Senate 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck      46% 45% 44% 44% 45% 43%  42%
M. Bennet    41  40  40  38  41  38   38
Other         5   5   3   6   5   4    8
Undec         8  11  12  11   8  15   12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15                
J. Norton    46% 48% 46% 48% 51% 49%  46%  45%
M. Bennet    40  41  41  39  37  37   37   36 
Other         9   5   5   7   5   3    8    7
Undec         5   6   8   6   7  11    8   12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck      45% 45% 45% 41% 45% 40%  41%
A. Romanoff  39  40  37  40  39  39   39
Other         6   5   4   5   6   5    6
Undec        11  11  13  13  10  16   14

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton    43% 46% 49% 44% 45% 47%  45%  45%
A. Romanoff  42  39  38  42  38  35   34   34
Other         7   6   5   6   7   5    7    8
Undec         8   8   8   9  10  14   15   15

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/3     4/5     3/2     2/2     1/13
A. Romanoff  45%/42% 46%/34% 39%/39% 42%/38% 40%/37% 40%/36%
K. Buck      44 /32  43 /33  42 /22  40 /23  43 /26  38 /20
J. Norton    44 /44  46 /39  43 /39  49 /34  49 /31  51 /28
M. Bennet    39 /50  45 /45  45 /41  42 /43  42 /40  42 /40

Connecticut
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted June 1-3 for ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/8). Tested: McMahon and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Blumenthal  51%
L. McMahon     38

Fav/Unfav

R. Blumenthal  55%/32%
L. McMahon     41 /32

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), developer/financier Jeff Greene (D), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio   37% 39%  34% 37%  42%
C. Crist   37  31   38  30   22
K. Meek    15  18   17  22   25
Undec      11  12   11  11   11

C. Crist   41%
M. Rubio   37
J. Greene  13
Undec      10

Crist As Gov.

-              Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14
Approve        60% 57%  62% 56%  57%  45%  52%  51%  52%
Disapprove     37  42   38  43   42   54   45   47   45

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/16    5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18
C. Crist   62%/37% 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41%
M. Rubio   46 /38  46 /43  42 /48  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27
K. Meek    30 /39  33 /36  32 /36  38 /31  33 /39  42 /33
J. Greene  28 /41   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/9). Tested: Crist, Greene, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchups

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13
C. Crist   37% 37% 28% 51% 36% 38% 32%
M. Rubio   33   7  64  26  39  29  30
K. Meek    17  44   2  10  13  20  24
Other      --   1  --   1   1  --  --
Not vote    1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Undec      11  11   6  10   9  12  13

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist   40% 46% 28% 51% 39% 40%
M. Rubio   33   6  66  25  36  31
J. Greene  14  35   2  10  13  16
Other       1  --  --   1   1  --
Not vote    1   1  --   1   1   1
Undec      11  11   4  12  10  12

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
C. Crist   52%/33% 55%/28% 44%/44% 59%/29% 48%/35% 52%/36%
M. Rubio   36 /28   8 /47  63 /11  31 /30  36 /22  32 /14
K. Meek    17 /13  34 / 6   5 /21  16 /11  18 / 8  18 / 8
J. Greene  11 /11  16 /11   4 /13  15 / 8   n/a     n/a
M. Ferre    8 / 6  14 / 7   5 / 8   7 / 4   n/a     n/a

Crist As Gov.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/09
Approve    57% 61% 49% 62% 55% 58% 49%  50%  59%   60%  62%
Disapprove 35  31  44  33  39  31  39   38   31    30   28

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Crist Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       43% 47% 39% 46% 41% 45%
What's popular     48  44  55  47  52  45

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Rubio Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       33% 22% 52% 30% 38% 29%
What's popular     42  54  28  47  42  43

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Meek Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right       20% 35% 15% 16% 20% 19%
What's popular     36  25  38  40  41  31

As You May Know, Crist Dropped Out Of The GOP Primary To Run As An Indie? Which Statement About Crist Best Represents Your View -- Crist Left The GOP Because He No Longer Agreed With The Party's Core Beliefs, Or Crist Left The GOP Because He Thought He Could Not Win The Nomination?

-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
No longer agreed   32% 41% 20% 37% 28% 35%
Could not win nod  60  48  76  57  64  56

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 4/28 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         42% 46%  41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41% 
A. Giannoulias  39  38   37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            7   5    8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           12  12   13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/28    4/5     3/8     2/3
M. Kirk         48%/39% 52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33%
A. Giannoulias  39 /46  42 /47  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         Now 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio  39% 34% 37%  42%
C. Crist  31  38  30   22
K. Meek   18  17  22   25
Undec     12  11  11   11

Crist As Gov.

-             Now 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve       57% 62% 56%  57%  45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove    42  38  43   42   54   45   47   45    49

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18    1/27
C. Crist  57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40%
M. Rubio  46 /43  42 /48  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27  51 /31
K. Meek   33 /36  32 /36  38 /31  33 /39  42 /33  38 /36

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Sen. Mike Crapo (R) and businessman Tom Sullivan (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Crapo     66%
T. Sullivan  22
Other         2
Undec         9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/23
M. Crapo     63%/28% 72%/20%
T. Sullivan  33 /30   n/a

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 5/11-13 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Sweet, Chicago Sun-Times, 5/17). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 4/29 2/14 10/28 8/2
M. Kirk         44% 43%  45%  43%   40%
A. Giannoulias  44  37   49   46    45

Kentucky
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 1,065 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/16). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 5/2 12/21
R. Paul        52% 31% 37% 46% 44%
T. Grayson     34  31  37  28  25
G. Martin       4   3   5   2  n/a
J. Stephenson   2   1   2   2  n/a
J. Scribner     1   2   1   0  n/a
Undec           7   7   8  21  32

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom     5/2     12/21
R. Paul        60%/23% 64%/21% 56%/24% 47%/22% 39%/13%
T. Grayson     42 /29  41 /31  44 /26  34 /21  22 /15

Bunning As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve        45% 51% 38% 43%
Disapprove     31  31  32  30

McConnell As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve        57% 58% 56% 68%
Disapprove     25  27  23  20

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-                                    RVs---------------->
-           All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
J. Sestak   42% 46% 40% 42%  39% 32% 29%  30%   25%  23%
A. Specter  41  41  41  44   47  53  53   53    44   55
Other       --  --  --   1   --  --   2    1     2    1
Not vote    --  --  --  --   --  --   2    1     1    2
Undec       16  13  18  14   14  15  14   15    28   19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
A. Specter  50%/33% 52%/35% 48%/31% 50%/33% 57%/31% 60%/26%
J. Sestak   42 /11  47 /14  39 / 9  42 /10  43 /11  33 / 6

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/12-15; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
A. Specter   44% 44%  45%  44%  45%  43%  42% 42% 42% 43% 45%
J. Sestak    44  43   43   44   45   47   47  46  44  43  40
Other/undec  11  12   12   12    9   10   11  12  14  13  14

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
A. Specter   59%/30% 58%/31% 57%/33% 53%/36% 54%/35% 52%/34%
J. Sestak    51 /18  52 /15  52 /13  54 /11  55 / 9  56 /10

Governor 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  38%
R. Scott     24
P. Dockery    7
Undec        31

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum  45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49%  41%  40%
A. Sink      36  63   5  38  34  38  34   35   34
Undec        19  21  16  21  17  21  17   24   26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink      41% 68%  9% 46% 39% 43% 44%  43%
P. Dockery   29   9  56  19  32  26  22   18
Undec        30  23  35  35  29  31  34   39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink      38% 66%  6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott     36  11  70  26  38  34
Undec        26  23  24  35  27  25

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25    6/26    5/09
B. McCollum  32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink      26 /18  24 /15  24 / 9  24 / 3
R. Scott     19 / 8   n/a     n/a     n/a
P. Dockery    6 / 5   4 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            Now     3/25    6/26
B. McCollum  46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott     28 / 1   n/a     n/a
P. Dockery   10 / 4   9 / 4   8 / 3

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn     35  61   5  27  31  39
S. Cohen      3   6   0   2   4   2
Undec        23  21  16  33  22  24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn     36  63   5  28  33  39  47
Other/undec  25  25  16  35  23  27  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
P. Quinn     37%/49% 59%/22%  9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady     35 /37  11 /59  70 / 8  34 /35  29 /41
S. Cohen     19 /24  28 /18   9 /30  16 /27   n/a

Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-               All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley     49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich      41  47  36
Other/neither    3   2   1
Not vote         1  n/a  1
Undec            6   4   5

O'Malley As Gov.

-           All RVs  RVs    All   RVs
-           Now Now  10/08  10/07 10/07
Approve     54% 58%  53%    53%   51%
Disapprove  34  34   37     36    39

O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)

-           Now 10/07
Approve     46% 39%
Disapprove  40  52

How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?

-               Now 10/07
A lot            8%  3%
A fair amount   38  25
Some            29  32
Not much        20  35

Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)

Very closely        26%
Fairly closely      35
Not too closely     23
Not at all closely  15

Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)

Satisfied       49%
Wish had more   45

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          41%       45%  12%     2%
Public education    39        39   14      7
Budget deficit      37        39   18      4
Taxes               36        40   17      7
Crime               35        42   16      6
Environment         29        37   23     11

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          43%       43%  12%     2%
Budget deficit      41        38   16      4
Public education    40        37   14      8
Taxes               38        39   16      7
Crime               33        43   17      7
Environment         26        37   25     11

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   41%      31%      5%  10%     13%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      38       31      11    6      15
 state's future
Strong leader             35       37      10    6      12
He is honest/trustworthy  33       29      12   12      15

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   39%      39%      4%  10%      9%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      36       38      11    5      10
 state's future
Strong leader             34       43      10    6       8
He is honest/trustworthy  31       36      12   11      10

Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment           49%      25%      5%   5%     17%
Working effectively with  49       27       5    5      15
 the MD legislature
Public education          49       29       6    3      13
Crime                     40       34       5    6      16
State economy             39       43       2    4      11
State budget deficit      37       42       4    5      12
Taxes                     36       44       3    5      12

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)

-               TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley     34%         8%             45%
B. Ehrlich       6         31              46

As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)

Need to raise taxes          53%
Meet without raising taxes   36

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              41%  8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  66   7  26  30  36
T. Horner              9   7   5  17  12   5
Undec                 17  19  10  23  14  20

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton             34  66  13  25  31  38
T. Horner              9   6   7  16  10   8
Undec                 15  18   7  19  11  19

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza            31  61   7  28  31  31
T. Horner             10  10   5  19  12   8
Undec                 16  20   8  17  11  22

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner    10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
D. Onorato   42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7
J. Wagner    19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   34%
J. Wagner    17
T. Williams  17
J. Hoeffel    9
Other         6
Undec        17

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   58%/22%
J. Wagner    43 /24
T. Williams  41 /34
J. Hoeffel   29 /34

Rendell As Gov.

-            Now 4/12
Approve      61% 60%
Disapprove   38  39

Senate 2010

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/9).

Sen. Blanche Lincoln Voted In Favor Of The Health Care Reform Law

Approve     28%
Disapprove  64

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/09
M. Kirk         41% 14% 81% 39% 45% 37% 36%  30%
A. Giannoulias  38  65   7  31  35  41  43   38      
Other/undec     21  21  12  30  20  22  21   32

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
M. Kirk         39%/32% 15%/49% 71%/10% 41%/30% 42%/35%
A. Giannoulias  38 /46  58 /27  11 /75  37 /43  49 /34

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5-6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/14 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       51% 54%  49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   36  33   34   32
Other           6   5    6    7
Undec           8   9   12   15

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/14    3/18    2/17
D. Coats       57%/27% 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%
B. Ellsworth   43 /35  40 /37  43 /33  35 /29

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak    47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter   42  42  42  43  45  48  46  49  48
Other/undec  11  12  14  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
J. Sestak    55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13% 44%/13% 42%/14%
A. Specter   52 /35  50 /26  52 /34  54 /34  56 /30  57 /29

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
J. Sestak   47% 42%  37%  36% 32%  35%  42%   34%  32%
A. Specter  42  44   48   51  53   48   46    47   51
Other        3   4    5    4   4    3    2     3    4
Undec        8  10    9    9  11   14   10    16   13

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8
A. Specter  67%/31% 65%/32% 65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25%
J. Sestak   63 /22  57 /26  47 /22  55 /23  54 /26  48 /22

Obama As POTUS

-           Now 4/12
Approve     80% 72%
Disapprove  20  27

Rendell As Gov.

-           Now 4/12
Approve     61% 60%
Disapprove  38  39

House 2010

PA-12
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/4-5 for businessman Tim Burns (R) and the NRCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Tested: Burns and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

-         Now 3/15
T. Burns  43% 45%
M. Critz  41  41
Undec     14  13

DE-AL
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/20-21 for developer Glen Urquhart (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/23). Tested: Urquhart and businesswoman Michele Rollins.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Rollins   27%
G. Urquhart  11
Undec        60

Fav/Unfav

M. Rollins   27%/ 6%
G. Urquhart  13 / 5

NM-01
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 4/28-5/2 for Rep. Martin Heinrich (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/5). Tested: Heinrich and atty Jon Barela (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Heinrich  55%
J. Barela    38

IL-14
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for state Sen. Randy Hultgren (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 5/5). Tested: Hultgren and Rep. Bill Foster (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Hultgren  45%
B. Foster    44
Undec        12

Re-Elect Foster?

Deserves re-election  28%
New person            55
Undec/depends         18

Foster As Rep.

Approve      40%
Disapprove   41

Fav/Unfav

B. Foster    41%/33%

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchups

-           All Men Wom
J. Arpaio   33% 37% 29%
J. Brewer   25  29  20
D. Martin   15  11  19
B. Mills    11  11  12
J. Munger    1   1   2
Undec       15  11  19

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   38% 43% 32%
B. Mills    19  20  19
D. Martin   16  15  17
J. Munger    3   3   4
Undec       24  20  28

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Men Wom
Approve     52% 56% 48%
Disapprove  30  28  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
J. Arpaio   70%/22% 77%/20% 63%/24%
B. Mills    27 /11  29 /11  26 /12
D. Martin   26 /11  27 /13  25 / 9
J. Munger    5 / 9   4 /11   6 / 7

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/5 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  38  37  45
Other        5   7   6  13
Undec       11  10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     40% 43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  58  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    47%/32% 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    43 /50  37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/29). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All    Dem     GOP     Ind     9/2
J. Gibbons  21%/59  7%/84% 39%/31% 14%/61% 17%/61%

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
R. Reid       47% 43%  44% 44%
J. Gibbons    37  45   36  35
Other         12   8   15  13
Undec          3   4    4   8

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 45%  42% 36%
R. Reid       39  38   37  40
Other          9   9   13  14
Undec          8   8    8  10

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 55%  53% 45%
R. Reid       35  34   35  33
Other          6   6    7  11
Undec          5   4    5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       35% 42%  37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    63  57   61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  41 /28  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    32 /65  35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     56% 52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     24  29   30  35   29    26
Other         6   6    5   5    6     5
Undec        14  13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 3/29
A. Cuomo     50% 50%
S. Levy      27  26
Other         6   7
Undec        17  17

-            Now 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  28   27
Other         5   6    6
Undec        15  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22
A. Cuomo     65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25%
R. Lazio     38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49
S. Levy      35 /32  33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a

Utah
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 1/20
G. Herbert  61% 55%
P. Corroon  30  30
Undec        9  15

Fav/Unfav

G. Herbert  51%/16%
P. Corroon  30 /14

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln  43% 47% 40% 46% 31% 45%  44%  42%
B. Halter   35  30  38  34  39  33   31   26
Other        7  11   4   8   1   6   n/a  n/a
Undec       15  12  18  12  29  16   25   32

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    47% 15% 83% 48% 52% 42% 48%  49%  41%  37%
B. Lincoln  40  74   5  35  36  44  41   41   42   44
Undec       13  11  12  17  12  14  11   10   17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  52% 19% 87% 56% 58% 46% 50%  49%
B. Lincoln  42  76   7  37  37  47  43   42
Undec        6   5   6   7   5   7   7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman  46% 13% 82% 48% 52% 40% 46%  47%  39%  37%
B. Lincoln  42  77   5  37  37  47  43   44   44   45
Undec       12  10  13  15  11  13  11    9   17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
T. Cox      47% 13% 84% 50% 52% 42% 46%  47%  31%  29%
B. Lincoln  42  77   5  37  37  47  43   43   45   46
Undec       11  10  11  13  11  11  11   10   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  50% 18% 84% 54% 54% 46% 49%  48%  30%  28%
B. Lincoln  40  75   6  34  37  43  42   43   46   47
Undec       10   9  10  12   9  11   9    9   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
G. Baker    44%  9% 82% 47% 49% 39% 45%  46%  42%
B. Halter   43  79   6  37  38  48  43   44   34
Undec       13  12  12  16  13  13  12   10   24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  47% 13% 84% 48% 52% 42% 48%  48%
B. Halter   42  78   5  38  37  47  41   40
Undec       11   9  11  14  11  11  11   12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   43% 81%  5% 37% 38% 48% 44%  45%  35%
C. Coleman  41   6  80  42  47  35  43   44   40
Undec       16  13  15  21  15  17  13   11   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   44% 82%  5% 39% 41% 47% 44%  45%  36%
T. Cox      42   7  80  44  49  35  43   43   32
Undec       14  11  15  17  10  18  13   12   32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren  45% 10% 84% 49% 49% 41% 46%  45%  31%
B. Halter   43  78   6  38  39  47  43   44   36
Undec       12  12  10  13  12  12  11   11   33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/14    3/24
B. Halter   48%/32% 73%/10% 20%/56% 47%/32% 47%/30% 46%/27%
J. Boozman  44 /32  16 /53  76 /10  44 /29  45 /31  44 /30
B. Lincoln  41 /54  64 /32  17 /75  40 /58  43 /53  42 /52
K. Hendren  38 /27  15 /47  66 / 7  37 /23  36 /28  34 /27
G. Baker    36 /30  14 /51  63 / 7  35 /26  37 /30  36 /28
C. Coleman  36 /31  16 /52  61 / 9  34 /28  35 /30  34 /29
T. Cox      34 /27  11 /46  59 / 8  35 /24  33 /25  32 /26

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
B. Halter   66%/14% 63%/17% 68%/12% 66%/15% 67%/10%
B. Lincoln  59 /33  63 /29  56 /36  60 /32  53 /38

Delaware
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Rep. Mike Castle (R) and New Castle Co. Exec. Chris Coons (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 2/22 1/25
M. Castle  55% 53%  56%
C. Coons   32  32   27
Other       7   8    5
Undec       7   8   13

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/22    1/25    9/30
M. Castle  65%/32% 65%/30% 66%/25% 61%/34%
C. Coons   48 /38  43 /35  47 /30   n/a

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         46% 41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41% 
A. Giannoulias  38  37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            5   8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           12  13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/5     3/8     2/3     12/9
M. Kirk         52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33% 50%/32%
A. Giannoulias  42 /47  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39  48 /36

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate Scott Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
S. Lowden     38% 40% 36%
D. Tarkanian  28  29  27
S. Angle      13  11  15
Other         12  13  11
Undec          9   7  11

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Angle      44% 10% 82% 43% 50% 38% 52%  4% 18%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  34  77  67
S. Ashjian     5   1   8   7   6   4   6   0   0
Other          2   2   1   4   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   8   2   9   4   8   4  19  15

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
S. Lowden     45% 10% 83% 46% 51% 39% 53%  4% 21%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  34  77  67
S. Ashjian     4   0   7   7   5   3   5   0   0
Other          2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   9   2   6   4   8   4  19  12

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
D. Tarkanian  43%  9% 81% 42% 49% 37% 51%  4% 17%
H. Reid       41  76   6  34  36  46  35  76  67
S. Ashjian     6   1   9   9   7   5   7   0   0
Other          2   2   1   4   2   2   2   0   0
None           2   3   1   3   2   2   2   0   0
Undec          6   9   2   8   4   8   3  20  16

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/20    9/2
D. Tarkanian  44%/33% 26%/52% 65%/14% 40%/32% 48%/31% 47%/28%
S. Lowden     42 /34  17 /54  70 /13  40 /32  45 /26  43 /24
S. Angle      41 /29  23 /48  62 / 9  38 /28   n/a     n/a
H. Reid       37 /53  63 /29  11 /77  32 /58  34 /55  36 /52
S. Ashjian     7 /27   4 /37  10 /16   7 /29   n/a     n/a

New Hampshire
A WMUR-TV Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 512 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 462 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 4/29). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Jim Bender (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R), '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R) and Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02).

General Election Matchups (LVs)

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2 7/1
K. Ayotte      47% 14% 79% 44% 56% 38% 41% 40%  39%
P. Hodes       32  65   5  23  29  35  33  33   35
Other           0   0   0   1   0   0   1   2    2
Undec          21  21  16  32  15  26  25  25   24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
P. Hodes       37% 72%  7% 26% 36% 38% 36%
J. Bender      34   3  67  26  43  25  27
Other           0   0   0   0   0   0   2
Undec          29  24  26  48  21  37  35

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
B. Binnie      38%  4% 72% 31% 48% 28% 30%
P. Hodes       36  72   7  24  34  39  34
Other           0   0   0   1   0   0   2
Undec          26  24  22  43  18  33  33

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
O. Lamontagne  37%  6% 71% 28% 48% 28% 29% 28%
P. Hodes       36  72   5  24  33  39  38  37
Other           0   0   0   1   0   1   2   2
Undec          26  22  23  47  19  33  30  33

Firmness Of Choice (LVs)

-                          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3 10/2
Definitely decided         14% 20% 12%  6% 18% 11% 10%  6%
Leaning toward someone     14  12  18   7  17  11  11   8
Still trying to decide     72  68  70  86  65  78  78  86

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/3     10/2
K. Ayotte      38%/13% 26%/24% 52%/ 4% 38%/ 8% 38%/12% 37%/ 8%
P. Hodes       30 /31  50 / 8  15 /56  20 /29  32 /27  30 /26
O. Lamontagne  10 /12   3 /19  17 / 6  11 / 9  12 / 9  11 / 7
B. Binnie      22 /11   6 /17  36 / 5  26 / 8  10 / 4   n/a
J. Bender       5 / 5   3 / 8   7 / 2   5 / 3   6 / 2   n/a

Ohio
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 4/27-29; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
L. Fisher     55% 57% 52%
J. Brunner    27  25  29
Undec         18  17  19

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
B. Obama      86%/12% 86%/13% 85%/11%
L. Fisher     65 /12  66 /12  63 /11
G. Voinovich  51 /36  54 /35  48 /36
J. Brunner    46 /13  46 /13  46 /13
J. Kasich     20 /29  24 /37  16 /22
R. Portman    15 /24  15 /32  14 /18

Which Candidate Has A Better Chance At Beating Portman In The General Election?

-             All Men Wom
L. Fisher     55% 60% 51%
J. Brunner    15  14  16
Undec         30  25  33

Strickland Has Endorsed Fisher In The Primary. Does This Make You More/Less Likely To Support Fisher?

-             All Men Wom
More likely   50% 52% 47%
Less likely   10   9  10
No diff       41  38  42

Which Candidate Has Run A More Negative Campaign?

-             All Men Wom
J. Brunner    16% 17% 14%
L. Fisher     10  11  10
Undec         71  68  74

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41%
A. Giannoulias  37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     3/8     2/3     12/9    8/11
M. Kirk         51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33% 50%/32% 55%/28%
A. Giannoulias  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39  48 /36  51 /33

Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/5-7 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/8). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.

Primary Election Matchup

T. Grayson  39%
R. Paul     37
Undec       18

Fav/Unfav

T. Grayson  49%/17%
R. Paul     48 /22

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray   45%
P. Akers    37
Other        5
Undec       13

-           Now 3/9 2/11                  Now 3/9 2/11
P. Murray   48% 48% 50%       P. Murray   47% 49% 49%
D. Benton   40  37  38        C. Didier   37  30  34
Other        4   3   3        Other        5   6   4
Undec        8  12   9        Undec       11  15  13

-           Now 3/9 2/11                  Now 3/9 2/11
P. Murray   48% 46% 46%       P. Murray   46% 47% 48%
D. Rossi    46  49  48        C. Widener  37  32  33
Other        3   3   1        Other        5   5   5
Undec        4   2   5        Undec       12  16  14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/9     2/11
P. Murray   53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi    52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
D. Benton   34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers    29 /27   n/a     n/a
C. Widener  28 /24  26 /26  29 /26
C. Didier   26 /29  27 /26  28 /28

Governor 2010

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 301 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/7). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes     47% 36%  35%
T. Baker      18   7   11
D. Poythress   6   2    2
D. Porter      5   3    3
Other         n/a  4   n/a
Undec         24  48   49

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/8). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  37  45
Other        7   6  13
Undec       10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/30-4/5; surveyed 1,412 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/8). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14
T. Corbett   50% 18% 86% 48% 56% 44% 41%  46%
J. Hoeffel   28  62   3  19  25  30  30   30
Other        --  --  --   1   1  --   1    1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   1   1   1    1
Undec        21  19  12  30  17  24  27   23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   45% 11% 81% 43% 53% 37% 42%  45%   47%
D. Onorato   33  70   5  25  29  36  32   30    28
Other         1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1     1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   1   1   1    1     1
Undec        21  18  13  29  15  25  24   22    24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   48% 14% 84% 47% 56% 40% 42%  43%   44%
J. Wagner    29  65   3  20  24  33  30   33    29
Other         1  --  --   1   1  --   1    1     1
Not vote      1   2  --   2   2   1   1    1     1
Undec        21  20  12  30  17  26  26   23    25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/28    12/14
T. Corbett   47%/13% 28%/21% 71%/ 3% 45%/13% 43%/ 7% 43%/ 6%
J. Wagner    18 / 8  30 / 4   9 /11  16 /12  20 / 7  22 / 5
D. Onorato   21 /11  35 / 6  13 /16  17 /12  20 / 8  18 / 9
J. Hoeffel   14 /10  19 / 5   8 /14  15 /11  15 / 7  13 / 7
S. Rohrer     7 / 4   4 / 4  13 / 3   4 / 3   5 / 3   n/a
T. Williams   3 / 3   6 / 3   1 / 4   1 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A
Good/Bad Idea?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea    39% 13% 64% 39% 46% 33%
Bad idea     52  83  25  51  49  56

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-4/1; surveyed 934 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 41%R, 12%I. Tested: Corbett, Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and state Sen. Tony Williams (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   46% 20% 78% 37% 49% 43%
J. Hoeffel   31  53   7  26  31  31
Undec        23  27  14  37  20  26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   45% 18% 79% 36% 50% 41%
D. Onorato   32  54   8  27  30  33
Undec        23  28  13  37  20  25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   43% 14% 79% 33% 47% 40%
J. Wagner    30  52   6  23  28  31
Undec        27  34  15  44  25  29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   45% 16% 80% 39% 50% 40%
T. Williams  27  49   4  19  24  30
Undec        28  35  17  42  26  30

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   27%/20% 17%/28% 38%/11% 24%/23% 32%/23% 22%/18%
J. Wagner    15 /10  18 / 9  10 /11  17 /10  17 /12  13 / 8
D. Onorato   15 /13  20 /12   8 /15  13 /13  14 /18  15 / 9
J. Hoeffel   10 /11  13 / 8   7 /14   9 /10   8 /14  11 / 8
T. Williams   6 / 7  10 / 7   3 / 7   3 /11   7 / 9   6 / 6

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
N. Lamont  41% 41%            T. Foley   44% 37%
M. Fedele  38  33             N. Lamont  37  40
Other       9   8             Other       7   9
Undec      12  18             Undec      13  14

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
D. Malloy  40% 36%            T. Foley   44% 36%
M. Fedele  37  35             D. Malloy  35  37
Other       7   9             Other       8  10
Undec      16  21             Undec      14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/1
D. Malloy  47%/29% 43%/29%
T. Foley   45 /25  42 /22
N. Lamont  43 /40  43 /35
M. Fedele  38 /26  39 /22

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 396 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Galloway, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4/7). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     18  13   10   9
N. Deal        9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   7    7   3
Others        11   8    4   6
Undec         31  36   45  50

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady    43% 19% 80% 39% 44% 42%
P. Quinn    33  53   7  31  34  32
Undec       24  28  13  30  22  26

Quinn As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve     25% 37% 10% 23% 22% 27% 25%
Disapprove  53  36  77  54  58  49  55

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Brady    25%/20% 11%/27% 44%/11% 24%/19% 27%/25% 23%/17%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   23  19  25    23
Undec       15  14  14    19

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  38% 34% 32%   34%
T. Cahill   33  30  28    23
C. Mihos    15  19  26    23
Undec       14  16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   49%/29% 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
D. Patrick  49 /48  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40%/56% 48%/51%
C. Baker    43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30  37 /27
C. Mihos    31 /51  38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 3/28-31 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/7). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                 Now
A. Dillon         22%
V. Bernero        15
A. Wheeler Smith  11
Other             10
Undec             42

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 27%  25%  29%
M. Cox        21  21   32   28
R. Snyder     15  12    3    3
M. Bouchard   13  10   16   14
T. George      3   1    2    2
Other          3   3   n/a  n/a
Undec         18  26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Cox        44%
V. Bernero    30
Undec         26

-             Now 2/25 1/26
M. Cox        43% 43%  47%    
A. Dillon     34  36   30     
Undec         23  21   23

P. Hoekstra   42%
V. Bernero    29
Undec         29

-             Now 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra   40% 41%  40%
A. Dillon     33  37   32
Undec         27  21   28

R. Snyder     42%
V. Bernero    26
Undec         32

R. Snyder     42%
A. Dillon     30
Undec         28

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox            38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero         8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   5 / 4   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5
T. George          4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs and 491 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 4/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   20% 18% 22% 16%
J. Hoeffel   15  16  13  10
J. Wagner    13  15  12  11
T. Williams   5   6   4   2
Other         1   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        47  44  49  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   58% 66% 51% 43%
S. Rohrer     7   7   6   5
Other         1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        35  27  42  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
D. Onorato   27%/ 6% 26%/ 7% 28%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 5  24 / 5  18 / 4
J. Hoeffel   18 / 4  20 / 6  17 / 4
T. Williams   6 / 3   8 / 4   5 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   51%/ 3% 59%/ 3% 44%/ 3%
S. Rohrer     8 / 2   8 / 3   8 /--

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25 4/09
M. Kirk         37% 10% 77% 33% 43% 31% 34%  35%
A. Giannoulias  33  54   7  30  34  32  42   35
Undec           30  36  16  37  23  37  24   29

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/25
M. Kirk         24%/23%  8%/33% 44%/13% 25%/19% 27%/22%
A. Giannoulias  21 /28  28 /14   9 /48  24 /27  31 /19

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-                       RVs--------------------->
-           All Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19 5/26
A. Specter  53% 53% 53% 53%  53%   44%  55%  50%
J. Sestak   32  37  28  29   30    25   23   21
Other       --  --   1   2    1     2    1    1
Not vote    --  --  --   2    1     1    2    2
Undec       15  10  18  14   15    28   19   27

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
A. Specter  60%/26% 60%/29% 60%/24%
J. Sestak   33 / 6  37 / 7  31 / 5

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-               All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
A. Specter      43% 42% 43% 53%
J. Sestak       26  34  22  25
No difference    6   7   6   4
Undec           25  18  29  17

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-               All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
A. Specter      42% 41% 43% 48%
J. Sestak       26  32  22  29
No difference    4   5   4   2
Undec           27  21  31  20

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Liberal?

-               All Men Wom
A. Specter      35% 37% 34%
J. Sestak       26  31  23
No difference    2   2   3
Undec           36  30  41

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Think Would Be More Likely To Win The Nov. General Election If Nominated?

-               All Men Wom
A. Specter      58% 59% 57%
J. Sestak       21  26  18
No difference    1   1   1
Undec           20  14  24

House 2010

IL-11
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 3/21-22 for Afghan war veteran Adam Kinzinger (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/23). Tested: Kinzinger and Rep. Debbie Halvorson (D).

General Election Matchups

A. Kinzinger   44%
D. Halvorson   38
Undec          16

Generic GOPer  43%
Generic Dem    33
Undec          21

Fav/Unfav

D. Halvorson   33%/31%
A. Kinzinger   19 / 5

Obama As POTUS

Approve        45%
Disapprove     52

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hickenlooper  50% 85% 13% 48% 45% 55%
S. McInnis       39   7  77  34  46  32
Undec            11   8  10  18   9  13

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind               
J. Hickenlooper  51%/27% 72%/12% 30%/41% 49%/28%
S. McInnis       28 /27  11 /42  49 /10  26 /30

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 12/14
B. Brady    47% 30%
P. Quinn    37  45
Other        6  13
Undec        9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/14
Approve     43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 11/23 10/22               Now 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  35% 33%   34%     D. Patrick  34% 32%   34%
C. Baker    32  28    24      T. Cahill   30  28    23
T. Cahill   19  25    23      C. Mihos    19  26    23
Undec       14  14    19      Undec       16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve     39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
C. Baker    46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40%/30% 37%/27%
D. Patrick  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40 /56  48 /51
C. Mihos    38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35 

Michigan
A Denno-Noor poll; conducted 3/2-5 for the Rossman Group and Perricone Group; surveyed 205 Dem primary LVs and 217 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.8% and 6.7%, respectively (Agar, Grand Rapids Press, 3/10). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee, '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         13%
V. Bernero        11
A. Wheeler Smith   6
D. Kildee          6
Other/none         8
Undec             56

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 Now 11/17
P. Hoekstra       28% 21%
R. Snyder         18   5
M. Cox            12  15
M. Bouchard        8  13
T. George          2   3
Other/none         1   7
Undec             31  37

Governor 2010

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and state Sen. Kirk Dillard (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Quinn    46% 75%  7% 40% 43% 49%
K. Dillard  35   7  77  35  39  31
Other        1   1   1   1   1   1
Undec       18  17  15  24  17  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Quinn    37%/41% 18%/56% 69%/17% 34%/43% 40%/39% 34%/43%
K. Dillard  31 /37  10 /53  66 /10  29 /39  34 /33  28 /41
B. Brady    29 /41   7 /60  64 / 9  28 /43  33 /38  25 /44

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 2/21-24; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsamples of 273 Dem primary voters and 155 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 5.9% and 7.9%, respectively (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), '06 Green-Rainbow Party nominee Grace Ross (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom
D. Patrick  59% 56% 62%
G. Ross     15  22  10
Undec       26  22  28

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 11/8 9/15
C. Baker    47% 43% 53% 30%  43%
C. Mihos    17  24   7  33   19
Undec       36  33  40  37   38

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  33% 58% 10% 21% 28% 37% 38%  36%
C. Baker    25  10  55  30  31  20  15   14
T. Cahill   23  21  25  24  20  25  26   23
J. Stein     3   1   0   4   3   2  n/a  n/a
Undec       16  11  10  21  17  15  22   26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  34% 59% 13% 22% 29% 40% 36%  36%
T. Cahill   26  21  25  30  25  27  26   24
C. Mihos    19  10  47  19  26  12  20   17
J. Stein     3   2   0   5   3   3  n/a  n/a
Undec       18   9  15  25  17  18  18   23

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8
Approve     35% 55% 20% 25% 31% 39% 42%
Disapprove  54  36  75  63  60  48  51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/8    9/15
D. Patrick  38%/50% 60%/29% 20%/68% 25%/62% 43%/47% 42%/45%
T. Cahill   31 /16  29 /15  32 /22  32 /16  41 /13  35 /12
C. Mihos    20 /28  14 /37  25 /30  25 /21  30 /25  27 /23
C. Baker    18 /12   9 /18  33 / 5  21 / 8  13 / 7  15/ 11

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15 3/20
Re-elect him    29% 49% 13% 17% 26% 31% 32%  29%  34%
Someone else    60  41  80  70  65  56  55   56   47
Undec           11  11   7  12   9  13  13   15   20

Do You Think Patrick Is A Weak Leader, Or Is He A Victim Of The Bad Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Weak leader     68% 55% 78% 70% 70% 65%
Bad economy     22  36  11  19  21  22

Do You Think MA Would Be Better Off With A GOP Gov.?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/15
Yes     30% 12% 62% 36% 37% 24% 35%
No      48  76  15  35  42  54  54

Do You View Cahill As An Indie, Or Do You View Him As Still A Dem Who Left His Party To Run For GOV?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Dem         47% 46% 53% 46% 48% 45%
Indie       26  24  28  26  25  26

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   37% 39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    30  23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   9   7   6    4    3
Others        n/a n/a --   --    1
Undec         24  31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
R. Reid       42% 70%  9% 42% 36% 48% 43% 48%  49%  47%
J. Gibbons    38  12  71  35  48  28  36  34   37   35
Undec         20  18  20  22  16  24  21  18   14   18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   51% 23% 84% 49% 56% 46% 53% 49%  50%  49%
R. Reid       29  55   5  29  23  35  31  34   33   32
Undec         20  22  11  22  21  19  16  17   17   19

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     1/7     12/2    10/8    6/19    5/14
B. Sandoval   33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54  10%/57% 17%/52%

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/09
A. Giannoulias  43% 71%  6% 36% 40% 46% 38%
M. Kirk         36   9  79  35  40  32  30
Other            2   2   2   3   3   1  n/a
Undec           19  18  13  26  17  21  32

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/09
A. Giannoulias  49%/34% 71%/14% 17%/64% 47%/35% 36%/15%
M. Kirk         42 /35  22 /50  75 /13  40 /34  37 /41

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 2/22-25; surveyed 508 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26).

Burr As Sen.

-              Now 10/29
Approve        40% 37%
Disapprove     35  22

Would You Say You Are Satisfied With Burr As Sen.?

-              Now 10/29
Satisfied      40% 41%
Dissatisfied   37  22

Do You Think Burr Has Performed Well Enough To Deserve Re-Election, Or Do You Think It's Time To Give A New Person A Chance?

-                      Now 10/29
Deserves re-election   24% 19%
Time for new person    51  42
Undec                  25  39

Fav/Unfav

R. Burr        30%/23%
E. Marshall    19 / 8
M. Williams     9 / 7
K. Lewis        9 / 7
E. Burks        7 / 7
C. Cunningham   6 / 9
E. Jones        6 / 8
M. Beitler      4 / 6

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 1/27
R. Burr        51% 50%
C. Cunningham  29  34
Other           6   5
Undec          14  11

-              Now 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        50% 47%  48%
E. Marshall    34% 37   38
Other           4   6    3
Undec          12  10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/27    9/15
R. Burr        60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 367 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.1% (release, 2/25). Tested: Cunningham, Marshall and atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 1/21
E. Marshall    14% 17%  6% 13% 14% 12% 18% 14%
K. Lewis        5   5   3   7   3   3   7   7
C. Cunningham   4   5   0   5   3   3   7   4
Undec          77  72  91  74  80  82  67  75

Wisconsin
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/22-23 for developer Terrence Wall (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/25). Tested: Wall and Sen. Russ Feingold (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Feingold   46%
T. Wall       39

Re-Elect Feingold?
Re-elect him  37%
New person    54

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 2/9-14 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

-               Now 10/28 8/2
A. Giannoulias  49% 46%   45%
M. Kirk         45  43    40

Nevada
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 1/31 for the NV State Educ. Assn; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/16).

Reid As Sen.

Excellent/good 34%
Only fair/poor 63

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 2/12-15; surveyed 788 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 2/17). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        44% 17% 80% 38% 51% 38% 45%  45%   44%   46%
C. Cunningham  32  56   6  26  30  33  36   36    31    27
Undec          24  27  14  36  19  28  19   20    25    27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        44% 16% 80% 37% 51% 37% 46%  43%   45%   44%
K. Lewis       31  57   5  24  29  34  34   37    32    30
Undec          25  27  16  40  20  30  20   21    23    26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        43% 16% 79% 38% 51% 36% 44%  42%   45%   44%
E. Marshall    33  60   6  25  31  36  37   37    34    32
Undec          23  24  16  37  18  28  18   21    21    24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
R. Burr        42% 15% 79% 35% 50% 35% 45%  42%   44%   45%
Generic Dem    35  63   5  26  33  37  36   41    40    34
Undec          23  22  16  39  17  28  20   17    16    22

Burr As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/18 12/13 11/11 10/4
Approve        35% 16% 57% 35% 39% 31% 36%  35%   40%   36%
Disapprove     35  50  17  35  37  33  33   37    31    35

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/18
E. Marshall    19%/10% 28%/ 8% 10%/13% 13%/10% 19%/12%
K. Lewis        7 /10   7 /10   4 /11  10 / 8   7 /10
C. Cunningham   6 / 9   8 / 9   3 / 9   7 / 7   6 / 8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/17). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    49%
J. Huffman  35
Other        7
Undec        9

Fav/Unfav

R. Wyden    55%/36%
J. Huffman  33 /24

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Hart Research Assoc. (D) poll; conducted 11/11-12 for ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D); surveyed 505 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/17). Tested: Hoffman, Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup
M. Kirk         40%           M. Kirk         40%
A. Giannoulias  37            D. Hoffman      30
Undec           23            Undec           30

Generic Dem     46%
Generic GOPer   39
Depends         10
Undec            5

Fav/Unfav
M. Kirk         21%/11%
A. Giannoulias  20 /12
D. Hoffman       7 / 4
P. Hughes        6 / 1

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 11/3-5 for ex-Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Robinson Jackson (D); surveyed 500 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/9). Tested: Jackson, Treas. Alexi Giannoulias, ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman and atty Jacob Meister.

Primary Election Matchup
A. Giannoulias       31%
C. Robinson Jackson  13
D. Hoffman            8
J. Meister            2
Undec                45

Fav/Unfav
A. Giannoulias       37%/10%
C. Robinson Jackson  23 / 9
D. Hoffman           13 / 5
J. Meister            4 / 2

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 10/25-28 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 805 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/2). Tested: Giannoulias, ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
A. Giannoulias  46%           M. Kirk         48%
M. Kirk         43            D. Hoffman      39

Senate - Illinois (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/19). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D), ex-Chicago IG David Hoffman (D), ex-Chicago Urban League pres. Cheryle Robinson Jackson (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
-               Now 8/11                      Now 8/11
M. Kirk         41% 41%       M. Kirk         43% 47%
A. Giannoulias  41  38        C. Jackson      39  30
Other            4   4        Other            4   6
Undec           13  17        Undec           13  17

M. Kirk         43%
D. Hoffman      33
Other            8
Undec           16