Senate 2010

Kansas
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/28-29 for Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/1). Tested: Tiahrt, accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Moran       37%
T. Tiahrt      34
T. Little       2
R. Londerholm   1
Undec          26

Do You Think ___ Is A Liberal/Moderate/Conservative?

-              Liberal Moderate Conservative
J. Moran        8%     23       42
T. Tiahrt       5      20       46

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 6/1 5/19 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul    49% 49% 59%  47%  50%  46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway  42  41  34   38   36   38  39  38  42
Other       3   4   4    4    3    4   3   4   4
Undec       6   6   3   10   11   12  11  12  15

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     6/1     5/19    4/28    3/31    3/2
R. Paul    55%/38% 57%/38% 69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26%
J. Conway  51 /35  47 /43  44 /45  47 /36  44 /39  40 /33

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 6/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 18%I.

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Burr    33%/26% 20%/35% 53%/13% 22%/31% 33%/29% 32%/23%

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
L. Fisher   40% 69% 14% 25% 42% 38% 36%  41%  39%
R. Portman  38  10  69  40  38  38  41   32   41
Undec       22  21  17  35  19  25  23   27   20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
L. Fisher   28%/27% 47%/13%  9%/41% 20%/29% 22%/24% 32%/31%
R. Portman  22 /25  10 /32  33 /17  26 /23  16 /19  22 /34

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/2 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13
P. Toomey   45% 45% 42%  42% 47%  42%  43% 43%  44%  37%
J. Sestak   39  38  46   40  36   37   35  35   38   38
Other        6   5   3   10   5    7    7   6    6    6
Undec       11  12   9    9  12   15   15  16   13   19

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/2     5/19    5/6     4/12    3/15
P. Toomey   53%/31% 55%/30% 56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33%
J. Sestak   51 /40  49 /40  52 /33  50 /37  38 /39  40 /38

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 6/25-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 781 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 520 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 33%D, 23%R, 39%I. Party ID breakdown (LVs): 32%D, 25%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), tech salesman/USAF vet Charles Allen (D), the Prudential ex-VP of research and development Bob Burr (D), '06 candidate/'04 Libertarian GOV candidate/'08 WA-07 candidate Michael "Goodspaceguy" Nelson (D), '98/'06 candidate/'04 GOV candidate/'02 WA-01 candidate/moving co. owner Mike The Mover (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '04/'06 candidate/'00 WA-06 candidate/businessman William Edward Chovil (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), Norma Gruber (R), Mike Latimer (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R), '04/'06 Dem candidate/'96 Dem GOV candidate/'08 indie GOV candidate/physician Mohammad Said (Cent.), Univ. of WA prof. James Mercer (I), ret. Navy judge advocate Schalk Leonard (I), '00 GOP Sec/State candidate/'04 GOP Aud. Nominee/'08 GOV candidate Will Baker (Ref.). (Note: Of the RV sample, 177 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviewers. Of the LV sample, 120 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviews.)

Primary Election Matchup (LVs)

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray       37% 72%  7% 29% 32% 39%
D. Rossi        33   7  65  36  29  34
C. Didier        5   0   8   7   3   5
P. Akers         3   2   4   2   3   2
B. Burr          1   1   0   1   1   1
GoodSpaceGuy     1   1   0   1   0   1
M. Said          1   0   0   1   1   1
W. Baker         0   1   0   0   1   0
S. Leonard       0   0   0   1   0   0
Mike The Mover   0   0   0   1   0   0
C. Allen         0   0   0   0   0   0
W.E. Chovil      0   0   0   0   0   0
N. Gruber        0   0   0   0   0   0
M. Latimer       0   0   0   0   0   0
J. Mercer        0   0   0   0   0   0
Undec           19  15  15  22  20  17

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray   38%/34% 70%/ 6% 12%/61% 28%/43% 35%/41% 41%/28%

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 1,139 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      52% 46% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  29  34  24
Other          14  15  13
Undec           6   5   7

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J. McCain      60%/37% 54%/44% 66%/30%
J.D. Hayworth  38 /50  43 /50  33 /51

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/3 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr      44% 50% 48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall  43  36  40  32   35   34   37   38
Other         7   6   3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec         6   8   9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/3     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr      53%/37% 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall  48 /36  41 /39  45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    50%
J. Huffman  32
Other        4
Undec       14

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Sen. Pat Leahy (D) and lumber store owner Len Britton (R).

General Election Matchup

P. Leahy    64%
L. Britton  29
Other        3
Undec        4

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/18
P. Leahy    69%/30% 66%/32%
L. Britton  26 /32   n/a

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6  
P. Murray  48% 47%  49% 45%
P. Akers   38  32   35  37
Other       4   6    6   5           
Undec      10  15   10  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 47%  51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  40  37   36  37  30  34
Other       6   6    4   5   6   4
Undec       6  10    8  11  15  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 48%  48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  47   46  46  49  48
Other       3   2    2   3   3   1
Undec       3   4    3   4   2   5

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/26    5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  54%/43% 52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /44  52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  37 /31  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
P. Akers   33 /32  27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a

House 2010

AL-07
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 6/13-16 for atty Terri Sewell (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/17). Tested: Sewell and Jefferson Co. Commis. Shelia Smoot.

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

T. Sewell  53%
S. Smoot   33

Fav/Unfav

T. Sewell  63%/ 9%
S. Smoot   54 /25

AR-02
An OnMessage, Inc. (R) poll; conducted 6/13-14 for ex-U.S. Atty Tim Griffin (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/18). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 33%R, 23%I. Tested: Griffin and state Sen. Joyce Elliott (D).

General Election Matchup

T. Griffin  50%
J. Elliott  34
Undec       17

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama    40%/54%
J. Elliott  35 /34
T. Griffin  34 /12  

NC-02
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 6/15-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/17). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 32%R, 20%I. Tested: Rep. Bob Etheridge (D), nurse Renee Ellmers (R) and Libertarian candidate Tom Rose.

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Ellmers     39% 22% 70% 32% 49% 31%
B. Etheridge   38  58  15  22  30  44
T. Rose        13   8   6  35  11  14
Undec          11  12  10  11  10  11

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom        
Generic GOPer  45% 20% 83% 44% 52% 39%
Generic Dem    39  69   7  24  35  42
Undec          16  11  10  32  13  18

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind
B. Etheridge   26%/40% 36%/27% 15%/54% 19%/51%
R. Ellmers     17 /11  12 /13   7 /29  12 /16

Obama As POTUS

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom           
Approve        38% 63% 11% 19% 34% 41%
Disapprove     55  28  84  73  59  50

WA-03
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 6/13-14 for state Rep. Jaime Herrera (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/17).

House General Election Matchup

Generic GOPer  42%
Generic Dem    35
Neither         3
Undec          20

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 3/29
R. Shelby  58% 59%
W. Barnes  31  32
Other       3   3
Undec       8   6 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/29
R. Shelby  67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes  29 /27  35 /26 

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D) and Rep. John Boozman (R-03). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk AR-01 AR-02 AR-03 AR-04
B. Halter   47% 43% 51% 45% 58% 40%   53%   48%   46%
B. Lincoln  44  49  39  47  28  51    35    44    46
Undec        9   8  10   8  14   9    12     8     8

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  58% 25% 90% 65% 64% 52% 54%  52%  50%  49%
B. Lincoln  38  73   5  29  32  44  40   42   43   42
Undec        4   2   5   6   4   4   6    6    7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  53% 20% 87% 58% 59% 47% 50%  47%  48%  48%
B. Halter   42  78   7  35  36  48  41   42   41   40
Undec        5   2   6   7   5   5   9   11   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    4/28
J. Boozman  52%/34% 21%/56% 85%/12% 56%/30% 45%/34% 44%/32%
B. Halter   47 /37  75 /13  15 /63  46 /39  47 /34  48 /32
B. Lincoln  37 /58  59 /36  12 /81  37 /61  39 /55  41 /54

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     5/12    4/28
B. Halter   63%/21% 59%/25% 67%/17% 65%/17% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln  59 /36  64 /33  54 /39  61 /35  59 /33

Kentucky
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 42%R, 11%I. Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/17 9/2
R. Paul    44%  7% 86% 42% 50% 38% 42%  45%  37%
J. Conway  41  75   6  31  36  46  39   39   41
Undec      15  18   8  27  14  16  19   16   22 

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    3/17
R. Paul    53%/33% 29%/57% 79%/ 9% 58%/20% 56%/27% 55%/25%
J. Conway  48 /43  76 /19  17 /70  46 /39  46 /44  44 /40

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden       30% 28% 32% 30%  45% 47%  26% 25%  23%  14%
S. Angle        29  33  25  25    5   8   13  13    9    5
D. Tarkanian    23  22  24  22   27  29   28  24   21   33
C. Christensen   3   2   4   2    4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
J. Chachas       2   1   3   3    3   1   --   1   --   --
Others           2   3   1  n/a  n/a n/a   1   4    3    1
None of these    3   2   4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec            8   9   7  18   16  15   32  33   44   47

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7
H. Reid         42% 71%  9% 40% 39% 45% 42%  40%
S. Angle        39  10  73  36  43  35  44   45
Others           5   3   5   7   4   6  n/a  n/a
None             4   3   4   7   5   3  n/a  n/a
Undec           10  13   9  10   9  11  14   15 

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
S. Lowden   42% 13% 75% 39% 49% 35% 47%  46% 52%  50% 51%
H. Reid     39  69   7  36  34  44  37   38  39   40  41
Others       3   3   3   5   3   3   5    5  n/a  n/a n/a
None         6   4   7   9   5   7   3   n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Undec       10  11   8  11   9  11   8   11   9   10   8

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
D. Tarkanian    42% 15% 74% 37% 45% 39% 39% 51%  49% 48%
H. Reid         41  69  11  37  37  45  39  40   41  42
Others           4   4   5   4   3   5  11  n/a  n/a n/a
None of these    3   4   1   6   3   3  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Undec           10   8   9  16  12   8  11   9   10  10 

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/14    4/7     2/24    1/7
S. Lowden       41%/28% 45%/23% 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17%
H. Reid         37 /49  33 /54  34 /56  33 /51  33 /52
D. Tarkanian    31 /17   n/a    28 /22  30 /17  33 /16
S. Angle        29 /23   n/a    20 /19  19 / 9  21 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-               Now     5/11    4/7
S. Lowden       45%/22% 46%/21% 54%/14%
D. Tarkanian    44 / 7  42 /12  46 /12
S. Angle        41 /13  38 /11  22 /15

Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Fisher   47% 87% 10% 35% 43% 51%
R. Portman  46   8  84  44  48  45
Other        1   2   1   0   2   0
Undec        6   3   5  20   7   5

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/10 8/12 5/09
J. Sestak  43% 76%  6% 35% 37% 49% 40%  39%  42%  37%
P. Toomey  40   8  82  35  44  36  45   42   41   32
Undec     17  16  12  30  19  15  15   19   17   31 

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    3/10
J. Sestak  48%/30% 71%/11% 20%/55% 47%/27% 39%/26% 35%/23%
P. Toomey  47 /42  17 /67  85 /12  47 /40  45 /40  41 /36

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 3/9   
P. Murray  47% 49% 45%
P. Akers   32  35  37
Other       6   6   5           
Undec      15  10  13

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  50% 52% 48% 48% 50%
D. Benton  35  38  40  37  38
Other       6   3   4   3   3              
Undec       9   7   8  12   9 

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  37  36  37  30  34
Other       6   4   5   6   4
Undec      10   8  11  15  13 

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  46  46  49  48
Other       2   2   3   3   1
Undec       4   3   4   2   5 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
D. Benton  31 /32  32 /30  34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers   27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a 

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R), N.C. "Clint" Moser (R), atty William Barnes (D) and teacher/soul singer Simone De Moore (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
W. Barnes    39% 42% 36% 42% 31%
S. De Moore  11   9  13   9  17
Other         3   4   2   4   0
Uncec        47  45  49  45  52

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Shelby    63% 64% 62%
C. Moser     14  16  12
Undec        23  20  26

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    57% 22% 87% 58% 61% 53% 72%  5%
W. Barnes    33  66   6  29  32  34  22  71
Other         3   2   3   6   4   2   4   1
Undec         7  10   4   7   3  11   2  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    62% 31% 88% 65% 66% 58% 79%  5%
S. De Moore  27  56   4  22  25  29  14  72
Other         3   2   3   5   3   3   4   0
Undec         8  11   5   8   6  10   3  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    61%/31% 38%/57% 77%/11% 69%/25% 65%/28% 57%/34%
W. Barnes    40 /32  62 /11  22 /50  40 /31  38 /35  42 /29
S. De Moore  23 / 9  45 / 5   6 /12  19 /10  22 / 9  24 / 9

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
W. Barnes    46%/17% 49%/15% 43%/19% 49%/15% 39%/22%
S. De Moore  21 / 6  19 / 7  23 / 5  19 / 8  27 / 1

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    63%/28% 65%/27% 61%/29%
C. Moser     12 /15  15 /13   9 /17

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R), Tim Kalemkarian (R) and businessman Al Ramirez (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina      46% 45% 47% 24% 27%
T. Campbell     23  26  21  35  34
C. DeVore       14  15  12  15  14
T. Kalemkarian   4   3   4   3   3
A. Ramirez       2   2   3  n/a n/a
Undec           11   9  14  23  23

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27
Approve     40% 41%  40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%
Disapprove  51  47   50   43   45   49    47    48   44

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) and Labor Commis. Michael Thurmond (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/22
J. Isakson   57% 51%
M. Thurmond  30  35
Other         6   6
Undec         8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/22    3/17
J. Isakson   60%/27% 60%/27% 61%/26%
M. Thurmond  46 /27  45 /32   n/a

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 522 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Reps. Jerry Moran (01) and Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran       52% 54% 48% 42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt      29  28  31  32   33   34   27   32
R. Londerholm   4   5   3   5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec          15  13  18  21   27   29   30   40

New York
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Gillibrand As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     41% 36%   35%   41%  39%  41%  40%  41%  36%
Disapprove  44  44    45    42   39   40   32   37   39

A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Schumer As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     64% 57%   60%   65%  59%  58%  62%  63%  62%
Disapprove  31  37    30    26   35   36   30   30   31

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     51% 51%  49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%
Disapprove  39  35   41   37   40   40    40    32   35

Washington
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 5/3-23; surveyed 1,252 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray      44%
D. Rossi       40
Other           3
Undec          12

P. Murray      42%
Generic GOPer  39
Other           4
Undec          14

Murray As Sen.

Approve        51%
Disapprove     34

A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     47% 46%  42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%
Disapprove  46  48   45   50   39   40    45    41   43

House 2010

HI-01
A Merriman River Group (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6-7 for CivilBeat.com; surveyed 1,081 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/10). Tested: Ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R).

Special Election Matchup

C. Djou      40%
E. Case      26
C. Hanabusa  26

FL-02
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 4/12-13 for the NRCC; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/11). Tested: Rep. Allen Boyd (D) and funeral home chain owner Steve Southerland (R).

General Election Matchup

S. Southerland  52%
A. Boyd         37

Generic GOPer   48%
Generic Dem     35

Re-Elect Boyd?

Deserves re-election    26%
New person              61

Fav/Unfav

A. Boyd         34%/48%
N. Pelosi       25 /58
S. Southerland  14 / 2

WA-02
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted 4/20-21 for Snohomish Co. councilor/'00 nominee John Koster (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 5/10). Tested: Koster and Rep. Rick Larsen (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Larsen   44%
J. Koster   37
Undec       12

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     39  35  31  36  34
Other           6   3   3   3   3
Undec           4   6   7   4   5

-              Now 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      29  32  27  24
Other           6   4   6   6
Undec          11   6  10  10

-              Now 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  55% 52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     32  38  32  35  33
Other           5   4   3   4   4
Undec           8   6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/7     3/2     2/1     12/7    9/10
R. Blumenthal  72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%  n/a     n/a
R. Simmons     48 /32  48 /40  52 /35  60 /26  48%/30% 53%/32%
L. McMahon     55 /31  45 /45  46 /42  51 /34  45 /35   n/a
P. Schiff      35 /33  41 /34  37 /34   n/a    35 /31  27 /35

Kentucky
A WKYT-TV/WAVE-TV/Lexington Herald-Leader poll; conducted 5/2-4 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/5). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 47%D, 42%R, 11%I. Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom
D. Mongiardo    39% 43% 35%
J. Conway       32  29  35
D. Price         6   5   7
J. Buckmaster    4   5   3
M. Sweeney       2   2   2
Undec           17  16  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom
R. Paul         44% 45% 42%
T. Grayson      32  33  31  
J. Stephenson    3   4   2
G. Martin        3   4   2
J. Scribner      1   1   1
Undec           17  13  22

Which Is The Single Most Important Issue In Determining Your Vote?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Economy         41% 43% 38% 42% 38% 44%
Gov't spending  21  16  26  22  25  17
Health care     14  20   8  12   8  20
Nat'l security   8   5  13   7   8  20
Immigration      5   4   5   6   6   4
Moral values     4   3   5   4   4   4
Energy policy    3   5   1   3   2   4
Other            2   2   1   2   3   1

A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for Mongiardo; surveyed 504 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/5). Tested: Mongiardo, Conway, Price and Sweeney.

Primary Election Matchup

-               Now 2/4
D. Mongiardo    46% 43%
J. Conway       34  25
D. Price         2   2
M. Sweeney       2   1
Undec           16  29

A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 5/2-4 for Conway; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/5). Tested: Conway, Buckmaster, Mongiardo, Price and Sweeney.

Primary Election Matchup

-               Now 10/7
J. Conway       37% 37%
D. Mongiardo    31  40
Others           5  n/a
Undec           28  23

Conway As AG

-               Now 10/7
Excellent/good  48% 43%
Fair/poor       30  32

Mongiardo As LG

-               Now 10/7
Excellent/good  40% 39%
Fair/poor       43  43

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/5). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 3/9                       Now 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  49% 45%            P. Murray  52% 48% 48% 50%
P. Akers   35  37             D. Benton  38  40  37  38 
Other       6   5             Other       3   4   3   3 
Undec      10  13             Undec       7   8  12   9 

-          Now 4/6 3/9 2/11              Now 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  51% 47% 49% 49%    P. Murray  48% 48% 46% 46%
C. Didier  36  37  30  34     D. Rossi   46  46  49  48
Other       4   5   6   4     Other       2   3   3   1
Undec       8  11  15  13     Undec       3   4   2   5 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
D. Benton  32 /30  34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers   31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a
C. Didier  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28

An Elway Poll; conducted 4/29-5/2; surveyed 405 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/5). Party ID breakdown: 41%D, 27%R, 31%. Tested: Murray, Akers, Benton, Didier and Rossi.

General Election Matchups

P. Murray  50%                P. Murray  51%
P. Akers   26                 D. Benton  27
Undec      24                 Undec      22

P. Murray  50%                P. Murray  51%
C. Didier  24                 D. Rossi   34
Undec      26                 Undec      15

Murray As Sen.

-               Now 6/28 5/03 4/02 6/99 4/98 7/95 1/94 7/93
Excellent/good  48% 53%  44%  47%  50%  40%  44%  44%  40%
Only fair/poor  46  34   47   42   44   50   45   38   37

Is ___ A Reason To Vote For Murray, For Someone Else, Or Not A Factor One Way Or Another?

-                          ForMurray ForSomeoneElse NoFactor
Ability                    55%       31%            15%
Character/integrity        55        25             20
Dem leader                 51        31             19
Political philosophy       47        34             19
Stands on specific issues  47        34             18
People she represents      49        32             19

Senate 2010

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 4/19-22; surveyed 607 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/23).

Burr As Sen.

-           Now 2/25 10/29
Approve     37% 40%  37%
Disapprove  28  35   22

Do You Think Burr Has Performed Well Enough To Deserve Re-Election, Or Do You Think It's Time To Give A New Person A Chance?

-                     Now 2/25 10/29
Deserves re-election  26% 24%  19%
Time for new person   44  51   42
Undec                 30  25   39

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/13-20 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 605 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/26). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett (R), radio host/author/ex-UT State Univ. admin. Scott Bradley (Const.), '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R), David Chiu (R), ex-Rep. Merrill Cook (R), WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar (R), Leonard Fabiano (R), Jeremy Friedbaum (R), UT Alcohol & Bev. Control Commis. chair/deli chain owner Sam Granato (D), ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R) and accountant Christopher Stout (D).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 11/23
B. Bennett      27% 31%
M. Lee           9   3
T. Bridgewater   7   4
S. Granato       5  14
M. Cook          3  n/a
C. Eagar         2   5
S. Bradley       1  n/a
D. Chiu          0  n/a
L. Fabiano       0  n/a
C. Stout         0  n/a
Other            4   5
Undec           38  35

A survey of 525 delegates to the state GOP convo; conducted 4/13-20 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R) (Bernick, Salt Lake Deseret News, 4/26). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett (R), '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R), David Chiu (R), ex-Rep. Merrill Cook (R), WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar (R), Leonard Fabiano (R), Jeremy Friedbaum (R) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

Who Is Your First Choice?

M. Lee          31%
B. Bennett      22
T. Bridgewater  17
C. Eagar        10
M. Cook          2
L. Fabiano       1
D. Chiu          0
J. Friedbaum     0
Other            2
Undec           14
Refused          2

Re-Elect Bennett?

Yes             22%
No              60
Undec           19

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 4/19-22 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 517 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/23). Party ID breakdown: 36%D, 23%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), physician Art Coday (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray   45% 78% 10% 36% 40% 50%
P. Akers    44  18  80  47  50  38
Undec       11   5  10  17  10  12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray   46% 79% 11% 37% 41% 52%
D. Benton   44  15  79  50  50  37
Undec       10   6  10  13   9  11

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray   45% 77% 12% 35% 41% 49%
A. Coday    41  14  77  45  47  35
Undec       14   9  11  19  12  16

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray   46% 76% 12% 38% 43% 49%
C. Didier   44  17  77  48  49  38
Undec       10   7  11  13   8  13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Rossi    52% 21% 87% 59% 57% 46%
P. Murray   42  73  10  33  37  47
Undec        7   6   3   9   6   7

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray   45% 76% 10% 38% 40% 51%
C. Widener  43  15  78  47  50  34
Undec       12   9  12  15  10  15

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%  50%
Disapprove  47  50   43   45   49    47    48   44   42

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20).

Crist As Gov.

-           Now 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve     57% 45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove  42  54   45   47   45    49

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13-14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/18 2/17
D. Coats       54% 49%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  34   32
Other           5   6    7
Undec           9  12   15

-              Now 3/18 2/17
J. Hostettler  50% 50%  46%
B. Ellsworth   33  32   27
Other           5   4    7
Undec          12  15   19

-              Now 3/18 2/17
M. Stutzman    41% 41%  40%
B. Ellsworth   36  34   30
Other           7   6    9
Undec          16  18   21

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/18    2/17    1/24
D. Coats       61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27%  n/a
J. Hostettler  47 /30  51 /26  48 /22  44%/27%
B. Ellsworth   40 /37  43 /33  35 /29   n/a
M. Stutzman    37 /30  37 /24  35 /25  31 /26

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     51% 49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%  53%
Disapprove  35  41   37   40   40    40    32   35   34

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     46% 42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%  50%
Disapprove  48  45   50   39   40    45    41   43   45

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups

-               Now 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk         41% 41% 46% 39%  41%   41%
A. Giannoulias  37  44  40  42   41    38
Other            8   5   4   3    4     4
Undec           13  10  10  15   13    17

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     3/8     2/3     12/9    8/11
M. Kirk         51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33% 50%/32% 55%/28%
A. Giannoulias  42 /44  44 /43  46 /39  48 /36  51 /33

Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/5-7 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/8). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.

Primary Election Matchup

T. Grayson  39%
R. Paul     37
Undec       18

Fav/Unfav

T. Grayson  49%/17%
R. Paul     48 /22

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray   45%
P. Akers    37
Other        5
Undec       13

-           Now 3/9 2/11                  Now 3/9 2/11
P. Murray   48% 48% 50%       P. Murray   47% 49% 49%
D. Benton   40  37  38        C. Didier   37  30  34
Other        4   3   3        Other        5   6   4
Undec        8  12   9        Undec       11  15  13

-           Now 3/9 2/11                  Now 3/9 2/11
P. Murray   48% 46% 46%       P. Murray   46% 47% 48%
D. Rossi    46  49  48        C. Widener  37  32  33
Other        3   3   1        Other        5   5   5
Undec        4   2   5        Undec       12  16  14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/9     2/11
P. Murray   53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi    52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
D. Benton   34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers    29 /27   n/a     n/a
C. Widener  28 /24  26 /26  29 /26
C. Didier   26 /29  27 /26  28 /28

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 12/2
B. Lincoln  44% 48% 42% 47% 30% 42%
B. Halter   31  28  33  31  30  26
Undec       25  24  25  22  40  32

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    49% 17% 85% 51% 53% 45% 41%  37%
B. Lincoln  41  76   5  36  37  45  42   44
Undec       10   7  10  13  10  10  17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Boozman  49% 17% 84% 52% 54% 44%
B. Lincoln  42  77   6  37  38  46
Undec        9   6  10  11   8  10

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman  47% 14% 83% 50% 52% 42% 39%  37%
B. Lincoln  44  79   6  40  40  48  44   45
Undec        9   7  11  10   8  10  17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
T. Cox      47% 13% 84% 50% 51% 43% 31%  29%
B. Lincoln  43  78   5  39  39  47  45   46
Undec       10   9  11  11  10  10  24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  48% 16% 83% 51% 52% 44% 30%  28%
B. Lincoln  43  78   6  38  40  46  46   47
Undec        9   6  11  11   8  10  24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
G. Baker    46% 11% 83% 50% 51% 41% 42%
B. Halter   44  80   7  39  39  49  34
Undec       10   9  10  11  10  10  24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Boozman  48% 15% 84% 51% 52% 44%
B. Halter   40  74   5  36  37  43
Undec       12  11  11  13  11  13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
B. Halter   45% 82%  7% 40% 40% 50% 35%
C. Coleman  44   9  82  47  49  39  40
Undec       11   9  11  13  11  11  25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
B. Halter   45% 82%  7% 40% 40% 50% 36%
T. Cox      43   8  81  46  49  37  32
Undec       12  10  12  14  11  13  32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
K. Hendren  45% 12% 82% 49% 50% 40% 31%
B. Halter   44  79   7  39  40  48  36
Undec       11   9  11  12  10  12  33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/2    9/10
B. Halter   46%/27% 68%/10% 21%/48% 45%/26% 36%/25%  n/a
J. Boozman  44 /30  18 /50  75 / 9  43 /28   n/a     n/a
B. Lincoln  42 /52  62 /34  21 /69  40 /56  41 /50  43%/49%
G. Baker    36 /28  16 /47  61 / 9  35 /25  31 /25  14 /13
K. Hendren  34 /27  13 /46  60 / 7  33 /25  30 /24   6 / 9
C. Coleman  34 /29  15 /48  58 / 9  32 /26  29 /24  12 /13
T. Cox      32 /26  11 /45  56 / 7  32 /23  28 /23   8 / 7

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 2/10
J. Hoeven  68% 71%
T. Potter  25  17
Other       2   4
Undec       5   8

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven  83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Washington
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 35%D, 26%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-WA GOP chair Don Benton (R), Rep. Dave Reichert (R-08) and 04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray    55% 86%  9% 57% 50% 60% 54%   57%   58%   46%
P. Akers     28   7  62  25  32  24  29    27    25    34
Undec        17   7  29  18  18  16  17    16    17    20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray    54% 85%  8% 56% 48% 60% 54%   55%   58%   45%
D. Benton    35   7  77  33  40  30  36    35    31    41
Undec        11   8  15  11  12  10  10    10    11    14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray    51% 83%  8% 51% 47% 55% 49%   52%   54%   43%
D. Reichert  43  12  83  44  48  38  46    42    39    51
Undec         6   5   9   5   5   7   5     6     7     6

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray    52% 84%  7% 53% 47% 57% 50%   53%   56%   43%
D. Rossi     41  10  84  41  47  35  44    40    37    49
Undec         7   6   9   6   6   8   6     7     7     8

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray    52%/41% 76%/19% 22%/71% 51%/40% 47%/47% 57%/35%
D. Rossi     47 /47  24 /70  80 /13  46 /49  53 /43  41 /51
D. Reichert  41 /33  23 /50  66 /10  40 /34  46 /30  36 /36
D. Benton    23 /35   9 /46  48 /14  20 /39  24 /33  22 /37
P. Akers     17 / 9   8 /14  32 / 5  15 / 7  19 / 8  15 /10

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 39%D, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested and IDed as a GOPer in a two-way matchup with Meek, as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio, and as an indie in a three-way matchup with both Meek and Rubio.)

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist    46% 29% 65% 39% 51% 41% 49% 28% 43% 54%
K. Meek     33  51  17  29  30  35  31  53  22  25
Undec       22  20  19  32  19  24  20  19  35  21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    44% 13% 77% 34% 52% 37% 51% 13% 35% 38%
K. Meek     39  67  11  41  30  45  33  59  48  46
Undec       18  20  12  25  17  18  16  28  17  17

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    43% 21% 72% 29% 50% 38% 48% 16% 45% 39%
C. Crist    34  54  13  40  32  36  34  47  27  30
Undec       22  26  15  31  18  26  18  38  27  30

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    34%  9% 62% 24% 41% 29% 39% 13% 35% 17%
C. Crist    27  32  18  35  25  28  27  29  22  33
K. Meek     25  47   7  22  22  28  22  45  22  29
Undec       14  12  13  20  12  15  12  13  22  21

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth  
Approve     35% 45% 28% 29% 36% 34% 32% 42% 43% 33%
Disapprove  51  41  58  53  51  50  51  48  57  38

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Rubio    31%/32% 13%/42% 52%/21% 25%/34% 36%/36% 28%/29%
K. Meek     17 /20  29 /13   8 /28   9 /19  13 /28  19 /15

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/8).

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/21
R. Burr    30%/18% 23%/25% 45%/ 9% 20%/13% 33%/20%

Oregon
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 3/5-8 for Sen. Ron Wyden (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Wyden, '06 candidate/state Sen. Jason Atkinson (R), Lewis & Clark College law prof. Jim Huffman (R), Rep. Greg Walden (R-02) and financial planner Marc Delphine (L).

General Election Matchups

R. Wyden     53%
J. Atkinson  22
M. Delphine   5
Undec        20

R. Wyden     53%
J. Huffman   23
M. Delphine   5
Undec        20

R. Wyden     52%
G. Walden    24
M. Delphine   5
Undec        18

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
P. Murray   48% 50%           P. Murray   49% 49%
D. Benton   37  38            C. Didier   30  34
Other        3   3            Other        6   4
Undec       12   9            Undec       15  13

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
D. Rossi    49% 48%           P. Murray   47% 48%
P. Murray   46  46            C. Widener  32  33
Other        3   1            Other        5   5
Undec        2   5            Undec       16  14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/11
P. Murray   53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi    51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier   27 /26  28 /28
C. Widener  26 /26  29 /26
D. Benton   26 /29  33 /28

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Boxer As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 47% 48% 39% 43% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54%
Disapprove 43 45 49 47 48 44 42 47 41

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 48% 48% 42% 46% 48% 46%
K. Meek 32 33 36 34 29 28
Other 11 10 11 9 10 12
Undec 9 9 11 11 13 14

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17
M. Rubio 51% 49% 49% 46% 43%
K. Meek 31 32 35 31 30
Other 7 6 4 8 8
Undec 11 13 12 15 19

Crist As Gov.

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 45 47 45 49 

Fav/Unfav

- Now 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41% 64%/35% 57%/36%
M. Rubio 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34 41 /31 n/a
K. Meek 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34 37 /34 37 /36

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

General Election Matchups

- Now 1/26
C. Grassley 53% 59%
R. Conlin 36 31
Other 5 4
Undec 6 5 

- Now 1/26
C. Grassley 56% 61%
T. Fiegen 28 25
Other 6 4
Undec 11 10 

- Now 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 55% 59% 56%
B. Krause 33 26 30
Other 5 7 7
Undec 8 8 7 

Fav/Unfav

- Now 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 68%/29% 67%/30% 68%/30%
R. Conlin 35 /45 35 /45 n/a
B. Krause 27 /31 27 /35 33 /30
T. Fiegen 22 /34 23 /37 n/a 

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), state Sen. Mark Amodei (R), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate/businessman Jon Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

S. Lowden 35%
D. Tarkanian 28
S. Angle 8
C. Christensen 4
M. Amodei 1
J. Chachas 0
Undec 24 

General Election Matchups

H. Reid 40%
M. Amodei 25
J. Ashjian 19
Undec 16

H. Reid 37%
S. Angle 32
J. Ashjian 16
Undec 14

H. Reid 39%
J. Ashjian 22
J. Chachas 21
Undec 17

S. Lowden 42%
H. Reid 37
J. Ashjian 9
Undec 12 

D. Tarkanian 40%
H. Reid 39
J. Ashjian 11
Undec 11 

Fav/Unfav

S. Lowden 39%/17%
D. Tarkanian 35 /17
H. Reid 35 /58
C. Christensen 8 / 5
M. Amodei 7 / 5
J. Chachas 3 / 4 

A Research 2000 poll; conducted 2/9-10 for the Progressive Change Campaign Cmte (D), Democracy for America (D) and Credo Action (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/22). Tested:

General Election Matchups

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Lowden 53% 20% 88% 58% 60% 46%
H. Reid 39 72 5 32 36 42
Undec 8 8 7 10 4 12 

- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Tarkanian 54% 21% 89% 59% 60% 48%
H. Reid 40 73 5 34 36 44
Undec 6 6 6 7 4 8

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Wyden As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 50% 53% 53% 51% 55% 56% 53% 55% 55%
Disapprove 37 40 40 40 32 35 34 37 33 

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/16).

Murray As Sen.

- Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 43% 55% 52% 47% 48% 47% 50% 56% 50%
Disapprove 50 39 40 45 41 43 45 35 34 

Senate-Washington (2010)

Senate (2010)
A series of SurveyUSA (IVR) polls; conducted 8/26-27; surveyed 600 adults in each state; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 8/31).

WA-Murray As Sen.
-           Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve     47% 50%  56%  50%  54%  54%  54%  55%
Disapprove  43  45   35   34   32   34   37   36 

Washington - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
An Elway Poll; conducted 6/25-28; surveyed 405 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/7). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 24%R, 31%I.

Reelect Murray?
-               Now 5/03
Reelect Murray  44% 43%
Support another 33  19
Undec           23  38
 
Murray As Sen.
-               Now 5/03 4/02 6/99 4/98 7/95 1/94 7/93
Excellent/good  53% 44%  47%  50%  40%  44%  44%  40%
Only fair/poor  34  47   42   44   50   45   38   37