Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   53% 52%  48%  44%  36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  35  39   40   40   45   43   44    42
Other        2   7    7    9   12    7    9    13
Undec        9   3    5    6    7    9   12    11

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 5/17 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/09
Approve     58% 64%  56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%
Disapprove  40  35   42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/15    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. Brewer   59%/36% 60%/36% 45%/50% 38%/57% 42%/53% 44%/48%
T. Goddard  53 /37  48 /45  49 /44  54 /31  54 /32  51 /35

New Hampshire
An American Research Group (R) poll; conducted 6/26-29; surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 551 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 29%D, 29%R, 42%I.

Lynch As Gov.

-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve     41% 43% 59% 33% 39% 49%  52%   37%  35%  47%
Disapprove  30  32  12  36  42  30   21    40   31   20

Lynch Handling Economy

-           All RVs Dem GOP Ind 3/30 12/29 9/29 6/09 3/09
Approve     40% 42% 59% 25% 42% 43%  45%   37%  30%  38%
Disapprove  30  31  18  36  36  35   26    34   41   24

Oregon
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 963 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/30). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Dudley     41% 15% 73% 41% 45% 37%
J. Kitzhaber  40  71   7  27  38  41
Other         10   7  12  14  11   9
Undec          9   7   8  18   6  13

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Kitzhaber  43%/40% 68%/20% 16%/68% 34%/38% 43%/48% 43%/34%
C. Dudley     42 /21  28 /31  60 /10  42 /18  47 /22  38 /20

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
M. Neumann  41%  7% 76% 41% 47% 36% 43%  39%
T. Barrett  36  72   8  29  35  38  38   41
Undec       23  20  16  31  19  26  19   20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
S. Walker   45%  8% 85% 43% 50% 41% 42%  40%
T. Barrett  38  78   5  30  34  41  39   40
Undec       17  14   9  27  15  18  19   20

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
S. Walker   36%/28% 13%/47% 63%/ 9% 32%/28% 31%/27% 30%/25%
T. Barrett  28 /30  46 /12  10 /52  28 /26  29 /22  31 /21
M. Neumann  18 /35   9 /44  29 /27  18 /33  24 /27  16 /27

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 1,139 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      52% 46% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  29  34  24
Other          14  15  13
Undec           6   5   7

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J. McCain      60%/37% 54%/44% 66%/30%
J.D. Hayworth  38 /50  43 /50  33 /51

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 6/3 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr      44% 50% 48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall  43  36  40  32   35   34   37   38
Other         7   6   3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec         6   8   9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     6/3     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr      53%/37% 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall  48 /36  41 /39  45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Wyden    50%
J. Huffman  32
Other        4
Undec       14

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Sen. Pat Leahy (D) and lumber store owner Len Britton (R).

General Election Matchup

P. Leahy    64%
L. Britton  29
Other        3
Undec        4

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/18
P. Leahy    69%/30% 66%/32%
L. Britton  26 /32   n/a

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6  
P. Murray  48% 47%  49% 45%
P. Akers   38  32   35  37
Other       4   6    6   5           
Undec      10  15   10  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 47%  51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  40  37   36  37  30  34
Other       6   6    4   5   6   4
Undec       6  10    8  11  15  13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 48%  48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  47   46  46  49  48
Other       3   2    2   3   3   1
Undec       3   4    3   4   2   5

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/26    5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  54%/43% 52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /44  52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  37 /31  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
P. Akers   33 /32  27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 342 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/23). Tested: Investigative reporter John Dougherty, '94 candidate/ex-Dept. of Health Services dir./ex-state Rep. Cathy Eden, ex-Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman and activist Randy Parraz.

Primary Election Matchup

R. Glassman   12%
C. Eden       11
R. Parraz      9
J. Dougherty   8
Other         14
Undec         46

Fav/Unfav

R. Glassman   29%/14%
C. Eden       23 /12
R. Parraz     22 /18
J. Dougherty  21 /18

Obama As POTUS

Approve       73%
Disapprove    25

Brewer As Gov.

Approve       31%
Disapprove    66

Colorado
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/20-21 for LG Jane Norton (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/22). Tested: Norton and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck.

Primary Election Matchup

J. Norton  39%
K. Buck    33
Undec      28

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15-16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   73% 72%  69%  68%  71%
T. Potter   19  23   24   25   17
Other        2   2    2    2    4
Undec        6   3    5    5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 5/19 4/20 12/15
Approve     88% 87%  83%  87%
Disapprove  13  12   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   86%/13% 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   37 /38  38 /33  43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/24 2/16
R. Wyden    47% 51%  49%
J. Huffman  37  38   35
Other        6   4    7
Undec       10   7    9

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/24    2/16
R. Wyden    52%/41% 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman  35 /25  42 /22  33 /24

A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 6/11-13 for Wyden; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Tested: Wyden, Huffman, financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 3/8
R. Wyden        53% 53%
J. Huffman      23  23
M. Delphine      2   5
R. Staggenborg   2  n/a
Undec           20  20

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
P. Toomey   41% 14% 73% 41% 40% 42% 42%
J. Sestak   41  70  10  21  45  38  36
Undec       18  16  17  38  16  20  22

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
P. Toomey   30%/28% 16%/40% 46%/14% 31%/21% 20%/22%
J. Sestak   29 /28  39 /18  17 /39  24 /27  16 /18

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/25
R. Feingold  46% 46%
R. Johnson   45  44
Other         3   3
Undec         6   6

-            Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold  47% 47%  49%  51%  47%
D. Westlake  41  38   38   35   37
Other         4   7    4    5    6
Undec         7   8    9   10   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold  52%/45% 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson   46 /30  42 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
D. Westlake  34 /32  36 /26  30 /34  34 /26  33 /31   n/a

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer   61% 45%  26%  20%
B. Mills    16  18   18   19
D. Martin   12  18   12   21
Other        2   6   20   17
Undec        9  13   24   23

Brewer As Gov.

Approve     84%
Disapprove  16

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer   86%/13% 80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills    48 /30  44 /27  40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin   43 /28  45 /24  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10

Obama As POTUS

Approve     10%
Disapprove  90

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs and 787 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), mgmt technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader DuBose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), state Sen. Jeff Chapman (R), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), ex-Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R), radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry (R), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R) and Wal-Mart worker Otis Putnam (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Barnes     63% 65% 61% 77% 55%
T. Baker      13  14  13   3  20
D. Poythress   5   8   2   4   6
D. Porter      4   3   4   4   4
B. Bolton      1   0   2   1   0
C. Camon       1   2   0   0   2
R. Mangham     1   1   1   0   2
Undec         11   6  16  11  11

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
J. Oxendine   34% 35% 34%
K. Handel     18  19  16
N. Deal       17  18  17
E. Johnson     6   7   5
J. Champman    4   3   5
R. McBerry     3   3   2
O. Putnam      1   1   0
Undec         17  14  22

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and developer Carl Paladino (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     46% 50% 42%
C. Paladino  17  18  16
Other         5   6   4
Not vote      4   3   5
Undec        28  23  33

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19
A. Cuomo     58% 86% 26% 50% 58% 58% 55%  57% 62%   61%
R. Lazio     26   4  65  29  27  25  26   25  22    22
Other         2   1   2   2   2   1   2    1   1     2
Not vote      1   1  --   2   2   1   2    2   1     2
Undec        13   9   7  17  11  15  15   15  14    13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11
A. Cuomo     59% 82% 30% 54% 58% 59% 60%
C. Paladino  23   4  54  23  24  21  24
Other         2  --   4   2   3   1   1
Not vote      2   2   1   2   2   1   2
Undec        15  12  10  19  14  17  14

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/11 3/2 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve      72% 83% 56% 76% 74%  70% 71% 74%   71%   74%
Disapprove   16   7  29  16  14   16  15  12    11    10

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    2/1
A. Cuomo     57%/18% 76%/ 5% 36%/42% 54%/19% 59%/19% 54%/16%
R. Lazio     24 /18  10 /26  51 / 8  26 /16  24 /19  20 /15
C. Paladino  10 /10   4 /14  24 / 7   9 / 9  12 / 8   n/a

Do You Think Cuomo Would Be A Better/Worse/About The Same Gov. Than His Father?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Better       20% 20% 21% 22% 22% 19%
Worse        10   6  15  11  13   7
About same   51  55  54  49  48  55

Do You Think Cuomo Has Done Enough To Explain What He Will Do To Correct NY State's Budget Problems If He Is Elected?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes          21% 26% 20% 15% 20% 22%
No           64  58  68  71  68  60

Which Comes Closer To Your Point Of View: Cuomo Is Politely Deferring To The Current Gov. On The Budget, Or Cuomo Is Ducking His Responsibility As A Candidate To Make His Positions Known?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Ducking      41% 34% 52% 41% 43% 38%
Deferring    38  43  31  40  39  37

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 5/20 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     47% 45%  41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  45  44   41   42
Other          4   4    6    7
Undec          4   6   13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     5/20    4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     48%/28% 53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
R. Perry    43% 10% 74% 36% 48% 38% 55%  7% 21% 46% 48%
B. White    43  76  15  42  39  46  35  70  55  43  42
Undec       14  14  11  22  13  16  10  23  24  11  10

Perry As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
Approve     36% 16% 58% 27% 40% 32% 43% 20% 23% 26% 33%
Disapprove  49  73  26  55  49  50  42  67  64  54  50

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/7
B. White    37%/25% 61%/ 8% 17%/39% 35%/24% 34%/17%

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Sen. John McCain, businessman/USN vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 5/17 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      47% 52%  47%  48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  36  40   42   41   31   43
J. Deakin       7  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Other           1   2    2    3    7    6
Undec           8   6    8    8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    1/20
J. McCain      69%/30% 70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23%
J.D. Hayworth  51 /45  67 /31  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25
J. Deakin      22 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Obama As POTUS

-              Now 5/17 4/13
Approve        10% 10%  14%
Disapprove     90  88   86

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Ex-Rockdale Co. CoS R.J. Hadley and Labor Commis. Mike Thurmond.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
M. Thurmond  68% 72% 64% 61% 72%
R.J. Hadley  11  12  10  13  10
Undec        22  14  28  26  18

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
B. Blakeman    14% 15% 14%
D. Malpass     11  11  11
Other           4   6   2
Not vote        3   5   2
Undec          67  64  71

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1
K. Gillibrand  46% 73% 13% 37% 46% 46% 47%  44%
B. Blakeman    26   4  67  26  27  25  25   27
Other           1   1   2   1   1   1   1    1
Not vote        1   1  --   2   2   1   3    2
Undec          26  20  18  33  24  28  24   26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  47% 74% 16% 38% 46% 47%
D. Malpass     25   3  63  27  26  24
Other           2   1   3   2   2   1
Not vote        1   2  --   2   2   1
Undec          25  21  18  31  24  27

Gillibrand As Sen.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve    44% 60% 27% 39% 45% 44% 47%  42% 40%   32%   33%
Disapprove 27  11  48  33  30  24  25   28  21    20    19

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11
K. Gillibrand  37%/23% 50%/ 7% 22%/50% 35%/27% 37%/23%
B. Blakeman     8 / 5   3 / 9  20 / 1   8 / 3   7 / 6
D. Malpass      7 / 3   5 / 3  11 / 3   6 / 2   n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/22).

Do You Feel Schumer Deserves To Be Re-Elected?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1
Yes/deserves    52% 70% 29% 48% 52% 52% 53%  54%
No/does not     33  15  60  37  36  30  32   33

Schumer As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve     60% 78% 35% 56% 57% 63% 61%  58% 62%   62%   58%
Disapprove  28   9  55  33  34  22  26   30  27    24    27

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/27 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   52% 48%  44%  36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  39  40   40   45   43   44    42
Other        7   7    9   12    7    9    13
Undec        3   5    6    7    9   12    11

-           Now 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18
D. Martin   41% 47%  43%  44%  38%
T. Goddard  40  34   38   35   40
Other        8   8    6    6   11
Undec       10  11   13   14   11

-           Now 4/15 3/16
B. Mills    45% 46%  43%
T. Goddard  38  37   37
Other        7   8    7
Undec       10   9   13

-           Now 4/15 3/16
T. Goddard  42% 37%  42%
J. Munger   41  44   36
Other       11  10   13
Undec        7   9    9

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/09
Approve     64% 56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  35  42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48   45

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/15    3/16    1/20    11/18   9/24
J. Brewer   60%/36% 45%/50% 38%/57% 42%/53% 44%/48% 42%/54%
D. Martin   50 /29  43 /31  47 /23  43 /28  41 /27   n/a
B. Mills    48 /29  41 /31  35 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
T. Goddard  48 /45  49 /44  54 /31  54 /32  51 /35  54 /38
J. Munger   32 /34  28 /37  33 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     72% 68%  74%  75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  28  30   25   22  24  29  28   30

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 404 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford, Educ. Supt. Jim Rex and state Sen. Vincent Sheheen.

Primary Election Matchup

V. Sheheen  30%
J. Rex      22
R. Ford      4
Other       12
Undec       32

Fav/Unfav

V. Sheheen  46%/14%
J. Rex      44 /20
R. Ford     29 /24

Obama As POTUS

Approve     87%
Disapprove  13

Sanford As Gov.

Approve     24%
Disapprove  72

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer   45% 26%  20%
B. Mills    18  18   19
D. Martin   18  12   21
J. Munger    3  14   10
Other        3   6    7
Undec       13  24   23

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           Now     4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer   80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
D. Martin   45 /24  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10
B. Mills    44 /27  40 /19  43 /12   n/a
J. Munger   19 /35  18 /23  37 /26  28 /22

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/09
Approve     64% 56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  35  42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48   45

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 5/9-16; surveyed 1,168 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 411 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/20). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/16 1/19
M. Whitman  38% 41% 36% 61%  41%
S. Poizner  29  29  29  11   11
Other        2   3   1   3    4
Undec       31  27  34  25   44

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    45% 74% 12% 40% 42% 47% 46%  44%  47%
S. Poizner  32  10  65  27  37  27  31   29   31
Undec       23  16  23  33  21  26  23   27   21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    42% 70% 10% 38% 40% 45% 39%  41%  43%
M. Whitman  37  16  69  34  42  33  44   36   37
Undec       21  14  21  28  18  22  17   23   20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?

-                   Now 3/16 1/19 12/8
Very closely        21% 17%  11%  10%
Fairly closely      46  46   34   33
Not too closely     27  28   42   36
Not at all closely   6   8   12   20

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/20). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
J. Hickenlooper  44% 78%  9% 42% 39% 49% 50%
S. McInnis       44  11  79  46  52  36  39
Undec            12  11  12  12   9  14  11

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8
J. Hickenlooper  47%/33% 73%/12% 21%/57% 44%/34% 51%/27%
S. McInnis       31 /30  14 /42  53 /15  29 /30  28 /27

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 423 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/19). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson, radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry, Insurance Commis. John Oxendine and Wal-mart worker Otis Putnam.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 4/5 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   23% 26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     15  18  13   10   9
N. Deal       14   9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   5   7    7   3
J. Chapman     2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
R. McBerry     2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
O. Putnam      0  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Others        n/a 11   8    4   6
Undec         39  31  36   45  50

Minnesota
A MN Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute poll; conducted 5/13-16; surveyed 701 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 246 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

M. Dayton             38%
M. Anderson Kelliher  28
M. Entenza             6
Undec                 28

General Election Matchups

T. Emmer              31%
M. Anderson Kelliher  29
T. Horner             10
Undec                 30

M. Dayton             35%
T. Emmer              31
T. Horner              9
Undec                 25

T. Emmer              32%
M. Entenza            28
T. Horner             11
Undec                 29

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 931 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/20). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (03), LG André Bauer, state Rep. Nikki Haley and AG Henry McMaster.

Primary Election Matchup

N. Haley     30%
H. McMaster  19
G. Barrett   17
A. Bauer     12
Other         3
Undec        18

Fav/Unfav

N. Haley     60%/14%
H. McMaster  59 /19
G. Barrett   52 /23
A. Bauer     42 /49

Obama As POTUS

Approve      10%
Disapprove   90

Sanford As Gov.

Approve      63%
Disapprove   37

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/19). Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson vice mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/13
J. McCain      57% 54%
R. Glassman    28  32
Other           9   8
Undec           7   6

-              Now 4/13
J.D. Hayworth  49% 48%
R. Glassman    33  39
Other           9   7
Undec           9   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/13    11/18
J. McCain      53%/45% 52%/46% 54%/43%
J.D. Hayworth  45 /44  43 /49   n/a
R. Glassman    28 /41  32 /34   n/a

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 5/9-16; surveyed 2,002 adults; margin of error +/- 2.2%. Subsample of 1,168 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Further subsample of 411 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/20). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/16 1/19
C. Fiorina   25% 29% 21% 24%  16%
T. Campbell  23  25  20  23   27
C. DeVore    16  17  14   8    8
Other        --  --   1   1    1
Undec        36  29  44  44   48

General Election Matchups (LVs)

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer     46% 77%  8% 48% 42% 51% 43%  45%
T. Campbell  40  14  79  35  44  37  44   41
Undec        14   9  13  17  14  12  13   14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer     50% 84%  9% 48% 45% 55% 46%  47%
C. DeVore    39   9  80  35  43  34  40   39
Undec        11   7  11  17  12  11  14   14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19
B. Boxer     48% 82%  9% 44% 44% 53% 44%  48%
C. Fiorina   39  11  78  33  44  34  43   40
Undec        13   7  13  23  12  13  13   12

Boxer As Sen.

-            All LVs Dem GOP Ind 1/19 9/2 3/09
Approve      50% 50% 77% 13% 53% 49%  51% 52%
Disapprove   38  44  14  79  39  44   39  28

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/20). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul    59% 47%  50%  46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway  34  38   36   38  39  38  42
Other       4   4    3    4   3   4   4
Undec       3  10   11   12  11  12  15

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/28    3/31    3/2     2/2     1/6
R. Paul    69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25%
J. Conway  44 /45  47 /36  44 /39  40 /33  47 /32  46 /36

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      52% 47%  48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  40  42   41   31   43
Other           2   2    3    7    6
Undec           6   8    8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/13    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain      70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  67 /31  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

Obama As POTUS

-              Now 4/13
Approve        10% 14%
Disapprove     88  86

California
A M4 Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13, 5/16 for the Small Business Action Cmte; surveyed 600 "high propensity" GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/18). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Campbell  33%
C. Fiorina   28
C. DeVore    15
Undec        22

Fav/Unfav

T. Campbell  42%/13%
C. Fiorina   39 /13
C. DeVore    19 / 5

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/19). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
M. Bennet    45% 81% 10% 39% 41% 50% 46% 39%  40%
K. Buck      39   6  74  40  47  31  40  35   34
Undec        16  13  16  21  12  20  14  19   16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet    44% 77% 11% 42% 40% 49% 43%
J. Norton    41   9  78  40  48  34  43
Undec        14  14  11  18  12  17  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet    44% 78% 10% 39% 38% 49% 45%
T. Wiens     36   7  70  35  42  30  37
Undec        20  15  20  26  20  21  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  41% 79%  6% 34% 37% 45% 44%
K. Buck      38   6  76  36  47  29  36
Undec        21  16  18  29  16  26  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  43% 79%  9% 38% 39% 48% 44%
J. Norton    41   7  77  42  49  32  39
Undec        16  14  14  20  12  20  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff  41% 78%  6% 35% 36% 46% 45%
T. Wiens     37   8  73  33  46  28  34
Undec        22  14  21  32  18  25  21

Bennet As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
Approve      34% 54% 13% 32% 31% 37% 32% 31%  34%
Disapprove   44  20  69  47  52  37  46  38   41

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8     8/16
A. Romanoff  31%/26% 48%/14% 11%/38% 32%/26% 28%/26%  n/a
J. Norton    20 /32   9 /45  34 /23  19 /26  25 /35   n/a
K. Buck      19 /24   7 /36  32 /15  19 /18  14 /18  17%/18%
T. Wiens      8 /16   6 /20  11 /15   6 /13  11 /17   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  48% 52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     45  39  35  31  36  34
Other           4   6   3   3   3   3
Undec           3   4   6   7   4   5

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  53% 54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      37  29  32  27  24
Other           4   6   4   6   6
Undec           5  11   6  10  10

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  50% 55% 52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     39  32  38  32  35  33
Other           6   5   4   3   4   4
Undec           5   8   6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/4     4/7     3/2     2/1
R. Blumenthal  66%/32% 72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%
R. Simmons     54 /37  48 /32  48 /40  52 /35  60 /26
L. McMahon     54 /41  55 /31  45 /45  46 /42  51 /34
P. Schiff      43 /29  35 /33  41 /34  37 /34   n/a

Kansas
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13 for Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: Moran, ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Rep. Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

J. Moran       53%
T. Tiahrt      27
R. Londerholm   4
Undec          16

Fav/Unfav

J. Moran       67%/ 7%
T. Tiahrt      50 /12

Governor 2010

Alabama
An Ayers, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Tested: James, state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. James    26%
R. Moore    21
B. Byrne    20
R. Bentley   7

Fav/Unfav

T. James    50%/12%
R. Moore    49 /23
B. Byrne    35 /13

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   32% 29% 35%
B. Mills    14  16  12
D. Martin   13  16  10
J. Munger    5   6   4
Undec       36  33  39

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 86% 15% 55% 44% 52% 41% 80% 74%
J. Brewer   42   6  73  36  47  37  51   3   9
Undec       10   9  12   9   9  11   8  17  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 14% 54% 43% 51% 40% 80% 74%
D. Martin   35   6  61  30  39  31  43   2   6
Undec       18  10  25  16  18  18  17  18  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 85% 14% 56% 44% 52% 41% 82% 75%
B. Mills    34   6  60  27  38  30  42   2   6
Undec       18   9  26  17  18  18  17  17  19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 13% 55% 44% 50% 40% 80% 75%
J. Munger   30   5  55  22  34  26  36   2   6
Undec       23  11  32  23  22  24  24  18  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
T. Goddard  46%/25% 75%/ 8% 22%/40% 49%/22%  n/a
J. Brewer   36 /51   9 /79  64 /25  25 /59  39%/54%
D. Martin   28 /17  13 /28  48 /10  17 /14   n/a
B. Mills    17 /20   9 /34  48 /11  16 /17   n/a
J. Munger    9 /15   4 /22  14 /10   7 /14   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  48% 41% 41%        N. Lamont  42% 37% 40% 
M. Fedele  28  38  33         N. Lamont  35  44  37
Other       9   9   8         Other      11   7   9
Undec      15  12  18         Undec      13  13  14

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  44% 40% 36%        D. Malloy  38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  27  37  35         T. Foley   35  44  36
Other      10   7   9         Other      11   8  10
Undec      20  16  21         Undec      16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/1     2/1
N. Lamont  53%/31% 43%/40% 43%/35%
D. Malloy  46 /24  47 /29  43 /29
T. Foley   42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
T. Branstad       48% 12% 85% 51% 53% 43% 54%
C. Culver         41  80   6  34  37  45  38
Undec             11   8   9  15  10  12   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         46% 83%  7% 43% 42% 50% 48%
R. Roberts        36   7  71  35  41  31  26
Undec             18  10  22  22  17  19  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         44% 81%  6% 43% 42% 50% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  40   9  78  38  45  35  38
Undec             16  10  16  21  15  17  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/17
T. Branstad       57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        27 /35  13 /16

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
J. Hoeffel   11  12  11   9   7   6
T. Williams  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
D. Onorato   40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10% 42%/ 6% 42%/ 6% 45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7  25 / 8  22 / 8  23 / 7
T. Williams  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12  18 /13  16 /13  18 /14
J. Wagner    19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7  22 /10  19 /11  21 /11

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/31
J. McCain      48% 51% 45% 52%
J.D. Hayworth  36  37  35  37
Other           6   7   5  n/a
Undec          10   5  15  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J. McCain      48%  7% 81% 46% 54% 42% 58%  3% 10% 52%
R. Glassman    35  73   6  35  32  38  29  67  58  33
Undec          17  20  13  19  14  20  13  30  32  15

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J.D. Hayworth  43%  6% 73% 40% 49% 37% 53%  6%  2% 48%
R. Glassman    42  83   7  48  37  47  37  65  60  37
Undec          15  11  20  12  14  16  10  33  34  15

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
J. McCain      43%/52% 11%/82% 74%/24% 33%/60% 47%/46%
J.D. Hayworth  35 /46   7 /77  63 /17  24 /55  34 /42
R. Glassman    26 /16  54 / 7   7 /25  22 /13  23 /15

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

B. Lincoln     44%
B. Halter      32
D.C. Morrison   7
Undec          17

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

J. Boozman     48%
J. Holt        17
G. Baker       11
K. Hendren      5
C. Reynolds     2
C. Coleman      1
Other           1
Undec          15

General Election Matchups

-              Now 1/20
G. Baker       47% 43%        G. Baker       42%
B. Lincoln     39  39         B. Halter      34
Undec          14  18         Undec          24

J. Boozman     52%            J. Boozman     56%
B. Lincoln     35             B. Halter      32
Undec          13             Undec          12

-              Now 1/20
J. Holt        45% 37%        J. Holt        42%
B. Lincoln     40  43         B. Halter      36
Undec          15  20         Undec          22

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/20
J. Boozman     38%/11%  n/a
B. Halter      29 /21  28%/11%
B. Lincoln     28 /53  39 /41

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/6). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/25
C. Crist  38% 48% 18% 55% 37% 39% 44% 19% 17% 35%
M. Rubio  32   4  70  19  37  27  32   3  64  28
K. Meek   19  36   3  13  16  22  13  68   6  20
Undec     11  12   9  13  10  12  11  10  13  17

Crist As Gov.

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/08 2/08 11/07
Excellent/good    51% 68% 29% 55% 46% 56% 57%  64%  61%
Fair/poor         48  32  70  44  54  42  41   32   34

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     3/25    6/26    5/09    11/06   10/06
C. Crist  41%/31% 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15% 47%/32% 51%/21%
M. Rubio  35 /28  27 /17  18 /11  13 / 5   n/a     n/a
K. Meek   17 /11  15 / 8  11 / 5  11 / 2   n/a     n/a

Crist Recently Vetoed A Bill That Would Have Made Teacher Pay In FL Based On Classroom Performance As Measured By Professional Evaluations And The Test Scores Of Students

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       55% 81% 21% 65% 52% 58%
Disapprove    38   8  75  30  43  33

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Grassley  49% 13% 85% 53% 56% 42% 56%
R. Conlin    40  76   6  35  34  46  35
Undec        11  11   9  12  10  12   9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/17
C. Grassley  58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin    45 /35  41 /36

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 611 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul     43% 45% 41% 44%
T. Grayson  28  27  30  23
Other        8  10   7  n/a
Undec       21  19  23  33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     2/18
R. Paul     50%/24% 57%/23% 44%/25% 43%/12%
T. Grayson  45 /26  51 /27  40 /24  31 /20

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 522 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

E. Marshall    42%
C. Cunningham  37
Other           4
Undec          17

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        50% 53%  51%  51%  50%
C. Cunningham  37  31   32   29   34
Other           3   4    7    6    5
Undec          10  13   11   14   11

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    40  32   35   34   37   38
Other           3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec           9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/19    3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr        57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  43 /35  34 /37  29 /32  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher   43% 38%  39% 39% 37%  36%  40%
R. Portman  42  43   44  43  44   38   41
Other        4   4    5   5   4    8    6
Undec       11  14   12  13  14   18   14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12    12/7
L. Fisher   48%/34% 39%/38% 41%/37% 38%/39% 41%/39% 36%/35%
R. Portman  45 /26  45 /26  45 /27  45 /24  49 /25  48 /21

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter   43% 45% 48% 46% 49% 48%
J. Sestak    43  40  40  42  40  42
Other/undec  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
A. Specter   54%/34% 56%/30% 57%/29% 55%/33% 58%/32% 58%/31%
J. Sestak    48 /13  44 /13  42 /14  45 /11  43 /12  45 /12

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchups

-           All Men Wom
J. Arpaio   33% 37% 29%
J. Brewer   25  29  20
D. Martin   15  11  19
B. Mills    11  11  12
J. Munger    1   1   2
Undec       15  11  19

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   38% 43% 32%
B. Mills    19  20  19
D. Martin   16  15  17
J. Munger    3   3   4
Undec       24  20  28

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Men Wom
Approve     52% 56% 48%
Disapprove  30  28  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
J. Arpaio   70%/22% 77%/20% 63%/24%
B. Mills    27 /11  29 /11  26 /12
D. Martin   26 /11  27 /13  25 / 9
J. Munger    5 / 9   4 /11   6 / 7

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/5 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  38  37  45
Other        5   7   6  13
Undec       11  10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     40% 43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  58  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    47%/32% 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    43 /50  37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/29). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All    Dem     GOP     Ind     9/2
J. Gibbons  21%/59  7%/84% 39%/31% 14%/61% 17%/61%

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
R. Reid       47% 43%  44% 44%
J. Gibbons    37  45   36  35
Other         12   8   15  13
Undec          3   4    4   8

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 45%  42% 36%
R. Reid       39  38   37  40
Other          9   9   13  14
Undec          8   8    8  10

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 55%  53% 45%
R. Reid       35  34   35  33
Other          6   6    7  11
Undec          5   4    5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       35% 42%  37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    63  57   61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  41 /28  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    32 /65  35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     56% 52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     24  29   30  35   29    26
Other         6   6    5   5    6     5
Undec        14  13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 3/29
A. Cuomo     50% 50%
S. Levy      27  26
Other         6   7
Undec        17  17

-            Now 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  28   27
Other         5   6    6
Undec        15  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22
A. Cuomo     65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25%
R. Lazio     38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49
S. Levy      35 /32  33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a

Utah
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 1/20
G. Herbert  61% 55%
P. Corroon  30  30
Undec        9  15

Fav/Unfav

G. Herbert  51%/16%
P. Corroon  30 /14

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sen. John McCain, Navy vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      46% 36% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  35  43  27
J. Deakin       7   8   6
Undec          12  13  11

McCain As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 9/25
Approve        44% 40% 49% 65%
Disapprove     45  48  42  25

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J.D. Hayworth  37%/40% 44%/39% 29%/41%

A Rocky Mountain Poll; conducted 4/12-25 by the Behavior Research Center; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 666 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Further subsample of 289 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 4/28). Tested: McCain, Hayworth and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All GOP Ind
J. McCain      54% 55% 46%
J.D. Hayworth  28  26  43
Undec          18  19  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain      46% 20% 77% 36%
R. Glassman    24  50   5  19
Undec          30  30  18  45

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J.D. Hayworth  37% 14% 67% 24%
R. Glassman    30  56   9  28
Undec          33  30  24  48

Would You Say That McCain Is Doing An Excellent/Good, Fair, Poor/Very Poor Job As Regards ___?

-                              Excel./Good Fair Poor/VeryPoor
Working to maintain a strong   53%         17%  19%
  military defense for U.S.
Running a clean campaign that  34          28   27
  does not engage in name
  calling or mudslinging
Representing the opinions of   31          20   39
  people like you
Working to promote peace in    30          32   23
  the world
Working to reduce the          29          22   25
  partisan stalemate in DC
Working to protect the         28          28   25
  environment
Working to create jobs in AZ   28          19   38
Working to secure the          27          24   36
  U.S./Mexico border
Working to stop the illegal    27          21   39
  drug trade between U.S. and
  Mexico
Working to improve education   26          25   33
  in the U.S.
Working for immigration        26          17   35
  reform 

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28               
G. Baker    53% 51%  45% 52% 51% 47%  47%    
B. Lincoln  31  36   40  33  39  41   39    
Other       12   6    6   6   3   6    5    
Undec        4   7    8   8   7   7    8

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  57% 51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  29  36   39  35
Other        9   6    6   4
Undec        5   7    7   7

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman  52% 48%  43% 50% 48% 44%  43%
B. Lincoln  32  36   41  34  38  40   41
Other        8   7    7   7   4   7    5
Undec        7   8   10   9   9   9   11

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren  51% 51%  43% 51% 47% 46%  44%
B. Lincoln  30  35   38  35  39  39   41
Other       11   5    7   7   4   6    5
Undec        8   8   12   7  10   9   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     54% 51%  45%
B. Lincoln  31  35   38
Other        6   7    6
Undec        9   7   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
G. Baker    48% 44%  44%
B. Halter   33  36   37
Other       10   7    5
Undec        9  12   13

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman  56% 48%  52%
B. Halter   31  34   33
Other        7   8    6
Undec        7  11    9

-           Now 3/30 3/1
C. Coleman  43% 40%  38%
B. Halter   37  37   35
Other       11  10    9
Undec        9  13   18

-           Now 3/30 3/1
K. Hendren  45% 42%  42%
B. Halter   33  34   35
Other       13  10    7
Undec        9  13   15

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     49% 43%  42%
B. Halter   31  34   38
Other       12   9    8
Undec        8  14   12

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/1     2/1     1/5     12/1
J. Boozman  58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%  n/a     n/a
B. Halter   48 /42  47 /40  48 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holt     47 /27  46 /24  44 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Baker    42 /27  37 /25  38 /23  40 /22  42%/20% 40%/19%
C. Coleman  37 /29  35 /25  34 /24  39 /19   n/a    37 /22
K. Hendren  36 /26  38 /21  36 /23  35 /19  37 /20  41 /19
B. Lincoln  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59  38 /56  43 /52

Florida
A WFLA-TV poll; conducted 4/28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve     52% 46% 51% 60% 49% 55% 53% 43% 57%
Disapprove  42  44  45  37  49  36  41  41  43

Indiana
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the IPFW Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 407 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Brown, FoxNews.com, 4/29). Tested: Wachovia Securities branch mgr. Don Bates (R), businessman/tea-party organizer Richard Behney (R), ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R) and state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

D. Coats       36%
J. Hostettler  24
M. Stutzman    18
D. Bates        6
R. Behney       4
Undec          13

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle      48% 51%  46% 44% 44%  47%
H. Reid       40  40   38  40  40   43
Other          7   6   11   7  10    7
Undec          4   3    5   8   7    3

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
S. Lowden     52% 54%  51% 45% 48%  49%  50%
H. Reid       39  39   38  39  36   43   40
Other          6   4    7   8   8    6    4
Undec          3   2    3   8   7    3    5

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian  51% 49%  50% 47% 50%  49%  50%
H. Reid       41  42   37  39  36   43   43%
Other          4   6    9   8   5    6    4
Undec          4   2    4   6   9    2    3

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9
S. Lowden     56%/35% 54%/33% 56%/31% 48%/27% 47%/28% 46%/32%
D. Tarkanian  53 /35  55 /34  52 /29  50 /35  49 /28  49 /30
S. Angle      48 /32  48 /33  40 /36  37 /30  39 /33  40 /37
H. Reid       43 /56  37 /62  39 /58  44 /55  41 /55  40 /57

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner  40% 77%  7% 32% 39% 42% 38%  35%  34%  39%  35%
R. Portman  36   6  79  34  40  33  37   40   38   34   34
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    1
Not vote     2   2  --   2   1   2   1    2    1    1    1
Undec       21  15  14  29  19  23  23   23   27   25   29

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher   40% 79%  7% 31% 37% 43% 41%  37%  36%  42%  37%
R. Portman  37   7  80  35  42  33  37   40   39   31   33
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    2
Not vote     1  --  --   2   1  --   1    2    1    1    2
Undec       21  13  13  30  19  23  21   21   24   26   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 66% 21% 37% 42% 42% 43%  39%  39%  44%  39%
Disapprove  27  13  44  28  31  24  23   22   23   21   24

Brunner As Sec/State

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 65% 21% 39% 42% 43% 42%  36%  38%  41%  38%
Disapprove  27   8  48  29  31  23  23   25   25   23   25

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
L. Fisher   27%/13% 47%/ 4% 11%/25% 21%/12% 27%/13% 26%/12%
R. Portman  25 / 8   9 /15  51 / 1  22 / 8  25 / 8  25 / 7
J. Brunner  25 /14  41 / 4   9 /23  22 /15  21 /12  21 /12

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29
Support     45% 84% 11% 36% 42% 48% 44%
Oppose      48  10  84  55  53  44  46

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/15 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   48% 44%  36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  40  40   45   43   44    42
Other        7   9   12    7    9    13
Undec        5   6    7    9   12    11

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     56% 40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  42  56   51   55   60   57    57   48   45

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 813 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 4/27). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and Goddard.

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard  47% 83% 20% 44% 42% 51% 43% 62% 51%
J. Arpaio   44  13  68  46  49  40  47  35  37
Undec        9   4  12  10   9   9  10   3  12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
T. Goddard  47% 88% 15% 44% 41% 52% 41% 71% 48% 46%
J. Brewer   44   8  73  42  50  38  49  25  36  36
Undec       10   4  12  14   9  10  10   4  15  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
T. Goddard  47% 87% 17% 41% 42% 51% 42% 66% 50% 45%
D. Martin   36   5  63  31  42  31  40  25  27  37
Undec       17   7  21  28  16  18  19   9  24  18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard  45% 84% 15% 43% 41% 49% 41% 60% 48%
B. Mills    37   8  63  30  41  33  40  24  31
Undec       18   8  22  27  18  19  18  16  22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
T. Goddard  46% 86% 15% 41% 41% 50% 40% 66% 51%
J. Munger   31   5  55  25  37  26  35  20  22
Undec       23   9  30  34  22  24  25  14  27

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
Approve     35% 14% 54% 33% 40% 31% 38% 27% 31% 26%
Disapprove  46  75  27  39  43  49  43  57  55  43

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/21
J. Arpaio   53%/38% 26%/68% 73%/18% 58%/31%  n/a
T. Goddard  39 /27  62 / 9  20 /44  40 /24  44%/22%
D. Martin   19 /13  10 /19  27 / 9  16 /12  27 /19
B. Mills    18 /16   9 /26  27 /10  17 /14   n/a
J. Munger    4 /11   3 /15   5 / 8   3 /10   n/a

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/27). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal      46% 43%  43%  42%
R. Barnes    39  40   37   43
Other         7   5    7    7
Undec         8  13   14    8

-            Now 1/20
N. Deal      47% 49%
T. Baker     31  32
Other         9   7
Undec        13  11

-            Now 1/20
K. Handel    44% 46%
T. Baker     36  34
Other         5   8
Undec        15  11

-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel    42% 42%  45%  42%
R. Barnes    41  39   36   43
Other         7   5    5    5
Undec        10  14   14   10 

E. Johnson   38%
T. Baker     35
Other         9
Undec        18

-            Now 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes    42% 40%  37%
E. Johnson   37  38   37
Other         8   6    8
Undec        13  16   18

-            Now 1/20
J. Oxendine  44% 50%
T. Baker     34  32
Other         9   8
Undec        13  10

-            Now 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine  45% 41%  45%  44%
R. Barnes    43  41   37   42
Other         6   6    7    6
Undec         6  11   10    8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/17    2/17    1/20
J. Oxendine  51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
K. Handel    48 /26  44 /32  53 /24  52 /24
R. Barnes    47 /43  44 /43  48 /43  52 /38
T. Baker     42 /39   n/a     n/a    45 /33
N. Deal      41 /27  39 /30  40 /27  44 /29
E. Johnson   29 /28  32 /27  36 /25   n/a

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22; surveyed 321 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 4/27). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D) and '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-                 Now 3/24
A. Dillon         13% 12%
V. Bernero        10   8
A. Wheeler Smith   9  10
Other             15  17
Undec             51  53

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     3/24
A. Wheeler Smith  32%/13% 22%/13%
A. Dillon         32 /17  27 /14
V. Bernero        31 /11  24 /13

Obama As POTUS

-             Now 3/24
Approve       87% 86%
Disapprove    12  14

Granholm As Gov.

-             Now 3/24
Approve       62% 65%
Disapprove    38  34

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 813 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 4/28). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
J. McCain      49% 16% 78% 44% 51% 47% 55% 30% 36% 55%
R. Glassman    33  64  11  28  32  35  30  47  38  25
Undec          18  19  12  28  17  19  16  23  26  20

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth
R. Glassman    42% 77% 15% 40% 40% 43% 40% 48% 45%
J.D. Hayworth  39   8  64  38  45  34  41  29  36
Undec          19  15  22  23  15  23  18  23  20

McCain As Sen.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht His Oth 9/21
Approve        34% 21% 48% 28% 29% 39% 38% 25% 25% 48%
Disapprove     55  71  39  58  57  52  51  63  65  42

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/21
J.D. Hayworth  23%/50%  6%/68% 37%/37% 22%/49%  n/a
R. Glassman     7 /15  14 /14   1 /16   7 /13   6%/12%

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/27). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   69% 68%  71%
T. Potter   24  25   17
Other        2   2    4
Undec        5   5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 12/15
Approve     83% 87%
Disapprove  15  11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/22-26; surveyed 987 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 4/28). Tested: Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup

-                            RVs---------------------------->
-           All Men Wom 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09 2/09
L. Fisher   41% 38% 43% 33%  29%  24%  26%  24% 20% 18%  18%
J. Brunner  24  24  24  26   20   22   17   21  16  14   16
Other        1   1   1   1    2    1    1    2   5  19   14
Not vote    --  --  --  --    2    2    2    3   1   2   --
Undec       34  37  32  40   48   51   55   51  59  46   53

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     3/28
L. Fisher   41%/ 7% 39%/ 9% 42%/ 6% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner  26 / 7  30 / 9  24 / 6  24 / 7

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-                                RVs
-               All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher       26% 29% 25% 23%  34%
J. Brunner      19  20  18  19   31
No difference   10  11   9   7    4
Undec           44  29  48  51   31

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-                                RVs
-               All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher       31% 33% 30% 23%  31%
J. Brunner      19  20  18  20   29
No difference    5   7   5   5    2
Undec           45  40  47  52   38

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Liberal?

-                                RVs
-               All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
L. Fisher       25% 26% 24% 21%  28%
J. Brunner      20  22  18  15   26
No difference    3   5   2   3    3
Undec           52  47  55  61   43

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Think Would Be More Likely To Win The Nov. General Election If Nominated?

-               All Men Wom 3/28
L. Fisher       46% 48% 46% 37%
J. Brunner      16  17  15  18
No difference    1   3  --   2
Undec           36  33  39  42

Does The Fact That Brunner Is A Woman Make It More/Less Likely You Will Vote For Her In The Primary, Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-                                RVs
-               All Men Wom 3/28 2/21
More likely     11%  7% 13% 12%  11%
Less likely      2   2   2   2    3
No difference   86  90  83  84   85
Undec            2   2   1   2    1

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   44% 36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  40  45   43   44    42
Other        9  12    7    9    13
Undec        6   7    9   12    11

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18
D. Martin   47% 43%  44%  38%
T. Goddard  34  38   35   40
Other        8   6    6   11
Undec       11  13   14   11

-           Now 3/16
B. Mills    46% 43%
T. Goddard  37  37
Other        8   7
Undec        9  13

-           Now 3/16
J. Munger   44% 36%
T. Goddard  37  42
Other       10  13
Undec        9   9

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     40% 48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  56  51   55   60   57    57   48   45

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/16    1/20    11/18   9/24
T. Goddard  49%/44% 54%/31% 54%/32% 51%/35% 54%/38%
J. Brewer   45 /50  38 /57  42 /53  44 /48  42 /54
D. Martin   43 /31  47 /23  43 /28  41 /27   n/a
B. Mills    41 /31  35 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Munger   28 /37  33 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a

Maine
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 4/11-14 for '84 SEN nominee/'90 ME-01 candidate/state Senate Pres./ex-state House Speaker Libby Mitchell (D); surveyed 587 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/20). Tested: Mitchell, '90/'92 ME-02 nominee/ex-ME Dept. of Conservation Commis./ex-state Rep. Pat McGowan, ex-ME Econ./Commun. Dev. Commis./ex-state House Speaker John Richardson, ex-AG Steve Rowe and businesswoman Rosa Scarcelli.

Primary Election Matchup

L. Mitchell    36%
S. Rowe        16
P. McGowan     13
J. Richardson   4
R. Scarcelli    3
Undec          26

Fav/Unfav

L. Mitchell    44%/10%
S. Rowe        21 / 8
P. McGowan     17 /11
J. Richardson  12 / 9
R. Scarcelli    8 / 6

New Hampshire
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/17-18; surveyed 642 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/21). Tested: Activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
J. Stephen    29% 34% 24%
K. Testerman  15  11  19
J. Kimball    10  10   9
Undec         46  44  48

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
J. Stephen    19%/11% 20%/14% 18%/ 9%
J. Kimball     5 / 7   5 / 9   4 / 5
K. Testerman   4 / 7   4 / 8   4 / 6

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16).

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     48% 41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  51  55   60   57    57   48   45

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchup

-          Now 3/16
J. Brewer  26% 20%
B. Mills   18  19
J. Munger  14  10
D. Martin  12  21
Other       6   7
Undec      24  23

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/16    11/18
J. Brewer  49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills   40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10
J. Munger  18 /23  37 /26  28 /22

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/24 10/18
B. McCollum  56% 58% 53% 44%  43%
P. Dockery    7   7   6   6    7
Other         2   3   2   1    1
Not vote      2   2   1   1    2
Undec        34  29  38  47   47

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24
A. Sink      37% 69%  9% 29% 36% 37% 35%
P. Dockery   28   6  58  26  31  25  29
Other         1  --   1   2   2   1   1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   3
Undec        32  24  29  40  28  36  32

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
B. McCollum  40%  7% 83% 37% 43% 36% 41%  36%   38%  34%
A. Sink      36  73   5  28  35  38  31   32    34   38
Other         1  --  --   4   1   1  --    2     1    1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   2    2     1    2
Undec        21  18  10  29  19  23  25   27    25   25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
B. McCollum  38%/18% 24%/32% 61%/ 6% 36%/16% 35%/15% 34%/14%
A. Sink      22 /15  34 / 5  11 /25  21 /17  24 / 8  23 / 8
P. Dockery    9 / 5   9 / 4  10 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 6   5 / 3

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      51% 36% 71% 49% 52% 50% 56%  53%   53%  51% 48%
Disapprove   25  41   9  23  26  24  20   19    16   16  18

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      39% 52% 29% 36% 41% 37% 39%  38%   37%  39% 33%
Disapprove   26  18  34  25  26  25  22   23    21   17  22

McCollum And AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Recently Passed Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A Good/Bad Idea?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea   40%  9% 77% 39% 43% 36%
Bad idea    54  88  17  53  52  56

Does McCollum's Decision To File A Lawsuit To Stop The Health Care Overhaul Plan From Taking Effect Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For GOV In Nov., Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     28%  5% 57% 27% 30% 27%
Less likely     38  65   5  41  36  40
No difference   31  29  34  30  32  31

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 37% 22% 45%
S. Levy      15  17  14  16
C. Paladino  13  11  14  n/a
Undec        43  36  50  40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
A. Cuomo     61% 81% 28% 54% 59%  63% 63%  66%  68%  67%
R. Lazio     24   9  54  23  21   25  26   24   22   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        16  10  17  23  17   11  11   10   10   11

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18
A. Cuomo     58% 75% 31% 52% 63%
S. Levy      23  12  46  23  16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  4
Undec        19  13  22  26  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind
A. Cuomo     64% 81% 37% 58%
C. Paladino  19   9  41  21
Undec        16  10  22  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18    3/7
A. Cuomo     66%/18% 72%/13% 57%/26% 62%/22% 63%/22% 63%/25%
R. Lazio     29 /25  26 /29  40 /14  21 /28  29 /27  30 /29
S. Levy      21 /16  24 /17  22 /15  18 /15  16 /16   n/a
C. Paladino  11 /13  13 /13  13 /12   6 /16   n/a     n/a

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
For GOV        53% 62% 41% 49% 55%  58% 51%  53%  50%  52%
Reelect as AG  31  22  42  34  27   29  33   30   31   28

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    49% 50% 52% 46% 44%  38% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   36  37  31  38  44   52  43   49   51   52

When Thinking About Cuomo, Would You Consider Him Too Aggressive/Not Aggressive Enough, Or Would You Say He Has Just About The Right Level Of Aggressiveness?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Too aggressive                  8%  8% 11%  6%
Not aggressive enough          16  13  20  21
Right level of aggressiveness  64  69  59  59

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    48% 49% 48% 50%
B. White    44  43  39  40
Other        2   3   5   4
Undec        6   6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     59% 54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  40  44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35