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Showing posts with label North Dakota. Show all posts
Showing posts with label North Dakota. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 342 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/23). Tested: Investigative reporter John Dougherty, '94 candidate/ex-Dept. of Health Services dir./ex-state Rep. Cathy Eden, ex-Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman and activist Randy Parraz.

Primary Election Matchup
R. Glassman   12%
C. Eden 11
R. Parraz 9
J. Dougherty 8
Other 14
Undec 46

Fav/Unfav
R. Glassman   29%/14%
C. Eden 23 /12
R. Parraz 22 /18
J. Dougherty 21 /18

Obama As POTUS
Approve       73%
Disapprove 25

Brewer As Gov.
Approve       31%
Disapprove 66

Colorado
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/20-21 for LG Jane Norton (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/22). Tested: Norton and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck.

Primary Election Matchup
J. Norton  39%
K. Buck 33
Undec 28

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15-16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven 73% 72% 69% 68% 71%
T. Potter 19 23 24 25 17
Other 2 2 2 2 4
Undec 6 3 5 5 8

Hoeven As Gov.
-           Now 5/19 4/20 12/15
Approve 88% 87% 83% 87%
Disapprove 13 12 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/19    4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven 86%/13% 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 37 /38 38 /33 43 /31 40 /29 37 /32 n/a

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/24 2/16
R. Wyden 47% 51% 49%
J. Huffman 37 38 35
Other 6 4 7
Undec 10 7 9

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/24    2/16
R. Wyden 52%/41% 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman 35 /25 42 /22 33 /24

A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 6/11-13 for Wyden; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Tested: Wyden, Huffman, financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 3/8
R. Wyden 53% 53%
J. Huffman 23 23
M. Delphine 2 5
R. Staggenborg 2 n/a
Undec 20 20

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
P. Toomey 41% 14% 73% 41% 40% 42% 42%
J. Sestak 41 70 10 21 45 38 36
Undec 18 16 17 38 16 20 22

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
P. Toomey 30%/28% 16%/40% 46%/14% 31%/21% 20%/22%
J. Sestak 29 /28 39 /18 17 /39 24 /27 16 /18

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 5/25
R. Feingold 46% 46%
R. Johnson 45 44
Other 3 3
Undec 6 6

-            Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold 47% 47% 49% 51% 47%
D. Westlake 41 38 38 35 37
Other 4 7 4 5 6
Undec 7 8 9 10 10

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold 52%/45% 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson 46 /30 42 /25 n/a n/a n/a n/a
D. Westlake 34 /32 36 /26 30 /34 34 /26 33 /31 n/a

Monday, June 21, 2010

House 2010

ND-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15-16; surveyed 500 Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/21). Tested: Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D) and state Rep. Rick Berg (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/24 2/10
R. Berg 51% 52% 49% 51% 46%
E. Pomeroy 44 43 45 44 40
Other 1 2 2 1 3
Undec 5 3 4 4 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/19    4/20    3/24    2/10
R. Berg 58%/23% 56%/27% 53%/28% 56%/22% n/a
E. Pomeroy 50 /47 49 /50 51 /48 48 /49 48%/46%

Obama As POTUS
-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/23 2/10 12/15
Approve 41% 41% 44% 44% 39% 41%
Disapprove 58 57 54 55 58 58

Hoeven As Gov.
-           Now 5/19 4/20 12/15
Approve 88% 87% 83% 87%
Disapprove 13 12 15 11

UT-02
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 6/12-17 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 409 "active" Dem primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 6/19). Tested: Rep. Jim Matheson (D) and retired teacher Claudia Wright (D).

Primary Election Matchup
J. Matheson  52%
C. Wright 33
Undec 15

How Would You Rate The Two Candidates' Views?
-                   Matheson Wright
Too liberal 3% 22%
About right 40 49
Not liberal enough 53 11

Monday, May 24, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 3/10
T. Campbell 37% 41% 33% 33%
C. Fiorina 22 17 27 24
C. DeVore 14 18 10 7
Undec 27 24 30 36

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10
B. Boxer 47% 80% 7% 42% 41% 53% 47%
T. Campbell 40 9 82 40 46 34 43
Undec 13 11 11 18 13 13 10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer 47% 80% 7% 43% 41% 53% 49% 53%
C. DeVore 38 7 80 38 44 32 39 29
Undec 15 13 13 19 15 15 12 18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer 48% 82% 7% 43% 42% 54% 49% 52%
C. Fiorina 39 8 81 39 45 33 40 31
Undec 13 10 12 18 13 13 11 17

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
B. Boxer 49%/42% 73%/17% 18%/77% 48%/40% 50%/45% 49%/43%
T. Campbell 43 /42 21 /64 71 /15 44 /41 46 /37 38 /29
C. Fiorina 40 /43 17 /66 68 /14 41 /44 35 /43 22 /29
C. DeVore 38 /44 15 /66 68 /13 40 /45 34 /42 21 /27

Connecticut
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 5/19-20 for AG Dick Blumenthal (D); surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/24). Tested: Blumenthal and ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R).

General Election Matchup
R. Blumenthal  55%
L. McMahon 40

Fav/Unfav
R. Blumenthal  55%/28%

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), ex-Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre (D) and developer/financier Jeff Greene (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
K. Meek    33%
M. Ferre 10
J. Greene 9
Other 3
Not vote 4
Undec 41

General Election Matchup
-          All Dem GOP Ind
C. Crist 30% 38% 26% 39%
M. Rubio 27 8 51 12
K. Meek 15 33 3 7
Other 2 1 1 9
Not vote 3 2 0 5
Undec 23 18 19 29

Does Crist Leaving The GOP And Running As An Indie Make You More/Less Likely Top Vote For Him, Or Has It Not Changed Your View Of Him?
-                                            All Dem GOP Ind
More likely 24% 36% 12% 26%
Less likely 21 11 35 10
Not changed/wld vote for him in any case 25 28 23 29
Not changed/wldn't vote for him in any case 17 16 20 0

As You May Know, FL's State Legislature Has Passed A New Bill That Would Require Ultrasound Tests For Pregnant Women Seeking Abortions In The First Trimester. The Woman Would Be Required To Pay For The Ultrasound And Look At The Image Or Listen To A Description Of The Image On The Ultrasound. The New Bill Would Also Mean That The Woman's Insurance Would Not Cover The Abortion If Her Employer Accepts Any Gov't Funds. Do You Believe That Crist Should Veto This Bill Or Allow This Bill To Pass Into Law?
-      All Dem GOP Ind
Veto 55% 60% 47% 72%
Pass 31 26 40 26
Undec 14 14 12 2

As You May Know, Crist Recently Vetoed The Teacher Tenure Bill That Was Approved By GOPers In The FL House And Senate. This Bill Would Have Replaced Multi-Year Contracts For New Teachers With Annual Evaluations. Do You Agree/Disagree With Crist's Decision To Veto The Bill?
-              All Dem GOP Ind
Agree 53% 54% 51% 60%
Disagree 29 29 32 26
Neither/undec 19 17 17 14

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 4/15
J. DioGuardi 15% 15% 14% 24%
B. Blakeman 8 12 4 7
D. Malpass 4 3 5 5
Undec 74 70 76 65

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand 51% 71% 22% 44% 50% 52% 46% 48% 51%
B. Blakeman 24 9 50 28 28 21 26 24 24
Undec 25 20 28 28 22 27 28 28 25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand 51% 70% 23% 46% 50% 52% 46%
J. DioGuardi 25 8 54 30 29 22 27
Undec 24 22 24 24 21 26 27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand 53% 73% 21% 47% 53% 52% 46%
D. Malpass 22 6 50 26 25 20 24
Undec 25 21 29 27 22 28 30

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15
K. Gillibrand 42%/24% 47%/18% 34%/34% 38%/27% 34%/25%
J. DioGuardi 10 / 8 9 / 7 12 / 5 12 /10 10 / 8
B. Blakeman 6 / 6 6 / 6 6 / 4 5 / 8 6 / 6
D. Malpass 5 / 6 6 / 6 5 / 4 3 / 8 5 / 5

Elect Gillibrand?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19 1/14
Elect her 36% 46% 24% 27% 37% 34% 27% 28% 30% 29%
Prefer another 38 27 54 41 40 36 40 38 40 45
Undec 27 26 22 32 23 30 33 34 30 26

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R), Nassau Co. Comp. George Maragos (R), '08 Assemb. candidate/businessman James Staudenraus (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/12
C. Schumer 78% 83% 75% 76% 86% 89% 83%
R. Credico 11 11 11 14 4 5 9
Undec 11 6 14 10 11 5 8

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-               All Men Wom
J. Townsend 10% 12% 10%
G. Maragos 5 3 6
G. Berntsen 3 6 1
J. Staudenraus 1 1 1
Undec 81 78 83

General Election Matchups
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 64% 83% 35% 58% 62% 66%
G. Berntsen 23 7 49 26 29 18
Undec 13 10 16 17 10 16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 65% 83% 35% 59% 62% 67%
G. Maragos 22 7 51 23 28 17
Undec 13 10 14 17 10 16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 65% 84% 35% 57% 62% 67%
J. Staudenraus 21 7 47 23 26 17
Undec 14 9 18 20 11 16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 63% 82% 35% 54% 60% 66%
J. Townsend 24 9 51 27 31 18
Undec 13 9 14 19 9 16

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
C. Schumer 64%/27% 77%/15% 47%/41% 54%/35% 62%/27%
J. Townsend 9 / 7 11 / 8 6 / 6 8 / 7 n/a
G. Maragos 6 / 6 7 / 5 2 / 6 7 / 6 n/a
R. Credico 4 / 6 5 / 5 2 / 6 3 / 9 n/a
J. Staudenraus 3 / 4 2 / 4 3 / 5 3 / 4 n/a
G. Berntsen 3 / 5 4 / 4 2 / 4 2 / 9 n/a

Re-Elect Schumer?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
Re-elect him 52% 69% 35% 38% 51% 53% 56% 55%
Prefer another 35 20 50 49 39 32 31 36
Undec 13 11 15 13 10 15 13 9

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18-19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven 72% 69% 68% 71%
T. Potter 23 24 25 17
Other 2 2 2 4
Undec 3 5 5 8

Hoeven As Gov.
-           Now 4/20 12/15
Approve 87% 83% 87%
Disapprove 12 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 38 /33 43 /31 40 /29 37 /32 n/a

Friday, May 21, 2010

House 2010

CT-04
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/19-20 for Easton Selectman/Private Equity Investment Co. Managing Dir. Tom Herrmann (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Tested: Hermann, state Sen. Dan Debicella, businessman Rob Merkle and businessman/ex-Bridgeport mayoral candidate Rick Torres.

Primary Election Matchup
T. Herrmann   16%
D. Debicella 8
R. Torres 6
R. Merkle 5
Undec 64

ND-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18-19; surveyed 500 Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D) and state Rep. Rick Berg (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 4/20 3/24 2/10
R. Berg 52% 49% 51% 46%
E. Pomeroy 43 45 44 40
Other 2 2 1 3
Undec 3 4 4 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/20    3/24    2/10
R. Berg 56%/27% 53%/28% 56%/22% n/a
E. Pomeroy 49 /50 51 /48 48 /49 48%/46%

Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 813 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 4/28). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
J. McCain 49% 16% 78% 44% 51% 47% 55% 30% 36% 55%
R. Glassman 33 64 11 28 32 35 30 47 38 25
Undec 18 19 12 28 17 19 16 23 26 20

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
R. Glassman 42% 77% 15% 40% 40% 43% 40% 48% 45%
J.D. Hayworth 39 8 64 38 45 34 41 29 36
Undec 19 15 22 23 15 23 18 23 20

McCain As Sen.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
Approve 34% 21% 48% 28% 29% 39% 38% 25% 25% 48%
Disapprove 55 71 39 58 57 52 51 63 65 42

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/21
J.D. Hayworth 23%/50% 6%/68% 37%/37% 22%/49% n/a
R. Glassman 7 /15 14 /14 1 /16 7 /13 6%/12%

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/27). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven 69% 68% 71%
T. Potter 24 25 17
Other 2 2 4
Undec 5 5 8

Hoeven As Gov.
-           Now 12/15
Approve 83% 87%
Disapprove 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 43 /31 40 /29 37 /32 n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/22-26; surveyed 987 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 4/28). Tested: Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup
-                            RVs---------------------------->
- All Men Wom 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09 2/09
L. Fisher 41% 38% 43% 33% 29% 24% 26% 24% 20% 18% 18%
J. Brunner 24 24 24 26 20 22 17 21 16 14 16
Other 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 5 19 14
Not vote -- -- -- -- 2 2 2 3 1 2 --
Undec 34 37 32 40 48 51 55 51 59 46 53

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     3/28
L. Fisher 41%/ 7% 39%/ 9% 42%/ 6% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner 26 / 7 30 / 9 24 / 6 24 / 7

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-                                RVs
- All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher 26% 29% 25% 23% 34%
J. Brunner 19 20 18 19 31
No difference 10 11 9 7 4
Undec 44 29 48 51 31

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-                                RVs
- All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher 31% 33% 30% 23% 31%
J. Brunner 19 20 18 20 29
No difference 5 7 5 5 2
Undec 45 40 47 52 38

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Liberal?
-                                RVs
- All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher 25% 26% 24% 21% 28%
J. Brunner 20 22 18 15 26
No difference 3 5 2 3 3
Undec 52 47 55 61 43

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Think Would Be More Likely To Win The Nov. General Election If Nominated?
-               All Men Wom 3/28
L. Fisher 46% 48% 46% 37%
J. Brunner 16 17 15 18
No difference 1 3 -- 2
Undec 36 33 39 42

Does The Fact That Brunner Is A Woman Make It More/Less Likely You Will Vote For Her In The Primary, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?
-                                RVs
- All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
More likely 11% 7% 13% 12% 11%
Less likely 2 2 2 2 3
No difference 86 90 83 84 85
Undec 2 2 1 2 1

Monday, April 26, 2010

House 2010

FL-22
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/18-19 for '08 nominee Allen West (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/26). Tested: West and Rep. Ron Klein (D).

General Election Matchup
A. West    44%
R. Klein 42

Fav/Unfav
R. Klein   43%/31%
A. West 23 / 8

ND-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/26). Tested: Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D) and state Rep. Rick Berg (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 3/24 2/10
R. Berg 49% 51% 46%
E. Pomeroy 45 44 40
Other 2 1 3
Undec 4 4 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/24    2/10
R. Berg 53%/28% 56%/22% n/a
E. Pomeroy 51 /48 48 /49 48%/46%

SD-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/26). Tested: Tested: Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D), state Sen. Blake Curd (R), Sec/State Chris Nelson (R) and state Rep. Kristi Noem (R).

General Election Matchups
-                   Now 3/25 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin 48% 45% 51%
B. Curd 36 33 33
Other 7 8 5
Undec 9 14 12

-                   Now 3/25 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin 45% 44% 45%
C. Nelson 41 42 38
Other 5 6 6
Undec 9 9 11

-                   Now 3/25 2/23
S. Herseth Sandlin 50% 46% 49%
K. Noem 35 35 34
Other 5 8 4
Undec 9 10 13

Fav/Unfav
-                   Now     3/25
S. Herseth Sandlin 55%/43% 52%/43%

WV-01
An Orion Strategies poll; conducted 4/21 for state Sen. Mike Oliverio (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (King, Wheeling News-Register, 4/24). Tested: Oliverio and Rep. Alan Mollohan (D).

Primary Election Matchup
M. Oliverio  41%
A. Mollohan 33
Undec 26

Friday, March 26, 2010

House 2010

ND-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/25). Tested: Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D) and state Rep. Rick Berg (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 2/10
R. Berg 51% 46%
E. Pomeroy 44 40
Other 1 3
Undec 4 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/10
R. Berg 56%/22% n/a
E. Pomeroy 48 /49 48 /46

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 12/2
B. Lincoln 44% 48% 42% 47% 30% 42%
B. Halter 31 28 33 31 30 26
Undec 25 24 25 22 40 32

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
G. Baker 49% 17% 85% 51% 53% 45% 41% 37%
B. Lincoln 41 76 5 36 37 45 42 44
Undec 10 7 10 13 10 10 17 19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Boozman 49% 17% 84% 52% 54% 44%
B. Lincoln 42 77 6 37 38 46
Undec 9 6 10 11 8 10

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman 47% 14% 83% 50% 52% 42% 39% 37%
B. Lincoln 44 79 6 40 40 48 44 45
Undec 9 7 11 10 8 10 17 18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
T. Cox 47% 13% 84% 50% 51% 43% 31% 29%
B. Lincoln 43 78 5 39 39 47 45 46
Undec 10 9 11 11 10 10 24 25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren 48% 16% 83% 51% 52% 44% 30% 28%
B. Lincoln 43 78 6 38 40 46 46 47
Undec 9 6 11 11 8 10 24 25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
G. Baker 46% 11% 83% 50% 51% 41% 42%
B. Halter 44 80 7 39 39 49 34
Undec 10 9 10 11 10 10 24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Boozman 48% 15% 84% 51% 52% 44%
B. Halter 40 74 5 36 37 43
Undec 12 11 11 13 11 13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
B. Halter 45% 82% 7% 40% 40% 50% 35%
C. Coleman 44 9 82 47 49 39 40
Undec 11 9 11 13 11 11 25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
B. Halter 45% 82% 7% 40% 40% 50% 36%
T. Cox 43 8 81 46 49 37 32
Undec 12 10 12 14 11 13 32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/2
K. Hendren 45% 12% 82% 49% 50% 40% 31%
B. Halter 44 79 7 39 40 48 36
Undec 11 9 11 12 10 12 33

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/2    9/10
B. Halter 46%/27% 68%/10% 21%/48% 45%/26% 36%/25% n/a
J. Boozman 44 /30 18 /50 75 / 9 43 /28 n/a n/a
B. Lincoln 42 /52 62 /34 21 /69 40 /56 41 /50 43%/49%
G. Baker 36 /28 16 /47 61 / 9 35 /25 31 /25 14 /13
K. Hendren 34 /27 13 /46 60 / 7 33 /25 30 /24 6 / 9
C. Coleman 34 /29 15 /48 58 / 9 32 /26 29 /24 12 /13
T. Cox 32 /26 11 /45 56 / 7 32 /23 28 /23 8 / 7

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup
-          Now 2/10
J. Hoeven 68% 71%
T. Potter 25 17
Other 2 4
Undec 5 8

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 40 /29 37 /32 n/a

Washington
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 35%D, 26%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-WA GOP chair Don Benton (R), Rep. Dave Reichert (R-08) and 04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 55% 86% 9% 57% 50% 60% 54% 57% 58% 46%
P. Akers 28 7 62 25 32 24 29 27 25 34
Undec 17 7 29 18 18 16 17 16 17 20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 54% 85% 8% 56% 48% 60% 54% 55% 58% 45%
D. Benton 35 7 77 33 40 30 36 35 31 41
Undec 11 8 15 11 12 10 10 10 11 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 51% 83% 8% 51% 47% 55% 49% 52% 54% 43%
D. Reichert 43 12 83 44 48 38 46 42 39 51
Undec 6 5 9 5 5 7 5 6 7 6

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-44 45-59 60+
P. Murray 52% 84% 7% 53% 47% 57% 50% 53% 56% 43%
D. Rossi 41 10 84 41 47 35 44 40 37 49
Undec 7 6 9 6 6 8 6 7 7 8

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray 52%/41% 76%/19% 22%/71% 51%/40% 47%/47% 57%/35%
D. Rossi 47 /47 24 /70 80 /13 46 /49 53 /43 41 /51
D. Reichert 41 /33 23 /50 66 /10 40 /34 46 /30 36 /36
D. Benton 23 /35 9 /46 48 /14 20 /39 24 /33 22 /37
P. Akers 17 / 9 8 /14 32 / 5 15 / 7 19 / 8 15 /10

Monday, November 23, 2009

Senate - North Dakota (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 11/17-18 for the League of American Voters, "a group which opposes ... health care legislation"; surveyed 502 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/20). Party ID breakdown: 38%R, 29%D, 33%I. Tested: Sen. Byron Dorgan (D), Gov. John Hoeven (R) and '00 nominee/ex-Navy officer Duane Sand (R).
General Election Matchups
J. Hoeven 55%
B. Dorgan 36
Other --
Undec 9

B. Dorgan 60%
D. Sand 28
Other 2
Undec 10

Fav/Unfav
J. Hoeven 93%/ 7%
B. Dorgan 73 /26
D. Sand 48 /16

Friday, July 31, 2009

North Dakota - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 7/26-27 for the NRSC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/31). Tested: Sen. Byron Dorgan (D) and Gov. John Hoeven (R).

General Election Matchup
J. Hoeven 53%
B. Dorgan 36
Undec 11

Fav/Unfav
J. Hoeven 86%/ 5%
B. Dorgan 69 /24
 
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