Governor 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,528 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 747 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/20). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D), businessman Dan Maes (R) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       57% 60% 54%
D. Maes          29  28  29
Undec            14  12  17

General Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
D. Maes          45% 50% 40%
J. Hickenlooper  44  42  45
Third party       5   4   6
Undec             6   4   8

General Election Matchup (1,474 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       47% 53% 42%
J. Hickenlooper  43  40  46
Third party       6   6   5
Undec             4   2   6

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

R. Scott     35%
B. McCollum  30
Undec        33

Maryland
A polling company, inc. (R) poll; conducted 6/8-10 for businessman/ex-commodities trader Brian Murphy (R); surveyed 508 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/18). Tested: Murphy, Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchups

M. O'Malley  44%              M. O'Malley  44%
B. Ehrlich   43               B. Murphy    25

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 6/12-15 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 5/26
A. Dillon    34% 29%
V. Bernero   24  23
Undec        42  48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
M. Cox       26% 18%  21%  21%  32%  28%
P. Hoekstra  24  30   27   27   25   29
R. Snyder    20  17   15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  16   13   10   16   14
T. George     2   2    3    1    2    2
Other        n/a n/a   3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        12  17   18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/26 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 47%  42%
V. Bernero   38  34   29
Undec        15  19   29

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  46% 47%  40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    38  35   33   37   32
Undec        16  18   27   21   28

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 51%  42%
V. Bernero   34  28   26
Undec        17  21   32

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 50%  42%
A. Dillon    36  31   30
Undec        15  19   28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/26    3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       36%/33% 35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  33 /15  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  35 /17  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    29 / 9  26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    15 /15  13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero   14 / 9   9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     9 / 6   4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 5/19 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     76% 72%  68%  74%  75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  21  28   30   25   22  24  29  28   30

Michigan
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8-9; surveyed 742 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/16). Tested: Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
P. Hoekstra  26% 30% 23%
R. Snyder    20  17  22
M. Cox       16  16  15
M. Bouchard  11  17   7
T. George     2   1   2
Other         3   2   3
Undec        22  17  28

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra  44%/19% 50%/21% 39%/18%
R. Snyder    36 /18  35 /23  37 /15
M. Cox       34 /35  38 /39  31 /32
M. Bouchard  32 /16  39 /19  27 /12
T. George     9 /24  11 /29   7 /19

A Practical Political Consulting (D) poll; conducted 6/2-8; surveyed 188 Dem primary LVs and 303 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 7.1% and 5.6% (Gray, Detroit Free Press, 6/17). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), State House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Bouchard, Cox, George, Hoekstra and Snyder.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon    14%
V. Bernero   10
Undec        76

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

P. Hoekstra  21%
R. Snyder    15
M. Cox       10
M. Bouchard  10
T. George     1
Undec        44

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 1,277 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown: 38%R, 37%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Branstad       52% 20% 85% 49% 53% 51%
C. Culver         37  71   7  33  39  36
Undec             11   9   8  19   9  13

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Roberts        40% 10% 72% 35% 43% 36%
C. Culver         38  74   7  32  40  37
Undec             22  15  21  33  17  27

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Vander Plaats  43% 10% 77% 42% 46% 41%
C. Culver         38  75   5  33  40  35
Undec             19  15  19  25  15  23

Culver As Gov.

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       28% 56%  4% 22% 30% 27%
Disapprove    56  26  84  59  56  56

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Dem     GOP     Ind
T. Branstad       42%/37% 23%/57% 62%/17% 39%/37%
B. Vander Plaats  28 /30  13 /43  45 /18  22 /28
R. Roberts        15 /19  11 /28  21 /14  14 /15

Maine
A ME Center for Public Opinion (R) poll; conducted 5/22-6/2 for '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R); surveyed 915 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/3). Tested: Mills, atty/Sen. Collins ex-CoS/mgr. Steve Abbott (R), ex-Husson Univ. pres./CEO Bill Beardsley (R), businessman Matt Jacobson (R), Waterville Mayor Paul LePage (R), businessman/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and businessman Bruce Poliquin (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Mills      22%
L. Otten      17
S. Abbott     14
P. LePage     11
B. Beardsley   6
B. Poliquin    5
M. Jacobson    1
Undec         24

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 5/22-26 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/2). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon    29%
V. Bernero   23
Undec        48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra  30% 27%  27%  25%  29%
M. Cox       18  21   21   32   28
R. Snyder    17  15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  13   10   16   14
T. George     2   3    1    2    2
Other        n/a  3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        17  18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Bouchard  48%
V. Bernero   32
Undec        20

M. Bouchard  49%
A. Dillon    33
Undec        18

-            Now 3/31
M. Cox       46% 44%
V. Bernero   36  30
Undec        18  26

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26
M. Cox       46% 43%  43%  47%    
A. Dillon    37  34   36   30     
Undec        17  23   21   23

-            Now 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 42%
V. Bernero   34  29
Undec        19  29

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  47% 40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    35  33   37   32
Undec        18  27   21   28

-            Now 3/31
R. Snyder    51% 42%
V. Bernero   28  26
Undec        21  32

-            Now 3/31
R. Snyder    50% 42%
A. Dillon    31  30
Undec        19  28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero    9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Nevada
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-2; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. Dist. Judge/ex-AG/ex-Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   47% 48% 45%
J. Gibbons    25  29  20
M. Montandon  10   7  13
S. Lusak       1   1   2
T. Atwood      1   1   0
Undec         16  13  19

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
B. Sandoval   58%/22% 59%/21% 57%/22%
J. Gibbons    37 /50  40 /48  33 /53
M. Montandon  25 /15  26 /17  23 /14
S. Lusak       3 /13   3 /11   2 /14
T. Atwood      5 /12   5 /11   4 /12

Governor 2010

Maine
A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 5/21-29; surveyed 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.7% for each (Christian, WCSH6.com, 6/1). Tested: '90/'92 ME-02 nominee/ex-ME Dept. of Conservation Commis./ex-state Rep. Pat McGowan (D), '84 SEN nominee/'90 ME-01 candidate/state Senate Pres./ex-state House Speaker Libby Mitchell (D), ex-ME Econ./Commun. Dev. Commis./ex-state House Speaker John Richardson (D), ex-AG/ex-state House Speaker Steve Rowe (D), businesswoman Rosa Scarcelli (D), atty/Sen. Collins ex-CoS/mgr. Steve Abbott (R), ex-Husson Univ. pres./CEO Bill Beardsley (R), businessman Matt Jacobson (R), Waterville Mayor Paul LePage (R), '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R), businessman/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and businessman Bruce Poliquin (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

L. Mitchell   13%
S. Rowe       12
R. Scarcelli   7
P. McGowan     6
Undec         62

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

L. Otten      17%
P. LePage     10
P. Mills       8
S. Abbott      8
B. Beardsley   4
B. Poliquin    3
M. Jacobson    2
Undec         47

Michigan
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 890 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 6/2). Party ID breakdown: 37%R, 35%D, 28%I. Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bouchard  39%  6% 69% 40% 39% 39%
V. Bernero   34  71   8  22  37  30
Undec        27  23  23  38  24  31

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Cox       38%  6% 70% 33% 35% 40%
V. Bernero   36  67   7  35  39  33
Undec        27  27  23  32  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
V. Bernero   31% 67%  4% 22% 34% 28%
T. George    30   1  61  23  28  31
Undec        39  32  34  55  37  41

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Hoekstra  41%  6% 75% 41% 40% 42%
V. Bernero   34  74   5  22  37  30
Undec        25  20  20  38  22  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Snyder    44%  6% 72% 53% 45% 43%
V. Bernero   28  66   5  10  30  26
Undec        28  28  23  36  26  31

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bouchard  38%  5% 71% 35% 39% 37%
A. Dillon    29  65   6  14  31  26
Undec        33  30  23  51  29  37

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Cox       40% 10% 73% 34% 41% 40%
A. Dillon    32  66   6  25  35  30
Undec        27  24  21  41  24  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. George    32%  5% 63% 23% 28% 35%
A. Dillon    31  69   6  15  35  27
Undec        38  26  31  61  37  39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Hoekstra  41%  8% 77% 36% 44% 39%
A. Dillon    32  71   5  20  34  31
Undec        27  21  19  44  22  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Snyder    46%  8% 76% 54% 48% 45%
A. Dillon    26  63   5   8  29  23
Undec        28  29  19  37  23  32

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra  27%/23%  8%/28% 40%/15% 32%/27% 31%/23% 23%/23%
R. Snyder    25 /13  11 /19  29 /11  37 / 9  27 /17  22 / 9
M. Cox       25 /38  10 /48  36 /24  28 /43  31 /37  19 /38
M. Bouchard  18 /19   7 /21  24 /15  23 /21  18 /26  18 /13
V. Bernero   11 /12  13 / 6   4 /17  16 /14  14 /11   7 /13
A. Dillon     9 /20  17 /12   5 /23   6 /27  11 /21   8 /20
T. George     4 / 9   3 / 9   5 /11   5 / 8   5 /10   4 / 9

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

General Election Matchups

R. Bentley  46%               R. Bentley  44%
A. Davis    33                R. Sparks   31
Other       12                Other       13
Undec        9                Undec        9

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
B. Byrne    47% 50%           B. Byrne    45% 43%
A. Davis    33  33            R. Sparks   32  33
Other       12   9            Other       13  11
Undec        8   9            Undec       10  13

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
T. James    45% 49%           T. James    42% 38%
A. Davis    39  35            R. Sparks   37  34
Other        8  10            Other       13  13
Undec        8   7            Undec        9  14

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
R. Moore    43% 40%           R. Sparks   40% 40%  
A. Davis    40  44            R. Moore    38  35
Other       11  11            Other       15  15
Undec        6   6            Undec        7  10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/29
A. Davis    48%/36% 47%/39%
R. Bentley  45 /27   n/a
B. Byrne    45 /33  48 /21
R. Moore    43 /46  49 /39
T. James    41 /42  43 /29
R. Sparks   40 /38  39 /35

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 5/19-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,506 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 521 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/30). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 28%R, 27%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/30
M. Whitman  53% 57% 49% 60%
S. Poizner  29  28  30  20
Other        5   4   7   3
Undec       12  10  14  16

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown    44% 65% 20% 39% 43% 46% 41%
M. Whitman  38  18  68  39  42  34  44
Other        5   3   3   8   5   4   2
Undec       12  11   7  13   9  14  13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown    45% 68% 20% 41% 45% 46% 53%
S. Poizner  31  11  61  31  32  31  22
Other        8   5   7  12   9   7   5
Undec       14  15  10  15  12  16  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/30    11/2
J. Brown    38%/33% 53%/12% 18%/61% 37%/36% 41%/28% 44%/27%
M. Whitman  32 /37  17 /47  54 /24  32 /37  30 /23  17 /14
S. Poizner  20 /40  14 /41  32 /36  19 /42  15 /23  11 / 7

Does ___ Better Describe Whitman/Poizner? (GOPers)

-                         Whitman Poizner Both Neither Undec
Will create jobs/get our
 economy going           55%     16%      6%   6%     16%
Will rein in gov't
 spending and reduce
 the CA debt             53      16       5    7      19
Will fight tax increases  48      20       6    7      19
Understands the problems
 and concerns of people
 like me                 43      22       3   11      21
Will help fix our
 immigration system      40      27       6    7      20
Has strong conservative
 values                  40      28       4    6      23

Have You Seen Or Heard Any Radio Or TV Ads For Any SEN Or GOV Candidates?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     77% 73% 84% 77% 79% 75%
No      21  25  14  21  20  23

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 474 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/1). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       46% 49% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  31  34  27
R. Roberts        13   9  16
Undec             11   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Men     Wom
T. Branstad       59%/20% 61%/22% 56%/17%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19  51 /20  42 /18
R. Roberts        24 /15  24 /17  24 /13

Michigan
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 314 Dem primary LVs and 377 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.5% and 5.1%, respectively (release, 6/1). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Bernero   26% 31% 23% 27% 20% 56%
A. Dillon    23  24  22  21  30  11
Undec        51  45  55  52  50  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Snyder    20% 25% 15%
P. Hoekstra  19  22  16
M. Cox       17  21  12
M. Bouchard  15  11  20
T. George     9   7  11
Undec        20  14  27

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Dillon    14%/19% 17%/12% 11%/25% 15%/22% 10%/10% -- /28%
V. Bernero   13 /14  19 / 7   9/ 20  14 /15  10 /10  17 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra  43%/17% 47%/19% 37%/15%
M. Cox       41 /24  53 /25  27 /23
R. Snyder    34 /10  38 /15  31 / 4
M. Bouchard  31 /15  29 /22  32 / 7
T. George     7 /10   8 /13   5 / 7

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D), activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12 9/14
J. Lynch      50% 50% 51% 52%  52%
J. Kimball    31  34  32  31   31
Other          6   4   3   4    6
Undec         13  12  13  12   10

-             Now 4/7 3/8
J. Lynch      47% 47% 50%
J. Stephen    35  37  35
Other          4   5   2
Undec         14  11  14

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12
J. Lynch      51% 50% 54% 53%
K. Testerman  32  33  28  30
Other          6   6   5   5
Undec         11  11  14  12

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 5/11 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       51% 56%  59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    47  43   39  36  39   38   34

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     3/8     1/12    9/12
J. Lynch      53%/43% 60%/35% 59%/37% 59%/38% 63%/33%
J. Stephen    36 /25  36 /27  32 /30   n/a     n/a
J. Kimball    31 /21  36 /26  27 /25  31 /28  28 /27
K. Testerman  31 /22  31 /27  22 /30  33 /30   n/a

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/27; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/1). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D), accountant/ex-state Rep. Victor Moffitt (R) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      35% 33%  39%  37%
F. Caprio      32  33   28   27
J. Robitaille  25  21   22   19
Undec           9  13   11   17

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      37% 35%  37%  38%
J. Robitaille  29  26   26   22
P. Lynch       19  24   22   24
Undec          15  15   15   16

F. Caprio      35%            L. Chafee      35%
L. Chafee      33             V. Moffitt     28          
V. Moffitt     22             P. Lynch       24
Undec          10             Undec          13

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/25
F. Caprio      61%/25% 56%/29% 53%/29% 52%/28%
L. Chafee      53 /39  53 /38  57 /37  55 /37
P. Lynch       36 /53  44 /45  45 /41  37 /48
J. Robitaille  36 /28  39 /27  35 /29  31 /31
V. Moffitt     31 /32   n/a     n/a     n/a

South Carolina
A Statehouse Report poll; conducted 5/25 by InsiderAdvantage (IVR); surveyed 402 Dem primary LVs and 591 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/28). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
V. Sheheen   26% 35% 19% 25% 27% 31% 16%
J. Rex       17  19  16  18  17   0   4
R. Ford      12   7  17   6  18  49   6
Undec        44  39  49  52  37  20  74

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     31% 33% 30%
A. Bauer     21  19  22
G. Barrett   14  15  13
H. McMaster  14  15  13
Undec        20  18  22

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R), Buffalo Gap rancher Ken Knuppe (R), ex-Brookings Mayor Scott Munsterman (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Daugaard    51% 53%  49%  41%
S. Heidepriem  36  33   32   32
Other           7   5    6    7
Undec           6   9   13   19

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
S. Heidepriem  49% 46%  39%  37%
G. Howie       36  31   34   29
Other           9   8    9   12
Undec           6  14   17   22

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Knudson     49% 41%  32%  31%
S. Heidepriem  34  41   37   34
Other          10   9   13   13
Undec           6  10   19   22

S. Heidepriem  47%
K. Knuppe      34
Other          12
Undec           8

S. Heidepriem  46%
S. Munsterman  38
Other           9
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/23
D. Daugaard    66%/23% 61%/23% 60%/14% 45%/22%
D. Knudson     59 /24  54 /21  35 /17  32 /21
S. Heidepriem  50 /38  48 /36  42 /33  42 /33
S. Munsterman  38 /37   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Howie       36 /48  33 /36  38 /25  29 /29
K. Knuppe      29 /41   n/a     n/a     n/a

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   48% 44%  36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  40  40   45   43   44    42
Other        7   9   12    7    9    13
Undec        5   6    7    9   12    11

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     56% 40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  42  56   51   55   60   57    57   48   45

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 813 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 4/27). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and Goddard.

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard  47% 83% 20% 44% 42% 51% 43% 62% 51%
J. Arpaio   44  13  68  46  49  40  47  35  37
Undec        9   4  12  10   9   9  10   3  12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
T. Goddard  47% 88% 15% 44% 41% 52% 41% 71% 48% 46%
J. Brewer   44   8  73  42  50  38  49  25  36  36
Undec       10   4  12  14   9  10  10   4  15  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
T. Goddard  47% 87% 17% 41% 42% 51% 42% 66% 50% 45%
D. Martin   36   5  63  31  42  31  40  25  27  37
Undec       17   7  21  28  16  18  19   9  24  18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard  45% 84% 15% 43% 41% 49% 41% 60% 48%
B. Mills    37   8  63  30  41  33  40  24  31
Undec       18   8  22  27  18  19  18  16  22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard  46% 86% 15% 41% 41% 50% 40% 66% 51%
J. Munger   31   5  55  25  37  26  35  20  22
Undec       23   9  30  34  22  24  25  14  27

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
Approve     35% 14% 54% 33% 40% 31% 38% 27% 31% 26%
Disapprove  46  75  27  39  43  49  43  57  55  43

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/21
J. Arpaio   53%/38% 26%/68% 73%/18% 58%/31%  n/a
T. Goddard  39 /27  62 / 9  20 /44  40 /24  44%/22%
D. Martin   19 /13  10 /19  27 / 9  16 /12  27 /19
B. Mills    18 /16   9 /26  27 /10  17 /14   n/a
J. Munger    4 /11   3 /15   5 / 8   3 /10   n/a

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/27). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal      46% 43%  43%  42%
R. Barnes    39  40   37   43
Other         7   5    7    7
Undec         8  13   14    8

-            Now 1/20
N. Deal      47% 49%
T. Baker     31  32
Other         9   7
Undec        13  11

-            Now 1/20
K. Handel    44% 46%
T. Baker     36  34
Other         5   8
Undec        15  11

-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel    42% 42%  45%  42%
R. Barnes    41  39   36   43
Other         7   5    5    5
Undec        10  14   14   10 

E. Johnson   38%
T. Baker     35
Other         9
Undec        18

-            Now 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes    42% 40%  37%
E. Johnson   37  38   37
Other         8   6    8
Undec        13  16   18

-            Now 1/20
J. Oxendine  44% 50%
T. Baker     34  32
Other         9   8
Undec        13  10

-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine  45% 41%  45%  44%
R. Barnes    43  41   37   42
Other         6   6    7    6
Undec         6  11   10    8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/17    2/17    1/20
J. Oxendine  51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
K. Handel    48 /26  44 /32  53 /24  52 /24
R. Barnes    47 /43  44 /43  48 /43  52 /38
T. Baker     42 /39   n/a     n/a    45 /33
N. Deal      41 /27  39 /30  40 /27  44 /29
E. Johnson   29 /28  32 /27  36 /25   n/a

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22; surveyed 321 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 4/27). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D) and '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-                 Now 3/24
A. Dillon         13% 12%
V. Bernero        10   8
A. Wheeler Smith   9  10
Other             15  17
Undec             51  53

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     3/24
A. Wheeler Smith  32%/13% 22%/13%
A. Dillon         32 /17  27 /14
V. Bernero        31 /11  24 /13

Obama As POTUS

-             Now 3/24
Approve       87% 86%
Disapprove    12  14

Granholm As Gov.

-             Now 3/24
Approve       62% 65%
Disapprove    38  34

Governor 2010

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 481 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 4/27). Tested: Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and venture capitalist Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              Now 3/24
P. Hoekstra    28% 27%
R. Snyder      14  18
M. Cox         13  13
M. Bouchard     9   6
Other           5   5
Undec          32  32

General Election Matchup

-              Now 10/21
Generic GOPer  41% 36%
Generic Dem    36  37
Other           5  n/a
Undec          18  27

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-              Now     3/24
P. Hoekstra    55%/17% 54%/13%
M. Cox         50 /23  45 /23
M. Bouchard    42 /17  37 /19
R. Synder      41 /15  40 /14

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/27). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      33% 39%  37%
F. Caprio      33  28   27
J. Robitaille  21  22   19
Undec          13  11   17

-              Now 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      35% 37%  38%
J. Robitaille  26  26   22
P. Lynch       24  22   24
Undec          15  15   16

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/25    2/25
F. Caprio      56%/29% 53%/29% 52%/28%
L. Chafee      53 /38  57 /37  55 /37
P. Lynch       44 /45  45 /41  37 /48
J. Robitaille  39 /27  35 /29  31 /31

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/26). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/25 2/23
D. Daugaard    53% 49%  41%
S. Heidepriem  33  32   32
Other           5   6    7
Undec           9  13   19

-              Now 3/25 2/23
S. Heidepriem  46% 39%  37%
G. Howie       31  34   29
Other           8   9   12
Undec          14  17   22

-              Now 3/25 2/23
S. Heidepriem  41% 37%  34%
D. Knudson     41  32   31
Other           9  13   13
Undec          10  19   22

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/25    2/23
D. Daugaard    61%/23% 60%/14% 45%/22%
D. Knudson     54 /21  35 /17  32 /21
S. Heidepriem  48 /36  42 /33  42 /33
G. Howie       33 /36  38 /25  29 /29

Governor 2010

Michigan
A Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/23). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '98 nominee/ex-Kevorkian atty Geoffrey Fieger (D) and '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D).

Primary Election Matchup

G. Fieger         28%
A. Dillon         20
V. Bernero        13
A. Wheeler Smith   8
Other              2
Undec             29

Oklahoma
A SoonerPoll.com poll; conducted 4/5-15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Oversamples of 304 Dem primary LVs and 301 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.6% for each (release, 4/23). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 53%D, 40%R, 7%I. Tested: LG Jari Askins (D), AG Drew Edmondson (D), state Sen. Randy Brogdon (R) and Rep. Mary Fallin (R-05).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 1/5 4/09
D. Edmondson  40% 42% 39% 46% 29%
J. Askins     35  35  36  36  34
Undec         25  23  26  18  38

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 1/5
M. Fallin     62% 60% 64% 68%
R. Brogdon    13  16  11  16
Undec         25  24  25  16

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/5     4/09
M. Fallin     50%/25% 34%/36% 70%/10% 57%/20% 54%/29% 64%/16%
D. Edmondson  43 /24  51 /31  37 /34  29 /31  51 /31  50 /15
J. Askins     36 /20  64 /11  26 /33  43 /20  43 /28  46 /16
R. Brogdon    11 /14   7 /17  18 / 9  17 /17  13 /21  10 / 5

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/16 2/17                 Now 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  46% 46%  44%      S. Walker   46% 48%  49%
T. Barrett  46  42   42       T. Barrett  44  42   40
Other        4   4    4       Other        3   2    1
Undec        5   8   10       Undec        7   8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/16    2/17
M. Neumann  53%/31% 53%/27% 49%/31%
S. Walker   48 /33  55 /28  55 /29
T. Barrett  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
N. Lamont  41% 41%            T. Foley   44% 37%
M. Fedele  38  33             N. Lamont  37  40
Other       9   8             Other       7   9
Undec      12  18             Undec      13  14

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
D. Malloy  40% 36%            T. Foley   44% 36%
M. Fedele  37  35             D. Malloy  35  37
Other       7   9             Other       8  10
Undec      16  21             Undec      14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/1
D. Malloy  47%/29% 43%/29%
T. Foley   45 /25  42 /22
N. Lamont  43 /40  43 /35
M. Fedele  38 /26  39 /22

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 396 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Galloway, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4/7). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     18  13   10   9
N. Deal        9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   7    7   3
Others        11   8    4   6
Undec         31  36   45  50

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady    43% 19% 80% 39% 44% 42%
P. Quinn    33  53   7  31  34  32
Undec       24  28  13  30  22  26

Quinn As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve     25% 37% 10% 23% 22% 27% 25%
Disapprove  53  36  77  54  58  49  55

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Brady    25%/20% 11%/27% 44%/11% 24%/19% 27%/25% 23%/17%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   23  19  25    23
Undec       15  14  14    19

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  38% 34% 32%   34%
T. Cahill   33  30  28    23
C. Mihos    15  19  26    23
Undec       14  16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   49%/29% 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
D. Patrick  49 /48  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40%/56% 48%/51%
C. Baker    43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30  37 /27
C. Mihos    31 /51  38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 3/28-31 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/7). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                 Now
A. Dillon         22%
V. Bernero        15
A. Wheeler Smith  11
Other             10
Undec             42

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 27%  25%  29%
M. Cox        21  21   32   28
R. Snyder     15  12    3    3
M. Bouchard   13  10   16   14
T. George      3   1    2    2
Other          3   3   n/a  n/a
Undec         18  26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Cox        44%
V. Bernero    30
Undec         26

-             Now 2/25 1/26
M. Cox        43% 43%  47%    
A. Dillon     34  36   30     
Undec         23  21   23

P. Hoekstra   42%
V. Bernero    29
Undec         29

-             Now 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra   40% 41%  40%
A. Dillon     33  37   32
Undec         27  21   28

R. Snyder     42%
V. Bernero    26
Undec         32

R. Snyder     42%
A. Dillon     30
Undec         28

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox            38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero         8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   5 / 4   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5
T. George          4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs and 491 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 4/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   20% 18% 22% 16%
J. Hoeffel   15  16  13  10
J. Wagner    13  15  12  11
T. Williams   5   6   4   2
Other         1   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        47  44  49  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   58% 66% 51% 43%
S. Rohrer     7   7   6   5
Other         1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        35  27  42  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
D. Onorato   27%/ 6% 26%/ 7% 28%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 5  24 / 5  18 / 4
J. Hoeffel   18 / 4  20 / 6  17 / 4
T. Williams   6 / 3   8 / 4   5 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   51%/ 3% 59%/ 3% 44%/ 3%
S. Rohrer     8 / 2   8 / 3   8 /--

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 407 Dem primary voters and 457 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 3/30). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), inventor Sam Franklin Thomas (D), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R), '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R), financial adviser James Potts (R) and businessman Charles Taylor (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                   All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
A. Davis            38% 37% 39% 29% 48% 20%
R. Sparks           28  35  22  33  23  33
S. Franklin Thomas   9   7  10   9   9  13
Undec               25  20  29  29  21  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne    27% 31% 24%
R. Moore    23  24  22
R. Bentley  10  11   9
K. Ivey     10   8  12
T. James     9  10   9
B. Johnson   1   1   1
J. Potts     0  --   0
C. Taylor   --  --  --
Undec       20  16  24

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Davis    28%/34% 36%/35% 23%/33% 31%/26% 28%/38%  7%/67%
R. Sparks   27 /17  40 /15  16 /18  30 /17  25 /15  13 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom
R. Moore    48%/28% 50%/30% 46%/26%
B. Byrne    31 / 9  31 /10  31 / 8
T. James    20 /21  27 /22  14 /20
K. Ivey     20 /26  19 /29  21 /24

Obama As POTUS (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
Approve     84% 85% 83% 68% 98% 87%
Disapprove  13  14  12  26   1   7

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 662 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 3/30). Tested: Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and venture capitalist Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Hoekstra  27%
R. Snyder    18
M. Cox       13
M. Bouchard   6
Other         5
Undec        32

Fav/Unfav

P. Hoekstra  54%/13%
M. Cox       45 /23
R. Synder    40 /14
M. Bouchard  37 /19

Obama As POTUS

Approve      10%
Disapprove   88

Granholm As Gov.

Approve      10%
Disapprove   89

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     52% 55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     29  30  35   29    26
Other         6   5   5    6     5
Undec        13  10   7    9     5

A. Cuomo     50%
S. Levy      26
Other         7
Undec        17

-            Now 3/1
A. Cuomo     51% 56%
C. Paladino  28  27
Other         6   6
Undec        15  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14
A. Cuomo     60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32%
R. Lazio     46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49   n/a
S. Levy      33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/23-29; surveyed 1,526 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
T. Strickland  43% 80%  9% 34% 44% 42% 44%  40%  46%  43% 51%
J. Kasich      38   9  75  38  41  35  39   40   36   38  32
Other           1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1    2    2   1
Not vote        1  --  --   1   1   1   2    1    1    1   1
Undec          17  10  15  26  14  21  15   18   15   16  16

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        49% 71% 26% 46% 46% 50% 48%  45%  48%  46% 57%
Disapprove     40  19  64  42  45  36  40   43   42   42  29

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/21    11/9
T. Strickland  46%/35% 72%/12% 24%/57% 41%/39% 45%/36% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      24 /10  10 /17  43 / 4  25 / 9  26 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        35% 58% 16% 30% 36% 34% 35%  33%  33%  33% 43%
Disapprove     52  30  72  56  53  50  53   52   54   53  43

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
Approve        37% 55% 19% 35% 41% 34% 32%  36%  32% 43% 44%
Disapprove     47  30  66  49  46  47  51   47   53  40  36

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09 2/09
Yes  36% 51% 22% 32% 37% 34% 34%  32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No   41  29  55  41  42  40  45   43   40   40  32  30   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  38% 67% 12% 31% 41% 36% 35%  33%
J. Kasich      38  14  67  39  42  34  41   41
No difference   2   2   1   3   2   2   2   --
Undec          22  16  20  27  15  28  22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      39% 14% 69% 42% 44% 35% 42%  42%
T. Strickland  38  68  11  31  38  37  36   34
No difference   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   --
Undec          21  16  18  25  16  26  21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  40% 70% 16% 33% 41% 40% 35%
J. Kasich      35  12  62  35  39  31  36
No difference   5   3   3   8   5   5   6
Undec          20  15  18  24  16  24  22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  42% 72% 14% 37% 45% 40% 40%
J. Kasich      34   9  64  35  38  30  36
No difference   2   1   2   3   1   3   3
Undec          22  18  20  24  15  27  21

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 549 Dem RVs and 387 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.2% and 5.0%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Puerto Rican Legal Defense and Education Fund head/ex-state Rep. Juan Figueroa (D), '06 LG nominee/Simsbury first selectwoman Mary Glassman (D), '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), Ridgefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi (D), Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton (R), ex-Rep./ex-state Sen./ex-Univ. of New Haven pres. Larry DeNardis (R), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R), businessman Oz Griebel (R), First Selectman Tom Marsh (R) and Newington mayor Jeff Wright (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
N. Lamont    28% 33% 24%
D. Malloy    18  15  20
M. Glassman   4   3   5
R. Marconi    2   3   2
J. Figueroa   1  --   2
Other         1   1  --
Not vote      2   4   1
Undec        44  41  46

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/19
T. Foley     30% 33% 27% 17%
M. Boughton   4   4   4   6
M. Fedele     4   4   3   8
L. DeNardis   2   3   2   4
J. Wright     2   3  --  n/a
O. Griebel    2   2   1   2
T. Marsh     --  --   1  n/a
Other         2   2   2   2
Not vote      3   2   5   2
Undec        50  47  54  59

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
N. Lamont    43%/13% 47%/17% 41%/10%
D. Malloy    35 / 9  33 /14  36 / 6
M. Glassman  12 / 5  11 / 3  12 / 6
R. Marconi    6 / 3   7 / 5   6 / 1
J. Figueroa   5 / 1   4 / 2   6 /--

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Foley     37%/ 6% 42%/ 7% 31%/ 3%
M. Fedele    11 / 8  11 / 9  12 / 6
M. Boughton   9 / 5  13 / 7   4 / 4
L. DeNardis   6 / 9   6 / 9   6 / 9
J. Wright     5 / 2   8 / 2   2 / 1
O. Griebel    5 / 3   5 / 3   4 / 4
T. Marsh      5 / 4   5 / 3   5 / 6

Michigan
An Inside Michigan Politics poll; conducted 3/10-15 by Marketing Resource Group; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 175 Dem primary LVs and 245 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 7.4% and 6.3%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         21%
V. Bernero         9
A. Wheeler Smith   6
Undec             64

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

M. Cox            21%
P. Hoekstra       21
R. Synder         20
M. Bouchard       10
T. George          1
Undec             27

General Election Matchups

M. Bouchard       45%         M. Bouchard       41%
V. Bernero        23          A. Dillon         26
Undec             30          Undec             31

M. Cox            45%         M. Cox            44%
V. Bernero        26          A. Dillon         27
Undec             27          Undec             27

P. Hoekstra       43%         P. Hoekstra       43%
V. Bernero        27          A. Dillon         27
Undec             28          Undec             28

R. Snyder         44%         R. Snyder         42%
V. Bernero        24          A. Dillon         26
Undec             31          Undec             30

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hickenlooper  50% 85% 13% 48% 45% 55%
S. McInnis       39   7  77  34  46  32
Undec            11   8  10  18   9  13

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind               
J. Hickenlooper  51%/27% 72%/12% 30%/41% 49%/28%
S. McInnis       28 /27  11 /42  49 /10  26 /30

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 12/14
B. Brady    47% 30%
P. Quinn    37  45
Other        6  13
Undec        9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/14
Approve     43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 11/23 10/22               Now 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  35% 33%   34%     D. Patrick  34% 32%   34%
C. Baker    32  28    24      T. Cahill   30  28    23
T. Cahill   19  25    23      C. Mihos    19  26    23
Undec       14  14    19      Undec       16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve     39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
C. Baker    46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40%/30% 37%/27%
D. Patrick  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40 /56  48 /51
C. Mihos    38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35 

Michigan
A Denno-Noor poll; conducted 3/2-5 for the Rossman Group and Perricone Group; surveyed 205 Dem primary LVs and 217 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.8% and 6.7%, respectively (Agar, Grand Rapids Press, 3/10). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee, '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         13%
V. Bernero        11
A. Wheeler Smith   6
D. Kildee          6
Other/none         8
Undec             56

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 Now 11/17
P. Hoekstra       28% 21%
R. Snyder         18   5
M. Cox            12  15
M. Bouchard        8  13
T. George          2   3
Other/none         1   7
Undec             31  37

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

M. O'Malley  49%
B. Ehrlich   43
Other         2
Undec         5

O'Malley As Gov.

Approve      53%
Disapprove   42

Fav/Unfav

B. Ehrlich   55%/36%
M. O'Malley  54 /40

Michigan
A Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WJRT-TV/WILX-TV poll; conducted 2/22-25 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dems and 400 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/26). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         17%
D. Kildee         12
V. Bernero         8
A. Wheeler Smith   7
Other             12
Undec             45

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 25%  29%
M. Cox        21  32   28
R. Snyder     12   3    3
M. Bouchard   10  16   14
T. George      1   2    2
Other          3  n/a  n/a
Undec         26  22   24

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/26                      Now 1/26
M. Cox       43% 47%          P. Hoekstra  41% 40%
A. Dillon    36  30           A. Dillon    37  32
Undec        21  23           Undec        21  28

M. Cox       46%              P. Hoekstra  41%
D. Kildee    37               D. Kildee    37
Undec        17               Undec        22

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     1/26    12/9
M. Cox            43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
D. Kildee         10 / 5  11 / 4   n/a
V. Bernero         7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George          6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups

D. Daugaard    41%
S. Heidepriem  32
Other           7
Undec          19

S. Heidepriem  37%
G. Howie       29
Other          12
Undec          22

S. Heidepriem  34%
D. Knudson     31
Other          13
Undec          22

Fav/Unfav

D. Daugaard    45%/22%
S. Heidepriem  42 /33
D. Knudson     32 /21
G. Howie       29 /29

Governor - Michigan (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Denno-Noor poll; conducted 11/12-17 for the Rossman Group and Perricone Group; surveyed 950 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (Bell, Detroit Free Press, 11/22). Tested: LG John Cherry (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-state Rep. John Freeman (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), ex-MSU head football coach George Perles (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
J. Cherry         20%
A. Dillon          6
G. Perles          6
J. Freeman         2
A. Wheeler Smith   2
Other             --
None               4
Undec             59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
P. Hoekstra       21%
M. Cox            15
M. Bouchard       13
R. Snyder          5
T. George          3
Other              1
None               6
Undec             37

Governor - Michigan (2010)

Governor (2010)
An IMP-MRG poll; conducted 9/12-20; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 242 GOPers and 226 Dems; margin of error +/- 6.3% and 6.5%, respectively (release, 9/22). Tested: AG Mike Cox (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), businessman Rick Snyder (R), LG John Cherry (D), ex-state Rep. John Freeman (D), state Sen. Alma Wheeler Smith (D) and state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
M. Cox            27%
P. Hoekstra       26
M. Bouchard       15
T. George          2
R. Snyder          2

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
J. Cherry         40%
J. Freeman         9
A. Wheeler Smith   8

General Election Matchups
-                 Now 3/10
M. Cox            35% 41%
J. Cherry         33  34
A. Dillon         13  n/a

M. Bouchard       41%
J. Cherry         38

J. Cherry         42%
R. Snyder         34