Senate 2010

Arizona
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 1,139 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      52% 46% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  29  34  24
Other          14  15  13
Undec           6   5   7

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J. McCain      60%/37% 54%/44% 66%/30%
J.D. Hayworth  38 /50  43 /50  33 /51

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/3 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr      44% 50% 48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall  43  36  40  32   35   34   37   38
Other         7   6   3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec         6   8   9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/3     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr      53%/37% 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall  48 /36  41 /39  45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    50%
J. Huffman  32
Other        4
Undec       14

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Sen. Pat Leahy (D) and lumber store owner Len Britton (R).

General Election Matchup

P. Leahy    64%
L. Britton  29
Other        3
Undec        4

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/18
P. Leahy    69%/30% 66%/32%
L. Britton  26 /32   n/a

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6  
P. Murray  48% 47%  49% 45%
P. Akers   38  32   35  37
Other       4   6    6   5           
Undec      10  15   10  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 47%  51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  40  37   36  37  30  34
Other       6   6    4   5   6   4
Undec       6  10    8  11  15  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 48%  48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  47   46  46  49  48
Other       3   2    2   3   3   1
Undec       3   4    3   4   2   5

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/26    5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  54%/43% 52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /44  52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  37 /31  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
P. Akers   33 /32  27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) and Rep. John Boozman (R-03).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  61% 66%  57%  51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  32  28   29   36   39  35
Other        4   2    9    6    6   4
Undec        3   4    5    7    7   7

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/26    3/30    3/1     2/1
J. Boozman  65%/26% 64%/28% 58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%
B. Lincoln  32 /65  28 /71  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59

Louisiana
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/12-13; surveyed 492 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/16). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 39%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 7/19
D. Vitter    46% 22% 76% 37% 45% 46% 55% 10% 38% 44%
C. Melancon  37  56  15  40  41  34  29  68  44  32
Undec        17  21  10  23  14  20  16  22  18  24

Vitter As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 7/19
Approve      45% 29% 65% 40% 47% 44% 51% 24% 44% 44%
Disapprove   43  59  24  48  46  41  39  60  46  36

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     7/19
C. Melancon  29%/34% 36%/26% 18%/44% 37%/30% 26%/32%

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 6/2-4; surveyed 600 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/4). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) and LG Bill Halter (D). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk AR-01 AR-02 AR-03 AR-04 5/26
B. Halter   49% 45% 52% 47% 61% 41%   57%   50%   48%   47%
B. Lincoln  45  49  42  48  27  53    34    46    47    44
Undec        6   6   6   5  12   6     9     4     5     9

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     5/26    5/12    4/28
B. Halter   61%/24% 55%/28% 65%/51% 63%/21% 65%/17% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln  56 /37  60 /33  53 /40  59 /36  61 /35  59 /33

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/5). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
C. Fiorina   37% 36% 38% 22%  25%
T. Campbell  22  23  21  28   30
C. DeVore    19  23  14   9    6
Other/undec  22  18  27  41   39

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/15    1/17    10/6
C. Fiorina   57%/12% 24%/17% 20%/10% 16%/10%
T. Campbell  45 /19  31 /13  26 /11  25 /15
C. DeVore    41 / 8  11 /11   8 /11   7 /11

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Boxer In The Nov. General Election?

C. Fiorina   42%
T. Campbell  22
C. DeVore    12
Undec        24

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2-3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/6 4/14 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       47% 51% 54%  49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  36  33   34   32
Other           7   6   5    6    7
Undec          14   8   9   12   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/6     4/14    3/18    2/17
D. Coats       56%/25% 57%/27% 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%
B. Ellsworth   37 /33  43 /35  40 /37  43 /33  35 /29

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/26 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
S. Angle        32% 32% 32% 29%  25%   5%  8%  13% 13%   9%
D. Tarkanian    24  28  19  23   22   27  29   28  24   21
S. Lowden       23  21  25  30   30   45  47   26  25   23
C. Christensen   3   4   2   3    2    4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
J. Chachas       2   2   2   2    3    3   1   --   1   --
Others           1   1   1   2   n/a  n/a n/a   1   4    3
None of these    2   3   1   3   n/a  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec           13   9  18   8   18   16  15   32  33   44

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 2/24 1/7
S. Angle        44% 12% 81% 41% 50% 38% 39%  44%  45%
H. Reid         41  73   6  37  37  45  42   42   40
Others           3   2   2   6   3   1   5   n/a  n/a
None             6   5   6  11   8   4   4   n/a  n/a
Undec            8   8   8   9   6  10  10   14   15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7
H. Reid     42% 75%  5% 39% 36% 48% 39%  37%  38% 39%  40%
S. Lowden   41   9  79  37  45  37  42   47   46  52   50
Others       2   1   2   3   3   1   3    5    5  n/a  n/a
None         6   5   6  11   8   4   6    3   n/a n/a  n/a
Undec        9  10   8  10   8  10  10    8   11   9   10

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 4/7 2/24 1/7
D. Tarkanian    46% 16% 82% 44% 52% 40% 42%  39% 51%  49%
H. Reid         39  70   5  35  35  43  41   39  40   41
Others           2   2   2   3   2   2   4   11  n/a  n/a
None of these    3   3   2   5   3   3   3   n/a n/a  n/a
Undec           10   9   9  13   8  12  10   11   9   10

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     5/26    4/14    4/7     2/24
D. Tarkanian    41%/23% 31%/17%  n/a    28%/22% 30%/17%
S. Angle        38 /25  29 /23   n/a    20 /19  19 / 9
S. Lowden       38 /37  41 /28  45%/23% 40 /24  36 /17
H. Reid         35 /52  37 /49  33 /54  34 /56  33 /51

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-               Now     5/26    5/11    4/7
S. Angle        48%/20% 41%/13% 38%/11% 22%/15%
D. Tarkanian    45 /16  44 / 7  42 /12  46 /12
S. Lowden       40 /30  45 /22  46 /21  54 /14
C. Christensen  18 /10   n/a    16 / 5  13 / 1
J. Chachas      17 /14   n/a    13 / 9  12 / 8

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 3/29
R. Shelby  58% 59%
W. Barnes  31  32
Other       3   3
Undec       8   6 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/29
R. Shelby  67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes  29 /27  35 /26 

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D) and Rep. John Boozman (R-03). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk AR-01 AR-02 AR-03 AR-04
B. Halter   47% 43% 51% 45% 58% 40%   53%   48%   46%
B. Lincoln  44  49  39  47  28  51    35    44    46
Undec        9   8  10   8  14   9    12     8     8

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  58% 25% 90% 65% 64% 52% 54%  52%  50%  49%
B. Lincoln  38  73   5  29  32  44  40   42   43   42
Undec        4   2   5   6   4   4   6    6    7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  53% 20% 87% 58% 59% 47% 50%  47%  48%  48%
B. Halter   42  78   7  35  36  48  41   42   41   40
Undec        5   2   6   7   5   5   9   11   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    4/28
J. Boozman  52%/34% 21%/56% 85%/12% 56%/30% 45%/34% 44%/32%
B. Halter   47 /37  75 /13  15 /63  46 /39  47 /34  48 /32
B. Lincoln  37 /58  59 /36  12 /81  37 /61  39 /55  41 /54

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     5/12    4/28
B. Halter   63%/21% 59%/25% 67%/17% 65%/17% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln  59 /36  64 /33  54 /39  61 /35  59 /33

Kentucky
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 42%R, 11%I. Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/17 9/2
R. Paul    44%  7% 86% 42% 50% 38% 42%  45%  37%
J. Conway  41  75   6  31  36  46  39   39   41
Undec      15  18   8  27  14  16  19   16   22 

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    3/17
R. Paul    53%/33% 29%/57% 79%/ 9% 58%/20% 56%/27% 55%/25%
J. Conway  48 /43  76 /19  17 /70  46 /39  46 /44  44 /40

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden       30% 28% 32% 30%  45% 47%  26% 25%  23%  14%
S. Angle        29  33  25  25    5   8   13  13    9    5
D. Tarkanian    23  22  24  22   27  29   28  24   21   33
C. Christensen   3   2   4   2    4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
J. Chachas       2   1   3   3    3   1   --   1   --   --
Others           2   3   1  n/a  n/a n/a   1   4    3    1
None of these    3   2   4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec            8   9   7  18   16  15   32  33   44   47

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7
H. Reid         42% 71%  9% 40% 39% 45% 42%  40%
S. Angle        39  10  73  36  43  35  44   45
Others           5   3   5   7   4   6  n/a  n/a
None             4   3   4   7   5   3  n/a  n/a
Undec           10  13   9  10   9  11  14   15 

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
S. Lowden   42% 13% 75% 39% 49% 35% 47%  46% 52%  50% 51%
H. Reid     39  69   7  36  34  44  37   38  39   40  41
Others       3   3   3   5   3   3   5    5  n/a  n/a n/a
None         6   4   7   9   5   7   3   n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Undec       10  11   8  11   9  11   8   11   9   10   8

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
D. Tarkanian    42% 15% 74% 37% 45% 39% 39% 51%  49% 48%
H. Reid         41  69  11  37  37  45  39  40   41  42
Others           4   4   5   4   3   5  11  n/a  n/a n/a
None of these    3   4   1   6   3   3  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Undec           10   8   9  16  12   8  11   9   10  10 

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/14    4/7     2/24    1/7
S. Lowden       41%/28% 45%/23% 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17%
H. Reid         37 /49  33 /54  34 /56  33 /51  33 /52
D. Tarkanian    31 /17   n/a    28 /22  30 /17  33 /16
S. Angle        29 /23   n/a    20 /19  19 / 9  21 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-               Now     5/11    4/7
S. Lowden       45%/22% 46%/21% 54%/14%
D. Tarkanian    44 / 7  42 /12  46 /12
S. Angle        41 /13  38 /11  22 /15

Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Fisher   47% 87% 10% 35% 43% 51%
R. Portman  46   8  84  44  48  45
Other        1   2   1   0   2   0
Undec        6   3   5  20   7   5

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/10 8/12 5/09
J. Sestak  43% 76%  6% 35% 37% 49% 40%  39%  42%  37%
P. Toomey  40   8  82  35  44  36  45   42   41   32
Undec     17  16  12  30  19  15  15   19   17   31 

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    3/10
J. Sestak  48%/30% 71%/11% 20%/55% 47%/27% 39%/26% 35%/23%
P. Toomey  47 /42  17 /67  85 /12  47 /40  45 /40  41 /36

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 3/9   
P. Murray  47% 49% 45%
P. Akers   32  35  37
Other       6   6   5           
Undec      15  10  13

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  50% 52% 48% 48% 50%
D. Benton  35  38  40  37  38
Other       6   3   4   3   3              
Undec       9   7   8  12   9 

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  37  36  37  30  34
Other       6   4   5   6   4
Undec      10   8  11  15  13 

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  46  46  49  48
Other       2   2   3   3   1
Undec       4   3   4   2   5 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
D. Benton  31 /32  32 /30  34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers   27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a 

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D) and Rep. John Boozman (R-03).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  66% 57%  51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  28  29   36   39  35
Other        2   9    6    6   4
Undec        4   5    7    7   7

-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman  60% 56%  48%  52%
B. Halter   33  31   34   33
Other        4   7    8    6
Undec        3   7   11    9

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/26    3/30    3/1     2/1     1/5
J. Boozman  64%/28% 58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%  n/a
B. Halter   41 /50  48 /42  47 /40  48 /34   n/a     n/a
B. Lincoln  28 /71  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59  38%/56%

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/20). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
J. Sestak   46% 40% 36%  37%  35% 35%  38%  38%   35%  41%
P. Toomey   42  42  47   42   43  43   44   37    43   35
Other        3  10   5    7    7   6    6    6     5    7
Undec        9   9  12   15   15  16   13   19    18   18

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/6     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18
P. Toomey   56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33% 57%/28% 57%/27%
J. Sestak   52 /33  50 /37  38 /39  40 /38  33 /42  37 /37

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/19). Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson vice mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/13
J. McCain      57% 54%
R. Glassman    28  32
Other           9   8
Undec           7   6

-              Now 4/13
J.D. Hayworth  49% 48%
R. Glassman    33  39
Other           9   7
Undec           9   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/13    11/18
J. McCain      53%/45% 52%/46% 54%/43%
J.D. Hayworth  45 /44  43 /49   n/a
R. Glassman    28 /41  32 /34   n/a

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 5/9-16; surveyed 2,002 adults; margin of error +/- 2.2%. Subsample of 1,168 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Further subsample of 411 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/20). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/16 1/19
C. Fiorina   25% 29% 21% 24%  16%
T. Campbell  23  25  20  23   27
C. DeVore    16  17  14   8    8
Other        --  --   1   1    1
Undec        36  29  44  44   48

General Election Matchups (LVs)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer     46% 77%  8% 48% 42% 51% 43%  45%
T. Campbell  40  14  79  35  44  37  44   41
Undec        14   9  13  17  14  12  13   14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer     50% 84%  9% 48% 45% 55% 46%  47%
C. DeVore    39   9  80  35  43  34  40   39
Undec        11   7  11  17  12  11  14   14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer     48% 82%  9% 44% 44% 53% 44%  48%
C. Fiorina   39  11  78  33  44  34  43   40
Undec        13   7  13  23  12  13  13   12

Boxer As Sen.

-            All LVs Dem GOP Ind 1/19 9/2 3/09
Approve      50% 50% 77% 13% 53% 49%  51% 52%
Disapprove   38  44  14  79  39  44   39  28

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/20). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul    59% 47%  50%  46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway  34  38   36   38  39  38  42
Other       4   4    3    4   3   4   4
Undec       3  10   11   12  11  12  15

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/28    3/31    3/2     2/2     1/6
R. Paul    69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25%
J. Conway  44 /45  47 /36  44 /39  40 /33  47 /32  46 /36

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      52% 47%  48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  40  42   41   31   43
Other           2   2    3    7    6
Undec           6   8    8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/13    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain      70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  67 /31  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

Obama As POTUS

-              Now 4/13
Approve        10% 14%
Disapprove     88  86

California
A M4 Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13, 5/16 for the Small Business Action Cmte; surveyed 600 "high propensity" GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/18). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Campbell  33%
C. Fiorina   28
C. DeVore    15
Undec        22

Fav/Unfav

T. Campbell  42%/13%
C. Fiorina   39 /13
C. DeVore    19 / 5

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/19). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
M. Bennet    45% 81% 10% 39% 41% 50% 46% 39%  40%
K. Buck      39   6  74  40  47  31  40  35   34
Undec        16  13  16  21  12  20  14  19   16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet    44% 77% 11% 42% 40% 49% 43%
J. Norton    41   9  78  40  48  34  43
Undec        14  14  11  18  12  17  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet    44% 78% 10% 39% 38% 49% 45%
T. Wiens     36   7  70  35  42  30  37
Undec        20  15  20  26  20  21  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  41% 79%  6% 34% 37% 45% 44%
K. Buck      38   6  76  36  47  29  36
Undec        21  16  18  29  16  26  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  43% 79%  9% 38% 39% 48% 44%
J. Norton    41   7  77  42  49  32  39
Undec        16  14  14  20  12  20  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  41% 78%  6% 35% 36% 46% 45%
T. Wiens     37   8  73  33  46  28  34
Undec        22  14  21  32  18  25  21

Bennet As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
Approve      34% 54% 13% 32% 31% 37% 32% 31%  34%
Disapprove   44  20  69  47  52  37  46  38   41

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8     8/16
A. Romanoff  31%/26% 48%/14% 11%/38% 32%/26% 28%/26%  n/a
J. Norton    20 /32   9 /45  34 /23  19 /26  25 /35   n/a
K. Buck      19 /24   7 /36  32 /15  19 /18  14 /18  17%/18%
T. Wiens      8 /16   6 /20  11 /15   6 /13  11 /17   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  48% 52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     45  39  35  31  36  34
Other           4   6   3   3   3   3
Undec           3   4   6   7   4   5

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  53% 54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      37  29  32  27  24
Other           4   6   4   6   6
Undec           5  11   6  10  10

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  50% 55% 52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     39  32  38  32  35  33
Other           6   5   4   3   4   4
Undec           5   8   6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/4     4/7     3/2     2/1
R. Blumenthal  66%/32% 72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%
R. Simmons     54 /37  48 /32  48 /40  52 /35  60 /26
L. McMahon     54 /41  55 /31  45 /45  46 /42  51 /34
P. Schiff      43 /29  35 /33  41 /34  37 /34   n/a

Kansas
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13 for Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: Moran, ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Rep. Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Moran       53%
T. Tiahrt      27
R. Londerholm   4
Undec          16

Fav/Unfav

J. Moran       67%/ 7%
T. Tiahrt      50 /12

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 5/13). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R). (Ed. notes: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign. Complete crosstab info was not made available by press time.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk 4/28 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln      46% 50% 43% 49% 33% 43%  45%  44%  42%
B. Halter       37  32  40  36  40  35   33   31   26
D.C. Morrison    8   8   4   7   1  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Other           n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a  7    6   n/a  n/a
Undec           11  10  13   8  26  15   16   25   32

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
J. Boozman  46% 49% 43%
J. Holt     19  21  17
G. Baker    12  14  10
K. Hendren   6   6   6
C. Coleman   2   2   2
Other        2   2   2
Undec       13   6  20

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/28 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    45% 11% 79% 50% 49% 41% 47%  48%  49%  41%  37%
B. Lincoln  39  75   5  31  35  43  40   41   41   42   44
Undec       16  14  16  19  16  16  13   11   10   17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  54% 20% 89% 60% 60% 48% 52%  50%  49%
B. Lincoln  40  74   6  34  35  45  42   43   42
Undec        6   6   5   6   5   7   6    7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/28 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman                          46%  46%  47%  39%  37%
B. Lincoln  40  76   5  33  35  45  42   43   44   44   45
Undec       17  15  15  22  17  17  12   11    9   17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/28 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  46%                     50%  49%  48%  30%  28%
B. Lincoln  40  76   5  33  36  44  40   42   43   46   47
Undec       14  10  16  16  15  13  10    9    9   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Holt     44%
B. Lincoln  41  77   5  35  36  46
Undec       15  13  14  19  15  15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/28 4/14 3/24 12/2
G. Baker    42%  7% 80% 45% 47% 37% 44%  45%  46%  42%
B. Halter   42  78   5  36  39  45  43   43   44   34
Undec       16  15  15  19  14  18  13   12   10   24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  50% 17% 86% 52% 55% 45% 47%  48%  48%
B. Halter   41  77   6  35  36  46  42   41   40
Undec        9   6   8  13   9   9  11   11   12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/28 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   43% 81%  5% 38% 39% 47% 43%  44%  45%  35%
C. Coleman                          41   43   44   40
Undec       16  12  17  19  15  17  16   13   11   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/28 4/14 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren  42%                     45%  46%  45%  31%
B. Halter   42  79   5  37  37  47  43   43   44   36
Undec       16  13  16  19  17  15  12   11   11   33

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Holt     43%
B. Halter   42  79   5  36  36  48
Undec       15  12  15  19  16  14

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/28    4/14
B. Halter   47%/34% 74%/11% 18%/59% 46%/34% 48%/32% 47%/30%
J. Boozman  45 /34  17 /56  77 /12  45 /31  44 /32  45 /31
B. Lincoln  39 /55  63 /33  14 /76  38 /59  41 /54  43 /53
J. Holt     42 /30  14 /53  74 / 8  41 /27   n/a     n/a
K. Hendren  37 /29  13 /49  66 / 9  36 /25  38 /27  36 /28
G. Baker    37 /32  13 /55  65 / 9  36 /28  36 /30  37 /30
C. Coleman  36 /32  17 /53  60 /10  34 /29  36 /31  35 /30

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-               All     Men     Wom     4/28
B. Halter       65%/17% 61%/20% 69%/14% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln      61 /35  65 /32  57 /38  59 /33
D.C. Morrison   16 /21  18 /20  14 /22   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom
J. Boozman  72%/15% 76%/13% 68%/17%
J. Holt     67 /11  70 /10  64 /12
G. Baker    61 /17  64 /16  58 /18
K. Hendren  60 /15  57 /17  63 /13
C. Coleman  55 /21  59 /19  51 /23

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/12; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/12 3/11 2/11 1/14
B. Boxer     42% 43%  43%  45%  46%
T. Campbell  41  41   41   41   42
Other         5   6    6    4    3
Undec        12  10   10   10    8

-            Now 4/12 3/11 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23
B. Boxer     46% 42%  46%  47%  46%  46%   46%
C. DeVore    40  39   40   42   40   36    37
Other         4   8    4    6    4    5     7
Undec        11  12    9    5   10   13    10

-            Now 4/12 3/11 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23 7/22 3/09    
B. Boxer     45% 42%  46%  46%  46%  46%   49%  45%  47%
C. Fiorina   38  38   40   42   43   37    39   41   38
Other         4   7    4    7    3    5     4    7   10
Undec        12  13   10    5    8   12     8    7    5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/12    3/11    2/11    1/14    11/17
B. Boxer     47%/49% 51%/44% 48%/45% 51%/46% 51%/46% 51%/42%
T. Campbell  39 /35  41 /31  44 /29  44 /33  49 /23  40 /20
C. Fiorina   38 /39  36 /34  44 /31  37 /40  38 /34  40 /29
C. DeVore    34 /33  39 /26  32 /28  32 /36  33 /29  31 /25

Kentucky
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/13). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 47%D, 42%R, 11%I. Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R). (Note: Complete crosstab info was not available at press time.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom 3/17 9/2
D. Mongiardo   39% 44% 34% 47%  37%
J. Conway      36  33  39  31   30
D. Price        5   4   6  n/a  n/a
J. Buckmaster   3   4   2  n/a  n/a
Other           2   2   2   8   15
Undec          15  13  17  14   18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/17 9/2
R. Paul        45% 47% 43% 40%  25%
T. Grayson     35  36  34  28   40
J. Stephenson   3   3   3  n/a  n/a
G. Martin       3   3   3  n/a  n/a
Other           1   1   1  14   18
Undec          13  10  16  18   17

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/17 9/2 2/09
T. Grayson     42%                     43%  45% 43%
D. Mongiardo   36  64   7  27  32  40  38   41  42
Undec          22  29  11  31  22  22  19   14  15

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/17 9/2 2/09
T. Grayson     43%                     44%  46% 42%
J. Conway      35  63   6  26  31  39  36   40  41
Undec          22  29  11  30  21  23  20   14  17

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/17 9/2
R. Paul        43%  7% 84% 43% 48% 38% 46%  37%
D. Mongiardo   38  68   7  28  34  42  37   42
Undec          19  25   9  29  18  20  17   21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/17 9/2
R. Paul        42%  6% 84% 40% 48% 36% 45%  37%
J. Conway      39  70   7  29  34  44  39   41
Undec          19  24   9  31  18  20  16   22

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13). Tested: Ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R), '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R) and Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
K. Ayotte      50% 50% 47% 46%  49%  46%
P. Hodes       38  35  37  39   40   38
Other           3   4   4   3    3    5
Undec           9  11  12  13   12    8

P. Hodes       41%
J. Bender      39
Other           8
Undec          13

-              Now 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 
B. Binnie      49% 49% 46% 42%  37   
P. Hodes       37  37  36  41   43   
Other           6   4   4   3    5 
Undec           8  10  14  13   15

-              Now 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12
P. Hodes       43% 39% 42% 44%  45%
O. Lamontagne  38  44  38  38   38
Other           8   7   5   4    6
Undec          11  11  15  13   11 

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/7     3/8     2/10    1/12    9/14
K. Ayotte      63%/27% 61%/19% 60%/22% 57%/21% 60%/21% 58%/21%
B. Binnie      50 /30  51 /28  47 /26  45 /22  34 /29   n/a
P. Hodes       45 /47  45 /46  46 /42  49 /42  49 /38  46 /38
O. Lamontagne  33 /39  38 /31  33 /33  35 /31  38 /35   n/a

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 416 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/14). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3
A. Specter   45% 44%  45%  43%  42% 42% 42% 43% 45% 48% 46%
J. Sestak    43  44   45   47   47  46  44  43  40  40  42
Other/undec  12  12    9   10   11  12  14  13  14  11  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/12    5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8
A. Specter   57%/33% 53%/36% 54%/35% 52%/34% 52%/35% 50%/26%
J. Sestak    52 /13  54 /11  55 / 9  56 /10  55 /14  52 /13

A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 5/13). Tested: Specter, Sestak, '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
J. Sestak    49% 54% 45%
A. Specter   40  38  41
Undec        12   8  15

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
P. Toomey    60% 69% 50%
P. Luksik     9   8  10
Undec        31  22  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Dems    GOPers
B. Obama     75%/18% 13%/81%
E. Rendell   61 /31  17 /76
J. Sestak    49 /26  35 /31
A. Specter   49 /41  11 /83
P. Toomey    21 /30  51 /11
P. Luksik    12 /10  21 /10

Which Candidate Has A Better Chance Of Defeating The GOP Candidate In The General Election? (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
A. Specter   43% 44% 42%
J. Sestak    38  44  32
Undec        19  12  25

Which Candidate Has Run A More Negative Campaign? (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
A. Specter   43% 51% 37%
J. Sestak    24  17  30
Undec        31  31  31

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/14). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Specter, Sestak and Toomey. (Note: Complete crosstab data was not available as of press time.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 3/10 8/12 5/09
J. Sestak    45% 41% 48% 32%  33%  11%
A. Specter   43  46  41  51   48   56
Undec        12  13  11  17   19   33

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12 5/6
P. Toomey    49% 17% 86% 52% 53% 45% 41%  40%  31%
A. Specter   41  75   5  31  38  44  47   45   55
Undec        10   8   9  17   9  11  12   15   14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12 5/6
P. Toomey    45% 13% 84% 44% 49% 41% 42%  41%  32%
J. Sestak    40                      39   42   37
Undec        15  14  12  26  17  13  19   17   31

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
P. Toomey    45%/40% 16%/64% 82%/12% 41%/38% 41%/36% 37%/34%
A. Specter   45 /44  68 /21  18 /72  43 /44  48 /42  52 /40
J. Sestak    39 /26  55 /13  19 /41  39 /27  35 /23  37 /19

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
A. Specter   52%/37% 54%/35% 50%/39%
J. Sestak    51 /18  48 /22  54 /14

Senate 2010

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/9).

Sen. Blanche Lincoln Voted In Favor Of The Health Care Reform Law

Approve     28%
Disapprove  64

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/09
M. Kirk         41% 14% 81% 39% 45% 37% 36%  30%
A. Giannoulias  38  65   7  31  35  41  43   38      
Other/undec     21  21  12  30  20  22  21   32

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
M. Kirk         39%/32% 15%/49% 71%/10% 41%/30% 42%/35%
A. Giannoulias  38 /46  58 /27  11 /75  37 /43  49 /34

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5-6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/14 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       51% 54%  49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   36  33   34   32
Other           6   5    6    7
Undec           8   9   12   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/14    3/18    2/17
D. Coats       57%/27% 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%
B. Ellsworth   43 /35  40 /37  43 /33  35 /29

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak    47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter   42  42  42  43  45  48  46  49  48
Other/undec  11  12  14  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
J. Sestak    55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13% 44%/13% 42%/14%
A. Specter   52 /35  50 /26  52 /34  54 /34  56 /30  57 /29

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
J. Sestak   47% 42%  37%  36% 32%  35%  42%   34%  32%
A. Specter  42  44   48   51  53   48   46    47   51
Other        3   4    5    4   4    3    2     3    4
Undec        8  10    9    9  11   14   10    16   13

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8
A. Specter  67%/31% 65%/32% 65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25%
J. Sestak   63 /22  57 /26  47 /22  55 /23  54 /26  48 /22

Obama As POTUS

-           Now 4/12
Approve     80% 72%
Disapprove  20  27

Rendell As Gov.

-           Now 4/12
Approve     61% 60%
Disapprove  38  39

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/31
J. McCain      48% 51% 45% 52%
J.D. Hayworth  36  37  35  37
Other           6   7   5  n/a
Undec          10   5  15  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J. McCain      48%  7% 81% 46% 54% 42% 58%  3% 10% 52%
R. Glassman    35  73   6  35  32  38  29  67  58  33
Undec          17  20  13  19  14  20  13  30  32  15

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J.D. Hayworth  43%  6% 73% 40% 49% 37% 53%  6%  2% 48%
R. Glassman    42  83   7  48  37  47  37  65  60  37
Undec          15  11  20  12  14  16  10  33  34  15

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
J. McCain      43%/52% 11%/82% 74%/24% 33%/60% 47%/46%
J.D. Hayworth  35 /46   7 /77  63 /17  24 /55  34 /42
R. Glassman    26 /16  54 / 7   7 /25  22 /13  23 /15

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

B. Lincoln     44%
B. Halter      32
D.C. Morrison   7
Undec          17

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

J. Boozman     48%
J. Holt        17
G. Baker       11
K. Hendren      5
C. Reynolds     2
C. Coleman      1
Other           1
Undec          15

General Election Matchups

-              Now 1/20
G. Baker       47% 43%        G. Baker       42%
B. Lincoln     39  39         B. Halter      34
Undec          14  18         Undec          24

J. Boozman     52%            J. Boozman     56%
B. Lincoln     35             B. Halter      32
Undec          13             Undec          12

-              Now 1/20
J. Holt        45% 37%        J. Holt        42%
B. Lincoln     40  43         B. Halter      36
Undec          15  20         Undec          22

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/20
J. Boozman     38%/11%  n/a
B. Halter      29 /21  28%/11%
B. Lincoln     28 /53  39 /41

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/6). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/25
C. Crist  38% 48% 18% 55% 37% 39% 44% 19% 17% 35%
M. Rubio  32   4  70  19  37  27  32   3  64  28
K. Meek   19  36   3  13  16  22  13  68   6  20
Undec     11  12   9  13  10  12  11  10  13  17

Crist As Gov.

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/08 2/08 11/07
Excellent/good    51% 68% 29% 55% 46% 56% 57%  64%  61%
Fair/poor         48  32  70  44  54  42  41   32   34

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     3/25    6/26    5/09    11/06   10/06
C. Crist  41%/31% 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15% 47%/32% 51%/21%
M. Rubio  35 /28  27 /17  18 /11  13 / 5   n/a     n/a
K. Meek   17 /11  15 / 8  11 / 5  11 / 2   n/a     n/a

Crist Recently Vetoed A Bill That Would Have Made Teacher Pay In FL Based On Classroom Performance As Measured By Professional Evaluations And The Test Scores Of Students

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       55% 81% 21% 65% 52% 58%
Disapprove    38   8  75  30  43  33

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Grassley  49% 13% 85% 53% 56% 42% 56%
R. Conlin    40  76   6  35  34  46  35
Undec        11  11   9  12  10  12   9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/17
C. Grassley  58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin    45 /35  41 /36

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 611 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul     43% 45% 41% 44%
T. Grayson  28  27  30  23
Other        8  10   7  n/a
Undec       21  19  23  33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     2/18
R. Paul     50%/24% 57%/23% 44%/25% 43%/12%
T. Grayson  45 /26  51 /27  40 /24  31 /20

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 522 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

E. Marshall    42%
C. Cunningham  37
Other           4
Undec          17

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        50% 53%  51%  51%  50%
C. Cunningham  37  31   32   29   34
Other           3   4    7    6    5
Undec          10  13   11   14   11

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    40  32   35   34   37   38
Other           3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec           9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/19    3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr        57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  43 /35  34 /37  29 /32  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher   43% 38%  39% 39% 37%  36%  40%
R. Portman  42  43   44  43  44   38   41
Other        4   4    5   5   4    8    6
Undec       11  14   12  13  14   18   14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12    12/7
L. Fisher   48%/34% 39%/38% 41%/37% 38%/39% 41%/39% 36%/35%
R. Portman  45 /26  45 /26  45 /27  45 /24  49 /25  48 /21

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter   43% 45% 48% 46% 49% 48%
J. Sestak    43  40  40  42  40  42
Other/undec  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
A. Specter   54%/34% 56%/30% 57%/29% 55%/33% 58%/32% 58%/31%
J. Sestak    48 /13  44 /13  42 /14  45 /11  43 /12  45 /12

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln  43% 47% 40% 46% 31% 45%  44%  42%
B. Halter   35  30  38  34  39  33   31   26
Other        7  11   4   8   1   6   n/a  n/a
Undec       15  12  18  12  29  16   25   32

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    47% 15% 83% 48% 52% 42% 48%  49%  41%  37%
B. Lincoln  40  74   5  35  36  44  41   41   42   44
Undec       13  11  12  17  12  14  11   10   17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  52% 19% 87% 56% 58% 46% 50%  49%
B. Lincoln  42  76   7  37  37  47  43   42
Undec        6   5   6   7   5   7   7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman  46% 13% 82% 48% 52% 40% 46%  47%  39%  37%
B. Lincoln  42  77   5  37  37  47  43   44   44   45
Undec       12  10  13  15  11  13  11    9   17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
T. Cox      47% 13% 84% 50% 52% 42% 46%  47%  31%  29%
B. Lincoln  42  77   5  37  37  47  43   43   45   46
Undec       11  10  11  13  11  11  11   10   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  50% 18% 84% 54% 54% 46% 49%  48%  30%  28%
B. Lincoln  40  75   6  34  37  43  42   43   46   47
Undec       10   9  10  12   9  11   9    9   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
G. Baker    44%  9% 82% 47% 49% 39% 45%  46%  42%
B. Halter   43  79   6  37  38  48  43   44   34
Undec       13  12  12  16  13  13  12   10   24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  47% 13% 84% 48% 52% 42% 48%  48%
B. Halter   42  78   5  38  37  47  41   40
Undec       11   9  11  14  11  11  11   12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   43% 81%  5% 37% 38% 48% 44%  45%  35%
C. Coleman  41   6  80  42  47  35  43   44   40
Undec       16  13  15  21  15  17  13   11   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   44% 82%  5% 39% 41% 47% 44%  45%  36%
T. Cox      42   7  80  44  49  35  43   43   32
Undec       14  11  15  17  10  18  13   12   32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren  45% 10% 84% 49% 49% 41% 46%  45%  31%
B. Halter   43  78   6  38  39  47  43   44   36
Undec       12  12  10  13  12  12  11   11   33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/14    3/24
B. Halter   48%/32% 73%/10% 20%/56% 47%/32% 47%/30% 46%/27%
J. Boozman  44 /32  16 /53  76 /10  44 /29  45 /31  44 /30
B. Lincoln  41 /54  64 /32  17 /75  40 /58  43 /53  42 /52
K. Hendren  38 /27  15 /47  66 / 7  37 /23  36 /28  34 /27
G. Baker    36 /30  14 /51  63 / 7  35 /26  37 /30  36 /28
C. Coleman  36 /31  16 /52  61 / 9  34 /28  35 /30  34 /29
T. Cox      34 /27  11 /46  59 / 8  35 /24  33 /25  32 /26

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
B. Halter   66%/14% 63%/17% 68%/12% 66%/15% 67%/10%
B. Lincoln  59 /33  63 /29  56 /36  60 /32  53 /38

Delaware
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Rep. Mike Castle (R) and New Castle Co. Exec. Chris Coons (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 2/22 1/25
M. Castle  55% 53%  56%
C. Coons   32  32   27
Other       7   8    5
Undec       7   8   13

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/22    1/25    9/30
M. Castle  65%/32% 65%/30% 66%/25% 61%/34%
C. Coons   48 /38  43 /35  47 /30   n/a

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         46% 41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41% 
A. Giannoulias  38  37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            5   8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           12  13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/5     3/8     2/3     12/9
M. Kirk         52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33% 50%/32%
A. Giannoulias  42 /47  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39  48 /36

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate Scott Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
S. Lowden     38% 40% 36%
D. Tarkanian  28  29  27
S. Angle      13  11  15
Other         12  13  11
Undec          9   7  11

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Angle      44% 10% 82% 43% 50% 38% 52%  4% 18%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  34  77  67
S. Ashjian     5   1   8   7   6   4   6   0   0
Other          2   2   1   4   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   8   2   9   4   8   4  19  15

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Lowden     45% 10% 83% 46% 51% 39% 53%  4% 21%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  34  77  67
S. Ashjian     4   0   7   7   5   3   5   0   0
Other          2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   9   2   6   4   8   4  19  12

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
D. Tarkanian  43%  9% 81% 42% 49% 37% 51%  4% 17%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  35  76  67
S. Ashjian     6   1   9   9   7   5   7   0   0
Other          2   2   1   4   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   9   2   8   4   8   3  20  16

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/20    9/2
D. Tarkanian  44%/33% 26%/52% 65%/14% 40%/32% 48%/31% 47%/28%
S. Lowden     42 /34  17 /54  70 /13  40 /32  45 /26  43 /24
S. Angle      41 /29  23 /48  62 / 9  38 /28   n/a     n/a
H. Reid       37 /53  63 /29  11 /77  32 /58  34 /55  36 /52
S. Ashjian     7 /27   4 /37  10 /16   7 /29   n/a     n/a

New Hampshire
A WMUR-TV Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 512 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 462 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R), '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R) and Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02).

General Election Matchups (LVs)

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2 7/1
K. Ayotte      47% 14% 79% 44% 56% 38% 41% 40%  39%
P. Hodes       32  65   5  23  29  35  33  33   35
Other           0   0   0   1   0   0   1   2    2
Undec          21  21  16  32  15  26  25  25   24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
P. Hodes       37% 72%  7% 26% 36% 38% 36%
J. Bender      34   3  67  26  43  25  27
Other           0   0   0   0   0   0   2
Undec          29  24  26  48  21  37  35

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
B. Binnie      38%  4% 72% 31% 48% 28% 30%
P. Hodes       36  72   7  24  34  39  34
Other           0   0   0   1   0   0   2
Undec          26  24  22  43  18  33  33

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
O. Lamontagne  37%  6% 71% 28% 48% 28% 29% 28%
P. Hodes       36  72   5  24  33  39  38  37
Other           0   0   0   1   0   1   2   2
Undec          26  22  23  47  19  33  30  33

Firmness Of Choice (LVs)

-                          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
Definitely decided         14% 20% 12%  6% 18% 11% 10%  6%
Leaning toward someone     14  12  18   7  17  11  11   8
Still trying to decide     72  68  70  86  65  78  78  86

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/3     10/2
K. Ayotte      38%/13% 26%/24% 52%/ 4% 38%/ 8% 38%/12% 37%/ 8%
P. Hodes       30 /31  50 / 8  15 /56  20 /29  32 /27  30 /26
O. Lamontagne  10 /12   3 /19  17 / 6  11 / 9  12 / 9  11 / 7
B. Binnie      22 /11   6 /17  36 / 5  26 / 8  10 / 4   n/a
J. Bender       5 / 5   3 / 8   7 / 2   5 / 3   6 / 2   n/a

Ohio
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 4/27-29; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
L. Fisher     55% 57% 52%
J. Brunner    27  25  29
Undec         18  17  19

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
B. Obama      86%/12% 86%/13% 85%/11%
L. Fisher     65 /12  66 /12  63 /11
G. Voinovich  51 /36  54 /35  48 /36
J. Brunner    46 /13  46 /13  46 /13
J. Kasich     20 /29  24 /37  16 /22
R. Portman    15 /24  15 /32  14 /18

Which Candidate Has A Better Chance At Beating Portman In The General Election?

-             All Men Wom
L. Fisher     55% 60% 51%
J. Brunner    15  14  16
Undec         30  25  33

Strickland Has Endorsed Fisher In The Primary. Does This Make You More/Less Likely To Support Fisher?

-             All Men Wom
More likely   50% 52% 47%
Less likely   10   9  10
No diff       41  38  42

Which Candidate Has Run A More Negative Campaign?

-             All Men Wom
J. Brunner    16% 17% 14%
L. Fisher     10  11  10
Undec         71  68  74

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sen. John McCain, Navy vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      46% 36% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  35  43  27
J. Deakin       7   8   6
Undec          12  13  11

McCain As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 9/25
Approve        44% 40% 49% 65%
Disapprove     45  48  42  25

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J.D. Hayworth  37%/40% 44%/39% 29%/41%

A Rocky Mountain Poll; conducted 4/12-25 by the Behavior Research Center; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 666 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Further subsample of 289 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 4/28). Tested: McCain, Hayworth and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All GOP Ind
J. McCain      54% 55% 46%
J.D. Hayworth  28  26  43
Undec          18  19  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain      46% 20% 77% 36%
R. Glassman    24  50   5  19
Undec          30  30  18  45

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J.D. Hayworth  37% 14% 67% 24%
R. Glassman    30  56   9  28
Undec          33  30  24  48

Would You Say That McCain Is Doing An Excellent/Good, Fair, Poor/Very Poor Job As Regards ___?

-                              Excel./Good Fair Poor/VeryPoor
Working to maintain a strong   53%         17%  19%
  military defense for U.S.
Running a clean campaign that  34          28   27
  does not engage in name
  calling or mudslinging
Representing the opinions of   31          20   39
  people like you
Working to promote peace in    30          32   23
  the world
Working to reduce the          29          22   25
  partisan stalemate in DC
Working to protect the         28          28   25
  environment
Working to create jobs in AZ   28          19   38
Working to secure the          27          24   36
  U.S./Mexico border
Working to stop the illegal    27          21   39
  drug trade between U.S. and
  Mexico
Working to improve education   26          25   33
  in the U.S.
Working for immigration        26          17   35
  reform 

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28               
G. Baker    53% 51%  45% 52% 51% 47%  47%    
B. Lincoln  31  36   40  33  39  41   39    
Other       12   6    6   6   3   6    5    
Undec        4   7    8   8   7   7    8

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  57% 51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  29  36   39  35
Other        9   6    6   4
Undec        5   7    7   7

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman  52% 48%  43% 50% 48% 44%  43%
B. Lincoln  32  36   41  34  38  40   41
Other        8   7    7   7   4   7    5
Undec        7   8   10   9   9   9   11

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren  51% 51%  43% 51% 47% 46%  44%
B. Lincoln  30  35   38  35  39  39   41
Other       11   5    7   7   4   6    5
Undec        8   8   12   7  10   9   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     54% 51%  45%
B. Lincoln  31  35   38
Other        6   7    6
Undec        9   7   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
G. Baker    48% 44%  44%
B. Halter   33  36   37
Other       10   7    5
Undec        9  12   13

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman  56% 48%  52%
B. Halter   31  34   33
Other        7   8    6
Undec        7  11    9

-           Now 3/30 3/1
C. Coleman  43% 40%  38%
B. Halter   37  37   35
Other       11  10    9
Undec        9  13   18

-           Now 3/30 3/1
K. Hendren  45% 42%  42%
B. Halter   33  34   35
Other       13  10    7
Undec        9  13   15

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     49% 43%  42%
B. Halter   31  34   38
Other       12   9    8
Undec        8  14   12

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/1     2/1     1/5     12/1
J. Boozman  58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%  n/a     n/a
B. Halter   48 /42  47 /40  48 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holt     47 /27  46 /24  44 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Baker    42 /27  37 /25  38 /23  40 /22  42%/20% 40%/19%
C. Coleman  37 /29  35 /25  34 /24  39 /19   n/a    37 /22
K. Hendren  36 /26  38 /21  36 /23  35 /19  37 /20  41 /19
B. Lincoln  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59  38 /56  43 /52

Florida
A WFLA-TV poll; conducted 4/28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve     52% 46% 51% 60% 49% 55% 53% 43% 57%
Disapprove  42  44  45  37  49  36  41  41  43

Indiana
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the IPFW Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 407 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Brown, FoxNews.com, 4/29). Tested: Wachovia Securities branch mgr. Don Bates (R), businessman/tea-party organizer Richard Behney (R), ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R) and state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

D. Coats       36%
J. Hostettler  24
M. Stutzman    18
D. Bates        6
R. Behney       4
Undec          13

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle      48% 51%  46% 44% 44%  47%
H. Reid       40  40   38  40  40   43
Other          7   6   11   7  10    7
Undec          4   3    5   8   7    3

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
S. Lowden     52% 54%  51% 45% 48%  49%  50%
H. Reid       39  39   38  39  36   43   40
Other          6   4    7   8   8    6    4
Undec          3   2    3   8   7    3    5

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian  51% 49%  50% 47% 50%  49%  50%
H. Reid       41  42   37  39  36   43   43%
Other          4   6    9   8   5    6    4
Undec          4   2    4   6   9    2    3

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9
S. Lowden     56%/35% 54%/33% 56%/31% 48%/27% 47%/28% 46%/32%
D. Tarkanian  53 /35  55 /34  52 /29  50 /35  49 /28  49 /30
S. Angle      48 /32  48 /33  40 /36  37 /30  39 /33  40 /37
H. Reid       43 /56  37 /62  39 /58  44 /55  41 /55  40 /57

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner  40% 77%  7% 32% 39% 42% 38%  35%  34%  39%  35%
R. Portman  36   6  79  34  40  33  37   40   38   34   34
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    1
Not vote     2   2  --   2   1   2   1    2    1    1    1
Undec       21  15  14  29  19  23  23   23   27   25   29

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher   40% 79%  7% 31% 37% 43% 41%  37%  36%  42%  37%
R. Portman  37   7  80  35  42  33  37   40   39   31   33
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    2
Not vote     1  --  --   2   1  --   1    2    1    1    2
Undec       21  13  13  30  19  23  21   21   24   26   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 66% 21% 37% 42% 42% 43%  39%  39%  44%  39%
Disapprove  27  13  44  28  31  24  23   22   23   21   24

Brunner As Sec/State

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 65% 21% 39% 42% 43% 42%  36%  38%  41%  38%
Disapprove  27   8  48  29  31  23  23   25   25   23   25

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
L. Fisher   27%/13% 47%/ 4% 11%/25% 21%/12% 27%/13% 26%/12%
R. Portman  25 / 8   9 /15  51 / 1  22 / 8  25 / 8  25 / 7
J. Brunner  25 /14  41 / 4   9 /23  22 /15  21 /12  21 /12

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29
Support     45% 84% 11% 36% 42% 48% 44%
Oppose      48  10  84  55  53  44  46

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 813 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 4/28). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
J. McCain      49% 16% 78% 44% 51% 47% 55% 30% 36% 55%
R. Glassman    33  64  11  28  32  35  30  47  38  25
Undec          18  19  12  28  17  19  16  23  26  20

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
R. Glassman    42% 77% 15% 40% 40% 43% 40% 48% 45%
J.D. Hayworth  39   8  64  38  45  34  41  29  36
Undec          19  15  22  23  15  23  18  23  20

McCain As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
Approve        34% 21% 48% 28% 29% 39% 38% 25% 25% 48%
Disapprove     55  71  39  58  57  52  51  63  65  42

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/21
J.D. Hayworth  23%/50%  6%/68% 37%/37% 22%/49%  n/a
R. Glassman     7 /15  14 /14   1 /16   7 /13   6%/12%

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/27). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   69% 68%  71%
T. Potter   24  25   17
Other        2   2    4
Undec        5   5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 12/15
Approve     83% 87%
Disapprove  15  11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/22-26; surveyed 987 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 4/28). Tested: Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup

-                            RVs---------------------------->
-           All Men Wom 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09 2/09
L. Fisher   41% 38% 43% 33%  29%  24%  26%  24% 20% 18%  18%
J. Brunner  24  24  24  26   20   22   17   21  16  14   16
Other        1   1   1   1    2    1    1    2   5  19   14
Not vote    --  --  --  --    2    2    2    3   1   2   --
Undec       34  37  32  40   48   51   55   51  59  46   53

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     3/28
L. Fisher   41%/ 7% 39%/ 9% 42%/ 6% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner  26 / 7  30 / 9  24 / 6  24 / 7

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-                                RVs
-               All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher       26% 29% 25% 23%  34%
J. Brunner      19  20  18  19   31
No difference   10  11   9   7    4
Undec           44  29  48  51   31

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-                                RVs
-               All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher       31% 33% 30% 23%  31%
J. Brunner      19  20  18  20   29
No difference    5   7   5   5    2
Undec           45  40  47  52   38

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Liberal?

-                                RVs
-               All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher       25% 26% 24% 21%  28%
J. Brunner      20  22  18  15   26
No difference    3   5   2   3    3
Undec           52  47  55  61   43

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Think Would Be More Likely To Win The Nov. General Election If Nominated?

-               All Men Wom 3/28
L. Fisher       46% 48% 46% 37%
J. Brunner      16  17  15  18
No difference    1   3  --   2
Undec           36  33  39  42

Does The Fact That Brunner Is A Woman Make It More/Less Likely You Will Vote For Her In The Primary, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-                                RVs
-               All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
More likely     11%  7% 13% 12%  11%
Less likely      2   2   2   2    3
No difference   86  90  83  84   85
Undec            2   2   1   2    1

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/12-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/15). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln  45% 48% 42% 48% 30% 44%  42%
B. Halter   33  29  37  32  35  31   26
Other        6   9   3   7   1  n/a  n/a
Undec       16  14  18  13  34  25   32

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    48% 16% 84% 50% 52% 44% 49%  41%  37%
B. Lincoln  41  75   6  36  36  46  41   42   44
Undec       11   9  10  14  12  10  10   17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
J. Boozman  50% 18% 85% 53% 56% 44% 49%
B. Lincoln  43  78   7  38  38  48  42
Undec        7   4   8   9   6   8   9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman  46% 13% 82% 49% 51% 41% 47%  39%  37%
B. Lincoln  43  78   5  39  38  48  44   44   45
Undec       11   9  13  12  11  11   9   17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
T. Cox      46% 11% 84% 49% 50% 42% 47%  31%  29%
B. Lincoln  43  78   5  39  38  38  43   45   46
Undec       11  11  11  12  12  10  10   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  49% 17% 84% 52% 53% 45% 48%  30%  28%
B. Lincoln  42  77   6  36  39  45  43   46   47
Undec        9   6  10  12   8  10   9   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
G. Baker    45% 10% 83% 48% 50% 40% 46%  42%
B. Halter   43  78   7  38  39  47  44   34
Undec       12  12  10  14  11  13  10   24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
J. Boozman  48% 15% 84% 50% 53% 43% 48%
B. Halter   41  76   5  37  37  45  40
Undec       11   9  11  13  10  12  12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   44% 82%  5% 39% 39% 49% 45%  35%
C. Coleman  43   7  82  46  49  37  44   40
Undec       13  11  13  15  12  14  11   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   44% 81%  5% 40% 40% 48% 45%  36%
T. Cox      43   8  81  45  50  36  43   32
Undec       13  11  14  15  10  16  12   32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren  46% 12% 845 50% 50% 42% 45%  31%
B. Halter   43  78   6  38  39  47  44   36
Undec       11  10  10  12  11  11  11   33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/24    12/2
B. Halter   47%/30% 69%/11%  n/a    46%/30% 46%/27% 36%/25%
J. Boozman  45 /31  17 /52  77 / 9  45 /29  44 /30   n/a
B. Lincoln  43 /53  65 /31  20 /74  41 /57  42 /52  41 /50
G. Baker    37 /30  15 /50  64 / 8  36 /27  36 /28  31 /25
K. Hendren  36 /28  14 /48  63 / 7  35 /26  34 /27  30 /24
C. Coleman  35 /30  15 /50  60 / 9  33 /27  34 /29  29 /24
T. Cox      33 /25  12 /43  57 / 7  33 /22  32 /26  28 /23

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 4/13-14 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/16). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), Tea Party candidate/businessman Scott Ashjian, Navy vet/aircraft engineer/businessman Tim Fasano (IAP), Michael Harris (I), Jesse Holland (I), Jeffrey Reeves (I) and Will Stand (I). (Ed. note: The NV Sec/State's office reports that a "Michael Haines" has filed for an indie bid, but not a "Michael Harris," as appears in the poll.)

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7
S. Lowden   47% 15% 84% 49% 52% 42% 46%
H. Reid     37  70   4  27  30  44  38
T. Fasano    3   2   2   6   4   2  n/a
S. Ashjian   2   2   2   3   2   2   5
M. Harris   --  --  --  --  --  --  n/a
J. Holland  --  --  --  --  --  --  n/a
J. Reaves   --  --  --  --  --  --  n/a
W. Stand    --  --  --  --  --  --  n/a
None         3   3   1   5   5   1  n/a
Undec        8   8   7  10   7   9  11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/7     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8
S. Lowden   45%/23% 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17% 33%/13% 31%/15%
H. Reid     33 /54  34 /56  33 /51  33 /52  38 /49  38 /50
T. Fasano    5 /11   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
M. Harris    3/  1   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
S. Ashjian   2 /19   1 /13   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Reaves    2 / 2   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holland   1 / 3   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
W. Stand     1 / 2   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Talk Business poll; conducted 4/13 by Zata3 (D) (IVR); surveyed 1,167 Dems and 1,357 GOPers; margins of error +/- 2.9% and 2.7%, respectively (releases, 4/14-15). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), farm loan originator D.C. Morrison (D), Univ. of AR housing dir. Randy Alexander (R), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Food Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R), businessman Fred Ramey (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

B. Lincoln     38%
B. Halter      31
D.C. Morrison  10
Undec          20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

J. Boozman     46%
G. Baker       14
J. Holt         8
C. Coleman      5
C. Reynolds     3
K. Hendren      3
R. Alexander    3
F. Ramey        1
Undec          17

A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/5-7 for Lincoln; surveyed 650 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 4/14). Tested: Lincoln, Halter and Morrison.

Primary Election Matchups

B. Lincoln     53%
B. Halter      35
D.C. Morrison   4
Undec           8

B. Lincoln     54%
B. Halter      40
Undec           6

Fav/Unfav

B. Lincoln     57%/38%
B. Halter      51 /28

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/15). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie in the three-way general election matchup.)

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-         All Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
M. Rubio  56% 63% 49% 47%  35%   26%  23%
C. Crist  33  28  39  44   50    55   54
Other      1   1  --  --    1     1    1
Not vote  --   1  --  --    1     1    1
Undec     10   7  12   8   12    18   21

General Election Matchups

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
C. Crist  48% 27% 75% 49% 51% 46% 48%  51%
K. Meek   34  63   9  26  30  36  36   31
Other      2  --   2   3   2   1   1    1
Not vote   3   1   3   4   3   3   3    2
Undec     14  10  12  17  14  13  12   14

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
M. Rubio  42%  8% 82% 43% 48% 36% 44%  33%
K. Meek   38  76   4  32  33  43  35   36
Other      1   1  --   2   1   1   1    2
Not vote   1   2  --   1   1   1   2    2
Undec     17  14  13  22  16  19  19   28

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist  32% 27% 30% 38% 30% 34%
M. Rubio  30   5  64  29  36  25
K. Meek   24  55  --  15  21  27
Other     --  --  --   1   1  --
Not vote   1  --  --   1   1  --
Undec     13  12   6  16  11  14

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
C. Crist  48%/35% 50%/30% 49%/42% 48%/33% 52%/36% 58%/30%
M. Rubio  36 /22  13 /34  67 / 7  32 /21  32 /14  24 /11
K. Meek   18 / 8  34 / 4   5 /17  15 / 7  18 / 8  20 / 8

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve     49% 52% 49% 50% 52% 47% 50%  59%   60%  62% 66%
Disapprove  39  37  42  37  39  39  38   31    30   28  23

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign? (GOPers)

-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio  54% 59% 48% 43%
C. Crist  30  29  31  42
No diff    6   8   4   5
Undec     11   5  17  10

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (GOPers)

-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio  56% 60% 51% 45%
C. Crist  32  32  32  40
No diff    2   2   1   2
Undec     11   6  16  13

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Conservative? (GOPers)

-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio  59% 68% 49% 48%
C. Crist  27  22  32  34
No diff    1   1  --   1
Undec     14   8  19  17

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 742 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 4/14). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 35%R, 17%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr        43% 14% 80% 45% 53% 35% 43%  44%  45%  45%
C. Cunningham  35  62   7  18  33  37  32   32   36   36
Undec          22  23  13  37  15  28  25   24   19   20

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr        43% 14% 82% 42% 54% 34% 43%  44%  46%  43%
K. Lewis       35  62   6  21  35  35  32   31   34   37
Undec          22  24  13  37  11  31  25   25   20   21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr        43% 15% 82% 43% 54% 35% 41%  43%  44%  42%
E. Marshall    37  66   4  23  32  35  36   33   37   37
Undec          20  19  14  34  14  24  23   23   18   21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr        43% 14% 83% 41% 52% 35% 41%  42%  45%  42%
Generic Dem    38  69   2  24  34  41  39   35   36   41
Undec          19  17  15  35  14  24  20   23   20   17

Burr As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
Approve        32% 15% 57% 31% 45% 23% 35%  35%  36%  35%
Disapprove     41  58  18  43  42  41  37   35   33   37

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
E. Marshall    19%/11% 29%/ 9%  7%/13% 16%/14% 17%/12%
K. Lewis        7 /10   9 /12   3 / 7   8 /19   5 / 9
C. Cunningham   5 / 8   7 / 9   4 / 6   4 / 8   4 /10

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8; surveyed 620 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/15). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Bennett      37%
M. Lee          14
T. Bridgewater  14
M. Cook          6
C. Eagar         4
Other            3
Undec           21

Fav/Unfav

B. Bennett      52%/43%
M. Lee          38 /14
T. Bridgewater  36 /16
M. Cook         26 /53
C. Eagar        25 /21

Obama As POTUS

Approve          9%
Disapprove      91