34  66  13  25  31  38
T. Horner              9   6   7  16  10   8
Undec                 15  18   7  19  11  19

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza            31  61   7  28  31  31
T. Horner             10  10   5  19  12   8
Undec                 16  20   8  17  11  22

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner    10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
D. Onorato   42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7
J. Wagner    19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   34%
J. Wagner    17
T. Williams  17
J. Hoeffel    9
Other         6
Undec        17

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   58%/22%
J. Wagner    43 /24
T. Williams  41 /34
J. Hoeffel   29 /34

Rendell As Gov.

-            Now 4/12
Approve      61% 60%
Disapprove   38  39

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 3/18 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  45% 47%  48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      38  36   35   35  39    35    34
Other         7   5    4    5   5     5     7
Undec        10  12   12   13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/18    2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20
B. McCollum  50%/31% 51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31%
A. Sink      43 /37  37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 50%  56%  51%  49%   57%   48%  54%  50%
Disapprove  47  42   37   40   40    30    42   36   34

Massachusetts
A Western New England College poll; conducted 4/11-15; surveyed 528 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 481 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 66%  3% 26% 34% 33%
T. Cahill   29  17  32  35  29  28
C. Baker    27   6  64  29  31  23
Undec       10  10   1  10   6  15

Patrick As Gov.

-           All RVs  All  RVs   All   All
-           Now Now  3/09 3/09  2/09  11/08
Approve     34% 34%  41%  40%   47%   50%
Disapprove  48  49   43   43    35    25

Fav/Unfav (RVs)

D. Patrick  40%/48%
T. Cahill   32 /18
C. Baker    20 /13

Direction Of MA (RVs)

-           Now 11/08
Right dir.  30% 39%
Wrong dir.  60  50

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  51%  48%
J. Hoeffel  29  28   29   26
Other       11   5    5    9
Undec       11  18   15   17

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  45% 46%  52%  44%              
D. Onorato  36  29   26   28               
Other        8   7    5    7               
Undec       11  17   17   21

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  48% 46%  49%  43%
J. Wagner   27  33   28   30
Other       11   6    5    8
Undec       14  16   17   20

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32
J. Hoeffel  33 /37  28 /35  33 /33  26 /35
J. Wagner   32 /36  40 /30  40 /28  37 /30

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16).

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     48% 41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  51  55   60   57    57   48   45

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchup

-          Now 3/16
J. Brewer  26% 20%
B. Mills   18  19
J. Munger  14  10
D. Martin  12  21
Other       6   7
Undec      24  23

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/16    11/18
J. Brewer  49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills   40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10
J. Munger  18 /23  37 /26  28 /22

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/24 10/18
B. McCollum  56% 58% 53% 44%  43%
P. Dockery    7   7   6   6    7
Other         2   3   2   1    1
Not vote      2   2   1   1    2
Undec        34  29  38  47   47

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24
A. Sink      37% 69%  9% 29% 36% 37% 35%
P. Dockery   28   6  58  26  31  25  29
Other         1  --   1   2   2   1   1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   3
Undec        32  24  29  40  28  36  32

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
B. McCollum  40%  7% 83% 37% 43% 36% 41%  36%   38%  34%
A. Sink      36  73   5  28  35  38  31   32    34   38
Other         1  --  --   4   1   1  --    2     1    1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   2    2     1    2
Undec        21  18  10  29  19  23  25   27    25   25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
B. McCollum  38%/18% 24%/32% 61%/ 6% 36%/16% 35%/15% 34%/14%
A. Sink      22 /15  34 / 5  11 /25  21 /17  24 / 8  23 / 8
P. Dockery    9 / 5   9 / 4  10 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 6   5 / 3

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      51% 36% 71% 49% 52% 50% 56%  53%   53%  51% 48%
Disapprove   25  41   9  23  26  24  20   19    16   16  18

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      39% 52% 29% 36% 41% 37% 39%  38%   37%  39% 33%
Disapprove   26  18  34  25  26  25  22   23    21   17  22

McCollum And AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Recently Passed Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A Good/Bad Idea?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea   40%  9% 77% 39% 43% 36%
Bad idea    54  88  17  53  52  56

Does McCollum's Decision To File A Lawsuit To Stop The Health Care Overhaul Plan From Taking Effect Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For GOV In Nov., Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     28%  5% 57% 27% 30% 27%
Less likely     38  65   5  41  36  40
No difference   31  29  34  30  32  31

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 37% 22% 45%
S. Levy      15  17  14  16
C. Paladino  13  11  14  n/a
Undec        43  36  50  40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
A. Cuomo     61% 81% 28% 54% 59%  63% 63%  66%  68%  67%
R. Lazio     24   9  54  23  21   25  26   24   22   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        16  10  17  23  17   11  11   10   10   11

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18
A. Cuomo     58% 75% 31% 52% 63%
S. Levy      23  12  46  23  16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  4
Undec        19  13  22  26  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind
A. Cuomo     64% 81% 37% 58%
C. Paladino  19   9  41  21
Undec        16  10  22  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18    3/7
A. Cuomo     66%/18% 72%/13% 57%/26% 62%/22% 63%/22% 63%/25%
R. Lazio     29 /25  26 /29  40 /14  21 /28  29 /27  30 /29
S. Levy      21 /16  24 /17  22 /15  18 /15  16 /16   n/a
C. Paladino  11 /13  13 /13  13 /12   6 /16   n/a     n/a

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
For GOV        53% 62% 41% 49% 55%  58% 51%  53%  50%  52%
Reelect as AG  31  22  42  34  27   29  33   30   31   28

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    49% 50% 52% 46% 44%  38% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   36  37  31  38  44   52  43   49   51   52

When Thinking About Cuomo, Would You Consider Him Too Aggressive/Not Aggressive Enough, Or Would You Say He Has Just About The Right Level Of Aggressiveness?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Too aggressive                  8%  8% 11%  6%
Not aggressive enough          16  13  20  21
Right level of aggressiveness  64  69  59  59

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    48% 49% 48% 50%
B. White    44  43  39  40
Other        2   3   5   4
Undec        6   6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     59% 54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  40  44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

Governor 2010

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 3/9-16; surveyed 1,102 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 410 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 3/25). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 1/19
M. Whitman  61% 61% 61% 41%
S. Poizner  11  10  13  11
Other        3   3   2   4
Undec       25  26  24  44

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    46% 73% 17% 41% 41% 50% 44%  47%
S. Poizner  31   7  60  28  36  26  29   31
Undec       23  20  23  31  23  24  27   21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19 12/8
M. Whitman  44% 17% 77% 43% 49% 40% 36%  37%
J. Brown    39  65  10  37  34  43  41   43
Undec       17  18  13  20  17  17  23   20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?

-                   Now 1/19 12/8
Very closely        17% 11%  10%
Fairly closely      46  34   33
Not too closely     28  42   36
Not at all closely   8  12   20

In General, Would You Say You Are Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Your Choice Of Candidates In The 6/8 Primary?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied       46% 47% 51% 39% 45% 48%
Not satisfied   38  38  35  41  40  37

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/25). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  47% 48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      36  35   35  39    35    34
Other         5   4    5   5     5     7
Undec        12  12   13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum  51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink      37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30  50 /32

Tennessee
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/24). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), ex-state House Maj. Leader Kim McMillan (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R) and LG Ron Ramsey (R).

General Election Matchups

B. Haslam     46%             B. Haslam     45%
K. McMillan   26              M. McWherter  27
Other          5              Other          5
Undec         23              Undec         23

R. Ramsey     43%             R. Ramsey     43%
K. McMillan   25              M. McWherter  29
Other          8              Other          5
Undec         24              Undec         23

Z. Wamp       42%             Z. Wamp       41%
K. McMillan   29              M. McWherter  31
Other          5              Other          7
Undec         25              Undec         22

Fav/Unfav

B. Haslam     53%/18%
R. Ramsey     43 /23
Z. Wamp       42 /27
M. McWherter  34 /32
K. McMillan   33 /26

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/23). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 31%R, 35%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
M. Neumann  43%  8% 82% 43% 48% 39% 39%
T. Barrett  38  78   7  26  34  40  41
Undec       19  15  12  31  18  21  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
S. Walker   42%  7% 82% 41% 49% 37% 40%
T. Barrett  39  80   5  29  36  41  40
Undec       19  13  13  30  15  22  20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/22
S. Walker   31%/27% 14%/39% 49%/11% 31%/28% 30%/25%
T. Barrett  29 /22  44 /13  13 /38  28 /17  31 /21
M. Neumann  24 /27  13 /40  31 /15  30 /24  16 /27

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 3/19). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Martin  21%
J. Brewer  20
B. Mills   19
J. Munger  10
Other       7
Undec      23

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     11/18
D. Martin  54%/14% 60%/10%
J. Brewer  52 /44  54 /40
B. Mills   43 /12   n/a
J. Munger  37 /26  28 /22

Florida
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I. Tested: State Sen. Paula Dockery (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 11/18
B. McCollum  47% 51% 42% 45%
P. Dockery    9   7  12   9
Undec        44  42  46  46

Geneal Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
B. McCollum  41%  9% 77% 36% 47% 35% 48%  3% 36% 35%
A. Sink      35  65   5  34  30  40  27  73  47  33
Undec        24  26  18  30  23  25  25  24  17  32

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
A. Sink      37% 67%  5% 38% 33% 41% 29% 75% 49% 35%
P. Dockery   15   4  29  11  17  13  18   3   8  13
Undec        48  29  66  51  50  46  53  22  43  52

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/18
B. McCollum  44%/29% 26%/51% 63%/ 7% 41%/29% 39%/24%
A. Sink      27 /24  51 /11   5 /37  24 /23  25 / 9
P. Dockery   12 / 7   6 /12  21 / 4   8 / 5   9 / 4

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/18). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
M. Neumann  46% 44%           S. Walker   48% 49%
T. Barrett  42  42            T. Barrett  42  40
Other        4   4            Other        2   1
Undec        8  10            Undec        8  10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/17
S. Walker   55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  53 /34  49 /36

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 497 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/15). Tested: Businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
S. McInnis     58% 60% 56%
D. Maes         8  13   3
Y. Mager        2   2   2
M. Vanderbilt   1   1   1
Undec          31  24  39

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
S. McInnis     50%/10% 50%/13% 49%/ 6%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist     47% 33% 63% 43% 52% 44% 49% 28% 57% 50%
A. Sink      27  45  11  25  25  29  27  34  22  29
Undec        26  22  26  32  23  28  24  38  22  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McCollum  44% 20% 69% 38% 50% 39% 49% 23% 43% 21%
A. Sink      31  55  11  25  26  35  29  42  30  38
Undec        25  25  20  36  24  26  22  35  26  42

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. McCollum  25%/26% 17%/31% 33%/20% 21%/27% 27%/31% 22%/21%
A. Sink      23 /27  34 /18  14 /36  21 /25  19 /31  26 /23

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 9/29
S. Walker   46% 39%
S. Neumann  27  14
T. Michels  n/a  4
Undec       27  43

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind
T. Barrett  34% 60% 18% 31%
S. Neumann  34  11  50  39
Undec       30  28  30  28

-           All Dem GOP Ind
S. Walker   36% 13% 57% 38%
T. Barrett  31  54  16  29
Undec       31  32  27  30

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
S. Walker   37%/16% 15%/27% 57%/ 7% 40%/16% 33%/16%
S. Neumann  36 /16  15 /27  53 / 7  39 /15  24 /12
T. Barrett  34 /18  44 / 7  25 /26  38 /19  36 /12

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 2/27-28 for Gov. Sean Parnell (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/3). Tested: Parnell, Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels and atty Bill Walker.

Primary Election Matchup

S. Parnell  69%
R. Samuels   9
B. Walker    4
Undec       18

Parnell As Gov.

Approve     79%
Disapprove   8

Fav/Unfav

S. Parnell  71%/ 8%

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                Now 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis       48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper  42  49  42
Other             3   1   2
Undec             6   6   8

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/4     1/6     12/10   9/9
J. Hickenlooper  55%/36% 56%/36% 57%/32%  n/a     n/a
S. McInnis       53 /33  52 /29  60 /26  52%/33% 42%/22%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 492 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and AG Bill McCollum.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
B. McCollum  49% 52% 45%
C. Crist     35  38  33
Undec        16  10  22

Crist As Gov.

-            All Men Wom
Approve      29% 31% 26%
Disapprove   56  58  55

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 3/9).

Cuomo As AG

-               All Dem GOP Ind 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good  54% 65% 40% 53% 67% 62%  64%  66%   69%  67%
Fair/poor       39  28  53  39  28  32   30   28    26   27

Gov. Paterson Has Asked Cuomo To Investigate His Actions Surrounding A Conversation He Had With The Victim Of A Possible Domestic Violence Case Against One Of His Top Aides. Others Think A Special Prosecutor Should Be Appointed Since Cuomo Is Expected To Run For GOV This Year. Do You Think Cuomo Will Be Fair And Impartial In Conducting The Investigation, Or Do You Think It Is Necessary To Appoint A Special Prosecutor To Conduct The Investigation?

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Special prosecutor  58% 58% 63% 54% 58% 58%
Cuomo will be fair  38  40  31  42  37  40

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs and 924 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 3/8). Tested: Lobbyist/atty Dwight Drake (D), state Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Rex       16%
V. Sheheen   16
R. Ford      12
D. Drake      5
Other        15
Undec        37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

H. McMaster  21%
A. Bauer     17
G. Barrett   14
N. Haley     12
Other         9
Undec        29

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

J. Rex       38%/17%
V. Sheheen   24 /25
R. Ford      23 /25
D. Drake     22 /22

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

H. McMaster  55%/14%
G. Barrett   41 /20
A. Bauer     40 /43
N. Haley     34 /15

Obama As POTUS

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      80%  11%
Disapprove   19   88

Sanford As Gov.

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      22%  59%
Disapprove   76   39

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  48% 46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      35  35  39    35    34
Other         4   5   5     5     7
Undec        12  13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum  53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink      38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30  50 /32

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/20
N. Deal      43% 42%
R. Barnes    37  43
Other         7   7
Undec        14   8

-            Now 1/20
K. Handel    45% 42%
R. Barnes    36  43
Other         5   5
Undec        14  10

E. Johnson   37%
R. Barnes    37
Other         8
Undec        18

-            Now 1/20
J. Oxendine  45% 44%
R. Barnes    37  42
Other         7   6
Undec        10   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     1/20
J. Oxendine  58%/31% 59%/29%
K. Handel    53 /24  52 /24
R. Barnes    48 /43  52 /38
N. Deal      40 /27  44 /29
E. Johnson   36 /25   n/a

New Mexico
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 990 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/24). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 32%R, 15%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        47% 74% 11% 32% 44% 50% 42% 21% 57% 31%
J. Arnold-Jones  33  13  66  37  37  30  40  49  25  38
Undec            19  13  23  32  19  20  18  30  19  31

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        45% 71%  8% 32% 42% 48% 41% 35% 52% 32%
P. Domenici      40  17  75  47  44  37  44  48  35  49
Undec            15  12  17  20  14  16  15  16  13  19

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        46% 71% 11% 32% 44% 49% 42% 28% 54% 32%
S. Martinez      32  14  62  34  38  27  35  54  27  39
Undec            21  15  27  34  19  24  23  17  19  29

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        46% 73%  8% 27% 43% 48% 40% 28% 55% 28%
D. Turner        32  12  62  37  36  28  38  48  24  35
Undec            22  14  30  36  21  24  22  23  21  37

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        48% 75%  9% 32% 47% 48% 41% 35% 58% 34%
A. Weh           30  10  63  30  33  27  37  32  21  28
Undec            22  14  29  38  20  24  22  33  21  38

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind
D. Denish        41%/34% 57%/22% 18%/56% 31%/32%
P. Domenici      27 /35  19 /44  41 /20  25 /36
S. Martinez      17 /21  14 /23  20 /17  19 /19
D. Turner        12 /19   8 /24  16 /12  19 /18
A. Weh           12 /20   8 /25  20 /12  13 /22
J. Arnold-Jones   8 /21   9 /21   8 /18   8 /24

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 2/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,143 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 481 Dem RVs and 340 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.3%, respectively (release, 2/24). Tested: Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty (D), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato    6% 10%  10%
J. Wagner     6   4    9
J. Hoeffel    6   4    6
C. Doherty    4   4    3
A. Williams   1  n/a  n/a
T. Knox      n/a  2    3
Other         5   7    3
Undec        72  72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 1/24
T. Corbett   26% 23%
S. Rohrer     4   5
Other         5   3
Undec        65  69

Fav/Unfav

T. Corbett   21%/ 6%

Rhode Island
A Brown Univ. poll; conducted 2/9-12; surveyed 605 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 357 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 2/23). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

F. Caprio       31%
P. Lynch        22
Undec           48

General Election Matchups

L. Chafee       34%
F. Caprio       28
J. Robitaille   12
Undec           26

L. Chafee       33%
P. Lynch        18
J. Robitaille   14
Undec           36

Caprio As Treas.

-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good  43% 39%
Only fair/poor  31  26

Lynch As AG

-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good  37% 38%
Only fair/poor  53  47

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/24). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) and Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16 7/15 5/6
R. Perry         48% 44% 43%  46%   38%  46%  42%
K. B. Hutchison  27  29  33   35    40   36   38
D. Medina        16  16  12    4     3   n/a  n/a
Other            n/a n/a n/a  n/a   n/a   5    7
Undec             9  11  11   14    19   14   13

Perry As Gov.

-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16
Approve          66% 74% 68%  73%   69%
Disapprove       32  25  31   25    29

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/1     1/17    11/11   9/16
R. Perry         67%/31% 80%/19% 72%/26% 75%/24% 72%/26%
K. B. Hutchison  56 /42  67 /31  73 /25  75 /23  71 /26
D. Medina        35 /47  50 /29  43 /29  16 /29  18 /29

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Neumann  44%               S. Walker   49%
T. Barrett  42                T. Barrett  40
Other        4                Other        1
Undec       10                Undec       10

Fav/Unfav

S. Walker   55%/29%
M. Neumann  49 /31
T. Barrett  49 /36

Governor - Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 11/16-18 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 11/19). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 39%D, 34%R, 27%I. Tested: State Sen. Paula Dockery (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
B. McCollum  45% 48% 42%
P. Dockery    9   7  11
Undec        46  45  47

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McCollum  35%  6% 72% 31% 41% 29% 41%  3% 33% 31%
A. Sink      33  58   5  32  29  37  27  67  36  39
Undec        32  36  23  37  30  34  32  30  31  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
A. Sink      35% 62%  5% 33% 33% 37% 29% 68% 37% 39%
P. Dockery   13   3  30   7  15  11  16   3   7   6
Undec        52  35  65  60  52  52  55  29  56  55

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. McCollum  39%/24% 27%/40% 56%/ 9% 36%/20% 43%/21% 35%/27%
A. Sink      25 / 9  44 / 4   6 /17  22 / 6  24 /10  26 / 8
P. Dockery    9 / 4   5 / 6  16 / 2   7 / 4   9 / 4   9 / 4

Governor - Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Miami Herald/St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9 poll; conducted 10/25-28 by Schroth, Eldon & Assoc. (D)/Polling Co. (R); surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/31). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup
A. Sink      38%
B. McCollum  37
Undec        25

Governor - Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A FL Chamber of Commerce poll; conducted 10/8-10 by Cherry Comm. (R); surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Deslatte, "Political Pulse," Orlando Sentinel, 10/14).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 8/5
B. McCollum  42% 43%
A. Sink      35  34

Governor-Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A FL Justice Reform Institute poll; conducted 8/4-5 by Public Opinion Strategies (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Deslatte, Orlando Sentinel, 8/22). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

B. McCollum     48%

A. Sink         37

Undec           15

Governor-Florida (2010)

Governor (2009)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 8/12-17; surveyed 1,136 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 8/19). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7

B. McCollum 38% 75%  8% 38% 39% 37% 34%

A. Sink     34   6  73  23  34  34  38

Other        1   1   1   2   2   1   1

Not vote     1   1   1   1   2  --   2

Undec       25  17  18  36  23  28  25



Fav/Unfav

-           All     GOP     Dem     Ind     6/7     1/19

B. McCollum 42%/13% 61%/ 5% 26%/23% 44%/12% 40%/13% 40%/14%

A. Sink     23 / 8  13 /12  36 / 2  21 /10  25 / 7  24 / 5



McCollum As AG

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7 4/13 2/16 1/19 11/16

Approve    53% 66% 43% 52% 58% 47% 51% 48%  48%  51%  51%

Disapprove 16   7  26  15  17  15  16  18   17   16   17



Sink As CFO

-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7 4/13 2/16 1/19 11/16

Approve    37% 31% 45% 36% 42% 33% 39% 33%  32%  39%  35%

Disapprove 21  20  20  21  20  22  17  22   22   18   21



FL Has Had GOP Govs. Since '98; Do You Think GOP Rule Has Been Good/Bad For FL?

-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7

Good        52% 89% 17% 53% 54% 49% 50%

Bad         35   5  69  29  30  39  37 



If Sink Is Elected Gov., She Would Be FL's First Woman Gov.; Does This Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Her?

-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 6/7

More likely     10%  1% 19%  8%  7% 13% 11%

Less likely      3   6   2   3   3   4   3

No difference   84  90  77  86  88  80  81

Governor-Florida (2010)

Governor (2010)
A FL Chamber of Commerce poll; conducted 8/5 by Cherry Communications (R); surveyed 605 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/17). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink.

General Election Matchup

B. McCollum     43%

A. Sink         34

Undec           22




Direction Of FL

Right dir.      32%

Wrong dir.      49

Florida - Senate (2010), Governor (2010)

Senate (2010)

A Club for Growth poll; conducted 6/13-14 by Basswood Research (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/30). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

Primary Election Matchup
C. Crist    51%
M. Rubio    31

Governor (2010)
A Ron Sachs Comm. poll; conducted 6/24-26 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error for each +/- 5.7% (release, 6/30). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), CFO Alex Sink (D) and developer/artist/urban planner/author Michael Arth (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
A. Sink     49%
M. Arth      4
Undec       47

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
B. McCollum 53%
P. Dockery   4
Undec       43

General Election Matchups
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/18
B. McCollum 41% 46% 36% 16% 71% 41% 40%
A. Sink     35  32  38  66   4  27  34
Undec       24  22  26  18  25  32  26

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
A. Sink     43% 41% 45% 67% 18% 37%
P. Dockery  18  22  14   4  35  14
Undec       39  37  41  29  47  49

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     5/18
B. McCollum 29%/13%   na    39%/ 4% 29%/12%
A. Sink     24 / 9  40%/ 6%   na    24 / 3
P. Dockery   3 / 2    na     8 / 3    na
M. Arth      1 /--   1 /--    na      na