Governor 2010

Massachusetts
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 6/17-23 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 497 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 28%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G). (Note: Trends from 1/6 are among SEN special election LVs.)

General Election Matchup (LVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
D. Patrick  38% 64% 10% 24% 35% 42% 30% 30%
C. Baker    31   9  65  28  38  24  19  20
T. Cahill    9   7   7  15  10   8  23  30
J. Stein     2   3   1   3   2   3  n/a n/a
Other        2   2   1   4   2   2   1   4 
Undec       17  14  16  26  14  21  28  15

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/6     7/21
D. Patrick  43%/45% 63%/26% 19%/72% 34%/52% 39%/50% 36%/52%
T. Cahill   21 /30  20 /31  27 /29  17 /30  39 /15  42 /17
C. Baker    20 /20   9 /31  36 / 3  19 /19  19 /13  16 /14

Patrick As Gov.

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
Approve     42% 41% 63% 20% 29% 39% 45% 41% 35%
Disapprove  49  51  26  74  63  55  42  52  56

Does Patrick's Four Years As Gov. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         30% 48% 13% 18% 28% 32%
Less likely         46  26  70  52  48  43
Little difference   20  23  13  25  19  21

Does Cahill's Four Years As Treas. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         15% 16% 14% 15% 12% 18%
Less likely         30  29  38  24  32  28
Little difference   45  47  40  46  48  42

Does Baker's Record As An Ex-Health Insurance Co. CEO Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         20% 12% 36% 16% 23% 18%
Less likely         30  43  11  31  30  31
Little difference   37  35  43  36  37  37

Who Do You Trust More To Handle The State's Budget And Fiscal Problems?

-                   All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
State legislature   30% 30% 31% 34% 24% 22% 37%
D. Patrick          29  29  40  13  25  36  22
Both equally         8   8  10   4  10   7   9
Neither             27  27  11  43  37  30  24
Undec                6   6   8   6   3   4   8

Patrick Has Brought Reform To Beacon Hill

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Agree       28% 28% 39% 16% 21% 23% 32%
Disagree    55  57  42  70  61  64  46

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/9 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  55% 54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      33  31  35   34   35  33
Other         8   3   6    6    7  11
Undec         4  13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/9     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/27% 62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /48  42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: State Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/10
N. Haley    52% 55%
V. Sheheen  40  34
Other        3   5
Undec        5   6

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/10    12/2
N. Haley    70%/26% 63%/26%  n/a
V. Sheheen  50 /35  46 /36  30%/34%

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25).

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/10). Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/20 2/23
M. O'Malley  45% 47%  49%
B. Ehrlich   45  44   43
Other         5   2    2
Undec         5   7    5

O'Malley As Gov.

-            Now 4/20 2/23
Approve      54% 50%  53%
Disapprove   44  48   42

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/20    2/23
B. Ehrlich   53%/42% 56%/39% 55%/36%
M. O'Malley  53 /43  54 /43  54 /40

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/11). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      31  35   34   35  33
Other         3   6    6    7  11
Undec        13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 6/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 566 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/10). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 26%I. Tested: Ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D) and Soloflex founder Jerry Wilson (Prog.).

General Election Matchup

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley     47% 20% 79% 41% 50% 44%
J. Kitzhaber  40  70  13  35  36  44
J. Wilson      6   7   1  12  11   2
Undec          7   4   7  11   4  10

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 501 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Branstad       57%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
Undec              6

Fav/Unfav

T. Branstad       75%/21%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19
R. Roberts        29 /11

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Experience To Do The Job?

T. Branstad       75%
B. Vander Plaats  13
R. Roberts         4
None of these      2
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Defeat Culver In The Nov. General Election?

T. Branstad       69%
B. Vander Plaats  17
R. Roberts         5
None of these      3
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Ideas For Bringing New Jobs To IA?

T. Branstad       52%
B. Vander Plaats  22
R. Roberts         7
None of these      3
Undec             16

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Cut The Amount Iowans Pay In Taxes?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  23
R. Roberts         8
None of these      4
Undec             17

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Curb Gov't Spending?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  27
R. Roberts         8
None of these      3
Undec             14

Which Candidate Stands Out As Most Committed To Making Decisions For Common Good That May Not Be Popular?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
None of these      2
Undec             13

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Freshest Iseas And New Approaches To IA's Problems?

T. Branstad       40%
B. Vander Plaats  34
R. Roberts        11
None of these      3
Undec             12

If Your Choice Is Not The Nominee, How Likely Is It You Will Support The Winner Of The Primary Against Culver In Nov.?

Definitely vote for GOP candidate          50%
Probably vote for GOP candidate            25
Might or might not vote for GOP candidate  10
Probably will not vote for GOP candidate    8
Undec/no candidate choice                   7

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   47% 41% 54% 45%  39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    33  41  24  27   25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   6   6   6    7   9    7   6    4    3
Others         1   1   1   1   --  n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         12  10  14  21   29  24   31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
R. Reid       44% 77%  7% 44% 38% 50% 42% 42%  43% 48%  49%
J. Gibbons    38  11  71  35  46  30  40  38   36  34   37
Other          2   1   3   3   1   2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           5   4   6   7   6   4  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         11   7  13  11   9  14  18  20   21  18   14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
B. Sandoval   51% 19% 84% 57% 56% 46% 50% 51%  53% 49%  50%
R. Reid       37  68   5  31  34  40  35  29   31  34   33
Other          1   1   1   1   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           1   2  --   2   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         10  10  10   9   8  12  15  20   16  17   17

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8
B. Sandoval   44%/20% 34%/12% 33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%
R. Reid       29 /37  21 /33  22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29
J. Gibbons    27 /47  15 /54  17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             Now     5/11
B. Sandoval   49%/15% 43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /38  33 /41
M. Montandon  17 / 8  19 / 5

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 5/25 3/24
S. Martinez  44% 42%  32%
D. Denish    42  43   51
Other         4   3    7
Undec        10  12   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    3/24
S. Martinez  55%/34% 57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish    51 /41  53 /41  55 /43

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  33  36   36   29   26   28
Other        5   4    8    7    5    7
Undec       13  10   11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  59%/25% 57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  45 /35  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/5-6; surveyed 998 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 6/6). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/23
N. Haley     43% 47% 39% 39%
G. Barrett   23  22  24  16
H. McMaster  16  16  15  18
A. Bauer     12  11  13  13
Undec         7   5   9  14

Primary Runoff Election Matchups

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     51% 56% 46%
G. Barrett   35  31  39
Undec        14  12  15

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     62% 66% 58%
A. Bauer     26  24  29
Undec        12  10  13

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     54% 58% 49%
H. McMaster  35  34  35
Undec        12   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/23
N. Haley     58%/23% 63%/20% 53%/26% 47%/13%
H. McMaster  45 /28  48 /28  42 /28  43 /22
G. Barrett   44 /19  41 /25  48 /13  28 /18
A. Bauer     29 /52  25 /55  33 /49  26 /49

Governor 2010

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/4). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
M. Whitman  51% 51% 50% 63%  45%
S. Poizner  25  27  24  14   17
Other/undec 24  22  26  23   38

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/15    1/17    10/5
M. Whitman  62%/24% 56%/16% 34%/ 8% 29%/10%
S. Poizner  40 /39  20 /34  18 /19  24 /16

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Brown In The General Election?

M. Whitman  61%
S. Poizner  21
Undec       18

A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 5/30-6/1; surveyed 750 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/3). Tested: Poizner and Whitman. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Poizner is "Businessman" and Whitman is "Businesswoman".)

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 4/13
M. Whitman  54% 54% 55% 47%
S. Poizner  24  23  23  19
Other        4   4   3  n/a
Undec       16  17  17  31

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  43% 48% 41% 41%    T. Foley   38% 35% 44% 37% 
M. Fedele  34  28  38  33     N. Lamont  36  42  37  40
Other       4   9   9   8     Other       9  11   7   9
Undec      19  15  12  18     Undec      17  13  13  14

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  42% 44% 40% 36%    D. Malloy  44% 38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  28  27  37  35     T. Foley   35  35  44  36
Other       4  10   7   9     Other       5  11   8  10
Undec      25  20  16  21     Undec      17  16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/1     2/1
D. Malloy  52%/27% 46%/24% 47%/29% 43%/29%
N. Lamont  45 /34  53 /31  43 /40  43 /35
T. Foley   40 /25  42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  36 /26  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       44% 46% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  29  32  26
R. Roberts        12  11  13
Undec             15  11  19

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
T. Branstad       51% 15% 87% 56% 56% 46% 48% 54%
C. Culver         42  81   6  34  37  47  41  38
Undec              7   4   7  10   7   7  11   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         45% 83%  6% 41% 41% 49% 46% 48%
R. Roberts        35   6  70  34  40  30  36  26
Undec             20  11  24  25  19  21  18  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         43% 80%  6% 39% 39% 47% 44% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  42  10  83  39  48  36  40  38
Undec             15  10  11  22  13  17  16  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     5/5     2/17
T. Branstad       54%/36% 57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         44 /47  46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  41 /40  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        28 /37  27 /35  13 /16

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   48% 44% 52%
J. Gibbons    27  33  21
M. Montandon   6   7   5
Other          2   3   1
Undec         17  13  21

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       52% 85% 15% 55% 47% 57% 45% 83% 79%
J. Gibbons    31   4  62  27  38  24  37   2   7
Other          8   2  13  11  19   6  10   0   1
Undec          9   9  10   7   5  13   8  15  13

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       43% 78%  6% 40% 38% 48% 36% 80% 72%
M. Montandon  40   9  75  38  44  36  48   3  11
Other          7   3   8  13   7   7   8   0   1
Undec         10  10  11   9  11   9   8  17  16

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
B. Sandoval   51% 21% 84% 51% 56% 46% 59%  5% 26%
R. Reid       41  74   5  38  37  45  34  81  64
Other          5   3   6   9   5   5   6   0   0
Undec          3   2   5   2   2   4   1  14  10

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/28    9/2
B. Sandoval   47%/32% 24%/53% 74%/11% 43%/28%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       42 /39  68 /16  14 /62  39 /46   n/a     n/a
M. Montandon  32 /30   9 /52  59 / 8  29 /26   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    19 /62   5 /88  37 /33  12 /64  21%/59% 17%/61%

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 1,277 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown: 38%R, 37%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Branstad       52% 20% 85% 49% 53% 51%
C. Culver         37  71   7  33  39  36
Undec             11   9   8  19   9  13

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Roberts        40% 10% 72% 35% 43% 36%
C. Culver         38  74   7  32  40  37
Undec             22  15  21  33  17  27

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Vander Plaats  43% 10% 77% 42% 46% 41%
C. Culver         38  75   5  33  40  35
Undec             19  15  19  25  15  23

Culver As Gov.

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       28% 56%  4% 22% 30% 27%
Disapprove    56  26  84  59  56  56

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Dem     GOP     Ind
T. Branstad       42%/37% 23%/57% 62%/17% 39%/37%
B. Vander Plaats  28 /30  13 /43  45 /18  22 /28
R. Roberts        15 /19  11 /28  21 /14  14 /15

Maine
A ME Center for Public Opinion (R) poll; conducted 5/22-6/2 for '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R); surveyed 915 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/3). Tested: Mills, atty/Sen. Collins ex-CoS/mgr. Steve Abbott (R), ex-Husson Univ. pres./CEO Bill Beardsley (R), businessman Matt Jacobson (R), Waterville Mayor Paul LePage (R), businessman/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and businessman Bruce Poliquin (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Mills      22%
L. Otten      17
S. Abbott     14
P. LePage     11
B. Beardsley   6
B. Poliquin    5
M. Jacobson    1
Undec         24

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 5/22-26 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/2). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon    29%
V. Bernero   23
Undec        48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra  30% 27%  27%  25%  29%
M. Cox       18  21   21   32   28
R. Snyder    17  15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  13   10   16   14
T. George     2   3    1    2    2
Other        n/a  3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        17  18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Bouchard  48%
V. Bernero   32
Undec        20

M. Bouchard  49%
A. Dillon    33
Undec        18

-            Now 3/31
M. Cox       46% 44%
V. Bernero   36  30
Undec        18  26

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26
M. Cox       46% 43%  43%  47%    
A. Dillon    37  34   36   30     
Undec        17  23   21   23

-            Now 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 42%
V. Bernero   34  29
Undec        19  29

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  47% 40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    35  33   37   32
Undec        18  27   21   28

-            Now 3/31
R. Snyder    51% 42%
V. Bernero   28  26
Undec        21  32

-            Now 3/31
R. Snyder    50% 42%
A. Dillon    31  30
Undec        19  28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero    9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Nevada
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-2; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. Dist. Judge/ex-AG/ex-Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   47% 48% 45%
J. Gibbons    25  29  20
M. Montandon  10   7  13
S. Lusak       1   1   2
T. Atwood      1   1   0
Undec         16  13  19

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
B. Sandoval   58%/22% 59%/21% 57%/22%
J. Gibbons    37 /50  40 /48  33 /53
M. Montandon  25 /15  26 /17  23 /14
S. Lusak       3 /13   3 /11   2 /14
T. Atwood      5 /12   5 /11   4 /12

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Strategy Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Baselice & Assoc. (R); surveyed 1,005 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/13). Tested: Ex-state Community College chancellor Bradley Byrne (R), ex-AL Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R), real estate developer Tim James (R), ex-AL Economic Development dir. Bill Johnson (R) and state Rep. Robert Bentley (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/4
B. Byrne    24% 27% 21% 20%
T. James    23  24  23   8
R. Moore    18  19  17  17
R. Bentley  12  11  12   4
B. Johnson   2   2   2   2
K. Ivey     n/a n/a n/a  3
Undec       21  16  25  46

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/10-12 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/13). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Beebe  62% 83% 35% 66% 58% 66%
J. Keet   19   5  41  13  23  15
Undec     19  12  24  21  19  19

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/24    12/2
M. Beebe  64%/24% 84%/ 8% 37%/52% 68%/13% 67%/23% 64%/24%
J. Keet   22 /10   9 /17  38 / 4  20 / 8   n/a     n/a

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/10-11 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   45% 42% 49% 39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    27  34  18  25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   7   5   7   9    7   6    4    3
T. Atwood      1   2  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
S. Lusak      --  --  --  --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Others        n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         21  15  28  29  24   31  37   35   46

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval   43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /41
M. Montandon  19 / 5

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13).

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       56% 59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    43  39  36  39   38   34

Oregon
A KPTV-TV/Portland Tribune poll; conducted 5/8-10 by Davis, Hibbits & Midghall; surveyed 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.7% for each (release, 5/12). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R) and '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Kitzhaber  53%
B. Bradbury   23
R. Obrist      2
Undec         22

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

C. Dudley     33%
A. Alley      23
J. Lim         8
B. Sizemore    6
Other          6
Undec         24

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 416 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/14). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3
D. Onorato   39% 39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36%
T. Williams  14  14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8   9   9
J. Hoeffel   11  11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12  11   9
J. Wagner    11   9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9   8   8
Other/undec  25  27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39  37  38

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/12    5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8
D. Onorato   46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9%
T. Williams  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13
J. Hoeffel   25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8
J. Wagner    24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8

A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 5/13). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner, Williams, AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   46% 49% 42%
T. Williams  13   9  16
J. Wagner     9   9   8
J. Hoeffel    8   9   7
Undec        25  23  26

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Corbett   58% 67% 49%
S. Rohrer    20  21  18
Undec        22  11  32

Fav/Unfav

-            Dems    GOPers
B. Obama     75%/18% 13%/81%
E. Rendell   61 /31  17 /76
D. Onorato   47 /15  21 /30
J. Wagner    24 /14  18 /14
T. Williams  22 /22  12 /20
J. Hoeffel   20 /14   6 /13
T. Corbett   33 /29  61 /14
S. Rohrer     7 /13  25 / 7

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchups

-           All Men Wom
J. Arpaio   33% 37% 29%
J. Brewer   25  29  20
D. Martin   15  11  19
B. Mills    11  11  12
J. Munger    1   1   2
Undec       15  11  19

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   38% 43% 32%
B. Mills    19  20  19
D. Martin   16  15  17
J. Munger    3   3   4
Undec       24  20  28

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Men Wom
Approve     52% 56% 48%
Disapprove  30  28  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
J. Arpaio   70%/22% 77%/20% 63%/24%
B. Mills    27 /11  29 /11  26 /12
D. Martin   26 /11  27 /13  25 / 9
J. Munger    5 / 9   4 /11   6 / 7

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/5 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  38  37  45
Other        5   7   6  13
Undec       11  10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     40% 43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  58  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    47%/32% 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    43 /50  37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/29). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All    Dem     GOP     Ind     9/2
J. Gibbons  21%/59  7%/84% 39%/31% 14%/61% 17%/61%

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
R. Reid       47% 43%  44% 44%
J. Gibbons    37  45   36  35
Other         12   8   15  13
Undec          3   4    4   8

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 45%  42% 36%
R. Reid       39  38   37  40
Other          9   9   13  14
Undec          8   8    8  10

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 55%  53% 45%
R. Reid       35  34   35  33
Other          6   6    7  11
Undec          5   4    5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       35% 42%  37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    63  57   61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  41 /28  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    32 /65  35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     56% 52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     24  29   30  35   29    26
Other         6   6    5   5    6     5
Undec        14  13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 3/29
A. Cuomo     50% 50%
S. Levy      27  26
Other         6   7
Undec        17  17

-            Now 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  28   27
Other         5   6    6
Undec        15  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22
A. Cuomo     65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25%
R. Lazio     38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49
S. Levy      35 /32  33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a

Utah
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 1/20
G. Herbert  61% 55%
P. Corroon  30  30
Undec        9  15

Fav/Unfav

G. Herbert  51%/16%
P. Corroon  30 /14

Governor 2010

Georgia
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/5-7; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/9). Party ID breakdown: 41%R, 37%D, 22%I. Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
N. Deal      48%  8% 84% 47% 53% 43% 65%  3%
T. Baker     35  75   4  28  32  38  20  75
Undec        17  17  12  25  15  19  15  22

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 4/09
J. Oxendine  48%  8% 84% 47% 52% 44% 65%  3% 47%
T. Baker     36  75   4  32  33  39  21  76  42
Undec        16  17  12  21  15  17  14  21  11

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 4/09
K. Handel    49%  9% 84% 49% 53% 45% 66%  3% 40%
T. Baker     35  74   4  30  33  37  20  75  42
Undec        16  17  12  21  14  18  14  22  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Barnes    44% 83%  8% 46% 39% 49% 30% 82%
N. Deal      42   6  77  37  46  38  56   3
Undec        14  11  15  17  15  13  14  15

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 4/09
R. Barnes    44% 83%  8% 46% 40% 48% 30% 82% 45%
K. Handel    43   7  78  38  47  39  57   4  39
Undec        13  10  14  16  13  13  13  14  16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 4/09
R. Barnes    45% 84%  9% 47% 41% 49% 31% 82% 44%
J. Oxendine  42   6  77  37  47  37  56   4  46
Undec        13  10  14  16  12  14  13  14  10

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/09
J. Oxendine  49%/36% 26%/59% 71%/15% 47%/38% 44%/35%
R. Barnes    48 /38  77 /14  23 /60  46 /37  45 /35
J. Handel    43 /35  18 /60  67 /12  41 /36  39 /21
T. Baker     41 /25  71 /12  16 /40  37 /21  39 /22
N. Deal      40 /33  13 /57  65 /12  39 /32   n/a

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 4/5-7 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (releases, 4/9-11). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 37%R, 20%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   7   9    7   6    4    3
T. Atwood     --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
S. Lusak      --  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Others        n/a n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         29  24   31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
R. Reid       42% 72%  8% 39% 35% 49% 42%  43% 48%  49%  47%
J. Gibbons    40  14  68  42  50  30  38   36  34   37   35
Undec         18  14  24  19  15  21  20   21  18   14   18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   50% 21% 85% 50% 57% 43% 51%  53% 49%  50%  49%
R. Reid       35  62   6  33  29  41  29   31  34   33   32
Undec         15  17   9  17  14  16  20   16  17   17   19

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8    6/19
B. Sandoval   34%/12% 33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%  n/a
R. Reid       21 /33  22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29   n/a
J. Gibbons    15 /54  17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54  10%/57%

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D), activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/8 1/12 9/14
J. Lynch      50% 51% 52%  52%
J. Kimball    34  32  31   31
Other          4   3   4    6
Undec         12  13  12   10

-             Now 3/8
J. Lynch      47% 50%
J. Stephen    37  35
Other          5   2
Undec         11  14

-             Now 3/8 1/12
J. Lynch      50% 54% 53%
K. Testerman  33  28  30
Other          6   5   5
Undec         11  14  12

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    39  36  39   38   34

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/8     1/12    9/12
J. Lynch      60%/35% 59%/37% 59%/38% 63%/33%
J. Kimball    36 /26  27 /25  31 /28  28 /27
J. Stephen    36 /27  32 /30   n/a     n/a
K. Testerman  31 /27  22 /30  33 /30   n/a

Ohio
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/5-7 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/9). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/8
T. Strickland  45% 80%  7% 43% 42% 49% 44%
J. Kasich      40   7  76  40  46  34  39
Undec          15  13  17  17  13  17  17

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     7/8
T. Strickland  47%/41% 72%/20% 24%/64% 43%/41% 44%/40%
J. Kasich      42 /28  23 /47  66 / 9  40 /25  31 /12

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call poll; conducted 3/29-4/7; surveyed 402 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/12). Party reg. breakdown: 40%D, 36%R, 13%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups

T. Corbett  45%
J. Hoeffel  11
Undec       44

T. Corbett  42%
D. Onorato  18
Undec       40

T. Corbett  44%
J. Wagner   16
Undec       40

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Dresner, Wickers & Assoc. (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16-18 for '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/5). Tested: Keet and Gov. Mike Beebe (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Beebe  55%
J. Keet   21

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/31; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/5). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/3 2/3
J. Gibbons    45% 36% 35%
R. Reid       43  44  44
Other          8  15  13
Undec          4   4   8

-             Now 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 42% 36%
R. Reid       38  37  40
Other          9  13  14
Undec          8   8  10

-             Now 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   55% 53% 45%
R. Reid       34  35  33
Other          6   7  11
Undec          4   5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       42% 37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    57  61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

Wisconsin
A WI Public Radio/St. Norbert College poll; conducted 3/23-31; surveyed 400 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/6). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Neumann       43%
T. Barrett       29
Indie/3rd party  10
Not vote          1
Undec            17

S. Walker        44%
T. Barrett       28
Indie/3rd party  13
Not vote          1
Undec            14

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 2/10-13 for Gov. Martin O'Malley (D); surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Wagner, "Maryland Politics," Washington Post, 3/5). Tested: O'Malley and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
M. O'Malley  51% 47% 53%
B. Ehrlich   41  45  38

Nebraska
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/5). Tested: Gov. Dave Heineman (R) and agribusiness investment exec. Mark Lakers (D).

General Election Matchup

D. Heineman  61%
M. Lakers    23
Other         2
Undec        14

Heineman As Gov.

Approve      69%
Disapprove   29

Fav/Unfav

D. Heineman  71%/27%
M. Lakers    30 /24

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/7). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 2/3
R. Reid       44% 44%
J. Gibbons    36  35
Other         15  13
Undec          4   8

-             Now 2/3
M. Montandon  42% 36%
R. Reid       37  40
Other         13  14
Undec          8  10

-             Now 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 45%
R. Reid       35  33
Other          7  11
Undec          5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/3
B. Sandoval   55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 3/7; surveyed 712 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/8). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
A. Cuomo  63% 83% 37% 55% 63%  66%  68%  67%   66%   64%
R. Lazio  25   9  56  26  26   24   22   22    21    18
Undec     11   8   6  20  11   10   10   11    14    18

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/19    1/14
A. Cuomo  63%/25% 68%/19% 57%/33% 62%/29% 66%/21% 67%/21%
R. Lazio  30 /29  20 /39  43 /21  36 /23  31 /26  27 /30

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18
For GOV        58% 68% 48% 49% 51%  53%  50%  52%   49%
Reelect as AG  29  24  37  33  33   30   31   28    36

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    38% 40% 38% 36% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   52  53  53  53  43   49   51   52

Paterson Asked Cuomo To Conduct An Investigation To Determine If The Gov. Or Any Of His Staff Acted Illegally Or Unethically In Dealing With A Domestic Violence Charge Leveled Against A Top Aide To The Gov. By That Aide's Then-Girlfriend. Do You Think Cuomo's Investigation Will Be Conducted Fairly And Impartially, Or Do You Think It Will Be Unduly Influenced By Political Concerns?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Fair/impartial                 57% 59% 60% 51%
Unduly influenced by politics  38  37  37  44

Do You Think This Investigation Of Paterson And His Staff Is Best Conducted By Cuomo, Or Do You Think It Would Be Better If It Was Conducted By An Independent, Outside Prosecutor?

-                      All Dem GOP Ind
Outside prosecutor     68% 68% 67% 70%
A. Cuomo               27  28  28  24

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  38  41  40   39   45
Other           6   5   4    3    3
Undec           7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Governor 2010

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and state Sen. Kirk Dillard (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Quinn    46% 75%  7% 40% 43% 49%
K. Dillard  35   7  77  35  39  31
Other        1   1   1   1   1   1
Undec       18  17  15  24  17  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Quinn    37%/41% 18%/56% 69%/17% 34%/43% 40%/39% 34%/43%
K. Dillard  31 /37  10 /53  66 /10  29 /39  34 /33  28 /41
B. Brady    29 /41   7 /60  64 / 9  28 /43  33 /38  25 /44

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 2/21-24; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsamples of 273 Dem primary voters and 155 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 5.9% and 7.9%, respectively (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), '06 Green-Rainbow Party nominee Grace Ross (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom
D. Patrick  59% 56% 62%
G. Ross     15  22  10
Undec       26  22  28

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 11/8 9/15
C. Baker    47% 43% 53% 30%  43%
C. Mihos    17  24   7  33   19
Undec       36  33  40  37   38

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  33% 58% 10% 21% 28% 37% 38%  36%
C. Baker    25  10  55  30  31  20  15   14
T. Cahill   23  21  25  24  20  25  26   23
J. Stein     3   1   0   4   3   2  n/a  n/a
Undec       16  11  10  21  17  15  22   26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  34% 59% 13% 22% 29% 40% 36%  36%
T. Cahill   26  21  25  30  25  27  26   24
C. Mihos    19  10  47  19  26  12  20   17
J. Stein     3   2   0   5   3   3  n/a  n/a
Undec       18   9  15  25  17  18  18   23

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8
Approve     35% 55% 20% 25% 31% 39% 42%
Disapprove  54  36  75  63  60  48  51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/8    9/15
D. Patrick  38%/50% 60%/29% 20%/68% 25%/62% 43%/47% 42%/45%
T. Cahill   31 /16  29 /15  32 /22  32 /16  41 /13  35 /12
C. Mihos    20 /28  14 /37  25 /30  25 /21  30 /25  27 /23
C. Baker    18 /12   9 /18  33 / 5  21 / 8  13 / 7  15/ 11

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15 3/20
Re-elect him    29% 49% 13% 17% 26% 31% 32%  29%  34%
Someone else    60  41  80  70  65  56  55   56   47
Undec           11  11   7  12   9  13  13   15   20

Do You Think Patrick Is A Weak Leader, Or Is He A Victim Of The Bad Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Weak leader     68% 55% 78% 70% 70% 65%
Bad economy     22  36  11  19  21  22

Do You Think MA Would Be Better Off With A GOP Gov.?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/15
Yes     30% 12% 62% 36% 37% 24% 35%
No      48  76  15  35  42  54  54

Do You View Cahill As An Indie, Or Do You View Him As Still A Dem Who Left His Party To Run For GOV?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Dem         47% 46% 53% 46% 48% 45%
Indie       26  24  28  26  25  26

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   37% 39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    30  23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   9   7   6    4    3
Others        n/a n/a --   --    1
Undec         24  31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
R. Reid       42% 70%  9% 42% 36% 48% 43% 48%  49%  47%
J. Gibbons    38  12  71  35  48  28  36  34   37   35
Undec         20  18  20  22  16  24  21  18   14   18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   51% 23% 84% 49% 56% 46% 53% 49%  50%  49%
R. Reid       29  55   5  29  23  35  31  34   33   32
Undec         20  22  11  22  21  19  16  17   17   19

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     1/7     12/2    10/8    6/19    5/14
B. Sandoval   33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54  10%/57% 17%/52%

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 9/22                           Now 9/22
T. Branstad  53% 54%          B. Vander Plaats  46% 43%
C. Culver    37  34           C. Culver         40  39
Other         6   8           Other              7   9
Undec         4   4           Undec              7   9

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     9/22
T. Branstad       57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  43 /34  45 /30
C. Culver         42 /55  43 /50

Culver As Gov.

-            Now 9/22
Approve      41% 43%
Disapprove   57  53

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4/0% (release, 2/16).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve     56% 51%  49%   57%   48%  54%  50%  54%  53%
Disapprove  37  40   40    30    42   36   34   36   37

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. Sandoval   38%
J. Gibbons    32
M. Montandon   9
Undec         19M

General Election Matchups

R. Reid       47%
J. Gibbons    36
Undec         14

M. Montandon  40%
R. Reid       40
Undec         19M

B. Sandoval   50%
R. Reid       34
Undec         15

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval   37%/10%
J. Gibbons    29 /58
R. Reid       23 /37
M. Montandon  10 / 5

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/16-21; surveyed 1,662 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
T. Strickland  44% 82% 11% 38% 38% 48% 40%  46%  43% 51% 51%
J. Kasich      39   9  73  38  45  33  40   36   38  32  31
Other           1   1  --   1   1  --   1    2    2   1   1
Not vote        2  --  --   4   2   1   1    1    1   1   2
Undec          15   8  16  19  13  17  18   15   16  16  15

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve        48% 73% 28% 44% 45% 50% 45%  48%  46% 57% 56%
Disapprove     40  20  59  43  47  35  43   42   42  29  30

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/9
T. Strickland  45%/36% 68%/15% 22%/59% 45%/37% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      26 /10  10 /17  42 / 4  29 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve        35% 60% 16% 33% 35% 35% 33%  33%  33% 43% 39%
Disapprove     53  32  71  56  55  51  52   54   53  43  45

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Approve        32% 51% 15% 30% 32% 32% 36%  32% 43% 44%  48%
Disapprove     51  31  68  54  53  49  47   53  40  36   30

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich      41% 15% 67% 44% 48% 35% 41%
T. Strickland  35  64  11  31  33  37  33
No difference   2   2   1   2   2   1  --
Undec          22  19  20  23  17  27  27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich      42% 18% 70% 43% 50% 35% 42%
T. Strickland  36  66  11  31  36  37  34
No difference   1   1   1   1   1   1  --
Undec          21  15  19  25  14  27  25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich      36% 13% 63% 36% 41% 31%
T. Strickland  35  63  13  31  34  36
No difference   6   5   3   8   8   4
Undec          22  19  21  25  16  28

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland  40% 70% 14% 37% 37% 42%
J. Kasich      36  11  66  35  42  31
No difference   3   1   3   5   5   2
Undec          21  17  18  23  16  25

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Yes    34% 55% 17% 31% 36% 32% 32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No     45  28  59  48  46  43  43   40   40  32  30   27

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/19-21; surveyed 361 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.2% and +/- 4.9%, respectively (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R), Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R), physician Alma Ludivina Aguado (D), teacher Felix Alvarado (D), private investigator Bill Dear (D), Prairie View A & M assoc. prof. Clement Glenn (D), '06 GOP candidate/rancher/home-builder Star Locke (D), hair-care mogul Farouk Shami (D) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
B. White      59% 57% 61% 72% 52% 48% 38% 49%
F. Shami      12  17   9   6  14  19  25  19
F. Alvarado    5   4   5  --  --  14  --   5
A. Aguado      3   3   2   2  --   5  --   2
C. Glenn       2   3   1   1   3  --  13   1
B. Dear        1   3  --   1   3  --  --   0
S. Locke       0   1  --  --  --  --  13   0
Undec         18  12  22  24  17  28  14  13

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
R. Perry      40% 34% 47% 39%
K. Hutchison  31  34  28  28
D. Medina     20  24  16  24
Undec          9   8   9  10

Primary Runoff Election Matchups (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry      52% 48% 57%
K. Hutchison  35  37  33
Undec         12  15   9

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry      56% 52% 60%
D. Medina     36  40  32
Undec          8   8   9

Perry As Gov. (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve       50% 44% 56% 50%
Disapprove    41  45  36  36

Hutchison As Sen. (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve       47% 47% 48% 51%
Disapprove    43  44  42  28

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             All     Men     Wom     2/7
G.W. Bush     79%/14% 76%/18% 82%/10%  n/a
R. Paul       38 /30  43 /32  32 /28   n/a
D. Medina     36 /30  40 /29  32 /32  40%/ 9%

Governor 2010

Nevada
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 1/31 for the NV State Educ. Assn; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/16). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

R. Reid      49%
J. Gibbons   33
Undec        19
B. Sandoval  44%
R. Reid      35
Undec        21

Gibbons As Gov.

Excellent/good   20%
Only fair/poor   75

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval  30%/11%
R. Reid      29 /31
J. Gibbons   25 /54

Oregon
A Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Assoc. (D) poll; conducted 2/4-9 for ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D); surveyed 554 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 2/16). Tested: Kitzhaber, '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and Soloflex founder Jerry Wilson (D).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Kitzhaber  55%
B. Bradbury   21
J. Wilson      2
Undec         22

Fav/Unfav

J. Kitzhaber  69%/16%
B. Bradbury   54 /13

Governor - Nevada (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Nevada News Bureau poll; conducted 11/20-21 by PMI, Inc. (IVR); surveyed 3,080 active voters; margin of error +/- 1.8% (release, 11/23). Tested: Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman (D), Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-AG/ex-state Assemb./ex-Gaming Commission chair Brian Sandoval (R). (Note: Goodman appears in this matchup as an indie).

General Election Matchup
B. Sandoval 35%
O. Goodman 28
R. Reid 21
Other 16 

Governor - Nevada (2010)

Governor (2010)
A PMI, Inc. (IVR) poll; conducted 11/6-7 for activist Chuck Muth; surveyed 4,796 GOP primary RVs; margin of error 1.4% (Ralston, "RalstonFlash," 11/8). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons, ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-AG/ex-state Assemb./ex-Gaming Cmsn chair Brian Sandoval.

Primary Election Matchup
B. Sandoval   36%
J. Gibbons    24
M. Montandon   7
Neither       33

Governor - Nevada (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 10/6-8 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary RVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/12). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman (D), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-US District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             Now 8/18
B. Sandoval   41% 33%
J. Gibbons    20  17
M. Montandon   4   3
Others        --   1
Undec         35  46

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/18
R. Reid       49% 78% 24% 31% 42% 56% 47%
J. Gibbons    37  10  65  45  45  29  35
Undec         14  12  11  24  13  15  18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/18
B. Sandoval   50% 18% 85% 55% 57% 43% 49%
R. Reid       33  62   3  24  28  38  32
Undec         17  20  12  21  15  19  19

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
O. Goodman    36% 30% 35% 52% 34% 38%
R. Reid       27  56   3   8  19  35
J. Gibbons    24   4  48  24  33  15
Undec         13  10  14  16  14  12

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Sandoval   33% 12% 57% 38% 40% 26%
O. Goodman    33  30  33  41  31  35
R. Reid       25  50   4   7  19  31
Undec          9   8   6  14  10   8

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     6/19    5/14
O. Goodman    49%/ 9%  n/a     n/a
B. Sandoval   38 / 7   n/a     n/a
R. Reid       21 /29   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    15 /54  10 /57  17 /52