Governor 2010

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/4). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
M. Whitman  51% 51% 50% 63%  45%
S. Poizner  25  27  24  14   17
Other/undec 24  22  26  23   38

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/15    1/17    10/5
M. Whitman  62%/24% 56%/16% 34%/ 8% 29%/10%
S. Poizner  40 /39  20 /34  18 /19  24 /16

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Brown In The General Election?

M. Whitman  61%
S. Poizner  21
Undec       18

A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 5/30-6/1; surveyed 750 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/3). Tested: Poizner and Whitman. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Poizner is "Businessman" and Whitman is "Businesswoman".)

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 4/13
M. Whitman  54% 54% 55% 47%
S. Poizner  24  23  23  19
Other        4   4   3  n/a
Undec       16  17  17  31

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  43% 48% 41% 41%    T. Foley   38% 35% 44% 37% 
M. Fedele  34  28  38  33     N. Lamont  36  42  37  40
Other       4   9   9   8     Other       9  11   7   9
Undec      19  15  12  18     Undec      17  13  13  14

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  42% 44% 40% 36%    D. Malloy  44% 38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  28  27  37  35     T. Foley   35  35  44  36
Other       4  10   7   9     Other       5  11   8  10
Undec      25  20  16  21     Undec      17  16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/1     2/1
D. Malloy  52%/27% 46%/24% 47%/29% 43%/29%
N. Lamont  45 /34  53 /31  43 /40  43 /35
T. Foley   40 /25  42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  36 /26  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       44% 46% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  29  32  26
R. Roberts        12  11  13
Undec             15  11  19

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
T. Branstad       51% 15% 87% 56% 56% 46% 48% 54%
C. Culver         42  81   6  34  37  47  41  38
Undec              7   4   7  10   7   7  11   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         45% 83%  6% 41% 41% 49% 46% 48%
R. Roberts        35   6  70  34  40  30  36  26
Undec             20  11  24  25  19  21  18  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         43% 80%  6% 39% 39% 47% 44% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  42  10  83  39  48  36  40  38
Undec             15  10  11  22  13  17  16  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     5/5     2/17
T. Branstad       54%/36% 57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         44 /47  46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  41 /40  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        28 /37  27 /35  13 /16

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   48% 44% 52%
J. Gibbons    27  33  21
M. Montandon   6   7   5
Other          2   3   1
Undec         17  13  21

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       52% 85% 15% 55% 47% 57% 45% 83% 79%
J. Gibbons    31   4  62  27  38  24  37   2   7
Other          8   2  13  11  19   6  10   0   1
Undec          9   9  10   7   5  13   8  15  13

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       43% 78%  6% 40% 38% 48% 36% 80% 72%
M. Montandon  40   9  75  38  44  36  48   3  11
Other          7   3   8  13   7   7   8   0   1
Undec         10  10  11   9  11   9   8  17  16

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
B. Sandoval   51% 21% 84% 51% 56% 46% 59%  5% 26%
R. Reid       41  74   5  38  37  45  34  81  64
Other          5   3   6   9   5   5   6   0   0
Undec          3   2   5   2   2   4   1  14  10

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/28    9/2
B. Sandoval   47%/32% 24%/53% 74%/11% 43%/28%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       42 /39  68 /16  14 /62  39 /46   n/a     n/a
M. Montandon  32 /30   9 /52  59 / 8  29 /26   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    19 /62   5 /88  37 /33  12 /64  21%/59% 17%/61%

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/25
M. Whitman  54% 58% 50% 61%
S. Poizner  19  18  20  11
Other       15  16  14   4
Undec       12   8  16  24

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/25
M. Whitman  56%/23% 62%/ 9%
S. Poizner  31 /51  22 /22

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Poizner and Whitman.

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24
J. Brown    43% 50%  42%  46%  45%  43%   45%
S. Poizner  42  32   27   34   35   32    32
Other        7  10   13    7    9    7     5
Undec        8   8   18   13   11   18    18

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24 1/09
J. Brown    45% 44%  40%  43%  43%  41%   44%  40%
M. Whitman  41  38   40   43   39   41    35%  38
Other        8   9    6    6    7    3     3    5
Undec        7   9   14    8   11   14    18   17

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/19    3/15    2/15    1/19    11/17
J. Brown    53%/42% 51%/42% 46%/44% 53%/41% 49%/40% 48%/41%
M. Whitman  48 /47  47 /43  51 /34  56 /28  48 /30  47 /27
S. Poizner  48 /47  38 /46  29 /47  38 /37  40 /31  36 /26

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 379 Dem RVs and 231 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 5.0% and 6.5%, respectively (release, 5/27). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R) and businessman Oz Griebel (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom
N. Lamont   41% 43% 40%
D. Malloy   24  30  19
Other        2   3   2
Not vote     3   3   3
Undec       30  20  37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
T. Foley    37% 37% 37%
M. Fedele   11  13   6
O. Griebel   5   7   1
Other        3   3   2
Not vote     3   3   3
Undec       42  37  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
N. Lamont   46%/12% 47%/23% 45%/ 6% 43%/13%
D. Malloy   28 / 5  36 / 4  24 / 5  35 / 9

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
T. Foley    34%/ 6% 38%/ 9% 30%/ 2% 37%/ 6%
M. Fedele   15 / 6  21 / 7   7 / 5  11 / 8
O. Griebel  10 / 2  11 / 3   8 /--   5 / 3

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 428 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/27). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), management technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 4/6 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes     64% 47% 36%  35%
D. Porter      8   5   3    3
T. Baker       6  18   7   11
C. Camon       5  n/a n/a  n/a
D. Poythress   1   6   2    2
R. Mangham     1  n/a n/a  n/a
B. Bolton      0  n/a n/a  n/a
Other         n/a n/a  4   n/a
Undec         15  24  48   49

New Mexico
A KOB-TV poll; conducted 5/23-25 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,405 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 464 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 50%D, 37%R, 12%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      43% 41% 46%
A. Weh           33  34  32
D. Turner         8  11   6
P. Domenici       8   7   8
J. Arnold-Jones   3   2   3
Undec             5   6   5

General Election Matchups

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        49% 78% 14% 38% 45% 53%
J. Arnold-Jones  35  11  67  40  41  30
Undec            16  11  19  22  14  17

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        46% 71% 15% 43% 43% 49%
P. Domenici      40  19  70  34  45  36
Undec            14  10  16  24  13  15

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez      49% 23% 83% 50% 53% 45%
D. Denish        43  70   9  38  40  46
Undec             8   7   8  12   7   9

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        50% 79% 14% 40% 47% 53%
D. Turner        36  10  70  37  41  31
Undec            14  11  16  22  12  16

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        47% 77% 11% 36% 44% 50%
A. Weh           42  15  79  45  48  37
Undec            10   9  10  19   8  13

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  44% 46%  46%  44%     
T. Barrett  42  46   42   42
Other        6   4    4    4
Undec        8   5    8   10

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker   48% 46%  48%  49%
T. Barrett  41  44   42   40
Other        3   3    2    1
Undec        8   7    8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker   52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  48 /31  53 /31  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  48 /36  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27).

Barrett As Milwaukee Mayor

Approve     39%
Disapprove  23

Governor 2010

Alabama
An Ayers, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Tested: James, state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. James    26%
R. Moore    21
B. Byrne    20
R. Bentley   7

Fav/Unfav

T. James    50%/12%
R. Moore    49 /23
B. Byrne    35 /13

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   32% 29% 35%
B. Mills    14  16  12
D. Martin   13  16  10
J. Munger    5   6   4
Undec       36  33  39

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 86% 15% 55% 44% 52% 41% 80% 74%
J. Brewer   42   6  73  36  47  37  51   3   9
Undec       10   9  12   9   9  11   8  17  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 14% 54% 43% 51% 40% 80% 74%
D. Martin   35   6  61  30  39  31  43   2   6
Undec       18  10  25  16  18  18  17  18  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 85% 14% 56% 44% 52% 41% 82% 75%
B. Mills    34   6  60  27  38  30  42   2   6
Undec       18   9  26  17  18  18  17  17  19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 13% 55% 44% 50% 40% 80% 75%
J. Munger   30   5  55  22  34  26  36   2   6
Undec       23  11  32  23  22  24  24  18  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
T. Goddard  46%/25% 75%/ 8% 22%/40% 49%/22%  n/a
J. Brewer   36 /51   9 /79  64 /25  25 /59  39%/54%
D. Martin   28 /17  13 /28  48 /10  17 /14   n/a
B. Mills    17 /20   9 /34  48 /11  16 /17   n/a
J. Munger    9 /15   4 /22  14 /10   7 /14   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  48% 41% 41%        N. Lamont  42% 37% 40% 
M. Fedele  28  38  33         N. Lamont  35  44  37
Other       9   9   8         Other      11   7   9
Undec      15  12  18         Undec      13  13  14

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  44% 40% 36%        D. Malloy  38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  27  37  35         T. Foley   35  44  36
Other      10   7   9         Other      11   8  10
Undec      20  16  21         Undec      16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/1     2/1
N. Lamont  53%/31% 43%/40% 43%/35%
D. Malloy  46 /24  47 /29  43 /29
T. Foley   42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
T. Branstad       48% 12% 85% 51% 53% 43% 54%
C. Culver         41  80   6  34  37  45  38
Undec             11   8   9  15  10  12   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         46% 83%  7% 43% 42% 50% 48%
R. Roberts        36   7  71  35  41  31  26
Undec             18  10  22  22  17  19  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         44% 81%  6% 43% 42% 50% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  40   9  78  38  45  35  38
Undec             16  10  16  21  15  17  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/17
T. Branstad       57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        27 /35  13 /16

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
J. Hoeffel   11  12  11   9   7   6
T. Williams  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
D. Onorato   40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10% 42%/ 6% 42%/ 6% 45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7  25 / 8  22 / 8  23 / 7
T. Williams  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12  18 /13  16 /13  18 /14
J. Wagner    19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7  22 /10  19 /11  21 /11

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
N. Lamont  41% 41%            T. Foley   44% 37%
M. Fedele  38  33             N. Lamont  37  40
Other       9   8             Other       7   9
Undec      12  18             Undec      13  14

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
D. Malloy  40% 36%            T. Foley   44% 36%
M. Fedele  37  35             D. Malloy  35  37
Other       7   9             Other       8  10
Undec      16  21             Undec      14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/1
D. Malloy  47%/29% 43%/29%
T. Foley   45 /25  42 /22
N. Lamont  43 /40  43 /35
M. Fedele  38 /26  39 /22

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 396 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Galloway, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4/7). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     18  13   10   9
N. Deal        9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   7    7   3
Others        11   8    4   6
Undec         31  36   45  50

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady    43% 19% 80% 39% 44% 42%
P. Quinn    33  53   7  31  34  32
Undec       24  28  13  30  22  26

Quinn As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve     25% 37% 10% 23% 22% 27% 25%
Disapprove  53  36  77  54  58  49  55

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Brady    25%/20% 11%/27% 44%/11% 24%/19% 27%/25% 23%/17%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   23  19  25    23
Undec       15  14  14    19

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  38% 34% 32%   34%
T. Cahill   33  30  28    23
C. Mihos    15  19  26    23
Undec       14  16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   49%/29% 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
D. Patrick  49 /48  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40%/56% 48%/51%
C. Baker    43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30  37 /27
C. Mihos    31 /51  38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 3/28-31 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/7). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                 Now
A. Dillon         22%
V. Bernero        15
A. Wheeler Smith  11
Other             10
Undec             42

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 27%  25%  29%
M. Cox        21  21   32   28
R. Snyder     15  12    3    3
M. Bouchard   13  10   16   14
T. George      3   1    2    2
Other          3   3   n/a  n/a
Undec         18  26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Cox        44%
V. Bernero    30
Undec         26

-             Now 2/25 1/26
M. Cox        43% 43%  47%    
A. Dillon     34  36   30     
Undec         23  21   23

P. Hoekstra   42%
V. Bernero    29
Undec         29

-             Now 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra   40% 41%  40%
A. Dillon     33  37   32
Undec         27  21   28

R. Snyder     42%
V. Bernero    26
Undec         32

R. Snyder     42%
A. Dillon     30
Undec         28

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox            38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero         8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   5 / 4   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5
T. George          4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs and 491 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 4/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   20% 18% 22% 16%
J. Hoeffel   15  16  13  10
J. Wagner    13  15  12  11
T. Williams   5   6   4   2
Other         1   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        47  44  49  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   58% 66% 51% 43%
S. Rohrer     7   7   6   5
Other         1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        35  27  42  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
D. Onorato   27%/ 6% 26%/ 7% 28%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 5  24 / 5  18 / 4
J. Hoeffel   18 / 4  20 / 6  17 / 4
T. Williams   6 / 3   8 / 4   5 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   51%/ 3% 59%/ 3% 44%/ 3%
S. Rohrer     8 / 2   8 / 3   8 /--

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 549 Dem RVs and 387 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.2% and 5.0%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Puerto Rican Legal Defense and Education Fund head/ex-state Rep. Juan Figueroa (D), '06 LG nominee/Simsbury first selectwoman Mary Glassman (D), '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), Ridgefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi (D), Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton (R), ex-Rep./ex-state Sen./ex-Univ. of New Haven pres. Larry DeNardis (R), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R), businessman Oz Griebel (R), First Selectman Tom Marsh (R) and Newington mayor Jeff Wright (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
N. Lamont    28% 33% 24%
D. Malloy    18  15  20
M. Glassman   4   3   5
R. Marconi    2   3   2
J. Figueroa   1  --   2
Other         1   1  --
Not vote      2   4   1
Undec        44  41  46

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/19
T. Foley     30% 33% 27% 17%
M. Boughton   4   4   4   6
M. Fedele     4   4   3   8
L. DeNardis   2   3   2   4
J. Wright     2   3  --  n/a
O. Griebel    2   2   1   2
T. Marsh     --  --   1  n/a
Other         2   2   2   2
Not vote      3   2   5   2
Undec        50  47  54  59

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
N. Lamont    43%/13% 47%/17% 41%/10%
D. Malloy    35 / 9  33 /14  36 / 6
M. Glassman  12 / 5  11 / 3  12 / 6
R. Marconi    6 / 3   7 / 5   6 / 1
J. Figueroa   5 / 1   4 / 2   6 /--

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Foley     37%/ 6% 42%/ 7% 31%/ 3%
M. Fedele    11 / 8  11 / 9  12 / 6
M. Boughton   9 / 5  13 / 7   4 / 4
L. DeNardis   6 / 9   6 / 9   6 / 9
J. Wright     5 / 2   8 / 2   2 / 1
O. Griebel    5 / 3   5 / 3   4 / 4
T. Marsh      5 / 4   5 / 3   5 / 6

Michigan
An Inside Michigan Politics poll; conducted 3/10-15 by Marketing Resource Group; surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 175 Dem primary LVs and 245 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 7.4% and 6.3%, respectively (release, 3/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         21%
V. Bernero         9
A. Wheeler Smith   6
Undec             64

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

M. Cox            21%
P. Hoekstra       21
R. Synder         20
M. Bouchard       10
T. George          1
Undec             27

General Election Matchups

M. Bouchard       45%         M. Bouchard       41%
V. Bernero        23          A. Dillon         26
Undec             30          Undec             31

M. Cox            45%         M. Cox            44%
V. Bernero        26          A. Dillon         27
Undec             27          Undec             27

P. Hoekstra       43%         P. Hoekstra       43%
V. Bernero        27          A. Dillon         27
Undec             28          Undec             28

R. Snyder         44%         R. Snyder         42%
V. Bernero        24          A. Dillon         26
Undec             31          Undec             30

Governor - Connecticut (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 11/3-8; surveyed 1,236 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 474 Dems; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 11/10). Tested: Gov. Jodi Rell (R), ex-state House Speaker Jim Amann (D), Sec/State Susan Bysiewicz (D), '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), state Sen. Gary LeBeau (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D) and Ridgefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi (D). (Note: Rell withdrew from the race on 11/9. For more on that, please see today's CT GOV story.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             Now 2/8
S. Bysiewicz  26% 44%
N. Lamont     23  n/a
D. Malloy      9  12
J. Amman       3   4
G. LeBeau      2  n/a
R. Marconi     1  n/a
Other          1   3
Not vote       2   2
Unded         33  36

General Election Matchups
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/8
J. Rell       46% 12% 91% 56% 52% 41% 53%
S. Bysiewicz  40  74   5  26  35  45  32
Other          1  --  --   1   1  --   1
Not vote      --   1  --  --  --   1   1
Undec         12  13   3  16  11  13  14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Rell       53% 22% 94% 62% 56% 50%
N. Lamont     33  62   3  23  32  34
Other          1   1  --   1   1   1
Not vote       1   1  --   1   1   1
Undec         12  14   2  13  10  14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/8
J. Rell       52% 20% 92% 63% 57% 48% 58%
D. Malloy     33  66   5  19  31  36  26
Other          1   2  --   1   2   1   1
Not vote       1   1  --   1   1   1   1
Undec         12  11   3  16  10  15  14

Reelect Rell In '10?
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 12/17 7/08
Definitely    19%  5% 41% 20% 23% 14% 14%  15%  14%   13%
Probably      38  22  48  46  36  39  43   43   40    40
Probably not  19  28   6  16  18  20  21   19   18    20
Definite not  19  37   1  13  18  20  16   16   13    13
Undec          6   8   4   5   5   7   6    8   14    13

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/8
J. Rell       60%/29% 36%/51% 85%/ 6% 70%/18% 70%/17%
S. Bysiewicz  43 /11  55 / 3  26 /27  41 /12  40 /12
N. Lamont     31 /24  45 /11  12 /45  27 /27   n/a
D. Malloy     21 /10  32 / 3   7 /16  16 /14  19 /11
J. Amann       7 / 8   9 / 5   3 /13   6 / 9   7 /13
R. Marconi     5 / 3   5 / 2  10 / 1   4 / 5   n/a
G. LeBeau      4 / 4   7 / 4   2 / 1   2 / 5   n/a

Rell As Gov.
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/14 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8
Approve       64% 47% 86% 68% 67% 61% 59%  65%  73%  72%  75%
Disapprove    30  46  11  25  27  34  34   30   20   22   19

Governor - Connecticut (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 9/10-14; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 9/16).

Reelect Rell In '10?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20 12/17 7/08
Definitely      14%  7% 23% 16% 13% 15% 15%  14%   13%
Probably        43  36  52  43  43  43  43   40    40
Probably not    21  28  10  23  21  21  19   18    20
Definitely not  16  25   5  13  18  15  16   13    13
Undec            6   4   9   6   6   6   8   14    13

Rell As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/20 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8
Approve     59% 44% 75% 63% 56% 61% 65%  73%  72%  75% 75%
Disapprove  34  44  20  33  38  31  30   20   22   19  19

Governor-Connecticut (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/11).

Rell As Gov.
Approve     55%
Disapprove  43

Connecticut - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 7/16-20; surveyed 1,499 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 7/22).

Reelect Rell In '10?
-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 12/17 7/08
Definitely      15% 34%  5% 13% 14% 15% 14%   13%
Probably        43  47  35  48  43  43  40    40
Probably not    19   8  28  16  18  19  18    20
Definitely not  16   5  23  14  17  14  13    13
Undec            8   5   8   9   7   9  14    13

Rell As Gov.
-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/31 3/8 2/8 12/17
Approve     65% 81% 49% 70% 67% 62% 73%  72%  75% 75% 68%
Disapprove  30  14  45  25  31  30  20   22   19  19  20

Would You Say Rell Has Done A ___ Job As Gov.?
-               All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom
Excellent/good  57% 74% 44% 60% 58% 57%
Fair/poor       42  23  55  40  42  42
 
The Way Things Are Going In CT Today
-            All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/8 2/8 12/17 7/08
Satisfied    48% 45% 56% 43% 45% 50% 56%  42% 41% 43%   41%
Dissatisfied 52  55  44  56  55  49  42   57  59  55    59

Rell Handling Economy
-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 3/8 2/8
Approve     54% 67% 43% 56% 56% 53% 68% 67%
Disapprove  35  24  45  32  34  35  24  23

Would You Say That Rell ___?
-                                 Now       7/05
-                                 Yes No    Yes No
Is honest and trustworthy         84% 11%   87%  5%
Has strong leadership qualities   76  21    82  11
Shares your views on key issues   53  37    64  21

CT Legislature Job Approval
-          All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/07 2/07 6/04 11/03 10/03
Approve    39% 25% 54% 36% 37% 41% 45%  47%  48%  38%   35%
Disapprove 45  61  31  47  51  40  38   34   33   45    49

Blumenthal As AG
-           All GOP Dem Ind Men Wom 5/25 3/8 2/8 7/05 4/05
Approve     79% 70% 87% 79% 78% 80% 78%  81% 79% 73%  76%
Disapprove  13  22   7  12  16  10   9   10  12  14   15