Governor 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,528 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 747 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/20). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D), businessman Dan Maes (R) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       57% 60% 54%
D. Maes          29  28  29
Undec            14  12  17

General Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
D. Maes          45% 50% 40%
J. Hickenlooper  44  42  45
Third party       5   4   6
Undec             6   4   8

General Election Matchup (1,474 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)

-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis       47% 53% 42%
J. Hickenlooper  43  40  46
Third party       6   6   5
Undec             4   2   6

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

R. Scott     35%
B. McCollum  30
Undec        33

Maryland
A polling company, inc. (R) poll; conducted 6/8-10 for businessman/ex-commodities trader Brian Murphy (R); surveyed 508 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/18). Tested: Murphy, Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchups

M. O'Malley  44%              M. O'Malley  44%
B. Ehrlich   43               B. Murphy    25

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 6/12-15 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 5/26
A. Dillon    34% 29%
V. Bernero   24  23
Undec        42  48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
M. Cox       26% 18%  21%  21%  32%  28%
P. Hoekstra  24  30   27   27   25   29
R. Snyder    20  17   15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  16   13   10   16   14
T. George     2   2    3    1    2    2
Other        n/a n/a   3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        12  17   18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/26 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 47%  42%
V. Bernero   38  34   29
Undec        15  19   29

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  46% 47%  40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    38  35   33   37   32
Undec        16  18   27   21   28

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 51%  42%
V. Bernero   34  28   26
Undec        17  21   32

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder    49% 50%  42%
A. Dillon    36  31   30
Undec        15  19   28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/26    3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       36%/33% 35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  33 /15  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  35 /17  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    29 / 9  26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    15 /15  13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero   14 / 9   9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     9 / 6   4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/10). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/20 2/23
M. O'Malley  45% 47%  49%
B. Ehrlich   45  44   43
Other         5   2    2
Undec         5   7    5

O'Malley As Gov.

-            Now 4/20 2/23
Approve      54% 50%  53%
Disapprove   44  48   42

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/20    2/23
B. Ehrlich   53%/42% 56%/39% 55%/36%
M. O'Malley  53 /43  54 /43  54 /40

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/11). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      31  35   34   35  33
Other         3   6    6    7  11
Undec        13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 6/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 566 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/10). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 26%I. Tested: Ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) and Soloflex founder Jerry Wilson (Prog.).

General Election Matchup

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley     47% 20% 79% 41% 50% 44%
J. Kitzhaber  40  70  13  35  36  44
J. Wilson      6   7   1  12  11   2
Undec          7   4   7  11   4  10

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 1,270 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/31). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 36%D, 21%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne   48% 11% 84% 41% 52% 45% 62% 10% 41% 39%
A. Davis   32  67   5  25  33  31  21  64  31  35
Undec      20  23  11  34  15  24  18  26  28  26

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey    44% 14% 70% 41% 45% 43% 54% 12% 41% 31%
A. Davis   33  65  10  28  36  31  23  67  28  39
Undec      23  21  20  31  19  26  23  21  31  31

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James   42%  9% 73% 35% 45% 40% 54%  9% 31% 35%
A. Davis   33  65   7  30  35  31  22  66  38  37
Undec      25  25  20  35  20  29  24  26  31  28

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore   43% 12% 72% 39% 46% 42% 54% 12% 36% 38%
A. Davis   37  70  12  32  40  35  28  67  28  41
Undec      19  18  16  29  15  23  18  21  36  21

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne   43%  7% 78% 34% 47% 40% 56%  7% 31% 41%
R. Sparks  30  60   6  28  34  27  21  57  36  27
Undec      26  32  16  38  19  32  22  37  33  33

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey    39% 10% 67% 32% 41% 38% 49%  9% 36% 29%
R. Sparks  33  62   9  32  36  30  23  60  36  33
Undec      28  28  24  35  23  32  27  31  28  39

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James   38%  5% 71% 28% 40% 38% 50%  6% 23% 32%
R. Sparks  33  62   8  33  37  30  25  57  38  32
Undec      29  33  20  39  24  33  25  38  38  37

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore   42%  9% 72% 37% 42% 41% 53% 10% 28% 38%
R. Sparks  37  67  12  38  42  33  29  61  38  36
Undec      21  24  17  25  16  25  18  29  33  25

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Moore   33%/34% 17%/42% 47%/25% 32%/38% 35%/36% 31%/33%
R. Sparks  20 /20  26 /17  14 /23  21 /20  26 /24  14 /18
A. Davis   20 /35  30 /33  13 /40  19 /30  24 /38  18 /33
K. Ivey    19 /26  19 /26  19 /27  19 /24  17 /29  20 /23
B. Byrne   18 /18   5 /32  30 / 8  14 /16  20 /21  17 /16
T. James   14 /24  10 /27  20 /21  10 /27  18 /29  11 /21

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     74% 75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  25  22  24  29  28   30

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

B. Otter    60%
K. Allred   28
Other        3
Undec        9

Otter As Gov.

Approve     60%
Disapprove  37

Fav/Unfav

B. Otter    62%/35%
K. Allred   34 /34

Maryland
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-30 for the MD Dem Party; surveyed 409 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/1).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
B. Ehrlich     59% 66% 53%
Another GOPer  31  26  35
Undec          10   7  12

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  38  41  40   39   45
Other           2   6   5   4    3    3
Undec           7   7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        47% 43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     52  53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 2/10-13 for Gov. Martin O'Malley (D); surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Wagner, "Maryland Politics," Washington Post, 3/5). Tested: O'Malley and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
M. O'Malley  51% 47% 53%
B. Ehrlich   41  45  38

Nebraska
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/5). Tested: Gov. Dave Heineman (R) and agribusiness investment exec. Mark Lakers (D).

General Election Matchup

D. Heineman  61%
M. Lakers    23
Other         2
Undec        14

Heineman As Gov.

Approve      69%
Disapprove   29

Fav/Unfav

D. Heineman  71%/27%
M. Lakers    30 /24

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/7). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 2/3
R. Reid       44% 44%
J. Gibbons    36  35
Other         15  13
Undec          4   8

-             Now 2/3
M. Montandon  42% 36%
R. Reid       37  40
Other         13  14
Undec          8  10

-             Now 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 45%
R. Reid       35  33
Other          7  11
Undec          5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/3
B. Sandoval   55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 3/7; surveyed 712 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/8). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
A. Cuomo  63% 83% 37% 55% 63%  66%  68%  67%   66%   64%
R. Lazio  25   9  56  26  26   24   22   22    21    18
Undec     11   8   6  20  11   10   10   11    14    18

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/19    1/14
A. Cuomo  63%/25% 68%/19% 57%/33% 62%/29% 66%/21% 67%/21%
R. Lazio  30 /29  20 /39  43 /21  36 /23  31 /26  27 /30

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18
For GOV        58% 68% 48% 49% 51%  53%  50%  52%   49%
Reelect as AG  29  24  37  33  33   30   31   28    36

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    38% 40% 38% 36% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   52  53  53  53  43   49   51   52

Paterson Asked Cuomo To Conduct An Investigation To Determine If The Gov. Or Any Of His Staff Acted Illegally Or Unethically In Dealing With A Domestic Violence Charge Leveled Against A Top Aide To The Gov. By That Aide's Then-Girlfriend. Do You Think Cuomo's Investigation Will Be Conducted Fairly And Impartially, Or Do You Think It Will Be Unduly Influenced By Political Concerns?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Fair/impartial                 57% 59% 60% 51%
Unduly influenced by politics  38  37  37  44

Do You Think This Investigation Of Paterson And His Staff Is Best Conducted By Cuomo, Or Do You Think It Would Be Better If It Was Conducted By An Independent, Outside Prosecutor?

-                      All Dem GOP Ind
Outside prosecutor     68% 68% 67% 70%
A. Cuomo               27  28  28  24

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  38  41  40   39   45
Other           6   5   4    3    3
Undec           7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

M. O'Malley  49%
B. Ehrlich   43
Other         2
Undec         5

O'Malley As Gov.

Approve      53%
Disapprove   42

Fav/Unfav

B. Ehrlich   55%/36%
M. O'Malley  54 /40

Michigan
A Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WJRT-TV/WILX-TV poll; conducted 2/22-25 by EPIC-MRA; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dems and 400 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/26). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         17%
D. Kildee         12
V. Bernero         8
A. Wheeler Smith   7
Other             12
Undec             45

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 25%  29%
M. Cox        21  32   28
R. Snyder     12   3    3
M. Bouchard   10  16   14
T. George      1   2    2
Other          3  n/a  n/a
Undec         26  22   24

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/26                      Now 1/26
M. Cox       43% 47%          P. Hoekstra  41% 40%
A. Dillon    36  30           A. Dillon    37  32
Undec        21  23           Undec        21  28

M. Cox       46%              P. Hoekstra  41%
D. Kildee    37               D. Kildee    37
Undec        17               Undec        22

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     1/26    12/9
M. Cox            43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
D. Kildee         10 / 5  11 / 4   n/a
V. Bernero         7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George          6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups

D. Daugaard    41%
S. Heidepriem  32
Other           7
Undec          19

S. Heidepriem  37%
G. Howie       29
Other          12
Undec          22

S. Heidepriem  34%
D. Knudson     31
Other          13
Undec          22

Fav/Unfav

D. Daugaard    45%/22%
S. Heidepriem  42 /33
D. Knudson     32 /21
G. Howie       29 /29

Governor - Maryland (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Clarus Research Group poll; conducted 10/30-11/2; surveyed 637 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 11/5). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Balt DC  West Shore/S
M. O'Malley   47% 75%  7% 34% 38% 54% 45%  61% 28%  38%
B. Ehrlich    40  10  85  48  47  33  45   19  50   51
Other          3   3   3   5   3   3   3    2   8    2
Undec         10  12   6  14  11  11   7   17  14    9

Re-Elect O'Malley?
Re-elect him  39%
Someone new   48
Depends        6
Undec          7

O'Malley As Gov.
Approve       48%
Disapprove    40