House 2010

MD-01
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 6/15-16 for Rep. Frank Kratovil (D); surveyed 403 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/23). Tested: Kratovil and '08 nominee/state Sen. Andy Harris (R).

General Election Matchup

F. Kratovil  44%
A. Harris    39
Undec        17

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,528 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 747 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/20). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D), businessman Dan Maes (R) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       57% 60% 54%
D. Maes          29  28  29
Undec            14  12  17

General Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
D. Maes          45% 50% 40%
J. Hickenlooper  44  42  45
Third party       5   4   6
Undec             6   4   8

General Election Matchup (1,474 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       47% 53% 42%
J. Hickenlooper  43  40  46
Third party       6   6   5
Undec             4   2   6

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

R. Scott     35%
B. McCollum  30
Undec        33

Maryland
A polling company, inc. (R) poll; conducted 6/8-10 for businessman/ex-commodities trader Brian Murphy (R); surveyed 508 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/18). Tested: Murphy, Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchups

M. O'Malley  44%              M. O'Malley  44%
B. Ehrlich   43               B. Murphy    25

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 6/12-15 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 5/26
A. Dillon    34% 29%
V. Bernero   24  23
Undec        42  48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
M. Cox       26% 18%  21%  21%  32%  28%
P. Hoekstra  24  30   27   27   25   29
R. Snyder    20  17   15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  16   13   10   16   14
T. George     2   2    3    1    2    2
Other        n/a n/a   3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        12  17   18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/26 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 47%  42%
V. Bernero   38  34   29
Undec        15  19   29

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  46% 47%  40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    38  35   33   37   32
Undec        16  18   27   21   28

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 51%  42%
V. Bernero   34  28   26
Undec        17  21   32

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 50%  42%
A. Dillon    36  31   30
Undec        15  19   28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/26    3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       36%/33% 35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  33 /15  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  35 /17  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    29 / 9  26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    15 /15  13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero   14 / 9   9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     9 / 6   4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/10). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/20 2/23
M. O'Malley  45% 47%  49%
B. Ehrlich   45  44   43
Other         5   2    2
Undec         5   7    5

O'Malley As Gov.

-            Now 4/20 2/23
Approve      54% 50%  53%
Disapprove   44  48   42

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/20    2/23
B. Ehrlich   53%/42% 56%/39% 55%/36%
M. O'Malley  53 /43  54 /43  54 /40

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/11). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      31  35   34   35  33
Other         3   6    6    7  11
Undec        13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 6/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 566 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/10). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 26%I. Tested: Ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) and Soloflex founder Jerry Wilson (Prog.).

General Election Matchup

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley     47% 20% 79% 41% 50% 44%
J. Kitzhaber  40  70  13  35  36  44
J. Wilson      6   7   1  12  11   2
Undec          7   4   7  11   4  10

Governor 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  38%
R. Scott     24
P. Dockery    7
Undec        31

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum  45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49%  41%  40%
A. Sink      36  63   5  38  34  38  34   35   34
Undec        19  21  16  21  17  21  17   24   26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink      41% 68%  9% 46% 39% 43% 44%  43%
P. Dockery   29   9  56  19  32  26  22   18
Undec        30  23  35  35  29  31  34   39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink      38% 66%  6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott     36  11  70  26  38  34
Undec        26  23  24  35  27  25

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25    6/26    5/09
B. McCollum  32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink      26 /18  24 /15  24 / 9  24 / 3
R. Scott     19 / 8   n/a     n/a     n/a
P. Dockery    6 / 5   4 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            Now     3/25    6/26
B. McCollum  46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott     28 / 1   n/a     n/a
P. Dockery   10 / 4   9 / 4   8 / 3

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn     35  61   5  27  31  39
S. Cohen      3   6   0   2   4   2
Undec        23  21  16  33  22  24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn     36  63   5  28  33  39  47
Other/undec  25  25  16  35  23  27  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
P. Quinn     37%/49% 59%/22%  9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady     35 /37  11 /59  70 / 8  34 /35  29 /41
S. Cohen     19 /24  28 /18   9 /30  16 /27   n/a

Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-               All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley     49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich      41  47  36
Other/neither    3   2   1
Not vote         1  n/a  1
Undec            6   4   5

O'Malley As Gov.

-           All RVs  RVs    All   RVs
-           Now Now  10/08  10/07 10/07
Approve     54% 58%  53%    53%   51%
Disapprove  34  34   37     36    39

O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)

-           Now 10/07
Approve     46% 39%
Disapprove  40  52

How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?

-               Now 10/07
A lot            8%  3%
A fair amount   38  25
Some            29  32
Not much        20  35

Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)

Very closely        26%
Fairly closely      35
Not too closely     23
Not at all closely  15

Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)

Satisfied       49%
Wish had more   45

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          41%       45%  12%     2%
Public education    39        39   14      7
Budget deficit      37        39   18      4
Taxes               36        40   17      7
Crime               35        42   16      6
Environment         29        37   23     11

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          43%       43%  12%     2%
Budget deficit      41        38   16      4
Public education    40        37   14      8
Taxes               38        39   16      7
Crime               33        43   17      7
Environment         26        37   25     11

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   41%      31%      5%  10%     13%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      38       31      11    6      15
 state's future
Strong leader             35       37      10    6      12
He is honest/trustworthy  33       29      12   12      15

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   39%      39%      4%  10%      9%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      36       38      11    5      10
 state's future
Strong leader             34       43      10    6       8
He is honest/trustworthy  31       36      12   11      10

Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment           49%      25%      5%   5%     17%
Working effectively with  49       27       5    5      15
 the MD legislature
Public education          49       29       6    3      13
Crime                     40       34       5    6      16
State economy             39       43       2    4      11
State budget deficit      37       42       4    5      12
Taxes                     36       44       3    5      12

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)

-               TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley     34%         8%             45%
B. Ehrlich       6         31              46

As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)

Need to raise taxes          53%
Meet without raising taxes   36

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              41%  8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  66   7  26  30  36
T. Horner              9   7   5  17  12   5
Undec                 17  19  10  23  14  20

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton             34  66  13  25  31  38
T. Horner              9   6   7  16  10   8
Undec                 15  18   7  19  11  19

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza            31  61   7  28  31  31
T. Horner             10  10   5  19  12   8
Undec                 16  20   8  17  11  22

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner    10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
D. Onorato   42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7
J. Wagner    19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   34%
J. Wagner    17
T. Williams  17
J. Hoeffel    9
Other         6
Undec        17

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   58%/22%
J. Wagner    43 /24
T. Williams  41 /34
J. Hoeffel   29 /34

Rendell As Gov.

-            Now 4/12
Approve      61% 60%
Disapprove   38  39

House 2010

HI-01
A Honolulu Advertiser/Hawai'i News Now poll; conducted 4/23-28 by Ward Research; surveyed 349 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 5/2). Tested: Ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 56%D, 23%R, 20%I.

Special Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Djou      37% 19% 79% 42% 40% 34%
E. Case      29  37  11  29  30  29
C. Hanabusa  22  34   4  11  22  23
Undec        11  10   6  18   8  15

PA-12
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/27-29 for the DCCC; surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Burns, Politico, 5/3). Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

M. Critz  43%
T. Burns  41

MD-01
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/25-26 for Americans for Prosperity (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: Rep. Frank Kratovil (D), '08 nominee/state Sen. Andy Harris (R) and Richard Davis (L).

General Election Matchup

A. Harris    39%
F. Kratovil  36
R. Davis      6
Other         1
Undec        18

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.   30%
Wrong dir.   62

What Is The Most Important Issue To You In Deciding How To Vote?

Economy/jobs                 28%
Taxes/spending               18
Health care                  12
Budget deficit                9
Education                     7
Social Security/Medicare      6
Moral values                  6
Wars in Iraq/Afghanistan      4
Terrorism/homeland security   2
Illegal immigration           2
The environment               2
None                          1

Do You Favor/Oppose The Health Care Bill Recently Signed Into Law By Obama?

Favor   35%
Oppose  58

NY-13
A Global Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/7-11 for Rep. Mike McMahon (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: McMahon, enviro atty Michael Allegretti (R) and ex-FBI agent Michael Grimm (R).

General Election Matchups

M. McMahon     56%
M. Allegretti  24
Undec          20

M. McMahon     56%
M. Grimm       23
Undec          21

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 1,270 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/31). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 36%D, 21%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne   48% 11% 84% 41% 52% 45% 62% 10% 41% 39%
A. Davis   32  67   5  25  33  31  21  64  31  35
Undec      20  23  11  34  15  24  18  26  28  26

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey    44% 14% 70% 41% 45% 43% 54% 12% 41% 31%
A. Davis   33  65  10  28  36  31  23  67  28  39
Undec      23  21  20  31  19  26  23  21  31  31

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James   42%  9% 73% 35% 45% 40% 54%  9% 31% 35%
A. Davis   33  65   7  30  35  31  22  66  38  37
Undec      25  25  20  35  20  29  24  26  31  28

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore   43% 12% 72% 39% 46% 42% 54% 12% 36% 38%
A. Davis   37  70  12  32  40  35  28  67  28  41
Undec      19  18  16  29  15  23  18  21  36  21

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne   43%  7% 78% 34% 47% 40% 56%  7% 31% 41%
R. Sparks  30  60   6  28  34  27  21  57  36  27
Undec      26  32  16  38  19  32  22  37  33  33

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey    39% 10% 67% 32% 41% 38% 49%  9% 36% 29%
R. Sparks  33  62   9  32  36  30  23  60  36  33
Undec      28  28  24  35  23  32  27  31  28  39

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James   38%  5% 71% 28% 40% 38% 50%  6% 23% 32%
R. Sparks  33  62   8  33  37  30  25  57  38  32
Undec      29  33  20  39  24  33  25  38  38  37

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore   42%  9% 72% 37% 42% 41% 53% 10% 28% 38%
R. Sparks  37  67  12  38  42  33  29  61  38  36
Undec      21  24  17  25  16  25  18  29  33  25

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Moore   33%/34% 17%/42% 47%/25% 32%/38% 35%/36% 31%/33%
R. Sparks  20 /20  26 /17  14 /23  21 /20  26 /24  14 /18
A. Davis   20 /35  30 /33  13 /40  19 /30  24 /38  18 /33
K. Ivey    19 /26  19 /26  19 /27  19 /24  17 /29  20 /23
B. Byrne   18 /18   5 /32  30 / 8  14 /16  20 /21  17 /16
T. James   14 /24  10 /27  20 /21  10 /27  18 /29  11 /21

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     74% 75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  25  22  24  29  28   30

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

B. Otter    60%
K. Allred   28
Other        3
Undec        9

Otter As Gov.

Approve     60%
Disapprove  37

Fav/Unfav

B. Otter    62%/35%
K. Allred   34 /34

Maryland
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-30 for the MD Dem Party; surveyed 409 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/1).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
B. Ehrlich     59% 66% 53%
Another GOPer  31  26  35
Undec          10   7  12

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  38  41  40   39   45
Other           2   6   5   4    3    3
Undec           7   7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        47% 43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     52  53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 2/10-13 for Gov. Martin O'Malley (D); surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Wagner, "Maryland Politics," Washington Post, 3/5). Tested: O'Malley and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
M. O'Malley  51% 47% 53%
B. Ehrlich   41  45  38

Nebraska
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/5). Tested: Gov. Dave Heineman (R) and agribusiness investment exec. Mark Lakers (D).

General Election Matchup

D. Heineman  61%
M. Lakers    23
Other         2
Undec        14

Heineman As Gov.

Approve      69%
Disapprove   29

Fav/Unfav

D. Heineman  71%/27%
M. Lakers    30 /24

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/7). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 2/3
R. Reid       44% 44%
J. Gibbons    36  35
Other         15  13
Undec          4   8

-             Now 2/3
M. Montandon  42% 36%
R. Reid       37  40
Other         13  14
Undec          8  10

-             Now 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 45%
R. Reid       35  33
Other          7  11
Undec          5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/3
B. Sandoval   55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 3/7; surveyed 712 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/8). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
A. Cuomo  63% 83% 37% 55% 63%  66%  68%  67%   66%   64%
R. Lazio  25   9  56  26  26   24   22   22    21    18
Undec     11   8   6  20  11   10   10   11    14    18

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/19    1/14
A. Cuomo  63%/25% 68%/19% 57%/33% 62%/29% 66%/21% 67%/21%
R. Lazio  30 /29  20 /39  43 /21  36 /23  31 /26  27 /30

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18
For GOV        58% 68% 48% 49% 51%  53%  50%  52%   49%
Reelect as AG  29  24  37  33  33   30   31   28    36

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    38% 40% 38% 36% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   52  53  53  53  43   49   51   52

Paterson Asked Cuomo To Conduct An Investigation To Determine If The Gov. Or Any Of His Staff Acted Illegally Or Unethically In Dealing With A Domestic Violence Charge Leveled Against A Top Aide To The Gov. By That Aide's Then-Girlfriend. Do You Think Cuomo's Investigation Will Be Conducted Fairly And Impartially, Or Do You Think It Will Be Unduly Influenced By Political Concerns?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Fair/impartial                 57% 59% 60% 51%
Unduly influenced by politics  38  37  37  44

Do You Think This Investigation Of Paterson And His Staff Is Best Conducted By Cuomo, Or Do You Think It Would Be Better If It Was Conducted By An Independent, Outside Prosecutor?

-                      All Dem GOP Ind
Outside prosecutor     68% 68% 67% 70%
A. Cuomo               27  28  28  24

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  38  41  40   39   45
Other           6   5   4    3    3
Undec           7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

M. O'Malley  49%
B. Ehrlich   43
Other         2
Undec         5

O'Malley As Gov.

Approve      53%
Disapprove   42

Fav/Unfav

B. Ehrlich   55%/36%
M. O'Malley  54 /40

Michigan
A Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WJRT-TV/WILX-TV poll; conducted 2/22-25 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dems and 400 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/26). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         17%
D. Kildee         12
V. Bernero         8
A. Wheeler Smith   7
Other             12
Undec             45

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 25%  29%
M. Cox        21  32   28
R. Snyder     12   3    3
M. Bouchard   10  16   14
T. George      1   2    2
Other          3  n/a  n/a
Undec         26  22   24

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/26                      Now 1/26
M. Cox       43% 47%          P. Hoekstra  41% 40%
A. Dillon    36  30           A. Dillon    37  32
Undec        21  23           Undec        21  28

M. Cox       46%              P. Hoekstra  41%
D. Kildee    37               D. Kildee    37
Undec        17               Undec        22

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     1/26    12/9
M. Cox            43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
D. Kildee         10 / 5  11 / 4   n/a
V. Bernero         7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George          6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups

D. Daugaard    41%
S. Heidepriem  32
Other           7
Undec          19

S. Heidepriem  37%
G. Howie       29
Other          12
Undec          22

S. Heidepriem  34%
D. Knudson     31
Other          13
Undec          22

Fav/Unfav

D. Daugaard    45%/22%
S. Heidepriem  42 /33
D. Knudson     32 /21
G. Howie       29 /29

Senate 2010

Delaware
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Rep. Mike Castle (R), '06 candidate/'08 nominee Christine O'Donnell (R) and New Castle Co. Exec. Chris Coons (D).

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/14
M. Castle     53% 24% 87% 61% 58% 48% 51%
C. Coons      35  61   6  27  32  38  39
Undec         12  15   7  12  10  14  10

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Coons      47% 75% 12% 43% 43% 51%
C. O'Donnell  31   8  65  29  34  28
Undec         22  17  23  28  23  21

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/14
M. Castle     65%/32% 43%/53% 87%/10% 79%/19% 64%/30%
C. Coons      52 /25  74 /10  23 /47  50 /22   n/a
C. O'Donnell  33 /39  16 /57  59 /13  31 /40   n/a

Indiana
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/11). Party ID breakdown: 41%R, 36%D, 23%I. Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08), Rep. Baron Hill (D-09) and architect Jim Schellinger (D).

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Coats        37%  7% 69% 28% 43% 31%
B. Ellsworth    36  68   9  35  31  41
Undec           27  25  22  37  26  28

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Coats        37%  6% 70% 27% 44% 30%
B. Hill         37  70   9  37  32  42
Undec           26  24  21  36  24  28

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Coats        39%  6% 74% 28% 47% 31%
J. Schellinger  34  68   6  31  30  38
Undec           27  26  20  41  23  31

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hostettler   40%  8% 72% 32% 46% 34%
B. Ellsworth    34  66   8  32  30  38
Undec           26  26  20  36  24  28

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hostettler   42%  7% 77% 35% 47% 37%
B. Hill         36  69   9  34  32  40
Undec           22  24  14  31  21  23

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hostettler   44%  8% 80% 37% 48% 40%
J. Schellinger  33  66   6  30  30  36
Undec           23  26  14  33  22  24

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/10
B. Hill         45%/31% 64%/13% 30%/46% 42%/32%  n/a
J. Hostettler   43 /31  13 /61  70 / 9  41 /25  40%/33%
B. Ellsworth    41 /24  60 /10  25 /38  39 /23   n/a
D. Coats        40 /36   8 /67  70 /11  37 /24  38 /34
J. Schellinger  39 /32  58 /15  23 /47  37 /31   n/a

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26).

General Election Matchup

B. Mikulski    54%
Generic GOPer  36
Other           2
Undec           8

Fav/Unfav

B. Mikulski    63%/31%

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/28). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 37%R, 20%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), ex-NV GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), Bill Parson (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden     47% 26% 25%  23%  14%
D. Tarkanian  29  28  24   21   33
S. Angle       8  13  13    9    5
J. Chachas     1  --   1   --   --
B. Parson     --  --   1    1   n/a
M. Amodei     n/a  1   1   --   n/a
C. Kozak      n/a --  --   --    1 
R. Titus      n/a --   1    1   n/a
M. Wiley      n/a --   1    1   n/a
Undec         15  32  33   44   47

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7
S. Angle      44% 10% 83% 44% 52% 36% 45%
H. Reid       42  74   7  38  33  51  40
Undec         14  16  10  18  15  13  15

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden     52% 15% 91% 54% 57% 47% 50% 51%  49%  45%
H. Reid       39  75   4  31  32  46  40  41   39   40
Undec          9  10   5  15  11   7  10   8   12   15

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
D. Tarkanian  51% 17% 91% 52% 56% 46% 49% 48%  48%  49%
H. Reid       40  73   3  37  35  45  41  42   43   38
Undec          9  10   6  11   9   9  10  10   11   13

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
H. Reid               36% 68%  2% 26% 29% 43%
Generic GOPer         32  10  64  22  40  24
Generic Tea Party     18  12  22  22  19  17
Undec                 14  10  12  30  12  16

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     1/7     12/2    10/8    8/18    6/19
S. Lowden     36%/17% 32%/17% 33%/13% 31%/15%  n/a     n/a
H. Reid       33 /51  33 /52  38 /49  38 /50  37%/50% 34%/46%
D. Tarkanian  30 /17  33 /16  32 /12  30 /11   n/a     n/a
S. Angle      19 / 9  21 /11   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Did Obama's Visit To NV Last Week Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Reid?

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely    7% 12% --   7%  6%  8%
Less likely   17   3  33  19  21  13
No effect     75  83  67  74  72  78

Governor - Maryland (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Clarus Research Group poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 637 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/5). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Balt DC  West Shore/S
M. O'Malley   47% 75%  7% 34% 38% 54% 45%  61% 28%  38%
B. Ehrlich    40  10  85  48  47  33  45   19  50   51
Other          3   3   3   5   3   3   3    2   8    2
Undec         10  12   6  14  11  11   7   17  14    9

Re-Elect O'Malley?
Re-elect him  39%
Someone new   48
Depends        6
Undec          7

O'Malley As Gov.
Approve       48%
Disapprove    40