Governor 2010

Alabama
A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

R. Bentley  46%
B. Byrne    27

Fav/Unfav

R. Bentley  59%/ 9%
B. Byrne    43 /24

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.

Primary Election Matchup

-                  All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer   76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick  17  17  18
Undec               7   5  10

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     55% 56%  52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     28  24   29   30  35   29    26
Other         4   6    6    5   5    6     5
Undec        13  14   13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 55%  51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  25   28   27
Other         6   5    6    6
Undec        13  15   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17
A. Cuomo     63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio     49 /32  38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44
C. Paladino  35 /32  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  43% 81%  6% 40% 38% 47% 44%  43%  44%  40%
J. Kasich      38   4  81  37  46  32  38   38   39   40
Other           2   2  --   4   2   3   1    1    1    1
Not vote        2   2   1   2   1   2  --    1    2    1
Undec          15  11  11  16  13  16  17   17   15   18

Strickland As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47%  49%  48%  45%  48%
Disapprove  42  17  67  46  48  38  38   40   40   43   42

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26
T. Strickland   42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich       29 /19   6 /32  53 / 5  28 /19  27 /10

Strickland Handling Economy

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36%  35%  35%  33%  33%
Disapprove  54  27  73  61  57  51  53   52   53   52   54

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve     31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36%  37%  32%  36%  32%
Disapprove  52  30  70  57  54  51  48   47   51   47   53

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes     31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37%  36%  34%  32%  37%  34%
No      48  29  64  53  48  48  41   41   45   43   40   40

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41%  38%  41%  41%
T. Strickland   38  68  11  34  35  40  39   38   35   33
No difference    4   3   3   6   4   4   2    2    2   --
Undec           19  19  14  19  14  23  18   22   22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40%  39%  42%  42%
T. Strickland   37  68   9  35  34  39  39   38   36   34
No difference    3   3   3   4   3   4   2    2    1   --
Undec           18  17  13  19  16  20  19   21   21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   37% 69%  9% 33% 34% 40% 41%  40%  35%
J. Kasich       36   9  71  35  40  32  35   35   36
No difference    8   7   6  12   8   9   7    5    6
Undec           19  15  14  20  18  19  18   20   22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   39% 73%  8% 36% 35% 42% 42%  42%  40%
J. Kasich       38  10  75  37  45  33  36   34   36
No difference    4   3   2   6   4   4   3    2    3
Undec           19  14  15  20  16  21  19   22   21

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 4/8
G. Herbert  58% 57%
P. Corroon  31  29
Other        2   4
Undec        8  10

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/8
G. Herbert  70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon  50 /32  47 /35

Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Mead      49%              M. Mead      51%
L. Petersen  22               P. Gosar     23
Other        13               Other        14
Undec        16               Undec        12

R. Meyer     51%              R. Meyer     52%
L. Petersen  23               P. Gosar     23
Other        11               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

R. Micheli   47%              R. Micheli   46%
L. Petersen  27               P. Gosar     28
Other        11               Other        13
Undec        15               Undec        14

C. Simpson   44%              C. Simpson   51%
L. Petersen  28               P. Gosar     24
Other        14               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25
M. Mead      55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson   52 /24  56 /20
R. Meyer     44 /33  50 /20
R. Micheli   40 /29  38 /18
L. Petersen  33 /36   n/a
P. Gosar     31 /32   n/a

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer   61% 45%  26%  20%
B. Mills    16  18   18   19
D. Martin   12  18   12   21
Other        2   6   20   17
Undec        9  13   24   23

Brewer As Gov.

Approve     84%
Disapprove  16

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer   86%/13% 80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills    48 /30  44 /27  40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin   43 /28  45 /24  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10

Obama As POTUS

Approve     10%
Disapprove  90

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs and 787 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), mgmt technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader DuBose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), state Sen. Jeff Chapman (R), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), ex-Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R), radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry (R), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R) and Wal-Mart worker Otis Putnam (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Barnes     63% 65% 61% 77% 55%
T. Baker      13  14  13   3  20
D. Poythress   5   8   2   4   6
D. Porter      4   3   4   4   4
B. Bolton      1   0   2   1   0
C. Camon       1   2   0   0   2
R. Mangham     1   1   1   0   2
Undec         11   6  16  11  11

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
J. Oxendine   34% 35% 34%
K. Handel     18  19  16
N. Deal       17  18  17
E. Johnson     6   7   5
J. Champman    4   3   5
R. McBerry     3   3   2
O. Putnam      1   1   0
Undec         17  14  22

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and developer Carl Paladino (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     46% 50% 42%
C. Paladino  17  18  16
Other         5   6   4
Not vote      4   3   5
Undec        28  23  33

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19
A. Cuomo     58% 86% 26% 50% 58% 58% 55%  57% 62%   61%
R. Lazio     26   4  65  29  27  25  26   25  22    22
Other         2   1   2   2   2   1   2    1   1     2
Not vote      1   1  --   2   2   1   2    2   1     2
Undec        13   9   7  17  11  15  15   15  14    13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11
A. Cuomo     59% 82% 30% 54% 58% 59% 60%
C. Paladino  23   4  54  23  24  21  24
Other         2  --   4   2   3   1   1
Not vote      2   2   1   2   2   1   2
Undec        15  12  10  19  14  17  14

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/11 3/2 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve      72% 83% 56% 76% 74%  70% 71% 74%   71%   74%
Disapprove   16   7  29  16  14   16  15  12    11    10

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    2/1
A. Cuomo     57%/18% 76%/ 5% 36%/42% 54%/19% 59%/19% 54%/16%
R. Lazio     24 /18  10 /26  51 / 8  26 /16  24 /19  20 /15
C. Paladino  10 /10   4 /14  24 / 7   9 / 9  12 / 8   n/a

Do You Think Cuomo Would Be A Better/Worse/About The Same Gov. Than His Father?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Better       20% 20% 21% 22% 22% 19%
Worse        10   6  15  11  13   7
About same   51  55  54  49  48  55

Do You Think Cuomo Has Done Enough To Explain What He Will Do To Correct NY State's Budget Problems If He Is Elected?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes          21% 26% 20% 15% 20% 22%
No           64  58  68  71  68  60

Which Comes Closer To Your Point Of View: Cuomo Is Politely Deferring To The Current Gov. On The Budget, Or Cuomo Is Ducking His Responsibility As A Candidate To Make His Positions Known?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Ducking      41% 34% 52% 41% 43% 38%
Deferring    38  43  31  40  39  37

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 5/20 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     47% 45%  41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  45  44   41   42
Other          4   4    6    7
Undec          4   6   13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     5/20    4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     48%/28% 53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
R. Perry    43% 10% 74% 36% 48% 38% 55%  7% 21% 46% 48%
B. White    43  76  15  42  39  46  35  70  55  43  42
Undec       14  14  11  22  13  16  10  23  24  11  10

Perry As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
Approve     36% 16% 58% 27% 40% 32% 43% 20% 23% 26% 33%
Disapprove  49  73  26  55  49  50  42  67  64  54  50

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/7
B. White    37%/25% 61%/ 8% 17%/39% 35%/24% 34%/17%

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Sen. John McCain, businessman/USN vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 5/17 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      47% 52%  47%  48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  36  40   42   41   31   43
J. Deakin       7  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Other           1   2    2    3    7    6
Undec           8   6    8    8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    1/20
J. McCain      69%/30% 70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23%
J.D. Hayworth  51 /45  67 /31  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25
J. Deakin      22 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Obama As POTUS

-              Now 5/17 4/13
Approve        10% 10%  14%
Disapprove     90  88   86

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Ex-Rockdale Co. CoS R.J. Hadley and Labor Commis. Mike Thurmond.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
M. Thurmond  68% 72% 64% 61% 72%
R.J. Hadley  11  12  10  13  10
Undec        22  14  28  26  18

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
B. Blakeman    14% 15% 14%
D. Malpass     11  11  11
Other           4   6   2
Not vote        3   5   2
Undec          67  64  71

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1
K. Gillibrand  46% 73% 13% 37% 46% 46% 47%  44%
B. Blakeman    26   4  67  26  27  25  25   27
Other           1   1   2   1   1   1   1    1
Not vote        1   1  --   2   2   1   3    2
Undec          26  20  18  33  24  28  24   26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  47% 74% 16% 38% 46% 47%
D. Malpass     25   3  63  27  26  24
Other           2   1   3   2   2   1
Not vote        1   2  --   2   2   1
Undec          25  21  18  31  24  27

Gillibrand As Sen.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve    44% 60% 27% 39% 45% 44% 47%  42% 40%   32%   33%
Disapprove 27  11  48  33  30  24  25   28  21    20    19

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11
K. Gillibrand  37%/23% 50%/ 7% 22%/50% 35%/27% 37%/23%
B. Blakeman     8 / 5   3 / 9  20 / 1   8 / 3   7 / 6
D. Malpass      7 / 3   5 / 3  11 / 3   6 / 2   n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 6/22).

Do You Feel Schumer Deserves To Be Re-Elected?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1
Yes/deserves    52% 70% 29% 48% 52% 52% 53%  54%
No/does not     33  15  60  37  36  30  32   33

Schumer As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve     60% 78% 35% 56% 57% 63% 61%  58% 62%   62%   58%
Disapprove  28   9  55  33  34  22  26   30  27    24    27

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,565 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 506 Dem primary LVs and 747 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/20). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R). (Note: Varying split sample sizes were used for general election matchups.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
M. Bennet    53% 56% 49%
A. Romanoff  36  36  37
Undec        11   8  14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
K. Buck      53% 59% 45%
J. Norton    37  33  42
Undec        10   8  13

General Election Matchup (1,565 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)

-            All Men Wom
K. Buck      46% 51% 41%
M. Bennet    43  41  45
Third party   6   5   6
Undec         5   3   8

General Election Matchup (1,498 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)

-            All Men Wom
J. Norton    47% 50% 44%
M. Bennet    44  42  46
Third party   5   6   5
Undec         4   2   5

General Election Matchup (1,437 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)

-            All Men Wom
K. Buck      49% 55% 42%
A. Romanoff  40  37  43
Third party   6   5   6
Undec         5   2   8

General Election Matchup (1,504 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)

-            All Men Wom
J. Norton    45% 50% 39%
A. Romanoff  41  38  43
Third party   8   7   8
Undec         7   4  10

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

C. Crist    42%
M. Rubio    31
K. Meek     14
Undec       12

Crist As Gov.

Approve     60%
Disapprove  30

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand  50% 51%
B. Blakeman    38  31
Other           2   8
Undec          10  10

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand  49% 51%
J. DioGuardi   38  28
Other           2   7
Undec          12  13

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand  49% 46%
D. Malpass     34  27
Other           3  10
Undec          13  16

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/12    4/8     3/1     1/18
K. Gillibrand  49%/38% 57%/37% 46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41%
J. DioGuardi   35 /27  29 /32   n/a     n/a     n/a
B. Blakeman    32 /27  29 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a
D. Malpass     30 /29  24 /31   n/a     n/a     n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

General Election Matchups

C. Schumer   54%              C. Schumer   54%
G. Berntsen  35               J. Townsend  33
Other         5               Other         6
Undec         6               Undec         6

Fav/Unfav

C. Schumer   60%/37%
G. Berntsen  36 /27
J. Townsend  32 /30

Utah
A Wenzel Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/17 for the Senate Conservatives Fund (R); surveyed 642 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/18). Tested: '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater and '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Mike Lee. (Note: The Senate Conservatives Fund is supporting Lee.)

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom
M. Lee          45% 42% 47%
T. Bridgewater  35  38  34

A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 6/12-17 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 581 "active" GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/20). Tested: Bridgewater and Lee.

Primary Election Matchup

T. Bridgewater  42%
M. Lee          33
Undec           25

How Would You Rate The Two Candidates' Views?

-                        Bridgewater Lee
Too conservative          9%         15%
About right              65          65
Not conservative enough  14          11

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error for each +/- 4.9% (release, 5/24). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R), N.C. "Clint" Moser (R), atty William Barnes (D) and teacher/soul singer Simone De Moore (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk
W. Barnes    39% 42% 36% 42% 31%
S. De Moore  11   9  13   9  17
Other         3   4   2   4   0
Uncec        47  45  49  45  52

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Shelby    63% 64% 62%
C. Moser     14  16  12
Undec        23  20  26

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    57% 22% 87% 58% 61% 53% 72%  5%
W. Barnes    33  66   6  29  32  34  22  71
Other         3   2   3   6   4   2   4   1
Undec         7  10   4   7   3  11   2  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Shelby    62% 31% 88% 65% 66% 58% 79%  5%
S. De Moore  27  56   4  22  25  29  14  72
Other         3   2   3   5   3   3   4   0
Undec         8  11   5   8   6  10   3  23

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    61%/31% 38%/57% 77%/11% 69%/25% 65%/28% 57%/34%
W. Barnes    40 /32  62 /11  22 /50  40 /31  38 /35  42 /29
S. De Moore  23 / 9  45 / 5   6 /12  19 /10  22 / 9  24 / 9

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk
W. Barnes    46%/17% 49%/15% 43%/19% 49%/15% 39%/22%
S. De Moore  21 / 6  19 / 7  23 / 5  19 / 8  27 / 1

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
R. Shelby    63%/28% 65%/27% 61%/29%
C. Moser     12 /15  15 /13   9 /17

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 716 Dem primary LVs and 612 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/24). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R), Tim Kalemkarian (R) and businessman Al Ramirez (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina      46% 45% 47% 24% 27%
T. Campbell     23  26  21  35  34
C. DeVore       14  15  12  15  14
T. Kalemkarian   4   3   4   3   3
A. Ramirez       2   2   3  n/a n/a
Undec           11   9  14  23  23

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Boxer As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27
Approve     40% 41%  40%  47%  48%  39%   43%   41%  46%
Disapprove  51  47   50   43   45   49    47    48   44

Georgia
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Sen. Johnny Isakson (R) and Labor Commis. Michael Thurmond (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/22
J. Isakson   57% 51%
M. Thurmond  30  35
Other         6   6
Undec         8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/22    3/17
J. Isakson   60%/27% 60%/27% 61%/26%
M. Thurmond  46 /27  45 /32   n/a

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 5/21-23 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 522 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Reps. Jerry Moran (01) and Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran       52% 54% 48% 42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt      29  28  31  32   33   34   27   32
R. Londerholm   4   5   3   5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec          15  13  18  21   27   29   30   40

New York
A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Gillibrand As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     41% 36%   35%   41%  39%  41%  40%  41%  36%
Disapprove  44  44    45    42   39   40   32   37   39

A WABC-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 600 adults by SurveyUSA (IVR); margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Schumer As Sen.

-           Now 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/09 4/09
Approve     64% 57%   60%   65%  59%  58%  62%  63%  62%
Disapprove  31  37    30    26   35   36   30   30   31

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Wyden As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     51% 51%  49%  50%  53%  53%   51%   55%  56%
Disapprove  39  35   41   37   40   40    40    32   35

Washington
A Univ. of WA poll; conducted 5/3-23; surveyed 1,252 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups

P. Murray      44%
D. Rossi       40
Other           3
Undec          12

P. Murray      42%
Generic GOPer  39
Other           4
Undec          14

Murray As Sen.

Approve        51%
Disapprove     34

A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 5/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/19).

Murray As Sen.

-           Now 4/11 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27
Approve     47% 46%  42%  43%  55%  52%   47%   48%  47%
Disapprove  46  48   45   50   39   40    45    41   43

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/10
M. Whitman  46% 41% 51% 52%
S. Poizner  36  42  30  19
Undec       18  17  19  29

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    46% 78%  7% 42% 41% 51% 45%  42%
M. Whitman  42  10  84  43  48  36  41   36
Undec       12  12   9  15  11  13  14   22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    47% 79%  8% 43% 41% 53% 48%  43%
S. Poizner  37   8  78  38  44  30  33   34
Undec       16  13  14  19  15  17  19   23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
J. Brown    48%/43% 78%/16% 11%/81% 45%/41% 52%/40% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  47 /38  25 /58  75 /13  49 /35  51 /35  41 /30
S. Poizner  39 /43  18 /61  68 /20  39 /42  37 /40  35 /27

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), CFO Alex Sink (D), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  46%
R. Scott     22
P. Dockery    3
Other         1
Not vote      4
Undec        25

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind
B. McCollum  34% 11% 65% 26%
A. Sink      32  61  10  26
Other         4   2   4   5
Not vote      4   2   2  12
Undec        26  24  19  31

Idaho
An Idaho Statesman/KBOI-TV poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter, '02/'06 candidate/anti-abortion activist Walt Bayes, ret. systems analyst/comedian Ron "Pete" Peterson, '08 indie SEN candidate/ex-elk rancher Rex Rammell, Ada Co. Commis. Sharon Ullman and hair salon owner Tamara Wells.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Otter     60%
R. Rammell    6
S. Ullman     4
R. Peterson   3
W. Bayes      1
T. Wells      1
Undec        25

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/15 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 36% 23% 29%  45%
C. Paladino  16  17  15  13   n/a
S. Levy      14  11  16  15   16
Undec        41  25  46  43   40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9
A. Cuomo     66% 84% 37% 59% 61%  59%  63% 63%  66%  68%
R. Lazio     24   8  55  27  24   21   25  26   24   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        10   8   8  14  16   17   11  11   10   10

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo     65% 81% 44% 58% 58%  63%
S. Levy      22   8  43  26  23   16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   4
Undec        13  10  13  16  19   17

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15
A. Cuomo     65% 80% 42% 59% 64%
C. Paladino  22   8  46  26  19
Undec        13  12  12  15  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15    3/18
A. Cuomo     67%/21% 76%/12% 58%/30% 60%/29% 66%/18% 63%/22%
R. Lazio     31 /29  26 /38  37 /17  35 /25  29 /25  29 /27
S. Levy      21 /12  21 /12  17 /14  26 / 8  21 /16  16 /16
C. Paladino  15 /10  13 /11  19 / 7  15 / 8  11 /13   n/a

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  36  36   29   26   28
Other        4   8    7    5    7
Undec       10  11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

Senate 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/10
T. Campbell  37% 41% 33% 33%
C. Fiorina   22  17  27  24
C. DeVore    14  18  10   7
Undec        27  24  30  36

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10
B. Boxer     47% 80%  7% 42% 41% 53% 47%
T. Campbell  40   9  82  40  46  34  43
Undec        13  11  11  18  13  13  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer     47% 80%  7% 43% 41% 53% 49%  53%
C. DeVore    38   7  80  38  44  32  39   29
Undec        15  13  13  19  15  15  12   18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer     48% 82%  7% 43% 42% 54% 49%  52%
C. Fiorina   39   8  81  39  45  33  40   31
Undec        13  10  12  18  13  13  11   17

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
B. Boxer     49%/42% 73%/17% 18%/77% 48%/40% 50%/45% 49%/43%
T. Campbell  43 /42  21 /64  71 /15  44 /41  46 /37  38 /29
C. Fiorina   40 /43  17 /66  68 /14  41 /44  35 /43  22 /29
C. DeVore    38 /44  15 /66  68 /13  40 /45  34 /42  21 /27

Connecticut
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 5/19-20 for AG Dick Blumenthal (D); surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/24). Tested: Blumenthal and ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R).

General Election Matchup

R. Blumenthal  55%
L. McMahon     40

Fav/Unfav

R. Blumenthal  55%/28%

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), ex-Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre (D) and developer/financier Jeff Greene (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

K. Meek    33%
M. Ferre   10
J. Greene   9
Other       3
Not vote    4
Undec      41

General Election Matchup

-          All Dem GOP Ind
C. Crist   30% 38% 26% 39%
M. Rubio   27   8  51  12
K. Meek    15  33   3   7
Other       2   1   1   9
Not vote    3   2   0   5
Undec      23  18  19  29

Does Crist Leaving The GOP And Running As An Indie Make You More/Less Likely Top Vote For Him, Or Has It Not Changed Your View Of Him?

-                                            All Dem GOP Ind
More likely                                  24% 36% 12% 26%
Less likely                                  21  11  35  10
Not changed/wld vote for him in any case     25  28  23  29
Not changed/wldn't vote for him in any case  17  16  20   0

As You May Know, FL's State Legislature Has Passed A New Bill That Would Require Ultrasound Tests For Pregnant Women Seeking Abortions In The First Trimester. The Woman Would Be Required To Pay For The Ultrasound And Look At The Image Or Listen To A Description Of The Image On The Ultrasound. The New Bill Would Also Mean That The Woman's Insurance Would Not Cover The Abortion If Her Employer Accepts Any Gov't Funds. Do You Believe That Crist Should Veto This Bill Or Allow This Bill To Pass Into Law?

-      All Dem GOP Ind
Veto   55% 60% 47% 72%
Pass   31  26  40  26
Undec  14  14  12   2

As You May Know, Crist Recently Vetoed The Teacher Tenure Bill That Was Approved By GOPers In The FL House And Senate. This Bill Would Have Replaced Multi-Year Contracts For New Teachers With Annual Evaluations. Do You Agree/Disagree With Crist's Decision To Veto The Bill?

-              All Dem GOP Ind
Agree          53% 54% 51% 60%
Disagree       29  29  32  26
Neither/undec  19  17  17  14

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 4/15
J. DioGuardi   15% 15% 14% 24%
B. Blakeman     8  12   4   7
D. Malpass      4   3   5   5
Undec          74  70  76  65

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand  51% 71% 22% 44% 50% 52% 46%  48%  51%
B. Blakeman    24   9  50  28  28  21  26   24   24
Undec          25  20  28  28  22  27  28   28   25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand  51% 70% 23% 46% 50% 52% 46%
J. DioGuardi   25   8  54  30  29  22  27
Undec          24  22  24  24  21  26  27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand  53% 73% 21% 47% 53% 52% 46%
D. Malpass     22   6  50  26  25  20  24
Undec          25  21  29  27  22  28  30

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15
K. Gillibrand  42%/24% 47%/18% 34%/34% 38%/27% 34%/25%
J. DioGuardi   10 / 8   9 / 7  12 / 5  12 /10  10 / 8
B. Blakeman     6 / 6   6 / 6   6 / 4   5 / 8   6 / 6
D. Malpass      5 / 6   6 / 6   5 / 4   3 / 8   5 / 5

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19 1/14
Elect her      36% 46% 24% 27% 37% 34% 27%  28%  30%  29%
Prefer another 38  27  54  41  40  36  40   38   40   45
Undec          27  26  22  32  23  30  33   34   30   26

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R), Nassau Co. Comp. George Maragos (R), '08 Assemb. candidate/businessman James Staudenraus (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/12
C. Schumer      78% 83% 75% 76% 86% 89% 83%
R. Credico      11  11  11  14   4   5   9
Undec           11   6  14  10  11   5   8

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom
J. Townsend     10% 12% 10%
G. Maragos       5   3   6
G. Berntsen      3   6   1
J. Staudenraus   1   1   1
Undec           81  78  83

General Election Matchups

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      64% 83% 35% 58% 62% 66%
G. Berntsen     23   7  49  26  29  18
Undec           13  10  16  17  10  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      65% 83% 35% 59% 62% 67%
G. Maragos      22   7  51  23  28  17
Undec           13  10  14  17  10  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      65% 84% 35% 57% 62% 67%
J. Staudenraus  21   7  47  23  26  17
Undec           14   9  18  20  11  16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer      63% 82% 35% 54% 60% 66%
J. Townsend     24   9  51  27  31  18
Undec           13   9  14  19   9  16

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
C. Schumer      64%/27% 77%/15% 47%/41% 54%/35% 62%/27%
J. Townsend      9 / 7  11 / 8   6 / 6   8 / 7   n/a
G. Maragos       6 / 6   7 / 5   2 / 6   7 / 6   n/a
R. Credico       4 / 6   5 / 5   2 / 6   3 / 9   n/a
J. Staudenraus   3 / 4   2 / 4   3 / 5   3 / 4   n/a
G. Berntsen      3 / 5   4 / 4   2 / 4   2 / 9   n/a

Re-Elect Schumer?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
Re-elect him    52% 69% 35% 38% 51% 53% 56%  55%
Prefer another  35  20  50  49  39  32  31   36
Undec           13  11  15  13  10  15  13    9

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18-19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven   72% 69%  68%  71%
T. Potter   23  24   25   17
Other        2   2    2    4
Undec        3   5    5    8

Hoeven As Gov.

-           Now 4/20 12/15
Approve     87% 83%  87%
Disapprove  12  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven   85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter   38 /33  43 /31  40 /29  37 /32   n/a

House 2010

NY-14
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 5/10-12 for Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/19). Tested: Maloney and ex-Hillary Clinton PAC atty Reshma Saujani (D).

Primary Election Matchup

C. Maloney  75%
R. Saujani   7
Undec       17

Fav/Unfav

C. Maloney  86%/ 7%
R. Saujani  14 / 5

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 442 Dem primary LVs and 448 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.7% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 5/18). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), atty Steve Barton (R), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), physician Robert Greenheck (R), Gary Kennedy (R), Vincent Martinez (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R), businessman Cleve Tidwell (R), businessman Mark Van Wyk (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet     46% 44% 48% 40%
A. Romanoff   31  34  29  34
Undec         23  22  23  26

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 3/8
J. Norton     31% 32% 28% 34%
K. Buck       26  30  20  17
T. Wiens       5   6   4   7
R. Greenheck   5   5   5   5
V. Martinez    2   2   1   2
S. Barton      1   1  --   1
C. Tidwell     1   1  --   1
G. Kennedy     1  --   2   0
M. Van Wyk     0   1  --  --
Undec         29  22  40  32

Bennet As Sen. (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 5/8
Approve       53% 52% 53% 57%
Disapprove    22  29  17  21

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-             All     Men     Wom     3/8
A. Romanoff   48%/14% 57%/12% 43%/15% 45%/15%

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             All     Men     Wom     3/8
J. Norton     34%/23% 36%/24% 31%/21% 41%/26%
K. Buck       32 /14  36 /14  26 /15  21 /17
T. Wiens      12 /15  15 /18   8 /11  17 /16

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 809 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 5/4 2/18
R. Paul     55% 52% 57% 43% 44%
T. Grayson  30  35  26  28  23
Other        8   7   9   8  n/a
Undec        7   6   8  21  33

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/12; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/18). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

General Election Matchups

K. Gillibrand  51%
B. Blakeman    31
Other           8
Undec          10

K. Gillibrand  51%
J. DioGuardi   28
Other           7
Undec          13

K. Gillibrand  46%
D. Malpass     27
Other          10
Undec          16

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/8     3/1     1/18    9/22
K. Gillibrand  57%/37% 46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41% 39%/42%
J. DioGuardi   29 /32   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
B. Blakeman    29 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
D. Malpass     24 /31   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Governor 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/6-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 621 Dem primary LVs and 548 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.2%, respectively (release, 5/10). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 4/21
J. Brown        66% 64% 68% 72% 73% 50% 70% 63%
R. Aguirre       4   6   3   2   1  10   5   6
C. Pineda        3   5   2   2   3   6   2   2
J. Symmon        3   3   3   2   2   6   2   3
L. Darling       1   2   1   2   0   1   3   6
V. Greene        1   1   2   1   2   3   0   1
P. Schurman      1   1   1   1   3   1   1   1
Undec           19  18  20  18  16  24  16  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 4/21
M. Whitman      39% 37% 41% 49%
S. Poizner      37  41  34  27
B. Chambers      3   3   2   2
R. Newman        2   3   1   2
K. Miller        2   2   2   1
L. Naritelli     1   2   0   2
D. Hughes        1   1   1   1
D. Tully-Smith   1   1   1   1
Undec           14   9  18  15

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 686 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 177 GOPers; margin of error +/- 7.4% (release, 5/11). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     38% 32% 43%
S. Levy      22  30  14
C. Paladino  13  11  15
Undec        27  27  28

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo     67% 85% 45% 65% 66% 69%
C. Paladino  22   9  42  22  22  21
Undec        11   6  14  13  12  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 2/24 1/27
A. Cuomo     65% 87% 39% 62% 65% 66% 61%  64%  64%
R. Lazio     25   8  53  26  27  23  30   28   27
Undec        10   5   8  12   8  11   9    8    9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
A. Cuomo     63% 84% 39% 56% 60% 65% 65%
S. Levy      25   9  50  28  28  22  26
Undec        12   7  11  16  11  13   9

Cuomo As AG

-                All Dem GOP Ind 3/24 3/8 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17
Excellent/good   64% 70% 58% 63% 61%  54% 67% 62%  64%  66%
Fair/poor        33  27  40  34  34   39  28  32   30   28

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 633 Dem primary LVs and 449 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.6% (release, 5/10). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin (R), '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan (R), '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R) and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 4/11
J. Kitzhaber  59% 56% 61% 54%
B. Bradbury   25  25  25  16
R. Obrist      4   6   3   3
Undec         12  13  11  28

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 4/11
C. Dudley     42% 50% 29% 28%
A. Alley      24  23  26  13
B. Sizemore    8   8   7  11
J. Lim         8   7  10   7
R. Watkins     1   2   0   2
D. Karr        1   0   2   1
B. Forthan     1   1   0   3
W. Curtright   1   1   0   1
C. Colvin      1   0   1   1
Undec         14   8  24  34

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/7-10; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Hoeffel   10   8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
J. Wagner     9  10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  34  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5
D. Onorato   40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10%
T. Williams  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11
J. Hoeffel   22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8
J. Wagner    17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8

House 2010

HI-01
A Honolulu Advertiser/Hawai'i News Now poll; conducted 4/23-28 by Ward Research; surveyed 349 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 5/2). Tested: Ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 56%D, 23%R, 20%I.

Special Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Djou      37% 19% 79% 42% 40% 34%
E. Case      29  37  11  29  30  29
C. Hanabusa  22  34   4  11  22  23
Undec        11  10   6  18   8  15

PA-12
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/27-29 for the DCCC; surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Burns, Politico, 5/3). Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

M. Critz  43%
T. Burns  41

MD-01
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/25-26 for Americans for Prosperity (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: Rep. Frank Kratovil (D), '08 nominee/state Sen. Andy Harris (R) and Richard Davis (L).

General Election Matchup

A. Harris    39%
F. Kratovil  36
R. Davis      6
Other         1
Undec        18

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.   30%
Wrong dir.   62

What Is The Most Important Issue To You In Deciding How To Vote?

Economy/jobs                 28%
Taxes/spending               18
Health care                  12
Budget deficit                9
Education                     7
Social Security/Medicare      6
Moral values                  6
Wars in Iraq/Afghanistan      4
Terrorism/homeland security   2
Illegal immigration           2
The environment               2
None                          1

Do You Favor/Oppose The Health Care Bill Recently Signed Into Law By Obama?

Favor   35%
Oppose  58

NY-13
A Global Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/7-11 for Rep. Mike McMahon (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: McMahon, enviro atty Michael Allegretti (R) and ex-FBI agent Michael Grimm (R).

General Election Matchups

M. McMahon     56%
M. Allegretti  24
Undec          20

M. McMahon     56%
M. Grimm       23
Undec          21

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchups

-           All Men Wom
J. Arpaio   33% 37% 29%
J. Brewer   25  29  20
D. Martin   15  11  19
B. Mills    11  11  12
J. Munger    1   1   2
Undec       15  11  19

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   38% 43% 32%
B. Mills    19  20  19
D. Martin   16  15  17
J. Munger    3   3   4
Undec       24  20  28

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Men Wom
Approve     52% 56% 48%
Disapprove  30  28  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
J. Arpaio   70%/22% 77%/20% 63%/24%
B. Mills    27 /11  29 /11  26 /12
D. Martin   26 /11  27 /13  25 / 9
J. Munger    5 / 9   4 /11   6 / 7

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/5 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  38  37  45
Other        5   7   6  13
Undec       11  10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     40% 43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  58  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    47%/32% 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    43 /50  37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/29). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All    Dem     GOP     Ind     9/2
J. Gibbons  21%/59  7%/84% 39%/31% 14%/61% 17%/61%

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
R. Reid       47% 43%  44% 44%
J. Gibbons    37  45   36  35
Other         12   8   15  13
Undec          3   4    4   8

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 45%  42% 36%
R. Reid       39  38   37  40
Other          9   9   13  14
Undec          8   8    8  10

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 55%  53% 45%
R. Reid       35  34   35  33
Other          6   6    7  11
Undec          5   4    5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       35% 42%  37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    63  57   61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  41 /28  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    32 /65  35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     56% 52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     24  29   30  35   29    26
Other         6   6    5   5    6     5
Undec        14  13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 3/29
A. Cuomo     50% 50%
S. Levy      27  26
Other         6   7
Undec        17  17

-            Now 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  28   27
Other         5   6    6
Undec        15  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22
A. Cuomo     65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25%
R. Lazio     38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49
S. Levy      35 /32  33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a

Utah
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 1/20
G. Herbert  61% 55%
P. Corroon  30  30
Undec        9  15

Fav/Unfav

G. Herbert  51%/16%
P. Corroon  30 /14

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16).

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     48% 41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  51  55   60   57    57   48   45

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchup

-          Now 3/16
J. Brewer  26% 20%
B. Mills   18  19
J. Munger  14  10
D. Martin  12  21
Other       6   7
Undec      24  23

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/16    11/18
J. Brewer  49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills   40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10
J. Munger  18 /23  37 /26  28 /22

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/24 10/18
B. McCollum  56% 58% 53% 44%  43%
P. Dockery    7   7   6   6    7
Other         2   3   2   1    1
Not vote      2   2   1   1    2
Undec        34  29  38  47   47

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24
A. Sink      37% 69%  9% 29% 36% 37% 35%
P. Dockery   28   6  58  26  31  25  29
Other         1  --   1   2   2   1   1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   3
Undec        32  24  29  40  28  36  32

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
B. McCollum  40%  7% 83% 37% 43% 36% 41%  36%   38%  34%
A. Sink      36  73   5  28  35  38  31   32    34   38
Other         1  --  --   4   1   1  --    2     1    1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   2    2     1    2
Undec        21  18  10  29  19  23  25   27    25   25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
B. McCollum  38%/18% 24%/32% 61%/ 6% 36%/16% 35%/15% 34%/14%
A. Sink      22 /15  34 / 5  11 /25  21 /17  24 / 8  23 / 8
P. Dockery    9 / 5   9 / 4  10 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 6   5 / 3

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      51% 36% 71% 49% 52% 50% 56%  53%   53%  51% 48%
Disapprove   25  41   9  23  26  24  20   19    16   16  18

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      39% 52% 29% 36% 41% 37% 39%  38%   37%  39% 33%
Disapprove   26  18  34  25  26  25  22   23    21   17  22

McCollum And AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Recently Passed Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A Good/Bad Idea?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea   40%  9% 77% 39% 43% 36%
Bad idea    54  88  17  53  52  56

Does McCollum's Decision To File A Lawsuit To Stop The Health Care Overhaul Plan From Taking Effect Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For GOV In Nov., Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     28%  5% 57% 27% 30% 27%
Less likely     38  65   5  41  36  40
No difference   31  29  34  30  32  31

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 37% 22% 45%
S. Levy      15  17  14  16
C. Paladino  13  11  14  n/a
Undec        43  36  50  40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
A. Cuomo     61% 81% 28% 54% 59%  63% 63%  66%  68%  67%
R. Lazio     24   9  54  23  21   25  26   24   22   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        16  10  17  23  17   11  11   10   10   11

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18
A. Cuomo     58% 75% 31% 52% 63%
S. Levy      23  12  46  23  16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  4
Undec        19  13  22  26  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind
A. Cuomo     64% 81% 37% 58%
C. Paladino  19   9  41  21
Undec        16  10  22  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18    3/7
A. Cuomo     66%/18% 72%/13% 57%/26% 62%/22% 63%/22% 63%/25%
R. Lazio     29 /25  26 /29  40 /14  21 /28  29 /27  30 /29
S. Levy      21 /16  24 /17  22 /15  18 /15  16 /16   n/a
C. Paladino  11 /13  13 /13  13 /12   6 /16   n/a     n/a

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
For GOV        53% 62% 41% 49% 55%  58% 51%  53%  50%  52%
Reelect as AG  31  22  42  34  27   29  33   30   31   28

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    49% 50% 52% 46% 44%  38% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   36  37  31  38  44   52  43   49   51   52

When Thinking About Cuomo, Would You Consider Him Too Aggressive/Not Aggressive Enough, Or Would You Say He Has Just About The Right Level Of Aggressiveness?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Too aggressive                  8%  8% 11%  6%
Not aggressive enough          16  13  20  21
Right level of aggressiveness  64  69  59  59

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    48% 49% 48% 50%
B. White    44  43  39  40
Other        2   3   5   4
Undec        6   6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     59% 54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  40  44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16). Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson vice mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups

J. McCain      54%
R. Glassman    32
Other           8
Undec           6

J.D. Hayworth  48%
R. Glassman    39
Other           7
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     11/18
J. McCain      52%/46% 54%/43%
J.D. Hayworth  43 /49   n/a
R. Glassman    32 /34   n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: McCain and Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      47% 48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  42  41   31   43
Other           2   3    7    6
Undec           8   8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain      67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

Obama As POTUS

Approve        14%
Disapprove     86

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      60% 67% 53%
J. DioGuardi    5   5   5
B. Blakeman     2   2   3
D. Malpass      2   1   2
Undec          31  25  37

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi   24% 28% 19%
B. Blakeman     7   6   8
D. Malpass      5   5   4
Undec          65  61  68

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand  46% 66% 18% 40% 45% 47% 48%  51%
B. Blakeman    26   9  54  32  31  21  24   24
Undec          28  25  28  28  24  32  28   25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  46% 66% 15% 41% 43% 48%
J. DioGuardi   27  11  57  31  31  24
Undec          27  23  28  29  26  28

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  46% 68% 17% 37% 44% 48%
D. Malpass     24   8  51  30  28  21
Undec          30  24  32  33  28  31

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19 1/14 12/9
G. Pataki      47% 33% 73% 49% 54% 42% 45%  47%  51%  43%
K. Gillibrand  38  56  13  33  34  41  39   41   38   46
Undec          15  11  14  18  12  17  15   13   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
G. Pataki      62%/29% 59%/34% 77%/15% 55%/31% 56%/33%
K. Gillibrand  34 /25  42 /18  21 /37  33 /26  32 /29
J. DioGuardi   10 / 8  10 / 8  13 / 7   9 /11   n/a
B. Blakeman     6 / 6   5 / 7   6 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 8
D. Malpass      5 / 5   6 / 6   5 / 7   6 / 4   n/a

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19 1/14 12/9
Elect her      27% 34% 17% 28% 26% 29% 28%  30%  29%  30%
Prefer another 40  31  51  45  45  35  38   40   45   34
Undec          33  35  32  27  29  36  34   30   26   35

Senate 2010

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/12; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/14). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/11 2/11 1/14
B. Boxer     43% 43%  45%  46%
T. Campbell  41  41   41   42
Other         6   6    4    3
Undec        10  10   10    8

-            Now 3/11 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23
B. Boxer     42% 46%  47%  46%  46%   46%
C. DeVore    39  40   42   40   36    37
Other         8   4    6    4    5     7
Undec        12   9    5   10   13    10

-            Now 3/11 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23 7/22 3/09    
B. Boxer     42% 46%  46%  46%  46%   49%  45%  47%
C. Fiorina   38  40   42   43   37    39   41   38
Other         7   4    7    3    5     4    7   10
Undec        13  10    5    8   12     8    7    5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/11    2/11    1/14    11/17   9/24
B. Boxer     51%/44% 48%/45% 51%/46% 51%/46% 51%/42%  n/a
T. Campbell  41 /31  44 /29  44 /33  49 /23  40 /20  42%/27%
C. DeVore    39 /26  32 /28  32 /36  33 /29  31 /25   n/a
C. Fiorina   36 /34  44 /31  37 /40  38 /34  40 /29   n/a

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/13).

General Election Matchup

K. Gillibrand  40%
Generic GOPer  39
Other           7
Undec          14

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/1     1/18    9/22    7/14
K. Gillibrand  46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41% 39%/42% 43%/34%

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/12; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 435 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (releases, 4/13-14). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           Now 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
A. Specter  44% 48%  51% 53%  48%  46%   47%  51%
J. Sestak   42  37   36  32   35   42    34   32
Other        4   5    4   4    3    2     3    4
Undec       10   9    9  11   14   10    16   13

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16                
P. Toomey   50% 49%  47% 49%  46%  45%   48%  39%
A. Specter  40  40   38  40   42   40    36   50      
Other        4   5    5   4    4    6     4    4      
Undec        6   7   10   8    8    9    12    7 

-           Now 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
P. Toomey   47% 42%  43% 43%  44%  37%   43%  35%
J. Sestak   36  37   35  35   38   38    35   41
Other        5   7    7   6    6    6     5    7
Undec       12  15   15  16   13   19    18   18

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8    10/13
P. Toomey   54%/29% 53%/33% 57%/28% 57%/27% 51%/29% 52%/27%
A. Specter  42 /54  42 /54  41 /54  43 /54  44 /50  46 /52
J. Sestak   38 /39  40 /38  33 /42  37 /37  36 /38  37 /34

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           Now     3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8    10/13
A. Specter  65%/32% 65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25% 68%/30%
J. Sestak   57 /26  47 /22  55 /23  54 /26  48 /22  45 /27

Obama As POTUS (Dems)

Approve     72%
Disapprove  27

Rendell As Gov. (Dems)

Approve     60%
Disapprove  39

A Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) poll; conducted 4/7-12; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/14). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 50%D, 41%R. 9%I. Tested: Specter, Sestak and Toomey.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               RVs
-           Now 10/12
A. Specter  42% 44%
J. Sestak   28  16
None/other   3  18
Undec       26  22

General Election Matchup

-                   RVs   RVs
-           Now 3/6 10/12 5/30
P. Toomey   48% 42% 41%   37%
A. Specter  38  36  42    46
None/other   3   4   4     4
Undec       10  18  12    13

Governor 2010

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 411 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/13). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and developer Carl Paladino (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     34% 40% 29%
S. Levy      11  14   9
C. Paladino  11  13   9
Other         2   1   2
Not vote      2   2   2
Undec        40  30  49

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19
A. Cuomo     55% 82% 21% 50% 50% 60% 57% 62%   61%
R. Lazio     26   4  65  26  34  18  25  22    22
Other         2   1  --   4   2   1   1   1     2
Not vote      2  --   2   3   2   1   2   1     2
Undec        15  13  12  18  11  19  15  14    13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo     57% 82% 27% 50% 53% 60%
S. Levy      24   5  57  27  31  18
Other         2  --   1   4   3   1
Not vote      2  --   3   3   3   1
Undec        15  12  11  17  10  19

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo     60% 88% 23% 55% 56% 64%
C. Paladino  24   4  58  24  31  17
Other         1   1  --   2   1   1
Not vote      2  --   3   2   2   1
Undec        14   6  16  16  10  17

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/2 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve      74% 84% 64% 71% 70% 71% 74%   71%   74%  73%
Disapprove   14   6  24  17  16  15  12    11    10   12

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/1     12/13
A. Cuomo     59%/19% 75%/ 4% 39%/38% 55%/25% 54%/16% 57%/14%
R. Lazio     24 /19  14 /26  47 / 9  19 /19  20 /15  19 /13
S. Levy      13 /11   9 /14  17 / 9  16 /10   n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  12 / 8   8 /10  22 / 3  10 / 8   n/a     n/a

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     35  31  36  34
Other           3   3   3   3
Undec           6   7   4   5

-              Now 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      32  27  24
Other           4   6   6
Undec           6  10  10

-              Now 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     38  32  35  33
Other           4   3   4   4
Undec           6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/2     2/1     12/7    9/10
R. Blumenthal  69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%  n/a     n/a
R. Simmons     48 /40  52 /35  60 /26  48%/30% 53%/32%
L. McMahon     45 /45  46 /42  51 /34  45 /35   n/a
P. Schiff      41 /34  37 /34   n/a    35 /31  27 /35

Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,894 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.3%. Subsamples of 659 Dem primary LVs and 446 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 4/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 53%D, 39%R, 9%I. Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom 3/3 11/2 8/17
D. Mongiardo   35% 36% 33% 45% 39%  39%
J. Conway      32  29  35  27  28   31
D. Price        5   5   5   4   2    3
J. Buckmaster   4   4   4   3  n/a  n/a
M. Sweeney      2   3   1   2   1    1
Others         n/a n/a n/a n/a 15   13
Undec          21  21  22  19  16   14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/3 11/2 8/17
R. Paul        45% 45% 46% 42% 35%  26%
T. Grayson     30  33  26  27  32   37
J. Stephenson   3   3   2   2  n/a  n/a
G. Martin       2   1   3   3  n/a  n/a
J. Scribner     1   1   1   1  n/a  n/a
Others         n/a n/a n/a  5  16   20         
Undec          19  16  22  19  18   17

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/3
Generic GOPer  44% 18% 80% 37% 48% 40% 43%
Generic Dem    41  67   6  33  39  43  42
Undec          15  14  13  30  13  17  16

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter    52% 57%  57%  53%  46%
C. Melancon  36  34   33   35   36
Other         4   3    3    4    5
Undec         8   6    7    8   13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter    60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon  46 /41  43 /44  39 /45  39 /46  43 /39

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 411 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/13). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      64% 72% 57%
B. Blakeman    15  12  19
Other           1   1   1
Not vote        1   1   1
Undec          19  15  23

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1
K. Gillibrand  47% 72% 15% 43% 47% 47% 44%
B. Blakeman    25   5  62  23  30  21  27
Other           1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Not vote        3   3   3   3   5   2   2
Undec          24  19  20  28  17  30  26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
G. Pataki      45% 22% 81% 49% 50% 40%
K. Gillibrand  40  65   9  32  40  40
Other           1   1  --   2   1   1
Not vote        2   1   3   1   3   1
Undec          13  11   7  16   7  18

Gillibrand As Sen.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve    47% 64% 30% 40% 49% 45% 42% 40%   32%   33%  37%
Disapprove 25   9  44  31  30  20  28  21    20    19   15

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/1
G. Pataki      52%/33% 42%/43% 75%/14% 52%/32%  n/a
K. Gillibrand  37 /23  51 /11  23 /43  32 /24  33%/22%
B. Blakeman     7 / 6   4 /10  16 / 3   5 / 4  11 / 4

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/13).

Do You Feel Schumer Deserves To Be Re-Elected?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1
Yes/deserves    53% 75% 29% 48% 52% 55% 54%
No/does not     32  13  54  39  39  25  33

Schumer As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve     61% 78% 41% 59% 59% 62% 58% 62%   62%   58%  63%
Disapprove  26  10  44  31  31  21  30  27    24    27   23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/13). Tested: Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D), librarian Ann Worthy (D), Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R) and disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall    23% 21% 24% 25% 21%  5% 20%  29%
C. Cunningham  17  22  14  13  26  32  16   12
K. Lewis        9   7  11   9  10   9  11    5
S. Harris       4   5   3   5   1   5   4   n/a
A. Worthy       1   2   1   1   1  --   0   n/a
M. Williams     0   1   0   0  --   5   2    2
Undec          45  42  47  47  40  45  47   51

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/15 2/15
R. Burr        67% 70% 64% 58%  55%
B. Jones        7   4  11   5   10
E. Burks        3   4   1   4    3
L. Linney       1   1  --   1   n/a
Undec          23  21  24  33   31

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-              All     Men     Wom     3/15    2/15
E. Marshall    32%/ 7% 29%/11% 34%/ 5% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
K. Lewis       11 / 9  15 /11   8 / 8   9 /12   9 / 9
C. Cunningham   8 / 6  11 / 7   7 / 6   8 / 9   9 / 7

Burr As Sen. (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
Approve        63% 69% 55%
Disapprove     17  18  15

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 407 Dem primary voters and 457 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 3/30). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), inventor Sam Franklin Thomas (D), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R), '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R), financial adviser James Potts (R) and businessman Charles Taylor (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                   All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
A. Davis            38% 37% 39% 29% 48% 20%
R. Sparks           28  35  22  33  23  33
S. Franklin Thomas   9   7  10   9   9  13
Undec               25  20  29  29  21  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne    27% 31% 24%
R. Moore    23  24  22
R. Bentley  10  11   9
K. Ivey     10   8  12
T. James     9  10   9
B. Johnson   1   1   1
J. Potts     0  --   0
C. Taylor   --  --  --
Undec       20  16  24

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Davis    28%/34% 36%/35% 23%/33% 31%/26% 28%/38%  7%/67%
R. Sparks   27 /17  40 /15  16 /18  30 /17  25 /15  13 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom
R. Moore    48%/28% 50%/30% 46%/26%
B. Byrne    31 / 9  31 /10  31 / 8
T. James    20 /21  27 /22  14 /20
K. Ivey     20 /26  19 /29  21 /24

Obama As POTUS (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
Approve     84% 85% 83% 68% 98% 87%
Disapprove  13  14  12  26   1   7

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 662 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 3/30). Tested: Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and venture capitalist Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Hoekstra  27%
R. Snyder    18
M. Cox       13
M. Bouchard   6
Other         5
Undec        32

Fav/Unfav

P. Hoekstra  54%/13%
M. Cox       45 /23
R. Synder    40 /14
M. Bouchard  37 /19

Obama As POTUS

Approve      10%
Disapprove   88

Granholm As Gov.

Approve      10%
Disapprove   89

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     52% 55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     29  30  35   29    26
Other         6   5   5    6     5
Undec        13  10   7    9     5

A. Cuomo     50%
S. Levy      26
Other         7
Undec        17

-            Now 3/1
A. Cuomo     51% 56%
C. Paladino  28  27
Other         6   6
Undec        15  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14
A. Cuomo     60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32%
R. Lazio     46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49   n/a
S. Levy      33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/23-29; surveyed 1,526 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
T. Strickland  43% 80%  9% 34% 44% 42% 44%  40%  46%  43% 51%
J. Kasich      38   9  75  38  41  35  39   40   36   38  32
Other           1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1    2    2   1
Not vote        1  --  --   1   1   1   2    1    1    1   1
Undec          17  10  15  26  14  21  15   18   15   16  16

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        49% 71% 26% 46% 46% 50% 48%  45%  48%  46% 57%
Disapprove     40  19  64  42  45  36  40   43   42   42  29

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/21    11/9
T. Strickland  46%/35% 72%/12% 24%/57% 41%/39% 45%/36% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      24 /10  10 /17  43 / 4  25 / 9  26 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        35% 58% 16% 30% 36% 34% 35%  33%  33%  33% 43%
Disapprove     52  30  72  56  53  50  53   52   54   53  43

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
Approve        37% 55% 19% 35% 41% 34% 32%  36%  32% 43% 44%
Disapprove     47  30  66  49  46  47  51   47   53  40  36

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09 2/09
Yes  36% 51% 22% 32% 37% 34% 34%  32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No   41  29  55  41  42  40  45   43   40   40  32  30   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  38% 67% 12% 31% 41% 36% 35%  33%
J. Kasich      38  14  67  39  42  34  41   41
No difference   2   2   1   3   2   2   2   --
Undec          22  16  20  27  15  28  22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      39% 14% 69% 42% 44% 35% 42%  42%
T. Strickland  38  68  11  31  38  37  36   34
No difference   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   --
Undec          21  16  18  25  16  26  21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  40% 70% 16% 33% 41% 40% 35%
J. Kasich      35  12  62  35  39  31  36
No difference   5   3   3   8   5   5   6
Undec          20  15  18  24  16  24  22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  42% 72% 14% 37% 45% 40% 40%
J. Kasich      34   9  64  35  38  30  36
No difference   2   1   2   3   1   3   3
Undec          22  18  20  24  15  27  21