House 2010

PA-12
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/4-5 for businessman Tim Burns (R) and the NRCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Tested: Burns and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

-         Now 3/15
T. Burns  43% 45%
M. Critz  41  41
Undec     14  13

DE-AL
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/20-21 for developer Glen Urquhart (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/23). Tested: Urquhart and businesswoman Michele Rollins.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Rollins   27%
G. Urquhart  11
Undec        60

Fav/Unfav

M. Rollins   27%/ 6%
G. Urquhart  13 / 5

NM-01
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 4/28-5/2 for Rep. Martin Heinrich (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/5). Tested: Heinrich and atty Jon Barela (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Heinrich  55%
J. Barela    38

IL-14
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for state Sen. Randy Hultgren (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 5/5). Tested: Hultgren and Rep. Bill Foster (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Hultgren  45%
B. Foster    44
Undec        12

Re-Elect Foster?

Deserves re-election  28%
New person            55
Undec/depends         18

Foster As Rep.

Approve      40%
Disapprove   41

Fav/Unfav

B. Foster    41%/33%

House 2010

FL-25
A Hill Research (R) poll; conducted 2/21-22; surveyed 300 GOP voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/24).

Fav/Unfav

A. Diaz de la Portilla  39%/ 9%
J. Martinez             34 /17 
D. Rivera               24 / 5
C. Curbelo              11 / 5
C. Gimenez              11 / 5
M. Pizzi                10 / 3

NM-01
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 52%D, 31%R, 17%I. Tested: Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) and atty Jon Barela (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
M. Heinrich  45% 73%  6% 31% 42% 48% 41% 50% 50% 45%
J. Barela    36  11  74  44  44  29  39  17  33  38
Undec        19  16  21  25  14  23  20  33  17  17

Heinrich As Rep.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve      40% 60% 12% 29% 39% 41% 38% --  45% 34%
Disapprove   38  16  66  51  48  28  42  17  33  45

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Barela    13%/15% 13%/16% 16%/11%  8%/18% 17%/21%  9%/ 9%

Obama As POTUS

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve      47% 75% 12% 28% 42% 52% 41% 67% 54% 45%
Disapprove   47  17  86  63  51  43  55  17  40  38

NM-02
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 40%R, 13%I. Tested: Rep. Harry Teague (D) and '08 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Steve Pearce (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
S. Pearce   43% 18% 72% 51% 43% 44% 63% 40% 23% 58%
H. Teague   41  64  14  41  47  35  27  40  58  23
Undec       16  19  14   9  10  21  11  20  20  19

Teague As Rep.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve     41% 54% 26% 41% 40% 42% 31% 60% 52% 35%
Disapprove  36  24  50  41  41  32  49  40  24  32

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Pearce   43%/31% 26%/46% 66%/14% 34%/32% 40%/33% 45%/30%

Obama As POTUS

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve     44% 72% 14% 33% 43% 45% 24% 60% 65% 26%
Disapprove  49  20  82  57  50  49  71  40  26  71

NM-03
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 54%D, 33%R, Tested: Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D), Iraq vet/anti-war activist Adam Kokesh (R) and engineer Tom Mullins (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. Luján    39% 64%  5% 26% 35% 42% 34% 31% 49% 41%
A. Kokesh   33  12  72  19  37  29  38  --  26  24
Undec       28  24  23  55  27  29  27  69  25  35

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. Luján    40% 66%  4% 34% 37% 44% 36% 59% 49% 45%
T. Mullins  38  14  81  29  45  33  44  31  28  35
Undec       21  21  15  36  18  24  21  10  23  20

Luján As Rep.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve     29% 47%  4% 22% 26% 32% 26% 14% 34% 39%
Disapprove  42  24  71  42  48  38  45  72  38  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Mullins  10%/ 9%  5%/10% 17%/ 8% 13%/10% 11%/ 8% 10%/10%
A. Kokesh    5 /18   5 /20   4 /15   6 /17   5 /21   4 /15

Obama As POTUS

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve     45% 73%  5% 35% 44% 46% 41% 45% 48% 61%
Disapprove  47  17  91  54  50  44  52  41  39  39

SD-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/25). Tested: Tested: Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D), state Sen. Blake Curd (R), Sec/State Chris Nelson (R) and state Rep. Kristi Noem (R).

General Election Matchups

S. Herseth Sandlin  51%
B. Curd             33
Other                5
Undec               12

S. Herseth Sandlin  45%
C. Nelson           38
Other                6
Undec               11

S. Herseth Sandlin  49%
K. Noem             34
Other                4
Undec               13

House 2010

NM-02
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 2/16-18 for ex-Rep. Steve Pearce (R); surveyed 401 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/19). Tested: Pearce and Rep. Harry Teague (D).

General Election Matchups

S. Pearce      48%
H. Teague      44
Undec           8

Generic GOPer  47%
Generic Dem    37

Re-Elect Teague?

Re-elect him   38%
Someone new    47