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Showing posts with label KS Governor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label KS Governor. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup
R. Bentley  46%
B. Byrne 27

Fav/Unfav
R. Bentley  59%/ 9%
B. Byrne 43 /24

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.

Primary Election Matchup
-                  All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer 76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick 17 17 18
Undec 7 5 10

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo 55% 56% 52% 55% 54% 57% 65%
R. Lazio 28 24 29 30 35 29 26
Other 4 6 6 5 5 6 5
Undec 13 14 13 10 7 9 5

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo 55% 55% 51% 56%
C. Paladino 25 25 28 27
Other 6 5 6 6
Undec 13 15 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/27    3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17
A. Cuomo 63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio 49 /32 38 /38 46 /32 40 /34 45 /34 36 /44
C. Paladino 35 /32 27 /41 31 /31 30 /33 n/a n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland 43% 81% 6% 40% 38% 47% 44% 43% 44% 40%
J. Kasich 38 4 81 37 46 32 38 38 39 40
Other 2 2 -- 4 2 3 1 1 1 1
Not vote 2 2 1 2 1 2 -- 1 2 1
Undec 15 11 11 16 13 16 17 17 15 18

Strickland As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47% 49% 48% 45% 48%
Disapprove 42 17 67 46 48 38 38 40 40 43 42

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26
T. Strickland 42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich 29 /19 6 /32 53 / 5 28 /19 27 /10

Strickland Handling Economy
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve 33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36% 35% 35% 33% 33%
Disapprove 54 27 73 61 57 51 53 52 53 52 54

Strickland Handling OH Budget
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve 31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36% 37% 32% 36% 32%
Disapprove 52 30 70 57 54 51 48 47 51 47 53

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?
-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes 31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37% 36% 34% 32% 37% 34%
No 48 29 64 53 48 48 41 41 45 43 40 40

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich 39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41% 38% 41% 41%
T. Strickland 38 68 11 34 35 40 39 38 35 33
No difference 4 3 3 6 4 4 2 2 2 --
Undec 19 19 14 19 14 23 18 22 22 27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich 41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40% 39% 42% 42%
T. Strickland 37 68 9 35 34 39 39 38 36 34
No difference 3 3 3 4 3 4 2 2 1 --
Undec 18 17 13 19 16 20 19 21 21 25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland 37% 69% 9% 33% 34% 40% 41% 40% 35%
J. Kasich 36 9 71 35 40 32 35 35 36
No difference 8 7 6 12 8 9 7 5 6
Undec 19 15 14 20 18 19 18 20 22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland 39% 73% 8% 36% 35% 42% 42% 42% 40%
J. Kasich 38 10 75 37 45 33 36 34 36
No difference 4 3 2 6 4 4 3 2 3
Undec 19 14 15 20 16 21 19 22 21

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).

Special Election Matchup
-           Now 4/8
G. Herbert 58% 57%
P. Corroon 31 29
Other 2 4
Undec 8 10

Herbert As Gov.
-           Now 4/8
Approve 72% 70%
Disapprove 25 27

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/8
G. Herbert 70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon 50 /32 47 /35

Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).

General Election Matchups
M. Mead      49%              M. Mead      51%
L. Petersen 22 P. Gosar 23
Other 13 Other 14
Undec 16 Undec 12

R. Meyer     51%              R. Meyer     52%
L. Petersen 23 P. Gosar 23
Other 11 Other 12
Undec 15 Undec 13

R. Micheli   47%              R. Micheli   46%
L. Petersen 27 P. Gosar 28
Other 11 Other 13
Undec 15 Undec 14

C. Simpson   44%              C. Simpson   51%
L. Petersen 28 P. Gosar 24
Other 14 Other 12
Undec 15 Undec 13

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/25
M. Mead 55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson 52 /24 56 /20
R. Meyer 44 /33 50 /20
R. Micheli 40 /29 38 /18
L. Petersen 33 /36 n/a
P. Gosar 31 /32 n/a

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom Wht Blk
A. Davis 41% 37% 45% 36% 54%
R. Sparks 33 39 27 38 20
Other 8 9 7 10 2
Undec 11 15 21 16 24

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne 29% 31% 27%
R. Moore 23 24 22
T. James 17 16 18
R. Bentley 9 9 9
B. Johnson 3 4 2
Other 2 2 2
Undec 17 14 20

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne 48% 12% 80% 47% 52% 44% 61% 4%
A. Davis 31 62 6 27 28 34 18 74
Other 7 4 7 13 8 6 9 1
Undec 14 22 7 13 12 16 12 21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James 45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57% 3%
A. Davis 37 73 6 36 34 40 24 81
Other 8 5 7 15 8 8 10 1
Undec 10 11 12 5 9 11 9 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore 43% 10% 73% 42% 47% 39% 55% 3%
A. Davis 38 74 7 37 35 41 25 82
Other 9 5 9 16 9 9 11 1
Undec 10 11 11 5 9 11 9 14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
B. Byrne 45% 11% 75% 44% 49% 41% 57% 4%
R. Sparks 34 65 8 32 33 35 23 72
Other 9 7 8 16 9 9 11 1
Undec 12 17 9 8 9 25 9 23

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
T. James 44% 9% 75% 43% 48% 40% 56% 3%
R. Sparks 38 74 7 37 35 41 25 81
Other 19 7 9 17 11 9 13 1
Undec 8 10 9 3 6 10 6 15

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Moore 41% 8% 71% 40% 45% 37% 52% 3%
R. Sparks 40 76 9 39 37 43 27 83
Other 12 8 12 19 13 11 15 1
Undec 7 8 8 2 5 9 6 13

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Byrne 47%/25% 21%/44% 69%/ 9% 50%/20% 51%/22% 43%/28%
R. Moore 45 /36 17 /60 67 /17 48 /33 49 /33 41 /39
A. Davis 44 /40 72 /17 21 /60 42 /41 42 /43 46 /37
T. James 43 /33 14 /57 66 /13 47 /30 45 /31 14 /57
R. Sparks 42 /38 64 /16 22 /57 42 /40 40 /40 44 /36

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
A. Davis 55%/22% 52%/26% 58%/18% 51%/28% 67%/ 4%
R. Sparks 42 /30 47 /27 37 /33 48 /29 26 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-           All     Men     Wom
B. Byrne 53%/14% 56%/12% 50%/16%
R. Moore 44 /21 47 /19 41 /23
T. James 41 /17 43 /16 39 /18

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R).

General Election Matchup
M. Beebe    53%
J. Keet 38
Other 1
Undec 7

Beebe As Gov.
-           Now 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve 72% 68% 74% 75% 73% 68% 67% 69%
Disapprove 28 30 25 22 24 29 28 30

Fav/Unfav
M. Beebe    68%/31%
J. Keet 47 /27

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/9 4/21
J. Brown 70% 72% 69% 73% 78% 67% 61% 66% 63%
C. Pineda 4 6 3 3 2 7 9 3 2
R. Aguirre 4 5 4 3 1 9 2 4 6
J. Symmon 2 3 2 3 1 3 0 3 3
V. Greene 2 2 2 1 1 3 0 1 1
L. Darling 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 6
P. Schurman 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 1
Undec 14 12 17 15 16 10 24 19 18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman 54% 55% 52% 39% 49%
S. Poizner 27 28 26 37 27
L. Naritelli 2 3 2 1 2
D. Hughes 2 3 2 1 1
B. Chambers 2 1 3 3 2
K. Miller 2 1 3 2 1
R. Newman 1 1 1 2 2
D. Tully-Smith 1 0 2 1 1
Undec 9 7 10 14 15

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 4/22 1/20
N. Deal 47% 47% 49%
T. Baker 30 31 32
Other 10 9 7
Undec 12 13 11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
N. Deal 47% 46% 43% 43% 42%
R. Barnes 40 39 40 37 43
Other 6 7 5 7 7
Undec 7 8 13 14 8

-            Now 4/22 1/20
K. Handel 43% 44% 46%
T. Baker 32 36 34
Other 10 5 8
Undec 14 15 11

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
K. Handel 42% 42% 42% 45% 42%
R. Barnes 39 41 39 36 43
Other 9 7 5 5 5
Undec 10 10 14 14 10

-            Now 4/22
E. Johnson 42% 38%
T. Baker 30 35
Other 11 9
Undec 17 18

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17
R. Barnes 42% 42% 40% 37%
E. Johnson 38 37 38 37
Other 9 8 6 8
Undec 11 13 16 18

-            Now 4/22 1/20
J. Oxendine 50% 44% 50%
T. Baker 29 34 32
Other 9 9 8
Undec 12 13 10

-            Now 4/22 3/17 2/17 1/20
J. Oxendine 43% 45% 41% 45% 44%
R. Barnes 39 43 41 37 42
Other 11 6 6 7 6
Undec 7 6 11 10 8

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/22    3/17    2/17    1/20
J. Oxendine 57%/26% 51%/35% 53%/34% 58%/31% 59%/29%
R. Barnes 46 /42 47 /43 44 /43 48 /43 52 /38
N. Deal 45 /28 41 /27 39 /30 40 /27 44 /29
K. Handel 45 /29 48 /26 44 /32 53 /24 52 /24
T. Baker 37 /40 42 /39 n/a n/a 45 /33
E. Johnson 37 /28 29 /28 32 /27 36 /25 n/a

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Brownback As Sen.
-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve 48% 41% 50% 56% 51% 49% 57% 48% 54%
Disapprove 42 47 42 37 40 40 30 42 36

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs and 638 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 3.9%, respectively (release, 5/25). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Sheheen 36% 40% 31% 34% 37% 40%
J. Rex 30 31 30 32 28 30
R. Ford 11 15 7 8 15 10
Undec 23 13 33 26 20 20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
N. Haley 39% 39% 39%
H. McMaster 18 17 19
G. Barrett 16 15 17
A. Bauer 13 12 13
Undec 14 16 12

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
V. Sheheen 31%/11% 38%/11% 25%/12% 33%/13% 31%/ 9% 15%/20%
J. Rex 29 /19 27 /23 30 /14 36 /17 20 /22 25 /20

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-            All     Men     Wom
N. Haley 47%/13% 50%/14% 44%/13%
H. McMaster 43 /22 47 /26 40 /18
G. Barrett 28 /18 29 /20 28 /15
A. Bauer 26 /49 26 /48 25 /50

Sanford As Gov. (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
Approve 51% 54% 46%
Disapprove 36 34 38

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/12). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup
-                Now 4/14 3/4 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis 47% 48% 48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper 41 42 42 49 42
Other 6 4 3 1 2
Undec 6 6 6 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-                Now     4/14    3/4     2/4     1/6
S. McInnis 52%/35% 57%/26% 53%/33% 52%/29% 60%/26%
J. Hickenlooper 49 /43 55 /38 55 /36 56 /36 57 /32

Kansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback (R) and state Sen. Tom Holland (D).

General Election Matchup
-             Now 2/24
S. Brownback 58% 55%
T. Holland 27 33
Other 7 4
Undec 8 8

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     2/24
S. Brownback 64%/29% 58%/34%
T. Holland 38 /36 34 /23

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/9-12; surveyed 405 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/13). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2
D. Onorato 39% 37% 33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39%
T. Williams 14 15 15 15 12 9 10 8 9 9 7
J. Hoeffel 11 8 10 8 8 10 11 12 11 9 7
J. Wagner 9 9 9 10 8 8 8 9 8 8 6
Other/undec 27 30 34 32 36 38 36 39 37 38 41

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8     5/7
D. Onorato 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10%
T. Williams 24 /15 26 /13 28 /13 26 /15 24 /13 21 /14
J. Hoeffel 23 / 7 21 / 6 22 / 7 21 / 9 18 / 8 20 / 8
J. Wagner 22 /11 20 /10 17 / 9 19 /10 17 / 8 18 / 6

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/4-10; surveyed 1,161 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 5/13). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), Hoeffel, Onorato and Wagner.

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14
T. Corbett 49% 18% 87% 47% 58% 41% 50% 41% 46%
J. Hoeffel 26 55 3 15 21 31 28 30 30
Other 1 1 1 4 2 1 -- 1 1
Not vote 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 22 24 8 33 18 26 21 27 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 43% 11% 82% 42% 52% 35% 45% 42% 45% 47%
D. Onorato 37 68 9 29 35 39 33 32 30 28
Other 1 -- -- 2 -- 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 19 20 9 27 12 25 21 24 22 24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 47% 14% 86% 49% 55% 40% 48% 42% 43% 44%
J. Wagner 28 57 4 17 24 31 29 30 33 29
Other 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 23 28 8 29 18 28 21 26 23 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/5     2/28
T. Corbett 49%/13% 31%/20% 73%/ 4% 50%/13% 47%/13% 43%/ 7%
D. Onorato 34 /13 46 / 6 22 /20 34 /15 21 /11 20 / 8
J. Wagner 19 / 7 27 / 5 11 / 9 19 / 7 18 / 8 20 / 7
J. Hoeffel 14 /11 20 / 7 7 /13 14 /13 14 /10 15 / 7
T. Williams 12 / 8 23 / 5 5 /10 7 /10 3 / 3 3 / 2
S. Rohrer 9 / 5 2 / 5 17 / 5 9 / 5 7 / 4 5 / 3

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 3/18 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum 45% 47% 48% 46% 44% 46% 42%
A. Sink 38 36 35 35 39 35 34
Other 7 5 4 5 5 5 7
Undec 10 12 12 13 12 15 18

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/18    2/18    2/1     12/14   10/20
B. McCollum 50%/31% 51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31%
A. Sink 43 /37 37 /41 38 /34 39 /34 45 /31 41 /30

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Brownback As Sen.
-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve 41% 50% 56% 51% 49% 57% 48% 54% 50%
Disapprove 47 42 37 40 40 30 42 36 34

Massachusetts
A Western New England College poll; conducted 4/11-15; surveyed 528 adults; margin of error +/- 4.3%. Subsample of 481 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R) and Treas. Tim Cahill (I).

General Election Matchup (RVs)
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick 34% 66% 3% 26% 34% 33%
T. Cahill 29 17 32 35 29 28
C. Baker 27 6 64 29 31 23
Undec 10 10 1 10 6 15

Patrick As Gov.
-           All RVs  All  RVs   All   All
- Now Now 3/09 3/09 2/09 11/08
Approve 34% 34% 41% 40% 47% 50%
Disapprove 48 49 43 43 35 25

Fav/Unfav (RVs)
D. Patrick  40%/48%
T. Cahill 32 /18
C. Baker 20 /13

Direction Of MA (RVs)
-           Now 11/08
Right dir. 30% 39%
Wrong dir. 60 50

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett 49% 49% 51% 48%
J. Hoeffel 29 28 29 26
Other 11 5 5 9
Undec 11 18 15 17

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett 45% 46% 52% 44%
D. Onorato 36 29 26 28
Other 8 7 5 7
Undec 11 17 17 21

-           Now 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett 48% 46% 49% 43%
J. Wagner 27 33 28 30
Other 11 6 5 8
Undec 14 16 17 20

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato 41 /32 36 /36 34 /35 30 /32
J. Hoeffel 33 /37 28 /35 33 /33 26 /35
J. Wagner 32 /36 40 /30 40 /28 37 /30

Tuesday, March 2, 2010

Governor 2010

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 2/22, 2/24; surveyed 646 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/2). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchup
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/27
A. Cuomo 64% 88% 35% 55% 59% 70% 64%
R. Lazio 28 6 57 34 35 21 27
Undec 8 6 9 11 7 9 9

Cuomo As AG
-                 All Dem GOP Ind 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good 67% 75% 57% 64% 62% 64% 66% 69% 67%
Fair/poor 28 21 37 30 32 30 28 26 27

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 664 Dem RVs and 946 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 3.1%, respectively (release, 3/1). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and state Sen. Eric Johnson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             Now 4/13
R. Barnes 36% 35%
T. Baker 7 11
D. Porter 3 3
D. Poythress 2 2
Other 4 n/a
Undec 48 49

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             Now 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine 27% 25% 21%
K. Handel 13 10 9
N. Deal 9 9 11
E. Johnson 7 7 3
Others 8 4 6
Undec 36 45 50

Kansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/1). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback (R) and state Sen. Tom Holland (D).

General Election Matchup
S. Brownback  55%
T. Holland 33
Other 4
Undec 8

Fav/Unfav
S. Brownback  58%/34%
T. Holland 34 /23

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/25; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups
L. Chafee      37%
F. Caprio 27
J. Robitaille 19
Undec 17

L. Chafee      38%
P. Lynch 24
J. Robitaille 22
Undec 16

Fav/Unfav
L. Chafee      55%/37%
F. Caprio 52 /28
P. Lynch 37 /48
J. Robitaille 31 /31

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 9/22                           Now 9/22
T. Branstad 53% 54% B. Vander Plaats 46% 43%
C. Culver 37 34 C. Culver 40 39
Other 6 8 Other 7 9
Undec 4 4 Undec 7 9

Fav/Unfav
-                 Now     9/22
T. Branstad 57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats 43 /34 45 /30
C. Culver 42 /55 43 /50

Culver As Gov.
-            Now 9/22
Approve 41% 43%
Disapprove 57 53

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4/0% (release, 2/16).

Brownback As Sen.
-           Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve 56% 51% 49% 57% 48% 54% 50% 54% 53%
Disapprove 37 40 40 30 42 36 34 36 37

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
B. Sandoval   38%
J. Gibbons 32
M. Montandon 9
Undec 19M

General Election Matchups
R. Reid       47%
J. Gibbons 36
Undec 14

M. Montandon  40%
R. Reid 40
Undec 19M

B. Sandoval   50%
R. Reid 34
Undec 15

Fav/Unfav
B. Sandoval   37%/10%
J. Gibbons 29 /58
R. Reid 23 /37
M. Montandon 10 / 5

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/16-21; surveyed 1,662 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
T. Strickland 44% 82% 11% 38% 38% 48% 40% 46% 43% 51% 51%
J. Kasich 39 9 73 38 45 33 40 36 38 32 31
Other 1 1 -- 1 1 -- 1 2 2 1 1
Not vote 2 -- -- 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
Undec 15 8 16 19 13 17 18 15 16 16 15

Strickland As Gov.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve 48% 73% 28% 44% 45% 50% 45% 48% 46% 57% 56%
Disapprove 40 20 59 43 47 35 43 42 42 29 30

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/9
T. Strickland 45%/36% 68%/15% 22%/59% 45%/37% 38%/37%
J. Kasich 26 /10 10 /17 42 / 4 29 /10 23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve 35% 60% 16% 33% 35% 35% 33% 33% 33% 43% 39%
Disapprove 53 32 71 56 55 51 52 54 53 43 45

Strickland Handling OH Budget
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Approve 32% 51% 15% 30% 32% 32% 36% 32% 43% 44% 48%
Disapprove 51 31 68 54 53 49 47 53 40 36 30

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich 41% 15% 67% 44% 48% 35% 41%
T. Strickland 35 64 11 31 33 37 33
No difference 2 2 1 2 2 1 --
Undec 22 19 20 23 17 27 27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich 42% 18% 70% 43% 50% 35% 42%
T. Strickland 36 66 11 31 36 37 34
No difference 1 1 1 1 1 1 --
Undec 21 15 19 25 14 27 25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich 36% 13% 63% 36% 41% 31%
T. Strickland 35 63 13 31 34 36
No difference 6 5 3 8 8 4
Undec 22 19 21 25 16 28

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland 40% 70% 14% 37% 37% 42%
J. Kasich 36 11 66 35 42 31
No difference 3 1 3 5 5 2
Undec 21 17 18 23 16 25

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?
-      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Yes 34% 55% 17% 31% 36% 32% 32% 37% 34% 44% 46% 46%
No 45 28 59 48 46 43 43 40 40 32 30 27

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/19-21; surveyed 361 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.2% and +/- 4.9%, respectively (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R), Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R), physician Alma Ludivina Aguado (D), teacher Felix Alvarado (D), private investigator Bill Dear (D), Prairie View A & M assoc. prof. Clement Glenn (D), '06 GOP candidate/rancher/home-builder Star Locke (D), hair-care mogul Farouk Shami (D) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
B. White 59% 57% 61% 72% 52% 48% 38% 49%
F. Shami 12 17 9 6 14 19 25 19
F. Alvarado 5 4 5 -- -- 14 -- 5
A. Aguado 3 3 2 2 -- 5 -- 2
C. Glenn 2 3 1 1 3 -- 13 1
B. Dear 1 3 -- 1 3 -- -- 0
S. Locke 0 1 -- -- -- -- 13 0
Undec 18 12 22 24 17 28 14 13

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom 2/7
R. Perry 40% 34% 47% 39%
K. Hutchison 31 34 28 28
D. Medina 20 24 16 24
Undec 9 8 9 10

Primary Runoff Election Matchups (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom
R. Perry 52% 48% 57%
K. Hutchison 35 37 33
Undec 12 15 9

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry 56% 52% 60%
D. Medina 36 40 32
Undec 8 8 9

Perry As Gov. (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve 50% 44% 56% 50%
Disapprove 41 45 36 36

Hutchison As Sen. (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve 47% 47% 48% 51%
Disapprove 43 44 42 28

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-             All     Men     Wom     2/7
G.W. Bush 79%/14% 76%/18% 82%/10% n/a
R. Paul 38 /30 43 /32 32 /28 n/a
D. Medina 36 /30 40 /29 32 /32 40%/ 9%
 
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