Governor 2010

Alabama
A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

R. Bentley  46%
B. Byrne    27

Fav/Unfav

R. Bentley  59%/ 9%
B. Byrne    43 /24

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.

Primary Election Matchup

-                  All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer   76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick  17  17  18
Undec               7   5  10

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     55% 56%  52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     28  24   29   30  35   29    26
Other         4   6    6    5   5    6     5
Undec        13  14   13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 55%  51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  25   28   27
Other         6   5    6    6
Undec        13  15   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17
A. Cuomo     63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio     49 /32  38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44
C. Paladino  35 /32  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  43% 81%  6% 40% 38% 47% 44%  43%  44%  40%
J. Kasich      38   4  81  37  46  32  38   38   39   40
Other           2   2  --   4   2   3   1    1    1    1
Not vote        2   2   1   2   1   2  --    1    2    1
Undec          15  11  11  16  13  16  17   17   15   18

Strickland As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47%  49%  48%  45%  48%
Disapprove  42  17  67  46  48  38  38   40   40   43   42

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26
T. Strickland   42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich       29 /19   6 /32  53 / 5  28 /19  27 /10

Strickland Handling Economy

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36%  35%  35%  33%  33%
Disapprove  54  27  73  61  57  51  53   52   53   52   54

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve     31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36%  37%  32%  36%  32%
Disapprove  52  30  70  57  54  51  48   47   51   47   53

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes     31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37%  36%  34%  32%  37%  34%
No      48  29  64  53  48  48  41   41   45   43   40   40

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41%  38%  41%  41%
T. Strickland   38  68  11  34  35  40  39   38   35   33
No difference    4   3   3   6   4   4   2    2    2   --
Undec           19  19  14  19  14  23  18   22   22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40%  39%  42%  42%
T. Strickland   37  68   9  35  34  39  39   38   36   34
No difference    3   3   3   4   3   4   2    2    1   --
Undec           18  17  13  19  16  20  19   21   21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   37% 69%  9% 33% 34% 40% 41%  40%  35%
J. Kasich       36   9  71  35  40  32  35   35   36
No difference    8   7   6  12   8   9   7    5    6
Undec           19  15  14  20  18  19  18   20   22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   39% 73%  8% 36% 35% 42% 42%  42%  40%
J. Kasich       38  10  75  37  45  33  36   34   36
No difference    4   3   2   6   4   4   3    2    3
Undec           19  14  15  20  16  21  19   22   21

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 4/8
G. Herbert  58% 57%
P. Corroon  31  29
Other        2   4
Undec        8  10

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/8
G. Herbert  70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon  50 /32  47 /35

Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Mead      49%              M. Mead      51%
L. Petersen  22               P. Gosar     23
Other        13               Other        14
Undec        16               Undec        12

R. Meyer     51%              R. Meyer     52%
L. Petersen  23               P. Gosar     23
Other        11               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

R. Micheli   47%              R. Micheli   46%
L. Petersen  27               P. Gosar     28
Other        11               Other        13
Undec        15               Undec        14

C. Simpson   44%              C. Simpson   51%
L. Petersen  28               P. Gosar     24
Other        14               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25
M. Mead      55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson   52 /24  56 /20
R. Meyer     44 /33  50 /20
R. Micheli   40 /29  38 /18
L. Petersen  33 /36   n/a
P. Gosar     31 /32   n/a

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

General Election Matchups

R. Bentley  46%               R. Bentley  44%
A. Davis    33                R. Sparks   31
Other       12                Other       13
Undec        9                Undec        9

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
B. Byrne    47% 50%           B. Byrne    45% 43%
A. Davis    33  33            R. Sparks   32  33
Other       12   9            Other       13  11
Undec        8   9            Undec       10  13

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
T. James    45% 49%           T. James    42% 38%
A. Davis    39  35            R. Sparks   37  34
Other        8  10            Other       13  13
Undec        8   7            Undec        9  14

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
R. Moore    43% 40%           R. Sparks   40% 40%  
A. Davis    40  44            R. Moore    38  35
Other       11  11            Other       15  15
Undec        6   6            Undec        7  10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/29
A. Davis    48%/36% 47%/39%
R. Bentley  45 /27   n/a
B. Byrne    45 /33  48 /21
R. Moore    43 /46  49 /39
T. James    41 /42  43 /29
R. Sparks   40 /38  39 /35

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 5/19-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,506 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 521 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/30). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 28%R, 27%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/30
M. Whitman  53% 57% 49% 60%
S. Poizner  29  28  30  20
Other        5   4   7   3
Undec       12  10  14  16

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown    44% 65% 20% 39% 43% 46% 41%
M. Whitman  38  18  68  39  42  34  44
Other        5   3   3   8   5   4   2
Undec       12  11   7  13   9  14  13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown    45% 68% 20% 41% 45% 46% 53%
S. Poizner  31  11  61  31  32  31  22
Other        8   5   7  12   9   7   5
Undec       14  15  10  15  12  16  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/30    11/2
J. Brown    38%/33% 53%/12% 18%/61% 37%/36% 41%/28% 44%/27%
M. Whitman  32 /37  17 /47  54 /24  32 /37  30 /23  17 /14
S. Poizner  20 /40  14 /41  32 /36  19 /42  15 /23  11 / 7

Does ___ Better Describe Whitman/Poizner? (GOPers)

-                         Whitman Poizner Both Neither Undec
Will create jobs/get our
 economy going           55%     16%      6%   6%     16%
Will rein in gov't
 spending and reduce
 the CA debt             53      16       5    7      19
Will fight tax increases  48      20       6    7      19
Understands the problems
 and concerns of people
 like me                 43      22       3   11      21
Will help fix our
 immigration system      40      27       6    7      20
Has strong conservative
 values                  40      28       4    6      23

Have You Seen Or Heard Any Radio Or TV Ads For Any SEN Or GOV Candidates?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     77% 73% 84% 77% 79% 75%
No      21  25  14  21  20  23

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 474 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/1). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       46% 49% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  31  34  27
R. Roberts        13   9  16
Undec             11   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Men     Wom
T. Branstad       59%/20% 61%/22% 56%/17%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19  51 /20  42 /18
R. Roberts        24 /15  24 /17  24 /13

Michigan
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 314 Dem primary LVs and 377 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.5% and 5.1%, respectively (release, 6/1). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Bernero   26% 31% 23% 27% 20% 56%
A. Dillon    23  24  22  21  30  11
Undec        51  45  55  52  50  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Snyder    20% 25% 15%
P. Hoekstra  19  22  16
M. Cox       17  21  12
M. Bouchard  15  11  20
T. George     9   7  11
Undec        20  14  27

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Dillon    14%/19% 17%/12% 11%/25% 15%/22% 10%/10% -- /28%
V. Bernero   13 /14  19 / 7   9/ 20  14 /15  10 /10  17 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra  43%/17% 47%/19% 37%/15%
M. Cox       41 /24  53 /25  27 /23
R. Snyder    34 /10  38 /15  31 / 4
M. Bouchard  31 /15  29 /22  32 / 7
T. George     7 /10   8 /13   5 / 7

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D), activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12 9/14
J. Lynch      50% 50% 51% 52%  52%
J. Kimball    31  34  32  31   31
Other          6   4   3   4    6
Undec         13  12  13  12   10

-             Now 4/7 3/8
J. Lynch      47% 47% 50%
J. Stephen    35  37  35
Other          4   5   2
Undec         14  11  14

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12
J. Lynch      51% 50% 54% 53%
K. Testerman  32  33  28  30
Other          6   6   5   5
Undec         11  11  14  12

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 5/11 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       51% 56%  59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    47  43   39  36  39   38   34

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     3/8     1/12    9/12
J. Lynch      53%/43% 60%/35% 59%/37% 59%/38% 63%/33%
J. Stephen    36 /25  36 /27  32 /30   n/a     n/a
J. Kimball    31 /21  36 /26  27 /25  31 /28  28 /27
K. Testerman  31 /22  31 /27  22 /30  33 /30   n/a

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/27; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/1). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D), accountant/ex-state Rep. Victor Moffitt (R) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      35% 33%  39%  37%
F. Caprio      32  33   28   27
J. Robitaille  25  21   22   19
Undec           9  13   11   17

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      37% 35%  37%  38%
J. Robitaille  29  26   26   22
P. Lynch       19  24   22   24
Undec          15  15   15   16

F. Caprio      35%            L. Chafee      35%
L. Chafee      33             V. Moffitt     28          
V. Moffitt     22             P. Lynch       24
Undec          10             Undec          13

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/25
F. Caprio      61%/25% 56%/29% 53%/29% 52%/28%
L. Chafee      53 /39  53 /38  57 /37  55 /37
P. Lynch       36 /53  44 /45  45 /41  37 /48
J. Robitaille  36 /28  39 /27  35 /29  31 /31
V. Moffitt     31 /32   n/a     n/a     n/a

South Carolina
A Statehouse Report poll; conducted 5/25 by InsiderAdvantage (IVR); surveyed 402 Dem primary LVs and 591 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/28). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
V. Sheheen   26% 35% 19% 25% 27% 31% 16%
J. Rex       17  19  16  18  17   0   4
R. Ford      12   7  17   6  18  49   6
Undec        44  39  49  52  37  20  74

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     31% 33% 30%
A. Bauer     21  19  22
G. Barrett   14  15  13
H. McMaster  14  15  13
Undec        20  18  22

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R), Buffalo Gap rancher Ken Knuppe (R), ex-Brookings Mayor Scott Munsterman (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Daugaard    51% 53%  49%  41%
S. Heidepriem  36  33   32   32
Other           7   5    6    7
Undec           6   9   13   19

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
S. Heidepriem  49% 46%  39%  37%
G. Howie       36  31   34   29
Other           9   8    9   12
Undec           6  14   17   22

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Knudson     49% 41%  32%  31%
S. Heidepriem  34  41   37   34
Other          10   9   13   13
Undec           6  10   19   22

S. Heidepriem  47%
K. Knuppe      34
Other          12
Undec           8

S. Heidepriem  46%
S. Munsterman  38
Other           9
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/23
D. Daugaard    66%/23% 61%/23% 60%/14% 45%/22%
D. Knudson     59 /24  54 /21  35 /17  32 /21
S. Heidepriem  50 /38  48 /36  42 /33  42 /33
S. Munsterman  38 /37   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Howie       36 /48  33 /36  38 /25  29 /29
K. Knuppe      29 /41   n/a     n/a     n/a

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk
A. Davis    41% 37% 45% 36% 54%
R. Sparks   33  39  27  38  20
Other        8   9   7  10   2
Undec       11  15  21  16  24

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne    29% 31% 27%
R. Moore    23  24  22
T. James    17  16  18
R. Bentley   9   9   9
B. Johnson   3   4   2
Other        2   2   2
Undec       17  14  20

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne    48% 12% 80% 47% 52% 44% 61%  4%
A. Davis    31  62   6  27  28  34  18  74
Other        7   4   7  13   8   6   9   1
Undec       14  22   7  13  12  16  12  21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James    45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57%  3%
A. Davis    37  73   6  36  34  40  24  81
Other        8   5   7  15   8   8  10   1
Undec       10  11  12   5   9  11   9  15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore    43% 10% 73% 42% 47% 39% 55%  3%
A. Davis    38  74   7  37  35  41  25  82
Other        9   5   9  16   9   9  11   1
Undec       10  11  11   5   9  11   9  14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne    45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57%  4%
R. Sparks   34  65   8  32  33  35  23  72
Other        9   7   8  16   9   9  11   1
Undec       12  17   9   8   9  25   9  23

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James    44%  9% 75% 43% 48% 40% 56%  3%
R. Sparks   38  74   7  37  35  41  25  81
Other       19   7   9  17  11   9  13   1
Undec        8  10   9   3   6  10   6  15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore    41%  8% 71% 40% 45% 37% 52%  3%
R. Sparks   40  76   9  39  37  43  27  83
Other       12   8  12  19  13  11  15   1
Undec        7   8   8   2   5   9   6  13

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Byrne    47%/25% 21%/44% 69%/ 9% 50%/20% 51%/22% 43%/28%
R. Moore    45 /36  17 /60  67 /17  48 /33  49 /33  41 /39
A. Davis    44 /40  72 /17  21 /60  42 /41  42 /43  46 /37
T. James    43 /33  14 /57  66 /13  47 /30  45 /31  14 /57
R. Sparks   42 /38  64 /16  22 /57  42 /40  40 /40  44 /36

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
A. Davis    55%/22% 52%/26% 58%/18% 51%/28% 67%/ 4%
R. Sparks   42 /30  47 /27  37 /33  48 /29  26 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom
B. Byrne    53%/14% 56%/12% 50%/16%
R. Moore    44 /21  47 /19  41 /23
T. James    41 /17  43 /16  39 /18

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Beebe    53%
J. Keet     38
Other        1
Undec        7

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     72% 68%  74%  75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  28  30   25   22  24  29  28   30

Fav/Unfav

M. Beebe    68%/31%
J. Keet     47 /27

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/9 4/21
J. Brown        70% 72% 69% 73% 78% 67% 61% 66% 63%
C. Pineda        4   6   3   3   2   7   9   3   2
R. Aguirre       4   5   4   3   1   9   2   4   6
J. Symmon        2   3   2   3   1   3   0   3   3
V. Greene        2   2   2   1   1   3   0   1   1
L. Darling       2   1   2   2   1   2   1   1   6
P. Schurman      1   1   1   1   0   0   3   1   1
Undec           14  12  17  15  16  10  24  19  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman      54% 55% 52% 39% 49%
S. Poizner      27  28  26  37  27
L. Naritelli     2   3   2   1   2
D. Hughes        2   3   2   1   1
B. Chambers      2   1   3   3   2
K. Miller        2   1   3   2   1
R. Newman        1   1   1   2   2
D. Tully-Smith   1   0   2   1   1
Undec            9   7  10  14  15

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/22 1/20
N. Deal      47% 47%  49%
T. Baker     30  31   32
Other        10   9    7
Undec        12  13   11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal      47% 46%  43%  43%  42%
R. Barnes    40  39   40   37   43
Other         6   7    5    7    7
Undec         7   8   13   14    8

-            Now 4/22 1/20
K. Handel    43% 44%  46%
T. Baker     32  36   34
Other        10   5    8
Undec        14  15   11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel    42% 42%  42%  45%  42%
R. Barnes    39  41   39   36   43
Other         9   7    5    5    5
Undec        10  10   14   14   10 

-            Now 4/22
E. Johnson   42% 38%
T. Baker     30  35
Other        11   9
Undec        17  18

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes    42% 42%  40%  37%
E. Johnson   38  37   38   37
Other         9   8    6    8
Undec        11  13   16   18

-            Now 4/22 1/20
J. Oxendine  50% 44%  50%
T. Baker     29  34   32
Other         9   9    8
Undec        12  13   10

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine  43% 45%  41%  45%  44%
R. Barnes    39  43   41   37   42
Other        11   6    6    7    6
Undec         7   6   11   10    8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/22    3/17    2/17    1/20
J. Oxendine  57%/26% 51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
R. Barnes    46 /42  47 /43  44 /43  48 /43  52 /38
N. Deal      45 /28  41 /27  39 /30  40 /27  44 /29
K. Handel    45 /29  48 /26  44 /32  53 /24  52 /24
T. Baker     37 /40  42 /39   n/a     n/a    45 /33
E. Johnson   37 /28  29 /28  32 /27  36 /25   n/a

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     48% 41%  50%  56%  51%  49%   57%   48%  54%
Disapprove  42  47   42   37   40   40    30    42   36

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs and 638 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 3.9%, respectively (release, 5/25). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Sheheen   36% 40% 31% 34% 37% 40%
J. Rex       30  31  30  32  28  30
R. Ford      11  15   7   8  15  10
Undec        23  13  33  26  20  20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     39% 39% 39%
H. McMaster  18  17  19
G. Barrett   16  15  17
A. Bauer     13  12  13
Undec        14  16  12

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
V. Sheheen   31%/11% 38%/11% 25%/12% 33%/13% 31%/ 9% 15%/20%
J. Rex       29 /19  27 /23  30 /14  36 /17  20 /22  25 /20

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
N. Haley     47%/13% 50%/14% 44%/13%
H. McMaster  43 /22  47 /26  40 /18
G. Barrett   28 /18  29 /20  28 /15
A. Bauer     26 /49  26 /48  25 /50

Sanford As Gov. (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
Approve      51% 54% 46%
Disapprove   36  34  38

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Strategy Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Baselice & Assoc. (R); surveyed 1,005 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/13). Tested: Ex-state Community College chancellor Bradley Byrne (R), ex-AL Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R), real estate developer Tim James (R), ex-AL Economic Development dir. Bill Johnson (R) and state Rep. Robert Bentley (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/4
B. Byrne    24% 27% 21% 20%
T. James    23  24  23   8
R. Moore    18  19  17  17
R. Bentley  12  11  12   4
B. Johnson   2   2   2   2
K. Ivey     n/a n/a n/a  3
Undec       21  16  25  46

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/13). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Beebe  62% 83% 35% 66% 58% 66%
J. Keet   19   5  41  13  23  15
Undec     19  12  24  21  19  19

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/24    12/2
M. Beebe  64%/24% 84%/ 8% 37%/52% 68%/13% 67%/23% 64%/24%
J. Keet   22 /10   9 /17  38 / 4  20 / 8   n/a     n/a

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   45% 42% 49% 39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    27  34  18  25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   7   5   7   9    7   6    4    3
T. Atwood      1   2  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
S. Lusak      --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Others        n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         21  15  28  29  24   31  37   35   46

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval   43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /41
M. Montandon  19 / 5

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13).

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       56% 59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    43  39  36  39   38   34

Oregon
A KPTV-TV/Portland Tribune poll; conducted 5/8-10 by Davis, Hibbits & Midghall; surveyed 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.7% for each (release, 5/12). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R) and '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Kitzhaber  53%
B. Bradbury   23
R. Obrist      2
Undec         22

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

C. Dudley     33%
A. Alley      23
J. Lim         8
B. Sizemore    6
Other          6
Undec         24

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 416 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/14). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3
D. Onorato   39% 39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36%
T. Williams  14  14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8   9   9
J. Hoeffel   11  11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12  11   9
J. Wagner    11   9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9   8   8
Other/undec  25  27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39  37  38

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/12    5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8
D. Onorato   46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9%
T. Williams  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13
J. Hoeffel   25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8
J. Wagner    24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8

A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 5/13). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   46% 49% 42%
T. Williams  13   9  16
J. Wagner     9   9   8
J. Hoeffel    8   9   7
Undec        25  23  26

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Corbett   58% 67% 49%
S. Rohrer    20  21  18
Undec        22  11  32

Fav/Unfav

-            Dems    GOPers
B. Obama     75%/18% 13%/81%
E. Rendell   61 /31  17 /76
D. Onorato   47 /15  21 /30
J. Wagner    24 /14  18 /14
T. Williams  22 /22  12 /20
J. Hoeffel   20 /14   6 /13
T. Corbett   33 /29  61 /14
S. Rohrer     7 /13  25 / 7

Governor 2010

Alabama
An Ayers, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Tested: James, state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. James    26%
R. Moore    21
B. Byrne    20
R. Bentley   7

Fav/Unfav

T. James    50%/12%
R. Moore    49 /23
B. Byrne    35 /13

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   32% 29% 35%
B. Mills    14  16  12
D. Martin   13  16  10
J. Munger    5   6   4
Undec       36  33  39

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 86% 15% 55% 44% 52% 41% 80% 74%
J. Brewer   42   6  73  36  47  37  51   3   9
Undec       10   9  12   9   9  11   8  17  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 14% 54% 43% 51% 40% 80% 74%
D. Martin   35   6  61  30  39  31  43   2   6
Undec       18  10  25  16  18  18  17  18  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 85% 14% 56% 44% 52% 41% 82% 75%
B. Mills    34   6  60  27  38  30  42   2   6
Undec       18   9  26  17  18  18  17  17  19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 13% 55% 44% 50% 40% 80% 75%
J. Munger   30   5  55  22  34  26  36   2   6
Undec       23  11  32  23  22  24  24  18  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
T. Goddard  46%/25% 75%/ 8% 22%/40% 49%/22%  n/a
J. Brewer   36 /51   9 /79  64 /25  25 /59  39%/54%
D. Martin   28 /17  13 /28  48 /10  17 /14   n/a
B. Mills    17 /20   9 /34  48 /11  16 /17   n/a
J. Munger    9 /15   4 /22  14 /10   7 /14   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  48% 41% 41%        N. Lamont  42% 37% 40% 
M. Fedele  28  38  33         N. Lamont  35  44  37
Other       9   9   8         Other      11   7   9
Undec      15  12  18         Undec      13  13  14

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  44% 40% 36%        D. Malloy  38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  27  37  35         T. Foley   35  44  36
Other      10   7   9         Other      11   8  10
Undec      20  16  21         Undec      16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/1     2/1
N. Lamont  53%/31% 43%/40% 43%/35%
D. Malloy  46 /24  47 /29  43 /29
T. Foley   42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
T. Branstad       48% 12% 85% 51% 53% 43% 54%
C. Culver         41  80   6  34  37  45  38
Undec             11   8   9  15  10  12   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         46% 83%  7% 43% 42% 50% 48%
R. Roberts        36   7  71  35  41  31  26
Undec             18  10  22  22  17  19  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         44% 81%  6% 43% 42% 50% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  40   9  78  38  45  35  38
Undec             16  10  16  21  15  17  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/17
T. Branstad       57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        27 /35  13 /16

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
J. Hoeffel   11  12  11   9   7   6
T. Williams  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
D. Onorato   40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10% 42%/ 6% 42%/ 6% 45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7  25 / 8  22 / 8  23 / 7
T. Williams  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12  18 /13  16 /13  18 /14
J. Wagner    19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7  22 /10  19 /11  21 /11

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 1,270 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/31). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 36%D, 21%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne   48% 11% 84% 41% 52% 45% 62% 10% 41% 39%
A. Davis   32  67   5  25  33  31  21  64  31  35
Undec      20  23  11  34  15  24  18  26  28  26

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey    44% 14% 70% 41% 45% 43% 54% 12% 41% 31%
A. Davis   33  65  10  28  36  31  23  67  28  39
Undec      23  21  20  31  19  26  23  21  31  31

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James   42%  9% 73% 35% 45% 40% 54%  9% 31% 35%
A. Davis   33  65   7  30  35  31  22  66  38  37
Undec      25  25  20  35  20  29  24  26  31  28

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore   43% 12% 72% 39% 46% 42% 54% 12% 36% 38%
A. Davis   37  70  12  32  40  35  28  67  28  41
Undec      19  18  16  29  15  23  18  21  36  21

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
B. Byrne   43%  7% 78% 34% 47% 40% 56%  7% 31% 41%
R. Sparks  30  60   6  28  34  27  21  57  36  27
Undec      26  32  16  38  19  32  22  37  33  33

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
K. Ivey    39% 10% 67% 32% 41% 38% 49%  9% 36% 29%
R. Sparks  33  62   9  32  36  30  23  60  36  33
Undec      28  28  24  35  23  32  27  31  28  39

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
T. James   38%  5% 71% 28% 40% 38% 50%  6% 23% 32%
R. Sparks  33  62   8  33  37  30  25  57  38  32
Undec      29  33  20  39  24  33  25  38  38  37

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 6/5
R. Moore   42%  9% 72% 37% 42% 41% 53% 10% 28% 38%
R. Sparks  37  67  12  38  42  33  29  61  38  36
Undec      21  24  17  25  16  25  18  29  33  25

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Moore   33%/34% 17%/42% 47%/25% 32%/38% 35%/36% 31%/33%
R. Sparks  20 /20  26 /17  14 /23  21 /20  26 /24  14 /18
A. Davis   20 /35  30 /33  13 /40  19 /30  24 /38  18 /33
K. Ivey    19 /26  19 /26  19 /27  19 /24  17 /29  20 /23
B. Byrne   18 /18   5 /32  30 / 8  14 /16  20 /21  17 /16
T. James   14 /24  10 /27  20 /21  10 /27  18 /29  11 /21

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     74% 75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  25  22  24  29  28   30

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

B. Otter    60%
K. Allred   28
Other        3
Undec        9

Otter As Gov.

Approve     60%
Disapprove  37

Fav/Unfav

B. Otter    62%/35%
K. Allred   34 /34

Maryland
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-30 for the MD Dem Party; surveyed 409 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/1).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
B. Ehrlich     59% 66% 53%
Another GOPer  31  26  35
Undec          10   7  12

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  38  41  40   39   45
Other           2   6   5   4    3    3
Undec           7   7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        47% 43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     52  53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 407 Dem primary voters and 457 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 3/30). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), inventor Sam Franklin Thomas (D), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R), '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R), financial adviser James Potts (R) and businessman Charles Taylor (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                   All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
A. Davis            38% 37% 39% 29% 48% 20%
R. Sparks           28  35  22  33  23  33
S. Franklin Thomas   9   7  10   9   9  13
Undec               25  20  29  29  21  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne    27% 31% 24%
R. Moore    23  24  22
R. Bentley  10  11   9
K. Ivey     10   8  12
T. James     9  10   9
B. Johnson   1   1   1
J. Potts     0  --   0
C. Taylor   --  --  --
Undec       20  16  24

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Davis    28%/34% 36%/35% 23%/33% 31%/26% 28%/38%  7%/67%
R. Sparks   27 /17  40 /15  16 /18  30 /17  25 /15  13 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom
R. Moore    48%/28% 50%/30% 46%/26%
B. Byrne    31 / 9  31 /10  31 / 8
T. James    20 /21  27 /22  14 /20
K. Ivey     20 /26  19 /29  21 /24

Obama As POTUS (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
Approve     84% 85% 83% 68% 98% 87%
Disapprove  13  14  12  26   1   7

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 662 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 3/30). Tested: Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and venture capitalist Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Hoekstra  27%
R. Snyder    18
M. Cox       13
M. Bouchard   6
Other         5
Undec        32

Fav/Unfav

P. Hoekstra  54%/13%
M. Cox       45 /23
R. Synder    40 /14
M. Bouchard  37 /19

Obama As POTUS

Approve      10%
Disapprove   88

Granholm As Gov.

Approve      10%
Disapprove   89

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     52% 55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     29  30  35   29    26
Other         6   5   5    6     5
Undec        13  10   7    9     5

A. Cuomo     50%
S. Levy      26
Other         7
Undec        17

-            Now 3/1
A. Cuomo     51% 56%
C. Paladino  28  27
Other         6   6
Undec        15  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14
A. Cuomo     60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32%
R. Lazio     46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49   n/a
S. Levy      33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/23-29; surveyed 1,526 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
T. Strickland  43% 80%  9% 34% 44% 42% 44%  40%  46%  43% 51%
J. Kasich      38   9  75  38  41  35  39   40   36   38  32
Other           1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1    2    2   1
Not vote        1  --  --   1   1   1   2    1    1    1   1
Undec          17  10  15  26  14  21  15   18   15   16  16

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        49% 71% 26% 46% 46% 50% 48%  45%  48%  46% 57%
Disapprove     40  19  64  42  45  36  40   43   42   42  29

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/21    11/9
T. Strickland  46%/35% 72%/12% 24%/57% 41%/39% 45%/36% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      24 /10  10 /17  43 / 4  25 / 9  26 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        35% 58% 16% 30% 36% 34% 35%  33%  33%  33% 43%
Disapprove     52  30  72  56  53  50  53   52   54   53  43

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
Approve        37% 55% 19% 35% 41% 34% 32%  36%  32% 43% 44%
Disapprove     47  30  66  49  46  47  51   47   53  40  36

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09 2/09
Yes  36% 51% 22% 32% 37% 34% 34%  32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No   41  29  55  41  42  40  45   43   40   40  32  30   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  38% 67% 12% 31% 41% 36% 35%  33%
J. Kasich      38  14  67  39  42  34  41   41
No difference   2   2   1   3   2   2   2   --
Undec          22  16  20  27  15  28  22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      39% 14% 69% 42% 44% 35% 42%  42%
T. Strickland  38  68  11  31  38  37  36   34
No difference   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   --
Undec          21  16  18  25  16  26  21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  40% 70% 16% 33% 41% 40% 35%
J. Kasich      35  12  62  35  39  31  36
No difference   5   3   3   8   5   5   6
Undec          20  15  18  24  16  24  22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  42% 72% 14% 37% 45% 40% 40%
J. Kasich      34   9  64  35  38  30  36
No difference   2   1   2   3   1   3   3
Undec          22  18  20  24  15  27  21