Governor 2010

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 1,277 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown: 38%R, 37%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Branstad       52% 20% 85% 49% 53% 51%
C. Culver         37  71   7  33  39  36
Undec             11   9   8  19   9  13

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Roberts        40% 10% 72% 35% 43% 36%
C. Culver         38  74   7  32  40  37
Undec             22  15  21  33  17  27

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Vander Plaats  43% 10% 77% 42% 46% 41%
C. Culver         38  75   5  33  40  35
Undec             19  15  19  25  15  23

Culver As Gov.

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       28% 56%  4% 22% 30% 27%
Disapprove    56  26  84  59  56  56

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Dem     GOP     Ind
T. Branstad       42%/37% 23%/57% 62%/17% 39%/37%
B. Vander Plaats  28 /30  13 /43  45 /18  22 /28
R. Roberts        15 /19  11 /28  21 /14  14 /15

Maine
A ME Center for Public Opinion (R) poll; conducted 5/22-6/2 for '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R); surveyed 915 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/3). Tested: Mills, atty/Sen. Collins ex-CoS/mgr. Steve Abbott (R), ex-Husson Univ. pres./CEO Bill Beardsley (R), businessman Matt Jacobson (R), Waterville Mayor Paul LePage (R), businessman/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and businessman Bruce Poliquin (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Mills      22%
L. Otten      17
S. Abbott     14
P. LePage     11
B. Beardsley   6
B. Poliquin    5
M. Jacobson    1
Undec         24

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 5/22-26 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/2). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon    29%
V. Bernero   23
Undec        48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra  30% 27%  27%  25%  29%
M. Cox       18  21   21   32   28
R. Snyder    17  15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  13   10   16   14
T. George     2   3    1    2    2
Other        n/a  3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        17  18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Bouchard  48%
V. Bernero   32
Undec        20

M. Bouchard  49%
A. Dillon    33
Undec        18

-            Now 3/31
M. Cox       46% 44%
V. Bernero   36  30
Undec        18  26

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26
M. Cox       46% 43%  43%  47%    
A. Dillon    37  34   36   30     
Undec        17  23   21   23

-            Now 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 42%
V. Bernero   34  29
Undec        19  29

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  47% 40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    35  33   37   32
Undec        18  27   21   28

-            Now 3/31
R. Snyder    51% 42%
V. Bernero   28  26
Undec        21  32

-            Now 3/31
R. Snyder    50% 42%
A. Dillon    31  30
Undec        19  28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero    9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Nevada
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-2; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. Dist. Judge/ex-AG/ex-Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   47% 48% 45%
J. Gibbons    25  29  20
M. Montandon  10   7  13
S. Lusak       1   1   2
T. Atwood      1   1   0
Undec         16  13  19

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
B. Sandoval   58%/22% 59%/21% 57%/22%
J. Gibbons    37 /50  40 /48  33 /53
M. Montandon  25 /15  26 /17  23 /14
S. Lusak       3 /13   3 /11   2 /14
T. Atwood      5 /12   5 /11   4 /12

Governor 2010

Maine
A Pan Atlantic SMS Group poll; conducted 5/21-29; surveyed 300 Dem primary LVs and 300 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.7% for each (Christian, WCSH6.com, 6/1). Tested: '90/'92 ME-02 nominee/ex-ME Dept. of Conservation Commis./ex-state Rep. Pat McGowan (D), '84 SEN nominee/'90 ME-01 candidate/state Senate Pres./ex-state House Speaker Libby Mitchell (D), ex-ME Econ./Commun. Dev. Commis./ex-state House Speaker John Richardson (D), ex-AG/ex-state House Speaker Steve Rowe (D), businesswoman Rosa Scarcelli (D), atty/Sen. Collins ex-CoS/mgr. Steve Abbott (R), ex-Husson Univ. pres./CEO Bill Beardsley (R), businessman Matt Jacobson (R), Waterville Mayor Paul LePage (R), '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R), businessman/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and businessman Bruce Poliquin (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

L. Mitchell   13%
S. Rowe       12
R. Scarcelli   7
P. McGowan     6
Undec         62

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

L. Otten      17%
P. LePage     10
P. Mills       8
S. Abbott      8
B. Beardsley   4
B. Poliquin    3
M. Jacobson    2
Undec         47

Michigan
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 890 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 6/2). Party ID breakdown: 37%R, 35%D, 28%I. Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bouchard  39%  6% 69% 40% 39% 39%
V. Bernero   34  71   8  22  37  30
Undec        27  23  23  38  24  31

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Cox       38%  6% 70% 33% 35% 40%
V. Bernero   36  67   7  35  39  33
Undec        27  27  23  32  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
V. Bernero   31% 67%  4% 22% 34% 28%
T. George    30   1  61  23  28  31
Undec        39  32  34  55  37  41

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Hoekstra  41%  6% 75% 41% 40% 42%
V. Bernero   34  74   5  22  37  30
Undec        25  20  20  38  22  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Snyder    44%  6% 72% 53% 45% 43%
V. Bernero   28  66   5  10  30  26
Undec        28  28  23  36  26  31

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bouchard  38%  5% 71% 35% 39% 37%
A. Dillon    29  65   6  14  31  26
Undec        33  30  23  51  29  37

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Cox       40% 10% 73% 34% 41% 40%
A. Dillon    32  66   6  25  35  30
Undec        27  24  21  41  24  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. George    32%  5% 63% 23% 28% 35%
A. Dillon    31  69   6  15  35  27
Undec        38  26  31  61  37  39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Hoekstra  41%  8% 77% 36% 44% 39%
A. Dillon    32  71   5  20  34  31
Undec        27  21  19  44  22  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Snyder    46%  8% 76% 54% 48% 45%
A. Dillon    26  63   5   8  29  23
Undec        28  29  19  37  23  32

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra  27%/23%  8%/28% 40%/15% 32%/27% 31%/23% 23%/23%
R. Snyder    25 /13  11 /19  29 /11  37 / 9  27 /17  22 / 9
M. Cox       25 /38  10 /48  36 /24  28 /43  31 /37  19 /38
M. Bouchard  18 /19   7 /21  24 /15  23 /21  18 /26  18 /13
V. Bernero   11 /12  13 / 6   4 /17  16 /14  14 /11   7 /13
A. Dillon     9 /20  17 /12   5 /23   6 /27  11 /21   8 /20
T. George     4 / 9   3 / 9   5 /11   5 / 8   5 /10   4 / 9

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24
J. Brewer   44% 36%  41%  35%   35%
T. Goddard  40  45   43   44    42
Other        9  12    7    9    13
Undec        6   7    9   12    11

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18
D. Martin   47% 43%  44%  38%
T. Goddard  34  38   35   40
Other        8   6    6   11
Undec       11  13   14   11

-           Now 3/16
B. Mills    46% 43%
T. Goddard  37  37
Other        8   7
Undec        9  13

-           Now 3/16
J. Munger   44% 36%
T. Goddard  37  42
Other       10  13
Undec        9   9

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     40% 48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  56  51   55   60   57    57   48   45

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/16    1/20    11/18   9/24
T. Goddard  49%/44% 54%/31% 54%/32% 51%/35% 54%/38%
J. Brewer   45 /50  38 /57  42 /53  44 /48  42 /54
D. Martin   43 /31  47 /23  43 /28  41 /27   n/a
B. Mills    41 /31  35 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Munger   28 /37  33 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a

Maine
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 4/11-14 for '84 SEN nominee/'90 ME-01 candidate/state Senate Pres./ex-state House Speaker Libby Mitchell (D); surveyed 587 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/20). Tested: Mitchell, '90/'92 ME-02 nominee/ex-ME Dept. of Conservation Commis./ex-state Rep. Pat McGowan, ex-ME Econ./Commun. Dev. Commis./ex-state House Speaker John Richardson, ex-AG Steve Rowe and businesswoman Rosa Scarcelli.

Primary Election Matchup

L. Mitchell    36%
S. Rowe        16
P. McGowan     13
J. Richardson   4
R. Scarcelli    3
Undec          26

Fav/Unfav

L. Mitchell    44%/10%
S. Rowe        21 / 8
P. McGowan     17 /11
J. Richardson  12 / 9
R. Scarcelli    8 / 6

New Hampshire
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/17-18; surveyed 642 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/21). Tested: Activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
J. Stephen    29% 34% 24%
K. Testerman  15  11  19
J. Kimball    10  10   9
Undec         46  44  48

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
J. Stephen    19%/11% 20%/14% 18%/ 9%
J. Kimball     5 / 7   5 / 9   4 / 5
K. Testerman   4 / 7   4 / 8   4 / 6

Governor - Maine (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 10/16-19; surveyed 1,130 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 10/22). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 30%R, 32%I. Tested: '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R), State Senate Pres. Libby Mitchell (D), ex-ski mogul/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and ex-AG Steve Rowe (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Mills       34% 12% 64% 31% 42% 27%
L. Mitchell    31  59   6  22  27  35
Undec          35  29  29  48  31  38

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Mills       33% 11% 65% 30% 40% 26%
S. Rowe        25  50   4  16  24  27
Undec          42  39  31  54  36  47

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Mitchell    34% 63%  8% 25% 31% 37%
L. Otten       26   6  52  26  33  20
Undec          40  31  40  49  35  43

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Rowe        28% 52%  7% 21% 27% 29%
L. Otten       26   8  52  23  33  20
Undec          46  40  41  56  40  51

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Generic Dem    30% 64%  3% 13% 24% 34%
Generic GOPer  26   4  62  18  29  23
Generic indie  18   8  12  34  22  14
Undec          27  23  23  36  25  29

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
L. Mitchell  18%/16% 30%/ 9%  9%/24% 12%/17% 16%/23% 20%/10%
P. Mills     16 /15  12 /18  24 /12  14 /14  19 /19  13 /11
S. Rowe      13 /12  20 /11   9 /14   8 /12  13 /17  13 / 8
L. Otten     10 /16   7 /20  14 /11   9 /16  12 /22   7 /11

Governor - Maine (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 9/14-16 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/18). Party ID breakdown: 34%D, 27%R, 39%I. Tested: Maine & Company CEO Matthew Jacobson (R), Rep. Michael Michaud (D-02), '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R), State Senate Pres. Elizabeth Mitchell (D), ex-ski mogul/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and ex-AG Steve Rowe (D).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
E. Mitchell  34% 48% 11% 38% 31% 37% 38%   30%
L. Otten     28  14  47  27  32  24  24    32
Undec        38  38  42  35  37  39  38    38

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
E. Mitchell  35% 50% 11% 39% 32  38  40%   30%
P. Mills     15   6  24  16  19  11  11    19
Undec        50  44  65  45  49  51  49    51

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
E. Mitchell  35% 50% 11% 39% 32  38  40%   30%
M. Jacobson  14   5  23  15  17  11  10    19
Undec        51  45  66  46  51  51  50    51

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
M. Michaud   33% 48% 10% 37% 30% 36% 36%   30%
L. Otten     29  14  49  28  33  25  25    33
Undec        38  38  41  35  37  39  39    37

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
M. Michaud   34% 49% 10% 38% 33% 35% 37%   31%
P. Mills     15   5  24  17  18  12  11    19
Undec        51  46  66  45  49  53  52    50

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
M. Michaud   34% 49% 10% 38% 32% 36% 37%   31%
M. Jacobson  14   4  23  16  16  12  10    18
Undec        52  47  67  46  52  52  53    51

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
L. Otten     31% 15% 50% 32% 35% 27% 27%   35%
S. Rowe      30  46   7  33  26  34  33    27
Undec        39  39  43  35  39  39  40    38

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
S. Rowe      31% 47%  7% 35% 30% 32% 34%   28%
P. Mills     15   5  24  17  17  13  11    19
Undec        54  48  69  48  53  55  55    53

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom ME-01 ME-02
S. Rowe      31% 47%  7% 35% 30% 32% 34%   28%
M. Jacobson  14   4  23  18  16  12  10    18
Undec        55  49  70  49  54  56  56    54

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Michaud   37%/16% 51%/ 8% 19%/28% 38%/14% 34%/20% 40%/12%
E. Mitchell  28 / 6  39 / 3  13 /12  29 / 5  27 / 9  29 / 3
S. Rowe      31 /13  45 / 5  13 /27  32 /10  28 /16  34 /10
L. Otten     21 / 8  17 / 9  25 / 7  22 / 8  25 / 7  17 / 9
P. Mills     11 / 3  10 / 3  10 / 4  13 / 2  12 / 3  10 / 3
M. Jacobson   9 / 3   7 / 4  12 / 2   9 / 3  10 / 2   8 / 4