House 2010

PA-16
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-26 for '04/'06 nominee Lois Herr (D); surveyed 600 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown: 51%R, 38%D, 11%I. Tested: Herr and Rep. Joe Pitts (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Pitts    46% 16% 71% 29% 48% 44%
L. Herr     37  71  13  33  39  36
Undec       17  13  15  38  14  20

Pitts As Rep.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     43% 21% 60% 39% 46% 41%
Disapprove  38  62  20  39  41  36

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
L. Herr     20%/19% 39%/12%  7%/25% 12%/15% 20%/22% 20%/17%

House 2010

CA-19
A KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/11-13 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 489 Dem primary LVs and 760 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6% (release, 5/14). Tested: Physician/atty Loraine Goodwin (D), ex-actor Les Marsden (D), state Sen. Jeff Denham (R), ex-Fresno Mayor Jim Patterson (R), ex-CA-11 Rep. Richard Pombo (R) and Fresno Council Pres. Larry Westerlund (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
L. Goodwin     25% 27% 24% 22% 25% 37% 25%
L. Marsden     21  29  16  23  23  15  15
Undec          54  44  60  55  52  48  60

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 4/19 3/17
J. Patterson   29% 32% 26% 26%  26%
J. Denham      28  25  32  27   25
R. Pombo       18  22  13  16   13
L. Westerlund   6   7   5   6    7
Undec          19  14  23  25   29

OR-05
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/11-13 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/14). Tested: State Rep. Scott Bruun and Wood waste energy retired CEO Fred Thompson.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
S. Bruun     46% 47% 45%
F. Thompson  25  28  22
Undec        29  25  33

PA-12
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 831 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 5/16). Party ID breakdown: 55%D, 36%R, 10%I. Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
T. Burns    48% 22% 87% 52% 50% 46% 44%
M. Critz    47  73  10  31  44  49  41
Undec        6   5   3  17   6   6  15

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/18
T. Burns    44%/36% 23%/54% 75%/12% 50%/31% 45%/26%
M. Critz    39 /45  61 /23   9 /75  25 /56  41 /34
J. Sestak   32 /25  41 /22  19 /28  27 /27   n/a
N. Pelosi   23 /63  38 /43   3 /93  16 /65  24 /64

Obama As POTUS

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve     35% 55%  8% 23% 37% 33% 33%
Disapprove  55  34  87  59  55  56  57

Rendell As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve     23% 35%  6% 14% 24% 21% 24%
Disapprove  64  50  83  70  66  62  63

Specter As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
Approve     27% 42%  6% 19% 24% 29% 28%
Disapprove  60  40  89  71  64  57  60

SEN General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/18
P. Toomey   53% 29% 90% 56% 55% 52% 47%
A. Specter  34  57   5  17  35  34  37
Undec       12  15   5  27  11  14  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Toomey   45% 20% 81% 57% 49% 42%
J. Sestak   35  57   6  19  35  35
Undec       20  23  13  25  16  23

SC-02
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 5/3-6 for '08 nominee/Iraq vet Rob Miller (D); surveyed 501 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/14). Tested: Miller and Rep. Joe Wilson (R).

General Election Matchup

J. Wilson  49%
R. Miller  34

Re-Elect Wilson

Re-elect him   49%
Someone new    42

House 2010

ID-01
A Greg Smith & Assoc. poll; conducted 5/3-7; surveyed 400 primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Subsample of 287 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 5/11). Tested: Rep. Walt Minnick (D), state Rep. Raul Labrador (R) and '08 McCain NV dir./vet Vaughn Ward (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

V. Ward        34%
R. Labrador    16
Undec          50

General Election Matchup

W. Minnick     50%
Generic GOPer  20
Undec          30

PA-12
A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) poll; conducted 5/10 for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Subsamples of 254 Dem primary LVs and 116 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.1% and 9.1%, respectively (release, 5/12). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 63%D, 29%R, 7%I. Tested: Navy vet. Ryan Bucchianeri (D), ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D), atty Ron Mackell Jr. (D), businessman Tim Burns (R) and '08 nominee William Russell (R). (Note: Primaries for the Nov. general election are being held on 5/18, the same day of the special election to fill the remainder of late Rep. Jack Murtha's (D) term.)

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 3/15
M. Critz    45% 36%
T. Burns    40  31
None/other   6   2
Undec        8  31

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               Now 3/15
M. Critz        52% 30%
R. Buccianeri    7   2
None/other       5   8
R. Mackell       2   2
Undec           32  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               Now 3/15
T. Burns        39% 30%
W. Russell      37  32
None/other       3   1
Undec           21  37

PA-17
A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/7-8; surveyed 1,000 primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 530 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.3%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Rep. Tim Holden (D), education policy expert Sheila Dow-Ford (D), state Sen. Dave Argall (R), businessman Josh First (R), ex-minister Allen Griffith (R) and '04 candidate/businessman/Iraq vet. Frank Ryan (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

T. Holden    54%
S. Dow-Ford  27
Undec        18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

D. Argall    21%
F. Ryan      17
J. First      7
A. Griffith   5
Undec        47

House 2010

PA-12
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/4-5 for businessman Tim Burns (R) and the NRCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Tested: Burns and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

-         Now 3/15
T. Burns  43% 45%
M. Critz  41  41
Undec     14  13

DE-AL
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/20-21 for developer Glen Urquhart (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/23). Tested: Urquhart and businesswoman Michele Rollins.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Rollins   27%
G. Urquhart  11
Undec        60

Fav/Unfav

M. Rollins   27%/ 6%
G. Urquhart  13 / 5

NM-01
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 4/28-5/2 for Rep. Martin Heinrich (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/5). Tested: Heinrich and atty Jon Barela (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Heinrich  55%
J. Barela    38

IL-14
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for state Sen. Randy Hultgren (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 5/5). Tested: Hultgren and Rep. Bill Foster (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Hultgren  45%
B. Foster    44
Undec        12

Re-Elect Foster?

Deserves re-election  28%
New person            55
Undec/depends         18

Foster As Rep.

Approve      40%
Disapprove   41

Fav/Unfav

B. Foster    41%/33%

House 2010

HI-01
A Honolulu Advertiser/Hawai'i News Now poll; conducted 4/23-28 by Ward Research; surveyed 349 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 5/2). Tested: Ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 56%D, 23%R, 20%I.

Special Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Djou      37% 19% 79% 42% 40% 34%
E. Case      29  37  11  29  30  29
C. Hanabusa  22  34   4  11  22  23
Undec        11  10   6  18   8  15

PA-12
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/27-29 for the DCCC; surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Burns, Politico, 5/3). Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

M. Critz  43%
T. Burns  41

MD-01
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/25-26 for Americans for Prosperity (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: Rep. Frank Kratovil (D), '08 nominee/state Sen. Andy Harris (R) and Richard Davis (L).

General Election Matchup

A. Harris    39%
F. Kratovil  36
R. Davis      6
Other         1
Undec        18

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.   30%
Wrong dir.   62

What Is The Most Important Issue To You In Deciding How To Vote?

Economy/jobs                 28%
Taxes/spending               18
Health care                  12
Budget deficit                9
Education                     7
Social Security/Medicare      6
Moral values                  6
Wars in Iraq/Afghanistan      4
Terrorism/homeland security   2
Illegal immigration           2
The environment               2
None                          1

Do You Favor/Oppose The Health Care Bill Recently Signed Into Law By Obama?

Favor   35%
Oppose  58

NY-13
A Global Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/7-11 for Rep. Mike McMahon (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: McMahon, enviro atty Michael Allegretti (R) and ex-FBI agent Michael Grimm (R).

General Election Matchups

M. McMahon     56%
M. Allegretti  24
Undec          20

M. McMahon     56%
M. Grimm       23
Undec          21

House 2010

PA-12
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/30). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 36%R, 11%I. Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Burns  46% 21% 83% 49% 49% 43%
M. Critz  40  64   8  26  38  42
Undec     14  15   9  25  13  15

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Burns  46%/30% 28%/43% 73%/11% 44%/29% 50%/28% 42%/32%
M. Critz  44 /33  64 /16  16 /58  37 /34  42 /37  46 /29
B. Obama  38 /55  62 /29   7 /89  24 /66  35 /62  41 /48

NH-01
A WMUR-TV/Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21; surveyed 258 adults; margin of error +/- 6.1%. Subsample of 229 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D), BAE Systems Gov't Relations VP Rick Ashooh (R), businessman Bob Bestani (R), ex-Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta (R) and magazine publisher Sean Mahoney (R).

General Election Matchups (LVs)

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
R. Ashooh       39%  5% 70% 29% 47% 32% 36%
C. Shea-Porter  36  81   6  20  31  41  33
Other            0   1   0   0   0   0   3
Undec           25  13  23  52  22  27  28

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
B. Bestani      38%  6% 70% 21% 47% 30% 36%
C. Shea-Porter  37  78   8  22  31  41  32
Other            1   0   0   3   1   0   2
Undec           25  16  22  54  21  29  30

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
F. Guinta       42%  7% 75% 28% 50% 34% 43%
C. Shea-Porter  38  81   7  33  33  42  33
Other            1   1   0   3   1   0   2
Undec           19  11  19  36  16  23  22

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
S. Mahoney      40%  6% 73% 27% 51% 31% 39%
C. Shea-Porter  37  79   8  25  30  43  32
Other            0   1   0   0   0   0   1
Undec           23  15  19  49  19  26  28

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/3
C. Shea-Porter  37%/44% 68%/10% 12%/76% 35%/39% 35%/40%
F. Guinta       22 /18  16 /23  29 /13  21 /20  23 /14
S. Mahoney       6 / 7   5 / 8   7 / 7   6 / 7   5 / 3
R. Ashooh        4 / 2   3 / 3   5 / 2   4 / 1   4 / 0
B. Bestani       2 / 3   2 / 5   2 / 2   0 / 3   1 / 2

NH-02
A WMUR-TV/Granite State Poll; conducted 4/12-21; surveyed 254 adults; margin of error +/- 6.1%. Subsample of 231 LVs; margin of error +/- 6.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Ex-Rep. Charlie Bass (R), '08 nominee Jennfier Horn (R), atty Ann McLane Kuster (D) and '02 nominee Katrina Swett (D).

General Election Matchups (LVs)

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
C. Bass           42% 12% 76% 43% 51% 33% 39%
A. McLane Kuster  30  55   4  25  30  31  28
Other              1   0   1   3   1   0   1
Undec             27  32  20  29  18  37  32

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
C. Bass           44% 14% 79% 40% 55% 33% 37%
K. Swett          27  50   3  18  23  30  30
Other              1   0   1   3   1   0   1
Undec             29  36  18  40  21  38  33

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
J. Horn           33%  7% 66% 23% 43% 22% 28%
A. McLane Kuster  32  57   7  21  30  34  25
Other              0   0   0   3   1   0   3
Undec             35  36  27  54  26  44  44

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/3
J. Horn           35%  6% 68% 30% 46% 24% 30%
K. Swett          31  54   8  24  30  31  26
Undec             34  41  24  46  23  45  43

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/3
C. Bass           32%/25% 22%/36% 43%/17% 40%/20% 44%/19%
J. Horn           20 /15   4 /23  34 /10  20 /17  15 / 9
K. Swett          13 /14  16 / 7  13 /24   6 /11  16 /13
A. McLane Kuster   8 / 4  15 / 1   2 / 7   4 / 9   8 / 3
B. Guida           6 / 7   1 / 7  14 / 3   0 /15   3 / 3
J. DeJoie          4 / 3   5 / 4   3 / 2   0 / 4   4 / 4

House 2010

PA-15
An Allentown Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll; conducted 4/19-27; surveyed 303 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.6% (Kraus, Allentown Morning Call, 4/28). Tested: Rep. Charlie Dent (R), local "Tea Party" ldr./project manager Mat Benol (R) and Bethlehem Mayor John Callahan (D).

General Election Matchups

C. Dent      45%
J. Callahan  33

J. Callahan  37%
M. Benol      3

Fav/Unfav

C. Dent      53%/29%
J. Callahan  43 /13

House 2010

PA-12
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 3/14-15 for businessman Tim Burns (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (McNulty, "Early Returns," Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, 4/13). Tested: Burns and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

T. Burns    45%
M. Critz    41
Undec       13

Obama As POTUS

Approve     42%
Disapprove  57

Dem Congress

Approve     33%
Disapprove  65

Dem Health Care Plan

Approve     30%
Disapprove  64

TN-08
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 4/5-6 for farmer/gospel singer Stephen Fincher (R); surveyed 401 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/12). Tested: Fincher, physician/TV station owner George Flinn (R), physician Ron Kirkland (R), Randy Smith (R) and Bennie Watts (R).

Primary Election Matchup

S. Fincher   40%
R. Kirkland  17
G. Flinn      7
Others        4
Undec        32

House 2010

PA-12
A Pittsburgh Tribune-Review poll; conducted 3/14-15 by Susquehanna Polling & Research (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Subsamples of 261 Dem primary LVs and 119 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.1% and 9.0%, respectively (release, 3/18). Party reg. breakdown: 65%D, 30%R, 4%I. Tested: Navy vet. Ryan Bucchianeri (D), Cambria Co. Controller Ed Cernic (D), ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D), atty Ron Mackell Jr. (D), businessman Tim Burns (R) and '08 nominee William Russell (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

M. Critz       30%
E. Cernic       4
R. Mackell      2
R. Buccianeri   2
None/other      4
Undec          59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

W. Russell     32%
T. Burns       30
None/other      1
Undec          37

Special Election Matchups

M. Critz       36%
T. Burns       31
None/other      2
Undec          31

Generic Dem    44%
Generic GOPer  34
Indie/other     2
Undec          21

Obama As POTUS

Approve        41%
Disapprove     50

Cong. Job Approval

Approve        16%
Disapprove     76

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.     22%
Wrong dir.     68

The Health Care Reform Bill Supported By Obama And Nat'l Dems In DC

Support        33%
Oppose         54

The Principles Of The Tea Party Movement

Support        38%
Oppose         20

House 2010

PA-12
A Zogby Int'l poll; conducted 2/17-18 for '08 nominee Bill Russell (R); surveyed 407 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/1). Tested: Russell and businessman Tim Burns.

Primary Election Matchup

W. Russell   37%
T. Burns      7
Other/Undec  57

Fav/Unfav

W. Russell   47%/ 3%
T. Burns     24 / 3