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Showing posts with label California. Show all posts
Showing posts with label California. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchup
J. Brown      45%
M. Whitman 39
Other 3
Undec 14

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?
-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal 32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit 28 28 26 25
Only some 26 28 25 23
Very little 11 12 8 20
No interest 4 3 3 10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D), LG Duke Aiona (R) and '02 candidate/'00 SEN nominee/'02/'03 HI-02 candidate/ex-state Sen./ex-HI GOP chair John Carroll (R).

General Election Matchups
-               Now 3/24
N. Abercrombie 58% 54%
D. Aiona 32 31
Other 3 6
Undec 6 9

-               Now 3/24
M. Hannemann 52% 50%
D. Aiona 30 29
Other 9 14
Undec 9 7

N. Abercrombie  59%
J. Carroll 30
Other 4
Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
-               Now     3/24
N. Abercrombie 62%/33% 63%/33%
M. Hannemann 58 /35 57 /39
D. Aiona 49 /41 50 /41
J. Carroll 27 /35 n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
J. Kasich 43% 16% 73% 45% 44% 43% 42% 42% 39%
T. Strickland 41 72 12 26 42 40 37 44 45
Undec 16 12 14 28 14 17 21 14 16

Strickland As Gov.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
Approve 37% 61% 9% 36% 37% 36% 33% 43% 48%
Disapprove 48 22 79 47 50 47 47 42 35

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
J. Kasich 28%/30% 13%/41% 46%/19% 30%/29% 25%/24% 31%/30%

Senate 2010

California
A Thomson Reuters poll; conducted 6/25-27 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 10%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup
B. Boxer      45%
C. Fiorina 41
Other 1
Undec 13

How Much Interest Do You Have In Following News About The Campaigns For The Midterm Elections In CA?
-             All Dem GOP Ind
A great deal 32% 29% 38% 20%
Quite a bit 28 28 26 25
Only some 26 28 25 23
Very little 11 12 8 20
No interest 4 3 3 10

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and social worker John Roco (R).

General Election Matchup
D. Inouye  68%
J. Roco 20
Other 3
Undec 8

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     3/24
D. Inouye 73%/23% 76%/20%
J. Roco 19 /35 n/a

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 6/2 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt 48% 45% 50% 48% 47% 49% 49% 44% 46%
R. Carnahan 43 44 42 42 41 42 43 46 46
Other 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 2
Undec 6 6 4 7 8 6 5 6 5

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     6/2     5/3     4/6     3/9     2/10
R. Blunt 54%/33% 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40%
R. Carnahan 51 /42 52 /40 48 /47 47 /46 47 /48 49 /45

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/30). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
L. Fisher 42% 84% 6% 37% 37% 46% 40% 41% 37% 36% 42%
R. Portman 40 5 81 39 49 32 37 37 40 39 31
Other 1 -- -- 2 2 -- 1 1 -- -- 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 -- 1 1 1 2 1 1
Undec 17 9 13 21 11 21 21 21 21 24 26

Fisher As LG
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 41% 58% 26% 39% 39% 42% 42% 43% 39% 39% 44%
Disapprove 26 10 39 31 33 21 27 23 22 23 21

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26    3/29
L. Fisher 28%/17% 48%/ 4% 9%/31% 25%/20% 27%/13% 27%/13%
R. Portman 26 / 7 9 /12 46 / 2 24 / 7 25 / 8 25 / 8

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29
Support 46% 85% 11% 41% 41% 50% 45% 44%
Oppose 48 11 86 50 54 43 48 46

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do More In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 33% 12% 62% 32% 44% 24%
L. Fisher 30 55 6 27 28 31
No diff 5 3 3 7 5 5
Undec 33 31 29 34 23 41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 36% 12% 67% 34% 47% 27%
L. Fisher 31 58 7 26 29 33
No diff 3 2 2 5 3 4
Undec 30 27 24 34 22 37

Friday, June 11, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/11). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 5/12 4/12 3/11 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23 7/22
B. Boxer 48% 45% 42% 46% 46% 46% 46% 49% 45%
C. Fiorina 43 38 38 40 42 43 37 39 41
Other 5 4 7 4 7 3 5 4 7
Undec 5 12 13 10 5 8 12 8 7

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/12    4/12    3/11    2/11    1/14
C. Fiorina 44%/43% 38%/39% 36%/34% 44%/31% 37%/40% 38%/34%
B. Boxer 43 /52 47 /49 51 /44 48 /45 51 /46 51 /46

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 6/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 566 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/10). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 26%I. Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D), Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R), financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Wyden 51% 86% 19% 44% 49% 53%
J. Huffman 38 7 73 34 38 38
M. Delphine 4 2 3 8 7 0
R. Staggenborg 2 3 0 4 3 2
Undec 5 2 4 10 3 7

Utah
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/8 for ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/11). Tested: Lee and '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R).

Primary Election Matchup
M. Lee          39%
T. Bridgewater 30
Undec 31

Tuesday, June 8, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/6; surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/7). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom 5/24 2/25
M. Whitman 64% 67% 61% 54% 61%
S. Poizner 22 22 21 19 11
Other 10 8 12 15 4
Undec 5 4 6 12 24

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 6/3-6 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 617 Dem primary LVs and 569 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.1%, respectively (release, 6/7). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Poizner, physician David Tully-Smith (R) and Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/23 5/9 4/21
J. Brown 73% 75% 71% 77% 73% 68% 65% 70% 66% 63%
C. Pineda 4 4 4 3 1 8 7 4 3 2
R. Aguirre 4 5 3 2 1 6 7 4 4 6
J. Symmon 3 3 3 3 5 3 1 2 3 3
L. Darling 2 2 2 2 0 3 3 2 1 6
P. Schurman 2 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 1 1
V. Greene 1 2 1 1 3 1 0 2 1 1
Undec 11 7 14 10 15 10 14 14 19 18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-               All Men Wom 5/23 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman 59% 60% 58% 54% 39% 49%
S. Poizner 30 31 29 27 37 27
L. Naritelli 1 1 2 2 1 2
D. Hughes 1 1 1 2 1 1
B. Chambers 1 1 1 2 3 2
K. Miller 1 0 2 2 2 1
R. Newman 1 1 1 1 2 2
D. Tully-Smith 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 5 5 5 9 14 15

Minnesota
A Decision Resources Ltd. poll; conducted 5/28-6/2; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (Salisbury, St. Paul Pioneer Press, 6/8). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

M. Anderson Kelliher  38%
T. Emmer 28
T. Horner 17

M. Dayton             40%
T. Emmer 28
T. Horner 18

M. Entenza            34%
T. Emmer 27
T. Horner 19

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich 47% 46% 46% 49% 47% 47% 48% 46%
T. Strickland 42 45 45 38 41 40 39 45
Other 4 3 2 6 5 4 3 3
Undec 8 6 7 7 8 8 11 7

Strickland As Gov.
-              Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve 43% 48% 47% 43% 46% 43% 48% 47%
Disapprove 55 49 52 53 53 54 50 50

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/5     3/30    3/4     2/6
J. Kasich 50%/27% 51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30%
T. Strickland 45 /49 47 /48 46 /48 46 /48 44 /51

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).

General Election Matchup
-          Now 5/25 3/29
R. Shelby 58% 58% 59%
W. Barnes 31 31 32
Other 3 3 3
Undec 7 8 6

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/25    3/29
R. Shelby 66%/26% 67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes 37 /27 29 /27 35 /26

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/6; surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/7). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom 5/24 2/25
C. Fiorina 54% 54% 55% 44% 20%
T. Campbell 19 19 18 21 33
C. DeVore 16 19 14 14 11
Other 5 4 7 7 6
Undec 6 5 7 14 30

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 6/3-6 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 569 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/7). Tested: Campbell, DeVore, Fiorina, Tim Kalemkarian and businessman Al Ramirez.

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom 5/23 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina 48% 46% 52% 46% 24% 27%
T. Campbell 22 24 20 23 35 34
C. DeVore 16 19 13 14 15 14
T. Kalemkarian 2 2 2 4 3 3
A. Ramirez 2 2 2 2 n/a n/a
Undec 9 7 12 11 23 23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/4-6; surveyed 601 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/8). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 34%R, 19%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
R. Burr 46% 18% 84% 46% 50% 42% 44% 43% 43% 44%
C. Cunningham 35 56 7 33 33 37 39 35 32 32
Undec 19 25 9 21 17 21 17 22 25 24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
R. Burr 46% 15% 87% 46% 51% 41% 43% 43% 41% 43%
E. Marshall 39 65 5 33 34 42 42 37 36 33
Undec 16 20 7 21 15 17 15 20 23 23

Burr As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
Approve 35% 14% 66% 32% 40% 30% 37% 32% 35% 35% 36%
Disapprove 37 55 10 40 36 38 40 41 37 35 33

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/10    4/11
E. Marshall 21%/16% 34%/10% 7%/25% 15%/17% 23%/20% 19%/11%
C. Cunningham 12 /13 18 /12 7 /16 9 /13 16 /18 5 / 8

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Burr, Cunningham and Marshall.

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 47% 50% 53% 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 35 37 31 32 29 34
Other 7 3 4 7 6 5
Undec 10 10 13 11 14 11

-              Now 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 50% 48% 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 36 40 32 35 34 37 38
Other 6 3 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 8 9 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall 41 /39 45 /37 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32
C. Cunningham 35 /38 43 /35 34 /37 29 /32 34 /34

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher 43% 43% 38% 39% 39% 37% 36% 40%
R. Portman 43 42 43 44 43 44 38 41
Other 4 4 4 5 5 4 8 6
Undec 10 11 14 12 13 14 18 14

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/5     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12
R. Portman 49%/23% 45%/26% 45%/26% 45%/27% 45%/24% 49%/25%
L. Fisher 46 /33 48 /34 39 /38 41 /37 38 /39 41 /39

Monday, June 7, 2010

House 2010

CA-19
A KFSN-TV poll; conducted 6/1-3 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 531 Dem primary LVs and 807 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.3% and 3.4%, respectively (release, 6/4). Tested: Physician/atty Loraine Goodwin (D), ex-actor Les Marsden (D), state Sen. Jeff Denham (R), ex-Fresno Mayor Jim Patterson (R), ex-CA-11 Rep. Richard Pombo (R) and Fresno Council Pres. Larry Westerlund (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/13
L. Goodwin 26% 26% 26% 24% 20% 32% 29% 25%
L. Marsden 26 32 22 30 17 19 17 21
Undec 48 42 52 46 64 49 54 54

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 5/13 4/19 3/17
J. Patterson 34% 36% 32% 29% 26% 26%
J. Denham 30 30 29 28 27 25
R. Pombo 17 17 17 18 16 13
L. Westerlund 8 8 8 6 6 7
Undec 12 8 15 19 25 29

SC-04
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/5-6; surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/6). Tested: Rep. Bob Inglis, 7th Circuit Solicitor Trey Gowdy, ex-House Historian Christina Jeffrey, USAF vet. Jim Lee and state Sen. David Thomas.

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom
T. Gowdy 37% 36% 38%
B. Inglis 33 31 36
J. Lee 9 10 8
D. Thomas 9 9 8
C. Jeffrey 5 7 3
Undec 7 7 7

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 6/2-4; surveyed 600 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/4). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) and LG Bill Halter (D). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Runoff Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom Wht Blk AR-01 AR-02 AR-03 AR-04 5/26
B. Halter 49% 45% 52% 47% 61% 41% 57% 50% 48% 47%
B. Lincoln 45 49 42 48 27 53 34 46 47 44
Undec 6 6 6 5 12 6 9 4 5 9

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     5/26    5/12    4/28
B. Halter 61%/24% 55%/28% 65%/51% 63%/21% 65%/17% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln 56 /37 60 /33 53 /40 59 /36 61 /35 59 /33

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/5). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
C. Fiorina 37% 36% 38% 22% 25%
T. Campbell 22 23 21 28 30
C. DeVore 19 23 14 9 6
Other/undec 22 18 27 41 39

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/15    1/17    10/6
C. Fiorina 57%/12% 24%/17% 20%/10% 16%/10%
T. Campbell 45 /19 31 /13 26 /11 25 /15
C. DeVore 41 / 8 11 /11 8 /11 7 /11

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Boxer In The Nov. General Election?
C. Fiorina   42%
T. Campbell 22
C. DeVore 12
Undec 24

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2-3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/6 4/14 3/18 2/17
D. Coats 47% 51% 54% 49% 46%
B. Ellsworth 33 36 33 34 32
Other 7 6 5 6 7
Undec 14 8 9 12 15

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/6     4/14    3/18    2/17
D. Coats 56%/25% 57%/27% 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%
B. Ellsworth 37 /33 43 /35 40 /37 43 /33 35 /29

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-               All Men Wom 5/26 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
S. Angle 32% 32% 32% 29% 25% 5% 8% 13% 13% 9%
D. Tarkanian 24 28 19 23 22 27 29 28 24 21
S. Lowden 23 21 25 30 30 45 47 26 25 23
C. Christensen 3 4 2 3 2 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a
J. Chachas 2 2 2 2 3 3 1 -- 1 --
Others 1 1 1 2 n/a n/a n/a 1 4 3
None of these 2 3 1 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Undec 13 9 18 8 18 16 15 32 33 44

General Election Matchups
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 2/24 1/7
S. Angle 44% 12% 81% 41% 50% 38% 39% 44% 45%
H. Reid 41 73 6 37 37 45 42 42 40
Others 3 2 2 6 3 1 5 n/a n/a
None 6 5 6 11 8 4 4 n/a n/a
Undec 8 8 8 9 6 10 10 14 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7
H. Reid 42% 75% 5% 39% 36% 48% 39% 37% 38% 39% 40%
S. Lowden 41 9 79 37 45 37 42 47 46 52 50
Others 2 1 2 3 3 1 3 5 5 n/a n/a
None 6 5 6 11 8 4 6 3 n/a n/a n/a
Undec 9 10 8 10 8 10 10 8 11 9 10

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/26 4/7 2/24 1/7
D. Tarkanian 46% 16% 82% 44% 52% 40% 42% 39% 51% 49%
H. Reid 39 70 5 35 35 43 41 39 40 41
Others 2 2 2 3 2 2 4 11 n/a n/a
None of these 3 3 2 5 3 3 3 n/a n/a n/a
Undec 10 9 9 13 8 12 10 11 9 10

Fav/Unfav
-               Now     5/26    4/14    4/7     2/24
D. Tarkanian 41%/23% 31%/17% n/a 28%/22% 30%/17%
S. Angle 38 /25 29 /23 n/a 20 /19 19 / 9
S. Lowden 38 /37 41 /28 45%/23% 40 /24 36 /17
H. Reid 35 /52 37 /49 33 /54 34 /56 33 /51

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-               Now     5/26    5/11    4/7
S. Angle 48%/20% 41%/13% 38%/11% 22%/15%
D. Tarkanian 45 /16 44 / 7 42 /12 46 /12
S. Lowden 40 /30 45 /22 46 /21 54 /14
C. Christensen 18 /10 n/a 16 / 5 13 / 1
J. Chachas 17 /14 n/a 13 / 9 12 / 8

Friday, June 4, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/4). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
M. Whitman 51% 51% 50% 63% 45%
S. Poizner 25 27 24 14 17
Other/undec 24 22 26 23 38

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/15    1/17    10/5
M. Whitman 62%/24% 56%/16% 34%/ 8% 29%/10%
S. Poizner 40 /39 20 /34 18 /19 24 /16

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Brown In The General Election?
M. Whitman  61%
S. Poizner 21
Undec 18

A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 5/30-6/1; surveyed 750 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/3). Tested: Poizner and Whitman. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Poizner is "Businessman" and Whitman is "Businesswoman".)

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom 4/13
M. Whitman 54% 54% 55% 47%
S. Poizner 24 23 23 19
Other 4 4 3 n/a
Undec 16 17 17 31

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups
-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont 43% 48% 41% 41% T. Foley 38% 35% 44% 37%
M. Fedele 34 28 38 33 N. Lamont 36 42 37 40
Other 4 9 9 8 Other 9 11 7 9
Undec 19 15 12 18 Undec 17 13 13 14

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy 42% 44% 40% 36% D. Malloy 44% 38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele 28 27 37 35 T. Foley 35 35 44 36
Other 4 10 7 9 Other 5 11 8 10
Undec 25 20 16 21 Undec 17 16 14 18

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/4     4/1     2/1
D. Malloy 52%/27% 46%/24% 47%/29% 43%/29%
N. Lamont 45 /34 53 /31 43 /40 43 /35
T. Foley 40 /25 42 /24 45 /25 42 /22
M. Fedele 36 /26 38 /22 38 /26 39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad 44% 46% 42%
B. Vander Plaats 29 32 26
R. Roberts 12 11 13
Undec 15 11 19

General Election Matchups
-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
T. Branstad 51% 15% 87% 56% 56% 46% 48% 54%
C. Culver 42 81 6 34 37 47 41 38
Undec 7 4 7 10 7 7 11 8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver 45% 83% 6% 41% 41% 49% 46% 48%
R. Roberts 35 6 70 34 40 30 36 26
Undec 20 11 24 25 19 21 18 26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver 43% 80% 6% 39% 39% 47% 44% 41%
B. Vander Plaats 42 10 83 39 48 36 40 38
Undec 15 10 11 22 13 17 16 21

Fav/Unfav
-                 Now     5/5     2/17
T. Branstad 54%/36% 57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver 44 /47 46 /45 44 /43
B. Vander Plaats 41 /40 39 /38 36 /34
R. Roberts 28 /37 27 /35 13 /16

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval 48% 44% 52%
J. Gibbons 27 33 21
M. Montandon 6 7 5
Other 2 3 1
Undec 17 13 21

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid 52% 85% 15% 55% 47% 57% 45% 83% 79%
J. Gibbons 31 4 62 27 38 24 37 2 7
Other 8 2 13 11 19 6 10 0 1
Undec 9 9 10 7 5 13 8 15 13

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid 43% 78% 6% 40% 38% 48% 36% 80% 72%
M. Montandon 40 9 75 38 44 36 48 3 11
Other 7 3 8 13 7 7 8 0 1
Undec 10 10 11 9 11 9 8 17 16

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
B. Sandoval 51% 21% 84% 51% 56% 46% 59% 5% 26%
R. Reid 41 74 5 38 37 45 34 81 64
Other 5 3 6 9 5 5 6 0 0
Undec 3 2 5 2 2 4 1 14 10

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/28    9/2
B. Sandoval 47%/32% 24%/53% 74%/11% 43%/28% n/a n/a
R. Reid 42 /39 68 /16 14 /62 39 /46 n/a n/a
M. Montandon 32 /30 9 /52 59 / 8 29 /26 n/a n/a
J. Gibbons 19 /62 5 /88 37 /33 12 /64 21%/59% 17%/61%

Senate 2010

California
A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 5/30-6/1; surveyed 750 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/3). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Campbell is "Economist/Business Educator"; DeVore is "Assemblyman/Military Reservist"; and Fiorina is "Business Executive".)

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom 4/13
C. Fiorina 40% 39% 43% 17%
T. Campbell 25 27 20 31
C. DeVore 13 16 10 15
Other 1 2 -- 1
Undec 20 15 25 35

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
R. Conlin 48% 45% 51%
B. Krause 13 14 12
T. Fiegen 12 10 14
Undec 27 31 23

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Grassley 50% 12% 87% 55% 58% 42% 49% 56%
R. Conlin 42 79 6 37 35 49 40 35
Undec 8 9 7 8 7 9 11 9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 56% 18% 88% 65% 62% 50%
T. Fiegen 33 62 5 29 27 39
Undec 11 20 7 6 11 11

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 55% 17% 88% 63% 60% 50%
B. Krause 35 67 5 30 29 41
Undec 10 16 7 7 11 9

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/5     2/17
C. Grassley 56%/39% 58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin 48 /36 45 /35 41 /36
B. Krause 32 /29 n/a n/a
T. Fiegen 28 /27 n/a n/a

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 1,277 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 6/4). Party ID breakdown: 38%R, 37%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), Conlin, Fiegen and Krause.

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 57% 25% 88% 57% 57% 56%
R. Conlin 31 61 5 27 33 30
Undec 12 13 8 17 10 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 56% 23% 88% 55% 57% 54%
T. Fiegen 28 56 4 23 31 25
Undec 17 22 8 22 12 21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Grassley 56% 23% 90% 54% 59% 54%
B. Krause 26 54 2 22 29 24
Undec 17 23 7 23 12 22

Grassley As Sen.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 46% 27% 68% 42% 46% 46%
Disapprove 37 56 17 38 40 34

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Conlin 19%/29% 38%/15% 3%/43% 14%/27% 21%/34% 17%/23%
B. Krause 6 /14 10 /17 2 /11 6 /13 7 /18 5 / 9
T. Fiegen 5 /13 10 /15 2 /13 2 /13 6 /18 4 /10

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 5/3 4/6 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt 45% 50% 48% 47% 49% 49% 44% 46%
R. Carnahan 44 42 42 41 42 43 46 46
Other 4 4 3 4 3 3 4 2
Undec 6 4 7 8 6 5 6 5

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/3     4/6     3/9     2/10    1/19
R. Blunt 54%/38% 56%/36% 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40% 56%/34%
R. Carnahan 52 /40 48 /47 47 /46 47 /48 49 /45 49 /46

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate Scott Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom 4/28
S. Angle 34% 36% 32% 13%
S. Lowden 25 26 24 38
D. Tarkanian 24 22 26 28
Other 5 6 4 12
Undec 12 10 14 9

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/28
H. Reid 43% 79% 7% 35% 37% 49% 36% 80% 68% 41%
S. Angle 37 6 72 35 44 30 44 3 11 44
S. Ashjian 2 0 4 3 2 2 2 0 0 5
Other 3 3 2 6 3 3 4 0 0 2
None 6 6 5 7 6 6 7 0 0 2
Undec 7 5 7 12 6 8 5 17 20 6

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/28
H. Reid 42% 78% 6% 35% 36% 48% 35% 80% 67% 41%
S. Lowden 38 5 75 36 45 31 45 3 14 45
S. Ashjian 2 0 4 3 2 2 2 0 0 4
Other 3 3 2 6 3 3 4 0 0 2
None 7 7 6 8 7 7 8 0 0 2
Undec 8 7 7 12 7 9 6 17 19 6

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 4/28
H. Reid 43% 79% 7% 35% 37% 49% 36% 80% 68% 41%
D. Tarkanian 39 7 75 37 46 32 46 3 12 43
S. Ashjian 2 0 4 3 2 2 2 0 0 6
Other 3 3 2 6 3 3 4 0 0 2
None 6 6 5 7 6 6 4 0 0 2
Undec 7 5 7 12 6 8 5 17 20 6

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/28    1/20
D. Tarkanian 40%/38% 19%/59% 65%/16% 36%/35% 44%/33% 48%/31%
S. Lowden 39 /40 12 /64 69 /15 36 /37 42 /34 45 /26
S. Angle 38 /41 16 /68 63 /13 36 /38 41 /29 n/a
H. Reid 40 /52 68 /27 12 /76 34 /59 37 /53 34 /55
S. Ashjian 8 /30 4 /41 12 /17 8 /33 7 /27 n/a

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11
P. Toomey 45% 42% 42% 47% 42% 43% 43% 44% 37% 43%
J. Sestak 38 46 40 36 37 35 35 38 38 35
Other 5 3 10 5 7 7 6 6 6 5
Undec 12 9 9 12 15 15 16 13 19 18

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/19    5/6     4/12    3/15    2/8
P. Toomey 55%/30% 56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33% 57%/28%
J. Sestak 49 /40 52 /33 50 /37 38 /39 40 /38 33 /42

Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

General Election Matchups
R. Bentley  46%               R. Bentley  44%
A. Davis 33 R. Sparks 31
Other 12 Other 13
Undec 9 Undec 9

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
B. Byrne 47% 50% B. Byrne 45% 43%
A. Davis 33 33 R. Sparks 32 33
Other 12 9 Other 13 11
Undec 8 9 Undec 10 13

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
T. James 45% 49% T. James 42% 38%
A. Davis 39 35 R. Sparks 37 34
Other 8 10 Other 13 13
Undec 8 7 Undec 9 14

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
R. Moore 43% 40% R. Sparks 40% 40%
A. Davis 40 44 R. Moore 38 35
Other 11 11 Other 15 15
Undec 6 6 Undec 7 10

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/29
A. Davis 48%/36% 47%/39%
R. Bentley 45 /27 n/a
B. Byrne 45 /33 48 /21
R. Moore 43 /46 49 /39
T. James 41 /42 43 /29
R. Sparks 40 /38 39 /35

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 5/19-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,506 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 521 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/30). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 28%R, 27%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom 3/30
M. Whitman 53% 57% 49% 60%
S. Poizner 29 28 30 20
Other 5 4 7 3
Undec 12 10 14 16

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown 44% 65% 20% 39% 43% 46% 41%
M. Whitman 38 18 68 39 42 34 44
Other 5 3 3 8 5 4 2
Undec 12 11 7 13 9 14 13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown 45% 68% 20% 41% 45% 46% 53%
S. Poizner 31 11 61 31 32 31 22
Other 8 5 7 12 9 7 5
Undec 14 15 10 15 12 16 19

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/30    11/2
J. Brown 38%/33% 53%/12% 18%/61% 37%/36% 41%/28% 44%/27%
M. Whitman 32 /37 17 /47 54 /24 32 /37 30 /23 17 /14
S. Poizner 20 /40 14 /41 32 /36 19 /42 15 /23 11 / 7

Does ___ Better Describe Whitman/Poizner? (GOPers)
-                         Whitman Poizner Both Neither Undec
Will create jobs/get our
economy going 55% 16% 6% 6% 16%
Will rein in gov't
spending and reduce
the CA debt 53 16 5 7 19
Will fight tax increases 48 20 6 7 19
Understands the problems
and concerns of people
like me 43 22 3 11 21
Will help fix our
immigration system 40 27 6 7 20
Has strong conservative
values 40 28 4 6 23

Have You Seen Or Heard Any Radio Or TV Ads For Any SEN Or GOV Candidates?
-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes 77% 73% 84% 77% 79% 75%
No 21 25 14 21 20 23

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 474 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/1). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad 46% 49% 42%
B. Vander Plaats 31 34 27
R. Roberts 13 9 16
Undec 11 8 15

Fav/Unfav
-                 All     Men     Wom
T. Branstad 59%/20% 61%/22% 56%/17%
B. Vander Plaats 47 /19 51 /20 42 /18
R. Roberts 24 /15 24 /17 24 /13

Michigan
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 314 Dem primary LVs and 377 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.5% and 5.1%, respectively (release, 6/1). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Bernero 26% 31% 23% 27% 20% 56%
A. Dillon 23 24 22 21 30 11
Undec 51 45 55 52 50 33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
R. Snyder 20% 25% 15%
P. Hoekstra 19 22 16
M. Cox 17 21 12
M. Bouchard 15 11 20
T. George 9 7 11
Undec 20 14 27

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Dillon 14%/19% 17%/12% 11%/25% 15%/22% 10%/10% -- /28%
V. Bernero 13 /14 19 / 7 9/ 20 14 /15 10 /10 17 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-            All     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra 43%/17% 47%/19% 37%/15%
M. Cox 41 /24 53 /25 27 /23
R. Snyder 34 /10 38 /15 31 / 4
M. Bouchard 31 /15 29 /22 32 / 7
T. George 7 /10 8 /13 5 / 7

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D), activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12 9/14
J. Lynch 50% 50% 51% 52% 52%
J. Kimball 31 34 32 31 31
Other 6 4 3 4 6
Undec 13 12 13 12 10

-             Now 4/7 3/8
J. Lynch 47% 47% 50%
J. Stephen 35 37 35
Other 4 5 2
Undec 14 11 14

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12
J. Lynch 51% 50% 54% 53%
K. Testerman 32 33 28 30
Other 6 6 5 5
Undec 11 11 14 12

Lynch As Gov.
-             Now 5/11 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve 51% 56% 59% 63% 60% 58% 64%
Disapprove 47 43 39 36 39 38 34

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     4/7     3/8     1/12    9/12
J. Lynch 53%/43% 60%/35% 59%/37% 59%/38% 63%/33%
J. Stephen 36 /25 36 /27 32 /30 n/a n/a
J. Kimball 31 /21 36 /26 27 /25 31 /28 28 /27
K. Testerman 31 /22 31 /27 22 /30 33 /30 n/a

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/27; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/1). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D), accountant/ex-state Rep. Victor Moffitt (R) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee 35% 33% 39% 37%
F. Caprio 32 33 28 27
J. Robitaille 25 21 22 19
Undec 9 13 11 17

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee 37% 35% 37% 38%
J. Robitaille 29 26 26 22
P. Lynch 19 24 22 24
Undec 15 15 15 16

F. Caprio      35%            L. Chafee      35%
L. Chafee 33 V. Moffitt 28
V. Moffitt 22 P. Lynch 24
Undec 10 Undec 13

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/25
F. Caprio 61%/25% 56%/29% 53%/29% 52%/28%
L. Chafee 53 /39 53 /38 57 /37 55 /37
P. Lynch 36 /53 44 /45 45 /41 37 /48
J. Robitaille 36 /28 39 /27 35 /29 31 /31
V. Moffitt 31 /32 n/a n/a n/a

South Carolina
A Statehouse Report poll; conducted 5/25 by InsiderAdvantage (IVR); surveyed 402 Dem primary LVs and 591 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/28). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
V. Sheheen 26% 35% 19% 25% 27% 31% 16%
J. Rex 17 19 16 18 17 0 4
R. Ford 12 7 17 6 18 49 6
Undec 44 39 49 52 37 20 74

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
N. Haley 31% 33% 30%
A. Bauer 21 19 22
G. Barrett 14 15 13
H. McMaster 14 15 13
Undec 20 18 22

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R), Buffalo Gap rancher Ken Knuppe (R), ex-Brookings Mayor Scott Munsterman (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Daugaard 51% 53% 49% 41%
S. Heidepriem 36 33 32 32
Other 7 5 6 7
Undec 6 9 13 19

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
S. Heidepriem 49% 46% 39% 37%
G. Howie 36 31 34 29
Other 9 8 9 12
Undec 6 14 17 22

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Knudson 49% 41% 32% 31%
S. Heidepriem 34 41 37 34
Other 10 9 13 13
Undec 6 10 19 22

S. Heidepriem  47%
K. Knuppe 34
Other 12
Undec 8

S. Heidepriem  46%
S. Munsterman 38
Other 9
Undec 7

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/23
D. Daugaard 66%/23% 61%/23% 60%/14% 45%/22%
D. Knudson 59 /24 54 /21 35 /17 32 /21
S. Heidepriem 50 /38 48 /36 42 /33 42 /33
S. Munsterman 38 /37 n/a n/a n/a
G. Howie 36 /48 33 /36 38 /25 29 /29
K. Knuppe 29 /41 n/a n/a n/a

Senate 2010

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 5/19-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,506 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 521 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/30). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 28%R, 27%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Asseb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 3/30
C. Fiorina 38% 36% 40% 25%
T. Campbell 23 25 20 29
C. DeVore 16 17 14 9
Other 2 3 1 4
Undec 20 18 23 33

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Campbell 45% 18% 79% 52% 52% 40%
B. Boxer 38 64 7 31 33 41
Other 3 2 3 3 4 2
Undec 13 15 10 14 10 16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer 46% 76% 12% 37% 45% 46%
C. DeVore 36 10 73 40 40 34
Other 6 5 5 10 5 8
Undec 10 8 10 13 8 13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer 44% 72% 11% 38% 46% 41%
C. Fiorina 38 12 76 39 39 38
Other 4 2 3 8 3 5
Undec 13 12 9 14 11 14

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/30    11/2
B. Boxer 40%/44% 64%/17% 11%/78% 34%/51% 46%/37% 49%/36%
C. Fiorina 22 /20 11 /29 39 /10 24 /18 11 /16 9 /12
T. Campbell 19 /14 12 /15 30 /12 21 /14 18 /12 17 / 8
C. DeVore 10 / 9 4 / 9 17 / 9 11 / 7 8 / 6 6 / 4

Re-Elect Boxer?
-                        All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Definitely re-elect her 18% 33% 3% 13% 18% 19%
Probably re-elect her 16 27 5 13 15 17
Probably someone else 13 11 17 13 13 11
Definitely someone else 36 10 67 41 47 38
Depends 4 4 2 5 3 3
Undec 12 14 6 14 7 10

Do You Want A Sen. Who Will Mostly Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?
-        All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support 54% 86% 17% 46% 50% 58%
Oppose 35 5 75 39 41 29

Have You Seen Or Heard Any Radio Or TV Ads For Any SEN Or GOV Candidates?
-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes 77% 73% 84% 77% 79% 75%
No 21 25 14 21 20 23

Connecticut
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/28). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom
L. McMahon 48% 54% 42%
R. Simmons 44 39 49
Undec 8 7 9

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/13
R. Blumenthal 52% 80% 9% 51% 49% 55% 56%
L. McMahon 33 7 77 32 37 29 34
Undec 15 13 14 17 14 16 10

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/13
R. Blumenthal 52% 79% 7% 48% 47% 53% 54%
R. Simmons 37 9 81 38 41 33 35
Undec 13 12 12 14 12 14 11

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/10
R. Blumenthal 53%/35% 77%/12% 16%/71% 52%/36% n/a
R. Simmons 42 /35 20 /55 76 /10 43 /31 43%/17%
L. McMahon 31 /37 9 /53 69 /12 30 /36 n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-              All     Men     Wom
L. McMahon 64%/12% 69%/10% 59%/14%
R. Simmons 62 /22 59 /26 65 /18

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 406 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/1). Tested: '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-          All Men Wom
R. Conlin 48% 46% 49%
B. Krause 13 13 13
T. Fiegen 8 11 5
Undec 31 29 32

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Men     Wom
R. Conlin 38%/15% 44%/17% 34%/14%
T. Fiegen 12 /16 14 /21 10 /12
B. Krause 11 /18 14 /26 9 /13

Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 5/25-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 569 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown: 54%D, 40%R, 5%I. Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/2 8/17
R. Paul 51% 29% 82% 47% 54% 48% 39% 38%
J. Conway 45 68 16 34 44 46 44 43
Undec 4 3 3 19 2 6 17 19

New Hampshire
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 505 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R) and '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom 2/4
K. Ayotte 38% 36% 39% 37%
B. Binnie 29 31 28 23
O. Lamontagne 9 11 8 12
J. Bender 4 5 4 n/a
Undec 16 13 17 28

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/4
K. Ayotte 57%/16% 49%/11%
B. Binnie 52 /14 38 / 9
J. Bender 20 /15 n/a
O. Lamontagne 20 /17 26 /10

Friday, May 28, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
J. Brown 48% 78% 12% 41% 45% 52% 47% 61% 57% 27% 43%
S. Poizner 32 8 67 31 37 28 40 11 16 27 43
Undec 19 14 21 28 18 20 14 28 27 45 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
J. Brown 48% 79% 11% 38% 48% 48% 46% 72% 55% 27% 37%
M. Whitman 36 11 72 35 40 32 42 17 20 45 43
Undec 16 11 17 27 12 20 12 11 25 27 20

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Brown 37%/39% 62%/11% 9%/78% 26%/78% 38%/40% 36%/37%
M. Whitman 24 /44 12 /60 41 /26 21 /36 26 /42 21 /45
S. Poizner 19 /43 13 /48 30 /43 13 /31 20 /42 17 /43

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups
-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 45% 52%
J. Arnold-Jones 31 30
Other 11 6
Undec 13 12

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 47% 52%
P. Domenici Jr. 30 35
Other 15 6
Undec 9 6

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 43% 51%
S. Martinez 42 32
Other 3 7
Undec 12 10

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 47% 43%
D. Turner 31 34
Other 11 7
Undec 11 16

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish 45% 45%
A. Weh 39 35
Other 9 7
Undec 7 13

Fav/Unfav
-                Now     3/24
S. Martinez 57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish 53 /41 55 /43
P. Domenici Jr. 47 /42 44 /39
A. Weh 43 /46 33 /31
D. Turner 39 /35 33 /30
J. Arnold-Jones 38 /33 26 /32

Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 898 adults; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup (LVs)
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland 49% 88% 14% 44% 47% 51%
J. Kasich 44 7 82 30 44 44
Other 1 2 0 5 2 1
Undec 6 4 4 20 7 5

Strickland As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/20 4/09 5/08 4/08 5/07
Approve 55% 69% 40% 64% 57% 54% 48% 56% 61% 64% 68%
Disapprove 35 25 50 25 36 34 37 34 25 24 16

Strickland Handling Economy
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/20 4/09 5/08 4/08
Approve 46% 62% 33% 43% 50% 42% 41% 48% 51% 50%
Disapprove 46 33 62 48 44 48 49 45 38 41

Thursday, May 27, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom 2/25
M. Whitman 54% 58% 50% 61%
S. Poizner 19 18 20 11
Other 15 16 14 4
Undec 12 8 16 24

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/25
M. Whitman 56%/23% 62%/ 9%
S. Poizner 31 /51 22 /22

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Poizner and Whitman.

General Election Matchups
-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24
J. Brown 43% 50% 42% 46% 45% 43% 45%
S. Poizner 42 32 27 34 35 32 32
Other 7 10 13 7 9 7 5
Undec 8 8 18 13 11 18 18

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24 1/09
J. Brown 45% 44% 40% 43% 43% 41% 44% 40%
M. Whitman 41 38 40 43 39 41 35% 38
Other 8 9 6 6 7 3 3 5
Undec 7 9 14 8 11 14 18 17

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/19    3/15    2/15    1/19    11/17
J. Brown 53%/42% 51%/42% 46%/44% 53%/41% 49%/40% 48%/41%
M. Whitman 48 /47 47 /43 51 /34 56 /28 48 /30 47 /27
S. Poizner 48 /47 38 /46 29 /47 38 /37 40 /31 36 /26

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 379 Dem RVs and 231 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 5.0% and 6.5%, respectively (release, 5/27). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R) and businessman Oz Griebel (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom
N. Lamont 41% 43% 40%
D. Malloy 24 30 19
Other 2 3 2
Not vote 3 3 3
Undec 30 20 37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
T. Foley 37% 37% 37%
M. Fedele 11 13 6
O. Griebel 5 7 1
Other 3 3 2
Not vote 3 3 3
Undec 42 37 49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
N. Lamont 46%/12% 47%/23% 45%/ 6% 43%/13%
D. Malloy 28 / 5 36 / 4 24 / 5 35 / 9

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
T. Foley 34%/ 6% 38%/ 9% 30%/ 2% 37%/ 6%
M. Fedele 15 / 6 21 / 7 7 / 5 11 / 8
O. Griebel 10 / 2 11 / 3 8 /-- 5 / 3

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 428 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/27). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), management technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-             Now 4/6 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes 64% 47% 36% 35%
D. Porter 8 5 3 3
T. Baker 6 18 7 11
C. Camon 5 n/a n/a n/a
D. Poythress 1 6 2 2
R. Mangham 1 n/a n/a n/a
B. Bolton 0 n/a n/a n/a
Other n/a n/a 4 n/a
Undec 15 24 48 49

New Mexico
A KOB-TV poll; conducted 5/23-25 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,405 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 464 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 50%D, 37%R, 12%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez 43% 41% 46%
A. Weh 33 34 32
D. Turner 8 11 6
P. Domenici 8 7 8
J. Arnold-Jones 3 2 3
Undec 5 6 5

General Election Matchups
-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish 49% 78% 14% 38% 45% 53%
J. Arnold-Jones 35 11 67 40 41 30
Undec 16 11 19 22 14 17

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish 46% 71% 15% 43% 43% 49%
P. Domenici 40 19 70 34 45 36
Undec 14 10 16 24 13 15

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez 49% 23% 83% 50% 53% 45%
D. Denish 43 70 9 38 40 46
Undec 8 7 8 12 7 9

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish 50% 79% 14% 40% 47% 53%
D. Turner 36 10 70 37 41 31
Undec 14 11 16 22 12 16

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish 47% 77% 11% 36% 44% 50%
A. Weh 42 15 79 45 48 37
Undec 10 9 10 19 8 13

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann 44% 46% 46% 44%
T. Barrett 42 46 42 42
Other 6 4 4 4
Undec 8 5 8 10

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker 48% 46% 48% 49%
T. Barrett 41 44 42 40
Other 3 3 2 1
Undec 8 7 8 10

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker 52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann 48 /31 53 /31 53 /27 49 /31
T. Barrett 48 /36 40 /46 53 /34 49 /36

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27).

Barrett As Milwaukee Mayor
Approve     39%
Disapprove 23

Senate 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom 2/25
C. Fiorina 44% 44% 43% 20%
T. Campbell 21 25 18 33
C. DeVore 14 18 11 11
Other 7 7 8 6
Undec 14 6 20 30

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/25
C. Fiorina 56%/17% 26%/18%
T. Campbell 35 /29 32 /15
C. DeVore 27 /19 18 /17

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), Campbell, DeVore and Fiorina.

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 47% 82% 7% 36% 46% 49% 41% 67% 57% 64% 35%
T. Campbell 40 9 82 43 42 38 50 17 20 27 50
Undec 12 10 11 21 11 13 9 17 23 9 15

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 46% 80% 6% 35% 44% 49% 41% 61% 56% 55% 41%
C. DeVore 40 8 86 42 44 37 50 17 21 27 50
Undec 13 12 8 24 13 14 9 22 23 18 9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
B. Boxer 45% 78% 7% 32% 44% 46% 41% 67% 48% 55% 37%
C. Fiorina 42 10 87 42 44 40 50 17 30 27 48
Undec 13 12 6 26 12 14 8 17 23 18 15

Boxer As Sen.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
Approve 37% 67% 4% 24% 37% 37% 34% 56% 43% 27% 28%
Disapprove 46 13 89 50 49 43 54 22 30 36 59

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
C. Fiorina 22%/30% 6%/43% 48%/18% 15%/23% 22%/34% 21%/28%
T. Campbell 15 /18 7 /21 28 /19 16 /10 19 /20 12 /16
C. DeVore 10 /14 3 /18 20 /12 9 /10 42 /46 38 /49

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 1,159 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 231 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 5/27). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R) and businessman Peter Schiff (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20 5/09
L. McMahon 49% 46% 52% 44% 27% 17% n/a n/a n/a
R. Simmons 23 24 21 34 37 28 43 42 48
P. Schiff 11 12 8 9 4 5 2 -- n/a
Other/others 1 1 1 1 2 13 11 11 11
Not vote 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2
Undec 15 14 16 12 28 36 43 45 39

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 56% 83% 27% 56% 53% 59% 61% 64%
L. McMahon 31 8 64 31 34 29 28 23
Other 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1
Not vote 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1
Undec 10 8 7 9 9 11 10 11

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 59% 85% 26% 59% 56% 63% 64% 66%
P. Schiff 25 5 53 24 30 19 21 19
Other 1 1 1 2 2 1 -- 1
Not vote 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 1
Undec 13 8 15 12 10 15 13 14

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12
R. Blumenthal 55% 82% 26% 53% 51% 59% 62% 62%
R. Simmons 28 5 57 30 35 21 26 27
Other 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 --
Not vote 3 1 4 3 2 3 1 1
Undec 13 10 12 11 10 16 10 10

Blumenthal As AG
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 1/12 11/8 9/14 7/20
Approve 76% 88% 63% 76% 75% 76% 79% 84% 78% 78% 79%
Disapprove 16 6 31 14 19 12 13 11 13 14 13

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
R. Blumenthal 61%/29% 82%/10% 41%/49% 58%/33% 70%/18%
R. Simmons 36 /14 25 /19 50 /10 40 /13 38 /21
L. McMahon 32 /39 15 /55 60 /20 31 /40 36 /26
P. Schiff 15 / 6 7 / 8 31 / 4 11 / 7 10 / 6

Do You Think ___ Has The Right Kind Of Experience To Be A Sen. From CT?
-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal 76% 15%
R. Simmons 52 13
L. McMahon 29 52

Would You Say That ___ Cares About The Needs And Problems Of People Like You?
-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal 69% 21%
R. Simmons 48 17
L. McMahon 45 33

Would You Say That ___ Is Honest And Trustworthy?
-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal 60% 27%
R. Simmons 52 11
L. McMahon 45 24

Would You Say That ___ Has Strong Leadership Qualities?
-              Yes No
R. Blumenthal 73% 19%
L. McMahon 54 23
R. Simmons 49 15

How Much Have You Heard Or Read About The Controversy Regarding Blumenthal's Statements About His Military Service During The Vietnam War?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A lot 62% 56% 68% 66% 64% 29%
Some 26 33 18 25 26 26
Not much 7 5 7 6 6 8
Nothing at all 4 3 6 3 3 4

Does This Controversy Make You Think More/Less Favorably Of Blumenthal, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More favorably 4% 4% 3% 5% 5% 4%
Less favorably 43 27 62 46 49 36
No difference 51 66 34 47 44 56

How Important Will This Controversy Be To Your Vote In The General Election For Sen. In Nov.?
-                      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Very important 20% 9% 32% 23% 23% 18%
Somewhat important 21 17 26 21 16 25
Not too important 20 21 16 21 20 19
Not important at all 37 48 24 34 39 34

Does The Controversy About Blumenthal's Statements Regarding His Military Service During The Vietnam War Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1%
Less likely 33 17 51 35 35 31
No difference 61 75 44 60 60 62

Which One Better Describes How Blumenthal Has Portrayed His Military Service During The Vietnam War?
-                                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Blumenthal has misspoken/not lied 54% 69% 36% 52% 50% 58%
Blumenthal has lied 38 22 56 41 45 32

Are You Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Blumenthal's Explanation Of This Matter?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied 53% 72% 36% 51% 50% 56%
Not satisfied 35 19 54 38 41 31

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 2/16
R. Wyden 51% 49%
J. Huffman 38 35
Other 4 7
Undec 7 9

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/16
R. Wyden 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman 42 /22 33 /24

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. Jim DeMint (R) and Charleston Co. Councilor/ex-circuit judge/ex-state Rep. Vic Rawl (D).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. DeMint 49% 10% 82% 48% 56% 43% 62% 8% 34%
V. Rawl 30 60 7 27 28 32 22 54 41
Undec 21 30 11 25 16 25 15 38 24

DeMint As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
Approve 43% 14% 67% 42% 50% 37% 51% 21% 21% 44%
Disapprove 36 59 15 42 38 35 31 51 48 29

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
V. Rawl 5%/14% 4%/18% 5%/11% 4%/14% 6%/16% 3%/12%

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
R. Feingold  46%
R. Johnson 44
Other 3
Undec 6

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17   
R. Feingold 47% 49% 49% 47%
T. Wall 41 43 40 39
Other 5 3 3 6
Undec 7 5 9 7

-            Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold 47% 49% 51% 47%
D. Westlake 38 38 35 37
Other 7 4 5 6
Undec 8 9 10 10

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson 42 /25 n/a n/a n/a n/a
T. Wall 38 /30 35 /33 39 /28 34 /35 n/a
D. Westlake 36 /26 30 /34 34 /26 33 /31 n/a

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/26).

Feingold As Sen.
Approve      56%
Disapprove 39

Re-Elect Feingold?
Deserves re-election      45%
Give new person a chance 49

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/23-24 for ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup
M. Whitman  53%
S. Poizner 27

Fav/Unfav
M. Whitman  58%/25%
S. Poizner 39 /37

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 417 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman 51% 46% 56%
S. Poizner 26 27 26
Other 11 12 9
Undec 12 16 9

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom
M. Whitman 50%/24% 46%/26% 55%/22%
S. Poizner 26 /44 27 /36 25 /53

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-23; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick 42% 76% 7% 26% 39% 45% 33% 38% 36%
C. Baker 29 6 77 35 30 29 25 15 14
T. Cahill 14 13 11 15 14 13 23 26 23
J. Stein 8 5 0 11 9 7 3 n/a n/a
Undec 7 1 5 11 8 6 16 22 26

Patrick As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8
Approve 42% 66% 11% 32% 40% 43% 35% 42%
Disapprove 49 22 85 60 53 45 54 51

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24    11/8
D. Patrick 45%/46% 73%/20% 10%/85% 33%/56% 38%/50% 43%/47%
T. Cahill 22 /34 22 /29 15 /43 22 /35 31 /16 41 /13
C. Baker 20 /17 13 /24 25 / 5 24 /15 18 /12 13 / 7
J. Stein 7 / 7 7 / 7 2 / 5 8 / 8 n/a n/a

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15 3/09
Re-elect him 33% 56% 10% 23% 30% 37% 29% 32% 29% 34%
Someone else 55 28 84 68 60 51 60 55 56 47
Undec 11 15 7 9 10 12 11 13 15 20

Which Candidate Has Run The Best Campaign Thus Far?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 24% 39% 7% 17% 20% 27%
C. Baker 16 8 31 18 17 15
T. Cahill 11 7 11 14 12 10
J. Stein 2 2 3 1 3 2
Undec 45 43 48 48 47 44

Which Candidate Has Run The Worst Campaign?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Cahill 14% 15% 20% 11% 18% 10%
J. Stein 13 13 8 15 10 16
D. Patrick 13 6 20 15 13 12
C. Baker 11 13 3 12 13 9
Undec 48 52 49 46 45 51

Have You Seen The Attack Ads Against Cahill?
-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes 67% 59% 72% 72% 66% 68%
No 33 41 28 28 33 32

Which Candidate Do You Trust The Most?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 34% 57% 7% 24% 33% 35%
C. Baker 15 5 26 19 18 12
T. Cahill 10 6 18 11 12 8
J. Stein 6 3 8 7 6 7
Undec 34 27 41 38 31 37

Which Candidate Reminds You The Most Of Scott Brown?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Baker 26% 17% 30% 31% 30% 22%
T. Cahill 9 7 7 11 12 6
D. Patrick 5 7 0 4 5 5
J. Stein 2 2 8 1 2 3
Undec 56 65 56 50 49 63

Regardless Of Who You Are Personally Supporting, Who Do You Believe Will Be Elected?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 48% 66% 36% 39% 50% 47%
C. Baker 20 8 34 25 22 19
T. Cahill 9 6 13 10 11 7
J. Stein 1 1 2 0 1 1
Undec 21 19 15 25 16 26

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups
-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer 38% 37%
M. Anderson Kelliher 36 34
T. Horner 11 10
Undec 15 18

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer 37% 35%
M. Dayton 35 38
T. Horner 12 7
Undec 16 20

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer 37% 37%
M. Entenza 34 28
T. Horner 12 8
Undec 17 26

Fav/Unfav
-                     Now     3/10
M. Dayton 48%/39% 44%/45%
M. Anderson Kelliher 45 /36 39 /41
T. Emmer 45 /31 38 /26
M. Entenza 38 /34 27 /31
T. Horner 30 /36 n/a

New Mexico
A Dialing Services LLC (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25 for New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan; surveyed 771 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/25). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez 41% 47% 30%
A. Weh 30 28 35
D. Turner 9 8 9
P. Domenici 8 6 12
J. Arnold-Jones 4 4 5
Undec 8 8 8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup
-             Now 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley 45% 41% 34%
J. Kitzhaber 44 41 42
Other 4 6 7
Undec 6 13 15

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     4/26    2/17
C. Dudley 53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber 46 /47 58 /34 44 /42

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett 38% 7% 65% 36% 44% 34% 48% 7% 34% 40%
J. Rex 36 70 10 34 36 36 26 69 45 33
Undec 25 23 25 30 20 30 26 25 21 27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett 43% 9% 73% 36% 49% 37% 52% 13% 34% 41%
V. Sheheen 33 67 6 32 32 33 25 57 45 26
Undec 25 24 21 31 19 30 23 30 21 33

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
J. Rex 40% 72% 16% 36% 37% 42% 31% 67% 45% 37%
A. Bauer 38 10 62 34 43 33 47 8 38 36
Undec 22 18 22 31 20 25 22 25 17 27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
A. Bauer 38% 9% 67% 30% 43% 34% 48% 7% 45% 38%
V. Sheheen 38 73 12 33 38 39 29 67 45 33
Undec 23 18 21 38 19 27 23 26 10 30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley 45% 14% 72% 42% 52% 39% 54% 16% 38%
J. Rex 36 67 11 33 35 36 28 61 34
Undec 19 18 18 25 13 25 18 23 28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley 44% 7% 75% 43% 52% 37% 56% 7% 34%
V. Sheheen 34 71 6 28 33 34 23 67 38
Undec 22 22 19 29 15 28 21 26 28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster 42% 6% 72% 40% 48% 37% 53% 7% 31% 40%
J. Rex 36 74 7 34 35 37 26 69 45 31
Undec 22 20 21 26 17 26 21 25 24 29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster 43% 6% 75% 39% 49% 37% 54% 10% 28% 41%
V. Sheheen 36 76 5 35 35 37 26 69 48 27
Undec 21 18 20 27 15 26 21 21 24 31

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/6
N. Haley 29%/26% 13%/40% 42%/13% 29%/29% n/a
H. McMaster 27 /32 13 /45 40 /20 23 /34 30%/20%
A. Bauer 21 /50 13 /55 28 /47 21 /47 22 /43
J. Rex 18 /21 26 /16 8 /26 23 /19 22 /19
G. Barrett 18 /25 7 /36 28 /16 16 /25 14 /17
V. Sheheen 17 /16 28 /11 7 /21 20 /14 9 /14

Senate 2010

California
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 417 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/25). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
C. Fiorina 41% 39% 43%
T. Campbell 21 22 20
C. DeVore 16 16 16
Other 4 5 2
Undec 18 18 19

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Men     Wom
C. Fiorina 46%/17% 44%/20% 49%/13%
T. Campbell 28 /19 30 /21 25 /16
C. DeVore 24 /14 22 /17 26 /10

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom Wht Blk
A. Davis 41% 37% 45% 36% 54%
R. Sparks 33 39 27 38 20
Other 8 9 7 10 2
Undec 11 15 21 16 24

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne 29% 31% 27%
R. Moore 23 24 22
T. James 17 16 18
R. Bentley 9 9 9
B. Johnson 3 4 2
Other 2 2 2
Undec 17 14 20

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne 48% 12% 80% 47% 52% 44% 61% 4%
A. Davis 31 62 6 27 28 34 18 74
Other 7 4 7 13 8 6 9 1
Undec 14 22 7 13 12 16 12 21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James 45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57% 3%
A. Davis 37 73 6 36 34 40 24 81
Other 8 5 7 15 8 8 10 1
Undec 10 11 12 5 9 11 9 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore 43% 10% 73% 42% 47% 39% 55% 3%
A. Davis 38 74 7 37 35 41 25 82
Other 9 5 9 16 9 9 11 1
Undec 10 11 11 5 9 11 9 14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne 45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57% 4%
R. Sparks 34 65 8 32 33 35 23 72
Other 9 7 8 16 9 9 11 1
Undec 12 17 9 8 9 25 9 23

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James 44% 9% 75% 43% 48% 40% 56% 3%
R. Sparks 38 74 7 37 35 41 25 81
Other 19 7 9 17 11 9 13 1
Undec 8 10 9 3 6 10 6 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore 41% 8% 71% 40% 45% 37% 52% 3%
R. Sparks 40 76 9 39 37 43 27 83
Other 12 8 12 19 13 11 15 1
Undec 7 8 8 2 5 9 6 13

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Byrne 47%/25% 21%/44% 69%/ 9% 50%/20% 51%/22% 43%/28%
R. Moore 45 /36 17 /60 67 /17 48 /33 49 /33 41 /39
A. Davis 44 /40 72 /17 21 /60 42 /41 42 /43 46 /37
T. James 43 /33 14 /57 66 /13 47 /30 45 /31 14 /57
R. Sparks 42 /38 64 /16 22 /57 42 /40 40 /40 44 /36

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
A. Davis 55%/22% 52%/26% 58%/18% 51%/28% 67%/ 4%
R. Sparks 42 /30 47 /27 37 /33 48 /29 26 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-           All     Men     Wom
B. Byrne 53%/14% 56%/12% 50%/16%
R. Moore 44 /21 47 /19 41 /23
T. James 41 /17 43 /16 39 /18

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup
M. Beebe    53%
J. Keet 38
Other 1
Undec 7

Beebe As Gov.
-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve 72% 68% 74% 75% 73% 68% 67% 69%
Disapprove 28 30 25 22 24 29 28 30

Fav/Unfav
M. Beebe    68%/31%
J. Keet 47 /27

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/9 4/21
J. Brown 70% 72% 69% 73% 78% 67% 61% 66% 63%
C. Pineda 4 6 3 3 2 7 9 3 2
R. Aguirre 4 5 4 3 1 9 2 4 6
J. Symmon 2 3 2 3 1 3 0 3 3
V. Greene 2 2 2 1 1 3 0 1 1
L. Darling 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 6
P. Schurman 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 1
Undec 14 12 17 15 16 10 24 19 18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman 54% 55% 52% 39% 49%
S. Poizner 27 28 26 37 27
L. Naritelli 2 3 2 1 2
D. Hughes 2 3 2 1 1
B. Chambers 2 1 3 3 2
K. Miller 2 1 3 2 1
R. Newman 1 1 1 2 2
D. Tully-Smith 1 0 2 1 1
Undec 9 7 10 14 15

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 4/22 1/20
N. Deal 47% 47% 49%
T. Baker 30 31 32
Other 10 9 7
Undec 12 13 11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal 47% 46% 43% 43% 42%
R. Barnes 40 39 40 37 43
Other 6 7 5 7 7
Undec 7 8 13 14 8

-            Now 4/22 1/20
K. Handel 43% 44% 46%
T. Baker 32 36 34
Other 10 5 8
Undec 14 15 11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel 42% 42% 42% 45% 42%
R. Barnes 39 41 39 36 43
Other 9 7 5 5 5
Undec 10 10 14 14 10

-            Now 4/22
E. Johnson 42% 38%
T. Baker 30 35
Other 11 9
Undec 17 18

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes 42% 42% 40% 37%
E. Johnson 38 37 38 37
Other 9 8 6 8
Undec 11 13 16 18

-            Now 4/22 1/20
J. Oxendine 50% 44% 50%
T. Baker 29 34 32
Other 9 9 8
Undec 12 13 10

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine 43% 45% 41% 45% 44%
R. Barnes 39 43 41 37 42
Other 11 6 6 7 6
Undec 7 6 11 10 8

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/22    3/17    2/17    1/20
J. Oxendine 57%/26% 51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
R. Barnes 46 /42 47 /43 44 /43 48 /43 52 /38
N. Deal 45 /28 41 /27 39 /30 40 /27 44 /29
K. Handel 45 /29 48 /26 44 /32 53 /24 52 /24
T. Baker 37 /40 42 /39 n/a n/a 45 /33
E. Johnson 37 /28 29 /28 32 /27 36 /25 n/a

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Brownback As Sen.
-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve 48% 41% 50% 56% 51% 49% 57% 48% 54%
Disapprove 42 47 42 37 40 40 30 42 36

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs and 638 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 3.9%, respectively (release, 5/25). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Sheheen 36% 40% 31% 34% 37% 40%
J. Rex 30 31 30 32 28 30
R. Ford 11 15 7 8 15 10
Undec 23 13 33 26 20 20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
N. Haley 39% 39% 39%
H. McMaster 18 17 19
G. Barrett 16 15 17
A. Bauer 13 12 13
Undec 14 16 12

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
V. Sheheen 31%/11% 38%/11% 25%/12% 33%/13% 31%/ 9% 15%/20%
J. Rex 29 /19 27 /23 30 /14 36 /17 20 /22 25 /20

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-            All     Men     Wom
N. Haley 47%/13% 50%/14% 44%/13%
H. McMaster 43 /22 47 /26 40 /18
G. Barrett 28 /18 29 /20 28 /15
A. Bauer 26 /49 26 /48 25 /50

Sanford As Gov. (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
Approve 51% 54% 46%
Disapprove 36 34 38
 
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