Governor 2010

Massachusetts
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 6/17-23 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 497 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 28%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G). (Note: Trends from 1/6 are among SEN special election LVs.)

General Election Matchup (LVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
D. Patrick  38% 64% 10% 24% 35% 42% 30% 30%
C. Baker    31   9  65  28  38  24  19  20
T. Cahill    9   7   7  15  10   8  23  30
J. Stein     2   3   1   3   2   3  n/a n/a
Other        2   2   1   4   2   2   1   4 
Undec       17  14  16  26  14  21  28  15

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/6     7/21
D. Patrick  43%/45% 63%/26% 19%/72% 34%/52% 39%/50% 36%/52%
T. Cahill   21 /30  20 /31  27 /29  17 /30  39 /15  42 /17
C. Baker    20 /20   9 /31  36 / 3  19 /19  19 /13  16 /14

Patrick As Gov.

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
Approve     42% 41% 63% 20% 29% 39% 45% 41% 35%
Disapprove  49  51  26  74  63  55  42  52  56

Does Patrick's Four Years As Gov. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         30% 48% 13% 18% 28% 32%
Less likely         46  26  70  52  48  43
Little difference   20  23  13  25  19  21

Does Cahill's Four Years As Treas. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         15% 16% 14% 15% 12% 18%
Less likely         30  29  38  24  32  28
Little difference   45  47  40  46  48  42

Does Baker's Record As An Ex-Health Insurance Co. CEO Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         20% 12% 36% 16% 23% 18%
Less likely         30  43  11  31  30  31
Little difference   37  35  43  36  37  37

Who Do You Trust More To Handle The State's Budget And Fiscal Problems?

-                   All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
State legislature   30% 30% 31% 34% 24% 22% 37%
D. Patrick          29  29  40  13  25  36  22
Both equally         8   8  10   4  10   7   9
Neither             27  27  11  43  37  30  24
Undec                6   6   8   6   3   4   8

Patrick Has Brought Reform To Beacon Hill

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Agree       28% 28% 39% 16% 21% 23% 32%
Disagree    55  57  42  70  61  64  46

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/9 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  55% 54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      33  31  35   34   35  33
Other         8   3   6    6    7  11
Undec         4  13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/9     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/27% 62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /48  42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: State Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/10
N. Haley    52% 55%
V. Sheheen  40  34
Other        3   5
Undec        5   6

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/10    12/2
N. Haley    70%/26% 63%/26%  n/a
V. Sheheen  50 /35  46 /36  30%/34%

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25).

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Governor 2010

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/10 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  41% 45%  35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    34  31   27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   16  14   23  19  25    23
Undec        9  10   15  14  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 5/10 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/09 4/09 2/09
Approve     48% 48%  46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  50  50   53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/10    4/5     3/8     11/23   10/22
D. Patrick  52%/47% 53%/47% 49%/48% 43%/55% 42%/56% 48%/50%
C. Baker    46 /35  41 /34  43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29

Governor 2010

California
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/23-24 for ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Whitman  53%
S. Poizner  27

Fav/Unfav

M. Whitman  58%/25%
S. Poizner  39 /37

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 417 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  51% 46% 56%
S. Poizner  26  27  26
Other       11  12   9
Undec       12  16   9

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
M. Whitman  50%/24% 46%/26% 55%/22%
S. Poizner  26 /44  27 /36  25 /53

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-23; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  42% 76%  7% 26% 39% 45% 33%  38%  36%
C. Baker    29   6  77  35  30  29  25   15   14
T. Cahill   14  13  11  15  14  13  23   26   23
J. Stein     8   5   0  11   9   7   3   n/a  n/a
Undec        7   1   5  11   8   6  16   22   26

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8
Approve     42% 66% 11% 32% 40% 43% 35%  42%
Disapprove  49  22  85  60  53  45  54   51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24    11/8
D. Patrick  45%/46% 73%/20% 10%/85% 33%/56% 38%/50% 43%/47%
T. Cahill   22 /34  22 /29  15 /43  22 /35  31 /16  41 /13
C. Baker    20 /17  13 /24  25 / 5  24 /15  18 /12  13 / 7
J. Stein     7 / 7   7 / 7   2 / 5   8 / 8   n/a     n/a

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15 3/09
Re-elect him    33% 56% 10% 23% 30% 37% 29%  32%  29%  34%
Someone else    55  28  84  68  60  51  60   55   56   47
Undec           11  15   7   9  10  12  11   13   15   20

Which Candidate Has Run The Best Campaign Thus Far?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  24% 39%  7% 17% 20% 27%
C. Baker    16   8  31  18  17  15
T. Cahill   11   7  11  14  12  10
J. Stein     2   2   3   1   3   2
Undec       45  43  48  48  47  44

Which Candidate Has Run The Worst Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Cahill   14% 15% 20% 11% 18% 10%
J. Stein    13  13   8  15  10  16
D. Patrick  13   6  20  15  13  12
C. Baker    11  13   3  12  13   9
Undec       48  52  49  46  45  51

Have You Seen The Attack Ads Against Cahill?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     67% 59% 72% 72% 66% 68%
No      33  41  28  28  33  32

Which Candidate Do You Trust The Most?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 57%  7% 24% 33% 35%
C. Baker    15   5  26  19  18  12
T. Cahill   10   6  18  11  12   8
J. Stein     6   3   8   7   6   7
Undec       34  27  41  38  31  37

Which Candidate Reminds You The Most Of Scott Brown?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Baker    26% 17% 30% 31% 30% 22%
T. Cahill    9   7   7  11  12   6
D. Patrick   5   7   0   4   5   5
J. Stein     2   2   8   1   2   3
Undec       56  65  56  50  49  63

Regardless Of Who You Are Personally Supporting, Who Do You Believe Will Be Elected?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  48% 66% 36% 39% 50% 47%
C. Baker    20   8  34  25  22  19
T. Cahill    9   6  13  10  11   7
J. Stein     1   1   2   0   1   1
Undec       21  19  15  25  16  26

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              38% 37%
M. Anderson Kelliher  36  34
T. Horner             11  10
Undec                 15  18

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 35%
M. Dayton             35  38
T. Horner             12   7
Undec                 16  20

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 37%
M. Entenza            34  28
T. Horner             12   8
Undec                 17  26

Fav/Unfav

-                     Now     3/10
M. Dayton             48%/39% 44%/45%
M. Anderson Kelliher  45 /36  39 /41
T. Emmer              45 /31  38 /26
M. Entenza            38 /34  27 /31
T. Horner             30 /36   n/a

New Mexico
A Dialing Services LLC (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25 for New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan; surveyed 771 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/25). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      41% 47% 30%
A. Weh           30  28  35
D. Turner         9   8   9
P. Domenici       8   6  12
J. Arnold-Jones   4   4   5
Undec             8   8   8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     45% 41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  44  41   42
Other          4   6    7
Undec          6  13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   38%  7% 65% 36% 44% 34% 48%  7% 34% 40%
J. Rex       36  70  10  34  36  36  26  69  45  33
Undec        25  23  25  30  20  30  26  25  21  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   43%  9% 73% 36% 49% 37% 52% 13% 34% 41%
V. Sheheen   33  67   6  32  32  33  25  57  45  26
Undec        25  24  21  31  19  30  23  30  21  33

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
J. Rex       40% 72% 16% 36% 37% 42% 31% 67% 45% 37%
A. Bauer     38  10  62  34  43  33  47   8  38  36
Undec        22  18  22  31  20  25  22  25  17  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
A. Bauer     38%  9% 67% 30% 43% 34% 48%  7% 45% 38%
V. Sheheen   38  73  12  33  38  39  29  67  45  33
Undec        23  18  21  38  19  27  23  26  10  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     45% 14% 72% 42% 52% 39% 54% 16% 38%
J. Rex       36  67  11  33  35  36  28  61  34
Undec        19  18  18  25  13  25  18  23  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     44%  7% 75% 43% 52% 37% 56%  7% 34%
V. Sheheen   34  71   6  28  33  34  23  67  38
Undec        22  22  19  29  15  28  21  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  42%  6% 72% 40% 48% 37% 53%  7% 31% 40%
J. Rex       36  74   7  34  35  37  26  69  45  31
Undec        22  20  21  26  17  26  21  25  24  29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  43%  6% 75% 39% 49% 37% 54% 10% 28% 41%
V. Sheheen   36  76   5  35  35  37  26  69  48  27
Undec        21  18  20  27  15  26  21  21  24  31

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/6
N. Haley     29%/26% 13%/40% 42%/13% 29%/29%  n/a
H. McMaster  27 /32  13 /45  40 /20  23 /34  30%/20%
A. Bauer     21 /50  13 /55  28 /47  21 /47  22 /43
J. Rex       18 /21  26 /16   8 /26  23 /19  22 /19
G. Barrett   18 /25   7 /36  28 /16  16 /25  14 /17
V. Sheheen   17 /16  28 /11   7 /21  20 /14   9 /14

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/11). Tested: Gov. Sean Parnell (R), Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels (R), '08 AK-AL nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state House Min. Leader Ethan Berkowitz (D), state Sen. Hollis French (D) and businessman/ex-state official Bob Poe (D).

S. Parnell    58%             R. Samuels    43%
E. Berkowitz  30              E. Berkowitz  36
Other          3              Other          7
Undec          8              Undec         14

S. Parnell    62%             R. Samuels    48%
H. French     24              H. French     26
Other          5              Other         10
Undec          9              Undec         17

S. Parnell    62%             R. Samuels    47%
B. Poe        21              B. Poe        23
Other          5              Other         11
Undec         12              Undec         19

Fav/Unfav

S. Parnell    74%/24%
E. Berkowitz  48 /43
R. Samuels    40 /36
H. French     32 /53
B. Poe        30 /40

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/12). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), '06 Green-Rainbow Party nominee Grace Ross (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  45% 35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    31  27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   14  23  19  25    23
Undec       10  15  14  14    19

C. Baker    32%
G. Ross     27
T. Cahill   16
Undec       25

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     48% 46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  50  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20
D. Patrick  53%/47% 49%/48% 43%/55% 42%/56% 48%/50% 40%/56%
C. Baker    41 /34  43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30
T. Cahill   35 /41  49 /29  55 /28  49 /28  49 /25   n/a
G. Ross     24 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/8-11; surveyed 407 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   37% 33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  15   15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     9   9   10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8  10    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  30  34   32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/10    5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6
D. Onorato   44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11%
T. Williams  26 /13  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 6  22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8
J. Wagner    20 /10  17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/5-10; surveyed 945 Dem primary LVs and 995 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 3.1%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   38% 40% 36% 36% 20% 16%
J. Wagner    11  13  10   8  13  11
T. Williams  10   9  10   8   5   2
J. Hoeffel    9  13   7   9  15  10
Other         1   1  --   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --  --  --   2
Undec        32  23  37  37  47  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/5 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   57% 60% 55% 58% 43%
S. Rohrer    14  15  14   7   5
Other        --   1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --  --   2
Undec        28  25  31  35  49

A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 5/3-9 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,023 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 861 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Further subsamples of 404 Dem RVs and 321 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 5.5%, respectively. Further subsample of 150 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 8.0% (release, 5/12). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, Corbett and Rohrer.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All LVs 3/21 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato   27% 34% 11%  6%  10%  10%
J. Wagner     5   8   7   6    4    9
T. Williams   5   6   4   1   n/a  n/a
J. Hoeffel    4   5   5   6    4    6
Other         3   3   2   9   10    9
Undec        57  44  71  72   72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 3/21 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett   29% 28%  26%  23%
S. Rohrer    10   4    4    5
Other         1   2    5    3
Undec        60  66   65   69

Governor 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  38%
R. Scott     24
P. Dockery    7
Undec        31

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum  45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49%  41%  40%
A. Sink      36  63   5  38  34  38  34   35   34
Undec        19  21  16  21  17  21  17   24   26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink      41% 68%  9% 46% 39% 43% 44%  43%
P. Dockery   29   9  56  19  32  26  22   18
Undec        30  23  35  35  29  31  34   39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink      38% 66%  6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott     36  11  70  26  38  34
Undec        26  23  24  35  27  25

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25    6/26    5/09
B. McCollum  32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink      26 /18  24 /15  24 / 9  24 / 3
R. Scott     19 / 8   n/a     n/a     n/a
P. Dockery    6 / 5   4 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            Now     3/25    6/26
B. McCollum  46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott     28 / 1   n/a     n/a
P. Dockery   10 / 4   9 / 4   8 / 3

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn     35  61   5  27  31  39
S. Cohen      3   6   0   2   4   2
Undec        23  21  16  33  22  24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn     36  63   5  28  33  39  47
Other/undec  25  25  16  35  23  27  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
P. Quinn     37%/49% 59%/22%  9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady     35 /37  11 /59  70 / 8  34 /35  29 /41
S. Cohen     19 /24  28 /18   9 /30  16 /27   n/a

Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-               All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley     49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich      41  47  36
Other/neither    3   2   1
Not vote         1  n/a  1
Undec            6   4   5

O'Malley As Gov.

-           All RVs  RVs    All   RVs
-           Now Now  10/08  10/07 10/07
Approve     54% 58%  53%    53%   51%
Disapprove  34  34   37     36    39

O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)

-           Now 10/07
Approve     46% 39%
Disapprove  40  52

How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?

-               Now 10/07
A lot            8%  3%
A fair amount   38  25
Some            29  32
Not much        20  35

Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)

Very closely        26%
Fairly closely      35
Not too closely     23
Not at all closely  15

Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)

Satisfied       49%
Wish had more   45

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          41%       45%  12%     2%
Public education    39        39   14      7
Budget deficit      37        39   18      4
Taxes               36        40   17      7
Crime               35        42   16      6
Environment         29        37   23     11

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          43%       43%  12%     2%
Budget deficit      41        38   16      4
Public education    40        37   14      8
Taxes               38        39   16      7
Crime               33        43   17      7
Environment         26        37   25     11

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   41%      31%      5%  10%     13%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      38       31      11    6      15
 state's future
Strong leader             35       37      10    6      12
He is honest/trustworthy  33       29      12   12      15

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   39%      39%      4%  10%      9%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      36       38      11    5      10
 state's future
Strong leader             34       43      10    6       8
He is honest/trustworthy  31       36      12   11      10

Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment           49%      25%      5%   5%     17%
Working effectively with  49       27       5    5      15
 the MD legislature
Public education          49       29       6    3      13
Crime                     40       34       5    6      16
State economy             39       43       2    4      11
State budget deficit      37       42       4    5      12
Taxes                     36       44       3    5      12

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)

-               TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley     34%         8%             45%
B. Ehrlich       6         31              46

As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)

Need to raise taxes          53%
Meet without raising taxes   36

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              41%  8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  66   7  26  30  36
T. Horner              9   7   5  17  12   5
Undec                 17  19  10  23  14  20

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton             34  66  13  25  31  38
T. Horner              9   6   7  16  10   8
Undec                 15  18   7  19  11  19

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza            31  61   7  28  31  31
T. Horner             10  10   5  19  12   8
Undec                 16  20   8  17  11  22

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner    10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
D. Onorato   42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7
J. Wagner    19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   34%
J. Wagner    17
T. Williams  17
J. Hoeffel    9
Other         6
Undec        17

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   58%/22%
J. Wagner    43 /24
T. Williams  41 /34
J. Hoeffel   29 /34

Rendell As Gov.

-            Now 4/12
Approve      61% 60%
Disapprove   38  39

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 3/18 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  45% 47%  48%  46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      38  36   35   35  39    35    34
Other         7   5    4    5   5     5     7
Undec        10  12   12   13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/18    2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20
B. McCollum  50%/31% 51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31%
A. Sink      43 /37  37 /41  38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve     41% 50%  56%  51%  49%   57%   48%  54%  50%
Disapprove  47  42   37   40   40    30    42   36   34

Massachusetts
A Western New England College poll; conducted 4/11-15; surveyed 528 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 481 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 66%  3% 26% 34% 33%
T. Cahill   29  17  32  35  29  28
C. Baker    27   6  64  29  31  23
Undec       10  10   1  10   6  15

Patrick As Gov.

-           All RVs  All  RVs   All   All
-           Now Now  3/09 3/09  2/09  11/08
Approve     34% 34%  41%  40%   47%   50%
Disapprove  48  49   43   43    35    25

Fav/Unfav (RVs)

D. Patrick  40%/48%
T. Cahill   32 /18
C. Baker    20 /13

Direction Of MA (RVs)

-           Now 11/08
Right dir.  30% 39%
Wrong dir.  60  50

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  51%  48%
J. Hoeffel  29  28   29   26
Other       11   5    5    9
Undec       11  18   15   17

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  45% 46%  52%  44%              
D. Onorato  36  29   26   28               
Other        8   7    5    7               
Undec       11  17   17   21

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  48% 46%  49%  43%
J. Wagner   27  33   28   30
Other       11   6    5    8
Undec       14  16   17   20

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32
J. Hoeffel  33 /37  28 /35  33 /33  26 /35
J. Wagner   32 /36  40 /30  40 /28  37 /30

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
N. Lamont  41% 41%            T. Foley   44% 37%
M. Fedele  38  33             N. Lamont  37  40
Other       9   8             Other       7   9
Undec      12  18             Undec      13  14

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
D. Malloy  40% 36%            T. Foley   44% 36%
M. Fedele  37  35             D. Malloy  35  37
Other       7   9             Other       8  10
Undec      16  21             Undec      14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/1
D. Malloy  47%/29% 43%/29%
T. Foley   45 /25  42 /22
N. Lamont  43 /40  43 /35
M. Fedele  38 /26  39 /22

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 396 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Galloway, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4/7). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     18  13   10   9
N. Deal        9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   7    7   3
Others        11   8    4   6
Undec         31  36   45  50

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady    43% 19% 80% 39% 44% 42%
P. Quinn    33  53   7  31  34  32
Undec       24  28  13  30  22  26

Quinn As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve     25% 37% 10% 23% 22% 27% 25%
Disapprove  53  36  77  54  58  49  55

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Brady    25%/20% 11%/27% 44%/11% 24%/19% 27%/25% 23%/17%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   23  19  25    23
Undec       15  14  14    19

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  38% 34% 32%   34%
T. Cahill   33  30  28    23
C. Mihos    15  19  26    23
Undec       14  16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   49%/29% 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
D. Patrick  49 /48  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40%/56% 48%/51%
C. Baker    43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30  37 /27
C. Mihos    31 /51  38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 3/28-31 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/7). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                 Now
A. Dillon         22%
V. Bernero        15
A. Wheeler Smith  11
Other             10
Undec             42

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 27%  25%  29%
M. Cox        21  21   32   28
R. Snyder     15  12    3    3
M. Bouchard   13  10   16   14
T. George      3   1    2    2
Other          3   3   n/a  n/a
Undec         18  26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Cox        44%
V. Bernero    30
Undec         26

-             Now 2/25 1/26
M. Cox        43% 43%  47%    
A. Dillon     34  36   30     
Undec         23  21   23

P. Hoekstra   42%
V. Bernero    29
Undec         29

-             Now 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra   40% 41%  40%
A. Dillon     33  37   32
Undec         27  21   28

R. Snyder     42%
V. Bernero    26
Undec         32

R. Snyder     42%
A. Dillon     30
Undec         28

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox            38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero         8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   5 / 4   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5
T. George          4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs and 491 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 4/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   20% 18% 22% 16%
J. Hoeffel   15  16  13  10
J. Wagner    13  15  12  11
T. Williams   5   6   4   2
Other         1   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        47  44  49  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   58% 66% 51% 43%
S. Rohrer     7   7   6   5
Other         1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        35  27  42  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
D. Onorato   27%/ 6% 26%/ 7% 28%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 5  24 / 5  18 / 4
J. Hoeffel   18 / 4  20 / 6  17 / 4
T. Williams   6 / 3   8 / 4   5 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   51%/ 3% 59%/ 3% 44%/ 3%
S. Rohrer     8 / 2   8 / 3   8 /--

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hickenlooper  50% 85% 13% 48% 45% 55%
S. McInnis       39   7  77  34  46  32
Undec            11   8  10  18   9  13

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind               
J. Hickenlooper  51%/27% 72%/12% 30%/41% 49%/28%
S. McInnis       28 /27  11 /42  49 /10  26 /30

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 12/14
B. Brady    47% 30%
P. Quinn    37  45
Other        6  13
Undec        9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/14
Approve     43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 11/23 10/22               Now 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  35% 33%   34%     D. Patrick  34% 32%   34%
C. Baker    32  28    24      T. Cahill   30  28    23
T. Cahill   19  25    23      C. Mihos    19  26    23
Undec       14  14    19      Undec       16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve     39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
C. Baker    46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40%/30% 37%/27%
D. Patrick  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40 /56  48 /51
C. Mihos    38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35 

Michigan
A Denno-Noor poll; conducted 3/2-5 for the Rossman Group and Perricone Group; surveyed 205 Dem primary LVs and 217 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.8% and 6.7%, respectively (Agar, Grand Rapids Press, 3/10). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee, '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         13%
V. Bernero        11
A. Wheeler Smith   6
D. Kildee          6
Other/none         8
Undec             56

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 Now 11/17
P. Hoekstra       28% 21%
R. Snyder         18   5
M. Cox            12  15
M. Bouchard        8  13
T. George          2   3
Other/none         1   7
Undec             31  37

Governor 2010

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and state Sen. Kirk Dillard (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Quinn    46% 75%  7% 40% 43% 49%
K. Dillard  35   7  77  35  39  31
Other        1   1   1   1   1   1
Undec       18  17  15  24  17  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Quinn    37%/41% 18%/56% 69%/17% 34%/43% 40%/39% 34%/43%
K. Dillard  31 /37  10 /53  66 /10  29 /39  34 /33  28 /41
B. Brady    29 /41   7 /60  64 / 9  28 /43  33 /38  25 /44

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 2/21-24; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsamples of 273 Dem primary voters and 155 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 5.9% and 7.9%, respectively (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), '06 Green-Rainbow Party nominee Grace Ross (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom
D. Patrick  59% 56% 62%
G. Ross     15  22  10
Undec       26  22  28

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 11/8 9/15
C. Baker    47% 43% 53% 30%  43%
C. Mihos    17  24   7  33   19
Undec       36  33  40  37   38

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  33% 58% 10% 21% 28% 37% 38%  36%
C. Baker    25  10  55  30  31  20  15   14
T. Cahill   23  21  25  24  20  25  26   23
J. Stein     3   1   0   4   3   2  n/a  n/a
Undec       16  11  10  21  17  15  22   26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  34% 59% 13% 22% 29% 40% 36%  36%
T. Cahill   26  21  25  30  25  27  26   24
C. Mihos    19  10  47  19  26  12  20   17
J. Stein     3   2   0   5   3   3  n/a  n/a
Undec       18   9  15  25  17  18  18   23

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8
Approve     35% 55% 20% 25% 31% 39% 42%
Disapprove  54  36  75  63  60  48  51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/8    9/15
D. Patrick  38%/50% 60%/29% 20%/68% 25%/62% 43%/47% 42%/45%
T. Cahill   31 /16  29 /15  32 /22  32 /16  41 /13  35 /12
C. Mihos    20 /28  14 /37  25 /30  25 /21  30 /25  27 /23
C. Baker    18 /12   9 /18  33 / 5  21 / 8  13 / 7  15/ 11

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15 3/20
Re-elect him    29% 49% 13% 17% 26% 31% 32%  29%  34%
Someone else    60  41  80  70  65  56  55   56   47
Undec           11  11   7  12   9  13  13   15   20

Do You Think Patrick Is A Weak Leader, Or Is He A Victim Of The Bad Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Weak leader     68% 55% 78% 70% 70% 65%
Bad economy     22  36  11  19  21  22

Do You Think MA Would Be Better Off With A GOP Gov.?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/15
Yes     30% 12% 62% 36% 37% 24% 35%
No      48  76  15  35  42  54  54

Do You View Cahill As An Indie, Or Do You View Him As Still A Dem Who Left His Party To Run For GOV?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Dem         47% 46% 53% 46% 48% 45%
Indie       26  24  28  26  25  26

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   37% 39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    30  23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   9   7   6    4    3
Others        n/a n/a --   --    1
Undec         24  31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
R. Reid       42% 70%  9% 42% 36% 48% 43% 48%  49%  47%
J. Gibbons    38  12  71  35  48  28  36  34   37   35
Undec         20  18  20  22  16  24  21  18   14   18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   51% 23% 84% 49% 56% 46% 53% 49%  50%  49%
R. Reid       29  55   5  29  23  35  31  34   33   32
Undec         20  22  11  22  21  19  16  17   17   19

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     1/7     12/2    10/8    6/19    5/14
B. Sandoval   33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54  10%/57% 17%/52%

Governor - Massachusetts (2010)

Governor (2010)
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 11/4-8; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Grillo, Boston Herald, 11/12).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
C. Mihos    33%
C. Baker    30

General Election Matchups
D. Patrick  36%               D. Patrick  38%
T. Cahill   26                T. Cahill   26
C. Mihos    20                C. Baker    15

Patrick As Gov.
Approve     42%
Disapprove  51

Patrick Handling MA Economy
Approve     37%
Disapprove  55

Governor - Massachusetts (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/26). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups
D. Patrick  34%               D. Patrick  34%
C. Baker    24                C. Mihos    23
T. Cahill   23                T. Cahill   23
Undec       19                Undec       19

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   49%/25%  n/a     n/a
D. Patrick  48 /50  40 /56  48 /51
C. Mihos    40 /36  50 /30  46 /35
C. Baker    32 /29  40 /30  37 /27

Patrick As Gov.
-           Now 8/20 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve     43% 39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  56  60   57   65   51

Governor - Massachusetts (2010)

Governor (2010)
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 9/12-15; surveyed 500 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 138 GOPers; margin of error +/- 8.3% (release, 9/23). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 39%D, 15%R, 44%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Treas. Tim Cahill (I), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
C. Baker    43% 46% 38%
C. Mihos    19  23  12
Undec       38  30  50

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  36% 54% 22% 25% 38% 33%
T. Cahill   23  17  22  29  21  25
C. Baker    14   9  38  11  16  12
Undec       26  21  17  34  24  28

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  36% 54% 21% 25% 38% 34%
T. Cahill   24  21  23  27  23  25
C. Mihos    17   7  42  16  20  13
Undec       23  18  14  31  20  26

Do You Think Patrick Deserves To Be Reelected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?
-                    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Deserves reelection  29% 40% 17% 25% 35% 25% 34%
Someone else         56  41  74  62  51  60  47
Undec                15  19   9  13  14  15  20

Patrick As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Approve     42% 55% 27% 36% 40% 44% 40%
Disapprove  49  35  69  53  52  45  49

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/20
D. Patrick  42%/45% 51%/32% 32%/64% 37%/51% 44%/43%
T. Cahill   35 /12  38 / 9  27 /25  36 / 9  40 / 8
C. Mihos    27 /23  21 /29  40 /21  28 /18  24 /22
C. Baker    15/ 11  11 /12  30 /16  14 / 8  10 / 4

Do You Think The State Would Be Better Off With A GOP Gov.?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes         35% 14% 79% 38% 41% 29%
No          54  78  16  46  47  60

Regardless Of Who You Personally Support, Who Do You Think Will Be Elected Next Year?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  35% 38% 35% 32% 35% 35%
C. Baker    11  10  19   8  11  11
T. Cahill   10  10   9  11  13   8
C. Mihos     5   4  14   3   5   5
Other        2   2   4   1   2   2
Undec       37  35  18  45  35  38

Direction Of MA
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/20
Right dir.  38% 53% 22% 32% 42% 35% 38%
Wrong dir.  51  35  71  59  51  52  51

Governor-Massachusetts (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 8/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 8/24). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 6/24                    Now 6/24

C. Mihos    40% 41%         D. Patrick  40% 41%

D. Patrick  35  40          C. Baker    39  36

Other       11  10          Other        7  12

Undec       15   9          Undec       15  11



Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/24

C. Mihos    50%/30% 46%/35%

C. Baker    40 /30  37 /27

D. Patrick  40 /56  48 /51



Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 6/24 4/16 2/10

Approve     39% 42%  34%  48%

Disapprove  60  57   65   51

Massachusetts - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 7/15-21 by the Univ. of NH Survey Center; surveyed 545 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 147 GOPers; margin of error +/- 8.1% (release, 7/26). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
C. Baker    27% 33% 21%
C. Mihos    20  19  20
Other       20  25  15
Undec       33  23  44

General Election Matchups
-           All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
C. Baker    41% 43% 39% 13% 47% 81%
D. Patrick  35  39  32  63  13   6
Other        4   1   6   3   6   3
Undec       20  17  23  21  34  10

-           All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
C. Mihos    41% 43% 39% 16% 52% 74%
D. Patrick  40  43  38  68  17  10
Other        4   3   5   3   6   5
Undec       15  12  18  14  25  11

-           All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
D. Patrick  30% 33% 27% 53% 10%  6%
T. Cahill   30  26  35  23  37  39
C. Baker    20  24  17   6  20  42
Other        4   3   4   1   8   5
Undec       15  15  16  17  25   7

-           All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
D. Patrick  31% 34% 28% 53% 11%  7%
T. Cahill   31  29  33  22  42  38
C. Mihos    18  20  16   6  20  36
Other        4   2   5   3   6   4
Undec       17  15  18  15  22  15
 
Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     Dem     Ind     GOP
T. Cahill   42%/17% 41%/18% 43%/16% 37%/19% 39%/16% 52%/14%
D. Patrick  36 /52  36 /52  35 /53  58 /30  17 /63  12 /81
C. Mihos    26 /38  29 /40  23 /37  23 /42  25 /35  31 /36
C. Baker    16 /14  20 /13  13 /15  18 /16  13 / 9  17 /14

Patrick As Gov.
-           All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
Approve     35% 34% 35% 58% 16% 11%
Disapprove  56  57  56  34  68  83

Direction Of MA
-           All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
Right dir.  31% 32% 30% 49% 17% 11%
Wrong dir.  61  60  62  40  75  85

Patrick Has Brought Reform To Beacon Hill
-           All Men Wom Dem Ind GOP
Agree       25% 25% 26% 40% 17% 10%
Disagree    62  67  58  47  70  82