Senate 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck      46% 45% 44% 44% 45% 43%  42%
M. Bennet    41  40  40  38  41  38   38
Other         5   5   3   6   5   4    8
Undec         8  11  12  11   8  15   12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15                
J. Norton    46% 48% 46% 48% 51% 49%  46%  45%
M. Bennet    40  41  41  39  37  37   37   36 
Other         9   5   5   7   5   3    8    7
Undec         5   6   8   6   7  11    8   12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck      45% 45% 45% 41% 45% 40%  41%
A. Romanoff  39  40  37  40  39  39   39
Other         6   5   4   5   6   5    6
Undec        11  11  13  13  10  16   14

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton    43% 46% 49% 44% 45% 47%  45%  45%
A. Romanoff  42  39  38  42  38  35   34   34
Other         7   6   5   6   7   5    7    8
Undec         8   8   8   9  10  14   15   15

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/3     4/5     3/2     2/2     1/13
A. Romanoff  45%/42% 46%/34% 39%/39% 42%/38% 40%/37% 40%/36%
K. Buck      44 /32  43 /33  42 /22  40 /23  43 /26  38 /20
J. Norton    44 /44  46 /39  43 /39  49 /34  49 /31  51 /28
M. Bennet    39 /50  45 /45  45 /41  42 /43  42 /40  42 /40

Connecticut
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted June 1-3 for ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/8). Tested: McMahon and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Blumenthal  51%
L. McMahon     38

Fav/Unfav

R. Blumenthal  55%/32%
L. McMahon     41 /32

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), developer/financier Jeff Greene (D), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio   37% 39%  34% 37%  42%
C. Crist   37  31   38  30   22
K. Meek    15  18   17  22   25
Undec      11  12   11  11   11

C. Crist   41%
M. Rubio   37
J. Greene  13
Undec      10

Crist As Gov.

-              Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14
Approve        60% 57%  62% 56%  57%  45%  52%  51%  52%
Disapprove     37  42   38  43   42   54   45   47   45

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/16    5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18
C. Crist   62%/37% 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41%
M. Rubio   46 /38  46 /43  42 /48  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27
K. Meek    30 /39  33 /36  32 /36  38 /31  33 /39  42 /33
J. Greene  28 /41   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/9). Tested: Crist, Greene, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchups

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13
C. Crist   37% 37% 28% 51% 36% 38% 32%
M. Rubio   33   7  64  26  39  29  30
K. Meek    17  44   2  10  13  20  24
Other      --   1  --   1   1  --  --
Not vote    1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Undec      11  11   6  10   9  12  13

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist   40% 46% 28% 51% 39% 40%
M. Rubio   33   6  66  25  36  31
J. Greene  14  35   2  10  13  16
Other       1  --  --   1   1  --
Not vote    1   1  --   1   1   1
Undec      11  11   4  12  10  12

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
C. Crist   52%/33% 55%/28% 44%/44% 59%/29% 48%/35% 52%/36%
M. Rubio   36 /28   8 /47  63 /11  31 /30  36 /22  32 /14
K. Meek    17 /13  34 / 6   5 /21  16 /11  18 / 8  18 / 8
J. Greene  11 /11  16 /11   4 /13  15 / 8   n/a     n/a
M. Ferre    8 / 6  14 / 7   5 / 8   7 / 4   n/a     n/a

Crist As Gov.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/09
Approve    57% 61% 49% 62% 55% 58% 49%  50%  59%   60%  62%
Disapprove 35  31  44  33  39  31  39   38   31    30   28

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Crist Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       43% 47% 39% 46% 41% 45%
What's popular     48  44  55  47  52  45

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Rubio Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       33% 22% 52% 30% 38% 29%
What's popular     42  54  28  47  42  43

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Meek Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       20% 35% 15% 16% 20% 19%
What's popular     36  25  38  40  41  31

As You May Know, Crist Dropped Out Of The GOP Primary To Run As An Indie? Which Statement About Crist Best Represents Your View -- Crist Left The GOP Because He No Longer Agreed With The Party's Core Beliefs, Or Crist Left The GOP Because He Thought He Could Not Win The Nomination?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
No longer agreed   32% 41% 20% 37% 28% 35%
Could not win nod  60  48  76  57  64  56

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 4/28 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         42% 46%  41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41% 
A. Giannoulias  39  38   37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            7   5    8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           12  12   13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/28    4/5     3/8     2/3
M. Kirk         48%/39% 52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33%
A. Giannoulias  39 /46  42 /47  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         Now 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio  39% 34% 37%  42%
C. Crist  31  38  30   22
K. Meek   18  17  22   25
Undec     12  11  11   11

Crist As Gov.

-             Now 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve       57% 62% 56%  57%  45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove    42  38  43   42   54   45   47   45    49

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18    1/27
C. Crist  57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40%
M. Rubio  46 /43  42 /48  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27  51 /31
K. Meek   33 /36  32 /36  38 /31  33 /39  42 /33  38 /36

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Sen. Mike Crapo (R) and businessman Tom Sullivan (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Crapo     66%
T. Sullivan  22
Other         2
Undec         9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/23
M. Crapo     63%/28% 72%/20%
T. Sullivan  33 /30   n/a

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 5/11-13 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Sweet, Chicago Sun-Times, 5/17). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 4/29 2/14 10/28 8/2
M. Kirk         44% 43%  45%  43%   40%
A. Giannoulias  44  37   49   46    45

Kentucky
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 1,065 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/16). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 5/2 12/21
R. Paul        52% 31% 37% 46% 44%
T. Grayson     34  31  37  28  25
G. Martin       4   3   5   2  n/a
J. Stephenson   2   1   2   2  n/a
J. Scribner     1   2   1   0  n/a
Undec           7   7   8  21  32

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom     5/2     12/21
R. Paul        60%/23% 64%/21% 56%/24% 47%/22% 39%/13%
T. Grayson     42 /29  41 /31  44 /26  34 /21  22 /15

Bunning As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve        45% 51% 38% 43%
Disapprove     31  31  32  30

McConnell As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve        57% 58% 56% 68%
Disapprove     25  27  23  20

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-                                    RVs---------------->
-           All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
J. Sestak   42% 46% 40% 42%  39% 32% 29%  30%   25%  23%
A. Specter  41  41  41  44   47  53  53   53    44   55
Other       --  --  --   1   --  --   2    1     2    1
Not vote    --  --  --  --   --  --   2    1     1    2
Undec       16  13  18  14   14  15  14   15    28   19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
A. Specter  50%/33% 52%/35% 48%/31% 50%/33% 57%/31% 60%/26%
J. Sestak   42 /11  47 /14  39 / 9  42 /10  43 /11  33 / 6

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/12-15; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
A. Specter   44% 44%  45%  44%  45%  43%  42% 42% 42% 43% 45%
J. Sestak    44  43   43   44   45   47   47  46  44  43  40
Other/undec  11  12   12   12    9   10   11  12  14  13  14

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
A. Specter   59%/30% 58%/31% 57%/33% 53%/36% 54%/35% 52%/34%
J. Sestak    51 /18  52 /15  52 /13  54 /11  55 / 9  56 /10

Senate 2010

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/9).

Sen. Blanche Lincoln Voted In Favor Of The Health Care Reform Law

Approve     28%
Disapprove  64

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/09
M. Kirk         41% 14% 81% 39% 45% 37% 36%  30%
A. Giannoulias  38  65   7  31  35  41  43   38      
Other/undec     21  21  12  30  20  22  21   32

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
M. Kirk         39%/32% 15%/49% 71%/10% 41%/30% 42%/35%
A. Giannoulias  38 /46  58 /27  11 /75  37 /43  49 /34

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5-6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/14 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       51% 54%  49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   36  33   34   32
Other           6   5    6    7
Undec           8   9   12   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/14    3/18    2/17
D. Coats       57%/27% 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%
B. Ellsworth   43 /35  40 /37  43 /33  35 /29

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak    47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter   42  42  42  43  45  48  46  49  48
Other/undec  11  12  14  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
J. Sestak    55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13% 44%/13% 42%/14%
A. Specter   52 /35  50 /26  52 /34  54 /34  56 /30  57 /29

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
J. Sestak   47% 42%  37%  36% 32%  35%  42%   34%  32%
A. Specter  42  44   48   51  53   48   46    47   51
Other        3   4    5    4   4    3    2     3    4
Undec        8  10    9    9  11   14   10    16   13

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8
A. Specter  67%/31% 65%/32% 65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25%
J. Sestak   63 /22  57 /26  47 /22  55 /23  54 /26  48 /22

Obama As POTUS

-           Now 4/12
Approve     80% 72%
Disapprove  20  27

Rendell As Gov.

-           Now 4/12
Approve     61% 60%
Disapprove  38  39

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln  43% 47% 40% 46% 31% 45%  44%  42%
B. Halter   35  30  38  34  39  33   31   26
Other        7  11   4   8   1   6   n/a  n/a
Undec       15  12  18  12  29  16   25   32

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    47% 15% 83% 48% 52% 42% 48%  49%  41%  37%
B. Lincoln  40  74   5  35  36  44  41   41   42   44
Undec       13  11  12  17  12  14  11   10   17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  52% 19% 87% 56% 58% 46% 50%  49%
B. Lincoln  42  76   7  37  37  47  43   42
Undec        6   5   6   7   5   7   7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman  46% 13% 82% 48% 52% 40% 46%  47%  39%  37%
B. Lincoln  42  77   5  37  37  47  43   44   44   45
Undec       12  10  13  15  11  13  11    9   17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
T. Cox      47% 13% 84% 50% 52% 42% 46%  47%  31%  29%
B. Lincoln  42  77   5  37  37  47  43   43   45   46
Undec       11  10  11  13  11  11  11   10   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  50% 18% 84% 54% 54% 46% 49%  48%  30%  28%
B. Lincoln  40  75   6  34  37  43  42   43   46   47
Undec       10   9  10  12   9  11   9    9   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
G. Baker    44%  9% 82% 47% 49% 39% 45%  46%  42%
B. Halter   43  79   6  37  38  48  43   44   34
Undec       13  12  12  16  13  13  12   10   24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  47% 13% 84% 48% 52% 42% 48%  48%
B. Halter   42  78   5  38  37  47  41   40
Undec       11   9  11  14  11  11  11   12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   43% 81%  5% 37% 38% 48% 44%  45%  35%
C. Coleman  41   6  80  42  47  35  43   44   40
Undec       16  13  15  21  15  17  13   11   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   44% 82%  5% 39% 41% 47% 44%  45%  36%
T. Cox      42   7  80  44  49  35  43   43   32
Undec       14  11  15  17  10  18  13   12   32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren  45% 10% 84% 49% 49% 41% 46%  45%  31%
B. Halter   43  78   6  38  39  47  43   44   36
Undec       12  12  10  13  12  12  11   11   33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/14    3/24
B. Halter   48%/32% 73%/10% 20%/56% 47%/32% 47%/30% 46%/27%
J. Boozman  44 /32  16 /53  76 /10  44 /29  45 /31  44 /30
B. Lincoln  41 /54  64 /32  17 /75  40 /58  43 /53  42 /52
K. Hendren  38 /27  15 /47  66 / 7  37 /23  36 /28  34 /27
G. Baker    36 /30  14 /51  63 / 7  35 /26  37 /30  36 /28
C. Coleman  36 /31  16 /52  61 / 9  34 /28  35 /30  34 /29
T. Cox      34 /27  11 /46  59 / 8  35 /24  33 /25  32 /26

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
B. Halter   66%/14% 63%/17% 68%/12% 66%/15% 67%/10%
B. Lincoln  59 /33  63 /29  56 /36  60 /32  53 /38

Delaware
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Rep. Mike Castle (R) and New Castle Co. Exec. Chris Coons (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 2/22 1/25
M. Castle  55% 53%  56%
C. Coons   32  32   27
Other       7   8    5
Undec       7   8   13

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/22    1/25    9/30
M. Castle  65%/32% 65%/30% 66%/25% 61%/34%
C. Coons   48 /38  43 /35  47 /30   n/a

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         46% 41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41% 
A. Giannoulias  38  37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            5   8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           12  13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/5     3/8     2/3     12/9
M. Kirk         52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33% 50%/32%
A. Giannoulias  42 /47  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39  48 /36

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate Scott Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
S. Lowden     38% 40% 36%
D. Tarkanian  28  29  27
S. Angle      13  11  15
Other         12  13  11
Undec          9   7  11

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Angle      44% 10% 82% 43% 50% 38% 52%  4% 18%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  34  77  67
S. Ashjian     5   1   8   7   6   4   6   0   0
Other          2   2   1   4   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   8   2   9   4   8   4  19  15

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Lowden     45% 10% 83% 46% 51% 39% 53%  4% 21%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  34  77  67
S. Ashjian     4   0   7   7   5   3   5   0   0
Other          2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   9   2   6   4   8   4  19  12

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
D. Tarkanian  43%  9% 81% 42% 49% 37% 51%  4% 17%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  35  76  67
S. Ashjian     6   1   9   9   7   5   7   0   0
Other          2   2   1   4   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   9   2   8   4   8   3  20  16

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/20    9/2
D. Tarkanian  44%/33% 26%/52% 65%/14% 40%/32% 48%/31% 47%/28%
S. Lowden     42 /34  17 /54  70 /13  40 /32  45 /26  43 /24
S. Angle      41 /29  23 /48  62 / 9  38 /28   n/a     n/a
H. Reid       37 /53  63 /29  11 /77  32 /58  34 /55  36 /52
S. Ashjian     7 /27   4 /37  10 /16   7 /29   n/a     n/a

New Hampshire
A WMUR-TV Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 512 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 462 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R), '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R) and Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02).

General Election Matchups (LVs)

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2 7/1
K. Ayotte      47% 14% 79% 44% 56% 38% 41% 40%  39%
P. Hodes       32  65   5  23  29  35  33  33   35
Other           0   0   0   1   0   0   1   2    2
Undec          21  21  16  32  15  26  25  25   24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
P. Hodes       37% 72%  7% 26% 36% 38% 36%
J. Bender      34   3  67  26  43  25  27
Other           0   0   0   0   0   0   2
Undec          29  24  26  48  21  37  35

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
B. Binnie      38%  4% 72% 31% 48% 28% 30%
P. Hodes       36  72   7  24  34  39  34
Other           0   0   0   1   0   0   2
Undec          26  24  22  43  18  33  33

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
O. Lamontagne  37%  6% 71% 28% 48% 28% 29% 28%
P. Hodes       36  72   5  24  33  39  38  37
Other           0   0   0   1   0   1   2   2
Undec          26  22  23  47  19  33  30  33

Firmness Of Choice (LVs)

-                          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
Definitely decided         14% 20% 12%  6% 18% 11% 10%  6%
Leaning toward someone     14  12  18   7  17  11  11   8
Still trying to decide     72  68  70  86  65  78  78  86

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/3     10/2
K. Ayotte      38%/13% 26%/24% 52%/ 4% 38%/ 8% 38%/12% 37%/ 8%
P. Hodes       30 /31  50 / 8  15 /56  20 /29  32 /27  30 /26
O. Lamontagne  10 /12   3 /19  17 / 6  11 / 9  12 / 9  11 / 7
B. Binnie      22 /11   6 /17  36 / 5  26 / 8  10 / 4   n/a
J. Bender       5 / 5   3 / 8   7 / 2   5 / 3   6 / 2   n/a

Ohio
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 4/27-29; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
L. Fisher     55% 57% 52%
J. Brunner    27  25  29
Undec         18  17  19

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
B. Obama      86%/12% 86%/13% 85%/11%
L. Fisher     65 /12  66 /12  63 /11
G. Voinovich  51 /36  54 /35  48 /36
J. Brunner    46 /13  46 /13  46 /13
J. Kasich     20 /29  24 /37  16 /22
R. Portman    15 /24  15 /32  14 /18

Which Candidate Has A Better Chance At Beating Portman In The General Election?

-             All Men Wom
L. Fisher     55% 60% 51%
J. Brunner    15  14  16
Undec         30  25  33

Strickland Has Endorsed Fisher In The Primary. Does This Make You More/Less Likely To Support Fisher?

-             All Men Wom
More likely   50% 52% 47%
Less likely   10   9  10
No diff       41  38  42

Which Candidate Has Run A More Negative Campaign?

-             All Men Wom
J. Brunner    16% 17% 14%
L. Fisher     10  11  10
Undec         71  68  74

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41%
A. Giannoulias  37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     3/8     2/3     12/9    8/11
M. Kirk         51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33% 50%/32% 55%/28%
A. Giannoulias  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39  48 /36  51 /33

Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/5-7 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/8). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.

Primary Election Matchup

T. Grayson  39%
R. Paul     37
Undec       18

Fav/Unfav

T. Grayson  49%/17%
R. Paul     48 /22

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray   45%
P. Akers    37
Other        5
Undec       13

-           Now 3/9 2/11                  Now 3/9 2/11
P. Murray   48% 48% 50%       P. Murray   47% 49% 49%
D. Benton   40  37  38        C. Didier   37  30  34
Other        4   3   3        Other        5   6   4
Undec        8  12   9        Undec       11  15  13

-           Now 3/9 2/11                  Now 3/9 2/11
P. Murray   48% 46% 46%       P. Murray   46% 47% 48%
D. Rossi    46  49  48        C. Widener  37  32  33
Other        3   3   1        Other        5   5   5
Undec        4   2   5        Undec       12  16  14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/9     2/11
P. Murray   53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi    52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
D. Benton   34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers    29 /27   n/a     n/a
C. Widener  28 /24  26 /26  29 /26
C. Didier   26 /29  27 /26  28 /28

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25 4/09
M. Kirk         37% 10% 77% 33% 43% 31% 34%  35%
A. Giannoulias  33  54   7  30  34  32  42   35
Undec           30  36  16  37  23  37  24   29

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/25
M. Kirk         24%/23%  8%/33% 44%/13% 25%/19% 27%/22%
A. Giannoulias  21 /28  28 /14   9 /48  24 /27  31 /19

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-                       RVs--------------------->
-           All Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19 5/26
A. Specter  53% 53% 53% 53%  53%   44%  55%  50%
J. Sestak   32  37  28  29   30    25   23   21
Other       --  --   1   2    1     2    1    1
Not vote    --  --  --   2    1     1    2    2
Undec       15  10  18  14   15    28   19   27

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
A. Specter  60%/26% 60%/29% 60%/24%
J. Sestak   33 / 6  37 / 7  31 / 5

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-               All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
A. Specter      43% 42% 43% 53%
J. Sestak       26  34  22  25
No difference    6   7   6   4
Undec           25  18  29  17

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-               All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
A. Specter      42% 41% 43% 48%
J. Sestak       26  32  22  29
No difference    4   5   4   2
Undec           27  21  31  20

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Liberal?

-               All Men Wom
A. Specter      35% 37% 34%
J. Sestak       26  31  23
No difference    2   2   3
Undec           36  30  41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Think Would Be More Likely To Win The Nov. General Election If Nominated?

-               All Men Wom
A. Specter      58% 59% 57%
J. Sestak       21  26  18
No difference    1   1   1
Undec           20  14  24

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/09
A. Giannoulias  43% 71%  6% 36% 40% 46% 38%
M. Kirk         36   9  79  35  40  32  30
Other            2   2   2   3   3   1  n/a
Undec           19  18  13  26  17  21  32

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/09
A. Giannoulias  49%/34% 71%/14% 17%/64% 47%/35% 36%/15%
M. Kirk         42 /35  22 /50  75 /13  40 /34  37 /41

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 2/22-25; surveyed 508 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26).

Burr As Sen.

-              Now 10/29
Approve        40% 37%
Disapprove     35  22

Would You Say You Are Satisfied With Burr As Sen.?

-              Now 10/29
Satisfied      40% 41%
Dissatisfied   37  22

Do You Think Burr Has Performed Well Enough To Deserve Re-Election, Or Do You Think It's Time To Give A New Person A Chance?

-                      Now 10/29
Deserves re-election   24% 19%
Time for new person    51  42
Undec                  25  39

Fav/Unfav

R. Burr        30%/23%
E. Marshall    19 / 8
M. Williams     9 / 7
K. Lewis        9 / 7
E. Burks        7 / 7
C. Cunningham   6 / 9
E. Jones        6 / 8
M. Beitler      4 / 6

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 1/27
R. Burr        51% 50%
C. Cunningham  29  34
Other           6   5
Undec          14  11

-              Now 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        50% 47%  48%
E. Marshall    34% 37   38
Other           4   6    3
Undec          12  10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/27    9/15
R. Burr        60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 367 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.1% (release, 2/25). Tested: Cunningham, Marshall and atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 1/21
E. Marshall    14% 17%  6% 13% 14% 12% 18% 14%
K. Lewis        5   5   3   7   3   3   7   7
C. Cunningham   4   5   0   5   3   3   7   4
Undec          77  72  91  74  80  82  67  75

Wisconsin
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/22-23 for developer Terrence Wall (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/25). Tested: Wall and Sen. Russ Feingold (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Feingold   46%
T. Wall       39

Re-Elect Feingold?
Re-elect him  37%
New person    54

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 2/9-14 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

-               Now 10/28 8/2
A. Giannoulias  49% 46%   45%
M. Kirk         45  43    40

Nevada
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 1/31 for the NV State Educ. Assn; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/16).

Reid As Sen.

Excellent/good 34%
Only fair/poor 63

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 2/12-15; surveyed 788 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/17). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        44% 17% 80% 38% 51% 38% 45%  45%   44%   46%
C. Cunningham  32  56   6  26  30  33  36   36    31    27
Undec          24  27  14  36  19  28  19   20    25    27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        44% 16% 80% 37% 51% 37% 46%  43%   45%   44%
K. Lewis       31  57   5  24  29  34  34   37    32    30
Undec          25  27  16  40  20  30  20   21    23    26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        43% 16% 79% 38% 51% 36% 44%  42%   45%   44%
E. Marshall    33  60   6  25  31  36  37   37    34    32
Undec          23  24  16  37  18  28  18   21    21    24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        42% 15% 79% 35% 50% 35% 45%  42%   44%   45%
Generic Dem    35  63   5  26  33  37  36   41    40    34
Undec          23  22  16  39  17  28  20   17    16    22

Burr As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
Approve        35% 16% 57% 35% 39% 31% 36%  35%   40%   36%
Disapprove     35  50  17  35  37  33  33   37    31    35

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/18
E. Marshall    19%/10% 28%/ 8% 10%/13% 13%/10% 19%/12%
K. Lewis        7 /10   7 /10   4 /11  10 / 8   7 /10
C. Cunningham   6 / 9   8 / 9   3 / 9   7 / 7   6 / 8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/17). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    49%
J. Huffman  35
Other        7
Undec        9

Fav/Unfav

R. Wyden    55%/36%
J. Huffman  33 /24

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Hart Research Assoc. (D) poll; conducted 11/11-12 for ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D); surveyed 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/17). Tested: Hoffman, Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup
M. Kirk         40%           M. Kirk         40%
A. Giannoulias  37            D. Hoffman      30
Undec           23            Undec           30

Generic Dem     46%
Generic GOPer   39
Depends         10
Undec            5

Fav/Unfav
M. Kirk         21%/11%
A. Giannoulias  20 /12
D. Hoffman       7 / 4
P. Hughes        6 / 1

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 11/3-5 for ex-Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Robinson Jackson (D); surveyed 500 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/9). Tested: Jackson, Treas. Alexi Giannoulias, ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman and atty Jacob Meister.

Primary Election Matchup
A. Giannoulias       31%
C. Robinson Jackson  13
D. Hoffman            8
J. Meister            2
Undec                45

Fav/Unfav
A. Giannoulias       37%/10%
C. Robinson Jackson  23 / 9
D. Hoffman           13 / 5
J. Meister            4 / 2

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 10/25-28 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 805 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/2). Tested: Giannoulias, ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
A. Giannoulias  46%           M. Kirk         48%
M. Kirk         43            D. Hoffman      39

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D), ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D), ex-Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Robinson Jackson (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
-               Now 8/11                      Now 8/11
M. Kirk         41% 41%       M. Kirk         43% 47%
A. Giannoulias  41  38        C. Jackson      39  30
Other            4   4        Other            4   6
Undec           13  17        Undec           13  17

M. Kirk         43%
D. Hoffman      33
Other            8
Undec           16

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Garin Hart Yang (D) poll; conducted 10/2-4 for ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D); surveyed 505 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/13). Tested: Hoffman, Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and ex-Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Robinson Jackson (D).

Primary Election Matchup
A. Giannoulias       26%
C. Robinson Jackson  12
D. Hoffman            7
Undec                55

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/8 for Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10); surveyed 978 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 10/9). Tested: Kirk and Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D).

General Election Matchup
M. Kirk         42%
A. Giannoulias  35
Undec           23

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) poll; conducted 10/7 for Kirk; surveyed 848 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 10/8). Tested: Kirk, ex-Harvey Alderman John Arrington (R), developer Patrick Hughes (R), businessman Tom Kuna (R), retired judge Don Lowery (R), Kathy Thomas (R), entrepreneur Eric Wallace (R) and businessman Robert Zadek (R).

Primary Election Matchup
M. Kirk         61%
P. Hughes        3
D. Lowrey        2
E. Wallace       1
R. Zadek         1
K. Thomas        1
J. Arrington     1
T. Kuna          0
Undec           30

Fav/Unfav
M. Kirk         55%/12%
D. Lowrey        8 /12
K. Thomas        7 / 9
P. Hughes        7 /16
J. Arrington     6 / 9
T. Kuna          6 /10
R. Zadek         6 /10
E. Wallace       6 /12

Senate-Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/17). Tested: Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10), Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Jackson (D).

General Election Matchups

M. Kirk         41%             M. Kirk         47%

A. Giannoulias  38              C. Jackson      30

Other            4              Other            6

Undec           17              Undec           17



Fav/Unfav

M. Kirk         55%/28%

A. Giannoulias  51 /33

C. Jackson      36 /37

Illinois - Senate (2009)

Senate (2009)
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 7/28-8/2; surveyed 387 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.0% (Kraushaar, Politico, 8/6). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D), businessman Chris Kennedy (D) and Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Jackson (D).

Primary Election Matchups
A. Giannoulias      45%
C. Kennedy          17
C. Jackson          13

A. Giannoulias      51%
C. Jackson          21