Governor 2010

Iowa
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 501 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Branstad       57%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
Undec              6

Fav/Unfav

T. Branstad       75%/21%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19
R. Roberts        29 /11

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Experience To Do The Job?

T. Branstad       75%
B. Vander Plaats  13
R. Roberts         4
None of these      2
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Defeat Culver In The Nov. General Election?

T. Branstad       69%
B. Vander Plaats  17
R. Roberts         5
None of these      3
Undec              6

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Best Ideas For Bringing New Jobs To IA?

T. Branstad       52%
B. Vander Plaats  22
R. Roberts         7
None of these      3
Undec             16

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Cut The Amount Iowans Pay In Taxes?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  23
R. Roberts         8
None of these      4
Undec             17

Which Candidate Stands Out As Best Able To Curb Gov't Spending?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  27
R. Roberts         8
None of these      3
Undec             14

Which Candidate Stands Out As Most Committed To Making Decisions For Common Good That May Not Be Popular?

T. Branstad       48%
B. Vander Plaats  29
R. Roberts         8
None of these      2
Undec             13

Which Candidate Stands Out As Having The Freshest Iseas And New Approaches To IA's Problems?

T. Branstad       40%
B. Vander Plaats  34
R. Roberts        11
None of these      3
Undec             12

If Your Choice Is Not The Nominee, How Likely Is It You Will Support The Winner Of The Primary Against Culver In Nov.?

Definitely vote for GOP candidate          50%
Probably vote for GOP candidate            25
Might or might not vote for GOP candidate  10
Probably will not vote for GOP candidate    8
Undec/no candidate choice                   7

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/1-3 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 5/11 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   47% 41% 54% 45%  39% 37%  39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    33  41  24  27   25  30   23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   6   6   6   6    7   9    7   6    4    3
Others         1   1   1   1   --  n/a  n/a --   --    1
Undec         12  10  14  21   29  24   31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
R. Reid       44% 77%  7% 44% 38% 50% 42% 42%  43% 48%  49%
J. Gibbons    38  11  71  35  46  30  40  38   36  34   37
Other          2   1   3   3   1   2  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           5   4   6   7   6   4  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         11   7  13  11   9  14  18  20   21  18   14

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8
B. Sandoval   51% 19% 84% 57% 56% 46% 50% 51%  53% 49%  50%
R. Reid       37  68   5  31  34  40  35  29   31  34   33
Other          1   1   1   1   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
None           1   2  --   2   1   1  n/a n/a  n/a n/a  n/a
Undec         10  10  10   9   8  12  15  20   16  17   17

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8
B. Sandoval   44%/20% 34%/12% 33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%
R. Reid       29 /37  21 /33  22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29
J. Gibbons    27 /47  15 /54  17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             Now     5/11
B. Sandoval   49%/15% 43%/13%
J. Gibbons    33 /38  33 /41
M. Montandon  17 / 8  19 / 5

New Mexico
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/3; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/4). Tested: LG Diane Denish (D) and Doña Ana Co. DA Susana Martinez (R).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 5/25 3/24
S. Martinez  44% 42%  32%
D. Denish    42  43   51
Other         4   3    7
Undec        10  12   10

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/25    3/24
S. Martinez  55%/34% 57%/29% 30%/29%
D. Denish    51 /41  53 /41  55 /43

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/2; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/5). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R) and Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 5/19 4/15 3/16 2/10 12/10
T. Corbett  49% 49%  45%  46%  52%  44%
D. Onorato  33  36   36   29   26   28
Other        5   4    8    7    5    7
Undec       13  10   11   17   17   21

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/19    4/15    3/16    2/10    12/10
T. Corbett  59%/25% 57%/26% 56%/29% 59%/33% 67%/15% 59%/18%
D. Onorato  45 /35  46 /32  41 /32  36 /36  34 /35  30 /32

South Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 6/5-6; surveyed 998 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 6/6). Tested: Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom 5/23
N. Haley     43% 47% 39% 39%
G. Barrett   23  22  24  16
H. McMaster  16  16  15  18
A. Bauer     12  11  13  13
Undec         7   5   9  14

Primary Runoff Election Matchups

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     51% 56% 46%
G. Barrett   35  31  39
Undec        14  12  15

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     62% 66% 58%
A. Bauer     26  24  29
Undec        12  10  13

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     54% 58% 49%
H. McMaster  35  34  35
Undec        12   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Men     Wom     5/23
N. Haley     58%/23% 63%/20% 53%/26% 47%/13%
H. McMaster  45 /28  48 /28  42 /28  43 /22
G. Barrett   44 /19  41 /25  48 /13  28 /18
A. Bauer     29 /52  25 /55  33 /49  26 /49

Governor 2010

California
A Field Poll; conducted 5/27-6/2; surveyed 511 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 6/4). Tested: Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman.

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 3/15 1/17
M. Whitman  51% 51% 50% 63%  45%
S. Poizner  25  27  24  14   17
Other/undec 24  22  26  23   38

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/15    1/17    10/5
M. Whitman  62%/24% 56%/16% 34%/ 8% 29%/10%
S. Poizner  40 /39  20 /34  18 /19  24 /16

Which Candidate Has The Better Chance Of Defeating Brown In The General Election?

M. Whitman  61%
S. Poizner  21
Undec       18

A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 5/30-6/1; surveyed 750 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 6/3). Tested: Poizner and Whitman. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Poizner is "Businessman" and Whitman is "Businesswoman".)

Primary Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom 4/13
M. Whitman  54% 54% 55% 47%
S. Poizner  24  23  23  19
Other        4   4   3  n/a
Undec       16  17  17  31

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/3). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  43% 48% 41% 41%    T. Foley   38% 35% 44% 37% 
M. Fedele  34  28  38  33     N. Lamont  36  42  37  40
Other       4   9   9   8     Other       9  11   7   9
Undec      19  15  12  18     Undec      17  13  13  14

-          Now 5/4 4/1 2/1               Now 5/4 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  42% 44% 40% 36%    D. Malloy  44% 38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  28  27  37  35     T. Foley   35  35  44  36
Other       4  10   7   9     Other       5  11   8  10
Undec      25  20  16  21     Undec      17  16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     5/4     4/1     2/1
D. Malloy  52%/27% 46%/24% 47%/29% 43%/29%
N. Lamont  45 /34  53 /31  43 /40  43 /35
T. Foley   40 /25  42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  36 /26  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       44% 46% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  29  32  26
R. Roberts        12  11  13
Undec             15  11  19

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
T. Branstad       51% 15% 87% 56% 56% 46% 48% 54%
C. Culver         42  81   6  34  37  47  41  38
Undec              7   4   7  10   7   7  11   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         45% 83%  6% 41% 41% 49% 46% 48%
R. Roberts        35   6  70  34  40  30  36  26
Undec             20  11  24  25  19  21  18  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/5 2/17
C. Culver         43% 80%  6% 39% 39% 47% 44% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  42  10  83  39  48  36  40  38
Undec             15  10  11  22  13  17  16  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     5/5     2/17
T. Branstad       54%/36% 57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         44 /47  46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  41 /40  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        28 /37  27 /35  13 /16

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/31-6/2 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   48% 44% 52%
J. Gibbons    27  33  21
M. Montandon   6   7   5
Other          2   3   1
Undec         17  13  21

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       52% 85% 15% 55% 47% 57% 45% 83% 79%
J. Gibbons    31   4  62  27  38  24  37   2   7
Other          8   2  13  11  19   6  10   0   1
Undec          9   9  10   7   5  13   8  15  13

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
R. Reid       43% 78%  6% 40% 38% 48% 36% 80% 72%
M. Montandon  40   9  75  38  44  36  48   3  11
Other          7   3   8  13   7   7   8   0   1
Undec         10  10  11   9  11   9   8  17  16

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
B. Sandoval   51% 21% 84% 51% 56% 46% 59%  5% 26%
R. Reid       41  74   5  38  37  45  34  81  64
Other          5   3   6   9   5   5   6   0   0
Undec          3   2   5   2   2   4   1  14  10

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/28    9/2
B. Sandoval   47%/32% 24%/53% 74%/11% 43%/28%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       42 /39  68 /16  14 /62  39 /46   n/a     n/a
M. Montandon  32 /30   9 /52  59 / 8  29 /26   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    19 /62   5 /88  37 /33  12 /64  21%/59% 17%/61%

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 1,277 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 6/3). Party ID breakdown: 38%R, 37%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Branstad       52% 20% 85% 49% 53% 51%
C. Culver         37  71   7  33  39  36
Undec             11   9   8  19   9  13

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
R. Roberts        40% 10% 72% 35% 43% 36%
C. Culver         38  74   7  32  40  37
Undec             22  15  21  33  17  27

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Vander Plaats  43% 10% 77% 42% 46% 41%
C. Culver         38  75   5  33  40  35
Undec             19  15  19  25  15  23

Culver As Gov.

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve       28% 56%  4% 22% 30% 27%
Disapprove    56  26  84  59  56  56

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Dem     GOP     Ind
T. Branstad       42%/37% 23%/57% 62%/17% 39%/37%
B. Vander Plaats  28 /30  13 /43  45 /18  22 /28
R. Roberts        15 /19  11 /28  21 /14  14 /15

Maine
A ME Center for Public Opinion (R) poll; conducted 5/22-6/2 for '06 candidate/state Sen. Peter Mills (R); surveyed 915 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 6/3). Tested: Mills, atty/Sen. Collins ex-CoS/mgr. Steve Abbott (R), ex-Husson Univ. pres./CEO Bill Beardsley (R), businessman Matt Jacobson (R), Waterville Mayor Paul LePage (R), businessman/ex-Boston Red Sox vice chair Les Otten (R) and businessman Bruce Poliquin (R).

Primary Election Matchup

P. Mills      22%
L. Otten      17
S. Abbott     14
P. LePage     11
B. Beardsley   6
B. Poliquin    5
M. Jacobson    1
Undec         24

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 5/22-26 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 6/2). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon    29%
V. Bernero   23
Undec        48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra  30% 27%  27%  25%  29%
M. Cox       18  21   21   32   28
R. Snyder    17  15   12    3    3
M. Bouchard  16  13   10   16   14
T. George     2   3    1    2    2
Other        n/a  3    3   n/a  n/a
Undec        17  18   26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Bouchard  48%
V. Bernero   32
Undec        20

M. Bouchard  49%
A. Dillon    33
Undec        18

-            Now 3/31
M. Cox       46% 44%
V. Bernero   36  30
Undec        18  26

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26
M. Cox       46% 43%  43%  47%    
A. Dillon    37  34   36   30     
Undec        17  23   21   23

-            Now 3/31
P. Hoekstra  47% 42%
V. Bernero   34  29
Undec        19  29

-            Now 3/31 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra  47% 40%  41%  40%
A. Dillon    35  33   37   32
Undec        18  27   21   28

-            Now 3/31
R. Snyder    51% 42%
V. Bernero   28  26
Undec        21  32

-            Now 3/31
R. Snyder    50% 42%
A. Dillon    31  30
Undec        19  28

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/31    2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox       35%/28% 38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard  32 /13  31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra  31 /16  30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder    26 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon    13 /12  16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero    9 / 6   8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
T. George     4 / 3   4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Nevada
A Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-2; surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 6/3). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), Tony Atwood (R), '02/'06 candidate/'98 LG candidate/ret. postal worker Stan Lusak (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R) and ex-U.S. Dist. Judge/ex-AG/ex-Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom
B. Sandoval   47% 48% 45%
J. Gibbons    25  29  20
M. Montandon  10   7  13
S. Lusak       1   1   2
T. Atwood      1   1   0
Undec         16  13  19

Fav/Unfav

-             All     Men     Wom
B. Sandoval   58%/22% 59%/21% 57%/22%
J. Gibbons    37 /50  40 /48  33 /53
M. Montandon  25 /15  26 /17  23 /14
S. Lusak       3 /13   3 /11   2 /14
T. Atwood      5 /12   5 /11   4 /12

Governor 2010

Alabama
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Rep. Artur Davis (D-07), Ag. Commis. Ron Sparks (D), state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R), '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

General Election Matchups

R. Bentley  46%               R. Bentley  44%
A. Davis    33                R. Sparks   31
Other       12                Other       13
Undec        9                Undec        9

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
B. Byrne    47% 50%           B. Byrne    45% 43%
A. Davis    33  33            R. Sparks   32  33
Other       12   9            Other       13  11
Undec        8   9            Undec       10  13

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
T. James    45% 49%           T. James    42% 38%
A. Davis    39  35            R. Sparks   37  34
Other        8  10            Other       13  13
Undec        8   7            Undec        9  14

-           Now 3/29                      Now 3/29
R. Moore    43% 40%           R. Sparks   40% 40%  
A. Davis    40  44            R. Moore    38  35
Other       11  11            Other       15  15
Undec        6   6            Undec        7  10

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/29
A. Davis    48%/36% 47%/39%
R. Bentley  45 /27   n/a
B. Byrne    45 /33  48 /21
R. Moore    43 /46  49 /39
T. James    41 /42  43 /29
R. Sparks   40 /38  39 /35

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 5/19-26 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,506 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 521 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/30). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 28%R, 27%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 3/30
M. Whitman  53% 57% 49% 60%
S. Poizner  29  28  30  20
Other        5   4   7   3
Undec       12  10  14  16

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown    44% 65% 20% 39% 43% 46% 41%
M. Whitman  38  18  68  39  42  34  44
Other        5   3   3   8   5   4   2
Undec       12  11   7  13   9  14  13

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/30
J. Brown    45% 68% 20% 41% 45% 46% 53%
S. Poizner  31  11  61  31  32  31  22
Other        8   5   7  12   9   7   5
Undec       14  15  10  15  12  16  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/30    11/2
J. Brown    38%/33% 53%/12% 18%/61% 37%/36% 41%/28% 44%/27%
M. Whitman  32 /37  17 /47  54 /24  32 /37  30 /23  17 /14
S. Poizner  20 /40  14 /41  32 /36  19 /42  15 /23  11 / 7

Does ___ Better Describe Whitman/Poizner? (GOPers)

-                         Whitman Poizner Both Neither Undec
Will create jobs/get our
 economy going           55%     16%      6%   6%     16%
Will rein in gov't
 spending and reduce
 the CA debt             53      16       5    7      19
Will fight tax increases  48      20       6    7      19
Understands the problems
 and concerns of people
 like me                 43      22       3   11      21
Will help fix our
 immigration system      40      27       6    7      20
Has strong conservative
 values                  40      28       4    6      23

Have You Seen Or Heard Any Radio Or TV Ads For Any SEN Or GOV Candidates?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Yes     77% 73% 84% 77% 79% 75%
No      21  25  14  21  20  23

Iowa
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 474 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 6/1). Tested: Ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-                 All Men Wom
T. Branstad       46% 49% 42%
B. Vander Plaats  31  34  27
R. Roberts        13   9  16
Undec             11   8  15

Fav/Unfav

-                 All     Men     Wom
T. Branstad       59%/20% 61%/22% 56%/17%
B. Vander Plaats  47 /19  51 /20  42 /18
R. Roberts        24 /15  24 /17  24 /13

Michigan
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/25-27; surveyed 314 Dem primary LVs and 377 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.5% and 5.1%, respectively (release, 6/1). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
V. Bernero   26% 31% 23% 27% 20% 56%
A. Dillon    23  24  22  21  30  11
Undec        51  45  55  52  50  33

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
R. Snyder    20% 25% 15%
P. Hoekstra  19  22  16
M. Cox       17  21  12
M. Bouchard  15  11  20
T. George     9   7  11
Undec        20  14  27

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom     Wht     Blk     Oth
A. Dillon    14%/19% 17%/12% 11%/25% 15%/22% 10%/10% -- /28%
V. Bernero   13 /14  19 / 7   9/ 20  14 /15  10 /10  17 /11

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
P. Hoekstra  43%/17% 47%/19% 37%/15%
M. Cox       41 /24  53 /25  27 /23
R. Snyder    34 /10  38 /15  31 / 4
M. Bouchard  31 /15  29 /22  32 / 7
T. George     7 /10   8 /13   5 / 7

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: Gov. John Lynch (D), activist/businessman Jack Kimball (R), '02/'08 NH-01 candidate/ex-HHS Commis. John Stephen (R) and conservative think-tank founder Karen Testerman (R).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12 9/14
J. Lynch      50% 50% 51% 52%  52%
J. Kimball    31  34  32  31   31
Other          6   4   3   4    6
Undec         13  12  13  12   10

-             Now 4/7 3/8
J. Lynch      47% 47% 50%
J. Stephen    35  37  35
Other          4   5   2
Undec         14  11  14

-             Now 4/7 3/8 1/12
J. Lynch      51% 50% 54% 53%
K. Testerman  32  33  28  30
Other          6   6   5   5
Undec         11  11  14  12

Lynch As Gov.

-             Now 5/11 4/7 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
Approve       51% 56%  59% 63% 60%  58%  64%
Disapprove    47  43   39  36  39   38   34

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     4/7     3/8     1/12    9/12
J. Lynch      53%/43% 60%/35% 59%/37% 59%/38% 63%/33%
J. Stephen    36 /25  36 /27  32 /30   n/a     n/a
J. Kimball    31 /21  36 /26  27 /25  31 /28  28 /27
K. Testerman  31 /22  31 /27  22 /30  33 /30   n/a

Rhode Island
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/27; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/1). Tested: Treas. Frank Caprio (D), ex-GOP Sen. Lincoln Chafee (I), AG Patrick Lynch (D), accountant/ex-state Rep. Victor Moffitt (R) and ex-Gov. Carcieri comm. dir. John Robitaille (R).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      35% 33%  39%  37%
F. Caprio      32  33   28   27
J. Robitaille  25  21   22   19
Undec           9  13   11   17

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/25
L. Chafee      37% 35%  37%  38%
J. Robitaille  29  26   26   22
P. Lynch       19  24   22   24
Undec          15  15   15   16

F. Caprio      35%            L. Chafee      35%
L. Chafee      33             V. Moffitt     28          
V. Moffitt     22             P. Lynch       24
Undec          10             Undec          13

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/25
F. Caprio      61%/25% 56%/29% 53%/29% 52%/28%
L. Chafee      53 /39  53 /38  57 /37  55 /37
P. Lynch       36 /53  44 /45  45 /41  37 /48
J. Robitaille  36 /28  39 /27  35 /29  31 /31
V. Moffitt     31 /32   n/a     n/a     n/a

South Carolina
A Statehouse Report poll; conducted 5/25 by InsiderAdvantage (IVR); surveyed 402 Dem primary LVs and 591 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 4.0%, respectively (release, 5/28). Tested: State Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
V. Sheheen   26% 35% 19% 25% 27% 31% 16%
J. Rex       17  19  16  18  17   0   4
R. Ford      12   7  17   6  18  49   6
Undec        44  39  49  52  37  20  74

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
N. Haley     31% 33% 30%
A. Bauer     21  19  22
G. Barrett   14  15  13
H. McMaster  14  15  13
Undec        20  18  22

South Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/28). Tested: LG Dennis Daugaard (R), state Sen. Gordon Howie (R), state Sen. Dave Knudson (R), Buffalo Gap rancher Ken Knuppe (R), ex-Brookings Mayor Scott Munsterman (R) and state Sen. Scott Heidepriem (D).

General Election Matchups

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Daugaard    51% 53%  49%  41%
S. Heidepriem  36  33   32   32
Other           7   5    6    7
Undec           6   9   13   19

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
S. Heidepriem  49% 46%  39%  37%
G. Howie       36  31   34   29
Other           9   8    9   12
Undec           6  14   17   22

-              Now 4/21 3/25 2/23
D. Knudson     49% 41%  32%  31%
S. Heidepriem  34  41   37   34
Other          10   9   13   13
Undec           6  10   19   22

S. Heidepriem  47%
K. Knuppe      34
Other          12
Undec           8

S. Heidepriem  46%
S. Munsterman  38
Other           9
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     4/21    3/25    2/23
D. Daugaard    66%/23% 61%/23% 60%/14% 45%/22%
D. Knudson     59 /24  54 /21  35 /17  32 /21
S. Heidepriem  50 /38  48 /36  42 /33  42 /33
S. Munsterman  38 /37   n/a     n/a     n/a
G. Howie       36 /48  33 /36  38 /25  29 /29
K. Knuppe      29 /41   n/a     n/a     n/a

Governor 2010

Alabama
An Ayers, McHenry & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 5/3-4 for '02 candidate/businessman Tim James (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Tested: James, state Rep. Robert Bentley (R), AL Commun. College Chancellor/ex-state Sen. Bradley Byrne (R) and '06 candidate/ex-AL Chief Justice Roy Moore (R).

Primary Election Matchup

T. James    26%
R. Moore    21
B. Byrne    20
R. Bentley   7

Fav/Unfav

T. James    50%/12%
R. Moore    49 /23
B. Byrne    35 /13

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   32% 29% 35%
B. Mills    14  16  12
D. Martin   13  16  10
J. Munger    5   6   4
Undec       36  33  39

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 86% 15% 55% 44% 52% 41% 80% 74%
J. Brewer   42   6  73  36  47  37  51   3   9
Undec       10   9  12   9   9  11   8  17  17

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 14% 54% 43% 51% 40% 80% 74%
D. Martin   35   6  61  30  39  31  43   2   6
Undec       18  10  25  16  18  18  17  18  20

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  48% 85% 14% 56% 44% 52% 41% 82% 75%
B. Mills    34   6  60  27  38  30  42   2   6
Undec       18   9  26  17  18  18  17  17  19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
T. Goddard  47% 84% 13% 55% 44% 50% 40% 80% 75%
J. Munger   30   5  55  22  34  26  36   2   6
Undec       23  11  32  23  22  24  24  18  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
T. Goddard  46%/25% 75%/ 8% 22%/40% 49%/22%  n/a
J. Brewer   36 /51   9 /79  64 /25  25 /59  39%/54%
D. Martin   28 /17  13 /28  48 /10  17 /14   n/a
B. Mills    17 /20   9 /34  48 /11  16 /17   n/a
J. Munger    9 /15   4 /22  14 /10   7 /14   n/a

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/6). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
N. Lamont  48% 41% 41%        N. Lamont  42% 37% 40% 
M. Fedele  28  38  33         N. Lamont  35  44  37
Other       9   9   8         Other      11   7   9
Undec      15  12  18         Undec      13  13  14

-          Now 4/1 2/1                   Now 4/1 2/1
D. Malloy  44% 40% 36%        D. Malloy  38% 35% 37%
M. Fedele  27  37  35         T. Foley   35  44  36
Other      10   7   9         Other      11   8  10
Undec      20  16  21         Undec      16  14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     4/1     2/1
N. Lamont  53%/31% 43%/40% 43%/35%
D. Malloy  46 /24  47 /29  43 /29
T. Foley   42 /24  45 /25  42 /22
M. Fedele  38 /22  38 /26  39 /22

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
T. Branstad       48% 12% 85% 51% 53% 43% 54%
C. Culver         41  80   6  34  37  45  38
Undec             11   8   9  15  10  12   8

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         46% 83%  7% 43% 42% 50% 48%
R. Roberts        36   7  71  35  41  31  26
Undec             18  10  22  22  17  19  26

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Culver         44% 81%  6% 43% 42% 50% 41%
B. Vander Plaats  40   9  78  38  45  35  38
Undec             16  10  16  21  15  17  21

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/17
T. Branstad       57%/33% 61%/24%
C. Culver         46 /45  44 /43
B. Vander Plaats  39 /38  36 /34
R. Roberts        27 /35  13 /16

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
J. Kasich      46% 46%  49% 47% 47%  48%  46%
T. Strickland  45  45   38  41  40   39   45
Other           3   2    6   5   4    3    3
Undec           6   7    7   8   8   11    7

Strickland As Gov.

-              Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
Approve        48% 47%  43% 46% 43%  48%  47%
Disapprove     49  52   53  53  54   50   50

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     12/7    9/23
J. Kasich      51%/27% 46%/29% 48%/29% 47%/30% 45%/24% 47%/25%
T. Strickland  47 /48  46 /48  46 /48  44 /51  46 /46  48 /46

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
J. Hoeffel   11  12  11   9   7   6
T. Williams  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner     8   9   8   8   6   5
Other/undec  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
D. Onorato   40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10% 42%/ 6% 42%/ 6% 45%/ 5%
J. Hoeffel   21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7  25 / 8  22 / 8  23 / 7
T. Williams  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12  18 /13  16 /13  18 /14
J. Wagner    19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7  22 /10  19 /11  21 /11

California
A Los Angeles Times/USC College of Letters, Arts and Sciences poll; conducted 3/23-30 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D)/American Viewpoint (R); surveyed 1,515 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsample of 511 GOPers and unaffiliated voters who say they might vote in the GOP primary; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/3). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 45%D, 31%R, 20% decline-to-state, 4% other. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  60% 60% 61%
S. Poizner  20  23  17
Other        3   3   3
Undec       16  13  19

General Election Matchups (Split Samples)

-           All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom
M. Whitman  44% 27% 70% 40% 61% 45% 44%
J. Brown    41  58  18  39  37  44  38
Other        2   2   2   1   0   1   3
Undec       13  13  11  20   1  11  15

-           All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom
J. Brown    53% 72% 29% 47% 66% 59% 48%
S. Poizner  22   6  50  17  16  24  21
Other        5   5   5   6   8   5   6
Undec       19  17  17  30  11  13  25

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     11/2
J. Brown    41%/28% 43%/32% 39%/25% 44%/27%
M. Whitman  30 /23  31 /26  30 /21  17 /14
S. Poizner  15 /23  15 /29  15 /19  11 / 7

Is It More Important To You That A GOV Candidate Has A Background Working In Business, Or Is It More Important To You That A GOV Candidate Has A Background In Gov't?

-           All Dem GOP DTS Oth Men Wom 11/2
Business    40% 26% 59% 41% 50% 46% 35% 41%
Gov't       35  48  18  33  27  32  38  41
Both        15  14  17  16  12  14  16   9
Neither      6   5   2   3   4   3   4   6

How Important A Factor Is It That Someone Is A "True Conservative" When Considering Who You Will Support For The GOP Nod For SEN Or GOV? (GOPers)?

-                       All Men Wom
Extremely important     20% 20% 20%
Very important          26  24  28
Somewhat important      31  30  43
Not at all important    20  21  19

When Considering Whom To Support For The GOP Nod For SEN Or GOV, Would You Prefer A Strong Conservative Candidate Who Can Motivate GOPers, Or Do You Prefer A More Centrist Candidate Who Has Greater Appeal To Indies? (GOPers)

-               All Men Wom
Centrist        46% 52% 40%
Conservative    42  38  45
Both             6   5   6

Iowa
A Magellan Data And Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 1,353 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.7% (release, 4/1). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Branstad       50% 19% 79% 55% 54% 46%
C. Culver         34  69   7  21  33  36
Other              8   5   9  10   7   9
Undec              8   8   5  13   6   9

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Culver         38% 73%  8% 28% 37% 40%
R. Roberts        32   9  58  29  37  27
Other             12   7  15  17  11  14
Undec             18  11  19  26  15  20

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Vander Plaats  40% 11% 74% 36% 45% 35%
C. Culver         39  74   8  29  38  39
Other              9   6   9  12   7  10
Undec             13  10  10  23  10  16

Culver As Gov.

-             All Dem GOP Ind
Approve       30% 57%  9% 19%
Disapprove    56  28  81  63

Fav/Unfav

T. Branstad       48%/36%
C. Culver         33 /58
B. Vander Plaats  26 /31
R. Roberts        12 /22

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
T. Branstad       52% 53%  54%         
C. Culver         36  37   34          
Other              6   6    8          
Undec              6   4    4 

C. Culver         40%
R. Roberts        38
Other             10
Undec             13

-                 Now 2/18 9/22
B. Vander Plaats  42% 46%  43%
C. Culver         40  40   39
Other              8   7    9
Undec             11   7    9

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/18    9/22
T. Branstad       61%/33% 57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  43 /31  43 /34  45 /30
C. Culver         39 /55  42 /55  43 /50
R. Roberts        30 /28   n/a     n/a

Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 630 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich      42% 10% 73% 47% 47% 37%
T. Strickland  37  70  10  24  36  39
Undec          21  10  17  29  18  24

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve        33% 53% 14% 28% 35% 31%
Disapprove     47  23  69  54  50  44

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind
J. Kasich      25%/24% 14%/30% 37%/17% 28%/25%

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Anthony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25
D. Onorato   11%  6%  10%  10%
J. Wagner     7   6    4    9
J. Hoeffel    5   6    4    6
A. Williams   4   1   n/a  n/a
Other         2   9   10    9
Undec        71  72   72   66

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            Now 2/21 1/24
T. Corbett   28% 26%  23%
S. Rohrer     4   4    5
Other         2   5    3
Undec        66  65   69

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/21
T. Corbett   22%/ 7% 21%/ 6%

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: State Sen. Susan Bartlett (D), Google community affairs mgr./'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Matt Dunne (D), Sec/State Deb Markowitz (D), '02 nominee/state Sen./ex-LG Doug Racine (D), '02 LG nominee/state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Peter Shumlin (D) and LG Brian Dubie (R).

B. Dubie      52%
S. Bartlett   26
Other          7
Undec         14

B. Dubie      51%
M. Dunne      29
Other          6
Undec         14

B. Dubie      46%
D. Markowitz  39
Other          4
Undec         10

B. Dubie      48%
D. Racine     35
Other          5
Undec         12

B. Dubie      51%
P. Shumlin    33
Other          6
Undec         10

Fav/Unfav

B. Dubie      61%/29%
D. Markowitz  53 /33
D. Racine     45 /33
P. Shumlin    37 /45
S. Bartlett   29 /42
M. Dunne      29 /42

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer (R), Treas. Dean Martin (R), NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills (R), ex-state GOP Chair John Munger (R) and '90 nominee/AG Terry Goddard (D).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 1/20 11/18 9/24
T. Goddard  45% 43%  44%   42%
J. Brewer   36  41   35    35
Other       12   7    9    13
Undec        7   9   12    11

-           Now 1/20 11/18
D. Martin   43% 44%  38%
T. Goddard  38  35   40
Other        6   6   11
Undec       13  14   11

B. Mills    43%
T. Goddard  37
Other        7
Undec       13

T. Goddard  42%
J. Munger   36
Other       13
Undec        9

Brewer As Gov.

-           Now 1/20 11/18 9/24 7/21 5/6
Approve     41% 37%  39%   37%  48%  51%
Disapprove  55  60   57    57   48   45

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     1/20    11/18   9/24
T. Goddard  54%/31% 54%/32% 51%/35% 54%/38%
D. Martin   47 /23  43 /28  41 /27   n/a
J. Brewer   38 /57  42 /53  44 /48  42 /54
B. Mills    35 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Munger   33 /27   n/a     n/a     n/a

California
A Field Poll; conducted 3.9-15 for the CA HealthCare Foundation; surveyed 503 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23).

How Important Is ___ In Deciding For Whom You Will Vote For GOV?

-                       MostImportant Important NotImportant
Jobs/economy            69%           28%        3%
State budget deficit    68            28         4
Education               60            35         5
Health care             51            40         9
Taxes                   47            41        10
Illegal immigration     37            45        17
Water                   36            51        12
Gas prices/energy       29            54        16
Crime/prisons           28            59        13
Enviro protection       26            51        23
Reform CA consitution   25            36        33
Global warming          23            41        35

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22).

Culver As Gov.

-            Now 2/18 9/22
Approve      41% 41%  43%
Disapprove   55  57   53

Governor 2010

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 2/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 2/22). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 9/22                           Now 9/22
T. Branstad  53% 54%          B. Vander Plaats  46% 43%
C. Culver    37  34           C. Culver         40  39
Other         6   8           Other              7   9
Undec         4   4           Undec              7   9

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     9/22
T. Branstad       57%/38% 64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  43 /34  45 /30
C. Culver         42 /55  43 /50

Culver As Gov.

-            Now 9/22
Approve      41% 43%
Disapprove   57  53

Kansas
A KWCH-TV poll; conducted 2/12-14 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4/0% (release, 2/16).

Brownback As Sen.

-           Now 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19 6/14 5/29
Approve     56% 51%  49%   57%   48%  54%  50%  54%  53%
Disapprove  37  40   40    30    42   36   34   36   37

Nevada
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/15-16 for the Retail Assn of NV; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 185 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 7.2% (release, 2/22). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. Sandoval   38%
J. Gibbons    32
M. Montandon   9
Undec         19M

General Election Matchups

R. Reid       47%
J. Gibbons    36
Undec         14

M. Montandon  40%
R. Reid       40
Undec         19M

B. Sandoval   50%
R. Reid       34
Undec         15

Fav/Unfav

B. Sandoval   37%/10%
J. Gibbons    29 /58
R. Reid       23 /37
M. Montandon  10 / 5

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 2/16-21; surveyed 1,662 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.4% (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and ex-Rep. John Kasich (R).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
T. Strickland  44% 82% 11% 38% 38% 48% 40%  46%  43% 51% 51%
J. Kasich      39   9  73  38  45  33  40   36   38  32  31
Other           1   1  --   1   1  --   1    2    2   1   1
Not vote        2  --  --   4   2   1   1    1    1   1   2
Undec          15   8  16  19  13  17  18   15   16  16  15

Strickland As Gov.

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve        48% 73% 28% 44% 45% 50% 45%  48%  46% 57% 56%
Disapprove     40  20  59  43  47  35  43   42   42  29  30

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/9
T. Strickland  45%/36% 68%/15% 22%/59% 45%/37% 38%/37%
J. Kasich      26 /10  10 /17  42 / 4  29 /10  23 / 7

Strickland Handling Economy

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15
Approve        35% 60% 16% 33% 35% 35% 33%  33%  33% 43% 39%
Disapprove     53  32  71  56  55  51  52   54   53  43  45

Strickland Handling OH Budget

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Approve        32% 51% 15% 30% 32% 32% 36%  32% 43% 44%  48%
Disapprove     51  31  68  54  53  49  47   53  40  36   30

Who Would Do A Better Job Rebuilding OH's Economy?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich      41% 15% 67% 44% 48% 35% 41%
T. Strickland  35  64  11  31  33  37  33
No difference   2   2   1   2   2   1  --
Undec          22  19  20  23  17  27  27

Who Would Do A Better Job Handling OH's Budget?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9
J. Kasich      42% 18% 70% 43% 50% 35% 42%
T. Strickland  36  66  11  31  36  37  34
No difference   1   1   1   1   1   1  --
Undec          21  15  19  25  14  27  25

Who Do You Trust More To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Kasich      36% 13% 63% 36% 41% 31%
T. Strickland  35  63  13  31  34  36
No difference   6   5   3   8   8   4
Undec          22  19  21  25  16  28

Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Strickland  40% 70% 14% 37% 37% 42%
J. Kasich      36  11  66  35  42  31
No difference   3   1   3   5   5   2
Undec          21  17  18  23  16  25

Do You Think Strickland Has Kept His Campaign Promises So Far?

-      All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/15 2/09
Yes    34% 55% 17% 31% 36% 32% 32%  37%  34% 44% 46%  46%
No     45  28  59  48  46  43  43   40   40  32  30   27

Texas
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 2/19-21; surveyed 361 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 5.2% and +/- 4.9%, respectively (release, 2/23). Tested: Gov. Rick Perry (R), Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R), Wharton Co. GOP chair/ex-nurse Debra Medina (R), physician Alma Ludivina Aguado (D), teacher Felix Alvarado (D), private investigator Bill Dear (D), Prairie View A & M assoc. prof. Clement Glenn (D), '06 GOP candidate/rancher/home-builder Star Locke (D), hair-care mogul Farouk Shami (D) and Houston Mayor Bill White (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 2/7
B. White      59% 57% 61% 72% 52% 48% 38% 49%
F. Shami      12  17   9   6  14  19  25  19
F. Alvarado    5   4   5  --  --  14  --   5
A. Aguado      3   3   2   2  --   5  --   2
C. Glenn       2   3   1   1   3  --  13   1
B. Dear        1   3  --   1   3  --  --   0
S. Locke       0   1  --  --  --  --  13   0
Undec         18  12  22  24  17  28  14  13

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
R. Perry      40% 34% 47% 39%
K. Hutchison  31  34  28  28
D. Medina     20  24  16  24
Undec          9   8   9  10

Primary Runoff Election Matchups (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry      52% 48% 57%
K. Hutchison  35  37  33
Undec         12  15   9

-             All Men Wom
R. Perry      56% 52% 60%
D. Medina     36  40  32
Undec          8   8   9

Perry As Gov. (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve       50% 44% 56% 50%
Disapprove    41  45  36  36

Hutchison As Sen. (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom 2/7
Approve       47% 47% 48% 51%
Disapprove    43  44  42  28

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             All     Men     Wom     2/7
G.W. Bush     79%/14% 76%/18% 82%/10%  n/a
R. Paul       38 /30  43 /32  32 /28   n/a
D. Medina     36 /30  40 /29  32 /32  40%/ 9%

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 11/8-11 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 539 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.2% (releases, 11/14-16). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), businessman Christian Fong (R), State Rep./ex-state House Speaker Chris Rants (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups (LVs)
T. Branstad       57%         C. Culver         42%
C. Culver         33          C. Fong           34
Not vote           2          Not vote           4
Undec              8          Undec             20

C. Culver         42%         B. Vander Plaats  45%
C. Rants          35          C. Culver         37
Not vote           5          Not vote           5
Undec             18          Undec             18

Fav/Unfav
-                 Now     9/16
T. Branstad       60%/22% 59%/22%
C. Culver         48 /46  55 /38
B. Vander Plaats  24 /12  22 /16
C. Rants          14 /11  15 /13
C. Fong           10 / 6  11 / 5

Culver As Gov.
-           Now 9/16 4/1 1/09
Approve     40% 50%  55% 60%
Disapprove  49  39   36  32

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/12-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/16). Party ID breakdown: 32%D, 31%R, 37%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), state Rep. Chris Rants (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups
-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Branstad       48% 11% 87% 47% 53% 43%
C. Culver         43  79   7  42  39  47
Undec              9  10   6  11   8  10

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Culver         58% 89% 13% 69% 54% 62%
C. Rants          28   6  59  20  33  23
Undec             14   5  28  11  13  15

-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Culver         55% 86% 13% 63% 52% 58%
B. Vander Plaats  33   8  66  27  37  29
Undec             12   6  21  10  11  13

Fav/Unfav
-                 All     Dem     GOP     Ind
T. Branstad       57%/26% 30%/49% 83%/ 7% 58%/23%
C. Culver         56 /39  73 /22  37 /59  58 /37
B. Vander Plaats  22 /24   6 /41  45 / 6  17 /25
C. Rants          13 /21   5 /29  28 /12   8 /22

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/24). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R) and '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee Bob Vander Plaats (R).

General Election Matchups
T. Branstad  54%              B. Vander Plaats  43%
C. Culver    34               C. Culver         39
Other         8               Other              9
Undec         4               Undec              9

Fav/Unfav
T. Branstad       64%/29%
B. Vander Plaats  45 /30
C. Culver         43 /50

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 9/22; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 9/23).

Culver As Gov.
Approve     43%
Disapprove  53

Governor - Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Des Moines Register poll; conducted 9/14-16 by Selzer & Co.; surveyed 803 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 9/19).

Reelect Culver?
-                               Now 4/1
Definitely vote for             28% 35%
Consider an alternative         27  28
Definitely vote for alternative 21  18
Would not vote                  15  11
Undec                            9   8

Culver As Gov.
-           Now 4/1 1/09
Approve     50% 55% 60%
Disapprove  39  36  32

Fav/Unfav
T. Branstad       59%/22%
C. Culver         55 /38
B. Vander Plaats  22 /16
C. Rants          15 /13
C. Fong           11 / 5
P. McKinley       10 / 6
J. Behn            8 / 6
R. Roberts         7 / 6

Has Culver Done A Better Or Worse Job Than You Expected Since He Took Office?
A lot better       4%
A little better   11
Met expectations  46
A little worse    18
A lot worse       15

Governor-Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
A KAAL-TV poll; conducted 8/26-27 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 8/31).

Culver As Gov.
-           Now 7/19 6/14 5/29 4/26 3/22 2/22 1/21
Approve     36% 44%  42%  48%  42%  46%  46%  50%
Disapprove  51  50   51   47   50   48   47   38

Governor-Iowa (2010)

Governor (2010)
An IA First Foundation (R) poll; conducted 7/23-26 by Hill Research Consultants (R); surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 8/22). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee/businessman Bob Vander Plaats (R), ex-IA GOP chair Michael Mahaffey (R), state Rep./ex-state House Speaker Christopher Rants (R), state Senate Min. Leader Paul McKinley (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R) and businessman Christian Fong (R).

General Election Matchups

T. Branstad         53%         C. Culver           44%

C. Culver           34          B. Vander Plaats    35



C. Culver           43%         C. Culver           45%

M. Mahaffey         29          C. Rants            30



C. Culver           45%         C. Culver           46%

P. McKinley         28          R. Roberts          25



C. Culver           46%

C. Fong             25



Fav/Unfav

T. Branstad         68%/15%

T. Vilsack          55 /25

C. Culver           52 /38

B. Vander Plaats    28 /12

M. Mahaffey         17 / 5

C. Rants            17 /10

P. McKinley         12 / 4

R. Roberts           9 / 4

C. Fong              8 / 6

Iowa - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Voter Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 7/2 and 7/5-6 for TheIowaRepublican.com/Concordia Group LLC (R); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Separate sample of 394 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 7/17). Party ID Breakdown (adults): 37%D, 35%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D), ex-Gov. Terry Branstad (R), '02 candidate/'06 LG nominee/businessman Bob Vander Plaats (R), state Rep./ex-state House Speaker Christopher Rants (R), state Senate Min. Leader Paul McKinley (R), state Rep. Rod Roberts (R), businessman Christian Fong (R) and state Sen. Jerry Behn (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
T. Branstad     35%
B. V. Plaats    31
C. Rants         6
P. McKinley      2
R. Roberts       1
C. Fong          1
J. Behn         --
Neither/other    3
Undec           19

General Election Matchup
T. Brandstad    53%
C. Culver       37
Neither          4
Undec            6

Iowa - Governor (2010)

Governor (2010)
A Voter Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 7/2,5-6 for TheIowaRepublican.com and Concordia Group LLC; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 7/9). Tested: Gov. Chet Culver (D).

Culver As Gov.
Approve     53%
Disapprove  41

Fav/Unfav
C. Culver   48%/41%

Would You Vote To ___?
Re-elect Culver          36%
Give someone else chance 53
Undec.                   11