Governor 2010

New Mexico
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 542 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 35%R, 12%I. Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez  44% 20% 82% 41% 53% 36%
D. Denish    43  61   8  36  36  48
Undec        14  14  10  23  11  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Martinez  45%/34% 30%/47% 72%/ 9% 31%/46% 52%/32% 39%/35%
D. Denish    40 /41  59 /19  13 /73  36 /43  34 /51  45 /32

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
T. Corbett   45% 21% 74% 44% 47% 43% 45%
D. Onorato   35  57  12  20  34  36  32
Undec        20  22  14  36  19  21  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
T. Corbett   31%/19% 19%/24% 46%/13% 24%/17% 27%/20%
D. Onorato   22 /25  33 /15  11 /35  12 /26  15 /13

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      55% 52%
S. Bartlett   29  26
Other          8   7
Undec          9  14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      47% 46%
D. Markowitz  40  39
Other          6   4
Undec          8  10

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      52% 51%
M. Dunne      32  29
Other          7   6
Undec         10  14

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      51% 48%
D. Racine     36  35
Other          5   5
Undec          7  12

-             Now 3/18
B. Dubie      55% 51%
P. Shumlin    36  33
Other          6   6
Undec          4  10

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/18
B. Dubie      61%/30% 61%/29%
D. Markowitz  55 /30  53 /33
D. Racine     48 /34  45 /33
P. Shumlin    43 /41  37 /45
M. Dunne      38 /31  29 /42
S. Bartlett   31 /38  29 /42

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  47% 44%  46%  46%  44%     
T. Barrett  39  42   46   42   42
Other        7   6    4    4    4
Undec        7   8    5    8   10

-           Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker   49% 48%  46%  48%  49%
T. Barrett  41  41   44   42   40
Other        3   3    3    2    1
Undec        7   8    7    8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker   51%/35% 52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  49 /37  48 /31  53 /31  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  42 /44  48 /36  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 501 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Branstad       57%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
Undec              6

Fav/Unfav

T. Branstad       75%/21%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19
R. Roberts        29 /11

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Experience To Do The Job?

T. Branstad       75%
B. Vander Plaats  13
R. Roberts         4
None of these      2
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Defeat Culver In The Nov. General Election?

T. Branstad       69%
B. Vander Plaats  17
R. Roberts         5
None of these      3
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Ideas For Bringing New Jobs To IA?

T. Branstad       52%
B. Vander Plaats  22
R. Roberts         7
None of these      3
Undec             16

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Cut The Amount Iowans Pay In Taxes?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  23
R. Roberts         8
None of these      4
Undec             17

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Curb Gov't Spending?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  27
R. Roberts         8
None of these      3
Undec             14

Which Candidate Stands Out As Most Committed To Making Decisions For Common Good That May Not Be Popular?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
None of these      2
Undec             13

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Freshest Iseas And New Approaches To IA's Problems?

T. Branstad       40%
B. Vander Plaats  34
R. Roberts        11
None of these      3
Undec             12

If Your Choice Is Not The Nominee, How Likely Is It You Will Support The Winner Of The Primary Against Culver In Nov.?

Definitely vote for GOP candidate          50%
Probably vote for GOP candidate            25
Might or might not vote for GOP candidate  10
Probably will not vote for GOP candidate    8
Undec/no candidate choice                   7

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   47% 41% 54% 45%  39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    33  41  24  27   25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   6   6   6    7   9    7   6    4    3
Others         1   1   1   1   --  n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         12  10  14  21   29  24   31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
R. Reid       44% 77%  7% 44% 38% 50% 42% 42%  43% 48%  49%
J. Gibbons    38  11  71  35  46  30  40  38   36  34   37
Other          2   1   3   3   1   2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           5   4   6   7   6   4  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         11   7  13  11   9  14  18  20   21  18   14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
B. Sandoval   51% 19% 84% 57% 56% 46% 50% 51%  53% 49%  50%
R. Reid       37  68   5  31  34  40  35  29   31  34   33
Other          1   1   1   1   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           1   2  --   2   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         10  10  10   9   8  12  15  20   16  17   17

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8
B. Sandoval   44%/20% 34%/12% 33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%
R. Reid       29 /37  21 /33  22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29
J. Gibbons    27 /47  15 /54  17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             Now     5/11
B. Sandoval   49%/15% 43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /38  33 /41
M. Montandon  17 / 8  19 / 5

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 5/25 3/24
S. Martinez  44% 42%  32%
D. Denish    42  43   51
Other         4   3    7
Undec        10  12   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    3/24
S. Martinez  55%/34% 57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish    51 /41  53 /41  55 /43

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  33  36   36   29   26   28
Other        5   4    8    7    5    7
Undec       13  10   11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  59%/25% 57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  45 /35  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/5-6; surveyed 998 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 6/6). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/23
N. Haley     43% 47% 39% 39%
G. Barrett   23  22  24  16
H. McMaster  16  16  15  18
A. Bauer     12  11  13  13
Undec         7   5   9  14

Primary Runoff Election Matchups

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     51% 56% 46%
G. Barrett   35  31  39
Undec        14  12  15

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     62% 66% 58%
A. Bauer     26  24  29
Undec        12  10  13

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     54% 58% 49%
H. McMaster  35  34  35
Undec        12   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/23
N. Haley     58%/23% 63%/20% 53%/26% 47%/13%
H. McMaster  45 /28  48 /28  42 /28  43 /22
G. Barrett   44 /19  41 /25  48 /13  28 /18
A. Bauer     29 /52  25 /55  33 /49  26 /49

Governor 2010

California
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 921 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 46%D, 33%R, 21%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
J. Brown    48% 78% 12% 41% 45% 52% 47% 61% 57% 27% 43%
S. Poizner  32   8  67  31  37  28  40  11  16  27  43
Undec       19  14  21  28  18  20  14  28  27  45  15 

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Asn Oth
J. Brown    48% 79% 11% 38% 48% 48% 46% 72% 55% 27% 37%
M. Whitman  36  11  72  35  40  32  42  17  20  45  43
Undec       16  11  17  27  12  20  12  11  25  27  20 

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Brown    37%/39% 62%/11%  9%/78% 26%/78% 38%/40% 36%/37%
M. Whitman  24 /44  12 /60  41 /26  21 /36  26 /42  21 /45
S. Poizner  19 /43  13 /48  30 /43  13 /31  20 /42  17 /43

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        45% 52%
J. Arnold-Jones  31  30
Other            11   6
Undec            13  12

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        47% 52%
P. Domenici Jr.  30  35
Other            15   6
Undec             9   6 

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        43% 51%
S. Martinez      42  32
Other             3   7
Undec            12  10 

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        47% 43%
D. Turner        31  34
Other            11   7
Undec            11  16

-                Now 3/24
D. Denish        45% 45%
A. Weh           39  35
Other             9   7
Undec             7  13 

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     3/24
S. Martinez      57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish        53 /41  55 /43
P. Domenici Jr.  47 /42  44 /39
A. Weh           43 /46  33 /31
D. Turner        39 /35  33 /30
J. Arnold-Jones  38 /33  26 /32

Ohio
An Ohio Poll; conducted 5/11-20 by the Univ. of Cincinnati; surveyed 898 adults; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Subsample of 668 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup (LVs)

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland   49% 88% 14% 44% 47% 51%
J. Kasich       44   7  82  30  44  44
Other            1   2   0   5   2   1
Undec            6   4   4  20   7   5 

Strickland As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/20 4/09 5/08 4/08 5/07
Approve     55% 69% 40% 64% 57% 54% 48%   56%  61%  64%  68%
Disapprove  35  25  50  25  36  34  37    34   25   24   16

Strickland Handling Economy

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/20 4/09 5/08 4/08
Approve     46% 62% 33% 43% 50% 42% 41%   48%  51%  50%
Disapprove  46  33  62  48  44  48  49    45   38   41 

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 649 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 5/26). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 2/25
M. Whitman  54% 58% 50% 61%
S. Poizner  19  18  20  11
Other       15  16  14   4
Undec       12   8  16  24

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/25
M. Whitman  56%/23% 62%/ 9%
S. Poizner  31 /51  22 /22

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Poizner and Whitman.

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24
J. Brown    43% 50%  42%  46%  45%  43%   45%
S. Poizner  42  32   27   34   35   32    32
Other        7  10   13    7    9    7     5
Undec        8   8   18   13   11   18    18

-           Now 4/19 3/15 2/15 1/19 11/17 9/24 1/09
J. Brown    45% 44%  40%  43%  43%  41%   44%  40%
M. Whitman  41  38   40   43   39   41    35%  38
Other        8   9    6    6    7    3     3    5
Undec        7   9   14    8   11   14    18   17

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/19    3/15    2/15    1/19    11/17
J. Brown    53%/42% 51%/42% 46%/44% 53%/41% 49%/40% 48%/41%
M. Whitman  48 /47  47 /43  51 /34  56 /28  48 /30  47 /27
S. Poizner  48 /47  38 /46  29 /47  38 /37  40 /31  36 /26

Connecticut
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/24-25; surveyed 379 Dem RVs and 231 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 5.0% and 6.5%, respectively (release, 5/27). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Mike Fedele (R), ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R) and businessman Oz Griebel (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom
N. Lamont   41% 43% 40%
D. Malloy   24  30  19
Other        2   3   2
Not vote     3   3   3
Undec       30  20  37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
T. Foley    37% 37% 37%
M. Fedele   11  13   6
O. Griebel   5   7   1
Other        3   3   2
Not vote     3   3   3
Undec       42  37  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
N. Lamont   46%/12% 47%/23% 45%/ 6% 43%/13%
D. Malloy   28 / 5  36 / 4  24 / 5  35 / 9

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom     3/15
T. Foley    34%/ 6% 38%/ 9% 30%/ 2% 37%/ 6%
M. Fedele   15 / 6  21 / 7   7 / 5  11 / 8
O. Griebel  10 / 2  11 / 3   8 /--   5 / 3

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 428 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/27). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), management technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D).

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 4/6 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes     64% 47% 36%  35%
D. Porter      8   5   3    3
T. Baker       6  18   7   11
C. Camon       5  n/a n/a  n/a
D. Poythress   1   6   2    2
R. Mangham     1  n/a n/a  n/a
B. Bolton      0  n/a n/a  n/a
Other         n/a n/a  4   n/a
Undec         15  24  48   49

New Mexico
A KOB-TV poll; conducted 5/23-25 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,405 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 464 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 50%D, 37%R, 12%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      43% 41% 46%
A. Weh           33  34  32
D. Turner         8  11   6
P. Domenici       8   7   8
J. Arnold-Jones   3   2   3
Undec             5   6   5

General Election Matchups

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        49% 78% 14% 38% 45% 53%
J. Arnold-Jones  35  11  67  40  41  30
Undec            16  11  19  22  14  17

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        46% 71% 15% 43% 43% 49%
P. Domenici      40  19  70  34  45  36
Undec            14  10  16  24  13  15

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Martinez      49% 23% 83% 50% 53% 45%
D. Denish        43  70   9  38  40  46
Undec             8   7   8  12   7   9

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        50% 79% 14% 40% 47% 53%
D. Turner        36  10  70  37  41  31
Undec            14  11  16  22  12  16

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Denish        47% 77% 11% 36% 44% 50%
A. Weh           42  15  79  45  48  37
Undec            10   9  10  19   8  13

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/27). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
M. Neumann  44% 46%  46%  44%     
T. Barrett  42  46   42   42
Other        6   4    4    4
Undec        8   5    8   10

-           Now 4/20 3/16 2/17
S. Walker   48% 46%  48%  49%
T. Barrett  41  44   42   40
Other        3   3    2    1
Undec        8   7    8   10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/20    3/16    2/17
S. Walker   52%/30% 48%/33% 55%/28% 55%/29%
M. Neumann  48 /31  53 /31  53 /27  49 /31
T. Barrett  48 /36  40 /46  53 /34  49 /36

A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/16-17 for GOPAC (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/27).

Barrett As Milwaukee Mayor

Approve     39%
Disapprove  23

Governor 2010

California
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/23-24 for ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Whitman  53%
S. Poizner  27

Fav/Unfav

M. Whitman  58%/25%
S. Poizner  39 /37

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 417 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  51% 46% 56%
S. Poizner  26  27  26
Other       11  12   9
Undec       12  16   9

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
M. Whitman  50%/24% 46%/26% 55%/22%
S. Poizner  26 /44  27 /36  25 /53

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-23; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  42% 76%  7% 26% 39% 45% 33%  38%  36%
C. Baker    29   6  77  35  30  29  25   15   14
T. Cahill   14  13  11  15  14  13  23   26   23
J. Stein     8   5   0  11   9   7   3   n/a  n/a
Undec        7   1   5  11   8   6  16   22   26

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8
Approve     42% 66% 11% 32% 40% 43% 35%  42%
Disapprove  49  22  85  60  53  45  54   51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24    11/8
D. Patrick  45%/46% 73%/20% 10%/85% 33%/56% 38%/50% 43%/47%
T. Cahill   22 /34  22 /29  15 /43  22 /35  31 /16  41 /13
C. Baker    20 /17  13 /24  25 / 5  24 /15  18 /12  13 / 7
J. Stein     7 / 7   7 / 7   2 / 5   8 / 8   n/a     n/a

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15 3/09
Re-elect him    33% 56% 10% 23% 30% 37% 29%  32%  29%  34%
Someone else    55  28  84  68  60  51  60   55   56   47
Undec           11  15   7   9  10  12  11   13   15   20

Which Candidate Has Run The Best Campaign Thus Far?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  24% 39%  7% 17% 20% 27%
C. Baker    16   8  31  18  17  15
T. Cahill   11   7  11  14  12  10
J. Stein     2   2   3   1   3   2
Undec       45  43  48  48  47  44

Which Candidate Has Run The Worst Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Cahill   14% 15% 20% 11% 18% 10%
J. Stein    13  13   8  15  10  16
D. Patrick  13   6  20  15  13  12
C. Baker    11  13   3  12  13   9
Undec       48  52  49  46  45  51

Have You Seen The Attack Ads Against Cahill?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     67% 59% 72% 72% 66% 68%
No      33  41  28  28  33  32

Which Candidate Do You Trust The Most?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 57%  7% 24% 33% 35%
C. Baker    15   5  26  19  18  12
T. Cahill   10   6  18  11  12   8
J. Stein     6   3   8   7   6   7
Undec       34  27  41  38  31  37

Which Candidate Reminds You The Most Of Scott Brown?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Baker    26% 17% 30% 31% 30% 22%
T. Cahill    9   7   7  11  12   6
D. Patrick   5   7   0   4   5   5
J. Stein     2   2   8   1   2   3
Undec       56  65  56  50  49  63

Regardless Of Who You Are Personally Supporting, Who Do You Believe Will Be Elected?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  48% 66% 36% 39% 50% 47%
C. Baker    20   8  34  25  22  19
T. Cahill    9   6  13  10  11   7
J. Stein     1   1   2   0   1   1
Undec       21  19  15  25  16  26

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              38% 37%
M. Anderson Kelliher  36  34
T. Horner             11  10
Undec                 15  18

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 35%
M. Dayton             35  38
T. Horner             12   7
Undec                 16  20

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 37%
M. Entenza            34  28
T. Horner             12   8
Undec                 17  26

Fav/Unfav

-                     Now     3/10
M. Dayton             48%/39% 44%/45%
M. Anderson Kelliher  45 /36  39 /41
T. Emmer              45 /31  38 /26
M. Entenza            38 /34  27 /31
T. Horner             30 /36   n/a

New Mexico
A Dialing Services LLC (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25 for New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan; surveyed 771 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/25). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      41% 47% 30%
A. Weh           30  28  35
D. Turner         9   8   9
P. Domenici       8   6  12
J. Arnold-Jones   4   4   5
Undec             8   8   8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     45% 41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  44  41   42
Other          4   6    7
Undec          6  13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   38%  7% 65% 36% 44% 34% 48%  7% 34% 40%
J. Rex       36  70  10  34  36  36  26  69  45  33
Undec        25  23  25  30  20  30  26  25  21  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   43%  9% 73% 36% 49% 37% 52% 13% 34% 41%
V. Sheheen   33  67   6  32  32  33  25  57  45  26
Undec        25  24  21  31  19  30  23  30  21  33

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
J. Rex       40% 72% 16% 36% 37% 42% 31% 67% 45% 37%
A. Bauer     38  10  62  34  43  33  47   8  38  36
Undec        22  18  22  31  20  25  22  25  17  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
A. Bauer     38%  9% 67% 30% 43% 34% 48%  7% 45% 38%
V. Sheheen   38  73  12  33  38  39  29  67  45  33
Undec        23  18  21  38  19  27  23  26  10  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     45% 14% 72% 42% 52% 39% 54% 16% 38%
J. Rex       36  67  11  33  35  36  28  61  34
Undec        19  18  18  25  13  25  18  23  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     44%  7% 75% 43% 52% 37% 56%  7% 34%
V. Sheheen   34  71   6  28  33  34  23  67  38
Undec        22  22  19  29  15  28  21  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  42%  6% 72% 40% 48% 37% 53%  7% 31% 40%
J. Rex       36  74   7  34  35  37  26  69  45  31
Undec        22  20  21  26  17  26  21  25  24  29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  43%  6% 75% 39% 49% 37% 54% 10% 28% 41%
V. Sheheen   36  76   5  35  35  37  26  69  48  27
Undec        21  18  20  27  15  26  21  21  24  31

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/6
N. Haley     29%/26% 13%/40% 42%/13% 29%/29%  n/a
H. McMaster  27 /32  13 /45  40 /20  23 /34  30%/20%
A. Bauer     21 /50  13 /55  28 /47  21 /47  22 /43
J. Rex       18 /21  26 /16   8 /26  23 /19  22 /19
G. Barrett   18 /25   7 /36  28 /16  16 /25  14 /17
V. Sheheen   17 /16  28 /11   7 /21  20 /14   9 /14

Governor 2010

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter (R) and activist/ex-Harvard prof. Keith Allred (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/23
B. Otter    54% 60%
K. Allred   32  28
Other        5   3
Undec        9   9

Otter As Gov.

-           Now 3/23
Approve     55% 60%
Disapprove  42  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/23
B. Otter    56%/36% 62%/35%
K. Allred   37 /32  34 /34

New Mexico
An Albuquerque Journal poll; conducted 5/11-13 by Research & Polling Inc.; surveyed 503 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (Olson, Albuquerque Journal, 5/16). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

A. Weh           31%
S. Martinez      30
P. Domenici      10
D. Turner         6
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            20

Oregon
A Lindholm Company (R) poll; conducted 5/10-12; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/14). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley, CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin, '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright, ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley, '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan, '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr, '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim, '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins.

Primary Election Matchup

A. Alley     29%
C. Dudley    26
J. Lim       10
B. Sizemore   4
Other         2
Undec        29

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   39% 39% 38% 38%  36% 20% 16%
T. Williams  11  11  11  10    8   5   2
J. Wagner    10  13   8  11    8  13  11
J. Hoeffel    9  10   8   9    9  15  10
Other        --   1  --   1    1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --  --   --  --   2
Undec        31  27  35  32   37  47  59

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
D. Onorato   42%/ 9% 44%/ 9% 41%/ 9% 43%/ 9% 46%/ 5% 27%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 7  25 / 8  17 / 6  19 / 6  17 / 6  20 / 5
J. Hoeffel   16 / 9  18 /12  14 / 7  15 / 7  15 / 6  18 / 4
T. Williams  16 /14  16 /17  16 /11  16 /10  17 / 7   6 / 3

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/10-13; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
D. Onorato   39% 38%  39%  39%  37%  33%  35% 36% 35% 35% 34%
T. Williams  15  14   14   14   15   15   15  12   9  10   8
J. Wagner    10  11   11    9    9    9   10   8   8   8   9
J. Hoeffel    9  10   11   11    8   10    8   8  10  11  12
Other/undec  26  26   25   27   30   34   32  36  38  36  39

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
D. Onorato   47%/12% 45%/12% 46%/11% 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11%
T. Williams  32 /19  30 /17  29 /18  24 /15  26 /13  28 /13
J. Wagner    24 /13  24 /12  24 /12  22 /11  20 /10  17 / 9
J. Hoeffel   22 /12  23 /11  25 / 9  23 / 7  21 / 6  22 / 7

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    51% 48%  49% 48% 50%
B. White    38  44   43  39  40
Other        4   2    3   5   4
Undec        6   6    6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     55% 59%  54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  42  40   44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    55%/43% 59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    47 /41  54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

House 2010

PA-12
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/4-5 for businessman Tim Burns (R) and the NRCC; surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Tested: Burns and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

-         Now 3/15
T. Burns  43% 45%
M. Critz  41  41
Undec     14  13

DE-AL
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/20-21 for developer Glen Urquhart (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/23). Tested: Urquhart and businesswoman Michele Rollins.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Rollins   27%
G. Urquhart  11
Undec        60

Fav/Unfav

M. Rollins   27%/ 6%
G. Urquhart  13 / 5

NM-01
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 4/28-5/2 for Rep. Martin Heinrich (D); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/5). Tested: Heinrich and atty Jon Barela (R).

General Election Matchup

M. Heinrich  55%
J. Barela    38

IL-14
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for state Sen. Randy Hultgren (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 5/5). Tested: Hultgren and Rep. Bill Foster (D).

General Election Matchup

R. Hultgren  45%
B. Foster    44
Undec        12

Re-Elect Foster?

Deserves re-election  28%
New person            55
Undec/depends         18

Foster As Rep.

Approve      40%
Disapprove   41

Fav/Unfav

B. Foster    41%/33%

Governor 2010

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Ex-Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D), Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann (D) and LG Duke Aiona (R).

General Election Matchups

N. Abercrombie  54%           M. Hannemann    50%
D. Aiona        31            D. Aiona        29
Other            6            Other           14
Undec            9            Undec            7

Fav/Unfav

N. Abercrombie  63%/33%
M. Hannemann    57 /39
D. Aiona        50 /41

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/28). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

D. Denish        52%
J. Arnold-Jones  30
Other             6
Undec            12

D. Denish        52%
P. Domenici Jr.  35
Other             6
Undec             6

D. Denish        51%
S. Martinez      32
Other             7
Undec            10

D. Denish        43%
D. Turner        34
Other             7
Undec            16

D. Denish        45%
A. Weh           35
Other             7
Undec            13

Fav/Unfav

D. Denish        55%/43%
P. Domenici Jr.  44 /39
D. Turner        33 /30
A. Weh           33 /31
S. Martinez      30 /29
J. Arnold-Jones  26 /32

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/25; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/29). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 2/25
L. Chafee      39% 37%
F. Caprio      28  27
J. Robitaille  22  19
Undec          11  17

-              Now 2/25
L. Chafee      37% 38%
J. Robitaille  26  22
P. Lynch       22  24
Undec          15  16

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/25
L. Chafee      57%/37% 55%/37%
F. Caprio      53 /29  52 /28
P. Lynch       45 /41  37 /48
J. Robitaille  35 /29  31 /31

House 2010

FL-25
A Hill Research (R) poll; conducted 2/21-22; surveyed 300 GOP voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/24).

Fav/Unfav

A. Diaz de la Portilla  39%/ 9%
J. Martinez             34 /17 
D. Rivera               24 / 5
C. Curbelo              11 / 5
C. Gimenez              11 / 5
M. Pizzi                10 / 3

NM-01
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 52%D, 31%R, 17%I. Tested: Rep. Martin Heinrich (D) and atty Jon Barela (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
M. Heinrich  45% 73%  6% 31% 42% 48% 41% 50% 50% 45%
J. Barela    36  11  74  44  44  29  39  17  33  38
Undec        19  16  21  25  14  23  20  33  17  17

Heinrich As Rep.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve      40% 60% 12% 29% 39% 41% 38% --  45% 34%
Disapprove   38  16  66  51  48  28  42  17  33  45

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
J. Barela    13%/15% 13%/16% 16%/11%  8%/18% 17%/21%  9%/ 9%

Obama As POTUS

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve      47% 75% 12% 28% 42% 52% 41% 67% 54% 45%
Disapprove   47  17  86  63  51  43  55  17  40  38

NM-02
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 40%R, 13%I. Tested: Rep. Harry Teague (D) and '08 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Steve Pearce (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
S. Pearce   43% 18% 72% 51% 43% 44% 63% 40% 23% 58%
H. Teague   41  64  14  41  47  35  27  40  58  23
Undec       16  19  14   9  10  21  11  20  20  19

Teague As Rep.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve     41% 54% 26% 41% 40% 42% 31% 60% 52% 35%
Disapprove  36  24  50  41  41  32  49  40  24  32

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
S. Pearce   43%/31% 26%/46% 66%/14% 34%/32% 40%/33% 45%/30%

Obama As POTUS

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve     44% 72% 14% 33% 43% 45% 24% 60% 65% 26%
Disapprove  49  20  82  57  50  49  71  40  26  71

NM-03
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/25). Party ID breakdown: 54%D, 33%R, Tested: Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D), Iraq vet/anti-war activist Adam Kokesh (R) and engineer Tom Mullins (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. Luján    39% 64%  5% 26% 35% 42% 34% 31% 49% 41%
A. Kokesh   33  12  72  19  37  29  38  --  26  24
Undec       28  24  23  55  27  29  27  69  25  35

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. Luján    40% 66%  4% 34% 37% 44% 36% 59% 49% 45%
T. Mullins  38  14  81  29  45  33  44  31  28  35
Undec       21  21  15  36  18  24  21  10  23  20

Luján As Rep.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve     29% 47%  4% 22% 26% 32% 26% 14% 34% 39%
Disapprove  42  24  71  42  48  38  45  72  38  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Mullins  10%/ 9%  5%/10% 17%/ 8% 13%/10% 11%/ 8% 10%/10%
A. Kokesh    5 /18   5 /20   4 /15   6 /17   5 /21   4 /15

Obama As POTUS

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
Approve     45% 73%  5% 35% 44% 46% 41% 45% 48% 61%
Disapprove  47  17  91  54  50  44  52  41  39  39

SD-AL
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/25). Tested: Tested: Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D), state Sen. Blake Curd (R), Sec/State Chris Nelson (R) and state Rep. Kristi Noem (R).

General Election Matchups

S. Herseth Sandlin  51%
B. Curd             33
Other                5
Undec               12

S. Herseth Sandlin  45%
C. Nelson           38
Other                6
Undec               11

S. Herseth Sandlin  49%
K. Noem             34
Other                4
Undec               13

Governor 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/23). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum  48% 46% 44%   46%   42%
A. Sink      35  35  39    35    34
Other         4   5   5     5     7
Undec        12  13  12    15    18

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/1     12/14   10/20   6/22
B. McCollum  53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30% 49%/31% 53%/25%
A. Sink      38 /34  39 /34  45 /31  41 /30  50 /32

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 1/20
N. Deal      43% 42%
R. Barnes    37  43
Other         7   7
Undec        14   8

-            Now 1/20
K. Handel    45% 42%
R. Barnes    36  43
Other         5   5
Undec        14  10

E. Johnson   37%
R. Barnes    37
Other         8
Undec        18

-            Now 1/20
J. Oxendine  45% 44%
R. Barnes    37  42
Other         7   6
Undec        10   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     1/20
J. Oxendine  58%/31% 59%/29%
K. Handel    53 /24  52 /24
R. Barnes    48 /43  52 /38
N. Deal      40 /27  44 /29
E. Johnson   36 /25   n/a

New Mexico
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18-20; surveyed 990 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 2/24). Party ID breakdown: 53%D, 32%R, 15%I. Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R), businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R) and LG Diane Denish (D).

General Election Matchups

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        47% 74% 11% 32% 44% 50% 42% 21% 57% 31%
J. Arnold-Jones  33  13  66  37  37  30  40  49  25  38
Undec            19  13  23  32  19  20  18  30  19  31

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        45% 71%  8% 32% 42% 48% 41% 35% 52% 32%
P. Domenici      40  17  75  47  44  37  44  48  35  49
Undec            15  12  17  20  14  16  15  16  13  19

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        46% 71% 11% 32% 44% 49% 42% 28% 54% 32%
S. Martinez      32  14  62  34  38  27  35  54  27  39
Undec            21  15  27  34  19  24  23  17  19  29

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        46% 73%  8% 27% 43% 48% 40% 28% 55% 28%
D. Turner        32  12  62  37  36  28  38  48  24  35
Undec            22  14  30  36  21  24  22  23  21  37

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
D. Denish        48% 75%  9% 32% 47% 48% 41% 35% 58% 34%
A. Weh           30  10  63  30  33  27  37  32  21  28
Undec            22  14  29  38  20  24  22  33  21  38

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind
D. Denish        41%/34% 57%/22% 18%/56% 31%/32%
P. Domenici      27 /35  19 /44  41 /20  25 /36
S. Martinez      17 /21  14 /23  20 /17  19 /19
D. Turner        12 /19   8 /24  16 /12  19 /18
A. Weh           12 /20   8 /25  20 /12  13 /22
J. Arnold-Jones   8 /21   9 /21   8 /18   8 /24

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 2/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,143 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 481 Dem RVs and 340 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.3%, respectively (release, 2/24). Tested: Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty (D), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), '07 Philly mayor candidate/ex-Philly Dep. Mayor/businessman Tom Knox (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato    6% 10%  10%
J. Wagner     6   4    9
J. Hoeffel    6   4    6
C. Doherty    4   4    3
A. Williams   1  n/a  n/a
T. Knox      n/a  2    3
Other         5   7    3
Undec        72  72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 1/24
T. Corbett   26% 23%
S. Rohrer     4   5
Other         5   3
Undec        65  69

Fav/Unfav

T. Corbett   21%/ 6%

Rhode Island
A Brown Univ. poll; conducted 2/9-12; surveyed 605 RVS; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 357 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 2/23). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

F. Caprio       31%
P. Lynch        22
Undec           48

General Election Matchups

L. Chafee       34%
F. Caprio       28
J. Robitaille   12
Undec           26

L. Chafee       33%
P. Lynch        18
J. Robitaille   14
Undec           36

Caprio As Treas.

-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good  43% 39%
Only fair/poor  31  26

Lynch As AG

-               Now 12/6
Excellent/good  37% 38%
Only fair/poor  53  47

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/24). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R) and Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16 7/15 5/6
R. Perry         48% 44% 43%  46%   38%  46%  42%
K. B. Hutchison  27  29  33   35    40   36   38
D. Medina        16  16  12    4     3   n/a  n/a
Other            n/a n/a n/a  n/a   n/a   5    7
Undec             9  11  11   14    19   14   13

Perry As Gov.

-                Now 2/1 1/17 11/11 9/16
Approve          66% 74% 68%  73%   69%
Disapprove       32  25  31   25    29

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/1     1/17    11/11   9/16
R. Perry         67%/31% 80%/19% 72%/26% 75%/24% 72%/26%
K. B. Hutchison  56 /42  67 /31  73 /25  75 /23  71 /26
D. Medina        35 /47  50 /29  43 /29  16 /29  18 /29

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: '02 candidate/Milwaukee Mayor/ex-Rep. Tom Barrett (D), '98 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Neumann  44%               S. Walker   49%
T. Barrett  42                T. Barrett  40
Other        4                Other        1
Undec       10                Undec       10

Fav/Unfav

S. Walker   55%/29%
M. Neumann  49 /31
T. Barrett  49 /36

House 2010

NM-02
A Tarrance Group (R) poll; conducted 2/16-18 for ex-Rep. Steve Pearce (R); surveyed 401 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 2/19). Tested: Pearce and Rep. Harry Teague (D).

General Election Matchups

S. Pearce      48%
H. Teague      44
Undec           8

Generic GOPer  47%
Generic Dem    37

Re-Elect Teague?

Re-elect him   38%
Someone new    47

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 1/25-26; surveyed 400 regular voters; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release).

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/21   7/30
S. Parnell  73%/15% 72%/13% 67%/ 8%

New Mexico
A NMSU poll; conducted 2/9-13; surveyed 444 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R)

Primary Election Matchup

P. Domenici      29%
S. Martinez      12
A. Weh            7
D. Turner         7
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            43

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 377 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Wht Blk His 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo     64% 72% 51% 55% 67%  75%   70%   66%  65%  65%
D. Paterson  22  14  33  21  23   16    20    20   23   23
Undec        14  14  16  24  10    8    10    14   12   13

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20
R. Lazio     46% 31% 75% 48% 42%  40%  42%   37%   35%  37%
D. Paterson  39  56  14  32 42   42   39    39    39   38
Undec        15  13  11  20  16   18   19    23    26   25 

-            All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20
A. Cuomo     63% 80% 36% 56% 66%  68%  67%   66%   64%  66%
R. Lazio     26  11  54  28  24   22   22   21    18   16
Undec        11  10  10  15  10   10   11    14    18   18

Elect Paterson?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
Elect him        19% 25% 13% 13% 21%  19%  17%   15%   14%
Prefer another   64  58  75  64  60   65   69    72    71
Undec            17  16  12  23  19   16   15    13    16

Paterson As Gov.

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
Excellent/good   22% 28% 16% 20% 24%  23%  21%   19%   18%
Fair/poor        76  71  83  80  75   76   79   79    80 

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/14    12/9
A. Cuomo     66%/21% 74%/14% 55%/30% 62%/27% 67%/21% 67%/19%
D. Paterson  35 /55  39 /48  27 /65  33 /59  38 /52  36 /53
R. Lazio     31 /26  31 /27  33 /23  29 /27  27 /30  25 /25

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
For GOV          51% 59% 42% 46% 53%  50%  52%   49%   47%
Reelect as AG    33  28  37  35  30   31   28    36    34 

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now      41% 50% 28% 36% 37%  35%  33%
Time to wait     43 34  57  47  49   51   52

Regardless Of Who The Candidates Are, And All Other Things Being Equal, Would You Prefer The Gov. Elected This Year To Be ___?

-                                           All Dem GOP Ind
Someone with a lot of experience in Albany  53% 61% 42% 47%
An Albany outsider                          36  29  48  40

Recently, Rumors Circulated That Paterson Was Involved In Some Activites That Could Lead To His Resignation. Paterson Denies Any Wrongdoing.

-                                           All Dem GOP Ind
I may not agree with everything Paterson    66% 69% 63% 67%
 does, but I don't believe the rumors
I'm afraid Paterson may very well have      22  21  26  20
 acted inappropriately while in office 

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/19). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R), '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchups

B. Bradbury   41%             J. Kitzhaber  42%
A. Alley      35              A. Alley      34
Other          9              Other          8
Undec         16              Undec         16

B. Bradbury   39%             J. Kitzhaber  42%
C. Dudley     36              C. Dudley     34
Other          7              Other          7
Undec         17              Undec         15

B. Bradbury   38%             J. Kitzhaber  40%
J. Lim        35              J. Lim        38
Other          9              Other          8
Undec         17              Undec         14

B. Bradbury   48%             J. Kitzhaber  48%
B. Sizemore   23              B. Sizemore   25
Other         16              Other         15
Undec         13              Undec         11 

Fav/Unfav

B. Bradbury   46%/31%
J. Kitzhaber  44 /42
C. Dudley     40 /24
J. Lim        31 /28
A. Alley     30 /29
B. Sizemore   22 /60