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Showing posts with label Colorado. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Colorado. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 342 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.3% (release, 6/23). Tested: Investigative reporter John Dougherty, '94 candidate/ex-Dept. of Health Services dir./ex-state Rep. Cathy Eden, ex-Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman and activist Randy Parraz.

Primary Election Matchup
R. Glassman   12%
C. Eden 11
R. Parraz 9
J. Dougherty 8
Other 14
Undec 46

Fav/Unfav
R. Glassman   29%/14%
C. Eden 23 /12
R. Parraz 22 /18
J. Dougherty 21 /18

Obama As POTUS
Approve       73%
Disapprove 25

Brewer As Gov.
Approve       31%
Disapprove 66

Colorado
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/20-21 for LG Jane Norton (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/22). Tested: Norton and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck.

Primary Election Matchup
J. Norton  39%
K. Buck 33
Undec 28

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15-16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/19 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven 73% 72% 69% 68% 71%
T. Potter 19 23 24 25 17
Other 2 2 2 2 4
Undec 6 3 5 5 8

Hoeven As Gov.
-           Now 5/19 4/20 12/15
Approve 88% 87% 83% 87%
Disapprove 13 12 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/19    4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven 86%/13% 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 37 /38 38 /33 43 /31 40 /29 37 /32 n/a

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/24 2/16
R. Wyden 47% 51% 49%
J. Huffman 37 38 35
Other 6 4 7
Undec 10 7 9

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/24    2/16
R. Wyden 52%/41% 56%/38% 55%/36%
J. Huffman 35 /25 42 /22 33 /24

A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 6/11-13 for Wyden; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/23). Tested: Wyden, Huffman, financial planner Marc Delphine (L) and psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg (G).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 3/8
R. Wyden 53% 53%
J. Huffman 23 23
M. Delphine 2 5
R. Staggenborg 2 n/a
Undec 20 20

Pennsylvania
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 609 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/1
P. Toomey 41% 14% 73% 41% 40% 42% 42%
J. Sestak 41 70 10 21 45 38 36
Undec 18 16 17 38 16 20 22

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/1
P. Toomey 30%/28% 16%/40% 46%/14% 31%/21% 20%/22%
J. Sestak 29 /28 39 /18 17 /39 24 /27 16 /18

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 5/25
R. Feingold 46% 46%
R. Johnson 45 44
Other 3 3
Undec 6 6

-            Now 5/25 4/20 3/16 2/17
R. Feingold 47% 47% 49% 51% 47%
D. Westlake 41 38 38 35 37
Other 4 7 4 5 6
Undec 7 8 9 10 10

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/25    4/20    3/16    2/17    1/26
R. Feingold 52%/45% 53%/44% 51%/48% 51%/47% 50%/48% 47%/48%
R. Johnson 46 /30 42 /25 n/a n/a n/a n/a
D. Westlake 34 /32 36 /26 30 /34 34 /26 33 /31 n/a

Monday, June 21, 2010

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,528 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 747 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/20). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D), businessman Dan Maes (R) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis 57% 60% 54%
D. Maes 29 28 29
Undec 14 12 17

General Election Matchup
-                All Men Wom
D. Maes 45% 50% 40%
J. Hickenlooper 44 42 45
Third party 5 4 6
Undec 6 4 8

General Election Matchup (1,474 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)
-                All Men Wom
S. McInnis 47% 53% 42%
J. Hickenlooper 43 40 46
Third party 6 6 5
Undec 4 2 6

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
R. Scott     35%
B. McCollum 30
Undec 33

Maryland
A polling company, inc. (R) poll; conducted 6/8-10 for businessman/ex-commodities trader Brian Murphy (R); surveyed 508 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/18). Tested: Murphy, Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchups
M. O'Malley  44%              M. O'Malley  44%
B. Ehrlich 43 B. Murphy 25

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 6/12-15 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/18). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 5/26
A. Dillon 34% 29%
V. Bernero 24 23
Undec 42 48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
M. Cox 26% 18% 21% 21% 32% 28%
P. Hoekstra 24 30 27 27 25 29
R. Snyder 20 17 15 12 3 3
M. Bouchard 16 16 13 10 16 14
T. George 2 2 3 1 2 2
Other n/a n/a 3 3 n/a n/a
Undec 12 17 18 26 22 24

General Election Matchups
-            Now 5/26 3/31
P. Hoekstra 47% 47% 42%
V. Bernero 38 34 29
Undec 15 19 29

-            Now 5/26 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra 46% 47% 40% 41% 40%
A. Dillon 38 35 33 37 32
Undec 16 18 27 21 28

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder 49% 51% 42%
V. Bernero 34 28 26
Undec 17 21 32

-            Now 5/26 3/31
R. Snyder 49% 50% 42%
A. Dillon 36 31 30
Undec 15 19 28

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/26    3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox 36%/33% 35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard 33 /15 32 /13 31 /10 35 / 9 33 /10 31 / 7
P. Hoekstra 35 /17 31 /16 30 /15 29 /11 30 /12 30 /12
R. Snyder 29 / 9 26 / 8 18 / 6 19 / 4 7 / 2 6 / 2
A. Dillon 15 /15 13 /12 16 /11 13 / 9 14 /11 14 /10
V. Bernero 14 / 9 9 / 6 8 / 6 7 / 4 7 / 4 6 / 3
T. George 9 / 6 4 / 3 4 / 2 6 / 2 6 / 3 6 / 3

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,565 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 506 Dem primary LVs and 747 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/20). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R). (Note: Varying split sample sizes were used for general election matchups.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
M. Bennet 53% 56% 49%
A. Romanoff 36 36 37
Undec 11 8 14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 53% 59% 45%
J. Norton 37 33 42
Undec 10 8 13

General Election Matchup (1,565 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 46% 51% 41%
M. Bennet 43 41 45
Third party 6 5 6
Undec 5 3 8

General Election Matchup (1,498 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
J. Norton 47% 50% 44%
M. Bennet 44 42 46
Third party 5 6 5
Undec 4 2 5

General Election Matchup (1,437 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 49% 55% 42%
A. Romanoff 40 37 43
Third party 6 5 6
Undec 5 2 8

General Election Matchup (1,504 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
J. Norton 45% 50% 39%
A. Romanoff 41 38 43
Third party 8 7 8
Undec 7 4 10

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup
C. Crist    42%
M. Rubio 31
K. Meek 14
Undec 12

Crist As Gov.
Approve     60%
Disapprove 30

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 50% 51%
B. Blakeman 38 31
Other 2 8
Undec 10 10

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 49% 51%
J. DioGuardi 38 28
Other 2 7
Undec 12 13

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 49% 46%
D. Malpass 34 27
Other 3 10
Undec 13 16

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/12    4/8     3/1     1/18
K. Gillibrand 49%/38% 57%/37% 46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41%
J. DioGuardi 35 /27 29 /32 n/a n/a n/a
B. Blakeman 32 /27 29 /33 n/a n/a n/a
D. Malpass 30 /29 24 /31 n/a n/a n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

General Election Matchups
C. Schumer   54%              C. Schumer   54%
G. Berntsen 35 J. Townsend 33
Other 5 Other 6
Undec 6 Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
C. Schumer   60%/37%
G. Berntsen 36 /27
J. Townsend 32 /30

Utah
A Wenzel Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/17 for the Senate Conservatives Fund (R); surveyed 642 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/18). Tested: '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater and '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Mike Lee. (Note: The Senate Conservatives Fund is supporting Lee.)

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom
M. Lee 45% 42% 47%
T. Bridgewater 35 38 34

A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 6/12-17 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 581 "active" GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/20). Tested: Bridgewater and Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
T. Bridgewater  42%
M. Lee 33
Undec 25

How Would You Rate The Two Candidates' Views?
-                        Bridgewater Lee
Too conservative 9% 15%
About right 65 65
Not conservative enough 14 11

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 46% 45% 44% 44% 45% 43% 42%
M. Bennet 41 40 40 38 41 38 38
Other 5 5 3 6 5 4 8
Undec 8 11 12 11 8 15 12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15                
J. Norton 46% 48% 46% 48% 51% 49% 46% 45%
M. Bennet 40 41 41 39 37 37 37 36
Other 9 5 5 7 5 3 8 7
Undec 5 6 8 6 7 11 8 12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 45% 45% 45% 41% 45% 40% 41%
A. Romanoff 39 40 37 40 39 39 39
Other 6 5 4 5 6 5 6
Undec 11 11 13 13 10 16 14

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton 43% 46% 49% 44% 45% 47% 45% 45%
A. Romanoff 42 39 38 42 38 35 34 34
Other 7 6 5 6 7 5 7 8
Undec 8 8 8 9 10 14 15 15

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/3     4/5     3/2     2/2     1/13
A. Romanoff 45%/42% 46%/34% 39%/39% 42%/38% 40%/37% 40%/36%
K. Buck 44 /32 43 /33 42 /22 40 /23 43 /26 38 /20
J. Norton 44 /44 46 /39 43 /39 49 /34 49 /31 51 /28
M. Bennet 39 /50 45 /45 45 /41 42 /43 42 /40 42 /40

Connecticut
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted June 1-3 for ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/8). Tested: McMahon and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).

General Election Matchup
R. Blumenthal  51%
L. McMahon 38

Fav/Unfav
R. Blumenthal  55%/32%
L. McMahon 41 /32

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), developer/financier Jeff Greene (D), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchups
-          Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio 37% 39% 34% 37% 42%
C. Crist 37 31 38 30 22
K. Meek 15 18 17 22 25
Undec 11 12 11 11 11

C. Crist   41%
M. Rubio 37
J. Greene 13
Undec 10

Crist As Gov.
-              Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14
Approve 60% 57% 62% 56% 57% 45% 52% 51% 52%
Disapprove 37 42 38 43 42 54 45 47 45

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/16    5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18
C. Crist 62%/37% 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41%
M. Rubio 46 /38 46 /43 42 /48 51 /37 48 /34 51 /27
K. Meek 30 /39 33 /36 32 /36 38 /31 33 /39 42 /33
J. Greene 28 /41 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/9). Tested: Crist, Greene, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchups
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13
C. Crist 37% 37% 28% 51% 36% 38% 32%
M. Rubio 33 7 64 26 39 29 30
K. Meek 17 44 2 10 13 20 24
Other -- 1 -- 1 1 -- --
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 2 1 1
Undec 11 11 6 10 9 12 13

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist 40% 46% 28% 51% 39% 40%
M. Rubio 33 6 66 25 36 31
J. Greene 14 35 2 10 13 16
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Undec 11 11 4 12 10 12

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
C. Crist 52%/33% 55%/28% 44%/44% 59%/29% 48%/35% 52%/36%
M. Rubio 36 /28 8 /47 63 /11 31 /30 36 /22 32 /14
K. Meek 17 /13 34 / 6 5 /21 16 /11 18 / 8 18 / 8
J. Greene 11 /11 16 /11 4 /13 15 / 8 n/a n/a
M. Ferre 8 / 6 14 / 7 5 / 8 7 / 4 n/a n/a

Crist As Gov.
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/09
Approve 57% 61% 49% 62% 55% 58% 49% 50% 59% 60% 62%
Disapprove 35 31 44 33 39 31 39 38 31 30 28

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Crist Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 43% 47% 39% 46% 41% 45%
What's popular 48 44 55 47 52 45

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Rubio Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 33% 22% 52% 30% 38% 29%
What's popular 42 54 28 47 42 43

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Meek Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 20% 35% 15% 16% 20% 19%
What's popular 36 25 38 40 41 31

As You May Know, Crist Dropped Out Of The GOP Primary To Run As An Indie? Which Statement About Crist Best Represents Your View -- Crist Left The GOP Because He No Longer Agreed With The Party's Core Beliefs, Or Crist Left The GOP Because He Thought He Could Not Win The Nomination?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
No longer agreed 32% 41% 20% 37% 28% 35%
Could not win nod 60 48 76 57 64 56

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
-               Now 4/28 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk 42% 46% 41% 41% 46% 39% 41% 41%
A. Giannoulias 39 38 37 44 40 42 41 38
Other 7 5 8 5 4 3 4 4
Undec 12 12 13 10 10 15 13 17

Fav/Unfav
-               Now     4/28    4/5     3/8     2/3
M. Kirk 48%/39% 52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33%
A. Giannoulias 39 /46 42 /47 42 /44 44 /43 46 /39

Thursday, May 20, 2010

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           Now 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer 45% 26% 20%
B. Mills 18 18 19
D. Martin 18 12 21
J. Munger 3 14 10
Other 3 6 7
Undec 13 24 23

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-           Now     4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer 80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
D. Martin 45 /24 37 /21 54 /14 60 /10
B. Mills 44 /27 40 /19 43 /12 n/a
J. Munger 19 /35 18 /23 37 /26 28 /22

Brewer As Gov.
-           Now 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/09
Approve 64% 56% 40% 48% 41% 37% 39% 37% 48% 51%
Disapprove 35 42 56 51 55 60 57 57 48 45

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 5/9-16; surveyed 1,168 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 411 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/20). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom 3/16 1/19
M. Whitman 38% 41% 36% 61% 41%
S. Poizner 29 29 29 11 11
Other 2 3 1 3 4
Undec 31 27 34 25 44

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown 45% 74% 12% 40% 42% 47% 46% 44% 47%
S. Poizner 32 10 65 27 37 27 31 29 31
Undec 23 16 23 33 21 26 23 27 21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown 42% 70% 10% 38% 40% 45% 39% 41% 43%
M. Whitman 37 16 69 34 42 33 44 36 37
Undec 21 14 21 28 18 22 17 23 20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?
-                   Now 3/16 1/19 12/8
Very closely 21% 17% 11% 10%
Fairly closely 46 46 34 33
Not too closely 27 28 42 36
Not at all closely 6 8 12 20

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/20). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup
-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
J. Hickenlooper 44% 78% 9% 42% 39% 49% 50%
S. McInnis 44 11 79 46 52 36 39
Undec 12 11 12 12 9 14 11

Fav/Unfav
-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8
J. Hickenlooper 47%/33% 73%/12% 21%/57% 44%/34% 51%/27%
S. McInnis 31 /30 14 /42 53 /15 29 /30 28 /27

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 423 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/19). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson, radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry, Insurance Commis. John Oxendine and Wal-mart worker Otis Putnam.

Primary Election Matchup
-             Now 4/5 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine 23% 26% 27% 25% 21%
K. Handel 15 18 13 10 9
N. Deal 14 9 9 9 11
E. Johnson 5 5 7 7 3
J. Chapman 2 n/a n/a n/a n/a
R. McBerry 2 n/a n/a n/a n/a
O. Putnam 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a
Others n/a 11 8 4 6
Undec 39 31 36 45 50

Minnesota
A MN Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute poll; conducted 5/13-16; surveyed 701 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 246 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
M. Dayton             38%
M. Anderson Kelliher 28
M. Entenza 6
Undec 28

General Election Matchups
T. Emmer              31%
M. Anderson Kelliher 29
T. Horner 10
Undec 30

M. Dayton             35%
T. Emmer 31
T. Horner 9
Undec 25

T. Emmer              32%
M. Entenza 28
T. Horner 11
Undec 29

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 931 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/20). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (03), LG André Bauer, state Rep. Nikki Haley and AG Henry McMaster.

Primary Election Matchup
N. Haley     30%
H. McMaster 19
G. Barrett 17
A. Bauer 12
Other 3
Undec 18

Fav/Unfav
N. Haley     60%/14%
H. McMaster 59 /19
G. Barrett 52 /23
A. Bauer 42 /49

Obama As POTUS
Approve      10%
Disapprove 90

Sanford As Gov.
Approve      63%
Disapprove 37

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup
-              Now 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain 52% 47% 48% 53% 45%
J.D. Hayworth 40 42 41 31 43
Other 2 2 3 7 6
Undec 6 8 8 8 7

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/13    3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain 70%/28% 67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth 67 /31 58 /34 47 /43 58 /25 67 /16

Obama As POTUS
-              Now 4/13
Approve 10% 14%
Disapprove 88 86

California
A M4 Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13, 5/16 for the Small Business Action Cmte; surveyed 600 "high propensity" GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/18). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup
T. Campbell  33%
C. Fiorina 28
C. DeVore 15
Undec 22

Fav/Unfav
T. Campbell  42%/13%
C. Fiorina 39 /13
C. DeVore 19 / 5

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/19). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
M. Bennet 45% 81% 10% 39% 41% 50% 46% 39% 40%
K. Buck 39 6 74 40 47 31 40 35 34
Undec 16 13 16 21 12 20 14 19 16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet 44% 77% 11% 42% 40% 49% 43%
J. Norton 41 9 78 40 48 34 43
Undec 14 14 11 18 12 17 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet 44% 78% 10% 39% 38% 49% 45%
T. Wiens 36 7 70 35 42 30 37
Undec 20 15 20 26 20 21 18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff 41% 79% 6% 34% 37% 45% 44%
K. Buck 38 6 76 36 47 29 36
Undec 21 16 18 29 16 26 20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff 43% 79% 9% 38% 39% 48% 44%
J. Norton 41 7 77 42 49 32 39
Undec 16 14 14 20 12 20 17

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
A. Romanoff 41% 78% 6% 35% 36% 46% 45%
T. Wiens 37 8 73 33 46 28 34
Undec 22 14 21 32 18 25 21

Bennet As Sen.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8 8/16 4/09
Approve 34% 54% 13% 32% 31% 37% 32% 31% 34%
Disapprove 44 20 69 47 52 37 46 38 41

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8     8/16
A. Romanoff 31%/26% 48%/14% 11%/38% 32%/26% 28%/26% n/a
J. Norton 20 /32 9 /45 34 /23 19 /26 25 /35 n/a
K. Buck 19 /24 7 /36 32 /15 19 /18 14 /18 17%/18%
T. Wiens 8 /16 6 /20 11 /15 6 /13 11 /17 n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal 48% 52% 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon 45 39 35 31 36 34
Other 4 6 3 3 3 3
Undec 3 4 6 7 4 5

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal 53% 54% 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff 37 29 32 27 24
Other 4 6 4 6 6
Undec 5 11 6 10 10

-              Now 5/4 4/7 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal 50% 55% 52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons 39 32 38 32 35 33
Other 6 5 4 3 4 4
Undec 5 8 6 7 7 7

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/4     4/7     3/2     2/1
R. Blumenthal 66%/32% 72%/23% 69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%
R. Simmons 54 /37 48 /32 48 /40 52 /35 60 /26
L. McMahon 54 /41 55 /31 45 /45 46 /42 51 /34
P. Schiff 43 /29 35 /33 41 /34 37 /34 n/a

Kansas
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13 for Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/19). Tested: Moran, ex-AG Robert Londerholm and Rep. Todd Tiahrt (04).

Primary Election Matchup
J. Moran       53%
T. Tiahrt 27
R. Londerholm 4
Undec 16

Fav/Unfav
J. Moran       67%/ 7%
T. Tiahrt 50 /12

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Governor 2010

California
A M4 Strategies (R) poll; conducted 5/12-13, 5/16 for the Small Business Action Cmte; surveyed 600 "high propensity" GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/17). Tested: Ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup
M. Whitman  49%
S. Poizner 32
Undec 17

Fav/Unfav
M. Whitman  55%/27%
S. Poizner 39 /34

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 448 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 5/18). Tested: Businessman Joe Gschwendtner, businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-                All Men Wom 3/8
S. McInnis 50% 49% 52% 58%
D. Maes 15 17 12 8
Y. Mager 4 4 4 2
M. Vanderbilt 3 5 1 1
J. Gschwendtner 0 1 -- n/a
Undec 27 25 31 31

Fav/Unfav
-                All     Men     Wom     3/8
S. McInnis 54%/15% 54%/20% 53%/ 8% 50%/10%

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/18). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 4/15 3/18 2/18 2/1 12/14 10/20 6/22
B. McCollum 43% 45% 47% 48% 46% 44% 46% 42%
A. Sink 35 38 36 35 35 39 35 34
Other 11 7 5 4 5 5 5 7
Undec 11 10 12 12 13 12 15 18

R. Scott     41%
A. Sink 40
Other 7
Undec 12

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     4/15    3/18    2/18    2/1     12/14
B. McCollum 48%/33% 50%/31% 51%/31% 53%/29% 53%/30% 54%/30%
R. Scott 39 /28 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
A. Sink 38 /32 43 /37 37 /41 38 /34 39 /34 45 /31

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 442 Dem primary LVs and 448 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.7% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 5/18). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), atty Steve Barton (R), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), physician Robert Greenheck (R), Gary Kennedy (R), Vincent Martinez (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R), businessman Cleve Tidwell (R), businessman Mark Van Wyk (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             All Men Wom 3/8
M. Bennet 46% 44% 48% 40%
A. Romanoff 31 34 29 34
Undec 23 22 23 26

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom 3/8
J. Norton 31% 32% 28% 34%
K. Buck 26 30 20 17
T. Wiens 5 6 4 7
R. Greenheck 5 5 5 5
V. Martinez 2 2 1 2
S. Barton 1 1 -- 1
C. Tidwell 1 1 -- 1
G. Kennedy 1 -- 2 0
M. Van Wyk 0 1 -- --
Undec 29 22 40 32

Bennet As Sen. (Dems)
-             All Men Wom 5/8
Approve 53% 52% 53% 57%
Disapprove 22 29 17 21

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-             All     Men     Wom     3/8
A. Romanoff 48%/14% 57%/12% 43%/15% 45%/15%

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-             All     Men     Wom     3/8
J. Norton 34%/23% 36%/24% 31%/21% 41%/26%
K. Buck 32 /14 36 /14 26 /15 21 /17
T. Wiens 12 /15 15 /18 8 /11 17 /16

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 809 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom 5/4 2/18
R. Paul 55% 52% 57% 43% 44%
T. Grayson 30 35 26 28 23
Other 8 7 9 8 n/a
Undec 7 6 8 21 33

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/12; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/18). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

General Election Matchups
K. Gillibrand  51%
B. Blakeman 31
Other 8
Undec 10

K. Gillibrand  51%
J. DioGuardi 28
Other 7
Undec 13

K. Gillibrand  46%
D. Malpass 27
Other 10
Undec 16

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/8     3/1     1/18    9/22
K. Gillibrand 57%/37% 46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41% 39%/42%
J. DioGuardi 29 /32 n/a n/a n/a n/a
B. Blakeman 29 /33 n/a n/a n/a n/a
D. Malpass 24 /31 n/a n/a n/a n/a

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/12). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup
-                Now 4/14 3/4 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis 47% 48% 48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper 41 42 42 49 42
Other 6 4 3 1 2
Undec 6 6 6 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-                Now     4/14    3/4     2/4     1/6
S. McInnis 52%/35% 57%/26% 53%/33% 52%/29% 60%/26%
J. Hickenlooper 49 /43 55 /38 55 /36 56 /36 57 /32

Kansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/13). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback (R) and state Sen. Tom Holland (D).

General Election Matchup
-             Now 2/24
S. Brownback 58% 55%
T. Holland 27 33
Other 7 4
Undec 8 8

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     2/24
S. Brownback 64%/29% 58%/34%
T. Holland 38 /36 34 /23

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/9-12; surveyed 405 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/13). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2
D. Onorato 39% 37% 33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39%
T. Williams 14 15 15 15 12 9 10 8 9 9 7
J. Hoeffel 11 8 10 8 8 10 11 12 11 9 7
J. Wagner 9 9 9 10 8 8 8 9 8 8 6
Other/undec 27 30 34 32 36 38 36 39 37 38 41

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/11    5/10    5/9     5/8     5/7
D. Onorato 44%/12% 44%/13% 40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10%
T. Williams 24 /15 26 /13 28 /13 26 /15 24 /13 21 /14
J. Hoeffel 23 / 7 21 / 6 22 / 7 21 / 9 18 / 8 20 / 8
J. Wagner 22 /11 20 /10 17 / 9 19 /10 17 / 8 18 / 6

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/4-10; surveyed 1,161 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 5/13). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), Hoeffel, Onorato and Wagner.

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14
T. Corbett 49% 18% 87% 47% 58% 41% 50% 41% 46%
J. Hoeffel 26 55 3 15 21 31 28 30 30
Other 1 1 1 4 2 1 -- 1 1
Not vote 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 22 24 8 33 18 26 21 27 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 43% 11% 82% 42% 52% 35% 45% 42% 45% 47%
D. Onorato 37 68 9 29 35 39 33 32 30 28
Other 1 -- -- 2 -- 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 19 20 9 27 12 25 21 24 22 24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett 47% 14% 86% 49% 55% 40% 48% 42% 43% 44%
J. Wagner 28 57 4 17 24 31 29 30 33 29
Other 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Undec 23 28 8 29 18 28 21 26 23 25

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/5     2/28
T. Corbett 49%/13% 31%/20% 73%/ 4% 50%/13% 47%/13% 43%/ 7%
D. Onorato 34 /13 46 / 6 22 /20 34 /15 21 /11 20 / 8
J. Wagner 19 / 7 27 / 5 11 / 9 19 / 7 18 / 8 20 / 7
J. Hoeffel 14 /11 20 / 7 7 /13 14 /13 14 /10 15 / 7
T. Williams 12 / 8 23 / 5 5 /10 7 /10 3 / 3 3 / 2
S. Rohrer 9 / 5 2 / 5 17 / 5 9 / 5 7 / 4 5 / 3

Friday, April 16, 2010

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/15). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup
-                Now 3/4 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis 48% 48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper 42 42 49 42
Other 4 3 1 2
Undec 6 6 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-                Now     3/4     2/4     1/6     12/10
S. McInnis 57%/26% 53%/33% 52%/29% 60%/26% 52%/33%
J. Hickenlooper 55 /38 55 /36 56 /36 57 /32 n/a

Thursday, April 8, 2010

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/8). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 44% 44% 45% 43% 42%
M. Bennet 40 38 41 38 38
Other 3 6 5 4 8
Undec 12 11 8 15 12

-            Now 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15               
J. Norton 46% 48% 51% 49% 46% 45%
M. Bennet 41 39 37 37 37 36
Other 5 7 5 3 8 7
Undec 8 6 7 11 8 12

-            Now 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
T. Wiens 45% 43% 45% 44% 42%
M. Bennet 39 40 40 38 41
Other 4 7 5 4 7
Undec 12 11 9 14 10

-            Now 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton 49% 44% 45% 47% 45% 45%
A. Romanoff 38 42 38 35 34 34
Other 5 6 7 5 7 8
Undec 8 9 10 14 15 15

-            Now 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 45% 41% 45% 40% 41%
A. Romanoff 37 40 39 39 39
Other 4 5 6 5 6
Undec 13 13 10 16 14

-            Now 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
T. Wiens 45% 41% 42% 44% 41%
A. Romanoff 38 41 40 39 40
Other 6 5 6 4 5
Undec 11 13 12 14 14

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/2     2/2     1/13    12/8    9/15
M. Bennet 45%/41% 42%/43% 42%/40% 42%/40% 39%/46% 36%/49%
J. Norton 43 /39 49 /34 49 /31 51 /28 49 /32 47 /30
K. Buck 42 /22 40 /23 43 /26 38 /20 36 /26 n/a
T. Wiens 40 /26 35 /27 35 /30 36 /24 37 /30 n/a
A. Romanoff 39 /39 42 /38 40 /37 40 /36 44 /35 37 /41

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/8). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 3/9 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt 48% 47% 49% 49% 44% 46%
R. Carnahan 42 41 42 43 46 46
Other 3 4 3 3 4 2
Undec 7 8 6 5 6 5

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/9     2/10    1/19    12/17   9/21
R. Blunt 49%/43% 56%/37% 54%/40% 56%/34% 50%/43% 57%/33%
R. Carnahan 47 /46 47 /48 49 /45 49 /46 51 /43 52 /42

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/30-4/5; surveyed 1,412 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/8). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19 5/26
P. Toomey 46% 10% 81% 46% 54% 38% 42% 44% 43% 44% 37%
A. Specter 41 78 9 38 37 44 49 44 42 45 46
Other -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1 1 -- 1
Not vote 1 1 1 -- 1 1 1 -- 1 -- 3
Undec 12 10 8 16 7 16 8 11 13 10 14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19 5/26
P. Toomey 42% 8% 78% 42% 52% 33% 39% 40% 38% 39% 35%
J. Sestak 34 71 4 26 29 38 36 35 35 35 37
Other 1 -- 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 3
Undec 22 20 15 30 17 27 24 22 25 23 23

Specter As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19 5/26
Approve 44% 77% 18% 40% 40% 48% 48% 47% 44% 47% 51%
Disapprove 47 16 74 49 55 40 45 45 48 46 39

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/28    12/14
A. Specter 40%/46% 71%/17% 16%/73% 35%/48% 44%/43% 43%/45%
P. Toomey 29 / 9 14 /15 48 / 2 25 /11 26 / 8 35 /10
J. Sestak 20 /11 33 / 4 13 /16 16 /12 18 / 6 20 / 9

Does Specter Deserve To Be Reelected?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
Yes, deserves 36% 62% 14% 35% 35% 38% 38% 38% 37% 40%
No, does not 52 25 77 53 58 47 52 50 52 49
Undec 11 12 9 11 7 15 10 12 11 11

Does Obama's Support Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Specter?
-                          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14
More likely 9% 21% 2% 5% 9% 9% 12% 11%
Less likely 22 5 41 20 26 18 18 17
Doesn't make a difference 68 73 57 75 65 71 69 71

Monday, March 15, 2010

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 497 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/15). Tested: Businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom
S. McInnis 58% 60% 56%
D. Maes 8 13 3
Y. Mager 2 2 2
M. Vanderbilt 1 1 1
Undec 31 24 39

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom
S. McInnis 50%/10% 50%/13% 49%/ 6%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist 47% 33% 63% 43% 52% 44% 49% 28% 57% 50%
A. Sink 27 45 11 25 25 29 27 34 22 29
Undec 26 22 26 32 23 28 24 38 22 21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McCollum 44% 20% 69% 38% 50% 39% 49% 23% 43% 21%
A. Sink 31 55 11 25 26 35 29 42 30 38
Undec 25 25 20 36 24 26 22 35 26 42

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. McCollum 25%/26% 17%/31% 33%/20% 21%/27% 27%/31% 22%/21%
A. Sink 23 /27 34 /18 14 /36 21 /25 19 /31 26 /23

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           Now 9/29
S. Walker 46% 39%
S. Neumann 27 14
T. Michels n/a 4
Undec 27 43

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind
T. Barrett 34% 60% 18% 31%
S. Neumann 34 11 50 39
Undec 30 28 30 28

-           All Dem GOP Ind
S. Walker 36% 13% 57% 38%
T. Barrett 31 54 16 29
Undec 31 32 27 30

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
S. Walker 37%/16% 15%/27% 57%/ 7% 40%/16% 33%/16%
S. Neumann 36 /16 15 /27 53 / 7 39 /15 24 /12
T. Barrett 34 /18 44 / 7 25 /26 38 /19 36 /12

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 451 Dem primary LVs and 497 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.6% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 3/15). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), atty Steve Barton (R), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), physician Robert Greenheck (R), Gary Kennedy (R), Vincent Martinez (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R), businessman Cleve Tidwell (R), businessman Mark Van Wyk (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-             All Men Wom
M. Bennet 40% 38% 42%
A. Romanoff 34 34 34
Undec 26 28 25

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-             All Men Wom
J. Norton 34% 39% 28%
K. Buck 17 21 12
T. Wiens 7 9 6
R. Greenheck 5 4 7
V. Martinez 2 2 2
S. Barton 1 1 1
C. Tidwell 1 1 1
G. Kennedy 0 1 --
M. Van Wyk -- -- --
Undec 32 23 43

Bennet As Sen. (Dems)
-             All Men Wom
Approve 57% 51% 61%
Disapprove 21 31 14

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-             All     Men     Wom
A. Romanoff 45%/15% 45%/19% 45%/13%

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-             All     Men     Wom
J. Norton 41%/26% 50%/21% 30%/32%
K. Buck 21 /17 24 /17 18 /17
T. Wiens 17 /16 19 /14 14 /20

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R) and developer Terrence Wall (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind
T. Thompson 51% 17% 81% 53%
R. Feingold 39 74 12 35
Undec 9 9 7 9

-            All Dem GOP Ind
R. Feingold 47% 78% 20% 48%
T. Wall 32 9 58 29
Undec 19 13 19 20

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
T. Thompson 57%/32% 33%/54% 77%/13% 60%/31% n/a
R. Feingold 50 /39 81%/ 8% 25 /65 50 /41 54%/30%
T. Wall 10 / 7 5 /14 15 / 2 10 / 7 n/a

Friday, March 12, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/11). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell 33% 36% 30%
C. Fiorina 24 21 27
C. DeVore 7 9 5
Undec 36 34 38

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer 47% 80% 7% 43% 42% 52%
T. Campbell 43 11 85 45 49 37
Undec 10 9 8 12 9 11

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
B. Boxer 49% 83% 7% 46% 43% 55% 53%
C. DeVore 39 8 79 41 45 33 29
Undec 12 9 14 13 12 12 18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
B. Boxer 49% 83% 7% 46% 44% 54% 52%
C. Fiorina 40 9 80 41 46 34 31
Undec 11 8 13 13 10 12 17

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12    1/7
B. Boxer 50%/45% 74%/23% 19%/76% 49%/44% 49%/43% 48%/46%
T. Campbell 46 /37 27 /57 72 /12 46 /35 38 /29 n/a
C. Fiorina 35 /43 14 /60 65 /22 34 /41 22 /29 n/a
C. DeVore 34 /42 12 /61 65 /20 33 /39 21 /27 n/a

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/16 4/19
M. Bennet 46% 81% 11% 41% 41% 50% 39% 40%
K. Buck 40 9 76 37 48 33 35 34
Undec 14 10 13 22 11 17 19 16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bennet 43% 79% 9% 35% 37% 49%
J. Norton 43 11 77 44 51 34
Undec 14 10 14 21 12 17

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bennet 45% 79% 9% 42% 40% 49%
T. Wiens 37 8 73 32 44 31
Undec 18 12 19 25 16 20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff 44% 81% 10% 35% 40% 49%
K. Buck 36 5 72 32 44 28
Undec 20 14 18 33 17 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff 44% 80% 11% 33% 37% 50%
J. Norton 39 6 76 37 46 32
Undec 17 13 13 30 17 18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff 45% 80% 11% 38% 41% 49%
T. Wiens 34 5 69 30 40 28
Undec 21 15 20 32 19 23

Bennet As Sen.
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/16 4/19
Approve 32% 57% 9% 25% 27% 38% 31% 34%
Disapprove 46 20 73 48 55 37 38 41

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/16    4/19
A. Romanoff 28%/26% 46%/14% 15%/38% 20%/30% n/a n/a
J. Norton 25 /35 12 /49 42 /24 23 /29 n/a n/a
K. Buck 14 /18 7 /23 23 /14 9 /18 17%/18% 17%/22%
T. Wiens 11 /17 8 /17 17 /14 9 /20 n/a n/a

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter 57% 57% 53% 46%
C. Melancon 34 33 35 36
Other 3 3 4 5
Undec 6 7 8 13

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon 43 /44 39 /45 39 /46 43 /39

An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 2/18-24 for Melancon; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 3/3). Tested: Melancon and Vitter.

General Election Matchup
-            Now 5/14
D. Vitter 48% 47%
C. Melancon 38 37

Re-Elect Vitter
-                                 Now 5/14
Definitely/probably re-elect him 43% 39%
Prefer someone new 47 45

Vitter As Sen.
Approve      54%
Disapprove 38

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/14
D. Vitter 54%/38% 54%/33%

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/11). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt 47% 49% 49% 44% 46%
R. Carnahan 41 42 43 46 46
Other 4 3 3 4 2
Undec 8 6 5 6 5

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/10    1/19    12/17   9/21
R. Blunt 56%/37% 54%/40% 56%/34% 50%/43% 57%/33%
R. Carnahan 47 /48 49 /45 49 /46 51 /43 52 /42

Ohio
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 3/1-4 for the DSCC; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 3/11). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
L. Fisher   36%
R. Portman 35

Fav/Unfav
L. Fisher   23%/16%
R. Portman 18 /12

Who Do You Think Is Most To Blame For The Economic Problems We Are Now Facing?
Politics in DC      31%
G. Bush 25
Wall St. banks 21
B. Obama 8
Strickland admin. 1

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom 8/12 5/6
A. Specter 51% 56% 47% 48% 56%
J. Sestak 32 28 35 33 11
Undec 17 16 18 19 33

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12 5/6
A. Specter 47% 81% 7% 46% 43% 51% 45% 55%
P. Toomey 41 8 81 41 46 36 40 31
Undec 12 11 12 13 11 13 15 14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12 5/6
P. Toomey 42% 8% 83% 40% 47% 37% 41% 32%
J. Sestak 39 68 6 33 36 42 42 37
Undec 19 24 11 27 17 21 17 31

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12    5/6
A. Specter 48%/42% 72%/20% 20%/70% 47%/38% 52%/40% 54%/36%
P. Toomey 41 /36 13 /59 77 /10 35 /34 37 /34 33 /44
J. Sestak 35 /23 49 /13 18 /35 34 /23 37 /19 29 /15

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup
-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hickenlooper 50% 85% 13% 48% 45% 55%
S. McInnis 39 7 77 34 46 32
Undec 11 8 10 18 9 13

Fav/Unfav
-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind               
J. Hickenlooper 51%/27% 72%/12% 30%/41% 49%/28%
S. McInnis 28 /27 11 /42 49 /10 26 /30

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 12/14
B. Brady 47% 30%
P. Quinn 37 45
Other 6 13
Undec 9 13

Quinn As Gov.
-           Now 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/14
Approve 43% 45% 52% 47% 57% 61%
Disapprove 55 53 47 49 41 37

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21% n/a
P. Quinn 44 /51 52 /44 53 /43 55%/39%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 11/23 10/22               Now 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick 35% 33% 34% D. Patrick 34% 32% 34%
C. Baker 32 28 24 T. Cahill 30 28 23
T. Cahill 19 25 23 C. Mihos 19 26 23
Undec 14 14 19 Undec 16 14 19

Patrick As Gov.
-           Now 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve 39% 34% 43% 39% 42% 34% 48%
Disapprove 61 64 56 60 57 65 51

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25% n/a n/a
C. Baker 46 /26 42 /29 32 /29 40%/30% 37%/27%
D. Patrick 43 /55 42 /56 48 /50 40 /56 48 /51
C. Mihos 38 /42 46 /36 40 /36 50 /30 46 /35

Michigan
A Denno-Noor poll; conducted 3/2-5 for the Rossman Group and Perricone Group; surveyed 205 Dem primary LVs and 217 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.8% and 6.7%, respectively (Agar, Grand Rapids Press, 3/10). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee, '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
A. Dillon         13%
V. Bernero 11
A. Wheeler Smith 6
D. Kildee 6
Other/none 8
Undec 56

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-                 Now 11/17
P. Hoekstra 28% 21%
R. Snyder 18 5
M. Cox 12 15
M. Bouchard 8 13
T. George 2 3
Other/none 1 7
Undec 31 37

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 2/27-28 for Gov. Sean Parnell (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/3). Tested: Parnell, Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels and atty Bill Walker.

Primary Election Matchup
S. Parnell  69%
R. Samuels 9
B. Walker 4
Undec 18

Parnell As Gov.
Approve     79%
Disapprove 8

Fav/Unfav
S. Parnell  71%/ 8%

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup
-                Now 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis 48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper 42 49 42
Other 3 1 2
Undec 6 6 8

Fav/Unfav
-                Now     2/4     1/6     12/10   9/9
J. Hickenlooper 55%/36% 56%/36% 57%/32% n/a n/a
S. McInnis 53 /33 52 /29 60 /26 52%/33% 42%/22%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 492 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and AG Bill McCollum.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
B. McCollum 49% 52% 45%
C. Crist 35 38 33
Undec 16 10 22

Crist As Gov.
-            All Men Wom
Approve 29% 31% 26%
Disapprove 56 58 55

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 3/9).

Cuomo As AG
-               All Dem GOP Ind 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good 54% 65% 40% 53% 67% 62% 64% 66% 69% 67%
Fair/poor 39 28 53 39 28 32 30 28 26 27

Gov. Paterson Has Asked Cuomo To Investigate His Actions Surrounding A Conversation He Had With The Victim Of A Possible Domestic Violence Case Against One Of His Top Aides. Others Think A Special Prosecutor Should Be Appointed Since Cuomo Is Expected To Run For GOV This Year. Do You Think Cuomo Will Be Fair And Impartial In Conducting The Investigation, Or Do You Think It Is Necessary To Appoint A Special Prosecutor To Conduct The Investigation?
-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Special prosecutor 58% 58% 63% 54% 58% 58%
Cuomo will be fair 38 40 31 42 37 40

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs and 924 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 3/8). Tested: Lobbyist/atty Dwight Drake (D), state Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
J. Rex       16%
V. Sheheen 16
R. Ford 12
D. Drake 5
Other 15
Undec 37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
H. McMaster  21%
A. Bauer 17
G. Barrett 14
N. Haley 12
Other 9
Undec 29

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
J. Rex       38%/17%
V. Sheheen 24 /25
R. Ford 23 /25
D. Drake 22 /22

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
H. McMaster  55%/14%
G. Barrett 41 /20
A. Bauer 40 /43
N. Haley 34 /15

Obama As POTUS
-            Dems GOPers
Approve 80% 11%
Disapprove 19 88

Sanford As Gov.
-            Dems GOPers
Approve 22% 59%
Disapprove 76 39

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Harstad Strategic Research (D) poll; conducted 1/6-8, 2/11-15 for Sen. Michael Bennet (D); surveyed 1,213 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/1). Tested: Bennet and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).

General Election Matchup
M. Bennet  41%
J. Norton 40

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 492 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom
M. Rubio 60% 64% 55%
C. Crist 28 28 27
Undec 12 8 17

Crist As Gov.
-           All Men Wom
Approve 29% 31% 26%
Disapprove 56 58 55

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom
M. Rubio 49%/23% 52%/26% 46%/20%

Cong. GOPers Job Approval
-           All Men Wom
Approve 58% 64% 52%
Disapprove 32 30 34

Friday, March 5, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/25; surveyed 612 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/4). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell 33% 35% 31%
C. Fiorina 20 22 18
C. DeVore 11 12 10
Other 6 5 6
Undec 30 26 35

Fav/Unfav
T. Campbell  32%/15%
C. Fiorina 26 /18
C. DeVore 18 /17

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/5). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 44% 45% 43% 42%
M. Bennet 38 41 38 38
Other 6 5 4 8
Undec 11 8 15 12

-            Now 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15                
J. Norton 48% 51% 49% 46% 45%
M. Bennet 39 37 37 37 36
Other 7 5 3 8 7
Undec 6 7 11 8 12

-            Now 2/2 1/13 12/8
T. Wiens 43% 45% 44% 42%
M. Bennet 40 40 38 41
Other 7 5 4 7
Undec 11 9 14 10

-            Now 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton 44% 45% 47% 45% 45%
A. Romanoff 42 38 35 34 34
Other 6 7 5 7 8
Undec 9 10 14 15 15

-            Now 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 41% 45% 40% 41%
A. Romanoff 40 39 39 39
Other 5 6 5 6
Undec 13 10 16 14

-            Now 2/2 1/13 12/8
T. Wiens 41% 42% 44% 41%
A. Romanoff 41 40 39 40
Other 5 6 4 5
Undec 13 12 14 14

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/2     1/13    12/8    9/15
J. Norton 49%/34% 49%/31% 51%/28% 49%/32% 47%/30%
A. Romanoff 42 /38 40 /37 40 /36 44 /35 37 /41
M. Bennet 42 /43 42 /40 42 /40 39 /46 36 /49
K. Buck 40 /23 43 /26 38 /20 36 /26 n/a
T. Wiens 35 /27 35 /30 36 /24 37 /30 n/a

Friday, September 25, 2009

Senate - Colorado (2010)

Senate (2010)
A CO Policy Institute (R) poll; conducted 9/16-17 by the Tarrance Group (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/21). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R).
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
M. Bennet 41%
A. Romanoff 27
Undec 32

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Norton 45%
K. Buck 15
Undec 40

Governor - Colorado (2010)

Governor (2010)
A CO Policy Institute (R) poll; conducted 9/16-17 by the Tarrance Group (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/21). Tested: Ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Josh Penry (R).
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
S. McInnis 40%
J. Penry 13
Undec 47

Re-elect Ritter?
Deserves re-election 33%
Unsure/depends on opponent 12
New person 56

Ritter As Gov.
Approve 48%
Disapprove 46
Fav/Unfav
B. Ritter 47%/43%
 
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