Senate 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 5/25 3/29
R. Shelby  58% 58%  59%
W. Barnes  31  31   32
Other       3   3    3
Undec       7   8    6

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/25    3/29
R. Shelby  66%/26% 67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes  37 /27  29 /27  35 /26

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/6; surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/7). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/24 2/25
C. Fiorina      54% 54% 55% 44%  20%
T. Campbell     19  19  18  21   33
C. DeVore       16  19  14  14   11
Other            5   4   7   7    6
Undec            6   5   7  14   30

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 6/3-6 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 569 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/7). Tested: Campbell, DeVore, Fiorina, Tim Kalemkarian and businessman Al Ramirez.

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/23 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina      48% 46% 52% 46%  24% 27%
T. Campbell     22  24  20  23   35  34
C. DeVore       16  19  13  14   15  14
T. Kalemkarian   2   2   2   4    3   3
A. Ramirez       2   2   2   2   n/a n/a
Undec            9   7  12  11   23  23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/4-6; surveyed 601 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/8). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 34%R, 19%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
R. Burr        46% 18% 84% 46% 50% 42% 44%  43%  43%  44%
C. Cunningham  35  56   7  33  33  37  39   35   32   32
Undec          19  25   9  21  17  21  17   22   25   24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
R. Burr        46% 15% 87% 46% 51% 41% 43%  43%  41%  43%
E. Marshall    39  65   5  33  34  42  42   37   36   33
Undec          16  20   7  21  15  17  15   20   23   23

Burr As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
Approve     35% 14% 66% 32% 40% 30% 37%  32%  35%  35%  36%
Disapprove  37  55  10  40  36  38  40   41   37   35   33

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/10    4/11
E. Marshall   21%/16% 34%/10%  7%/25% 15%/17% 23%/20% 19%/11%
C. Cunningham 12 /13  18 /12   7 /16   9 /13  16 /18   5 / 8

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Burr, Cunningham and Marshall.

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr        47% 50% 53%  51%  51%  50%
C. Cunningham  35  37  31   32   29   34
Other           7   3   4    7    6    5
Undec          10  10  13   11   14   11

-              Now 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr        50% 48% 53%  51%  50%  47%  48%
E. Marshall    36  40  32   35   34   37   38
Other           6   3   6    6    4    6    3
Undec           8   9  12    8   12   10   11

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr        54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall    41 /39  45 /37  36 /40  38 /39  44 /32
C. Cunningham  35 /38  43 /35  34 /37  29 /32  34 /34

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher   43% 43% 38%  39% 39% 37%  36%  40%
R. Portman  43  42  43   44  43  44   38   41
Other        4   4   4    5   5   4    8    6
Undec       10  11  14   12  13  14   18   14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/5     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12
R. Portman  49%/23% 45%/26% 45%/26% 45%/27% 45%/24% 49%/25%
L. Fisher   46 /33  48 /34  39 /38  41 /37  38 /39  41 /39

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).

General Election Matchup

-          Now 3/29
R. Shelby  58% 59%
W. Barnes  31  32
Other       3   3
Undec       8   6 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/29
R. Shelby  67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes  29 /27  35 /26 

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D) and Rep. John Boozman (R-03). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk AR-01 AR-02 AR-03 AR-04
B. Halter   47% 43% 51% 45% 58% 40%   53%   48%   46%
B. Lincoln  44  49  39  47  28  51    35    44    46
Undec        9   8  10   8  14   9    12     8     8

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  58% 25% 90% 65% 64% 52% 54%  52%  50%  49%
B. Lincoln  38  73   5  29  32  44  40   42   43   42
Undec        4   2   5   6   4   4   6    6    7    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 4/28 4/14 3/24
J. Boozman  53% 20% 87% 58% 59% 47% 50%  47%  48%  48%
B. Halter   42  78   7  35  36  48  41   42   41   40
Undec        5   2   6   7   5   5   9   11   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    4/28
J. Boozman  52%/34% 21%/56% 85%/12% 56%/30% 45%/34% 44%/32%
B. Halter   47 /37  75 /13  15 /63  46 /39  47 /34  48 /32
B. Lincoln  37 /58  59 /36  12 /81  37 /61  39 /55  41 /54

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     5/12    4/28
B. Halter   63%/21% 59%/25% 67%/17% 65%/17% 66%/14%
B. Lincoln  59 /36  64 /33  54 /39  61 /35  59 /33

Kentucky
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 42%R, 11%I. Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/17 9/2
R. Paul    44%  7% 86% 42% 50% 38% 42%  45%  37%
J. Conway  41  75   6  31  36  46  39   39   41
Undec      15  18   8  27  14  16  19   16   22 

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    3/17
R. Paul    53%/33% 29%/57% 79%/ 9% 58%/20% 56%/27% 55%/25%
J. Conway  48 /43  76 /19  17 /70  46 /39  46 /44  44 /40

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R) and '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden       30% 28% 32% 30%  45% 47%  26% 25%  23%  14%
S. Angle        29  33  25  25    5   8   13  13    9    5
D. Tarkanian    23  22  24  22   27  29   28  24   21   33
C. Christensen   3   2   4   2    4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
J. Chachas       2   1   3   3    3   1   --   1   --   --
Others           2   3   1  n/a  n/a n/a   1   4    3    1
None of these    3   2   4  n/a  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec            8   9   7  18   16  15   32  33   44   47

General Election Matchup

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/7
H. Reid         42% 71%  9% 40% 39% 45% 42%  40%
S. Angle        39  10  73  36  43  35  44   45
Others           5   3   5   7   4   6  n/a  n/a
None             4   3   4   7   5   3  n/a  n/a
Undec           10  13   9  10   9  11  14   15 

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/14 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
S. Lowden   42% 13% 75% 39% 49% 35% 47%  46% 52%  50% 51%
H. Reid     39  69   7  36  34  44  37   38  39   40  41
Others       3   3   3   5   3   3   5    5  n/a  n/a n/a
None         6   4   7   9   5   7   3   n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Undec       10  11   8  11   9  11   8   11   9   10   8

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2
D. Tarkanian    42% 15% 74% 37% 45% 39% 39% 51%  49% 48%
H. Reid         41  69  11  37  37  45  39  40   41  42
Others           4   4   5   4   3   5  11  n/a  n/a n/a
None of these    3   4   1   6   3   3  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Undec           10   8   9  16  12   8  11   9   10  10 

Fav/Unfav

-               Now     4/14    4/7     2/24    1/7
S. Lowden       41%/28% 45%/23% 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17%
H. Reid         37 /49  33 /54  34 /56  33 /51  33 /52
D. Tarkanian    31 /17   n/a    28 /22  30 /17  33 /16
S. Angle        29 /23   n/a    20 /19  19 / 9  21 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-               Now     5/11    4/7
S. Lowden       45%/22% 46%/21% 54%/14%
D. Tarkanian    44 / 7  42 /12  46 /12
S. Angle        41 /13  38 /11  22 /15

Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
L. Fisher   47% 87% 10% 35% 43% 51%
R. Portman  46   8  84  44  48  45
Other        1   2   1   0   2   0
Undec        6   3   5  20   7   5

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/24-26 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/28). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/12 3/10 8/12 5/09
J. Sestak  43% 76%  6% 35% 37% 49% 40%  39%  42%  37%
P. Toomey  40   8  82  35  44  36  45   42   41   32
Undec     17  16  12  30  19  15  15   19   17   31 

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/12    3/10
J. Sestak  48%/30% 71%/11% 20%/55% 47%/27% 39%/26% 35%/23%
P. Toomey  47 /42  17 /67  85 /12  47 /40  45 /40  41 /36

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 3/9   
P. Murray  47% 49% 45%
P. Akers   32  35  37
Other       6   6   5           
Undec      15  10  13

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  50% 52% 48% 48% 50%
D. Benton  35  38  40  37  38
Other       6   3   4   3   3              
Undec       9   7   8  12   9 

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  47% 51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier  37  36  37  30  34
Other       6   4   5   6   4
Undec      10   8  11  15  13 

-          Now 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray  48% 48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi   47  46  46  49  48
Other       2   2   3   3   1
Undec       4   3   4   2   5 

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray  52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi   52 /43  52 /44  52 /44  51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier  33 /31  28 /31  26 /29  27 /26  28 /28
D. Benton  31 /32  32 /30  34 /25  26 /29  33 /28
P. Akers   27 /33  31 /29  29 /27   n/a     n/a 

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R), N.C. "Clint" Moser (R), atty William Barnes (D) and teacher/soul singer Simone De Moore (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
W. Barnes    39% 42% 36% 42% 31%
S. De Moore  11   9  13   9  17
Other         3   4   2   4   0
Uncec        47  45  49  45  52

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Shelby    63% 64% 62%
C. Moser     14  16  12
Undec        23  20  26

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    57% 22% 87% 58% 61% 53% 72%  5%
W. Barnes    33  66   6  29  32  34  22  71
Other         3   2   3   6   4   2   4   1
Undec         7  10   4   7   3  11   2  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    62% 31% 88% 65% 66% 58% 79%  5%
S. De Moore  27  56   4  22  25  29  14  72
Other         3   2   3   5   3   3   4   0
Undec         8  11   5   8   6  10   3  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    61%/31% 38%/57% 77%/11% 69%/25% 65%/28% 57%/34%
W. Barnes    40 /32  62 /11  22 /50  40 /31  38 /35  42 /29
S. De Moore  23 / 9  45 / 5   6 /12  19 /10  22 / 9  24 / 9

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
W. Barnes    46%/17% 49%/15% 43%/19% 49%/15% 39%/22%
S. De Moore  21 / 6  19 / 7  23 / 5  19 / 8  27 / 1

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    63%/28% 65%/27% 61%/29%
C. Moser     12 /15  15 /13   9 /17

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R), Tim Kalemkarian (R) and businessman Al Ramirez (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina      46% 45% 47% 24% 27%
T. Campbell     23  26  21  35  34
C. DeVore       14  15  12  15  14
T. Kalemkarian   4   3   4   3   3
A. Ramirez       2   2   3  n/a n/a
Undec           11   9  14  23  23

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27
Approve     40% 41%  40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%
Disapprove  51  47   50   43   45   49    47    48   44

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) and Labor Commis. Michael Thurmond (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/22
J. Isakson   57% 51%
M. Thurmond  30  35
Other         6   6
Undec         8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/22    3/17
J. Isakson   60%/27% 60%/27% 61%/26%
M. Thurmond  46 /27  45 /32   n/a

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 522 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Reps. Jerry Moran (01) and Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran       52% 54% 48% 42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt      29  28  31  32   33   34   27   32
R. Londerholm   4   5   3   5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec          15  13  18  21   27   29   30   40

New York
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Gillibrand As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     41% 36%   35%   41%  39%  41%  40%  41%  36%
Disapprove  44  44    45    42   39   40   32   37   39

A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Schumer As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     64% 57%   60%   65%  59%  58%  62%  63%  62%
Disapprove  31  37    30    26   35   36   30   30   31

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     51% 51%  49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%
Disapprove  39  35   41   37   40   40    40    32   35

Washington
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 5/3-23; surveyed 1,252 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray      44%
D. Rossi       40
Other           3
Undec          12

P. Murray      42%
Generic GOPer  39
Other           4
Undec          14

Murray As Sen.

Approve        51%
Disapprove     34

A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     47% 46%  42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%
Disapprove  46  48   45   50   39   40    45    41   43