Governor 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Mike Beebe (D) and '90 AR-02 nominee/restaurateur/ex-state Sen. Jim Keet (R). (Note: Portions of this poll appeared in 6/17's Hotline.)

General Election Matchup

-         Now 5/19
M. Beebe  57% 53%
J. Keet   33  38
Other      1   1
Undec      9   7

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     5/19
M. Beebe  72%/25% 68%/31%
J. Keet   45 /30  47 /27

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 6/14-16 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,617 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.4%. Subsample of 500 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 27%I. Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), '06 indie SEN candidate/'04/'08 MN-02 candidate/businessman Peter Idusogie (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                     All Men Wom
M. Dayton             39% 42% 35%
M. Anderson Kelliher  26  22  30
M. Entenza            22  24  19
P. Idusogie            3   4   2
Undec                 11   8  14

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
T. Emmer              35%  7% 72% 30% 41% 29% 41%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  64   6  25  29  36  33
T. Horner             12   9   8  22  14  10   9
Undec                 21  21  14  23  16  25  17

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
M. Dayton             38% 69%  9% 29% 34% 41% 34%
T. Emmer              35   7  73  30  42  29  42
T. Horner             12  10   7  21  14  10   9
Undec                 15  14  10  19  10  20  15

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5
T. Emmer              37%  8% 78% 31% 44% 30% 42%
M. Entenza            33  61   7  25  31  35  31
T. Horner             12  12   5  21  12  11  10
Undec                 18  19  10  23  13  24  16

Oklahoma
A SoonerPoll.com poll; conducted 5/25-6/9; surveyed 318 Dem primary LVs and 324 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.5% and 5.4%, respectively (release, 6/18). Tested: LG Jari Askins (D), AG Drew Edmondson (D), state Sen. Randy Brogdon (R), Rep. Mary Fallin (R-05), rancher/businessman Robert Hubbard (R) and retired businessman Roger Jackson (R). (Note: Interviews for the Dem primary poll ended on 6/8).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom 4/15 1/5 4/09
D. Edmondson  37% 40% 35% 40%  46% 29%
J. Askins     36  34  37  35   36  34
Undec         27  26  28  25   18  38

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 4/15 1/5
M. Fallin     59% 63% 56% 62%  68%
R. Brogdon    10   7  12  13   16
R. Jackson     2   1   3  n/a  n/a
R. Hubbard     1   2   1  n/a  n/a
Undec         28  27  29  25   16

Tennessee
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/17). Tested: Businessman Mike McWherter (D), Rep. Zach Wamp (R-03), Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam (R) and LG Ron Ramsey (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/22
B. Haslam     50% 45%
M. McWherter  32  27
Other          5   5
Undec         14  23

-             Now 3/22
R. Ramsey     44% 43%
M. McWherter  33  29
Other          7   5
Undec         16  23

-             Now 3/22
Z. Wamp       44% 41%
M. McWherter  33  31
Other          8   7
Undec         14  22

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/22
B. Haslam     66%/17% 53%/18%
Z. Wamp       51 /29  42 /27
R. Ramsey     46 /30  43 /23
M. McWherter  45 /38  34 /32

Texas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/13 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
R. Perry    48% 51%  48%  49% 48% 50%
B. White    40  38   44   43  39  40
Other        5   4    2    3   5   4
Undec        8   6    6    6   8   6

Perry As Gov.

-           Now 5/13 4/14 3/3 2/1 1/17
Approve     53% 55%  59%  54% 50% 53%
Disapprove  45  42   40   44  48  46

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/13    4/14    3/3     2/1     1/17
B. White    55%/36% 47%/41% 54%/36% 54%/34% 46%/38% 49%/35%
R. Perry    53 /45  55 /43  59 /37  54 /46  54 /44  55 /42

Governor 2010

California
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/6; surveyed 602 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/7). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup

-               All Men Wom 5/24 2/25
M. Whitman      64% 67% 61% 54%  61%
S. Poizner      22  22  21  19   11
Other           10   8  12  15    4
Undec            5   4   6  12   24

A KABC-TV/KPIX-TV/KGTV-TV/KFSN-TV poll; conducted 6/3-6 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 617 Dem primary LVs and 569 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.9% and 4.1%, respectively (release, 6/7). Tested: Businessman Richard Aguirre (D), AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), artist Lowell Darling (D), mechanical engineer Vibert Greene (D), Parole Board Judge Chuck Pineda Jr. (D), non-profit consultant Peter Schurman (D), non-profit pres. Joe Symmon (D), RR switchman Bill Chambers (R), ret. businessman Douglas Hughes (R), family broadcasting exec. Ken Miller (R), accountant Larry Naritelli (R), psychologist/farmer Robert Newman (R), Poizner, physician David Tully-Smith (R) and Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 5/23 5/9 4/21
J. Brown        73% 75% 71% 77% 73% 68% 65% 70%  66% 63%
C. Pineda        4   4   4   3   1   8   7   4    3   2
R. Aguirre       4   5   3   2   1   6   7   4    4   6
J. Symmon        3   3   3   3   5   3   1   2    3   3
L. Darling       2   2   2   2   0   3   3   2    1   6
P. Schurman      2   2   2   2   1   1   3   1    1   1
V. Greene        1   2   1   1   3   1   0   2    1   1
Undec           11   7  14  10  15  10  14  14   19  18

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom 5/23 5/9 4/21
M. Whitman      59% 60% 58% 54%  39% 49%
S. Poizner      30  31  29  27   37  27
L. Naritelli     1   1   2   2    1   2
D. Hughes        1   1   1   2    1   1
B. Chambers      1   1   1   2    3   2
K. Miller        1   0   2   2    2   1
R. Newman        1   1   1   1    2   2
D. Tully-Smith   1   1   1   1    1   1
Undec            5   5   5   9   14  15

Minnesota
A Decision Resources Ltd. poll; conducted 5/28-6/2; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (Salisbury, St. Paul Pioneer Press, 6/8). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

M. Anderson Kelliher  38%
T. Emmer              28
T. Horner             17

M. Dayton             40%
T. Emmer              28
T. Horner             18

M. Entenza            34%
T. Emmer              27
T. Horner             19

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      47% 46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  42  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           4   3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           8   6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 5/5 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        43% 48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     55  49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     5/5     3/30    3/4     2/6
J. Kasich      50%/27% 51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30%
T. Strickland  45 /49  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51

Governor 2010

California
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/23-24 for ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

M. Whitman  53%
S. Poizner  27

Fav/Unfav

M. Whitman  58%/25%
S. Poizner  39 /37

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/21-23; surveyed 417 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/25). Tested: Whitman and Poizner.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  51% 46% 56%
S. Poizner  26  27  26
Other       11  12   9
Undec       12  16   9

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
M. Whitman  50%/24% 46%/26% 55%/22%
S. Poizner  26 /44  27 /36  25 /53

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 5/20-23; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  42% 76%  7% 26% 39% 45% 33%  38%  36%
C. Baker    29   6  77  35  30  29  25   15   14
T. Cahill   14  13  11  15  14  13  23   26   23
J. Stein     8   5   0  11   9   7   3   n/a  n/a
Undec        7   1   5  11   8   6  16   22   26

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8
Approve     42% 66% 11% 32% 40% 43% 35%  42%
Disapprove  49  22  85  60  53  45  54   51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24    11/8
D. Patrick  45%/46% 73%/20% 10%/85% 33%/56% 38%/50% 43%/47%
T. Cahill   22 /34  22 /29  15 /43  22 /35  31 /16  41 /13
C. Baker    20 /17  13 /24  25 / 5  24 /15  18 /12  13 / 7
J. Stein     7 / 7   7 / 7   2 / 5   8 / 8   n/a     n/a

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 11/8 9/15 3/09
Re-elect him    33% 56% 10% 23% 30% 37% 29%  32%  29%  34%
Someone else    55  28  84  68  60  51  60   55   56   47
Undec           11  15   7   9  10  12  11   13   15   20

Which Candidate Has Run The Best Campaign Thus Far?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  24% 39%  7% 17% 20% 27%
C. Baker    16   8  31  18  17  15
T. Cahill   11   7  11  14  12  10
J. Stein     2   2   3   1   3   2
Undec       45  43  48  48  47  44

Which Candidate Has Run The Worst Campaign?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Cahill   14% 15% 20% 11% 18% 10%
J. Stein    13  13   8  15  10  16
D. Patrick  13   6  20  15  13  12
C. Baker    11  13   3  12  13   9
Undec       48  52  49  46  45  51

Have You Seen The Attack Ads Against Cahill?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     67% 59% 72% 72% 66% 68%
No      33  41  28  28  33  32

Which Candidate Do You Trust The Most?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  34% 57%  7% 24% 33% 35%
C. Baker    15   5  26  19  18  12
T. Cahill   10   6  18  11  12   8
J. Stein     6   3   8   7   6   7
Undec       34  27  41  38  31  37

Which Candidate Reminds You The Most Of Scott Brown?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Baker    26% 17% 30% 31% 30% 22%
T. Cahill    9   7   7  11  12   6
D. Patrick   5   7   0   4   5   5
J. Stein     2   2   8   1   2   3
Undec       56  65  56  50  49  63

Regardless Of Who You Are Personally Supporting, Who Do You Believe Will Be Elected?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Patrick  48% 66% 36% 39% 50% 47%
C. Baker    20   8  34  25  22  19
T. Cahill    9   6  13  10  11   7
J. Stein     1   1   2   0   1   1
Undec       21  19  15  25  16  26

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/26). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              38% 37%
M. Anderson Kelliher  36  34
T. Horner             11  10
Undec                 15  18

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 35%
M. Dayton             35  38
T. Horner             12   7
Undec                 16  20

-                     Now 3/10
T. Emmer              37% 37%
M. Entenza            34  28
T. Horner             12   8
Undec                 17  26

Fav/Unfav

-                     Now     3/10
M. Dayton             48%/39% 44%/45%
M. Anderson Kelliher  45 /36  39 /41
T. Emmer              45 /31  38 /26
M. Entenza            38 /34  27 /31
T. Horner             30 /36   n/a

New Mexico
A Dialing Services LLC (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25 for New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan; surveyed 771 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/25). Tested: State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones (R), atty Pete Domenici Jr. (R), Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R), PR firm owner/ex-Gov. Johnson mgr. Doug Turner (R) and businessman/ex-NM GOP chair Allen Weh (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                All Men Wom
S. Martinez      41% 47% 30%
A. Weh           30  28  35
D. Turner         9   8   9
P. Domenici       8   6  12
J. Arnold-Jones   4   4   5
Undec             8   8   8

Oregon
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/20; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/25). Tested: Ex-Trail Blazers center Chris Dudley (R) and ex-Gov. John Kitzhaber (D).

General Election Matchup

-             Now 4/26 2/17
C. Dudley     45% 41%  34%
J. Kitzhaber  44  41   42
Other          4   6    7
Undec          6  13   15

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/26    2/17
C. Dudley     53%/25% 46%/25% 40%/24%
J. Kitzhaber  46 /47  58 /34  44 /42

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/22-23; surveyed 1,255 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8% (release, 5/26). Party ID breakdown: 43%R, 35%D, 21%I. Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   38%  7% 65% 36% 44% 34% 48%  7% 34% 40%
J. Rex       36  70  10  34  36  36  26  69  45  33
Undec        25  23  25  30  20  30  26  25  21  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
G. Barrett   43%  9% 73% 36% 49% 37% 52% 13% 34% 41%
V. Sheheen   33  67   6  32  32  33  25  57  45  26
Undec        25  24  21  31  19  30  23  30  21  33

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
J. Rex       40% 72% 16% 36% 37% 42% 31% 67% 45% 37%
A. Bauer     38  10  62  34  43  33  47   8  38  36
Undec        22  18  22  31  20  25  22  25  17  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
A. Bauer     38%  9% 67% 30% 43% 34% 48%  7% 45% 38%
V. Sheheen   38  73  12  33  38  39  29  67  45  33
Undec        23  18  21  38  19  27  23  26  10  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     45% 14% 72% 42% 52% 39% 54% 16% 38%
J. Rex       36  67  11  33  35  36  28  61  34
Undec        19  18  18  25  13  25  18  23  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
N. Haley     44%  7% 75% 43% 52% 37% 56%  7% 34%
V. Sheheen   34  71   6  28  33  34  23  67  38
Undec        22  22  19  29  15  28  21  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  42%  6% 72% 40% 48% 37% 53%  7% 31% 40%
J. Rex       36  74   7  34  35  37  26  69  45  31
Undec        22  20  21  26  17  26  21  25  24  29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 12/6
H. McMaster  43%  6% 75% 39% 49% 37% 54% 10% 28% 41%
V. Sheheen   36  76   5  35  35  37  26  69  48  27
Undec        21  18  20  27  15  26  21  21  24  31

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/6
N. Haley     29%/26% 13%/40% 42%/13% 29%/29%  n/a
H. McMaster  27 /32  13 /45  40 /20  23 /34  30%/20%
A. Bauer     21 /50  13 /55  28 /47  21 /47  22 /43
J. Rex       18 /21  26 /16   8 /26  23 /19  22 /19
G. Barrett   18 /25   7 /36  28 /16  16 /25  14 /17
V. Sheheen   17 /16  28 /11   7 /21  20 /14   9 /14

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1%. Subsample of 541 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R) and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 4/13 3/16
J. Brewer   45% 26%  20%
B. Mills    18  18   19
D. Martin   18  12   21
J. Munger    3  14   10
Other        3   6    7
Undec       13  24   23

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-           Now     4/13    3/16    11/18
J. Brewer   80%/17% 49%/41% 52%/44% 54%/40%
D. Martin   45 /24  37 /21  54 /14  60 /10
B. Mills    44 /27  40 /19  43 /12   n/a
J. Munger   19 /35  18 /23  37 /26  28 /22

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 4/27 4/15 4/13 3/16 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/09
Approve     64% 56%  40%  48%  41%  37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  35  42   56   51   55   60   57    57   48   45

California
A Public Policy Institute Of CA poll; conducted 5/9-16; surveyed 1,168 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 411 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/20). Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/16 1/19
M. Whitman  38% 41% 36% 61%  41%
S. Poizner  29  29  29  11   11
Other        2   3   1   3    4
Undec       31  27  34  25   44

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    45% 74% 12% 40% 42% 47% 46%  44%  47%
S. Poizner  32  10  65  27  37  27  31   29   31
Undec       23  16  23  33  21  26  23   27   21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/16 1/19 12/8
J. Brown    42% 70% 10% 38% 40% 45% 39%  41%  43%
M. Whitman  37  16  69  34  42  33  44   36   37
Undec       21  14  21  28  18  22  17   23   20

How Closely Are You Following News About Candidates For The GOV Election?

-                   Now 3/16 1/19 12/8
Very closely        21% 17%  11%  10%
Fairly closely      46  46   34   33
Not too closely     27  28   42   36
Not at all closely   6   8   12   20

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/14-16; surveyed 1,060 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/20). Party ID breakdown: 37%D, 33%R, 31%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/8
J. Hickenlooper  44% 78%  9% 42% 39% 49% 50%
S. McInnis       44  11  79  46  52  36  39
Undec            12  11  12  12   9  14  11

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/8
J. Hickenlooper  47%/33% 73%/12% 21%/57% 44%/34% 51%/27%
S. McInnis       31 /30  14 /42  53 /15  29 /30  28 /27

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18; surveyed 423 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/19). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson, radio/TV ad producer Ray McBerry, Insurance Commis. John Oxendine and Wal-mart worker Otis Putnam.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 4/5 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   23% 26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     15  18  13   10   9
N. Deal       14   9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   5   7    7   3
J. Chapman     2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
R. McBerry     2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
O. Putnam      0  n/a n/a  n/a n/a
Others        n/a 11   8    4   6
Undec         39  31  36   45  50

Minnesota
A MN Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute poll; conducted 5/13-16; surveyed 701 adults; margin of error +/- 3.7%. Subsample of 246 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (release, 5/19). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

M. Dayton             38%
M. Anderson Kelliher  28
M. Entenza             6
Undec                 28

General Election Matchups

T. Emmer              31%
M. Anderson Kelliher  29
T. Horner             10
Undec                 30

M. Dayton             35%
T. Emmer              31
T. Horner              9
Undec                 25

T. Emmer              32%
M. Entenza            28
T. Horner             11
Undec                 29

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/17; surveyed 931 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/20). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (03), LG André Bauer, state Rep. Nikki Haley and AG Henry McMaster.

Primary Election Matchup

N. Haley     30%
H. McMaster  19
G. Barrett   17
A. Bauer     12
Other         3
Undec        18

Fav/Unfav

N. Haley     60%/14%
H. McMaster  59 /19
G. Barrett   52 /23
A. Bauer     42 /49

Obama As POTUS

Approve      10%
Disapprove   90

Sanford As Gov.

Approve      63%
Disapprove   37

Governor 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  38%
R. Scott     24
P. Dockery    7
Undec        31

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum  45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49%  41%  40%
A. Sink      36  63   5  38  34  38  34   35   34
Undec        19  21  16  21  17  21  17   24   26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink      41% 68%  9% 46% 39% 43% 44%  43%
P. Dockery   29   9  56  19  32  26  22   18
Undec        30  23  35  35  29  31  34   39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink      38% 66%  6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott     36  11  70  26  38  34
Undec        26  23  24  35  27  25

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25    6/26    5/09
B. McCollum  32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink      26 /18  24 /15  24 / 9  24 / 3
R. Scott     19 / 8   n/a     n/a     n/a
P. Dockery    6 / 5   4 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            Now     3/25    6/26
B. McCollum  46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott     28 / 1   n/a     n/a
P. Dockery   10 / 4   9 / 4   8 / 3

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn     35  61   5  27  31  39
S. Cohen      3   6   0   2   4   2
Undec        23  21  16  33  22  24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn     36  63   5  28  33  39  47
Other/undec  25  25  16  35  23  27  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
P. Quinn     37%/49% 59%/22%  9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady     35 /37  11 /59  70 / 8  34 /35  29 /41
S. Cohen     19 /24  28 /18   9 /30  16 /27   n/a

Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-               All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley     49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich      41  47  36
Other/neither    3   2   1
Not vote         1  n/a  1
Undec            6   4   5

O'Malley As Gov.

-           All RVs  RVs    All   RVs
-           Now Now  10/08  10/07 10/07
Approve     54% 58%  53%    53%   51%
Disapprove  34  34   37     36    39

O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)

-           Now 10/07
Approve     46% 39%
Disapprove  40  52

How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?

-               Now 10/07
A lot            8%  3%
A fair amount   38  25
Some            29  32
Not much        20  35

Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)

Very closely        26%
Fairly closely      35
Not too closely     23
Not at all closely  15

Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)

Satisfied       49%
Wish had more   45

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          41%       45%  12%     2%
Public education    39        39   14      7
Budget deficit      37        39   18      4
Taxes               36        40   17      7
Crime               35        42   16      6
Environment         29        37   23     11

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          43%       43%  12%     2%
Budget deficit      41        38   16      4
Public education    40        37   14      8
Taxes               38        39   16      7
Crime               33        43   17      7
Environment         26        37   25     11

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   41%      31%      5%  10%     13%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      38       31      11    6      15
 state's future
Strong leader             35       37      10    6      12
He is honest/trustworthy  33       29      12   12      15

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   39%      39%      4%  10%      9%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      36       38      11    5      10
 state's future
Strong leader             34       43      10    6       8
He is honest/trustworthy  31       36      12   11      10

Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment           49%      25%      5%   5%     17%
Working effectively with  49       27       5    5      15
 the MD legislature
Public education          49       29       6    3      13
Crime                     40       34       5    6      16
State economy             39       43       2    4      11
State budget deficit      37       42       4    5      12
Taxes                     36       44       3    5      12

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)

-               TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley     34%         8%             45%
B. Ehrlich       6         31              46

As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)

Need to raise taxes          53%
Meet without raising taxes   36

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              41%  8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  66   7  26  30  36
T. Horner              9   7   5  17  12   5
Undec                 17  19  10  23  14  20

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton             34  66  13  25  31  38
T. Horner              9   6   7  16  10   8
Undec                 15  18   7  19  11  19

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza            31  61   7  28  31  31
T. Horner             10  10   5  19  12   8
Undec                 16  20   8  17  11  22

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner    10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
D. Onorato   42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7
J. Wagner    19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   34%
J. Wagner    17
T. Williams  17
J. Hoeffel    9
Other         6
Undec        17

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   58%/22%
J. Wagner    43 /24
T. Williams  41 /34
J. Hoeffel   29 /34

Rendell As Gov.

-            Now 4/12
Approve      61% 60%
Disapprove   38  39

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/11). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  52% 49% 55%
S. Poizner  19  23  15
Undec       29  28  30

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown    45% 76%  7% 41% 41% 49% 42%
M. Whitman  41  10  83  40  47  35  36
Undec       14  14  10  19  12  16  22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown    48% 79%  8% 46% 44% 52% 43%
S. Poizner  33   5  73  30  39  27  34
Undec       19  16  19  24  17  21  23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12
J. Brown    52%/40% 80%/15% 16%/77% 50%/37% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  51 /35  29 /55  79 /11  53 /32  41 /30
S. Poizner  37 /40  17 /55  64 /21  37 /40  35 /27

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/11). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), state Sen. Tom Bakk (D) ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Rukavina (D), Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R), state House Min. Leader Marty Seifert (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

T. Emmer              37%     M. Seifert            39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  34      M. Anderson Kelliher  35
T. Horner             10      T. Horner              8
Undec                 18      Undec                 19

T. Emmer              36%     M. Seifert            37%
T. Bakk               29      T. Bakk               30
T. Horner              8      T. Horner              9
Undec                 27      Undec                 24

M. Dayton             38%     M. Seifert            39%
T. Emmer              35      M. Dayton             38
T. Horner              7      T. Horner              7
Undec                 20      Undec                 16

T. Emmer              37%     M. Seifert            38%
M. Entenza            28      M. Entenza            30
T. Horner              8      T. Horner              9
Undec                 26      Undec                 23

T. Emmer              38%     M. Seifert            39%
T. Rukavina           29      T. Rukavina           30
T. Horner              7      T. Horner              9
Undec                 25      Undec                 22

R.T. Rybak            38%     M. Seifert            38%
T. Emmer              35      R.T. Rybak            38
T. Horner              9      T. Horner              8
Undec                 18      Undec                 16

Fav/Unfav

R.T. Rybak            49%/37%
M. Dayton             44 /45
M. Seifert            41 /33
M. Anderson Kelliher  39 /41
T. Emmer              38 /26
T. Bakk               27 /22
T. Rukavina           27 /27
M. Entenza            27 /31

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D) and AG Tom Corbett (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   19% 17% 21%
J. Hoeffel   12  14  10
J. Wagner    10  11   9
T. Williams   3   3   3
Undec        56  55  57

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   41%  8% 81% 39% 46% 36%
J. Hoeffel   31  56   5  23  28  34
Undec        28  36  14  38  26  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   40%  8% 79% 39% 44% 36%
D. Onorato   34  61   5  27  31  37
Undec        26  31  16  34  25  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   41%  8% 80% 41% 45% 37%
J. Wagner    32  57   5  25  29  35
Undec        27  35  15  34  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   47% 13% 84% 55% 53% 41%
T. Williams  19  33   3  18  16  22
Undec        34  54  13  27  31  37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   39%/12% 10%/18% 76%/ 5% 32%/10% 43%/10% 35%/14%
D. Onorato   32 /15  47 / 8  14 /24  32 /14  30 /18  34 /12
J. Wagner    30 /14  47 / 6  11 /23  30 /13  28 /17  32 /11
J. Hoeffel   29 /15  44 / 8  11 /24  29 /13  27 /18  31 /12
T. Williams   9 / 3  12 / 2   5 / 5   8 / 2   9 / 4   9 / 2

Governor - Minnesota (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 11/10; surveyed 402 Dem primary LVs and 330 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 5.4%, respectively (release, 11/16). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), ex-state Rep. Matt Entenza (D), Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak (D), state Rep. Laura Brod (R), ex-Sen. Norm Coleman (R), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and state House Min. Leader Marty Seifert (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
R.T. Rybak            30%
M. Dayton             30
M. Anderson Kelliher   8
M. Entenza             6
Other                  5
Undec                 20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
N. Coleman            50%
M. Seifert            11
L. Brod                5
T. Emmer               1
Other                  7
Undec                 26