Governor 2010

Alabama
A Dresner, Wicker & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 6/24, 26-27 for state Rep. Robert Bentley (R); surveyed 450 GOP primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.6% (Burns, Politico, 6/29). Tested: Bentley and ex-AL Community College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup

R. Bentley  46%
B. Byrne    27

Fav/Unfav

R. Bentley  59%/ 9%
B. Byrne    43 /24

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 721 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/28). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback/'02 KS-03 candidate/state Sen. Jeff Colyer and ex-homebuilder/ex-Boeing employee Joan Heffington/pastor Mark Holick.

Primary Election Matchup

-                  All Men Wom
Brownback/Colyer   76% 79% 72%
Heffington/Holick  17  17  18
Undec               7   5  10

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     55% 56%  52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     28  24   29   30  35   29    26
Other         4   6    6    5   5    6     5
Undec        13  14   13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 4/27 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 55%  51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  25   28   27
Other         6   5    6    6
Undec        13  15   15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/27    3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17
A. Cuomo     63%/31% 65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34%
R. Lazio     49 /32  38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44
C. Paladino  35 /32  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/22-27; surveyed 1,107 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 6/29). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  43% 81%  6% 40% 38% 47% 44%  43%  44%  40%
J. Kasich      38   4  81  37  46  32  38   38   39   40
Other           2   2  --   4   2   3   1    1    1    1
Not vote        2   2   1   2   1   2  --    1    2    1
Undec          15  11  11  16  13  16  17   17   15   18

Strickland As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     44% 66% 24% 44% 45% 44% 47%  49%  48%  45%  48%
Disapprove  42  17  67  46  48  38  38   40   40   43   42

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/26
T. Strickland   42%/37% 68%/10% 17%/62% 41%/41% 45%/32%
J. Kasich       29 /19   6 /32  53 / 5  28 /19  27 /10

Strickland Handling Economy

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13
Approve     33% 54% 17% 32% 33% 34% 36%  35%  35%  33%  33%
Disapprove  54  27  73  61  57  51  53   52   53   52   54

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 9/13 7/1
Approve     31% 50% 16% 31% 33% 30% 36%  37%  32%  36%  32%
Disapprove  52  30  70  57  54  51  48   47   51   47   53

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Yes     31% 46% 16% 29% 35% 28% 37%  36%  34%  32%  37%  34%
No      48  29  64  53  48  48  41   41   45   43   40   40

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       39% 11% 72% 42% 46% 34% 41%  38%  41%  41%
T. Strickland   38  68  11  34  35  40  39   38   35   33
No difference    4   3   3   6   4   4   2    2    2   --
Undec           19  19  14  19  14  23  18   22   22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich       41% 12% 75% 42% 47% 37% 40%  39%  42%  42%
T. Strickland   37  68   9  35  34  39  39   38   36   34
No difference    3   3   3   4   3   4   2    2    1   --
Undec           18  17  13  19  16  20  19   21   21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   37% 69%  9% 33% 34% 40% 41%  40%  35%
J. Kasich       36   9  71  35  40  32  35   35   36
No difference    8   7   6  12   8   9   7    5    6
Undec           19  15  14  20  18  19  18   20   22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/26 3/29 2/21
T. Strickland   39% 73%  8% 36% 35% 42% 42%  42%  40%
J. Kasich       38  10  75  37  45  33  36   34   36
No difference    4   3   2   6   4   4   3    2    3
Undec           19  14  15  20  16  21  19   22   21

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/28). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D). (Note: Portions of this poll also appeared in 6/28's Hotline).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 4/8
G. Herbert  58% 57%
P. Corroon  31  29
Other        2   4
Undec        8  10

Herbert As Gov.

-           Now 4/8
Approve     72% 70%
Disapprove  25  27

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/8
G. Herbert  70%/23% 72%/23%
P. Corroon  50 /32  47 /35

Wyoming
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/25). Tested: WY DoT Aeronautics Division operations officer/sr. pilot/ex-Univ. Of WY football player Pete Gosar (D), state Dem Chair Leslie Petersen (D), ex-U.S. Atty Matt Mead (R), Aud. Rita Meyer (R), rancher/ex-WY Dept. of Ag. dir./ex-state House Maj. Leader Ron Micheli (R) and state House Speaker Colin Simpson (R).

General Election Matchups

M. Mead      49%              M. Mead      51%
L. Petersen  22               P. Gosar     23
Other        13               Other        14
Undec        16               Undec        12

R. Meyer     51%              R. Meyer     52%
L. Petersen  23               P. Gosar     23
Other        11               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

R. Micheli   47%              R. Micheli   46%
L. Petersen  27               P. Gosar     28
Other        11               Other        13
Undec        15               Undec        14

C. Simpson   44%              C. Simpson   51%
L. Petersen  28               P. Gosar     24
Other        14               Other        12
Undec        15               Undec        13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25
M. Mead      55%/23% 39%/19%
C. Simpson   52 /24  56 /20
R. Meyer     44 /33  50 /20
R. Micheli   40 /29  38 /18
L. Petersen  33 /36   n/a
P. Gosar     31 /32   n/a

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 707 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 6/21). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 5/17 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer   61% 45%  26%  20%
B. Mills    16  18   18   19
D. Martin   12  18   12   21
Other        2   6   20   17
Undec        9  13   24   23

Brewer As Gov.

Approve     84%
Disapprove  16

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/17    4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer   86%/13% 80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills    48 /30  44 /27  40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin   43 /28  45 /24  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10

Obama As POTUS

Approve     10%
Disapprove  90

Georgia
A WMAZ-TV/WXIA-TV/WVEE-FM poll; conducted 6/14-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 501 Dem primary LVs and 787 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: AG Thurbert Baker (D), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), mgmt technical consultant Bill Bolton (D), educator Carl Camon (D), state Rep. Randal Mangham (D), state House Min. Leader DuBose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), state Sen. Jeff Chapman (R), ex-Rep. Nathan Deal (R), ex-Sec/State Karen Handel (R), ex-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Eric Johnson (R), radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry (R), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R) and Wal-Mart worker Otis Putnam (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk
R. Barnes     63% 65% 61% 77% 55%
T. Baker      13  14  13   3  20
D. Poythress   5   8   2   4   6
D. Porter      4   3   4   4   4
B. Bolton      1   0   2   1   0
C. Camon       1   2   0   0   2
R. Mangham     1   1   1   0   2
Undec         11   6  16  11  11

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
J. Oxendine   34% 35% 34%
K. Handel     18  19  16
N. Deal       17  18  17
E. Johnson     6   7   5
J. Champman    4   3   5
R. McBerry     3   3   2
O. Putnam      1   1   0
Undec         17  14  22

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/15-20; surveyed 1,592 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 485 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/22). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and developer Carl Paladino (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     46% 50% 42%
C. Paladino  17  18  16
Other         5   6   4
Not vote      4   3   5
Undec        28  23  33

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11 2/1 12/13 10/19
A. Cuomo     58% 86% 26% 50% 58% 58% 55%  57% 62%   61%
R. Lazio     26   4  65  29  27  25  26   25  22    22
Other         2   1   2   2   2   1   2    1   1     2
Not vote      1   1  --   2   2   1   2    2   1     2
Undec        13   9   7  17  11  15  15   15  14    13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/11
A. Cuomo     59% 82% 30% 54% 58% 59% 60%
C. Paladino  23   4  54  23  24  21  24
Other         2  --   4   2   3   1   1
Not vote      2   2   1   2   2   1   2
Undec        15  12  10  19  14  17  14

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/11 3/2 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13
Approve      72% 83% 56% 76% 74%  70% 71% 74%   71%   74%
Disapprove   16   7  29  16  14   16  15  12    11    10

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/11    2/1
A. Cuomo     57%/18% 76%/ 5% 36%/42% 54%/19% 59%/19% 54%/16%
R. Lazio     24 /18  10 /26  51 / 8  26 /16  24 /19  20 /15
C. Paladino  10 /10   4 /14  24 / 7   9 / 9  12 / 8   n/a

Do You Think Cuomo Would Be A Better/Worse/About The Same Gov. Than His Father?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Better       20% 20% 21% 22% 22% 19%
Worse        10   6  15  11  13   7
About same   51  55  54  49  48  55

Do You Think Cuomo Has Done Enough To Explain What He Will Do To Correct NY State's Budget Problems If He Is Elected?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes          21% 26% 20% 15% 20% 22%
No           64  58  68  71  68  60

Which Comes Closer To Your Point Of View: Cuomo Is Politely Deferring To The Current Gov. On The Budget, Or Cuomo Is Ducking His Responsibility As A Candidate To Make His Positions Known?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Ducking      41% 34% 52% 41% 43% 38%
Deferring    38  43  31  40  39  37

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 5/20 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     47% 45%  41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  45  44   41   42
Other          4   4    6    7
Undec          4   6   13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     5/20    4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     48%/28% 53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/19-21; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/22). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 37%D, 20%I. Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
R. Perry    43% 10% 74% 36% 48% 38% 55%  7% 21% 46% 48%
B. White    43  76  15  42  39  46  35  70  55  43  42
Undec       14  14  11  22  13  16  10  23  24  11  10

Perry As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
Approve     36% 16% 58% 27% 40% 32% 43% 20% 23% 26% 33%
Disapprove  49  73  26  55  49  50  42  67  64  54  50

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/7
B. White    37%/25% 61%/ 8% 17%/39% 35%/24% 34%/17%

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/10
M. Whitman  46% 41% 51% 52%
S. Poizner  36  42  30  19
Undec       18  17  19  29

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    46% 78%  7% 42% 41% 51% 45%  42%
M. Whitman  42  10  84  43  48  36  41   36
Undec       12  12   9  15  11  13  14   22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
J. Brown    47% 79%  8% 43% 41% 53% 48%  43%
S. Poizner  37   8  78  38  44  30  33   34
Undec       16  13  14  19  15  17  19   23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
J. Brown    48%/43% 78%/16% 11%/81% 45%/41% 52%/40% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  47 /38  25 /58  75 /13  49 /35  51 /35  41 /30
S. Poizner  39 /43  18 /61  68 /20  39 /42  37 /40  35 /27

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), CFO Alex Sink (D), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and businessman Rick Scott (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  46%
R. Scott     22
P. Dockery    3
Other         1
Not vote      4
Undec        25

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind
B. McCollum  34% 11% 65% 26%
A. Sink      32  61  10  26
Other         4   2   4   5
Not vote      4   2   2  12
Undec        26  24  19  31

Idaho
An Idaho Statesman/KBOI-TV poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. Butch Otter, '02/'06 candidate/anti-abortion activist Walt Bayes, ret. systems analyst/comedian Ron "Pete" Peterson, '08 indie SEN candidate/ex-elk rancher Rex Rammell, Ada Co. Commis. Sharon Ullman and hair salon owner Tamara Wells.

Primary Election Matchup

B. Otter     60%
R. Rammell    6
S. Ullman     4
R. Peterson   3
W. Bayes      1
T. Wells      1
Undec        25

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 4/15 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 36% 23% 29%  45%
C. Paladino  16  17  15  13   n/a
S. Levy      14  11  16  15   16
Undec        41  25  46  43   40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9
A. Cuomo     66% 84% 37% 59% 61%  59%  63% 63%  66%  68%
R. Lazio     24   8  55  27  24   21   25  26   24   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        10   8   8  14  16   17   11  11   10   10

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo     65% 81% 44% 58% 58%  63%
S. Levy      22   8  43  26  23   16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a   4
Undec        13  10  13  16  19   17

-            All Dem GOP Ind 4/15
A. Cuomo     65% 80% 42% 59% 64%
C. Paladino  22   8  46  26  19
Undec        13  12  12  15  16

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15    3/18
A. Cuomo     67%/21% 76%/12% 58%/30% 60%/29% 66%/18% 63%/22%
R. Lazio     31 /29  26 /38  37 /17  35 /25  29 /25  29 /27
S. Levy      21 /12  21 /12  17 /14  26 / 8  21 /16  16 /16
C. Paladino  15 /10  13 /11  19 / 7  15 / 8  11 /13   n/a

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/21). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  36  36   29   26   28
Other        4   8    7    5    7
Undec       10  11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

Governor 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 5/6-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 621 Dem primary LVs and 548 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.2%, respectively (release, 5/10). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), physician David Tully-Smith (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 4/21
J. Brown        66% 64% 68% 72% 73% 50% 70% 63%
R. Aguirre       4   6   3   2   1  10   5   6
C. Pineda        3   5   2   2   3   6   2   2
J. Symmon        3   3   3   2   2   6   2   3
L. Darling       1   2   1   2   0   1   3   6
V. Greene        1   1   2   1   2   3   0   1
P. Schurman      1   1   1   1   3   1   1   1
Undec           19  18  20  18  16  24  16  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 4/21
M. Whitman      39% 37% 41% 49%
S. Poizner      37  41  34  27
B. Chambers      3   3   2   2
R. Newman        2   3   1   2
K. Miller        2   2   2   1
L. Naritelli     1   2   0   2
D. Hughes        1   1   1   1
D. Tully-Smith   1   1   1   1
Undec           14   9  18  15

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 686 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 177 GOPers; margin of error +/- 7.4% (release, 5/11). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), developer Carl Paladino (R), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     38% 32% 43%
S. Levy      22  30  14
C. Paladino  13  11  15
Undec        27  27  28

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo     67% 85% 45% 65% 66% 69%
C. Paladino  22   9  42  22  22  21
Undec        11   6  14  13  12  10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 2/24 1/27
A. Cuomo     65% 87% 39% 62% 65% 66% 61%  64%  64%
R. Lazio     25   8  53  26  27  23  30   28   27
Undec        10   5   8  12   8  11   9    8    9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
A. Cuomo     63% 84% 39% 56% 60% 65% 65%
S. Levy      25   9  50  28  28  22  26
Undec        12   7  11  16  11  13   9

Cuomo As AG

-                All Dem GOP Ind 3/24 3/8 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17
Excellent/good   64% 70% 58% 63% 61%  54% 67% 62%  64%  66%
Fair/poor        33  27  40  34  34   39  28  32   30   28

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 5/7-9 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 633 Dem primary LVs and 449 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.6% (release, 5/10). Tested: '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D), ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D), '08 SEN candidate/ret. construction worker/custodian Roger Obrist (D), '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), CSC Capital Group chair Clark Colvin (R), '02/'06 candidate/Vietnam vet William Ames Curtright (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazer Chris Dudley (R), '06 candidate/OR Dept. of Enviro. Quality employee Bob Forthan (R), '04 indie WH candidate/USAF vet/businessman Darren Karr (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R) and real estate management co. owner Rex Watkins (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 4/11
J. Kitzhaber  59% 56% 61% 54%
B. Bradbury   25  25  25  16
R. Obrist      4   6   3   3
Undec         12  13  11  28

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 4/11
C. Dudley     42% 50% 29% 28%
A. Alley      24  23  26  13
B. Sizemore    8   8   7  11
J. Lim         8   7  10   7
R. Watkins     1   2   0   2
D. Karr        1   0   2   1
B. Forthan     1   1   0   3
W. Curtright   1   1   0   1
C. Colvin      1   0   1   1
Undec         14   8  24  34

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/7-10; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/11). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   33% 35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Hoeffel   10   8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
J. Wagner     9  10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  34  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/9     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5
D. Onorato   40%/11% 42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10%
T. Williams  28 /13  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11
J. Hoeffel   22 / 7  21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8
J. Wagner    17 / 9  19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchups

-           All Men Wom
J. Arpaio   33% 37% 29%
J. Brewer   25  29  20
D. Martin   15  11  19
B. Mills    11  11  12
J. Munger    1   1   2
Undec       15  11  19

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   38% 43% 32%
B. Mills    19  20  19
D. Martin   16  15  17
J. Munger    3   3   4
Undec       24  20  28

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Men Wom
Approve     52% 56% 48%
Disapprove  30  28  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
J. Arpaio   70%/22% 77%/20% 63%/24%
B. Mills    27 /11  29 /11  26 /12
D. Martin   26 /11  27 /13  25 / 9
J. Munger    5 / 9   4 /11   6 / 7

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/5 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  38  37  45
Other        5   7   6  13
Undec       11  10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     40% 43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  58  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    47%/32% 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    43 /50  37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/29). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All    Dem     GOP     Ind     9/2
J. Gibbons  21%/59  7%/84% 39%/31% 14%/61% 17%/61%

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
R. Reid       47% 43%  44% 44%
J. Gibbons    37  45   36  35
Other         12   8   15  13
Undec          3   4    4   8

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 45%  42% 36%
R. Reid       39  38   37  40
Other          9   9   13  14
Undec          8   8    8  10

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 55%  53% 45%
R. Reid       35  34   35  33
Other          6   6    7  11
Undec          5   4    5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       35% 42%  37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    63  57   61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  41 /28  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    32 /65  35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     56% 52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     24  29   30  35   29    26
Other         6   6    5   5    6     5
Undec        14  13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 3/29
A. Cuomo     50% 50%
S. Levy      27  26
Other         6   7
Undec        17  17

-            Now 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  28   27
Other         5   6    6
Undec        15  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22
A. Cuomo     65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25%
R. Lazio     38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49
S. Levy      35 /32  33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a

Utah
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 1/20
G. Herbert  61% 55%
P. Corroon  30  30
Undec        9  15

Fav/Unfav

G. Herbert  51%/16%
P. Corroon  30 /14

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16).

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     48% 41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  51  55   60   57    57   48   45

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchup

-          Now 3/16
J. Brewer  26% 20%
B. Mills   18  19
J. Munger  14  10
D. Martin  12  21
Other       6   7
Undec      24  23

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     3/16    11/18
J. Brewer  49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
B. Mills   40 /19  43 /12   n/a
D. Martin  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10
J. Munger  18 /23  37 /26  28 /22

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 1/24 10/18
B. McCollum  56% 58% 53% 44%  43%
P. Dockery    7   7   6   6    7
Other         2   3   2   1    1
Not vote      2   2   1   1    2
Undec        34  29  38  47   47

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24
A. Sink      37% 69%  9% 29% 36% 37% 35%
P. Dockery   28   6  58  26  31  25  29
Other         1  --   1   2   2   1   1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   3
Undec        32  24  29  40  28  36  32

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
B. McCollum  40%  7% 83% 37% 43% 36% 41%  36%   38%  34%
A. Sink      36  73   5  28  35  38  31   32    34   38
Other         1  --  --   4   1   1  --    2     1    1
Not vote      2   1   2   2   2   2   2    2     1    2
Undec        21  18  10  29  19  23  25   27    25   25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
B. McCollum  38%/18% 24%/32% 61%/ 6% 36%/16% 35%/15% 34%/14%
A. Sink      22 /15  34 / 5  11 /25  21 /17  24 / 8  23 / 8
P. Dockery    9 / 5   9 / 4  10 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 6   5 / 3

McCollum As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      51% 36% 71% 49% 52% 50% 56%  53%   53%  51% 48%
Disapprove   25  41   9  23  26  24  20   19    16   16  18

Sink As CFO

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve      39% 52% 29% 36% 41% 37% 39%  38%   37%  39% 33%
Disapprove   26  18  34  25  26  25  22   23    21   17  22

McCollum And AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Recently Passed Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A Good/Bad Idea?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea   40%  9% 77% 39% 43% 36%
Bad idea    54  88  17  53  52  56

Does McCollum's Decision To File A Lawsuit To Stop The Health Care Overhaul Plan From Taking Effect Make You More/Less Likely To Vote For Him For GOV In Nov., Or Doesn't It Make A Difference?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
More likely     28%  5% 57% 27% 30% 27%
Less likely     38  65   5  41  36  40
No difference   31  29  34  30  32  31

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 3/18
R. Lazio     29% 37% 22% 45%
S. Levy      15  17  14  16
C. Paladino  13  11  14  n/a
Undec        43  36  50  40

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
A. Cuomo     61% 81% 28% 54% 59%  63% 63%  66%  68%  67%
R. Lazio     24   9  54  23  21   25  26   24   22   22
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  3   n/a n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec        16  10  17  23  17   11  11   10   10   11

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/18
A. Cuomo     58% 75% 31% 52% 63%
S. Levy      23  12  46  23  16
Others       n/a n/a n/a n/a  4
Undec        19  13  22  26  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind
A. Cuomo     64% 81% 37% 58%
C. Paladino  19   9  41  21
Undec        16  10  22  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18    3/7
A. Cuomo     66%/18% 72%/13% 57%/26% 62%/22% 63%/22% 63%/25%
R. Lazio     29 /25  26 /29  40 /14  21 /28  29 /27  30 /29
S. Levy      21 /16  24 /17  22 /15  18 /15  16 /16   n/a
C. Paladino  11 /13  13 /13  13 /12   6 /16   n/a     n/a

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
For GOV        53% 62% 41% 49% 55%  58% 51%  53%  50%  52%
Reelect as AG  31  22  42  34  27   29  33   30   31   28

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 3/18 3/7 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    49% 50% 52% 46% 44%  38% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   36  37  31  38  44   52  43   49   51   52

When Thinking About Cuomo, Would You Consider Him Too Aggressive/Not Aggressive Enough, Or Would You Say He Has Just About The Right Level Of Aggressiveness?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Too aggressive                  8%  8% 11%  6%
Not aggressive enough          16  13  20  21
Right level of aggressiveness  64  69  59  59

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    48% 49% 48% 50%
B. White    44  43  39  40
Other        2   3   5   4
Undec        6   6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     59% 54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  40  44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/3     2/1     1/17
R. Perry    59%/37% 54%/46% 54%/44% 55%/42%
B. White    54 /36  54 /34  46 /38  49 /35

Governor 2010

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 411 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/13). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and developer Carl Paladino (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Lazio     34% 40% 29%
S. Levy      11  14   9
C. Paladino  11  13   9
Other         2   1   2
Not vote      2   2   2
Undec        40  30  49

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19
A. Cuomo     55% 82% 21% 50% 50% 60% 57% 62%   61%
R. Lazio     26   4  65  26  34  18  25  22    22
Other         2   1  --   4   2   1   1   1     2
Not vote      2  --   2   3   2   1   2   1     2
Undec        15  13  12  18  11  19  15  14    13

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo     57% 82% 27% 50% 53% 60%
S. Levy      24   5  57  27  31  18
Other         2  --   1   4   3   1
Not vote      2  --   3   3   3   1
Undec        15  12  11  17  10  19

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo     60% 88% 23% 55% 56% 64%
C. Paladino  24   4  58  24  31  17
Other         1   1  --   2   1   1
Not vote      2  --   3   2   2   1
Undec        14   6  16  16  10  17

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 3/2 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve      74% 84% 64% 71% 70% 71% 74%   71%   74%  73%
Disapprove   14   6  24  17  16  15  12    11    10   12

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/1     12/13
A. Cuomo     59%/19% 75%/ 4% 39%/38% 55%/25% 54%/16% 57%/14%
R. Lazio     24 /19  14 /26  47 / 9  19 /19  20 /15  19 /13
S. Levy      13 /11   9 /14  17 / 9  16 /10   n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  12 / 8   8 /10  22 / 3  10 / 8   n/a     n/a

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/27-29; surveyed 407 Dem primary voters and 457 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 3/30). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), inventor Sam Franklin Thomas (D), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), Treas. Kay Ivey (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R), ex-AL Econ. Dev. dir./ex-Birmingham City Councilor Bill Johnson (R), '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R), financial adviser James Potts (R) and businessman Charles Taylor (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                   All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
A. Davis            38% 37% 39% 29% 48% 20%
R. Sparks           28  35  22  33  23  33
S. Franklin Thomas   9   7  10   9   9  13
Undec               25  20  29  29  21  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
B. Byrne    27% 31% 24%
R. Moore    23  24  22
R. Bentley  10  11   9
K. Ivey     10   8  12
T. James     9  10   9
B. Johnson   1   1   1
J. Potts     0  --   0
C. Taylor   --  --  --
Undec       20  16  24

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-           All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Davis    28%/34% 36%/35% 23%/33% 31%/26% 28%/38%  7%/67%
R. Sparks   27 /17  40 /15  16 /18  30 /17  25 /15  13 /33

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           All     Men     Wom
R. Moore    48%/28% 50%/30% 46%/26%
B. Byrne    31 / 9  31 /10  31 / 8
T. James    20 /21  27 /22  14 /20
K. Ivey     20 /26  19 /29  21 /24

Obama As POTUS (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
Approve     84% 85% 83% 68% 98% 87%
Disapprove  13  14  12  26   1   7

Michigan
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 662 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 3/30). Tested: Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and venture capitalist Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Hoekstra  27%
R. Snyder    18
M. Cox       13
M. Bouchard   6
Other         5
Undec        32

Fav/Unfav

P. Hoekstra  54%/13%
M. Cox       45 /23
R. Synder    40 /14
M. Bouchard  37 /19

Obama As POTUS

Approve      10%
Disapprove   88

Granholm As Gov.

Approve      10%
Disapprove   89

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     52% 55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     29  30  35   29    26
Other         6   5   5    6     5
Undec        13  10   7    9     5

A. Cuomo     50%
S. Levy      26
Other         7
Undec        17

-            Now 3/1
A. Cuomo     51% 56%
C. Paladino  28  27
Other         6   6
Undec        15  11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14
A. Cuomo     60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32%
R. Lazio     46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49   n/a
S. Levy      33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/23-29; surveyed 1,526 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 3/31). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
T. Strickland  43% 80%  9% 34% 44% 42% 44%  40%  46%  43% 51%
J. Kasich      38   9  75  38  41  35  39   40   36   38  32
Other           1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1    2    2   1
Not vote        1  --  --   1   1   1   2    1    1    1   1
Undec          17  10  15  26  14  21  15   18   15   16  16

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        49% 71% 26% 46% 46% 50% 48%  45%  48%  46% 57%
Disapprove     40  19  64  42  45  36  40   43   42   42  29

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/21    11/9
T. Strickland  46%/35% 72%/12% 24%/57% 41%/39% 45%/36% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      24 /10  10 /17  43 / 4  25 / 9  26 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4
Approve        35% 58% 16% 30% 36% 34% 35%  33%  33%  33% 43%
Disapprove     52  30  72  56  53  50  53   52   54   53  43

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
Approve        37% 55% 19% 35% 41% 34% 32%  36%  32% 43% 44%
Disapprove     47  30  66  49  46  47  51   47   53  40  36

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09 2/09
Yes  36% 51% 22% 32% 37% 34% 34%  32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No   41  29  55  41  42  40  45   43   40   40  32  30   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
T. Strickland  38% 67% 12% 31% 41% 36% 35%  33%
J. Kasich      38  14  67  39  42  34  41   41
No difference   2   2   1   3   2   2   2   --
Undec          22  16  20  27  15  28  22   27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 11/9
J. Kasich      39% 14% 69% 42% 44% 35% 42%  42%
T. Strickland  38  68  11  31  38  37  36   34
No difference   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   --
Undec          21  16  18  25  16  26  21   25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  40% 70% 16% 33% 41% 40% 35%
J. Kasich      35  12  62  35  39  31  36
No difference   5   3   3   8   5   5   6
Undec          20  15  18  24  16  24  22

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21
T. Strickland  42% 72% 14% 37% 45% 40% 40%
J. Kasich      34   9  64  35  38  30  36
No difference   2   1   2   3   1   3   3
Undec          22  18  20  24  15  27  21

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/25). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/2    9/10
M. Beebe    67%/23% 87%/ 7% 41%/50% 71%/13% 64%/24% 66%/23%

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 217 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 3/26). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
R. Lazio    53% 58% 47%
S. Levy     21  22  19
Undec       26  20  35

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27
A. Cuomo    61% 84% 27% 61% 56% 66% 64%  64%
R. Lazio    30   9  64  27  37  23  28   27
Undec        9   7   9  12   7  11   8    9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Cuomo    65% 84% 36% 63% 58% 72%
S. Levy     26  10  55  24  34  19
Undec        9   6  10  13   8   9

Cuomo As AG

-               All Dem GOP Ind 3/8 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10
Excellent/good  61% 73% 49% 54% 54% 67% 62%  64%  66%   69%
Fair/poor       34  22  44  42  39  28  32   30   28    26

Thinking About How To Turn State Gov't Around In Albany, If Cuomo Is Elected Gov., Do You Think He Is More Likely To Be Part Of The Solution Or Part Of The Problem?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Solution    66% 74% 50% 71% 65% 68%
Problem     22  11  38  21  26  17

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 2/27-28 for Gov. Sean Parnell (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/3). Tested: Parnell, Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels and atty Bill Walker.

Primary Election Matchup

S. Parnell  69%
R. Samuels   9
B. Walker    4
Undec       18

Parnell As Gov.

Approve     79%
Disapprove   8

Fav/Unfav

S. Parnell  71%/ 8%

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                Now 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis       48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper  42  49  42
Other             3   1   2
Undec             6   6   8

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/4     1/6     12/10   9/9
J. Hickenlooper  55%/36% 56%/36% 57%/32%  n/a     n/a
S. McInnis       53 /33  52 /29  60 /26  52%/33% 42%/22%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 492 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and AG Bill McCollum.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
B. McCollum  49% 52% 45%
C. Crist     35  38  33
Undec        16  10  22

Crist As Gov.

-            All Men Wom
Approve      29% 31% 26%
Disapprove   56  58  55

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 3/9).

Cuomo As AG

-               All Dem GOP Ind 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good  54% 65% 40% 53% 67% 62%  64%  66%   69%  67%
Fair/poor       39  28  53  39  28  32   30   28    26   27

Gov. Paterson Has Asked Cuomo To Investigate His Actions Surrounding A Conversation He Had With The Victim Of A Possible Domestic Violence Case Against One Of His Top Aides. Others Think A Special Prosecutor Should Be Appointed Since Cuomo Is Expected To Run For GOV This Year. Do You Think Cuomo Will Be Fair And Impartial In Conducting The Investigation, Or Do You Think It Is Necessary To Appoint A Special Prosecutor To Conduct The Investigation?

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Special prosecutor  58% 58% 63% 54% 58% 58%
Cuomo will be fair  38  40  31  42  37  40

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs and 924 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 3/8). Tested: Lobbyist/atty Dwight Drake (D), state Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Rex       16%
V. Sheheen   16
R. Ford      12
D. Drake      5
Other        15
Undec        37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

H. McMaster  21%
A. Bauer     17
G. Barrett   14
N. Haley     12
Other         9
Undec        29

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

J. Rex       38%/17%
V. Sheheen   24 /25
R. Ford      23 /25
D. Drake     22 /22

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

H. McMaster  55%/14%
G. Barrett   41 /20
A. Bauer     40 /43
N. Haley     34 /15

Obama As POTUS

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      80%  11%
Disapprove   19   88

Sanford As Gov.

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      22%  59%
Disapprove   76   39

Governor 2010

Maryland
A Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D) poll; conducted 2/10-13 for Gov. Martin O'Malley (D); surveyed 604 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Wagner, "Maryland Politics," Washington Post, 3/5). Tested: O'Malley and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
M. O'Malley  51% 47% 53%
B. Ehrlich   41  45  38

Nebraska
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/5). Tested: Gov. Dave Heineman (R) and agribusiness investment exec. Mark Lakers (D).

General Election Matchup

D. Heineman  61%
M. Lakers    23
Other         2
Undec        14

Heineman As Gov.

Approve      69%
Disapprove   29

Fav/Unfav

D. Heineman  71%/27%
M. Lakers    30 /24

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/7). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 2/3
R. Reid       44% 44%
J. Gibbons    36  35
Other         15  13
Undec          4   8

-             Now 2/3
M. Montandon  42% 36%
R. Reid       37  40
Other         13  14
Undec          8  10

-             Now 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 45%
R. Reid       35  33
Other          7  11
Undec          5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     2/3
B. Sandoval   55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 3/7; surveyed 712 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/8). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
A. Cuomo  63% 83% 37% 55% 63%  66%  68%  67%   66%   64%
R. Lazio  25   9  56  26  26   24   22   22    21    18
Undec     11   8   6  20  11   10   10   11    14    18

Fav/Unfav

-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/19    1/14
A. Cuomo  63%/25% 68%/19% 57%/33% 62%/29% 66%/21% 67%/21%
R. Lazio  30 /29  20 /39  43 /21  36 /23  31 /26  27 /30

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18
For GOV        58% 68% 48% 49% 51%  53%  50%  52%   49%
Reelect as AG  29  24  37  33  33   30   31   28    36

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/19 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now    38% 40% 38% 36% 41%  37%  35%  33%
Time to wait   52  53  53  53  43   49   51   52

Paterson Asked Cuomo To Conduct An Investigation To Determine If The Gov. Or Any Of His Staff Acted Illegally Or Unethically In Dealing With A Domestic Violence Charge Leveled Against A Top Aide To The Gov. By That Aide's Then-Girlfriend. Do You Think Cuomo's Investigation Will Be Conducted Fairly And Impartially, Or Do You Think It Will Be Unduly Influenced By Political Concerns?

-                              All Dem GOP Ind
Fair/impartial                 57% 59% 60% 51%
Unduly influenced by politics  38  37  37  44

Do You Think This Investigation Of Paterson And His Staff Is Best Conducted By Cuomo, Or Do You Think It Would Be Better If It Was Conducted By An Independent, Outside Prosecutor?

-                      All Dem GOP Ind
Outside prosecutor     68% 68% 67% 70%
A. Cuomo               27  28  28  24

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  38  41  40   39   45
Other           6   5   4    3    3
Undec           7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2).

Beebe As Gov.

-           Now 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
Approve     75% 73% 68% 67%  69%
Disapprove  22  24  29  28   30

Georgia
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/26-28; surveyed 596 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/2). Party ID breakdown: 40%R, 39%D, 21%I. Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes    43% 81% 12% 32% 39% 47% 30% 83% 48%
N. Deal      38   7  67  39  44  31  49   5  32
Undec        19  13  20  29  16  22  21  13  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes    41% 77% 10% 34% 40% 42% 27% 81% 48%
K. Handel    36   7  64  39  39  34  47   5  32
Undec        23  16  26  28  21  24  26  14  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
R. Barnes    40% 77% 10% 28% 38% 43% 28% 75% 46%
J. Oxendine  39   8  69  42  43  35  51   6  27
Undec        21  15  21  30  19  22  21  19  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Deal      40%  9% 73% 35% 45% 35% 52%  6% 34%
T. Baker     29  62   2  20  27  31  17  66  39
Undec        30  28  25  45  27  33  32  28  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
K. Handel    40% 11% 71% 35% 42% 38% 50% 10% 36%
T. Baker     33  67   4  24  31  35  20  69  43
Undec        27  22  25  41  27  27  29  21  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
J. Oxendine  42% 11% 75% 38% 47% 37% 53% 11% 29%
T. Baker     33  69   7  18  32  34  21  68  46
Undec        25  20  19  45  21  28  26  21  25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
R. Barnes    36%/33% 58%/18% 17%/48% 33%/33% 34%/42% 38%/24%
J. Oxendine  33 /29  27 /35  41 /23  32 /30  35 /34  32 /25
T. Baker     20 /21  31 /18  12 /26  14 /17  19 /28  20 /14
K. Handel    18 /20  16 /25  20 /17  18 /16  20 /23  16 /18
N. Deal      12 /17   9 /19  17 /15  10 /17  14 /23  11 /11

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/1-2; surveyed 1,237 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 3/3).

Cuomo As AG

-            All Dem GOP Ind 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21 5/11
Approve      70% 74% 62% 72% 71% 74%   71%   74%  73%  68%
Disapprove   16  12  25  16  15  12    11    10   12   12

Do You Think Cuomo Should Investigate Allegations That The Paterson Admin. Improperly Interfered In A Case Of Possible Domestic Abuse, Or Do You Think A Special Prosecutor Independent Of Cuomo Should Be Named?

-                    All Dem GOP Ind
Special prosecutor   61% 56% 64% 66%
A. Cuomo             25  28  27  21
Undec                13  16   9  13

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

-            Now 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     30  35   29    26
Other         5   5    6     5
Undec        10   7    9     5

A. Cuomo     56%
C. Paladino  27
Other         6
Undec        11

A. Cuomo     50%
R. Lazio     19
C. Paladino  15
Undec        16

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     1/21    11/17   9/22    7/14    5/14
A. Cuomo     64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25% 64%/32% 65%/29%
R. Lazio     40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49   n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/22-28; surveyed 1,452 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsamples of 649 Dems and 605 GOPers; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 3/3). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   16% 16% 16%
J. Wagner    11  13   9
J. Hoeffel   10  13   8
T. Williams   2   1   2
Other         1   1   1
Not vote      2   1   3
Undec        59  55  61

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Corbett   43% 47% 39%
S. Rohrer     5   6   4
Other        --  --  --
Not vote      2   3   1
Undec        49  44  55

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14
T. Corbett   41% 15% 75% 39% 49% 34% 46%
J. Hoeffel   30  61   3  20  27  32  30
Other         1  --   1   1   1  --   1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Undec        27  23  21  37  21  33  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   42% 15% 77% 40% 50% 34% 45%   47%
D. Onorato   32  64   3  23  28  36  30    28
Other         1  --   1   1   1  --   1     1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   1   1   1     1
Undec        24  19  19  33  20  28  22    24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   42% 14% 76% 40% 48% 36% 43%   44%
J. Wagner    30  63   4  19  30  30  33    29
Other         1  --   1   1   1   1   1     1
Not vote      1   1  --   2  --   2   1     1
Undec        26  22  19  37  20  32  23    25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/14   9/28
T. Corbett   43%/ 7% 32%/11% 62%/ 3% 39%/ 9% 43%/ 6% 43%/ 7%
J. Wagner    20 / 7  29 / 4  14 / 8  18 / 7  22 / 5  22 / 6
D. Onorato   20 / 8  29 / 5  10 /11  17 / 9  18 / 9  17 /11
J. Hoeffel   15 / 7  20 / 5   9 / 8  15 / 6  13 / 7  13 / 7
S. Rohrer     5 / 3   3 / 2   7 / 4   4 / 3   n/a     n/a
T. Williams   3 / 2   5 / 1   1 / 2   2 / 2   n/a     n/a

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will During The Campaign? (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   19% 19% 20%
J. Wagner    15  21  11
J. Hoeffel   14  16  13
T. Williams   4   3   4
No diff.      5   4   5
Undec        43  37  47

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   18% 17% 18%
J. Wagner    14  20  10
J. Hoeffel   13  16  11
T. Williams   4   4   4
No diff.      3   3   4
Undec        48  40  54

Tennessee
A MTSU poll; conducted 2/15-27; surveyed 634 adults; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/3).

Fav/Unfav

B. Haslem     12%/ 5%
Z. Wamp       10 /10
M. McWherter   6 / 6
R. Ramsey      5 / 6
B. Gibbons     4 / 3
K. McMillan    3 / 4
J. Kyle        2 / 5

Governor 2010

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 2/22, 2/24; surveyed 646 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/2). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/27
A. Cuomo  64% 88% 35% 55% 59% 70% 64%
R. Lazio  28   6  57  34  35  21  27
Undec      8   6   9  11   7   9   9

Cuomo As AG

-                 All Dem GOP Ind 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good    67% 75% 57% 64% 62%  64%  66%   69%  67%
Fair/poor         28  21  37  30  32   30   28    26   27

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 664 Dem RVs and 946 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 3.7% and 3.1%, respectively (release, 3/1). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D), Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), Sec/State Karen Handel (R) and state Sen. Eric Johnson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             Now 4/13
R. Barnes     36% 35%
T. Baker       7  11
D. Porter      3   3
D. Poythress   2   2
Other          4  n/a
Undec         48  49

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   27% 25% 21%
K. Handel     13  10   9
N. Deal        9   9  11
E. Johnson     7   7   3
Others         8   4   6
Undec         36  45  50

Kansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/1). Tested: Sen. Sam Brownback (R) and state Sen. Tom Holland (D).

General Election Matchup

S. Brownback  55%
T. Holland    33
Other          4
Undec          8

Fav/Unfav

S. Brownback  58%/34%
T. Holland    34 /23

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/25; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/2). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

L. Chafee      37%
F. Caprio      27
J. Robitaille  19
Undec          17

L. Chafee      38%
P. Lynch       24
J. Robitaille  22
Undec          16

Fav/Unfav

L. Chafee      55%/37%
F. Caprio      52 /28
P. Lynch       37 /48
J. Robitaille  31 /31

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Hays Research Group (D) poll; conducted 1/25-26; surveyed 400 regular voters; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release).

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/21   7/30
S. Parnell  73%/15% 72%/13% 67%/ 8%

New Mexico
A NMSU poll; conducted 2/9-13; surveyed 444 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R)

Primary Election Matchup

P. Domenici      29%
S. Martinez      12
A. Weh            7
D. Turner         7
J. Arnold-Jones   3
Undec            43

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 2/14-19; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 377 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Wht Blk His 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo     64% 72% 51% 55% 67%  75%   70%   66%  65%  65%
D. Paterson  22  14  33  21  23   16    20    20   23   23
Undec        14  14  16  24  10    8    10    14   12   13

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20
R. Lazio     46% 31% 75% 48% 42%  40%  42%   37%   35%  37%
D. Paterson  39  56  14  32 42   42   39    39    39   38
Undec        15  13  11  20  16   18   19    23    26   25 

-            All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17 8/20
A. Cuomo     63% 80% 36% 56% 66%  68%  67%   66%   64%  66%
R. Lazio     26  11  54  28  24   22   22   21    18   16
Undec        11  10  10  15  10   10   11    14    18   18

Elect Paterson?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
Elect him        19% 25% 13% 13% 21%  19%  17%   15%   14%
Prefer another   64  58  75  64  60   65   69    72    71
Undec            17  16  12  23  19   16   15    13    16

Paterson As Gov.

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
Excellent/good   22% 28% 16% 20% 24%  23%  21%   19%   18%
Fair/poor        76  71  83  80  75   76   79   79    80 

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/14    12/9
A. Cuomo     66%/21% 74%/14% 55%/30% 62%/27% 67%/21% 67%/19%
D. Paterson  35 /55  39 /48  27 /65  33 /59  38 /52  36 /53
R. Lazio     31 /26  31 /27  33 /23  29 /27  27 /30  25 /25

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12 10/18 9/17
For GOV          51% 59% 42% 46% 53%  50%  52%   49%   47%
Reelect as AG    33  28  37  35  30   31   28    36    34 

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?

-                All Dem GOP Ind 1/14 12/9 11/12
Declare now      41% 50% 28% 36% 37%  35%  33%
Time to wait     43 34  57  47  49   51   52

Regardless Of Who The Candidates Are, And All Other Things Being Equal, Would You Prefer The Gov. Elected This Year To Be ___?

-                                           All Dem GOP Ind
Someone with a lot of experience in Albany  53% 61% 42% 47%
An Albany outsider                          36  29  48  40

Recently, Rumors Circulated That Paterson Was Involved In Some Activites That Could Lead To His Resignation. Paterson Denies Any Wrongdoing.

-                                           All Dem GOP Ind
I may not agree with everything Paterson    66% 69% 63% 67%
 does, but I don't believe the rumors
I'm afraid Paterson may very well have      22  21  26  20
 acted inappropriately while in office 

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/19). Tested: '08 Treas. nominee/businessman Allen Alley (R), ex-Portland Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R), '90 candidate/'98 SEN nominee/businessman/ex-state Sen. John Lim (R), '98 nominee/anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R), '02 SEN nominee/ex-Sec/State Bill Bradbury (D) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchups

B. Bradbury   41%             J. Kitzhaber  42%
A. Alley      35              A. Alley      34
Other          9              Other          8
Undec         16              Undec         16

B. Bradbury   39%             J. Kitzhaber  42%
C. Dudley     36              C. Dudley     34
Other          7              Other          7
Undec         17              Undec         15

B. Bradbury   38%             J. Kitzhaber  40%
J. Lim        35              J. Lim        38
Other          9              Other          8
Undec         17              Undec         14

B. Bradbury   48%             J. Kitzhaber  48%
B. Sizemore   23              B. Sizemore   25
Other         16              Other         15
Undec         13              Undec         11 

Fav/Unfav

B. Bradbury   46%/31%
J. Kitzhaber  44 /42
C. Dudley     40 /24
J. Lim        31 /28
A. Alley     30 /29
B. Sizemore   22 /60 

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 11/18). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 9/22 7/14 5/14
R. Giuliani  57% 50%  55%  58%
D. Paterson  30  39   33   30
Other        10   8    8    9
Undec         3   2    5    4

-            Now 9/22 7/14 5/14
A. Cuomo     49% 58%  48%  55%
R. Giuliani  46  37   41   37
Other         2   3    6    3
Undec         4   3    6    5

-            Now 9/22
R. Lazio     41% 38%
D. Paterson  37  38
Other        13  13
Undec         8  11

-            Now 9/22
A. Cuomo     57% 65%
R. Lazio     29  26
Other         6   5
Undec         9   5

Paterson As Gov.
-            Now 7/14 5/14 3/11
Approve      38% 32%  31%  39
Disapprove   59  67   67   59

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     9/22    7/14    5/14
R. Giuliani  58%/38% 55%/44% 56%/39% 57%/38%
A. Cuomo     56 /34  68 /25  64 /32  65 /29
R. Lazio     36 /44  33 /49   n/a     n/a
D. Paterson  36 /59  38 /57  38 /60  33 /65

A Marist College poll; conducted 11/12-17; surveyed 805 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 365 Dems and 216 GOPers; margins of error +/- 5.1% and 6.7%, respectively (releases, 11/19-20). Tested: Paterson, Cuomo, Giuliani and Lazio.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo     72% 70%  69%  70%  62%
D. Paterson  21  23   24   21   26
Undec         7   7    7    9   12

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            Now 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
R. Giuliani  84% 83%  77%  75%  78%
R. Lazio     13  13   16   14   17
Undec         3   4    7   11    5

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 11/08
R. Giuliani  60% 41% 88% 61% 60%  54%  56%  53%  47%  41%
D. Paterson  35  53   9  32  34   37   32   38   46   51
Undec         5   5   4   7   6    9   12    9    7    8

-            All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
D. Paterson  44% 66% 17% 40% 43%  41%  37%  47%
R. Lazio     44  21  74  47  43   40   40   35
Undec        12  13   9  13  14   19   23   18

-            All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo     53% 72% 23% 52% 53%  51%  55%  56%
R. Giuliani  43  24  73  45  43   43   38   39
Undec         4   4   4   3   4    6    7    5

-            All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26
A. Cuomo     69% 86% 42% 70% 71%  68%  67%  71%
R. Lazio     24   7  50  25  21   22   22   20
Undec         7   7   8   6   8   10   11    9

Paterson As Gov.
-               All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 1/15
Excellent/good  20% 23% 15% 19% 20%  21%  19%  26%  46%  44%
Fair/poor       76  71  83  78  76   76   77   71   48   48

Cuomo As AG
-               All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 10/08
Excellent/good  66% 72% 61% 64% 69%  67%  70%  71%  50%
Fair/poor       28  20  36  29  26   27   25   23   34

Do You Want Paterson To Run For GOV?
-    All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes  30% 34% 28% 27% 31% 29%
No   63  57  66  66  62  63

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 11/8-12; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 11/16). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Wht Blk His 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo     75% 80% 63% 78% 70%   66%  65%  65%  69%  70%
D. Paterson  16  12  31  17  20    20   23   23   16   19
Undec         8   8   6   6  10    14   12   13   15   11

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
R. Giuliani  56% 37% 84% 58% 55% 56% 56%   52%  56%  57%
D. Paterson  33  53   8  28  33  33  33    35   33   34
Undec        11  10   8  15  12  11  11    13   11    9

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo     53% 78% 24% 43% 49% 57% 50%   52%  53%  49%
R. Giuliani  41  18  68  49  46  36  43    39   40   44
Undec         6   3   8   9   6   6   6     9    7    7

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
R. Lazio     42% 24% 70% 43% 46% 39% 37%   35%  37%  39%
D. Paterson  39  57  17  34  38  40  39    39   38   41
Undec        19  19  13  22  16  21  23    26   25   20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
A. Cuomo     67% 89% 42% 59% 63% 71% 66%   64%  66%  65%
R. Lazio     22   7  46  23  27  18  21    18   16   20
Undec        11   5  12  17  10  11  14    18   18   15

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/18   9/17
A. Cuomo     70%/20% 81%/10% 59%/31% 62%/24% 67%/20% 66%/21%
R. Giuliani  62 /34  44 /52  85 /12  65 /28  60 /35  56 /38
D. Paterson  33 /56  39 /49  25 /65  33 /56  27 /61  29 /59
R. Lazio     29 /22  23 /25  40 /16  26 /21  23 /27  22 /25
C. Collins   12 / 8   9 /11  16 / 5  12 / 6   n/a     n/a

Elect Paterson?
-               All Dem GOP Ind 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18
Elect him       17% 19% 13% 17% 15%   14%  15%  17%  15%
Prefer another  69  63  76  69  72    71   68   69   70
Undec           15  17  11  14  13    16   16   13   15

Paterson As Gov.
-               Now 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Excellent/good  21% 19%   18%  23%  22%  20%  18%  18%  19%
Fair/poor       79  79    80   76   77   78   81   81   78

Cuomo As AG
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Excellent/good  67% 77% 58% 59% 65% 70%
Fair/poor       29  19  39  33  30  26

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17 8/20 7/16
For GOV         52% 67% 35% 46% 50% 55% 49%   47%  52%  45%
Reelect as AG   28  20  41  30  32  25  36    34   31   31

Should Cuomo Publicly Declare Now Whether He's Running For AG Or For GOV, Or Does He Have Time To Wait Several Months Before Publicly Announcing?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Declare now     33% 34% 32% 33% 31% 35%
Time to wait    52  55  53  47  53  52

Would You Prefer To See Giuliani Run For SEN, GOV, Or Would You Prefer That He Not Run For Either?
-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/18 9/17
For GOV             32% 16% 50% 38% 33% 31% 32%   27%
For SEN             19  18  24  17  18  21  21    24
Not run for either  44  63  18  41  44  44  43    45

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 10/14-18; surveyed 624 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/20). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Wht Blk His 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
A. Cuomo    70% 79% 58% 47% 66%  65%  65%  69%  70%  64%  67%
D. Paterson 20  14  35  37  20   23   23   16   19   11   17
Undec       10   7   7  16  14   12   13   15   11   25   17

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
R. Giuliani 56% 36% 85% 64% 57% 56% 52%  56%  57%  57%  59%
D. Paterson 33  52   7  22  34  31  35   33   34   27   31
Undec       11  11   8  15   9  13  13   11    9   15   10

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo    50% 73% 24% 37% 49% 51% 52%  53%  49%  49%  53%
R. Giuliani 43  23  71  54  45  42  39   40   44   40   41
Undec        6   5   5   9   5   7   9    7    7   11    6

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
D. Paterson 39% 57% 16% 29% 36% 42% 39%  38%  41%  46%  52%
R. Lazio    37  27  58  37  40  35  35   37   39   28   22
Undec       23  16  26  35  24  23  26   25   20   26   26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/17 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo    66% 86% 39% 56% 63% 68% 64%  66%  65%  66%  61%
R. Lazio    21   7  46  21  23  19  18   16   20   16   17
Undec       14   7  15  23  14  14  18   18   15   18   22

Elect Paterson In '10?
-               All Dem GOP Ind 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15
Elect him       15% 18%  9% 14% 14%  15%  17%  15%  15%  12%
Prefer another  72  67  81  73  71   68   69   70   71   71
Undec           13  15  10  12  16   16   13   15   15   17

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/17    8/20
A. Cuomo    67%/20% 76%/11% 60%/32% 59%/20% 66%/21% 70%/14%
R. Giuliani 60 /35  45 /51  87 /10  64 /30  56 /38  57 /35
D. Paterson 27 /61  34 /56  22 /66  19 /66  29 /59  32 /55
R. Lazio    23 /27  16 /31  37 /22  24 /23  22 /25  21 /22

Paterson As Gov.
-              Now 9/17 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18
Excellent/good 19% 18%  23%  22%  20%  18%  18%  19%  28%
Fair/poor      79  80   76   77   78   81   81   78   69

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/24). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 7/14 5/14                Now 7/14 5/14
R. Giuliani  50% 55%  58%     A. Cuomo    58% 48%  55%
D. Paterson  39  33   30      R. Giuliani 37  41   37
Other         8   8    9      Other        3   6    3
Undec         2   5    4      Undec        3   6    5

D. Paterson  38%              A. Cuomo    65%
R. Lazio     38               R. Lazio    26
Other        13               Other        5
Undec        11               Undec        5

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     7/14    5/14
A. Cuomo     68%/25% 64%/32% 65%/29%
R. Giuliani  55 /44  56 /39  57 /38
D. Paterson  38 /57  38 /60  33 /65
R. Lazio     33 /49   n/a     n/a

Governor - New York (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Marist College poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 616 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 9/24).

Paterson As Gov.
-               All Dem GOP Ind 9/10 6/25 4/29 2/26 1/26 1/15
Excellent/good  17% 20% 11% 20% 20%  21%  19%  26%  46%  44%
Fair/poor       79  77  84  76  76   76   77   71   48   48

Do You Think It Is Right Or Wrong For The WH To Suggest That Paterson Should Not Run In '10?
-               All Dem GOP Ind
Right           27% 36% 17% 22%
Wrong           62  51  77  64

Do You Want Paterson To Run In '10?
-               All Dem GOP Ind
Yes             25% 26% 24% 25%
No              63  65  64  58

New York-Governor(2010)

Governor 2010
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 9/13-17; surveyed 792 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AG Andrew Cuomo (D), ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) and '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Wht Blk His 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18
A. Cuomo    66% 72% 51% 58% 65%  65%  69%  70%  64%  67%  53%
D. Paterson 20  15  35  32  23   23   16   19   11   17   27
Undec       14  14  14  10  12   13   15   11   25   17   20

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
R. Giuliani 52% 38% 81% 51% 54% 51% 56%  57%  57%  59%
D. Paterson 35  50   9  32  35  34  33   34   27   31
Undec       13  12  10  17  11  15  11    9   15   10

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
A. Cuomo    52% 73% 19% 47% 51% 52% 53%  49%  49%  53%
R. Giuliani 39  22  70  41  39  39  40   44   40   41
Undec        9   6  11  11   9   9   7    7   11    6

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
D. Paterson 39% 51% 19% 37% 41% 37% 38%  41%  46%  52%
R. Lazio    35  26  61  29  35  35  37   39   28   22
Undec       26  22  20  34  24  28  25   20   26   26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo    64% 79% 42% 62% 64% 64% 66%  65%  66%  61%
R. Lazio    18   9  37  17  21  16  16   20   16   17
Undec       18  12  20  22  16  20  18   15   18   22

Elect Paterson In '10?
-               All Dem GOP Ind 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18
Elect him       14% 17%  3% 18% 15%  17%  15%  15%  12%  14%
Prefer another  71  67  83  68  68   69   70   71   71   67
Undec           16  16  14  15  16   13   15   15   17   19

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/20    7/16
A. Cuomo    66%/21% 73%/15% 57%/29% 64%/22% 70%/14% 63%/21%
R. Giuliani 56 /38  42 /52  79 /16  57 /35  57 /35  61 /34
D. Paterson 29 /59  35 /53  15 /76  30 /54  32 /55  36 /56
R. Lazio    22 /25  21 /26  29 /19  21 /28  21 /22  25 /22

Paterson As Gov.
-              Now 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23
Excellent/good 18% 23%  22%  20%  18%  18%  19%  28%  51%
Fair/poor      80  76   77   78   81   81   78   69   45

Paterson ___
-                                               Agree Disagree
Is well intentioned but not getting job done    73%   22%
Doesn't have leadership skills necessary        61    36
Is doing a better job now than six months ago   42    47
Is just too liberal                             39    53
Is fighting for people like me                  39    55
Is effectively addressing problems confront NY  35    62
Handling of NY fiscal situation is on the mark  26    66
Blindness prevents from doing job effectively   13    85

Direction Of NY
-          Now 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11
Right dir. 28% 28%  23%  24%  33%  27%  30%  31%  39%  37%
Wrong dir. 57  57   64   63   52   57   52   53   42   44

Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For GOV?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/20 7/16 6/18 5/21
For GOV         47% 49% 44% 49% 47% 47% 52%  45%  46%  47%
Reelect as AG   34  33  37  33  35  33  31   31   35   33

Would You Prefer To See Giuliani Run For SEN, GOV, Or Would You Prefer That He Not Run For Either?
-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
For GOV             27% 17% 41% 30% 28% 27%
For SEN             24  20  35  22  25  23
Not run for either  45  60  19  45  45  45