Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 342 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/23). Tested: Investigative reporter John Dougherty, '94 candidate/ex-Dept. of Health Services dir./ex-state Rep. Cathy Eden, ex-Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman and activist Randy Parraz.

Primary Election Matchup

R. Glassman   12%
C. Eden       11
R. Parraz      9
J. Dougherty   8
Other         14
Undec         46

Fav/Unfav

R. Glassman   29%/14%
C. Eden       23 /12
R. Parraz     22 /18
J. Dougherty  21 /18

Obama As POTUS

Approve       73%
Disapprove    25

Brewer As Gov.

Approve       31%
Disapprove    66

Colorado
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/20-21 for LG Jane Norton (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/22). Tested: Norton and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck.

Primary Election Matchup

J. Norton  39%
K. Buck    33
Undec      28

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15-16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   73% 72%  69%  68%  71%
T. Potter   19  23   24   25   17
Other        2   2    2    2    4
Undec        6   3    5    5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 5/19 4/20 12/15
Approve     88% 87%  83%  87%
Disapprove  13  12   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   86%/13% 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   37 /38  38 /33  43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/24 2/16
R. Wyden    47% 51%  49%
J. Huffman  37  38   35
Other        6   4    7
Undec       10   7    9

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/24    2/16
R. Wyden    52%/41% 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman  35 /25  42 /22  33 /24

A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 6/11-13 for Wyden; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Tested: Wyden, Huffman, financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 3/8
R. Wyden        53% 53%
J. Huffman      23  23
M. Delphine      2   5
R. Staggenborg   2  n/a
Undec           20  20

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
P. Toomey   41% 14% 73% 41% 40% 42% 42%
J. Sestak   41  70  10  21  45  38  36
Undec       18  16  17  38  16  20  22

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
P. Toomey   30%/28% 16%/40% 46%/14% 31%/21% 20%/22%
J. Sestak   29 /28  39 /18  17 /39  24 /27  16 /18

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 5/25
R. Feingold  46% 46%
R. Johnson   45  44
Other         3   3
Undec         6   6

-            Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold  47% 47%  49%  51%  47%
D. Westlake  41  38   38   35   37
Other         4   7    4    5    6
Undec         7   8    9   10   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold  52%/45% 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson   46 /30  42 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
D. Westlake  34 /32  36 /26  30 /34  34 /26  33 /31   n/a

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Sen. John McCain, businessman/USN vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 5/17 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      47% 52%  47%  48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  36  40   42   41   31   43
J. Deakin       7  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Other           1   2    2    3    7    6
Undec           8   6    8    8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    1/20
J. McCain      69%/30% 70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23%
J.D. Hayworth  51 /45  67 /31  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25
J. Deakin      22 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Obama As POTUS

-              Now 5/17 4/13
Approve        10% 10%  14%
Disapprove     90  88   86

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Ex-Rockdale Co. CoS R.J. Hadley and Labor Commis. Mike Thurmond.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
M. Thurmond  68% 72% 64% 61% 72%
R.J. Hadley  11  12  10  13  10
Undec        22  14  28  26  18

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
B. Blakeman    14% 15% 14%
D. Malpass     11  11  11
Other           4   6   2
Not vote        3   5   2
Undec          67  64  71

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1
K. Gillibrand  46% 73% 13% 37% 46% 46% 47%  44%
B. Blakeman    26   4  67  26  27  25  25   27
Other           1   1   2   1   1   1   1    1
Not vote        1   1  --   2   2   1   3    2
Undec          26  20  18  33  24  28  24   26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  47% 74% 16% 38% 46% 47%
D. Malpass     25   3  63  27  26  24
Other           2   1   3   2   2   1
Not vote        1   2  --   2   2   1
Undec          25  21  18  31  24  27

Gillibrand As Sen.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve    44% 60% 27% 39% 45% 44% 47%  42% 40%   32%   33%
Disapprove 27  11  48  33  30  24  25   28  21    20    19

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11
K. Gillibrand  37%/23% 50%/ 7% 22%/50% 35%/27% 37%/23%
B. Blakeman     8 / 5   3 / 9  20 / 1   8 / 3   7 / 6
D. Malpass      7 / 3   5 / 3  11 / 3   6 / 2   n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/22).

Do You Feel Schumer Deserves To Be Re-Elected?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1
Yes/deserves    52% 70% 29% 48% 52% 52% 53%  54%
No/does not     33  15  60  37  36  30  32   33

Schumer As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve     60% 78% 35% 56% 57% 63% 61%  58% 62%   62%   58%
Disapprove  28   9  55  33  34  22  26   30  27    24    27

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/31
J. McCain      48% 51% 45% 52%
J.D. Hayworth  36  37  35  37
Other           6   7   5  n/a
Undec          10   5  15  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J. McCain      48%  7% 81% 46% 54% 42% 58%  3% 10% 52%
R. Glassman    35  73   6  35  32  38  29  67  58  33
Undec          17  20  13  19  14  20  13  30  32  15

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J.D. Hayworth  43%  6% 73% 40% 49% 37% 53%  6%  2% 48%
R. Glassman    42  83   7  48  37  47  37  65  60  37
Undec          15  11  20  12  14  16  10  33  34  15

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
J. McCain      43%/52% 11%/82% 74%/24% 33%/60% 47%/46%
J.D. Hayworth  35 /46   7 /77  63 /17  24 /55  34 /42
R. Glassman    26 /16  54 / 7   7 /25  22 /13  23 /15

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

B. Lincoln     44%
B. Halter      32
D.C. Morrison   7
Undec          17

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

J. Boozman     48%
J. Holt        17
G. Baker       11
K. Hendren      5
C. Reynolds     2
C. Coleman      1
Other           1
Undec          15

General Election Matchups

-              Now 1/20
G. Baker       47% 43%        G. Baker       42%
B. Lincoln     39  39         B. Halter      34
Undec          14  18         Undec          24

J. Boozman     52%            J. Boozman     56%
B. Lincoln     35             B. Halter      32
Undec          13             Undec          12

-              Now 1/20
J. Holt        45% 37%        J. Holt        42%
B. Lincoln     40  43         B. Halter      36
Undec          15  20         Undec          22

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     1/20
J. Boozman     38%/11%  n/a
B. Halter      29 /21  28%/11%
B. Lincoln     28 /53  39 /41

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/6). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/25
C. Crist  38% 48% 18% 55% 37% 39% 44% 19% 17% 35%
M. Rubio  32   4  70  19  37  27  32   3  64  28
K. Meek   19  36   3  13  16  22  13  68   6  20
Undec     11  12   9  13  10  12  11  10  13  17

Crist As Gov.

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/08 2/08 11/07
Excellent/good    51% 68% 29% 55% 46% 56% 57%  64%  61%
Fair/poor         48  32  70  44  54  42  41   32   34

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     3/25    6/26    5/09    11/06   10/06
C. Crist  41%/31% 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15% 47%/32% 51%/21%
M. Rubio  35 /28  27 /17  18 /11  13 / 5   n/a     n/a
K. Meek   17 /11  15 / 8  11 / 5  11 / 2   n/a     n/a

Crist Recently Vetoed A Bill That Would Have Made Teacher Pay In FL Based On Classroom Performance As Measured By Professional Evaluations And The Test Scores Of Students

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       55% 81% 21% 65% 52% 58%
Disapprove    38   8  75  30  43  33

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Grassley  49% 13% 85% 53% 56% 42% 56%
R. Conlin    40  76   6  35  34  46  35
Undec        11  11   9  12  10  12   9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/17
C. Grassley  58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin    45 /35  41 /36

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 611 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul     43% 45% 41% 44%
T. Grayson  28  27  30  23
Other        8  10   7  n/a
Undec       21  19  23  33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     2/18
R. Paul     50%/24% 57%/23% 44%/25% 43%/12%
T. Grayson  45 /26  51 /27  40 /24  31 /20

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 522 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

E. Marshall    42%
C. Cunningham  37
Other           4
Undec          17

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        50% 53%  51%  51%  50%
C. Cunningham  37  31   32   29   34
Other           3   4    7    6    5
Undec          10  13   11   14   11

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    40  32   35   34   37   38
Other           3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec           9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/19    3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr        57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall    45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32  41 /36  37 /34
C. Cunningham  43 /35  34 /37  29 /32  34 /34  34 /29   n/a

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher   43% 38%  39% 39% 37%  36%  40%
R. Portman  42  43   44  43  44   38   41
Other        4   4    5   5   4    8    6
Undec       11  14   12  13  14   18   14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12    12/7
L. Fisher   48%/34% 39%/38% 41%/37% 38%/39% 41%/39% 36%/35%
R. Portman  45 /26  45 /26  45 /27  45 /24  49 /25  48 /21

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter   43% 45% 48% 46% 49% 48%
J. Sestak    43  40  40  42  40  42
Other/undec  13  14  11  12  11  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
A. Specter   54%/34% 56%/30% 57%/29% 55%/33% 58%/32% 58%/31%
J. Sestak    48 /13  44 /13  42 /14  45 /11  43 /12  45 /12

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sen. John McCain, Navy vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
J. McCain      46% 36% 56%
J.D. Hayworth  35  43  27
J. Deakin       7   8   6
Undec          12  13  11

McCain As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 9/25
Approve        44% 40% 49% 65%
Disapprove     45  48  42  25

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
J.D. Hayworth  37%/40% 44%/39% 29%/41%

A Rocky Mountain Poll; conducted 4/12-25 by the Behavior Research Center; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 666 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Further subsample of 289 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 4/28). Tested: McCain, Hayworth and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All GOP Ind
J. McCain      54% 55% 46%
J.D. Hayworth  28  26  43
Undec          18  19  11

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain      46% 20% 77% 36%
R. Glassman    24  50   5  19
Undec          30  30  18  45

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J.D. Hayworth  37% 14% 67% 24%
R. Glassman    30  56   9  28
Undec          33  30  24  48

Would You Say That McCain Is Doing An Excellent/Good, Fair, Poor/Very Poor Job As Regards ___?

-                              Excel./Good Fair Poor/VeryPoor
Working to maintain a strong   53%         17%  19%
  military defense for U.S.
Running a clean campaign that  34          28   27
  does not engage in name
  calling or mudslinging
Representing the opinions of   31          20   39
  people like you
Working to promote peace in    30          32   23
  the world
Working to reduce the          29          22   25
  partisan stalemate in DC
Working to protect the         28          28   25
  environment
Working to create jobs in AZ   28          19   38
Working to secure the          27          24   36
  U.S./Mexico border
Working to stop the illegal    27          21   39
  drug trade between U.S. and
  Mexico
Working to improve education   26          25   33
  in the U.S.
Working for immigration        26          17   35
  reform 

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28               
G. Baker    53% 51%  45% 52% 51% 47%  47%    
B. Lincoln  31  36   40  33  39  41   39    
Other       12   6    6   6   3   6    5    
Undec        4   7    8   8   7   7    8

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  57% 51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  29  36   39  35
Other        9   6    6   4
Undec        5   7    7   7

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman  52% 48%  43% 50% 48% 44%  43%
B. Lincoln  32  36   41  34  38  40   41
Other        8   7    7   7   4   7    5
Undec        7   8   10   9   9   9   11

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren  51% 51%  43% 51% 47% 46%  44%
B. Lincoln  30  35   38  35  39  39   41
Other       11   5    7   7   4   6    5
Undec        8   8   12   7  10   9   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     54% 51%  45%
B. Lincoln  31  35   38
Other        6   7    6
Undec        9   7   10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
G. Baker    48% 44%  44%
B. Halter   33  36   37
Other       10   7    5
Undec        9  12   13

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman  56% 48%  52%
B. Halter   31  34   33
Other        7   8    6
Undec        7  11    9

-           Now 3/30 3/1
C. Coleman  43% 40%  38%
B. Halter   37  37   35
Other       11  10    9
Undec        9  13   18

-           Now 3/30 3/1
K. Hendren  45% 42%  42%
B. Halter   33  34   35
Other       13  10    7
Undec        9  13   15

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt     49% 43%  42%
B. Halter   31  34   38
Other       12   9    8
Undec        8  14   12

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/30    3/1     2/1     1/5     12/1
J. Boozman  58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%  n/a     n/a
B. Halter   48 /42  47 /40  48 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holt     47 /27  46 /24  44 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Baker    42 /27  37 /25  38 /23  40 /22  42%/20% 40%/19%
C. Coleman  37 /29  35 /25  34 /24  39 /19   n/a    37 /22
K. Hendren  36 /26  38 /21  36 /23  35 /19  37 /20  41 /19
B. Lincoln  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59  38 /56  43 /52

Florida
A WFLA-TV poll; conducted 4/28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve     52% 46% 51% 60% 49% 55% 53% 43% 57%
Disapprove  42  44  45  37  49  36  41  41  43

Indiana
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the IPFW Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 407 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Brown, FoxNews.com, 4/29). Tested: Wachovia Securities branch mgr. Don Bates (R), businessman/tea-party organizer Richard Behney (R), ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R) and state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

D. Coats       36%
J. Hostettler  24
M. Stutzman    18
D. Bates        6
R. Behney       4
Undec          13

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle      48% 51%  46% 44% 44%  47%
H. Reid       40  40   38  40  40   43
Other          7   6   11   7  10    7
Undec          4   3    5   8   7    3

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
S. Lowden     52% 54%  51% 45% 48%  49%  50%
H. Reid       39  39   38  39  36   43   40
Other          6   4    7   8   8    6    4
Undec          3   2    3   8   7    3    5

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian  51% 49%  50% 47% 50%  49%  50%
H. Reid       41  42   37  39  36   43   43%
Other          4   6    9   8   5    6    4
Undec          4   2    4   6   9    2    3

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9
S. Lowden     56%/35% 54%/33% 56%/31% 48%/27% 47%/28% 46%/32%
D. Tarkanian  53 /35  55 /34  52 /29  50 /35  49 /28  49 /30
S. Angle      48 /32  48 /33  40 /36  37 /30  39 /33  40 /37
H. Reid       43 /56  37 /62  39 /58  44 /55  41 /55  40 /57

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner  40% 77%  7% 32% 39% 42% 38%  35%  34%  39%  35%
R. Portman  36   6  79  34  40  33  37   40   38   34   34
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    1
Not vote     2   2  --   2   1   2   1    2    1    1    1
Undec       21  15  14  29  19  23  23   23   27   25   29

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher   40% 79%  7% 31% 37% 43% 41%  37%  36%  42%  37%
R. Portman  37   7  80  35  42  33  37   40   39   31   33
Other        1  --  --   2   1  --   1   --   --    1    2
Not vote     1  --  --   2   1  --   1    2    1    1    2
Undec       21  13  13  30  19  23  21   21   24   26   26

Fisher As LG

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 66% 21% 37% 42% 42% 43%  39%  39%  44%  39%
Disapprove  27  13  44  28  31  24  23   22   23   21   24

Brunner As Sec/State

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve     42% 65% 21% 39% 42% 43% 42%  36%  38%  41%  38%
Disapprove  27   8  48  29  31  23  23   25   25   23   25

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
L. Fisher   27%/13% 47%/ 4% 11%/25% 21%/12% 27%/13% 26%/12%
R. Portman  25 / 8   9 /15  51 / 1  22 / 8  25 / 8  25 / 7
J. Brunner  25 /14  41 / 4   9 /23  22 /15  21 /12  21 /12

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29
Support     45% 84% 11% 36% 42% 48% 44%
Oppose      48  10  84  55  53  44  46

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16). Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson vice mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups

J. McCain      54%
R. Glassman    32
Other           8
Undec           6

J.D. Hayworth  48%
R. Glassman    39
Other           7
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     11/18
J. McCain      52%/46% 54%/43%
J.D. Hayworth  43 /49   n/a
R. Glassman    32 /34   n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: McCain and Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      47% 48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  42  41   31   43
Other           2   3    7    6
Undec           8   8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain      67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

Obama As POTUS

Approve        14%
Disapprove     86

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      60% 67% 53%
J. DioGuardi    5   5   5
B. Blakeman     2   2   3
D. Malpass      2   1   2
Undec          31  25  37

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi   24% 28% 19%
B. Blakeman     7   6   8
D. Malpass      5   5   4
Undec          65  61  68

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand  46% 66% 18% 40% 45% 47% 48%  51%
B. Blakeman    26   9  54  32  31  21  24   24
Undec          28  25  28  28  24  32  28   25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  46% 66% 15% 41% 43% 48%
J. DioGuardi   27  11  57  31  31  24
Undec          27  23  28  29  26  28

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  46% 68% 17% 37% 44% 48%
D. Malpass     24   8  51  30  28  21
Undec          30  24  32  33  28  31

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19 1/14 12/9
G. Pataki      47% 33% 73% 49% 54% 42% 45%  47%  51%  43%
K. Gillibrand  38  56  13  33  34  41  39   41   38   46
Undec          15  11  14  18  12  17  15   13   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
G. Pataki      62%/29% 59%/34% 77%/15% 55%/31% 56%/33%
K. Gillibrand  34 /25  42 /18  21 /37  33 /26  32 /29
J. DioGuardi   10 / 8  10 / 8  13 / 7   9 /11   n/a
B. Blakeman     6 / 6   5 / 7   6 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 8
D. Malpass      5 / 5   6 / 6   5 / 7   6 / 4   n/a

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19 1/14 12/9
Elect her      27% 34% 17% 28% 26% 29% 28%  30%  29%  30%
Prefer another 40  31  51  45  45  35  38   40   45   34
Undec          33  35  32  27  29  36  34   30   26   35

Senate - Arizona (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/18; surveyed 570 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 11/20). Tested: Sen. John McCain, ex-Rep. J.D. Heyworth and Minutemen co-founder Chris Simcox.

General Election Matchup
J. McCain      45%
J.D. Heyworth  43
C. Simcox       4
Other           2
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav
J. McCain      74%/24%
J.D. Heyworth  67 /16
C. Simcox      27 /26

Senate - Arizona (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR); conducted 9/18-21; surveyed 617 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 9/24). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 37%D, 22%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-08), Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D) and DHS Sec./ex-Gov. Janet Napolitano (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
J. McCain      57% 28% 86% 51% 60% 54% 60%  7% 52% 52%
G. Giffords    30  57   4  32  28  32  27  81  35  29
Undec          13  15  10  17  13  14  13  11  13  19

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
J. McCain      55% 23% 85% 50% 57% 52% 58% --  49% 51%
R. Glassman    25  50   3  25  24  25  22  70  32  23
Undec          20  27  12  25  18  23  20  30  18  26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
J. McCain      53% 21% 85% 43% 54% 51% 57%  7% 44% 48%
J. Napolitano  40  71   8  48  37  42  37  85  47  41
Undec           7   8   6   9   8   6   7   7   9  10

McCain As Sen.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve        48% 32% 65% 41% 46% 50% 47% --  55% 51%
Disapprove     42  56  25  49  47  37  42  85  38  35

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Napolitano  44%/47% 72%/19% 16%/74% 48%/44% 41%/50% 46%/45%
G. Giffords    19 /21  32 /15   6 /25  24 /24  19 /25  19 /17
R. Glassman     6 /12   8 /13   4 /10   6 /14   7 /13   5 /10