Senate 2010

Kansas
A KCTV-TV/KWCH-TV poll; conducted 6/24-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 364 Dem primary LVs and 721 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.1% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/28). Tested: '04 candidate/'06 KS-03 Reform nominee/ret. railroad employee Bob Conroy (D), '02/'06 Sec/State nominee/state Sen. David Haley (D), Baker Univ. ass't dean Lisa Johnston (D), ex-newspaper ed. Charles Schollenberger (D), CPA/atty Patrick Wiesner (D), accountant Tom Little (R), ex-AG Robert Londerholm (R) and Reps. Jerry Moran (R-01) and Todd Tiahrt (R-04).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                  All Men Wom
L. Johnston        24% 19% 27%
C. Schollenberger  16  19  14
B. Conroy          11  15   8
D. Haley           11  13   9
P. Wiesner          4   3   4
Undec              35  32  37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                  All Men Wom 5/23 3/28 1/31 12/6 10/4 8/9
J. Moran           53% 57% 47% 52%  42%  40%  37%  43%  38%
T. Tiahrt          33  33  34  29   32   33   34   27   32
T. Little           3   3   3  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
R. Londerholm       2   1   3   4    5   n/a  n/a  n/a  n/a
Undec               9   7  13  15   21   27   29   30   40

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/29). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 4/7 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter    53% 52% 57%  57%  53%  46%
C. Melancon  35  36  34   33   35   36
Other         3   4   3    3    4    5
Undec         9   8   6    7    8   13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     4/7     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter    62%/32% 60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon  48 /39  46 /41  43 /44  39 /45  39 /46  43 /39

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/26-27; surveyed 638 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/29). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 32%R, 34%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), businessman Ron Johnson (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Feingold  45% 83% 11% 39% 42% 46%
R. Johnson   43   8  78  46  48  40
Undec        12   9  11  15   9  14

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
R. Feingold  45% 84% 12% 39% 42% 48% 48%  47%
D. Westlake  38   6  72  36  42  34  31   32
Undec        17  10  16  25  16  18  21   21

Feingold As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/21 11/22
Approve      42% 71% 16% 39% 40% 45% 45%  45%
Disapprove   42  10  72  46  50  36  41   37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/21    11/22
R. Johnson   20%/18%  6%/29% 33%/11% 19%/14%  n/a     n/a
D. Westlake   6 /14   2 /20  10 /12   6 /11   2%/ 8%  2%/ 9%

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) and Rep. John Boozman (R-03).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/26 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  61% 66%  57%  51%  48% 54%
B. Lincoln  32  28   29   36   39  35
Other        4   2    9    6    6   4
Undec        3   4    5    7    7   7

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/26    3/30    3/1     2/1
J. Boozman  65%/26% 64%/28% 58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%
B. Lincoln  32 /65  28 /71  31 /63  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59

Louisiana
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/12-13; surveyed 492 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/16). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 39%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 7/19
D. Vitter    46% 22% 76% 37% 45% 46% 55% 10% 38% 44%
C. Melancon  37  56  15  40  41  34  29  68  44  32
Undec        17  21  10  23  14  20  16  22  18  24

Vitter As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 7/19
Approve      45% 29% 65% 40% 47% 44% 51% 24% 44% 44%
Disapprove   43  59  24  48  46  41  39  60  46  36

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     7/19
C. Melancon  29%/34% 36%/26% 18%/44% 37%/30% 26%/32%

Senate 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: AG Richard Blumenthal (D), ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), businessman Peter Schiff (R) and ex-Rep. Rob Simmons (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  55% 60% 56% 58%
L. McMahon     35  31  36  34
Other           3   3   3   3
Undec           6   7   4   5

-              Now 3/2 1/6
R. Blumenthal  58% 57% 60%
P. Schiff      32  27  24
Other           4   6   6
Undec           6  10  10

-              Now 3/2 2/1 1/6
R. Blumenthal  52% 58% 54% 56%
R. Simmons     38  32  35  33
Other           4   3   4   4
Undec           6   7   7   7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/2     2/1     12/7    9/10
R. Blumenthal  69%/28% 72%/26% 70%/27%  n/a     n/a
R. Simmons     48 /40  52 /35  60 /26  48%/30% 53%/32%
L. McMahon     45 /45  46 /42  51 /34  45 /35   n/a
P. Schiff      41 /34  37 /34   n/a    35 /31  27 /35

Kentucky
A Louisville Courier-Journal/WHAS-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,894 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.3%. Subsamples of 659 Dem primary LVs and 446 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.8% and 4.6%, respectively (release, 4/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 53%D, 39%R, 9%I. Tested: Physician James Buckmaster (D), AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), author/ex-Border Patrol agent Darlene Price (D), cattle farmer/ex-Louisville NAACP pres. Maurice Sweeney (D), Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom 3/3 11/2 8/17
D. Mongiardo   35% 36% 33% 45% 39%  39%
J. Conway      32  29  35  27  28   31
D. Price        5   5   5   4   2    3
J. Buckmaster   4   4   4   3  n/a  n/a
M. Sweeney      2   3   1   2   1    1
Others         n/a n/a n/a n/a 15   13
Undec          21  21  22  19  16   14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/3 11/2 8/17
R. Paul        45% 45% 46% 42% 35%  26%
T. Grayson     30  33  26  27  32   37
J. Stephenson   3   3   2   2  n/a  n/a
G. Martin       2   1   3   3  n/a  n/a
J. Scribner     1   1   1   1  n/a  n/a
Others         n/a n/a n/a  5  16   20         
Undec          19  16  22  19  18   17

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/3
Generic GOPer  44% 18% 80% 37% 48% 40% 43%
Generic Dem    41  67   6  33  39  43  42
Undec          15  14  13  30  13  17  16

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 3/10 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter    52% 57%  57%  53%  46%
C. Melancon  36  34   33   35   36
Other         4   3    3    4    5
Undec         8   6    7    8   13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/10    2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter    60%/37% 63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon  46 /41  43 /44  39 /45  39 /46  43 /39

New York
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6%. Subsample of 411 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 4/13). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      64% 72% 57%
B. Blakeman    15  12  19
Other           1   1   1
Not vote        1   1   1
Undec          19  15  23

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1
K. Gillibrand  47% 72% 15% 43% 47% 47% 44%
B. Blakeman    25   5  62  23  30  21  27
Other           1   1  --   2   2   1   1
Not vote        3   3   3   3   5   2   2
Undec          24  19  20  28  17  30  26

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
G. Pataki      45% 22% 81% 49% 50% 40%
K. Gillibrand  40  65   9  32  40  40
Other           1   1  --   2   1   1
Not vote        2   1   3   1   3   1
Undec          13  11   7  16   7  18

Gillibrand As Sen.

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve    47% 64% 30% 40% 49% 45% 42% 40%   32%   33%  37%
Disapprove 25   9  44  31  30  20  28  21    20    19   15

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/1
G. Pataki      52%/33% 42%/43% 75%/14% 52%/32%  n/a
K. Gillibrand  37 /23  51 /11  23 /43  32 /24  33%/22%
B. Blakeman     7 / 6   4 /10  16 / 3   5 / 4  11 / 4

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/6-11; surveyed 1,381 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/13).

Do You Feel Schumer Deserves To Be Re-Elected?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1
Yes/deserves    53% 75% 29% 48% 52% 55% 54%
No/does not     32  13  54  39  39  25  33

Schumer As Sen.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/1 12/13 10/19 8/13 6/21
Approve     61% 78% 41% 59% 59% 62% 58% 62%   62%   58%  63%
Disapprove  26  10  44  31  31  21  30  27    24    27   23

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 401 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/13). Tested: Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D), librarian Ann Worthy (D), Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R) and disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall    23% 21% 24% 25% 21%  5% 20%  29%
C. Cunningham  17  22  14  13  26  32  16   12
K. Lewis        9   7  11   9  10   9  11    5
S. Harris       4   5   3   5   1   5   4   n/a
A. Worthy       1   2   1   1   1  --   0   n/a
M. Williams     0   1   0   0  --   5   2    2
Undec          45  42  47  47  40  45  47   51

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 3/15 2/15
R. Burr        67% 70% 64% 58%  55%
B. Jones        7   4  11   5   10
E. Burks        3   4   1   4    3
L. Linney       1   1  --   1   n/a
Undec          23  21  24  33   31

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-              All     Men     Wom     3/15    2/15
E. Marshall    32%/ 7% 29%/11% 34%/ 5% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
K. Lewis       11 / 9  15 /11   8 / 8   9 /12   9 / 9
C. Cunningham   8 / 6  11 / 7   7 / 6   8 / 9   9 / 7

Burr As Sen. (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
Approve        63% 69% 55%
Disapprove     17  18  15

Senate 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/11). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell  33% 36% 30%
C. Fiorina   24  21  27
C. DeVore     7   9   5
Undec        36  34  38

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer     47% 80%  7% 43% 42% 52%
T. Campbell  43  11  85  45  49  37
Undec        10   9   8  12   9  11

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
B. Boxer     49% 83%  7% 46% 43% 55% 53%
C. DeVore    39   8  79  41  45  33  29
Undec        12   9  14  13  12  12  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
B. Boxer     49% 83%  7% 46% 44% 54% 52%
C. Fiorina   40   9  80  41  46  34  31
Undec        11   8  13  13  10  12  17

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12    1/7
B. Boxer     50%/45% 74%/23% 19%/76% 49%/44% 49%/43% 48%/46%
T. Campbell  46 /37  27 /57  72 /12  46 /35  38 /29   n/a
C. Fiorina   35 /43  14 /60  65 /22  34 /41  22 /29   n/a
C. DeVore    34 /42  12 /61  65 /20  33 /39  21 /27   n/a

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/16 4/19
M. Bennet    46% 81% 11% 41% 41% 50% 39%  40%
K. Buck      40   9  76  37  48  33  35   34
Undec        14  10  13  22  11  17  19   16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bennet    43% 79%  9% 35% 37% 49%
J. Norton    43  11  77  44  51  34
Undec        14  10  14  21  12  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bennet    45% 79%  9% 42% 40% 49%
T. Wiens     37   8  73  32  44  31
Undec        18  12  19  25  16  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff  44% 81% 10% 35% 40% 49%
K. Buck      36   5  72  32  44  28
Undec        20  14  18  33  17  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff  44% 80% 11% 33% 37% 50%
J. Norton    39   6  76  37  46  32
Undec        17  13  13  30  17  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff  45% 80% 11% 38% 41% 49%
T. Wiens     34   5  69  30  40  28
Undec        21  15  20  32  19  23

Bennet As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/16 4/19
Approve      32% 57%  9% 25% 27% 38% 31%  34%
Disapprove   46  20  73  48  55  37  38   41

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/16    4/19
A. Romanoff  28%/26% 46%/14% 15%/38% 20%/30%  n/a     n/a
J. Norton    25 /35  12 /49  42 /24  23 /29   n/a     n/a
K. Buck      14 /18   7 /23  23 /14   9 /18  17%/18% 17%/22%
T. Wiens     11 /17   8 /17  17 /14   9 /20   n/a     n/a

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter    57% 57%  53%  46%
C. Melancon  34  33   35   36
Other         3   3    4    5
Undec         6   7    8   13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter    63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon  43 /44  39 /45  39 /46  43 /39

An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 2/18-24 for Melancon; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 3/3). Tested: Melancon and Vitter.

General Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14
D. Vitter    48% 47%
C. Melancon  38  37

Re-Elect Vitter

-                                 Now 5/14
Definitely/probably re-elect him  43% 39%
Prefer someone new                47  45

Vitter As Sen.

Approve      54%
Disapprove   38

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14
D. Vitter    54%/38% 54%/33%

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/11). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt     47% 49%  49%  44%   46%
R. Carnahan  41  42   43   46    46
Other         4   3    3    4     2
Undec         8   6    5    6     5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/10    1/19    12/17   9/21
R. Blunt     56%/37% 54%/40% 56%/34% 50%/43% 57%/33%
R. Carnahan  47 /48  49 /45  49 /46  51 /43  52 /42

Ohio
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 3/1-4 for the DSCC; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 3/11). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

L. Fisher   36%
R. Portman  35

Fav/Unfav

L. Fisher   23%/16%
R. Portman  18 /12

Who Do You Think Is Most To Blame For The Economic Problems We Are Now Facing?

Politics in DC      31%
G. Bush             25
Wall St. banks      21
B. Obama             8
Strickland admin.    1

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom 8/12 5/6
A. Specter  51% 56% 47% 48%  56%
J. Sestak   32  28  35  33   11
Undec       17  16  18  19   33

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12 5/6
A. Specter  47% 81%  7% 46% 43% 51% 45%  55%
P. Toomey   41   8  81  41  46  36  40   31
Undec       12  11  12  13  11  13  15   14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12 5/6
P. Toomey   42%  8% 83% 40% 47% 37% 41%  32%
J. Sestak   39  68   6  33  36  42  42   37
Undec       19  24  11  27  17  21  17   31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12    5/6
A. Specter  48%/42% 72%/20% 20%/70% 47%/38% 52%/40% 54%/36%
P. Toomey   41 /36  13 /59  77 /10  35 /34  37 /34  33 /44
J. Sestak   35 /23  49 /13  18 /35  34 /23  37 /19  29 /15

Senate - Louisiana (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 10/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 10/7). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R), Sec/State Jay Dardenne (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchups
D. Vitter    46%              J. Dardenne  46%
C. Melancon  36               C. Melancon  33
Other         5               Other         6
Undec        13               Undec        15

Fav/Unfav
D. Vitter    56%/34%
J. Dardenne  50 /27
C. Melancon  43 /39

Senate-Louisiana (2010)

Senate (2010)
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 5/8-14; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/9). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup
D. Vitter    47%
C. Melancon  37

Re-Elect Vitter in '10?
Re-elect him    39%
Prefer another  45

Louisiana - Senate (2010)

Senate (2010)
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 7/17-19; surveyed 727 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 7/21). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchups
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
D. Vitter   44% 51% 38% 19% 74% 43% 57% 15%
C. Melancon 32  31  33  53   9  25  24  53
Undec       24  18  29  27  16  32  20  32

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
D. Vitter   44% 51% 38% 19% 74% 45% 58%  9%
Generic Dem 38  36  40  65  11  27  23  76
Undec       18  12  23  16  16  28  18  15

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     Dem     GOP     Ind
D. Vitter   44%/39% 50%/39% 38%/38% 26%/56% 64%/20% 44%/34%
C. Melancon 26 /32  28 /40  25 /25  38 /18  14 /49  23 /30

Vitter As Sen.
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
Approve     44% 48% 41% 28% 62% 48% 55% 19%
Disapprove  36  36  36  52  19  30  26  59