Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/10
M. Whitman  46% 41% 51% 52%
S. Poizner  36  42  30  19
Undec       18  17  19  29

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    46% 78%  7% 42% 41% 51% 45%  42%
M. Whitman  42  10  84  43  48  36  41   36
Undec       12  12   9  15  11  13  14   22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    47% 79%  8% 43% 41% 53% 48%  43%
S. Poizner  37   8  78  38  44  30  33   34
Undec       16  13  14  19  15  17  19   23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
J. Brown    48%/43% 78%/16% 11%/81% 45%/41% 52%/40% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  47 /38  25 /58  75 /13  49 /35  51 /35  41 /30
S. Poizner  39 /43  18 /61  68 /20  39 /42  37 /40  35 /27

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), CFO Alex Sink (D), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  46%
R. Scott     22
P. Dockery    3
Other         1
Not vote      4
Undec        25

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind
B. McCollum  34% 11% 65% 26%
A. Sink      32  61  10  26
Other         4   2   4   5
Not vote      4   2   2  12
Undec        26  24  19  31

Idaho
An Idaho Statesman/KBOI-TV poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter, '02/'06 candidate/anti-abortion activist Walt Bayes, ret. systems analyst/comedian Ron "Pete" Peterson, '08 indie SEN candidate/ex-elk rancher Rex Rammell, Ada Co. Commis. Sharon Ullman and hair salon owner Tamara Wells.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Otter     60%
R. Rammell    6
S. Ullman     4
R. Peterson   3
W. Bayes      1
T. Wells      1
Undec        25

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/15 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 36% 23% 29%  45%
C. Paladino  16  17  15  13   n/a
S. Levy      14  11  16  15   16
Undec        41  25  46  43   40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9
A. Cuomo     66% 84% 37% 59% 61%  59%  63% 63%  66%  68%
R. Lazio     24   8  55  27  24   21   25  26   24   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        10   8   8  14  16   17   11  11   10   10

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo     65% 81% 44% 58% 58%  63%
S. Levy      22   8  43  26  23   16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   4
Undec        13  10  13  16  19   17

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15
A. Cuomo     65% 80% 42% 59% 64%
C. Paladino  22   8  46  26  19
Undec        13  12  12  15  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15    3/18
A. Cuomo     67%/21% 76%/12% 58%/30% 60%/29% 66%/18% 63%/22%
R. Lazio     31 /29  26 /38  37 /17  35 /25  29 /25  29 /27
S. Levy      21 /12  21 /12  17 /14  26 / 8  21 /16  16 /16
C. Paladino  15 /10  13 /11  19 / 7  15 / 8  11 /13   n/a

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  36  36   29   26   28
Other        4   8    7    5    7
Undec       10  11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

Governor 2010

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/23
B. Otter    54% 60%
K. Allred   32  28
Other        5   3
Undec        9   9

Otter As Gov.

-           Now 3/23
Approve     55% 60%
Disapprove  42  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/23
B. Otter    56%/36% 62%/35%
K. Allred   37 /32  34 /34

New Mexico
An Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 5/11-13 by Research & Polling Inc.; surveyed 503 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Olson, Albuquerque Journal, 5/16). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

A. Weh           31%
S. Martinez      30
P. Domenici      10
D. Turner         6
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            20

Oregon
A Lindholm Company (R) poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/14). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley, CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin, '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright, ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley, '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan, '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr, '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim, '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins.

Primary Election Matchup

A. Alley     29%
C. Dudley    26
J. Lim       10
B. Sizemore   4
Other         2
Undec        29

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   39% 39% 38% 38%  36% 20% 16%
T. Williams  11  11  11  10    8   5   2
J. Wagner    10  13   8  11    8  13  11
J. Hoeffel    9  10   8   9    9  15  10
Other        --   1  --   1    1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --  --   --  --   2
Undec        31  27  35  32   37  47  59

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
D. Onorato   42%/ 9% 44%/ 9% 41%/ 9% 43%/ 9% 46%/ 5% 27%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 7  25 / 8  17 / 6  19 / 6  17 / 6  20 / 5
J. Hoeffel   16 / 9  18 /12  14 / 7  15 / 7  15 / 6  18 / 4
T. Williams  16 /14  16 /17  16 /11  16 /10  17 / 7   6 / 3

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
D. Onorato   39% 38%  39%  39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34%
T. Williams  15  14   14   14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8
J. Wagner    10  11   11    9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9
J. Hoeffel    9  10   11   11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12
Other/undec  26  26   25   27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
D. Onorato   47%/12% 45%/12% 46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11%
T. Williams  32 /19  30 /17  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13
J. Wagner    24 /13  24 /12  24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9
J. Hoeffel   22 /12  23 /11  25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    51% 48%  49% 48% 50%
B. White    38  44   43  39  40
Other        4   2    3   5   4
Undec        6   6    6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     55% 59%  54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  42  40   44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    55%/43% 59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    47 /41  54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 1,270 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/31). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 36%D, 21%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne   48% 11% 84% 41% 52% 45% 62% 10% 41% 39%
A. Davis   32  67   5  25  33  31  21  64  31  35
Undec      20  23  11  34  15  24  18  26  28  26

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey    44% 14% 70% 41% 45% 43% 54% 12% 41% 31%
A. Davis   33  65  10  28  36  31  23  67  28  39
Undec      23  21  20  31  19  26  23  21  31  31

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James   42%  9% 73% 35% 45% 40% 54%  9% 31% 35%
A. Davis   33  65   7  30  35  31  22  66  38  37
Undec      25  25  20  35  20  29  24  26  31  28

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore   43% 12% 72% 39% 46% 42% 54% 12% 36% 38%
A. Davis   37  70  12  32  40  35  28  67  28  41
Undec      19  18  16  29  15  23  18  21  36  21

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne   43%  7% 78% 34% 47% 40% 56%  7% 31% 41%
R. Sparks  30  60   6  28  34  27  21  57  36  27
Undec      26  32  16  38  19  32  22  37  33  33

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey    39% 10% 67% 32% 41% 38% 49%  9% 36% 29%
R. Sparks  33  62   9  32  36  30  23  60  36  33
Undec      28  28  24  35  23  32  27  31  28  39

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James   38%  5% 71% 28% 40% 38% 50%  6% 23% 32%
R. Sparks  33  62   8  33  37  30  25  57  38  32
Undec      29  33  20  39  24  33  25  38  38  37

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore   42%  9% 72% 37% 42% 41% 53% 10% 28% 38%
R. Sparks  37  67  12  38  42  33  29  61  38  36
Undec      21  24  17  25  16  25  18  29  33  25

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Moore   33%/34% 17%/42% 47%/25% 32%/38% 35%/36% 31%/33%
R. Sparks  20 /20  26 /17  14 /23  21 /20  26 /24  14 /18
A. Davis   20 /35  30 /33  13 /40  19 /30  24 /38  18 /33
K. Ivey    19 /26  19 /26  19 /27  19 /24  17 /29  20 /23
B. Byrne   18 /18   5 /32  30 / 8  14 /16  20 /21  17 /16
T. James   14 /24  10 /27  20 /21  10 /27  18 /29  11 /21

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     74% 75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  25  22  24  29  28   30

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

B. Otter    60%
K. Allred   28
Other        3
Undec        9

Otter As Gov.

Approve     60%
Disapprove  37

Fav/Unfav

B. Otter    62%/35%
K. Allred   34 /34

Maryland
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-30 for the MD Dem Party; surveyed 409 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/1).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
B. Ehrlich     59% 66% 53%
Another GOPer  31  26  35
Undec          10   7  12

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  38  41  40   39   45
Other           2   6   5   4    3    3
Undec           7   7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        47% 43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     52  53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46