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Showing posts with label UT Senate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UT Senate. Show all posts

Monday, June 28, 2010

Senate 2010

North Carolina
A WRAL-TV poll; conducted 6/23-24 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/25). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 38%R, 22%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) and businessman/motivational speaker Mike Beitler (L).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Burr 50% 18% 87% 46% 55% 44% 57% 16%
E. Marshall 40 74 7 35 34 47 34 73
M. Beitler 6 3 4 12 8 3 6 3
Undec 5 4 2 7 4 6 3 8

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: UT Alcohol & Bev. Control Commis. chair/deli chain owner Sam Granato (D) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

General Election Matchup
M. Lee      58%
S. Granato 28
Other 5
Undec 9

Fav/Unfav
M. Lee      58%/32%
S. Granato 37 /33

Monday, June 21, 2010

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,565 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 506 Dem primary LVs and 747 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/20). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R). (Note: Varying split sample sizes were used for general election matchups.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
M. Bennet 53% 56% 49%
A. Romanoff 36 36 37
Undec 11 8 14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 53% 59% 45%
J. Norton 37 33 42
Undec 10 8 13

General Election Matchup (1,565 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 46% 51% 41%
M. Bennet 43 41 45
Third party 6 5 6
Undec 5 3 8

General Election Matchup (1,498 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
J. Norton 47% 50% 44%
M. Bennet 44 42 46
Third party 5 6 5
Undec 4 2 5

General Election Matchup (1,437 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 49% 55% 42%
A. Romanoff 40 37 43
Third party 6 5 6
Undec 5 2 8

General Election Matchup (1,504 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
J. Norton 45% 50% 39%
A. Romanoff 41 38 43
Third party 8 7 8
Undec 7 4 10

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup
C. Crist    42%
M. Rubio 31
K. Meek 14
Undec 12

Crist As Gov.
Approve     60%
Disapprove 30

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 50% 51%
B. Blakeman 38 31
Other 2 8
Undec 10 10

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 49% 51%
J. DioGuardi 38 28
Other 2 7
Undec 12 13

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 49% 46%
D. Malpass 34 27
Other 3 10
Undec 13 16

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/12    4/8     3/1     1/18
K. Gillibrand 49%/38% 57%/37% 46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41%
J. DioGuardi 35 /27 29 /32 n/a n/a n/a
B. Blakeman 32 /27 29 /33 n/a n/a n/a
D. Malpass 30 /29 24 /31 n/a n/a n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

General Election Matchups
C. Schumer   54%              C. Schumer   54%
G. Berntsen 35 J. Townsend 33
Other 5 Other 6
Undec 6 Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
C. Schumer   60%/37%
G. Berntsen 36 /27
J. Townsend 32 /30

Utah
A Wenzel Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/17 for the Senate Conservatives Fund (R); surveyed 642 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/18). Tested: '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater and '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Mike Lee. (Note: The Senate Conservatives Fund is supporting Lee.)

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom
M. Lee 45% 42% 47%
T. Bridgewater 35 38 34

A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 6/12-17 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 581 "active" GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/20). Tested: Bridgewater and Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
T. Bridgewater  42%
M. Lee 33
Undec 25

How Would You Rate The Two Candidates' Views?
-                        Bridgewater Lee
Too conservative 9% 15%
About right 65 65
Not conservative enough 14 11

Friday, June 11, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/11). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 5/12 4/12 3/11 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23 7/22
B. Boxer 48% 45% 42% 46% 46% 46% 46% 49% 45%
C. Fiorina 43 38 38 40 42 43 37 39 41
Other 5 4 7 4 7 3 5 4 7
Undec 5 12 13 10 5 8 12 8 7

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/12    4/12    3/11    2/11    1/14
C. Fiorina 44%/43% 38%/39% 36%/34% 44%/31% 37%/40% 38%/34%
B. Boxer 43 /52 47 /49 51 /44 48 /45 51 /46 51 /46

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 6/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 566 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/10). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 26%I. Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D), Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R), financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Wyden 51% 86% 19% 44% 49% 53%
J. Huffman 38 7 73 34 38 38
M. Delphine 4 2 3 8 7 0
R. Staggenborg 2 3 0 4 3 2
Undec 5 2 4 10 3 7

Utah
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/8 for ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/11). Tested: Lee and '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R).

Primary Election Matchup
M. Lee          39%
T. Bridgewater 30
Undec 31

Monday, May 3, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/26-27 for Gov. Charlie Crist (R); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (Leary, "The Buzz," St. Petersburg Times, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as "No Party Affiliation." He announced 4/29 that he would leave the GOP and run under the No Party Affiliation designation. Public Opinion Strategies is no longer working for the Crist campaign.)

General Election Matchup
C. Crist  36%
M. Rubio 28
K. Meek 23

Are You Satisfied/Dissatisfied With A Two-Party Political System?
Satisfied     41%
Dissatisfied 54

A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 4/24-25 for the Associated Industries of FL; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Thomas, Orlando Sentinel, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchup
C. Crist  33%
M. Rubio 29
K. Meek 15

Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/28-29 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/3). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 4/7
T. Grayson 40% 39%
R. Paul 40 37
Undec 20 18

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/3). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Grayson and Paul.

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson 43% 52% 45% 44% 45% 40%
J. Conway 38 32 35 40 35 40
Other 8 5 7 3 7 3
Undec 12 11 12 12 12 17

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 47% 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 38 36 38 39 38 42
Other 4 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 10 11 12 11 12 15

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30   
T. Grayson 45% 53% 44% 49% 44% 44%
D. Mongiardo 31 33 37 35 37 37
Other 10 5 8 5 8 4
Undec 13 9 11 11 11 14

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 48% 52% 49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo 32 37 35 37 35 38
Other 8 3 3 3 3 6
Undec 12 8 13 12 13 13

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/31    3/2     2/2     1/6     9/30
R. Paul 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25% 51%/23%
T. Grayson 54 /27 55 /28 56 /21 61 /18 57 /21 53 /20
J. Conway 47 /36 44 /39 40 /33 47 /32 46 /36 49 /27
D. Mongiardo 40 /48 42 /46 43 /43 45 /43 44 /44 41 /43

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/1-2; surveyed 803 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/2). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D) and librarian Ann Worthy (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 4/26 4/11 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall 28% 23% 32% 32% 21% 21% 26% 23% 20% 29%
C. Cunningham 21 25 18 27 12 7 23 17 16 12
K. Lewis 9 8 9 7 13 10 7 9 11 5
M. Williams 4 4 4 2 8 6 4 0 2 2
A. Worthy 3 3 3 2 3 10 3 1 0 n/a
S. Harris 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 n/a
Undec 33 35 32 29 40 43 34 45 47 51

Primary Runoff Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
E. Marshall 43% 39% 46% 40% 51% 38%
C. Cunningham 32 36 29 37 24 11
Undec 25 25 25 23 26 51

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom     4/26    4/11    3/15
E. Marshall 47%/14% 44%/19% 49%/10% 44%/15% 32%/ 7% 27%/10%
C. Cunningham 36 /16 39 /20 34 /13 39 /17 8 / 6 8 / 9
K. Lewis 20 /15 22 /19 19 /12 23 /17 11 / 9 9 /12

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/28-5/2; surveyed 980 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/3). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup
-                                 RVs----------------------->
- All Men Wom 4/26 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
L. Fisher 43% 49% 40% 41% 33% 29% 24% 26% 24% 20% 18%
J. Brunner 23 24 23 24 26 20 22 17 21 16 14
Other 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 5 19
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- 2 2 2 3 1 2
Undec 32 26 35 34 40 48 51 55 51 59 46

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     4/26    3/28
L. Fisher 44%/ 8% 50%/13% 40%/ 5% 41%/ 7% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner 26 / 7 30 / 9 24 / 6 26 / 7 24 / 7

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
A. Specter   48%
J. Sestak 42
Other/undec 11

Fav/Unfav
A. Specter   58%/31%
J. Sestak 45 /12

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/27-28 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 406 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3).

Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett  50%/39%

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28; surveyed 215 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
B. Bennett      39%
M. Lee 20
T. Bridgewater 14
M. Cook 6
C. Eagar 1
Undec 20

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Senate 2010

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/24-26; surveyed 458 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 4/27). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D) and librarian Ann Worthy (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 4/11 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall 26% 27% 26% 34% 13% 32% 23% 20% 29%
C. Cunningham 23 23 22 25 19 11 17 16 12
K. Lewis 7 8 7 4 13 4 9 11 5
M. Williams 4 5 3 1 8 6 0 2 2
S. Harris 3 4 2 2 3 6 4 4 n/a
A. Worthy 3 2 3 3 3 11 1 0 n/a
Undec 34 31 36 30 41 30 45 47 51

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom     4/11    3/15    2/15
E. Marshall 44%/15% 42%/17% 45%/14% 32%/ 7% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
C. Cunningham 39 /17 40 /16 39 /17 8 / 6 8 / 9 9 / 7
K. Lewis 23 /17 28 /14 20 /18 11 / 9 9 /12 9 / 9

A WRAL-TV poll; conducted 4/23-25 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 511 Dem primary LVs and 520 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.3% for each (release, 4/26). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R), disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R), Cunningham, Harris, Lewis, Marshall, Williams and Worthy.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk
E. Marshall 23% 20% 25% 28% 15%
C. Cunningham 19 24 15 22 14
K. Lewis 10 13 6 8 7
S. Harris 7 5 9 6 9
A. Worthy 4 2 5 2 9
M. Williams 4 2 5 2 6
Undec 34 34 33 32 41

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom
R. Burr 59% 62% 57%
L. Linney 6 9 2
B. Jones 6 6 5
E. Burks 3 3 2
Undec 26 19 34

Utah
A survey of 400 delegates to the state GOP convo; conducted 4/22-25 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research (Gehrke, Salt Lake Tribune, 4/27). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett (R), '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R), ex-Rep. Merrill Cook (R), WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar (R) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

Who Is Your First Choice?
M. Lee          37%
T. Bridgewater 20
B. Bennett 16
C. Eagar 11
M. Cook 1
Undec 15

Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett      28%/61%

Monday, April 26, 2010

Senate 2010

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 4/19-22; surveyed 607 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/23).

Burr As Sen.
-           Now 2/25 10/29
Approve 37% 40% 37%
Disapprove 28 35 22

Do You Think Burr Has Performed Well Enough To Deserve Re-Election, Or Do You Think It's Time To Give A New Person A Chance?
-                     Now 2/25 10/29
Deserves re-election 26% 24% 19%
Time for new person 44 51 42
Undec 30 25 39

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/13-20 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 605 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/26). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett (R), radio host/author/ex-UT State Univ. admin. Scott Bradley (Const.), '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R), David Chiu (R), ex-Rep. Merrill Cook (R), WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar (R), Leonard Fabiano (R), Jeremy Friedbaum (R), UT Alcohol & Bev. Control Commis. chair/deli chain owner Sam Granato (D), ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R) and accountant Christopher Stout (D).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 11/23
B. Bennett 27% 31%
M. Lee 9 3
T. Bridgewater 7 4
S. Granato 5 14
M. Cook 3 n/a
C. Eagar 2 5
S. Bradley 1 n/a
D. Chiu 0 n/a
L. Fabiano 0 n/a
C. Stout 0 n/a
Other 4 5
Undec 38 35

A survey of 525 delegates to the state GOP convo; conducted 4/13-20 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R) (Bernick, Salt Lake Deseret News, 4/26). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett (R), '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R), David Chiu (R), ex-Rep. Merrill Cook (R), WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar (R), Leonard Fabiano (R), Jeremy Friedbaum (R) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

Who Is Your First Choice?
M. Lee          31%
B. Bennett 22
T. Bridgewater 17
C. Eagar 10
M. Cook 2
L. Fabiano 1
D. Chiu 0
J. Friedbaum 0
Other 2
Undec 14
Refused 2

Re-Elect Bennett?
Yes             22%
No 60
Undec 19

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 4/19-22 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 517 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/23). Party ID breakdown: 36%D, 23%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), physician Art Coday (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 45% 78% 10% 36% 40% 50%
P. Akers 44 18 80 47 50 38
Undec 11 5 10 17 10 12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 46% 79% 11% 37% 41% 52%
D. Benton 44 15 79 50 50 37
Undec 10 6 10 13 9 11

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 45% 77% 12% 35% 41% 49%
A. Coday 41 14 77 45 47 35
Undec 14 9 11 19 12 16

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 46% 76% 12% 38% 43% 49%
C. Didier 44 17 77 48 49 38
Undec 10 7 11 13 8 13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Rossi 52% 21% 87% 59% 57% 46%
P. Murray 42 73 10 33 37 47
Undec 7 6 3 9 6 7

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 45% 76% 10% 38% 40% 51%
C. Widener 43 15 78 47 50 34
Undec 12 9 12 15 10 15

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Talk Business poll; conducted 4/13 by Zata3 (D) (IVR); surveyed 1,167 Dems and 1,357 GOPers; margins of error +/- 2.9% and 2.7%, respectively (releases, 4/14-15). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), farm loan originator D.C. Morrison (D), Univ. of AR housing dir. Randy Alexander (R), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Food Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R), businessman Fred Ramey (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
B. Lincoln     38%
B. Halter 31
D.C. Morrison 10
Undec 20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Boozman     46%
G. Baker 14
J. Holt 8
C. Coleman 5
C. Reynolds 3
K. Hendren 3
R. Alexander 3
F. Ramey 1
Undec 17

A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/5-7 for Lincoln; surveyed 650 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 4/14). Tested: Lincoln, Halter and Morrison.

Primary Election Matchups
B. Lincoln     53%
B. Halter 35
D.C. Morrison 4
Undec 8

B. Lincoln     54%
B. Halter 40
Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
B. Lincoln     57%/38%
B. Halter 51 /28

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/15). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie in the three-way general election matchup.)

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
M. Rubio 56% 63% 49% 47% 35% 26% 23%
C. Crist 33 28 39 44 50 55 54
Other 1 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Not vote -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Undec 10 7 12 8 12 18 21

General Election Matchups
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
C. Crist 48% 27% 75% 49% 51% 46% 48% 51%
K. Meek 34 63 9 26 30 36 36 31
Other 2 -- 2 3 2 1 1 1
Not vote 3 1 3 4 3 3 3 2
Undec 14 10 12 17 14 13 12 14

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
M. Rubio 42% 8% 82% 43% 48% 36% 44% 33%
K. Meek 38 76 4 32 33 43 35 36
Other 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 2
Not vote 1 2 -- 1 1 1 2 2
Undec 17 14 13 22 16 19 19 28

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist 32% 27% 30% 38% 30% 34%
M. Rubio 30 5 64 29 36 25
K. Meek 24 55 -- 15 21 27
Other -- -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Undec 13 12 6 16 11 14

Fav/Unfav
-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
C. Crist 48%/35% 50%/30% 49%/42% 48%/33% 52%/36% 58%/30%
M. Rubio 36 /22 13 /34 67 / 7 32 /21 32 /14 24 /11
K. Meek 18 / 8 34 / 4 5 /17 15 / 7 18 / 8 20 / 8

Crist As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve 49% 52% 49% 50% 52% 47% 50% 59% 60% 62% 66%
Disapprove 39 37 42 37 39 39 38 31 30 28 23

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 54% 59% 48% 43%
C. Crist 30 29 31 42
No diff 6 8 4 5
Undec 11 5 17 10

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 56% 60% 51% 45%
C. Crist 32 32 32 40
No diff 2 2 1 2
Undec 11 6 16 13

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Conservative? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 59% 68% 49% 48%
C. Crist 27 22 32 34
No diff 1 1 -- 1
Undec 14 8 19 17

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 742 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 4/14). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 35%R, 17%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 80% 45% 53% 35% 43% 44% 45% 45%
C. Cunningham 35 62 7 18 33 37 32 32 36 36
Undec 22 23 13 37 15 28 25 24 19 20

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 82% 42% 54% 34% 43% 44% 46% 43%
K. Lewis 35 62 6 21 35 35 32 31 34 37
Undec 22 24 13 37 11 31 25 25 20 21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 15% 82% 43% 54% 35% 41% 43% 44% 42%
E. Marshall 37 66 4 23 32 35 36 33 37 37
Undec 20 19 14 34 14 24 23 23 18 21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 83% 41% 52% 35% 41% 42% 45% 42%
Generic Dem 38 69 2 24 34 41 39 35 36 41
Undec 19 17 15 35 14 24 20 23 20 17

Burr As Sen.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
Approve 32% 15% 57% 31% 45% 23% 35% 35% 36% 35%
Disapprove 41 58 18 43 42 41 37 35 33 37

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
E. Marshall 19%/11% 29%/ 9% 7%/13% 16%/14% 17%/12%
K. Lewis 7 /10 9 /12 3 / 7 8 /19 5 / 9
C. Cunningham 5 / 8 7 / 9 4 / 6 4 / 8 4 /10

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8; surveyed 620 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/15). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
B. Bennett      37%
M. Lee 14
T. Bridgewater 14
M. Cook 6
C. Eagar 4
Other 3
Undec 21

Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett      52%/43%
M. Lee 38 /14
T. Bridgewater 36 /16
M. Cook 26 /53
C. Eagar 25 /21

Obama As POTUS
Approve          9%
Disapprove 91

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 45% 48% 48% 42% 46% 48% 46%
K. Meek 34 32 33 36 34 29 28
Other 11 11 10 11 9 10 12
Undec 10 9 9 11 11 13 14

-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17
M. Rubio 48% 51% 49% 49% 46% 43%
K. Meek 34 31 32 35 31 30
Other 6 7 6 4 8 8
Undec 11 11 13 12 15 19

Crist As Gov.
-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 54 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/18    1/27    12/14   10/19   8/17
C. Crist 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41% 64%/35%
M. Rubio 48 /34 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34 41 /31
K. Meek 33 /39 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34 37 /34

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 3/14-17; surveyed 579 adults; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/22).

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/25
R. Burr 34%/17% 30%/23%
E. Marshall 18 / 8 19 / 8
S. Harris 11 / 9 n/a
C. Cunningham 10 / 7 6 / 9
K. Lewis 9 / 7 9 / 7
A. Worthy 9 / 6 n/a
B. Jones 7 / 6 6 / 8
M. Williams 7 / 6 9 / 7
E. Burks 6 / 6 7 / 7
M. Beitler 6 / 4 4 / 6
L. Linney 5 / 6 n/a

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 964 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Further subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07), businessman Joe Vodvarka (D), '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21
A. Specter 32% 33% 30% 30% 37% 33%
J. Sestak 12 16 13 18 11 13
J. Vodvarka 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Other 4 7 7 5 6 6
Undec 52 44 50 47 46 48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
P. Toomey    30%
P. Luksik 4
Other 2
Undec 64

General Election Matchups (RVs)
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey 33% 11% 64% 32% 43% 23% 29% 30% 31% 29%
A. Specter 29 46 10 17 25 32 33 30 33 37
Other 6 6 4 14 7 5 9 5 6 9
Undec 32 38 22 37 25 39 29 35 30 25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey 27% 7% 52% 35% 34% 19% 25% 28% 28% 26%
J. Sestak 19 34 4 5 19 19 22 16 20 22
Other 5 6 3 6 5 5 6 5 4 6
Undec 49 53 42 53 42 56 47 51 48 46

Re-Elect Specter? (RVs)
-                    Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21 3/22 10/97
Deserves reelection 28% 25% 29% 23% 34% 28% 40% 49%
Time for a change 61 63 60 66 54 57 46 40
Undec 11 12 11 11 12 15 14 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/21    1/24    10/25   8/31    6/21
A. Specter 30%/45% 32%/45% 35%/43% 28%/47% 35%/42% 31%/37%
P. Toomey 18 /10 16 / 7 15 / 7 16 /10 18 /10 n/a
J. Sestak 11 / 6 10 / 3 8 / 6 11 / 5 13 / 4 n/a

Specter As Sen.
-                Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/09 8/07
Excellent/good 30% 30% 34% 29% 35% 34% 52% 43% 51%
Only fair/poor 63 62 58 64 57 55 37 49 45

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 3/22 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 406 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/24).

Bennett As Sen.
-           Now 11/23 1/09
Approve 54% 58% 68%
Disapprove 37 31 20
 
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