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Showing posts with label NC Senate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NC Senate. Show all posts

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Senate 2010

Kansas
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/28-29 for Rep. Todd Tiahrt (R-04); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/1). Tested: Tiahrt, accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Rep. Jerry Moran (R-01).

Primary Election Matchup
J. Moran       37%
T. Tiahrt 34
T. Little 2
R. Londerholm 1
Undec 26

Do You Think ___ Is A Liberal/Moderate/Conservative?
-              Liberal Moderate Conservative
J. Moran 8% 23 42
T. Tiahrt 5 20 46

Kentucky
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/30). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

General Election Matchup
-          Now 6/1 5/19 4/28 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 49% 49% 59% 47% 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 42 41 34 38 36 38 39 38 42
Other 3 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 6 6 3 10 11 12 11 12 15

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     6/1     5/19    4/28    3/31    3/2
R. Paul 55%/38% 57%/38% 69%/28% 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26%
J. Conway 51 /35 47 /43 44 /45 47 /36 44 /39 40 /33

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 6/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 45%D, 38%R, 18%I.

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Burr 33%/26% 20%/35% 53%/13% 22%/31% 33%/29% 32%/23%

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 482 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 6/09 1/09
L. Fisher 40% 69% 14% 25% 42% 38% 36% 41% 39%
R. Portman 38 10 69 40 38 38 41 32 41
Undec 22 21 17 35 19 25 23 27 20

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    6/09
L. Fisher 28%/27% 47%/13% 9%/41% 20%/29% 22%/24% 32%/31%
R. Portman 22 /25 10 /32 33 /17 26 /23 16 /19 22 /34

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/1). Tested: Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 6/2 5/19 5/6 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13
P. Toomey 45% 45% 42% 42% 47% 42% 43% 43% 44% 37%
J. Sestak 39 38 46 40 36 37 35 35 38 38
Other 6 5 3 10 5 7 7 6 6 6
Undec 11 12 9 9 12 15 15 16 13 19

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     6/2     5/19    5/6     4/12    3/15
P. Toomey 53%/31% 55%/30% 56%/25% 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33%
J. Sestak 51 /40 49 /40 52 /33 50 /37 38 /39 40 /38

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 6/25-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 781 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 520 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/30). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 33%D, 23%R, 39%I. Party ID breakdown (LVs): 32%D, 25%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), tech salesman/USAF vet Charles Allen (D), the Prudential ex-VP of research and development Bob Burr (D), '06 candidate/'04 Libertarian GOV candidate/'08 WA-07 candidate Michael "Goodspaceguy" Nelson (D), '98/'06 candidate/'04 GOV candidate/'02 WA-01 candidate/moving co. owner Mike The Mover (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '04/'06 candidate/'00 WA-06 candidate/businessman William Edward Chovil (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), Norma Gruber (R), Mike Latimer (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R), '04/'06 Dem candidate/'96 Dem GOV candidate/'08 indie GOV candidate/physician Mohammad Said (Cent.), Univ. of WA prof. James Mercer (I), ret. Navy judge advocate Schalk Leonard (I), '00 GOP Sec/State candidate/'04 GOP Aud. Nominee/'08 GOV candidate Will Baker (Ref.). (Note: Of the RV sample, 177 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviewers. Of the LV sample, 120 were interviewed via cell phone by live interviews.)

Primary Election Matchup (LVs)
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 37% 72% 7% 29% 32% 39%
D. Rossi 33 7 65 36 29 34
C. Didier 5 0 8 7 3 5
P. Akers 3 2 4 2 3 2
B. Burr 1 1 0 1 1 1
GoodSpaceGuy 1 1 0 1 0 1
M. Said 1 0 0 1 1 1
W. Baker 0 1 0 0 1 0
S. Leonard 0 0 0 1 0 0
Mike The Mover 0 0 0 1 0 0
C. Allen 0 0 0 0 0 0
W.E. Chovil 0 0 0 0 0 0
N. Gruber 0 0 0 0 0 0
M. Latimer 0 0 0 0 0 0
J. Mercer 0 0 0 0 0 0
Undec 19 15 15 22 20 17

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Murray 38%/34% 70%/ 6% 12%/61% 28%/43% 35%/41% 41%/28%

Monday, June 28, 2010

Senate 2010

North Carolina
A WRAL-TV poll; conducted 6/23-24 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 617 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/25). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 38%R, 22%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) and businessman/motivational speaker Mike Beitler (L).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Burr 50% 18% 87% 46% 55% 44% 57% 16%
E. Marshall 40 74 7 35 34 47 34 73
M. Beitler 6 3 4 12 8 3 6 3
Undec 5 4 2 7 4 6 3 8

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: UT Alcohol & Bev. Control Commis. chair/deli chain owner Sam Granato (D) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

General Election Matchup
M. Lee      58%
S. Granato 28
Other 5
Undec 9

Fav/Unfav
M. Lee      58%/32%
S. Granato 37 /33

Friday, June 25, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 1,139 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom
J. McCain 52% 46% 56%
J.D. Hayworth 29 34 24
Other 14 15 13
Undec 6 5 7

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom
J. McCain 60%/37% 54%/44% 66%/30%
J.D. Hayworth 38 /50 43 /50 33 /51

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 6/3 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 44% 50% 48% 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 43 36 40 32 35 34 37 38
Other 7 6 3 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 6 8 9 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     6/3     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr 53%/37% 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall 48 /36 41 /39 45 /37 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32

Oregon
A Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Inc. poll; conducted 6/17-20; surveyed 399 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Redden, Portland Tribune, 6/21). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D) and Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R).

General Election Matchup
R. Wyden    50%
J. Huffman 32
Other 4
Undec 14

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/23). Tested: Sen. Pat Leahy (D) and lumber store owner Len Britton (R).

General Election Matchup
P. Leahy    64%
L. Britton 29
Other 3
Undec 4

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/18
P. Leahy 69%/30% 66%/32%
L. Britton 26 /32 n/a

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R) and '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R).

General Election Matchups
-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6  
P. Murray 48% 47% 49% 45%
P. Akers 38 32 35 37
Other 4 6 6 5
Undec 10 15 10 13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray 48% 47% 51% 47% 49% 49%
C. Didier 40 37 36 37 30 34
Other 6 6 4 5 6 4
Undec 6 10 8 11 15 13

-          Now 5/26 5/4 4/6 3/9 2/11
P. Murray 47% 48% 48% 48% 46% 46%
D. Rossi 47 47 46 46 49 48
Other 3 2 2 3 3 1
Undec 3 4 3 4 2 5

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/26    5/4     4/6     3/9     2/11
P. Murray 54%/43% 52%/44% 52%/44% 53%/43% 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi 52 /44 52 /43 52 /44 52 /44 51 /45 54 /41
C. Didier 37 /31 33 /31 28 /31 26 /29 27 /26 28 /28
P. Akers 33 /32 27 /33 31 /29 29 /27 n/a n/a

Tuesday, June 8, 2010

Senate 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: Sen. Richard Shelby (R) and atty William Barnes (D).

General Election Matchup
-          Now 5/25 3/29
R. Shelby 58% 58% 59%
W. Barnes 31 31 32
Other 3 3 3
Undec 7 8 6

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/25    3/29
R. Shelby 66%/26% 67%/22% 67%/24%
W. Barnes 37 /27 29 /27 35 /26

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/6; surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/7). Tested: '00 candidate/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom 5/24 2/25
C. Fiorina 54% 54% 55% 44% 20%
T. Campbell 19 19 18 21 33
C. DeVore 16 19 14 14 11
Other 5 4 7 7 6
Undec 6 5 7 14 30

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 6/3-6 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 569 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/7). Tested: Campbell, DeVore, Fiorina, Tim Kalemkarian and businessman Al Ramirez.

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom 5/23 5/9 4/21
C. Fiorina 48% 46% 52% 46% 24% 27%
T. Campbell 22 24 20 23 35 34
C. DeVore 16 19 13 14 15 14
T. Kalemkarian 2 2 2 4 3 3
A. Ramirez 2 2 2 2 n/a n/a
Undec 9 7 12 11 23 23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/4-6; surveyed 601 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/8). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 34%R, 19%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
R. Burr 46% 18% 84% 46% 50% 42% 44% 43% 43% 44%
C. Cunningham 35 56 7 33 33 37 39 35 32 32
Undec 19 25 9 21 17 21 17 22 25 24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15
R. Burr 46% 15% 87% 46% 51% 41% 43% 43% 41% 43%
E. Marshall 39 65 5 33 34 42 42 37 36 33
Undec 16 20 7 21 15 17 15 20 23 23

Burr As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
Approve 35% 14% 66% 32% 40% 30% 37% 32% 35% 35% 36%
Disapprove 37 55 10 40 36 38 40 41 37 35 33

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/10    4/11
E. Marshall 21%/16% 34%/10% 7%/25% 15%/17% 23%/20% 19%/11%
C. Cunningham 12 /13 18 /12 7 /16 9 /13 16 /18 5 / 8

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/8). Tested: Burr, Cunningham and Marshall.

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 47% 50% 53% 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 35 37 31 32 29 34
Other 7 3 4 7 6 5
Undec 10 10 13 11 14 11

-              Now 5/5 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 50% 48% 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 36 40 32 35 34 37 38
Other 6 3 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 8 9 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/5     4/19    3/22    2/23
R. Burr 54%/34% 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28%
E. Marshall 41 /39 45 /37 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32
C. Cunningham 35 /38 43 /35 34 /37 29 /32 34 /34

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher 43% 43% 38% 39% 39% 37% 36% 40%
R. Portman 43 42 43 44 43 44 38 41
Other 4 4 4 5 5 4 8 6
Undec 10 11 14 12 13 14 18 14

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/5     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12
R. Portman 49%/23% 45%/26% 45%/26% 45%/27% 45%/24% 49%/25%
L. Fisher 46 /33 48 /34 39 /38 41 /37 38 /39 41 /39

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Senate 2010

North Carolina (Runoff)
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/8-10; surveyed 445 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 5/12). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup
-                                      Primary LVs
- All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 5/2
E. Marshall 36% 37% 35% 32% 44% 23% 43%
C. Cunningham 36 47 29 43 22 43 32
Undec 28 16 36 24 33 34 25

Fav/Unfav
-                                      Primary LVs-------->
- All Men Wom 5/2 4/26 4/11
E. Marshall 49%/ 9% 52%/10% 48%/ 9% 47%/14% 44%/15% 32%/ 7%
C. Cunningham 35 /14 37 /18 33 /11 36 /16 39 /17 8 / 6

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/8-11; surveyed 407 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/12). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak 45% 47% 47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter 45 43 42 42 42 43 45 48 46 49 48
Other/undec 9 10 11 12 14 13 14 11 12 11 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/10    5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6
J. Sestak 55%/ 9% 56%/10% 55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13%
A. Specter 54 /35 52 /34 52 /35 50 /26 52 /34 54 /34

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/5-10; surveyed 945 Dem primary LVs and 995 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 3.1%, respectively (release, 5/12). Tested: Specter, Sestak, '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-                               RVs--------------------->
- All Men Wom 5/2 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19 5/09
A. Specter 44% 44% 44% 47% 53% 53% 53% 44% 55% 50%
J. Sestak 42 47 38 39 32 29 30 25 23 21
Other 1 1 -- -- -- 2 1 2 1 1
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- 2 1 1 2 2
Undec 14 8 17 14 15 14 15 28 19 27

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-           All Men Wom
P. Toomey 60% 68% 53%
P. Luksik 9 7 10
Other -- -- --
Not vote -- -- --
Undec 31 24 37

A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 5/3-9 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,023 adults; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 861 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3%. Further subsamples of 404 Dem RVs and 321 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 5.5%, respectively. Further subsample of 150 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 8.0% (release, 5/12). Tested: Specter, Sestak, Luksik and Toomey.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-                    LVs LVs RVs-------------------------->
- All LVs Men Wom 3/21 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21
A. Specter 38% 36 29% 41% 32% 33% 30% 30% 37% 33%
J. Sestak 29 38 54 23 12 16 13 18 11 13
Other 2 2 2 1 4 7 7 5 6 6
Undec 31 25 14 34 52 44 50 47 46 48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            Now 3/21
P. Toomey 28% 30%
P. Luksik 1 4
Other 2 2
Undec 69 64

General Election Matchups (RVs)
-            Now 3/21 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 4/09
P. Toomey 35% 33% 29% 30% 31% 29% 26
A. Specter 33 29 33 30 33 37 29
Other 6 6 9 5 6 9 9
Undec 26 32 29 35 30 25 36

-            Now 3/21 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey 29% 27% 25% 28% 28% 26%
J. Sestak 28 19 22 16 20 22
Other 5 5 6 5 4 6
Undec 38 49 47 51 48 46

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/6-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 548 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/10). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R), ex-HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R) and Tim Kalemkarian (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom 4/21
T. Campbell 35% 38% 32% 34%
C. Fiorina 24 26 22 27
C. DeVore 15 14 16 14
T. Kalemkarian 3 4 3 3
Undec 23 19 27 23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 5/8-10; surveyed 631 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/11). Party ID Breakdown: 48%D, 35%R, 16%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
R. Burr 44% 19% 80% 41% 48% 41% 43% 43% 44% 45%
C. Cunningham 39 64 7 32 39 39 35 32 32 36
Undec 17 17 13 27 13 21 22 25 24 19

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
R. Burr 43% 13% 86% 40% 45% 42% 43% 41% 43% 44%
E. Marshall 42 70 6 38 44 40 37 36 33 37
Undec 15 16 8 22 11 18 20 23 23 18

Burr As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
Approve 37% 16% 65% 38% 40% 34% 32% 35% 35% 36% 35%
Disapprove 40 59 14 39 43 37 41 37 35 33 37

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    3/15
E. Marshall 23%/20% 36%/13% 6%/32% 21%/16% 19%/11% 17%/12%
C. Cunningham 16 /18 22 /19 11 /18 11 /16 5 / 8 4 /10

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 633 Dem primary LVs and 449 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.6% (release, 5/10). Tested: Sen. Ron Wyden (D), '08 candidate/'04 GOP candidate/'06 OR-01 candidate/fitness instructor Pavel Goberman (D), farmer/paramedic/journalist Loren Hooker (D), G. Shane Dinkel (R), Lewis & Clark law prof. Jim Huffman (R), businessman Loren Later (R), businesswoman Robin Parker (R), realtor Tom Stutzman (R), Keith Waldron (R) and construction worker Walter Woodland (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
R. Wyden 80% 76% 84%
L. Hooker 9 10 8
P. Goberman 4 5 2
Undec 8 9 6

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
J. Huffman 20% 22% 17%
T. Stutzman 11 15 6
K. Waldron 9 9 9
R. Parker 6 6 5
L. Later 4 6 2
G. Dinkel 4 5 2
W. Woodland 4 5 2
Undec 43 33 57

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/7-10; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
J. Sestak 47% 47% 46% 44% 43% 40% 40% 42% 40% 42%
A. Specter 43 42 42 42 43 45 48 46 49 48
Other/undec 10 11 12 14 13 14 11 12 11 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5
J. Sestak 56%/10% 55%/14% 52%/13% 51%/14% 48%/13% 44%/13%
A. Specter 52 /34 52 /35 50 /26 52 /34 54 /34 56 /30

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/10). Tested: Specter, Sestak and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16               
P. Toomey 50% 50% 49% 47% 49% 46% 45% 48% 39%
A. Specter 38 40 40 38 40 42 40 36 50
Other 7 4 5 5 4 4 6 4 4
Undec 6 6 7 10 8 8 9 12 7

-           Now 4/12 3/15 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
P. Toomey 42% 47% 42% 43% 43% 44% 37% 43% 35%
J. Sestak 40 36 37 35 35 38 38 35 41
Other 10 5 7 7 6 6 6 5 7
Undec 9 12 15 15 16 13 19 18 18

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/12    3/15    2/8     1/18    12/8
P. Toomey 51%/36% 54%/29% 53%/33% 57%/28% 57%/27% 51%/29%
J. Sestak 50 /37 38 /39 40 /38 33 /42 37 /37 36 /38
A. Specter 41 /57 42 /54 42 /54 41 /54 43 /54 44 /50

Friday, May 7, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 3/31
J. McCain 48% 51% 45% 52%
J.D. Hayworth 36 37 35 37
Other 6 7 5 n/a
Undec 10 5 15 11

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J. McCain 48% 7% 81% 46% 54% 42% 58% 3% 10% 52%
R. Glassman 35 73 6 35 32 38 29 67 58 33
Undec 17 20 13 19 14 20 13 30 32 15

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J.D. Hayworth 43% 6% 73% 40% 49% 37% 53% 6% 2% 48%
R. Glassman 42 83 7 48 37 47 37 65 60 37
Undec 15 11 20 12 14 16 10 33 34 15

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
J. McCain 43%/52% 11%/82% 74%/24% 33%/60% 47%/46%
J.D. Hayworth 35 /46 7 /77 63 /17 24 /55 34 /42
R. Glassman 26 /16 54 / 7 7 /25 22 /13 23 /15

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
B. Lincoln     44%
B. Halter 32
D.C. Morrison 7
Undec 17

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Boozman     48%
J. Holt 17
G. Baker 11
K. Hendren 5
C. Reynolds 2
C. Coleman 1
Other 1
Undec 15

General Election Matchups
-              Now 1/20
G. Baker 47% 43% G. Baker 42%
B. Lincoln 39 39 B. Halter 34
Undec 14 18 Undec 24

J. Boozman     52%            J. Boozman     56%
B. Lincoln 35 B. Halter 32
Undec 13 Undec 12

-              Now 1/20
J. Holt 45% 37% J. Holt 42%
B. Lincoln 40 43 B. Halter 36
Undec 15 20 Undec 22

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     1/20
J. Boozman 38%/11% n/a
B. Halter 29 /21 28%/11%
B. Lincoln 28 /53 39 /41

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/6). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/25
C. Crist 38% 48% 18% 55% 37% 39% 44% 19% 17% 35%
M. Rubio 32 4 70 19 37 27 32 3 64 28
K. Meek 19 36 3 13 16 22 13 68 6 20
Undec 11 12 9 13 10 12 11 10 13 17

Crist As Gov.
-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/08 2/08 11/07
Excellent/good 51% 68% 29% 55% 46% 56% 57% 64% 61%
Fair/poor 48 32 70 44 54 42 41 32 34

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     3/25    6/26    5/09    11/06   10/06
C. Crist 41%/31% 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15% 47%/32% 51%/21%
M. Rubio 35 /28 27 /17 18 /11 13 / 5 n/a n/a
K. Meek 17 /11 15 / 8 11 / 5 11 / 2 n/a n/a

Crist Recently Vetoed A Bill That Would Have Made Teacher Pay In FL Based On Classroom Performance As Measured By Professional Evaluations And The Test Scores Of Students
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 55% 81% 21% 65% 52% 58%
Disapprove 38 8 75 30 43 33

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Grassley 49% 13% 85% 53% 56% 42% 56%
R. Conlin 40 76 6 35 34 46 35
Undec 11 11 9 12 10 12 9

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/17
C. Grassley 58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin 45 /35 41 /36

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 611 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul 43% 45% 41% 44%
T. Grayson 28 27 30 23
Other 8 10 7 n/a
Undec 21 19 23 33

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     2/18
R. Paul 50%/24% 57%/23% 44%/25% 43%/12%
T. Grayson 45 /26 51 /27 40 /24 31 /20

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 522 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)
E. Marshall    42%
C. Cunningham 37
Other 4
Undec 17

General Election Matchups
-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 50% 53% 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 37 31 32 29 34
Other 3 4 7 6 5
Undec 10 13 11 14 11

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 48% 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 40 32 35 34 37 38
Other 3 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 9 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/19    3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 45 /37 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 43 /35 34 /37 29 /32 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher 43% 38% 39% 39% 37% 36% 40%
R. Portman 42 43 44 43 44 38 41
Other 4 4 5 5 4 8 6
Undec 11 14 12 13 14 18 14

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12    12/7
L. Fisher 48%/34% 39%/38% 41%/37% 38%/39% 41%/39% 36%/35%
R. Portman 45 /26 45 /26 45 /27 45 /24 49 /25 48 /21

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter 43% 45% 48% 46% 49% 48%
J. Sestak 43 40 40 42 40 42
Other/undec 13 14 11 12 11 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
A. Specter 54%/34% 56%/30% 57%/29% 55%/33% 58%/32% 58%/31%
J. Sestak 48 /13 44 /13 42 /14 45 /11 43 /12 45 /12

Monday, May 3, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/26-27 for Gov. Charlie Crist (R); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (Leary, "The Buzz," St. Petersburg Times, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as "No Party Affiliation." He announced 4/29 that he would leave the GOP and run under the No Party Affiliation designation. Public Opinion Strategies is no longer working for the Crist campaign.)

General Election Matchup
C. Crist  36%
M. Rubio 28
K. Meek 23

Are You Satisfied/Dissatisfied With A Two-Party Political System?
Satisfied     41%
Dissatisfied 54

A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 4/24-25 for the Associated Industries of FL; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Thomas, Orlando Sentinel, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchup
C. Crist  33%
M. Rubio 29
K. Meek 15

Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/28-29 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/3). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 4/7
T. Grayson 40% 39%
R. Paul 40 37
Undec 20 18

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/3). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Grayson and Paul.

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson 43% 52% 45% 44% 45% 40%
J. Conway 38 32 35 40 35 40
Other 8 5 7 3 7 3
Undec 12 11 12 12 12 17

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 47% 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 38 36 38 39 38 42
Other 4 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 10 11 12 11 12 15

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30   
T. Grayson 45% 53% 44% 49% 44% 44%
D. Mongiardo 31 33 37 35 37 37
Other 10 5 8 5 8 4
Undec 13 9 11 11 11 14

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 48% 52% 49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo 32 37 35 37 35 38
Other 8 3 3 3 3 6
Undec 12 8 13 12 13 13

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/31    3/2     2/2     1/6     9/30
R. Paul 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25% 51%/23%
T. Grayson 54 /27 55 /28 56 /21 61 /18 57 /21 53 /20
J. Conway 47 /36 44 /39 40 /33 47 /32 46 /36 49 /27
D. Mongiardo 40 /48 42 /46 43 /43 45 /43 44 /44 41 /43

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/1-2; surveyed 803 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/2). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D) and librarian Ann Worthy (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 4/26 4/11 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall 28% 23% 32% 32% 21% 21% 26% 23% 20% 29%
C. Cunningham 21 25 18 27 12 7 23 17 16 12
K. Lewis 9 8 9 7 13 10 7 9 11 5
M. Williams 4 4 4 2 8 6 4 0 2 2
A. Worthy 3 3 3 2 3 10 3 1 0 n/a
S. Harris 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 n/a
Undec 33 35 32 29 40 43 34 45 47 51

Primary Runoff Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
E. Marshall 43% 39% 46% 40% 51% 38%
C. Cunningham 32 36 29 37 24 11
Undec 25 25 25 23 26 51

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom     4/26    4/11    3/15
E. Marshall 47%/14% 44%/19% 49%/10% 44%/15% 32%/ 7% 27%/10%
C. Cunningham 36 /16 39 /20 34 /13 39 /17 8 / 6 8 / 9
K. Lewis 20 /15 22 /19 19 /12 23 /17 11 / 9 9 /12

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/28-5/2; surveyed 980 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/3). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup
-                                 RVs----------------------->
- All Men Wom 4/26 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
L. Fisher 43% 49% 40% 41% 33% 29% 24% 26% 24% 20% 18%
J. Brunner 23 24 23 24 26 20 22 17 21 16 14
Other 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 5 19
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- 2 2 2 3 1 2
Undec 32 26 35 34 40 48 51 55 51 59 46

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     4/26    3/28
L. Fisher 44%/ 8% 50%/13% 40%/ 5% 41%/ 7% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner 26 / 7 30 / 9 24 / 6 26 / 7 24 / 7

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
A. Specter   48%
J. Sestak 42
Other/undec 11

Fav/Unfav
A. Specter   58%/31%
J. Sestak 45 /12

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/27-28 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 406 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3).

Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett  50%/39%

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28; surveyed 215 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
B. Bennett      39%
M. Lee 20
T. Bridgewater 14
M. Cook 6
C. Eagar 1
Undec 20

Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Senate 2010

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/24-26; surveyed 458 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (release, 4/27). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D) and librarian Ann Worthy (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 4/11 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall 26% 27% 26% 34% 13% 32% 23% 20% 29%
C. Cunningham 23 23 22 25 19 11 17 16 12
K. Lewis 7 8 7 4 13 4 9 11 5
M. Williams 4 5 3 1 8 6 0 2 2
S. Harris 3 4 2 2 3 6 4 4 n/a
A. Worthy 3 2 3 3 3 11 1 0 n/a
Undec 34 31 36 30 41 30 45 47 51

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom     4/11    3/15    2/15
E. Marshall 44%/15% 42%/17% 45%/14% 32%/ 7% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
C. Cunningham 39 /17 40 /16 39 /17 8 / 6 8 / 9 9 / 7
K. Lewis 23 /17 28 /14 20 /18 11 / 9 9 /12 9 / 9

A WRAL-TV poll; conducted 4/23-25 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 511 Dem primary LVs and 520 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.3% for each (release, 4/26). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R), disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R), Cunningham, Harris, Lewis, Marshall, Williams and Worthy.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk
E. Marshall 23% 20% 25% 28% 15%
C. Cunningham 19 24 15 22 14
K. Lewis 10 13 6 8 7
S. Harris 7 5 9 6 9
A. Worthy 4 2 5 2 9
M. Williams 4 2 5 2 6
Undec 34 34 33 32 41

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom
R. Burr 59% 62% 57%
L. Linney 6 9 2
B. Jones 6 6 5
E. Burks 3 3 2
Undec 26 19 34

Utah
A survey of 400 delegates to the state GOP convo; conducted 4/22-25 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research (Gehrke, Salt Lake Tribune, 4/27). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett (R), '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R), ex-Rep. Merrill Cook (R), WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar (R) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

Who Is Your First Choice?
M. Lee          37%
T. Bridgewater 20
B. Bennett 16
C. Eagar 11
M. Cook 1
Undec 15

Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett      28%/61%

Monday, April 26, 2010

Senate 2010

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 4/19-22; surveyed 607 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/23).

Burr As Sen.
-           Now 2/25 10/29
Approve 37% 40% 37%
Disapprove 28 35 22

Do You Think Burr Has Performed Well Enough To Deserve Re-Election, Or Do You Think It's Time To Give A New Person A Chance?
-                     Now 2/25 10/29
Deserves re-election 26% 24% 19%
Time for new person 44 51 42
Undec 30 25 39

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/13-20 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 605 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/26). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett (R), radio host/author/ex-UT State Univ. admin. Scott Bradley (Const.), '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R), David Chiu (R), ex-Rep. Merrill Cook (R), WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar (R), Leonard Fabiano (R), Jeremy Friedbaum (R), UT Alcohol & Bev. Control Commis. chair/deli chain owner Sam Granato (D), ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R) and accountant Christopher Stout (D).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 11/23
B. Bennett 27% 31%
M. Lee 9 3
T. Bridgewater 7 4
S. Granato 5 14
M. Cook 3 n/a
C. Eagar 2 5
S. Bradley 1 n/a
D. Chiu 0 n/a
L. Fabiano 0 n/a
C. Stout 0 n/a
Other 4 5
Undec 38 35

A survey of 525 delegates to the state GOP convo; conducted 4/13-20 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R) (Bernick, Salt Lake Deseret News, 4/26). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett (R), '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater (R), David Chiu (R), ex-Rep. Merrill Cook (R), WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar (R), Leonard Fabiano (R), Jeremy Friedbaum (R) and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee (R).

Who Is Your First Choice?
M. Lee          31%
B. Bennett 22
T. Bridgewater 17
C. Eagar 10
M. Cook 2
L. Fabiano 1
D. Chiu 0
J. Friedbaum 0
Other 2
Undec 14
Refused 2

Re-Elect Bennett?
Yes             22%
No 60
Undec 19

Washington
A KING-TV poll; conducted 4/19-22 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 517 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/23). Party ID breakdown: 36%D, 23%R, 39%I. Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), businessman Paul Akers (R), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), physician Art Coday (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 45% 78% 10% 36% 40% 50%
P. Akers 44 18 80 47 50 38
Undec 11 5 10 17 10 12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 46% 79% 11% 37% 41% 52%
D. Benton 44 15 79 50 50 37
Undec 10 6 10 13 9 11

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 45% 77% 12% 35% 41% 49%
A. Coday 41 14 77 45 47 35
Undec 14 9 11 19 12 16

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 46% 76% 12% 38% 43% 49%
C. Didier 44 17 77 48 49 38
Undec 10 7 11 13 8 13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Rossi 52% 21% 87% 59% 57% 46%
P. Murray 42 73 10 33 37 47
Undec 7 6 3 9 6 7

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Murray 45% 76% 10% 38% 40% 51%
C. Widener 43 15 78 47 50 34
Undec 12 9 12 15 10 15

Thursday, April 22, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 4/10-13; surveyed 304 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.6% (release, 4/22). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Campbell is "Economist/Business Educator"; DeVore is "Assemblyman/Military Reservist"; and Fiorina is "Business Executive".)

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell 31% 34% 27%
C. Fiorina 17 19 16
C. DeVore 15 19 11
Other 1 2 --
Undec 35 23 46

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/22). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie.)

General Election Matchup
-         Now 3/18
M. Rubio 37% 42%
C. Crist 30 22
K. Meek 22 25
Undec 11 11

Crist As Gov.
-             Now 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 56% 57% 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 43 42 54 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     3/18    2/18    1/27    12/14   10/19
C. Crist 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41%
M. Rubio 51 /37 48 /34 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34
K. Meek 38 /31 33 /39 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/21). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 53% 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 31 32 29 34
Other 4 7 6 5
Undec 13 11 14 11

-              Now 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 32 35 34 37 38
Other 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 34 /37 29 /32 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Talk Business poll; conducted 4/13 by Zata3 (D) (IVR); surveyed 1,167 Dems and 1,357 GOPers; margins of error +/- 2.9% and 2.7%, respectively (releases, 4/14-15). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), farm loan originator D.C. Morrison (D), Univ. of AR housing dir. Randy Alexander (R), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Food Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R), businessman Fred Ramey (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
B. Lincoln     38%
B. Halter 31
D.C. Morrison 10
Undec 20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Boozman     46%
G. Baker 14
J. Holt 8
C. Coleman 5
C. Reynolds 3
K. Hendren 3
R. Alexander 3
F. Ramey 1
Undec 17

A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/5-7 for Lincoln; surveyed 650 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 4/14). Tested: Lincoln, Halter and Morrison.

Primary Election Matchups
B. Lincoln     53%
B. Halter 35
D.C. Morrison 4
Undec 8

B. Lincoln     54%
B. Halter 40
Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
B. Lincoln     57%/38%
B. Halter 51 /28

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/15). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie in the three-way general election matchup.)

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
M. Rubio 56% 63% 49% 47% 35% 26% 23%
C. Crist 33 28 39 44 50 55 54
Other 1 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Not vote -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Undec 10 7 12 8 12 18 21

General Election Matchups
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
C. Crist 48% 27% 75% 49% 51% 46% 48% 51%
K. Meek 34 63 9 26 30 36 36 31
Other 2 -- 2 3 2 1 1 1
Not vote 3 1 3 4 3 3 3 2
Undec 14 10 12 17 14 13 12 14

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
M. Rubio 42% 8% 82% 43% 48% 36% 44% 33%
K. Meek 38 76 4 32 33 43 35 36
Other 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 2
Not vote 1 2 -- 1 1 1 2 2
Undec 17 14 13 22 16 19 19 28

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist 32% 27% 30% 38% 30% 34%
M. Rubio 30 5 64 29 36 25
K. Meek 24 55 -- 15 21 27
Other -- -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Undec 13 12 6 16 11 14

Fav/Unfav
-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
C. Crist 48%/35% 50%/30% 49%/42% 48%/33% 52%/36% 58%/30%
M. Rubio 36 /22 13 /34 67 / 7 32 /21 32 /14 24 /11
K. Meek 18 / 8 34 / 4 5 /17 15 / 7 18 / 8 20 / 8

Crist As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve 49% 52% 49% 50% 52% 47% 50% 59% 60% 62% 66%
Disapprove 39 37 42 37 39 39 38 31 30 28 23

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 54% 59% 48% 43%
C. Crist 30 29 31 42
No diff 6 8 4 5
Undec 11 5 17 10

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 56% 60% 51% 45%
C. Crist 32 32 32 40
No diff 2 2 1 2
Undec 11 6 16 13

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Conservative? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 59% 68% 49% 48%
C. Crist 27 22 32 34
No diff 1 1 -- 1
Undec 14 8 19 17

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 742 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 4/14). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 35%R, 17%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 80% 45% 53% 35% 43% 44% 45% 45%
C. Cunningham 35 62 7 18 33 37 32 32 36 36
Undec 22 23 13 37 15 28 25 24 19 20

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 82% 42% 54% 34% 43% 44% 46% 43%
K. Lewis 35 62 6 21 35 35 32 31 34 37
Undec 22 24 13 37 11 31 25 25 20 21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 15% 82% 43% 54% 35% 41% 43% 44% 42%
E. Marshall 37 66 4 23 32 35 36 33 37 37
Undec 20 19 14 34 14 24 23 23 18 21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 83% 41% 52% 35% 41% 42% 45% 42%
Generic Dem 38 69 2 24 34 41 39 35 36 41
Undec 19 17 15 35 14 24 20 23 20 17

Burr As Sen.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
Approve 32% 15% 57% 31% 45% 23% 35% 35% 36% 35%
Disapprove 41 58 18 43 42 41 37 35 33 37

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
E. Marshall 19%/11% 29%/ 9% 7%/13% 16%/14% 17%/12%
K. Lewis 7 /10 9 /12 3 / 7 8 /19 5 / 9
C. Cunningham 5 / 8 7 / 9 4 / 6 4 / 8 4 /10

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8; surveyed 620 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/15). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
B. Bennett      37%
M. Lee 14
T. Bridgewater 14
M. Cook 6
C. Eagar 4
Other 3
Undec 21

Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett      52%/43%
M. Lee 38 /14
T. Bridgewater 36 /16
M. Cook 26 /53
C. Eagar 25 /21

Obama As POTUS
Approve          9%
Disapprove 91

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal 55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon 35 31 36 34
Other 3 3 3 3
Undec 6 7 4 5

-              Now 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal 58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff 32 27 24
Other 4 6 6
Undec 6 10 10

-              Now 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal 52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons 38 32 35 33
Other 4 3 4 4
Undec 6 7 7 7

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     3/2     2/1     12/7    9/10
R. Blumenthal 69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27% n/a n/a
R. Simmons 48 /40 52 /35 60 /26 48%/30% 53%/32%
L. McMahon 45 /45 46 /42 51 /34 45 /35 n/a
P. Schiff 41 /34 37 /34 n/a 35 /31 27 /35

Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,894 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.3%. Subsamples of 659 Dem primary LVs and 446 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 4/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 53%D, 39%R, 9%I. Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-              All Men Wom 3/3 11/2 8/17
D. Mongiardo 35% 36% 33% 45% 39% 39%
J. Conway 32 29 35 27 28 31
D. Price 5 5 5 4 2 3
J. Buckmaster 4 4 4 3 n/a n/a
M. Sweeney 2 3 1 2 1 1
Others n/a n/a n/a n/a 15 13
Undec 21 21 22 19 16 14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 3/3 11/2 8/17
R. Paul 45% 45% 46% 42% 35% 26%
T. Grayson 30 33 26 27 32 37
J. Stephenson 3 3 2 2 n/a n/a
G. Martin 2 1 3 3 n/a n/a
J. Scribner 1 1 1 1 n/a n/a
Others n/a n/a n/a 5 16 20
Undec 19 16 22 19 18 17

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/3
Generic GOPer 44% 18% 80% 37% 48% 40% 43%
Generic Dem 41 67 6 33 39 43 42
Undec 15 14 13 30 13 17 16

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup
-            Now 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter 52% 57% 57% 53% 46%
C. Melancon 36 34 33 35 36
Other 4 3 3 4 5
Undec 8 6 7 8 13

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter 60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon 46 /41 43 /44 39 /45 39 /46 43 /39

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 411 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/13). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki 64% 72% 57%
B. Blakeman 15 12 19
Other 1 1 1
Not vote 1 1 1
Undec 19 15 23

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1
K. Gillibrand 47% 72% 15% 43% 47% 47% 44%
B. Blakeman 25 5 62 23 30 21 27
Other 1 1 -- 2 2 1 1
Not vote 3 3 3 3 5 2 2
Undec 24 19 20 28 17 30 26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
G. Pataki 45% 22% 81% 49% 50% 40%
K. Gillibrand 40 65 9 32 40 40
Other 1 1 -- 2 1 1
Not vote 2 1 3 1 3 1
Undec 13 11 7 16 7 18

Gillibrand As Sen.
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve 47% 64% 30% 40% 49% 45% 42% 40% 32% 33% 37%
Disapprove 25 9 44 31 30 20 28 21 20 19 15

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/1
G. Pataki 52%/33% 42%/43% 75%/14% 52%/32% n/a
K. Gillibrand 37 /23 51 /11 23 /43 32 /24 33%/22%
B. Blakeman 7 / 6 4 /10 16 / 3 5 / 4 11 / 4

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/13).

Do You Feel Schumer Deserves To Be Re-Elected?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1
Yes/deserves 53% 75% 29% 48% 52% 55% 54%
No/does not 32 13 54 39 39 25 33

Schumer As Sen.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve 61% 78% 41% 59% 59% 62% 58% 62% 62% 58% 63%
Disapprove 26 10 44 31 31 21 30 27 24 27 23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/13). Tested: Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D), librarian Ann Worthy (D), Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R) and disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall 23% 21% 24% 25% 21% 5% 20% 29%
C. Cunningham 17 22 14 13 26 32 16 12
K. Lewis 9 7 11 9 10 9 11 5
S. Harris 4 5 3 5 1 5 4 n/a
A. Worthy 1 2 1 1 1 -- 0 n/a
M. Williams 0 1 0 0 -- 5 2 2
Undec 45 42 47 47 40 45 47 51

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 3/15 2/15
R. Burr 67% 70% 64% 58% 55%
B. Jones 7 4 11 5 10
E. Burks 3 4 1 4 3
L. Linney 1 1 -- 1 n/a
Undec 23 21 24 33 31

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-              All     Men     Wom     3/15    2/15
E. Marshall 32%/ 7% 29%/11% 34%/ 5% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
K. Lewis 11 / 9 15 /11 8 / 8 9 /12 9 / 9
C. Cunningham 8 / 6 11 / 7 7 / 6 8 / 9 9 / 7

Burr As Sen. (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom
Approve 63% 69% 55%
Disapprove 17 18 15

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Senate 2010

Missouri
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 400 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/31). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and state Sen. Chuck Purgason (R)

Primary Election Matchup
-             All Men Wom 11/15
R. Blunt 48% 50% 46% 53%
C. Purgason 18 17 19 16
Undec 34 32 35 31

Fav/Unfav
-             All     Men     Wom
R. Blunt 47%/19% 51%/23% 43%/14%
C. Purgason 7 / 9 4 /13 9 / 5
Cong. GOPers 57 /31 53 /38 62 /23

North Carolina
A WRAL-TV poll; conducted 3/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 535 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 3/29).

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind
R. Burr 32%/24% 23%/33% 45%/14% 33%/21%
E. Marshall 14 /17 22 /17 9 /19 6 /17
M. Williams 8 /12 13 /12 6 /11 1 /14
K. Lewis 7 /15 8 /13 6 /17 7 /20
B. Jones 6 / 8 5 / 9 9 / 7 5 / 9
A. Worthy 6 /12 11 /11 2 /12 4 /16
C. Cunningham 5 /11 5 / 7 3 /14 7 /15
S. Harris 5 /12 7 /11 4 /13 3 /14
E. Burks 4 /11 3 /13 5 /10 5 /10
B. Beitler 4 /12 1 /12 6 /12 3 /12
L. Linney 1 / 9 1 / 7 0 / 9 0 /11

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/23-29; surveyed 1,526 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 3/31). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
J. Brunner 38% 77% 2% 31% 38% 38% 35% 34% 39% 35% 40%
R. Portman 37 5 78 38 39 35 40 38 34 34 32
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 1 1 1 -- 1 2 1 1 1 --
Undec 23 17 18 29 21 24 23 27 25 29 27

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
L. Fisher 41% 79% 7% 31% 39% 42% 37% 36% 42% 37% 42%
R. Portman 37 6 76 41 42 33 40 39 31 33 31
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 -- -- -- 1 2 1
Not vote 1 1 1 -- -- 1 2 1 1 2 --
Undec 21 14 17 27 18 23 21 24 26 26 26

Fisher As LG
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve 43% 59% 26% 41% 43% 42% 39% 39% 44% 39% 49%
Disapprove 23 11 37 23 28 18 22 23 21 24 17

Brunner As Sec/State
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve 42% 63% 21% 39% 45% 39% 36% 38% 41% 38% 45%
Disapprove 23 8 40 25 27 20 25 25 23 25 20

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/21    11/9
L. Fisher 27%/13% 41%/ 6% 11%/21% 25%/12% 26%/12% 25%/15%
R. Portman 25 / 8 10 /19 40 / 2 28 / 4 25 / 7 22 / 7
J. Brunner 21 /12 38 / 3 5 /25 20 /12 21 /12 20 /18

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Support 44% 84% 7% 36% 42% 46%
Oppose 46 10 85 52 50 42

Thursday, March 25, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 3/9-16; surveyed 1,102 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 410 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 3/25). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 1/19
C. Fiorina 24% 25% 24% 16%
T. Campbell 23 28 19 27
C. DeVore 8 10 7 8
Other 1 1 2 1
Undec 44 36 48 48

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
T. Campbell 44% 10% 81% 48% 51% 38% 41%
B. Boxer 43 79 8 32 36 50 45
Undec 13 11 11 20 13 12 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
B. Boxer 46% 79% 11% 41% 39% 53% 47%
C. DeVore 40 9 78 35 47 34 39
Undec 14 12 11 24 14 13 14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/19
B. Boxer 44% 79% 8% 35% 36% 51% 48%
C. Fiorina 43 9 82 41 49 37 40
Undec 13 12 10 24 15 12 12

In General, Would You Say Your Are Satisfied/Not Satisfied With Your Choice Of Candidates In The 6/8 Primary?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Satisfied 55% 63% 53% 46% 55% 54%
Not satisfied 28 24 27 38 30 27

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/24). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 32 29 34
Other 7 6 5
Undec 11 14 11

-              Now 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 35 34 37 38
Other 6 4 6 3
Undec 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 38 /39 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 29 /32 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 630 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/23). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 39%R, 19%I. Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 38% 12% 67% 37% 41% 35%
J. Brunner 37 68 10 25 36 39
Undec 24 20 22 38 23 26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Portman 41% 9% 77% 37% 46% 37%
L. Fisher 36 67 8 25 34 38
Undec 23 24 15 38 20 26

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
L. Fisher 22%/24% 33%/15% 13%/30% 15%/28% 23%/29% 20%/19%
R. Portman 16 /19 10 /25 24 /10 12 /23 17 /25 15 /13
J. Brunner 15 /22 24 /16 8 /29 12 /23 16 /28 15 /17

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 45% 48% 48% 42% 46% 48% 46%
K. Meek 34 32 33 36 34 29 28
Other 11 11 10 11 9 10 12
Undec 10 9 9 11 11 13 14

-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17
M. Rubio 48% 51% 49% 49% 46% 43%
K. Meek 34 31 32 35 31 30
Other 6 7 6 4 8 8
Undec 11 11 13 12 15 19

Crist As Gov.
-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 54 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/18    1/27    12/14   10/19   8/17
C. Crist 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41% 64%/35%
M. Rubio 48 /34 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34 41 /31
K. Meek 33 /39 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34 37 /34

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 3/14-17; surveyed 579 adults; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/22).

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/25
R. Burr 34%/17% 30%/23%
E. Marshall 18 / 8 19 / 8
S. Harris 11 / 9 n/a
C. Cunningham 10 / 7 6 / 9
K. Lewis 9 / 7 9 / 7
A. Worthy 9 / 6 n/a
B. Jones 7 / 6 6 / 8
M. Williams 7 / 6 9 / 7
E. Burks 6 / 6 7 / 7
M. Beitler 6 / 4 4 / 6
L. Linney 5 / 6 n/a

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 964 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Further subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07), businessman Joe Vodvarka (D), '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21
A. Specter 32% 33% 30% 30% 37% 33%
J. Sestak 12 16 13 18 11 13
J. Vodvarka 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Other 4 7 7 5 6 6
Undec 52 44 50 47 46 48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
P. Toomey    30%
P. Luksik 4
Other 2
Undec 64

General Election Matchups (RVs)
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey 33% 11% 64% 32% 43% 23% 29% 30% 31% 29%
A. Specter 29 46 10 17 25 32 33 30 33 37
Other 6 6 4 14 7 5 9 5 6 9
Undec 32 38 22 37 25 39 29 35 30 25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey 27% 7% 52% 35% 34% 19% 25% 28% 28% 26%
J. Sestak 19 34 4 5 19 19 22 16 20 22
Other 5 6 3 6 5 5 6 5 4 6
Undec 49 53 42 53 42 56 47 51 48 46

Re-Elect Specter? (RVs)
-                    Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21 3/22 10/97
Deserves reelection 28% 25% 29% 23% 34% 28% 40% 49%
Time for a change 61 63 60 66 54 57 46 40
Undec 11 12 11 11 12 15 14 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/21    1/24    10/25   8/31    6/21
A. Specter 30%/45% 32%/45% 35%/43% 28%/47% 35%/42% 31%/37%
P. Toomey 18 /10 16 / 7 15 / 7 16 /10 18 /10 n/a
J. Sestak 11 / 6 10 / 3 8 / 6 11 / 5 13 / 4 n/a

Specter As Sen.
-                Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/09 8/07
Excellent/good 30% 30% 34% 29% 35% 34% 52% 43% 51%
Only fair/poor 63 62 58 64 57 55 37 49 45

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 3/22 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 406 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/24).

Bennett As Sen.
-           Now 11/23 1/09
Approve 54% 58% 68%
Disapprove 37 31 20

Thursday, March 18, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 3/18). Tested: Sen. John McCain and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup
-              Now 1/20 11/18
J. McCain 48% 53% 45%
J.D. Hayworth 41 31 43
Other 3 7 6
Undec 8 8 7

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     1/20    11/18
J. McCain 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth 47 /43 58 /25 67 /16

California
A Field Poll; conducted 3/9-15; surveyed 748 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6%. Oversample of 353 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 35%R, 20%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 1/17
T. Campbell 28% 34% 21% 30%
C. Fiorina 22 26 18 25
C. DeVore 9 7 12 6
Undec 41 33 49 39

General Election Matchups
-            Now 1/17
T. Campbell 44% 38%
B. Boxer 43 48
Undec 13 14

-            Now 1/17 10/6
B. Boxer 45% 51% 50%
C. DeVore 41 34 33
Undec 14 15 17

-            Now 1/17 10/6 3/1
B. Boxer 45% 50% 49% 55%
C. Fiorina 44 35 35 25
Undec 11 15 16 20

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/17    10/6
B. Boxer 38%/51% 60%/25% 11%/84% 37%/54% 48%/39% 48%/39%
T. Campbell 23 /18 18 /21 31 /13 20 /18 22 /14 20 /21
C. Fiorina 20 /22 15 /29 24 /17 23 /14 16 /18 12 /16
C. DeVore 9 /13 7 /14 11 /11 12 /12 6 / 9 9 / 9

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 3/12-15; surveyed 878 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 3/17). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 35%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr 43% 14% 84% 40% 48% 39% 44% 45% 45% 44%
C. Cunningham 32 59 3 20 31 33 32 36 36 31
Undec 25 27 13 40 21 28 24 19 20 25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr 43% 13% 85% 38% 49% 37% 44% 46% 43% 45%
K. Lewis 32 59 3 18 30 34 31 34 37 32
Undec 25 28 12 44 21 29 25 20 21 23

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr 41% 12% 83% 37% 48% 35% 43% 44% 42% 45%
E. Marshall 36 64 5 21 34 37 33 37 37 34
Undec 23 24 12 42 17 28 23 18 21 21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
R. Burr 41% 10% 84% 39% 48% 35% 42% 45% 42% 44%
Generic Dem 39 70 2 28 36 41 35 36 41 40
Undec 20 20 14 33 16 24 23 20 17 16

Burr As Sen.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/15 1/18 12/13 11/11
Approve 35% 12% 64% 37% 40% 31% 35% 36% 35% 40%
Disapprove 37 56 12 35 40 35 35 33 37 31

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/15
E. Marshall 17%/12% 25%/ 8% 9%/17% 10%/14% 19%/10%
K. Lewis 5 / 9 9 / 9 3 / 9 2 /12 7 /10
C. Cunningham 4 /10 5 /10 3 /10 3 /10 6 / 9

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/16). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 2/11 1/14
B. Boxer 43% 45% 46%
T. Campbell 41 41 42
Other 6 4 3
Undec 10 10 8

-            Now 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23
B. Boxer 46% 47% 46% 46% 46%
C. DeVore 40 42 40 36 37
Other 4 6 4 5 7
Undec 9 5 10 13 10

-            Now 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23 7/22 3/09    
B. Boxer 46% 46% 46% 46% 49% 45% 47%
C. Fiorina 40 42 43 37 39 41 38
Other 4 7 3 5 4 7 10
Undec 10 5 8 12 8 7 5

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/11    1/14    11/17   9/24    9/23
B. Boxer 48%/45% 51%/46% 51%/46% 51%/42% n/a 51%/42%
T. Campbell 44 /29 44 /33 49 /23 40 /20 42%/27% n/a
C. Fiorina 44 /31 37 /40 38 /34 40 /29 n/a 32 /35
C. DeVore 32 /28 32 /36 33 /29 31 /25 n/a 31 /37

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/12-15; surveyed 420 Dem primary LVs and 311 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 5.6%, respectively (release, 3/16). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D), librarian Ann Worthy (D), Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R) and disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 2/15
E. Marshall 20% 22% 18% 23% 14% 8% 29%
C. Cunningham 16 19 13 14 20 14 12
K. Lewis 11 12 10 9 13 17 5
S. Harris 4 4 5 4 4 11 n/a
M. Williams 2 1 3 1 2 14 2
A. Worthy 0 1 0 0 1 -- n/a
Undec 47 41 52 48 46 37 51

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 2/15
R. Burr 58% 62% 54% 55%
B. Jones 5 4 5 10
E. Burks 4 4 4 3
L. Linney 1 2 -- n/a
Undec 33 28 37 31

Fav/Unfav (Dems)
-              All     Men     Wom     2/15
E. Marshall 27%/10% 27%/11% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
K. Lewis 9 /12 12 /16 6 / 9 9 / 9
C. Cunningham 8 / 9 9 /11 7 / 8 9 / 7

A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 2/11-15 for Marshall; surveyed 600 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/15). Tested: Marshall, Cunningham, John Hendrix, Lewis, Williams and Worthy.

Primary Election Matchup
E. Marshall    31%
C. Cunningham 5
K. Lewis 4
M. Williams 3
J. Hendrix 1
A. Worthy --
Undec 56

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/15; surveyed 481 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 3/16). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07).

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
A. Specter 48% 51% 53% 48% 46% 47% 51%
J. Sestak 37 36 32 35 42 34 32
Other 5 4 4 3 2 3 4
Undec 9 9 11 14 10 16 13

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/8     1/18    12/8    10/13   8/11
A. Specter 65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25% 68%/30% 71%/25%
J. Sestak 47 /22 55 /23 54 /26 48 /22 45 /27 54 /23

A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) poll; conducted 3/3-6; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/12). Party reg. breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Specter and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R). (Note: Toomey was IDed as "the Republican candidate," while Specter was IDed as "the Democrat candidate.")

General Election Matchup
-                                   RVs   RVs
- All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/12 5/30
P. Toomey 42% 14% 75% 40% 50% 34% 41% 37%
A. Specter 36 59 9 30 33 38 42 46
None/other 4 7 1 3 5 4 4 4
Undec 18 20 15 25 12 24 12 13

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 39%D, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested and IDed as a GOPer in a two-way matchup with Meek, as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio, and as an indie in a three-way matchup with both Meek and Rubio.)

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist 46% 29% 65% 39% 51% 41% 49% 28% 43% 54%
K. Meek 33 51 17 29 30 35 31 53 22 25
Undec 22 20 19 32 19 24 20 19 35 21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 44% 13% 77% 34% 52% 37% 51% 13% 35% 38%
K. Meek 39 67 11 41 30 45 33 59 48 46
Undec 18 20 12 25 17 18 16 28 17 17

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 43% 21% 72% 29% 50% 38% 48% 16% 45% 39%
C. Crist 34 54 13 40 32 36 34 47 27 30
Undec 22 26 15 31 18 26 18 38 27 30

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 34% 9% 62% 24% 41% 29% 39% 13% 35% 17%
C. Crist 27 32 18 35 25 28 27 29 22 33
K. Meek 25 47 7 22 22 28 22 45 22 29
Undec 14 12 13 20 12 15 12 13 22 21

Crist As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth  
Approve 35% 45% 28% 29% 36% 34% 32% 42% 43% 33%
Disapprove 51 41 58 53 51 50 51 48 57 38

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Rubio 31%/32% 13%/42% 52%/21% 25%/34% 36%/36% 28%/29%
K. Meek 17 /20 29 /13 8 /28 9 /19 13 /28 19 /15

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/8).

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/21
R. Burr 30%/18% 23%/25% 45%/ 9% 20%/13% 33%/20%

Oregon
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 3/5-8 for Sen. Ron Wyden (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Wyden, '06 candidate/state Sen. Jason Atkinson (R), Lewis & Clark College law prof. Jim Huffman (R), Rep. Greg Walden (R-02) and financial planner Marc Delphine (L).

General Election Matchups
R. Wyden     53%
J. Atkinson 22
M. Delphine 5
Undec 20

R. Wyden     53%
J. Huffman 23
M. Delphine 5
Undec 20

R. Wyden     52%
G. Walden 24
M. Delphine 5
Undec 18

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
P. Murray 48% 50% P. Murray 49% 49%
D. Benton 37 38 C. Didier 30 34
Other 3 3 Other 6 4
Undec 12 9 Undec 15 13

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
D. Rossi 49% 48% P. Murray 47% 48%
P. Murray 46 46 C. Widener 32 33
Other 3 1 Other 5 5
Undec 2 5 Undec 16 14

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/11
P. Murray 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi 51 /45 54 /41
C. Didier 27 /26 28 /28
C. Widener 26 /26 29 /26
D. Benton 26 /29 33 /28

Friday, February 26, 2010

Senate 2010

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/09
A. Giannoulias 43% 71% 6% 36% 40% 46% 38%
M. Kirk 36 9 79 35 40 32 30
Other 2 2 2 3 3 1 n/a
Undec 19 18 13 26 17 21 32

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/09
A. Giannoulias 49%/34% 71%/14% 17%/64% 47%/35% 36%/15%
M. Kirk 42 /35 22 /50 75 /13 40 /34 37 /41

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 2/22-25; surveyed 508 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26).

Burr As Sen.
-              Now 10/29
Approve 40% 37%
Disapprove 35 22

Would You Say You Are Satisfied With Burr As Sen.?
-              Now 10/29
Satisfied 40% 41%
Dissatisfied 37 22

Do You Think Burr Has Performed Well Enough To Deserve Re-Election, Or Do You Think It's Time To Give A New Person A Chance?
-                      Now 10/29
Deserves re-election 24% 19%
Time for new person 51 42
Undec 25 39

Fav/Unfav
R. Burr        30%/23%
E. Marshall 19 / 8
M. Williams 9 / 7
K. Lewis 9 / 7
E. Burks 7 / 7
C. Cunningham 6 / 9
E. Jones 6 / 8
M. Beitler 4 / 6

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/26). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 1/27
R. Burr 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 29 34
Other 6 5
Undec 14 11

-              Now 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 34% 37 38
Other 4 6 3
Undec 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     1/27    9/15
R. Burr 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 367 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.1% (release, 2/25). Tested: Cunningham, Marshall and atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis.

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk 1/21
E. Marshall 14% 17% 6% 13% 14% 12% 18% 14%
K. Lewis 5 5 3 7 3 3 7 7
C. Cunningham 4 5 0 5 3 3 7 4
Undec 77 72 91 74 80 82 67 75

Wisconsin
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/22-23 for developer Terrence Wall (R); surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/25). Tested: Wall and Sen. Russ Feingold (D).

General Election Matchup
R. Feingold   46%
T. Wall 39

Re-Elect Feingold?
Re-elect him 37%
New person 54
 
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