Governor 2010

Alabama
A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

R. Bentley  46%
B. Byrne    27

Fav/Unfav

R. Bentley  59%/ 9%
B. Byrne    43 /24

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.

Primary Election Matchup

-                  All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer   76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick  17  17  18
Undec               7   5  10

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     55% 56%  52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     28  24   29   30  35   29    26
Other         4   6    6    5   5    6     5
Undec        13  14   13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 55%  51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  25   28   27
Other         6   5    6    6
Undec        13  15   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17
A. Cuomo     63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio     49 /32  38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44
C. Paladino  35 /32  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  43% 81%  6% 40% 38% 47% 44%  43%  44%  40%
J. Kasich      38   4  81  37  46  32  38   38   39   40
Other           2   2  --   4   2   3   1    1    1    1
Not vote        2   2   1   2   1   2  --    1    2    1
Undec          15  11  11  16  13  16  17   17   15   18

Strickland As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47%  49%  48%  45%  48%
Disapprove  42  17  67  46  48  38  38   40   40   43   42

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26
T. Strickland   42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich       29 /19   6 /32  53 / 5  28 /19  27 /10

Strickland Handling Economy

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36%  35%  35%  33%  33%
Disapprove  54  27  73  61  57  51  53   52   53   52   54

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve     31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36%  37%  32%  36%  32%
Disapprove  52  30  70  57  54  51  48   47   51   47   53

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes     31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37%  36%  34%  32%  37%  34%
No      48  29  64  53  48  48  41   41   45   43   40   40

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41%  38%  41%  41%
T. Strickland   38  68  11  34  35  40  39   38   35   33
No difference    4   3   3   6   4   4   2    2    2   --
Undec           19  19  14  19  14  23  18   22   22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40%  39%  42%  42%
T. Strickland   37  68   9  35  34  39  39   38   36   34
No difference    3   3   3   4   3   4   2    2    1   --
Undec           18  17  13  19  16  20  19   21   21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   37% 69%  9% 33% 34% 40% 41%  40%  35%
J. Kasich       36   9  71  35  40  32  35   35   36
No difference    8   7   6  12   8   9   7    5    6
Undec           19  15  14  20  18  19  18   20   22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   39% 73%  8% 36% 35% 42% 42%  42%  40%
J. Kasich       38  10  75  37  45  33  36   34   36
No difference    4   3   2   6   4   4   3    2    3
Undec           19  14  15  20  16  21  19   22   21

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 4/8
G. Herbert  58% 57%
P. Corroon  31  29
Other        2   4
Undec        8  10

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/8
G. Herbert  70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon  50 /32  47 /35

Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Mead      49%              M. Mead      51%
L. Petersen  22               P. Gosar     23
Other        13               Other        14
Undec        16               Undec        12

R. Meyer     51%              R. Meyer     52%
L. Petersen  23               P. Gosar     23
Other        11               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

R. Micheli   47%              R. Micheli   46%
L. Petersen  27               P. Gosar     28
Other        11               Other        13
Undec        15               Undec        14

C. Simpson   44%              C. Simpson   51%
L. Petersen  28               P. Gosar     24
Other        14               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25
M. Mead      55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson   52 /24  56 /20
R. Meyer     44 /33  50 /20
R. Micheli   40 /29  38 /18
L. Petersen  33 /36   n/a
P. Gosar     31 /32   n/a

Governor 2010

Massachusetts
A Boston Globe poll; conducted 6/17-23 by the UNH Survey Center; surveyed 558 adults; margin of error +/- 4.2%. Subsample of 497 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 28%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G). (Note: Trends from 1/6 are among SEN special election LVs.)

General Election Matchup (LVs)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
D. Patrick  38% 64% 10% 24% 35% 42% 30% 30%
C. Baker    31   9  65  28  38  24  19  20
T. Cahill    9   7   7  15  10   8  23  30
J. Stein     2   3   1   3   2   3  n/a n/a
Other        2   2   1   4   2   2   1   4 
Undec       17  14  16  26  14  21  28  15

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/6     7/21
D. Patrick  43%/45% 63%/26% 19%/72% 34%/52% 39%/50% 36%/52%
T. Cahill   21 /30  20 /31  27 /29  17 /30  39 /15  42 /17
C. Baker    20 /20   9 /31  36 / 3  19 /19  19 /13  16 /14

Patrick As Gov.

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/6 7/21
Approve     42% 41% 63% 20% 29% 39% 45% 41% 35%
Disapprove  49  51  26  74  63  55  42  52  56

Does Patrick's Four Years As Gov. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         30% 48% 13% 18% 28% 32%
Less likely         46  26  70  52  48  43
Little difference   20  23  13  25  19  21

Does Cahill's Four Years As Treas. Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         15% 16% 14% 15% 12% 18%
Less likely         30  29  38  24  32  28
Little difference   45  47  40  46  48  42

Does Baker's Record As An Ex-Health Insurance Co. CEO Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him, Or Will This Make Little Difference In Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely         20% 12% 36% 16% 23% 18%
Less likely         30  43  11  31  30  31
Little difference   37  35  43  36  37  37

Who Do You Trust More To Handle The State's Budget And Fiscal Problems?

-                   All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
State legislature   30% 30% 31% 34% 24% 22% 37%
D. Patrick          29  29  40  13  25  36  22
Both equally         8   8  10   4  10   7   9
Neither             27  27  11  43  37  30  24
Undec                6   6   8   6   3   4   8

Patrick Has Brought Reform To Beacon Hill

-           All LVs Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Agree       28% 28% 39% 16% 21% 23% 32%
Disagree    55  57  42  70  61  64  46

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/9 4/27 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval  55% 54% 53%  55%  53% 45%
R. Reid      33  31  35   34   35  33
Other         8   3   6    6    7  11
Undec         4  13   5    4    5  12

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/9     4/27    3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval  62%/27% 62%/29% 53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid      42 /48  42 /50  43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: State Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 6/10
N. Haley    52% 55%
V. Sheheen  40  34
Other        3   5
Undec        5   6

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     6/10    12/2
N. Haley    70%/26% 63%/26%  n/a
V. Sheheen  50 /35  46 /36  30%/34%

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25).

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchups

-           All Men Wom
J. Arpaio   33% 37% 29%
J. Brewer   25  29  20
D. Martin   15  11  19
B. Mills    11  11  12
J. Munger    1   1   2
Undec       15  11  19

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   38% 43% 32%
B. Mills    19  20  19
D. Martin   16  15  17
J. Munger    3   3   4
Undec       24  20  28

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Men Wom
Approve     52% 56% 48%
Disapprove  30  28  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
J. Arpaio   70%/22% 77%/20% 63%/24%
B. Mills    27 /11  29 /11  26 /12
D. Martin   26 /11  27 /13  25 / 9
J. Munger    5 / 9   4 /11   6 / 7

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/5 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  38  37  45
Other        5   7   6  13
Undec       11  10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     40% 43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  58  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    47%/32% 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    43 /50  37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/29). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All    Dem     GOP     Ind     9/2
J. Gibbons  21%/59  7%/84% 39%/31% 14%/61% 17%/61%

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
R. Reid       47% 43%  44% 44%
J. Gibbons    37  45   36  35
Other         12   8   15  13
Undec          3   4    4   8

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 45%  42% 36%
R. Reid       39  38   37  40
Other          9   9   13  14
Undec          8   8    8  10

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 55%  53% 45%
R. Reid       35  34   35  33
Other          6   6    7  11
Undec          5   4    5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       35% 42%  37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    63  57   61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  41 /28  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    32 /65  35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     56% 52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     24  29   30  35   29    26
Other         6   6    5   5    6     5
Undec        14  13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 3/29
A. Cuomo     50% 50%
S. Levy      27  26
Other         6   7
Undec        17  17

-            Now 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  28   27
Other         5   6    6
Undec        15  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22
A. Cuomo     65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25%
R. Lazio     38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49
S. Levy      35 /32  33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a

Utah
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 1/20
G. Herbert  61% 55%
P. Corroon  30  30
Undec        9  15

Fav/Unfav

G. Herbert  51%/16%
P. Corroon  30 /14

Governor 2010

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 620 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/15). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

General Election Matchup

G. Herbert  57%
P. Corroon  29
Other        4
Undec       10

Herbert As Gov.

-           All GOPers
Approve     70% 85%
Disapprove  27  12

Fav/Unfav

G. Herbert  72%/23%
P. Corroon  47 /35