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Showing posts with label FL Senate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FL Senate. Show all posts

Monday, June 21, 2010

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Denver Post/KUSA-TV poll; conducted 6/15-17 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 1,565 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5%. Subsamples of 506 Dem primary LVs and 747 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% and 3.6%, respectively (release, 6/20). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R). (Note: Varying split sample sizes were used for general election matchups.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            All Men Wom
M. Bennet 53% 56% 49%
A. Romanoff 36 36 37
Undec 11 8 14

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 53% 59% 45%
J. Norton 37 33 42
Undec 10 8 13

General Election Matchup (1,565 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 46% 51% 41%
M. Bennet 43 41 45
Third party 6 5 6
Undec 5 3 8

General Election Matchup (1,498 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
J. Norton 47% 50% 44%
M. Bennet 44 42 46
Third party 5 6 5
Undec 4 2 5

General Election Matchup (1,437 RVs; MoE +/- 2.6%)
-            All Men Wom
K. Buck 49% 55% 42%
A. Romanoff 40 37 43
Third party 6 5 6
Undec 5 2 8

General Election Matchup (1,504 RVs; MoE +/- 2.5%)
-            All Men Wom
J. Norton 45% 50% 39%
A. Romanoff 41 38 43
Third party 8 7 8
Undec 7 4 10

Florida
A FL Chamber Of Commerce poll; conducted 6/9-13 by Cherry Comm.; surveyed 607 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup
C. Crist    42%
M. Rubio 31
K. Meek 14
Undec 12

Crist As Gov.
Approve     60%
Disapprove 30

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 50% 51%
B. Blakeman 38 31
Other 2 8
Undec 10 10

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 49% 51%
J. DioGuardi 38 28
Other 2 7
Undec 12 13

-              Now 5/12
K. Gillibrand 49% 46%
D. Malpass 34 27
Other 3 10
Undec 13 16

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     5/12    4/8     3/1     1/18
K. Gillibrand 49%/38% 57%/37% 46%/34% 50%/37% 46%/41%
J. DioGuardi 35 /27 29 /32 n/a n/a n/a
B. Blakeman 32 /27 29 /33 n/a n/a n/a
D. Malpass 30 /29 24 /31 n/a n/a n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

General Election Matchups
C. Schumer   54%              C. Schumer   54%
G. Berntsen 35 J. Townsend 33
Other 5 Other 6
Undec 6 Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
C. Schumer   60%/37%
G. Berntsen 36 /27
J. Townsend 32 /30

Utah
A Wenzel Strategies (R) poll; conducted 6/17 for the Senate Conservatives Fund (R); surveyed 642 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/18). Tested: '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater and '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Mike Lee. (Note: The Senate Conservatives Fund is supporting Lee.)

Primary Election Matchup
-               All Men Wom
M. Lee 45% 42% 47%
T. Bridgewater 35 38 34

A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 6/12-17 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 581 "active" GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/20). Tested: Bridgewater and Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
T. Bridgewater  42%
M. Lee 33
Undec 25

How Would You Rate The Two Candidates' Views?
-                        Bridgewater Lee
Too conservative 9% 15%
About right 65 65
Not conservative enough 14 11

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R) and ex-LG Jane Norton (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 46% 45% 44% 44% 45% 43% 42%
M. Bennet 41 40 40 38 41 38 38
Other 5 5 3 6 5 4 8
Undec 8 11 12 11 8 15 12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15                
J. Norton 46% 48% 46% 48% 51% 49% 46% 45%
M. Bennet 40 41 41 39 37 37 37 36
Other 9 5 5 7 5 3 8 7
Undec 5 6 8 6 7 11 8 12

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8
K. Buck 45% 45% 45% 41% 45% 40% 41%
A. Romanoff 39 40 37 40 39 39 39
Other 6 5 4 5 6 5 6
Undec 11 11 13 13 10 16 14

-            Now 5/3 4/5 3/2 2/2 1/13 12/8 9/15
J. Norton 43% 46% 49% 44% 45% 47% 45% 45%
A. Romanoff 42 39 38 42 38 35 34 34
Other 7 6 5 6 7 5 7 8
Undec 8 8 8 9 10 14 15 15

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/3     4/5     3/2     2/2     1/13
A. Romanoff 45%/42% 46%/34% 39%/39% 42%/38% 40%/37% 40%/36%
K. Buck 44 /32 43 /33 42 /22 40 /23 43 /26 38 /20
J. Norton 44 /44 46 /39 43 /39 49 /34 49 /31 51 /28
M. Bennet 39 /50 45 /45 45 /41 42 /43 42 /40 42 /40

Connecticut
A Moore Information (R) poll; conducted June 1-3 for ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R), surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (McArdle, Roll Call, 6/8). Tested: McMahon and AG Richard Blumenthal (D).

General Election Matchup
R. Blumenthal  51%
L. McMahon 38

Fav/Unfav
R. Blumenthal  55%/32%
L. McMahon 41 /32

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), developer/financier Jeff Greene (D), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchups
-          Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio 37% 39% 34% 37% 42%
C. Crist 37 31 38 30 22
K. Meek 15 18 17 22 25
Undec 11 12 11 11 11

C. Crist   41%
M. Rubio 37
J. Greene 13
Undec 10

Crist As Gov.
-              Now 5/16 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14
Approve 60% 57% 62% 56% 57% 45% 52% 51% 52%
Disapprove 37 42 38 43 42 54 45 47 45

Fav/Unfav
-          Now     5/16    5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18
C. Crist 62%/37% 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41%
M. Rubio 46 /38 46 /43 42 /48 51 /37 48 /34 51 /27
K. Meek 30 /39 33 /36 32 /36 38 /31 33 /39 42 /33
J. Greene 28 /41 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 6/1-7; surveyed 1,133 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.9% (release, 6/9). Tested: Crist, Greene, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchups
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13
C. Crist 37% 37% 28% 51% 36% 38% 32%
M. Rubio 33 7 64 26 39 29 30
K. Meek 17 44 2 10 13 20 24
Other -- 1 -- 1 1 -- --
Not vote 1 1 -- 2 2 1 1
Undec 11 11 6 10 9 12 13

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist 40% 46% 28% 51% 39% 40%
M. Rubio 33 6 66 25 36 31
J. Greene 14 35 2 10 13 16
Other 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 1 -- 1 1 1
Undec 11 11 4 12 10 12

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/13    1/24
C. Crist 52%/33% 55%/28% 44%/44% 59%/29% 48%/35% 52%/36%
M. Rubio 36 /28 8 /47 63 /11 31 /30 36 /22 32 /14
K. Meek 17 /13 34 / 6 5 /21 16 /11 18 / 8 18 / 8
J. Greene 11 /11 16 /11 4 /13 15 / 8 n/a n/a
M. Ferre 8 / 6 14 / 7 5 / 8 7 / 4 n/a n/a

Crist As Gov.
-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/13 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/09
Approve 57% 61% 49% 62% 55% 58% 49% 50% 59% 60% 62%
Disapprove 35 31 44 33 39 31 39 38 31 30 28

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Crist Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 43% 47% 39% 46% 41% 45%
What's popular 48 44 55 47 52 45

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Rubio Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 33% 22% 52% 30% 38% 29%
What's popular 42 54 28 47 42 43

Whether You Personally Agree With Him Or Not, Do You Think Meek Makes Decisions Based On Principle And What He Thinks Is Right, Or Does He Make Decisions Based On What He Thinks Is Popular At The Time?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
What's right 20% 35% 15% 16% 20% 19%
What's popular 36 25 38 40 41 31

As You May Know, Crist Dropped Out Of The GOP Primary To Run As An Indie? Which Statement About Crist Best Represents Your View -- Crist Left The GOP Because He No Longer Agreed With The Party's Core Beliefs, Or Crist Left The GOP Because He Thought He Could Not Win The Nomination?
-                  All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
No longer agreed 32% 41% 20% 37% 28% 35%
Could not win nod 60 48 76 57 64 56

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 6/9). Tested: Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D) and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchups
-               Now 4/28 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 10/14 8/11
M. Kirk 42% 46% 41% 41% 46% 39% 41% 41%
A. Giannoulias 39 38 37 44 40 42 41 38
Other 7 5 8 5 4 3 4 4
Undec 12 12 13 10 10 15 13 17

Fav/Unfav
-               Now     4/28    4/5     3/8     2/3
M. Kirk 48%/39% 52%/31% 51%/36% 49%/33% 55%/33%
A. Giannoulias 39 /46 42 /47 42 /44 44 /43 46 /39

Monday, May 24, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/17-19 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/21). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-            All Men Wom 3/10
T. Campbell 37% 41% 33% 33%
C. Fiorina 22 17 27 24
C. DeVore 14 18 10 7
Undec 27 24 30 36

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10
B. Boxer 47% 80% 7% 42% 41% 53% 47%
T. Campbell 40 9 82 40 46 34 43
Undec 13 11 11 18 13 13 10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer 47% 80% 7% 43% 41% 53% 49% 53%
C. DeVore 38 7 80 38 44 32 39 29
Undec 15 13 13 19 15 15 12 18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/10 8/12
B. Boxer 48% 82% 7% 43% 42% 54% 49% 52%
C. Fiorina 39 8 81 39 45 33 40 31
Undec 13 10 12 18 13 13 11 17

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/10    8/12
B. Boxer 49%/42% 73%/17% 18%/77% 48%/40% 50%/45% 49%/43%
T. Campbell 43 /42 21 /64 71 /15 44 /41 46 /37 38 /29
C. Fiorina 40 /43 17 /66 68 /14 41 /44 35 /43 22 /29
C. DeVore 38 /44 15 /66 68 /13 40 /45 34 /42 21 /27

Connecticut
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll; conducted 5/19-20 for AG Dick Blumenthal (D); surveyed 602 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/24). Tested: Blumenthal and ex-WWE CEO Linda McMahon (R).

General Election Matchup
R. Blumenthal  55%
L. McMahon 40

Fav/Unfav
R. Blumenthal  55%/28%

Florida
A St. Petersburg Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9/Central Florida News 13 poll; conducted 5/14-18 by Ipsos Public Affairs; surveyed 607 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (releases, 5/22-24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R), ex-Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre (D) and developer/financier Jeff Greene (D).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
K. Meek    33%
M. Ferre 10
J. Greene 9
Other 3
Not vote 4
Undec 41

General Election Matchup
-          All Dem GOP Ind
C. Crist 30% 38% 26% 39%
M. Rubio 27 8 51 12
K. Meek 15 33 3 7
Other 2 1 1 9
Not vote 3 2 0 5
Undec 23 18 19 29

Does Crist Leaving The GOP And Running As An Indie Make You More/Less Likely Top Vote For Him, Or Has It Not Changed Your View Of Him?
-                                            All Dem GOP Ind
More likely 24% 36% 12% 26%
Less likely 21 11 35 10
Not changed/wld vote for him in any case 25 28 23 29
Not changed/wldn't vote for him in any case 17 16 20 0

As You May Know, FL's State Legislature Has Passed A New Bill That Would Require Ultrasound Tests For Pregnant Women Seeking Abortions In The First Trimester. The Woman Would Be Required To Pay For The Ultrasound And Look At The Image Or Listen To A Description Of The Image On The Ultrasound. The New Bill Would Also Mean That The Woman's Insurance Would Not Cover The Abortion If Her Employer Accepts Any Gov't Funds. Do You Believe That Crist Should Veto This Bill Or Allow This Bill To Pass Into Law?
-      All Dem GOP Ind
Veto 55% 60% 47% 72%
Pass 31 26 40 26
Undec 14 14 12 2

As You May Know, Crist Recently Vetoed The Teacher Tenure Bill That Was Approved By GOPers In The FL House And Senate. This Bill Would Have Replaced Multi-Year Contracts For New Teachers With Annual Evaluations. Do You Agree/Disagree With Crist's Decision To Veto The Bill?
-              All Dem GOP Ind
Agree 53% 54% 51% 60%
Disagree 29 29 32 26
Neither/undec 19 17 17 14

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R) and ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 4/15
J. DioGuardi 15% 15% 14% 24%
B. Blakeman 8 12 4 7
D. Malpass 4 3 5 5
Undec 74 70 76 65

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand 51% 71% 22% 44% 50% 52% 46% 48% 51%
B. Blakeman 24 9 50 28 28 21 26 24 24
Undec 25 20 28 28 22 27 28 28 25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand 51% 70% 23% 46% 50% 52% 46%
J. DioGuardi 25 8 54 30 29 22 27
Undec 24 22 24 24 21 26 27

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15
K. Gillibrand 53% 73% 21% 47% 53% 52% 46%
D. Malpass 22 6 50 26 25 20 24
Undec 25 21 29 27 22 28 30

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/15
K. Gillibrand 42%/24% 47%/18% 34%/34% 38%/27% 34%/25%
J. DioGuardi 10 / 8 9 / 7 12 / 5 12 /10 10 / 8
B. Blakeman 6 / 6 6 / 6 6 / 4 5 / 8 6 / 6
D. Malpass 5 / 6 6 / 6 5 / 4 3 / 8 5 / 5

Elect Gillibrand?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/15 3/18 2/19 1/14
Elect her 36% 46% 24% 27% 37% 34% 27% 28% 30% 29%
Prefer another 38 27 54 41 40 36 40 38 40 45
Undec 27 26 22 32 23 30 33 34 30 26

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 5/17-20; surveyed 905 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.3% (release, 5/24). Tested: Sen. Chuck Schumer (D), ex-CIA operative Gary Berntsen (R), Nassau Co. Comp. George Maragos (R), '08 Assemb. candidate/businessman James Staudenraus (R) and GOP consultant Jay Townsend (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-               All Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/12
C. Schumer 78% 83% 75% 76% 86% 89% 83%
R. Credico 11 11 11 14 4 5 9
Undec 11 6 14 10 11 5 8

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-               All Men Wom
J. Townsend 10% 12% 10%
G. Maragos 5 3 6
G. Berntsen 3 6 1
J. Staudenraus 1 1 1
Undec 81 78 83

General Election Matchups
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 64% 83% 35% 58% 62% 66%
G. Berntsen 23 7 49 26 29 18
Undec 13 10 16 17 10 16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 65% 83% 35% 59% 62% 67%
G. Maragos 22 7 51 23 28 17
Undec 13 10 14 17 10 16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 65% 84% 35% 57% 62% 67%
J. Staudenraus 21 7 47 23 26 17
Undec 14 9 18 20 11 16

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Schumer 63% 82% 35% 54% 60% 66%
J. Townsend 24 9 51 27 31 18
Undec 13 9 14 19 9 16

Fav/Unfav
-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
C. Schumer 64%/27% 77%/15% 47%/41% 54%/35% 62%/27%
J. Townsend 9 / 7 11 / 8 6 / 6 8 / 7 n/a
G. Maragos 6 / 6 7 / 5 2 / 6 7 / 6 n/a
R. Credico 4 / 6 5 / 5 2 / 6 3 / 9 n/a
J. Staudenraus 3 / 4 2 / 4 3 / 5 3 / 4 n/a
G. Berntsen 3 / 5 4 / 4 2 / 4 2 / 9 n/a

Re-Elect Schumer?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
Re-elect him 52% 69% 35% 38% 51% 53% 56% 55%
Prefer another 35 20 50 49 39 32 31 36
Undec 13 11 15 13 10 15 13 9

North Dakota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/18-19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/24). Tested: Gov. John Hoeven (R) and state Sen. Tracy Potter (D).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 4/20 3/23 2/10
J. Hoeven 72% 69% 68% 71%
T. Potter 23 24 25 17
Other 2 2 2 4
Undec 3 5 5 8

Hoeven As Gov.
-           Now 4/20 12/15
Approve 87% 83% 87%
Disapprove 12 15 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     4/20    3/23    2/10    12/15
J. Hoeven 85%/12% 82%/16% 83%/14% 83%/12% 82%/15%
T. Potter 38 /33 43 /31 40 /29 37 /32 n/a

Monday, May 17, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup
-         Now 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio 39% 34% 37% 42%
C. Crist 31 38 30 22
K. Meek 18 17 22 25
Undec 12 11 11 11

Crist As Gov.
-             Now 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 57% 62% 56% 57% 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 42 38 43 42 54 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18    1/27
C. Crist 57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40%
M. Rubio 46 /43 42 /48 51 /37 48 /34 51 /27 51 /31
K. Meek 33 /36 32 /36 38 /31 33 /39 42 /33 38 /36

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Sen. Mike Crapo (R) and businessman Tom Sullivan (D).

General Election Matchup
M. Crapo     66%
T. Sullivan 22
Other 2
Undec 9

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     3/23
M. Crapo 63%/28% 72%/20%
T. Sullivan 33 /30 n/a

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 5/11-13 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Sweet, Chicago Sun-Times, 5/17). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup
-               Now 4/29 2/14 10/28 8/2
M. Kirk 44% 43% 45% 43% 40%
A. Giannoulias 44 37 49 46 45

Kentucky
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 1,065 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/16). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom 5/2 12/21
R. Paul 52% 31% 37% 46% 44%
T. Grayson 34 31 37 28 25
G. Martin 4 3 5 2 n/a
J. Stephenson 2 1 2 2 n/a
J. Scribner 1 2 1 0 n/a
Undec 7 7 8 21 32

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom     5/2     12/21
R. Paul 60%/23% 64%/21% 56%/24% 47%/22% 39%/13%
T. Grayson 42 /29 41 /31 44 /26 34 /21 22 /15

Bunning As Sen.
-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve 45% 51% 38% 43%
Disapprove 31 31 32 30

McConnell As Sen.
-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve 57% 58% 56% 68%
Disapprove 25 27 23 20

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
-                                    RVs---------------->
- All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
J. Sestak 42% 46% 40% 42% 39% 32% 29% 30% 25% 23%
A. Specter 41 41 41 44 47 53 53 53 44 55
Other -- -- -- 1 -- -- 2 1 2 1
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- -- 2 1 1 2
Undec 16 13 18 14 14 15 14 15 28 19

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
A. Specter 50%/33% 52%/35% 48%/31% 50%/33% 57%/31% 60%/26%
J. Sestak 42 /11 47 /14 39 / 9 42 /10 43 /11 33 / 6

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/12-15; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
A. Specter 44% 44% 45% 44% 45% 43% 42% 42% 42% 43% 45%
J. Sestak 44 43 43 44 45 47 47 46 44 43 40
Other/undec 11 12 12 12 9 10 11 12 14 13 14

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
A. Specter 59%/30% 58%/31% 57%/33% 53%/36% 54%/35% 52%/34%
J. Sestak 51 /18 52 /15 52 /13 54 /11 55 / 9 56 /10

Friday, May 7, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson Vice Mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom 3/31
J. McCain 48% 51% 45% 52%
J.D. Hayworth 36 37 35 37
Other 6 7 5 n/a
Undec 10 5 15 11

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J. McCain 48% 7% 81% 46% 54% 42% 58% 3% 10% 52%
R. Glassman 35 73 6 35 32 38 29 67 58 33
Undec 17 20 13 19 14 20 13 30 32 15

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/31
J.D. Hayworth 43% 6% 73% 40% 49% 37% 53% 6% 2% 48%
R. Glassman 42 83 7 48 37 47 37 65 60 37
Undec 15 11 20 12 14 16 10 33 34 15

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/31
J. McCain 43%/52% 11%/82% 74%/24% 33%/60% 47%/46%
J.D. Hayworth 35 /46 7 /77 63 /17 24 /55 34 /42
R. Glassman 26 /16 54 / 7 7 /25 22 /13 23 /15

Arkansas
An AR News Bureau/Stephens Media poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 500 Dem primary LVs and 500 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.4% for each (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), businessman D.C. Morrison (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
B. Lincoln     44%
B. Halter 32
D.C. Morrison 7
Undec 17

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Boozman     48%
J. Holt 17
G. Baker 11
K. Hendren 5
C. Reynolds 2
C. Coleman 1
Other 1
Undec 15

General Election Matchups
-              Now 1/20
G. Baker 47% 43% G. Baker 42%
B. Lincoln 39 39 B. Halter 34
Undec 14 18 Undec 24

J. Boozman     52%            J. Boozman     56%
B. Lincoln 35 B. Halter 32
Undec 13 Undec 12

-              Now 1/20
J. Holt 45% 37% J. Holt 42%
B. Lincoln 40 43 B. Halter 36
Undec 15 20 Undec 22

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     1/20
J. Boozman 38%/11% n/a
B. Halter 29 /21 28%/11%
B. Lincoln 28 /53 39 /41

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/6). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 3/25
C. Crist 38% 48% 18% 55% 37% 39% 44% 19% 17% 35%
M. Rubio 32 4 70 19 37 27 32 3 64 28
K. Meek 19 36 3 13 16 22 13 68 6 20
Undec 11 12 9 13 10 12 11 10 13 17

Crist As Gov.
-                 All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/08 2/08 11/07
Excellent/good 51% 68% 29% 55% 46% 56% 57% 64% 61%
Fair/poor 48 32 70 44 54 42 41 32 34

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     3/25    6/26    5/09    11/06   10/06
C. Crist 41%/31% 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15% 47%/32% 51%/21%
M. Rubio 35 /28 27 /17 18 /11 13 / 5 n/a n/a
K. Meek 17 /11 15 / 8 11 / 5 11 / 2 n/a n/a

Crist Recently Vetoed A Bill That Would Have Made Teacher Pay In FL Based On Classroom Performance As Measured By Professional Evaluations And The Test Scores Of Students
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 55% 81% 21% 65% 52% 58%
Disapprove 38 8 75 30 43 33

Iowa
A KCCI-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 33%D, 29%R, 38%I. Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) and '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D).

General Election Matchup
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/17
C. Grassley 49% 13% 85% 53% 56% 42% 56%
R. Conlin 40 76 6 35 34 46 35
Undec 11 11 9 12 10 12 9

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/17
C. Grassley 58%/37% 59%/35%
R. Conlin 45 /35 41 /36

Kentucky
A Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies (R) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/4; surveyed 611 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R).

Primary Election Matchup
-           All Men Wom 2/18
R. Paul 43% 45% 41% 44%
T. Grayson 28 27 30 23
Other 8 10 7 n/a
Undec 21 19 23 33

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     2/18
R. Paul 50%/24% 57%/23% 44%/25% 43%/12%
T. Grayson 45 /26 51 /27 40 /24 31 /20

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 1,200 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 522 Dem primary runoff LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 5/6). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

Primary Runoff Election Matchup (Dems)
E. Marshall    42%
C. Cunningham 37
Other 4
Undec 17

General Election Matchups
-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 50% 53% 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 37 31 32 29 34
Other 3 4 7 6 5
Undec 10 13 11 14 11

-              Now 4/19 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 48% 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 40 32 35 34 37 38
Other 3 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 9 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     4/19    3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr 57%/33% 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 45 /37 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 43 /35 34 /37 29 /32 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

Ohio
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/7). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-OMB Dir./ex-Rep. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup
-           Now 3/30 3/4 2/6 1/12 12/7 9/23
L. Fisher 43% 38% 39% 39% 37% 36% 40%
R. Portman 42 43 44 43 44 38 41
Other 4 4 5 5 4 8 6
Undec 11 14 12 13 14 18 14

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/30    3/4     2/6     1/12    12/7
L. Fisher 48%/34% 39%/38% 41%/37% 38%/39% 41%/39% 36%/35%
R. Portman 45 /26 45 /26 45 /27 45 /24 49 /25 48 /21

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 410 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.8% (release, 5/7). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
-            Now 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
A. Specter 43% 45% 48% 46% 49% 48%
J. Sestak 43 40 40 42 40 42
Other/undec 13 14 11 12 11 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     5/5     5/4     5/3     5/2     5/1
A. Specter 54%/34% 56%/30% 57%/29% 55%/33% 58%/32% 58%/31%
J. Sestak 48 /13 44 /13 42 /14 45 /11 43 /12 45 /12

Monday, May 3, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/26-27 for Gov. Charlie Crist (R); surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (Leary, "The Buzz," St. Petersburg Times, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as "No Party Affiliation." He announced 4/29 that he would leave the GOP and run under the No Party Affiliation designation. Public Opinion Strategies is no longer working for the Crist campaign.)

General Election Matchup
C. Crist  36%
M. Rubio 28
K. Meek 23

Are You Satisfied/Dissatisfied With A Two-Party Political System?
Satisfied     41%
Dissatisfied 54

A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 4/24-25 for the Associated Industries of FL; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Thomas, Orlando Sentinel, 4/30). Tested: Crist, Meek and Rubio.

General Election Matchup
C. Crist  33%
M. Rubio 29
K. Meek 15

Kentucky
A Voter / Consumer Research (R) poll; conducted 4/28-29 for Sec/State Trey Grayson (R); surveyed 600 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/3). Tested: Grayson and ophthalmologist Rand Paul.

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 4/7
T. Grayson 40% 39%
R. Paul 40 37
Undec 20 18

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/3). Tested: AG Jack Conway (D), '04 nominee/LG Dan Mongiardo (D), Grayson and Paul.

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
T. Grayson 43% 52% 45% 44% 45% 40%
J. Conway 38 32 35 40 35 40
Other 8 5 7 3 7 3
Undec 12 11 12 12 12 17

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 47% 50% 46% 47% 46% 38%
J. Conway 38 36 38 39 38 42
Other 4 3 4 3 4 4
Undec 10 11 12 11 12 15

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30   
T. Grayson 45% 53% 44% 49% 44% 44%
D. Mongiardo 31 33 37 35 37 37
Other 10 5 8 5 8 4
Undec 13 9 11 11 11 14

-             Now 3/31 3/2 2/2 1/6 9/30
R. Paul 48% 52% 49% 48% 49% 43%
D. Mongiardo 32 37 35 37 35 38
Other 8 3 3 3 3 6
Undec 12 8 13 12 13 13

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/31    3/2     2/2     1/6     9/30
R. Paul 56%/31% 53%/33% 57%/26% 54%/26% 57%/25% 51%/23%
T. Grayson 54 /27 55 /28 56 /21 61 /18 57 /21 53 /20
J. Conway 47 /36 44 /39 40 /33 47 /32 46 /36 49 /27
D. Mongiardo 40 /48 42 /46 43 /43 45 /43 44 /44 41 /43

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/1-2; surveyed 803 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 5/2). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D) and librarian Ann Worthy (D).

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 4/26 4/11 3/15 2/15
E. Marshall 28% 23% 32% 32% 21% 21% 26% 23% 20% 29%
C. Cunningham 21 25 18 27 12 7 23 17 16 12
K. Lewis 9 8 9 7 13 10 7 9 11 5
M. Williams 4 4 4 2 8 6 4 0 2 2
A. Worthy 3 3 3 2 3 10 3 1 0 n/a
S. Harris 2 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 n/a
Undec 33 35 32 29 40 43 34 45 47 51

Primary Runoff Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth
E. Marshall 43% 39% 46% 40% 51% 38%
C. Cunningham 32 36 29 37 24 11
Undec 25 25 25 23 26 51

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom     4/26    4/11    3/15
E. Marshall 47%/14% 44%/19% 49%/10% 44%/15% 32%/ 7% 27%/10%
C. Cunningham 36 /16 39 /20 34 /13 39 /17 8 / 6 8 / 9
K. Lewis 20 /15 22 /19 19 /12 23 /17 11 / 9 9 /12

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/28-5/2; surveyed 980 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 5/3). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner and LG Lee Fisher.

Primary Election Matchup
-                                 RVs----------------------->
- All Men Wom 4/26 3/28 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1 5/4 3/09
L. Fisher 43% 49% 40% 41% 33% 29% 24% 26% 24% 20% 18%
J. Brunner 23 24 23 24 26 20 22 17 21 16 14
Other 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 5 19
Not vote -- -- -- -- -- 2 2 2 3 1 2
Undec 32 26 35 34 40 48 51 55 51 59 46

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     4/26    3/28
L. Fisher 44%/ 8% 50%/13% 40%/ 5% 41%/ 7% 33%/ 8%
J. Brunner 26 / 7 30 / 9 24 / 6 26 / 7 24 / 7

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 4/28-5/1; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup
A. Specter   48%
J. Sestak 42
Other/undec 11

Fav/Unfav
A. Specter   58%/31%
J. Sestak 45 /12

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 4/27-28 by Dan Jones & Assoc. (R); surveyed 406 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3).

Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett  50%/39%

A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28; surveyed 215 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 5/2). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
B. Bennett      39%
M. Lee 20
T. Bridgewater 14
M. Cook 6
C. Eagar 1
Undec 20

Thursday, April 29, 2010

Senate 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sen. John McCain, Navy vet Jim Deakin and ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup
-              All Men Wom
J. McCain 46% 36% 56%
J.D. Hayworth 35 43 27
J. Deakin 7 8 6
Undec 12 13 11

McCain As Sen.
-              All Men Wom 9/25
Approve 44% 40% 49% 65%
Disapprove 45 48 42 25

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Men     Wom
J.D. Hayworth 37%/40% 44%/39% 29%/41%

A Rocky Mountain Poll; conducted 4/12-25 by the Behavior Research Center; surveyed 800 adults; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 666 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.8%. Further subsample of 289 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.8% (release, 4/28). Tested: McCain, Hayworth and Tucson city Councilor Rodney Glassman (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-              All GOP Ind
J. McCain 54% 55% 46%
J.D. Hayworth 28 26 43
Undec 18 19 11

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind
J. McCain 46% 20% 77% 36%
R. Glassman 24 50 5 19
Undec 30 30 18 45

-              All Dem GOP Ind
J.D. Hayworth 37% 14% 67% 24%
R. Glassman 30 56 9 28
Undec 33 30 24 48

Would You Say That McCain Is Doing An Excellent/Good, Fair, Poor/Very Poor Job As Regards ___?
-                              Excel./Good Fair Poor/VeryPoor
Working to maintain a strong 53% 17% 19%
military defense for U.S.
Running a clean campaign that 34 28 27
does not engage in name
calling or mudslinging
Representing the opinions of 31 20 39
people like you
Working to promote peace in 30 32 23
the world
Working to reduce the 29 22 25
partisan stalemate in DC
Working to protect the 28 28 25
environment
Working to create jobs in AZ 28 19 38
Working to secure the 27 24 36
U.S./Mexico border
Working to stop the illegal 27 21 39
drug trade between U.S. and
Mexico
Working to improve education 26 25 33
in the U.S.
Working for immigration 26 17 35
reform

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/26; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28               
G. Baker 53% 51% 45% 52% 51% 47% 47%
B. Lincoln 31 36 40 33 39 41 39
Other 12 6 6 6 3 6 5
Undec 4 7 8 8 7 7 8

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman 57% 51% 48% 54%
B. Lincoln 29 36 39 35
Other 9 6 6 4
Undec 5 7 7 7

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman 52% 48% 43% 50% 48% 44% 43%
B. Lincoln 32 36 41 34 38 40 41
Other 8 7 7 7 4 7 5
Undec 7 8 10 9 9 9 11

-           Now 3/30 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren 51% 51% 43% 51% 47% 46% 44%
B. Lincoln 30 35 38 35 39 39 41
Other 11 5 7 7 4 6 5
Undec 8 8 12 7 10 9 10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt 54% 51% 45%
B. Lincoln 31 35 38
Other 6 7 6
Undec 9 7 10

-           Now 3/30 3/1
G. Baker 48% 44% 44%
B. Halter 33 36 37
Other 10 7 5
Undec 9 12 13

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Boozman 56% 48% 52%
B. Halter 31 34 33
Other 7 8 6
Undec 7 11 9

-           Now 3/30 3/1
C. Coleman 43% 40% 38%
B. Halter 37 37 35
Other 11 10 9
Undec 9 13 18

-           Now 3/30 3/1
K. Hendren 45% 42% 42%
B. Halter 33 34 35
Other 13 10 7
Undec 9 13 15

-           Now 3/30 3/1
J. Holt 49% 43% 42%
B. Halter 31 34 38
Other 12 9 8
Undec 8 14 12

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/30    3/1     2/1     1/5     12/1
J. Boozman 58%/24% 47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24% n/a n/a
B. Halter 48 /42 47 /40 48 /34 n/a n/a n/a
J. Holt 47 /27 46 /24 44 /25 n/a n/a n/a
G. Baker 42 /27 37 /25 38 /23 40 /22 42%/20% 40%/19%
C. Coleman 37 /29 35 /25 34 /24 39 /19 n/a 37 /22
K. Hendren 36 /26 38 /21 36 /23 35 /19 37 /20 41 /19
B. Lincoln 31 /63 37 /61 41 /52 36 /59 38 /56 43 /52

Florida
A WFLA-TV poll; conducted 4/28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 500 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/28).

Crist As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His
Approve 52% 46% 51% 60% 49% 55% 53% 43% 57%
Disapprove 42 44 45 37 49 36 41 41 43

Indiana
A SurveyUSA (IVR) poll; conducted 4/22-26 for the IPFW Mike Downs Center for IN Politics; surveyed 407 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Brown, FoxNews.com, 4/29). Tested: Wachovia Securities branch mgr. Don Bates (R), businessman/tea-party organizer Richard Behney (R), ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R) and state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R).

Primary Election Matchup
D. Coats       36%
J. Hostettler 24
M. Stutzman 18
D. Bates 6
R. Behney 4
Undec 13

Nevada
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), state GOP chair Sue Lowden (R) and '04 state Senate nominee/'06 sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R).

General Election Matchups
-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
S. Angle 48% 51% 46% 44% 44% 47%
H. Reid 40 40 38 40 40 43
Other 7 6 11 7 10 7
Undec 4 3 5 8 7 3

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
S. Lowden 52% 54% 51% 45% 48% 49% 50%
H. Reid 39 39 38 39 36 43 40
Other 6 4 7 8 8 6 4
Undec 3 2 3 8 7 3 5

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9 9/14
D. Tarkanian 51% 49% 50% 47% 50% 49% 50%
H. Reid 41 42 37 39 36 43 43%
Other 4 6 9 8 5 6 4
Undec 4 2 4 6 9 2 3

Fav/Unfav
-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/2     1/11    12/9
S. Lowden 56%/35% 54%/33% 56%/31% 48%/27% 47%/28% 46%/32%
D. Tarkanian 53 /35 55 /34 52 /29 50 /35 49 /28 49 /30
S. Angle 48 /32 48 /33 40 /36 37 /30 39 /33 40 /37
H. Reid 43 /56 37 /62 39 /58 44 /55 41 /55 40 /57

Ohio
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/21-26; surveyed 1,568 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.5% (release, 4/29). Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
J. Brunner 40% 77% 7% 32% 39% 42% 38% 35% 34% 39% 35%
R. Portman 36 6 79 34 40 33 37 40 38 34 34
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- -- 1 1
Not vote 2 2 -- 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1
Undec 21 15 14 29 19 23 23 23 27 25 29

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
L. Fisher 40% 79% 7% 31% 37% 43% 41% 37% 36% 42% 37%
R. Portman 37 7 80 35 42 33 37 40 39 31 33
Other 1 -- -- 2 1 -- 1 -- -- 1 2
Not vote 1 -- -- 2 1 -- 1 2 1 1 2
Undec 21 13 13 30 19 23 21 21 24 26 26

Fisher As LG
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve 42% 66% 21% 37% 42% 42% 43% 39% 39% 44% 39%
Disapprove 27 13 44 28 31 24 23 22 23 21 24

Brunner As Sec/State
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29 2/21 11/9 9/13 7/1
Approve 42% 65% 21% 39% 42% 43% 42% 36% 38% 41% 38%
Disapprove 27 8 48 29 31 23 23 25 25 23 25

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/29    2/21
L. Fisher 27%/13% 47%/ 4% 11%/25% 21%/12% 27%/13% 26%/12%
R. Portman 25 / 8 9 /15 51 / 1 22 / 8 25 / 8 25 / 7
J. Brunner 25 /14 41 / 4 9 /23 22 /15 21 /12 21 /12

Would You Like To See The Next Sen. Generally Support/Oppose Obama's Policies?
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/29
Support 45% 84% 11% 36% 42% 48% 44%
Oppose 48 10 84 55 53 44 46

Thursday, April 22, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research (R) poll; conducted 4/10-13; surveyed 304 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.6% (release, 4/22). Tested: '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell, Assemb. Chuck DeVore and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. (Note: Each candidate is ID by his/her ballot designation: Campbell is "Economist/Business Educator"; DeVore is "Assemblyman/Military Reservist"; and Fiorina is "Business Executive".)

Primary Election Matchup
-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell 31% 34% 27%
C. Fiorina 17 19 16
C. DeVore 15 19 11
Other 1 2 --
Undec 35 23 46

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/21; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/22). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie.)

General Election Matchup
-         Now 3/18
M. Rubio 37% 42%
C. Crist 30 22
K. Meek 22 25
Undec 11 11

Crist As Gov.
-             Now 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 56% 57% 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 43 42 54 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     3/18    2/18    1/27    12/14   10/19
C. Crist 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41%
M. Rubio 51 /37 48 /34 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34
K. Meek 38 /31 33 /39 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34

North Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/19; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/21). Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) and Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 3/22 2/23 1/27
R. Burr 53% 51% 51% 50%
C. Cunningham 31 32 29 34
Other 4 7 6 5
Undec 13 11 14 11

-              Now 3/22 2/23 1/27 9/15
R. Burr 53% 51% 50% 47% 48%
E. Marshall 32 35 34 37 38
Other 6 6 4 6 3
Undec 12 8 12 10 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     3/22    2/23    1/27    9/15
R. Burr 55%/31% 60%/26% 60%/28% 56%/32% 58%/26%
E. Marshall 36 /40 38 /39 44 /32 41 /36 37 /34
C. Cunningham 34 /37 29 /32 34 /34 34 /29 n/a

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Senate 2010

California
A KABC-TV/KFSN-TV/KGTV-TV/KPIX-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/16).

Boxer As Sen.
-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/29 8/27 7/19
Approve 41% 40% 47% 48% 39% 43% 41% 46% 50%
Disapprove 47 50 43 45 49 47 48 44 42

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/15; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/20).

Crist As Gov.
-           Now 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 57% 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 42 54 45 47 45 49

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13-14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/19). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 3/18 2/17
D. Coats 54% 49% 46%
B. Ellsworth 33 34 32
Other 5 6 7
Undec 9 12 15

-              Now 3/18 2/17
J. Hostettler 50% 50% 46%
B. Ellsworth 33 32 27
Other 5 4 7
Undec 12 15 19

-              Now 3/18 2/17
M. Stutzman 41% 41% 40%
B. Ellsworth 36 34 30
Other 7 6 9
Undec 16 18 21

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     3/18    2/17    1/24
D. Coats 61%/21% 53%/30% 54%/27% n/a
J. Hostettler 47 /30 51 /26 48 /22 44%/27%
B. Ellsworth 40 /37 43 /33 35 /29 n/a
M. Stutzman 37 /30 37 /24 35 /25 31 /26

Oregon
A KATU-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Wyden As Sen.
-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve 51% 49% 50% 53% 53% 51% 55% 56% 53%
Disapprove 35 41 37 40 40 40 32 35 34

Washington
A KATU-TV/KING-TV poll; conducted 4/9-11 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 600 adults; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/14).

Murray As Sen.
-           Now 3/14 2/14 1/10 12/13 11/22 9/28 8/27 7/19
Approve 46% 42% 43% 55% 52% 47% 48% 47% 50%
Disapprove 48 45 50 39 40 45 41 43 45

Thursday, April 15, 2010

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Talk Business poll; conducted 4/13 by Zata3 (D) (IVR); surveyed 1,167 Dems and 1,357 GOPers; margins of error +/- 2.9% and 2.7%, respectively (releases, 4/14-15). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), farm loan originator D.C. Morrison (D), Univ. of AR housing dir. Randy Alexander (R), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Food Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R), '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R), businessman Fred Ramey (R) and ret. Army Col./ind. security contractor Conrad Reynolds (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
B. Lincoln     38%
B. Halter 31
D.C. Morrison 10
Undec 20

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
J. Boozman     46%
G. Baker 14
J. Holt 8
C. Coleman 5
C. Reynolds 3
K. Hendren 3
R. Alexander 3
F. Ramey 1
Undec 17

A Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/5-7 for Lincoln; surveyed 650 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.8% (release, 4/14). Tested: Lincoln, Halter and Morrison.

Primary Election Matchups
B. Lincoln     53%
B. Halter 35
D.C. Morrison 4
Undec 8

B. Lincoln     54%
B. Halter 40
Undec 6

Fav/Unfav
B. Lincoln     57%/38%
B. Halter 51 /28

Florida
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 4/8-13; surveyed 1,250 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.8%. Subsample of 497 GOPers; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/15). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested as an indie in the three-way general election matchup.)

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7
M. Rubio 56% 63% 49% 47% 35% 26% 23%
C. Crist 33 28 39 44 50 55 54
Other 1 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Not vote -- 1 -- -- 1 1 1
Undec 10 7 12 8 12 18 21

General Election Matchups
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
C. Crist 48% 27% 75% 49% 51% 46% 48% 51%
K. Meek 34 63 9 26 30 36 36 31
Other 2 -- 2 3 2 1 1 1
Not vote 3 1 3 4 3 3 3 2
Undec 14 10 12 17 14 13 12 14

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18
M. Rubio 42% 8% 82% 43% 48% 36% 44% 33%
K. Meek 38 76 4 32 33 43 35 36
Other 1 1 -- 2 1 1 1 2
Not vote 1 2 -- 1 1 1 2 2
Undec 17 14 13 22 16 19 19 28

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Crist 32% 27% 30% 38% 30% 34%
M. Rubio 30 5 64 29 36 25
K. Meek 24 55 -- 15 21 27
Other -- -- -- 1 1 --
Not vote 1 -- -- 1 1 --
Undec 13 12 6 16 11 14

Fav/Unfav
-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/24    10/18
C. Crist 48%/35% 50%/30% 49%/42% 48%/33% 52%/36% 58%/30%
M. Rubio 36 /22 13 /34 67 / 7 32 /21 32 /14 24 /11
K. Meek 18 / 8 34 / 4 5 /17 15 / 7 18 / 8 20 / 8

Crist As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/24 10/18 8/17 6/7 4/09
Approve 49% 52% 49% 50% 52% 47% 50% 59% 60% 62% 66%
Disapprove 39 37 42 37 39 39 38 31 30 28 23

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Trust To Do In Office What They Say They Will Do During The Campaign? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 54% 59% 48% 43%
C. Crist 30 29 31 42
No diff 6 8 4 5
Undec 11 5 17 10

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You Believe Most Shares Your Values? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 56% 60% 51% 45%
C. Crist 32 32 32 40
No diff 2 2 1 2
Undec 11 6 16 13

Regardless Of How You Intend To Vote, Who Do You See As More Consistently Conservative? (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 1/24
M. Rubio 59% 68% 49% 48%
C. Crist 27 22 32 34
No diff 1 1 -- 1
Undec 14 8 19 17

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 4/8-11; surveyed 742 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 4/14). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 35%R, 17%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R), atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D) and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D).

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 80% 45% 53% 35% 43% 44% 45% 45%
C. Cunningham 35 62 7 18 33 37 32 32 36 36
Undec 22 23 13 37 15 28 25 24 19 20

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 82% 42% 54% 34% 43% 44% 46% 43%
K. Lewis 35 62 6 21 35 35 32 31 34 37
Undec 22 24 13 37 11 31 25 25 20 21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 15% 82% 43% 54% 35% 41% 43% 44% 42%
E. Marshall 37 66 4 23 32 35 36 33 37 37
Undec 20 19 14 34 14 24 23 23 18 21

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
R. Burr 43% 14% 83% 41% 52% 35% 41% 42% 45% 42%
Generic Dem 38 69 2 24 34 41 39 35 36 41
Undec 19 17 15 35 14 24 20 23 20 17

Burr As Sen.
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/15 2/15 1/18 12/13
Approve 32% 15% 57% 31% 45% 23% 35% 35% 36% 35%
Disapprove 41 58 18 43 42 41 37 35 33 37

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/15
E. Marshall 19%/11% 29%/ 9% 7%/13% 16%/14% 17%/12%
K. Lewis 7 /10 9 /12 3 / 7 8 /19 5 / 9
C. Cunningham 5 / 8 7 / 9 4 / 6 4 / 8 4 /10

Utah
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8; surveyed 620 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/15). Tested: Sen. Bob Bennett, '02/'04 UT-02 candidate/venture capitalist Tim Bridgewater, ex-Rep. Merrill Cook, WebsTarget marketing VP Cherilyn Eagar and ex-Jon Huntsman gen. counsel Mike Lee.

Primary Election Matchup
B. Bennett      37%
M. Lee 14
T. Bridgewater 14
M. Cook 6
C. Eagar 4
Other 3
Undec 21

Fav/Unfav
B. Bennett      52%/43%
M. Lee 38 /14
T. Bridgewater 36 /16
M. Cook 26 /53
C. Eagar 25 /21

Obama As POTUS
Approve          9%
Disapprove 91

Monday, April 12, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/8; surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/12). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20 8/17
M. Rubio 57% 56% 54% 49% 43% 35% 31%
C. Crist 28 34 36 37 43 49 53
Other 3 1 4 3 5 4 5
Undec 12 8 7 11 9 12 11

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     3/18    2/18    1/27    12/14   10/20
M. Rubio 72%/19% 65%/19% 67%/15% 67%/14% 64%/15% 55%/22%
C. Crist 55 /44 59 /40 54 /44 62 /37 61 /38 67 /32

Georgia
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/5-7; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/9). Party ID breakdown: 41%R, 37%D, 22%I. Tested: Sen. Johnny Isakson (R), AG Thurbert Baker (D) and Labor Commis. Michael Thurmond (D).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
J. Isakson 50% 10% 86% 51% 55% 45% 67% 3%
T. Baker 34 72 4 26 31 37 19 74
Undec 16 18 10 23 14 18 14 23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk
J. Isakson 53% 14% 87% 55% 57% 49% 72% 3%
M. Thurmond 26 56 4 17 23 29 11 65
Undec 21 30 9 28 20 22 17 32

Re-Elect Isakson?
-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Re-elect him 46% 12% 78% 44% 52% 40%
Consider another 31 40 17 41 29 33
Replace him 23 48 5 15 19 27

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     4/09
J. Isakson 54%/38% 31%/61% 76%/18% 52%/36% 47%/41%
T. Baker 41 /25 71 /12 16 /40 37 /21 39 /22
M. Thurmond 23 /11 37 / 5 11 /18 22 / 8 n/a

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 4/5-7 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (releases, 4/9-11). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 37%R, 20%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), state Sen. Mark Amodei (R), '06 NV-02 candidate/ex-Assemb. Sharron Angle (R), Guaranteed Financial Services pres. Gary Bernstein (R), Wall St. banker John Chachas (R), Assemb. Chad Christensen (R), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), ex-Assemb. Min. Leader Garn Mabey (R), real estate investor Gary Marinch (R), Brian Nadell (R), project mgr./USMC vet Bill Parson (R), Cecilia Stern (R), Terry Suominen (R), '06 Sec/State nominee/businessman/ex-UNLV basketball player Danny Tarkanian (R) and Tea Party candidate/businessman Scott Ashjian.

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-               Now 2/24 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
S. Lowden 45% 47% 26% 25% 23% 14%
D. Tarkanian 27 29 28 24 21 33
S. Angle 5 8 13 13 9 5
C. Christensen 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
J. Chachas 3 1 -- 1 -- --
B. Parson -- -- -- 1 1 n/a
G. Bernstein -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
G. Mabey -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
G. Marinch -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
B. Nadell -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
C. Stern -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
T. Suominen -- n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Others n/a n/a 1 3 2 1
Undec 16 15 32 33 44 47

General Election Matchups
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
S. Lowden 46% 16% 80% 46% 50% 42%
H. Reid 38 71 4 29 31 45
S. Ashjian 5 3 5 12 7 3
Undec 11 10 11 13 12 10

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Tarkanian 39% 10% 73% 38% 47% 31%
H. Reid 39 71 4 35 31 47
S. Ashjian 11 10 10 14 15 7
Undec 11 9 13 13 7 15

Fav/Unfav
-               Now     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8
S. Lowden 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17% 33%/13% 31%/15%
H. Reid 34 /56 33 /51 33 /52 38 /49 38 /50
D. Tarkanian 28 /22 30 /17 33 /16 32 /12 30 /11
S. Angle 20 /19 19 / 9 21 /11 n/a n/a
J. Chachas 9 / 6 n/a n/a n/a n/a
C. Christensen 7 / 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a
S. Ashjian 1 /13 n/a n/a n/a n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
S. Lowden       54%/14%
D. Tarkanian 46 /12
S. Angle 22 /15
C. Christensen 13 / 1
J. Chachas 12 / 8

The Tea Party Movement Recently Held A Rally In Reid's Hometown Of Searchlight
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve 52% 36% 70% 55% 58% 46%
Disapprove 25 38 8 29 20 30

New Hampshire
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/7; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/9). Tested: Ex-AG Kelly Ayotte (R), businessman Bill Binnie (R), '96 GOV nominee/atty/ex-NH Bd. of Ed. chair Ovide Lamontagne (R) and Rep. Paul Hodes (D-02).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 3/8 2/10 1/12 9/14
K. Ayotte 50% 47% 46% 49% 46%
P. Hodes 35 37 39 40 38
Other 4 4 3 3 5
Undec 11 12 13 12 8

-              Now 3/8 2/10 1/12 
B. Binnie 49% 46% 42% 37
P. Hodes 37 36 41 43
Other 4 4 3 5
Undec 10 14 13 15

-              Now 3/8 2/10 1/12
O. Lamontagne 44% 38% 38% 38%
P. Hodes 39 42 44 45
Other 7 5 4 6
Undec 11 15 13 11

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     3/8     2/10    1/12    9/14
K. Ayotte 61%/19% 60%/22% 57%/21% 60%/21% 58%/21%
B. Binnie 51 /28 47 /26 45 /22 34 /29 n/a
P. Hodes 45 /46 46 /42 49 /42 49 /38 46 /38
O. Lamontagne 38 /31 33 /33 35 /31 38 /35 n/a

Ohio
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/5-7 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/9). Party ID breakdown: 38%D, 35%R, 27%I. Tested: Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D), LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB dir. Rob Portman (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-           All Men Wom 7/8
L. Fisher 35% 39% 32% 22%
J. Brunner 26 23 28 17
Undec 39 38 40 61

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/8
L. Fisher 43% 77% 6% 41% 39% 47% 42%
R. Portman 39 7 74 39 44 34 35
Undec 18 16 20 20 17 19 23

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 7/8
J. Brunner 41% 76% 5% 38% 37% 45% 40%
R. Portman 40 8 75 40 46 34 36
Undec 18 16 20 20 17 19 24

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     7/8
L. Fisher 41%/24% 63%/12% 20%/38% 38%/23% 36%/16%
R. Portman 39 /30 21 /46 61 /10 37 /33 29 / 9
J. Brunner 38 /26 60 /14 15 /41 36 /24 33 /17

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call poll; conducted 3/29-4/7; surveyed 494 adults; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsample of 402 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/12). Party reg. breakdown: 40%D, 36%R, 13%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups (LVs)
P. Toomey      47%            P. Toomey      33%
A. Specter 40 J. Sestak 22
Neither/other 4 Neither/other 11
Undec 9 Undec 34

Fav/Unfav
A. Specter     41%/52%
P. Toomey 30 /18
J. Sestak 24 /14

Monday, March 29, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 3/23-25; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4/9% (release, 3/26). Party reg. breakdown: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-         Now 6/26 5/18
M. Rubio 48% 23% 18%
C. Crist 37 51 53
Undec 15 26 29

General Election Matchups
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 6/26 5/18
C. Crist 50% 36% 69% 43% 51% 49% 48% 55%
K. Meek 26 45 6 24 24 28 26 24
Undec 24 19 25 33 25 23 26 21

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Rubio 44% 16% 72% 50% 47% 41%
K. Meek 29 55 3 23 29 29
Undec 27 29 25 27 24 30

Fav/Unfav
-         Now     6/26    5/18
C. Crist 37%/31% 49%/21% 49%/15%
M. Rubio 27 /17 18 /11 13 / 5
K. Meek 15 / 8 11 / 5 11 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)
-         Now     6/26    5/18
M. Rubio 42%/10 24%/ 5% 20%/ 2%
C. Crist 37 /32 49 /22 50 /19

Hawaii
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/24; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/26). Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and Gov. Linda Lingle (R).

General Election Matchup
D. Inouye   65%
L. Lingle 25
Other 3
Undec 6

Lingle As Gov.
Approve     45%
Disapprove 52

Fav/Unfav
D. Inouye   76%/20%
L. Lingle 45 /54

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 3/29).

Schumer As Sen.
-               All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10
Excellent/good 51% 67% 33% 45% 53% 47% 51% 54% 58%
Fair/poor 45 29 64 52 43 48 42 42 39

A Marist College poll; conducted 3/23-24; surveyed 775 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsample of 217 GOPers; margin of error +/- 6.7% (release, 3/29). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R), ex-Gov. George Pataki (R) and ex-Bush foreign policy adviser Dan Senor (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)
-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki 62% 71% 51%
J. DioGuardi 7 2 13
B. Blakeman 4 2 5
D. Malpass 2 2 2
D. Senor 2 3 1
Undec 23 20 27

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi 18% 12% 25%
B. Blakeman 10 12 6
D. Malpass 9 8 10
D. Senor 4 6 3
Undec 59 62 56

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27
K. Gillibrand 54% 75% 26% 52% 51% 58% 58% 52%
B. Blakeman 25 8 53 23 31 19 28 30
Undec 21 17 22 25 18 23 14 18

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand 54% 74% 24% 53% 52% 55%
J. DioGuardi 27 10 55 24 32 21
Undec 19 16 21 23 15 24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand 54% 74% 27% 50% 51% 57%
D. Malpass 25 9 50 25 31 19
Undec 21 17 23 25 18 24

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17
G. Pataki 47% 26% 74% 51% 52% 42% 48% 49% 42% 47%
K. Gillibrand 45 64 19 41 42 48 45 43 45 45
Undec 8 9 7 8 6 11 7 8 13 8

Gillibrand As Sen.
-              All Dem GOP Ind 2/24 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good 27% 34% 19% 24% 25% 24% 24% 25% 26% 24%
Fair/poor 51 43 61 52 53 51 51 51 47 43

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 1,000 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.1% (release, 3/24). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17 6/22
C. Crist 45% 48% 48% 42% 46% 48% 46%
K. Meek 34 32 33 36 34 29 28
Other 11 11 10 11 9 10 12
Undec 10 9 9 11 11 13 14

-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/19 8/17
M. Rubio 48% 51% 49% 49% 46% 43%
K. Meek 34 31 32 35 31 30
Other 6 7 6 4 8 8
Undec 11 11 13 12 15 19

Crist As Gov.
-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve 45% 52% 51% 52% 49%
Disapprove 54 45 47 45 49

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/18    1/27    12/14   10/19   8/17
C. Crist 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40% 59%/38% 57%/41% 64%/35%
M. Rubio 48 /34 51 /27 51 /31 41 /33 33 /34 41 /31
K. Meek 33 /39 42 /33 38 /36 51 /29 39 /34 37 /34

North Carolina
An Elon Univ. poll; conducted 3/14-17; surveyed 579 adults; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/22).

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/25
R. Burr 34%/17% 30%/23%
E. Marshall 18 / 8 19 / 8
S. Harris 11 / 9 n/a
C. Cunningham 10 / 7 6 / 9
K. Lewis 9 / 7 9 / 7
A. Worthy 9 / 6 n/a
B. Jones 7 / 6 6 / 8
M. Williams 7 / 6 9 / 7
E. Burks 6 / 6 7 / 7
M. Beitler 6 / 4 4 / 6
L. Linney 5 / 6 n/a

Pennsylvania
A Philadelphia Daily News/WGAL-TV/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV/WPVI-TV/Times-Shamrock Newspapers poll; conducted 3/15-21 by Franklin & Marshall College; surveyed 1,119 adults; margin of error +/- 2.9%. Subsample of 964 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2%. Further subsamples of 483 Dem RVs and 353 GOP RVs; margins of error +/- 4.5% and 5.2%, respectively (release, 3/24). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07), businessman Joe Vodvarka (D), '90 GOV candidate/'94/'98 Const. Party GOV nominee Margaret "Peg" Luksik (R) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-            Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21
A. Specter 32% 33% 30% 30% 37% 33%
J. Sestak 12 16 13 18 11 13
J. Vodvarka 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Other 4 7 7 5 6 6
Undec 52 44 50 47 46 48

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
P. Toomey    30%
P. Luksik 4
Other 2
Undec 64

General Election Matchups (RVs)
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey 33% 11% 64% 32% 43% 23% 29% 30% 31% 29%
A. Specter 29 46 10 17 25 32 33 30 33 37
Other 6 6 4 14 7 5 9 5 6 9
Undec 32 38 22 37 25 39 29 35 30 25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31
P. Toomey 27% 7% 52% 35% 34% 19% 25% 28% 28% 26%
J. Sestak 19 34 4 5 19 19 22 16 20 22
Other 5 6 3 6 5 5 6 5 4 6
Undec 49 53 42 53 42 56 47 51 48 46

Re-Elect Specter? (RVs)
-                    Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21 3/22 10/97
Deserves reelection 28% 25% 29% 23% 34% 28% 40% 49%
Time for a change 61 63 60 66 54 57 46 40
Undec 11 12 11 11 12 15 14 11

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/21    1/24    10/25   8/31    6/21
A. Specter 30%/45% 32%/45% 35%/43% 28%/47% 35%/42% 31%/37%
P. Toomey 18 /10 16 / 7 15 / 7 16 /10 18 /10 n/a
J. Sestak 11 / 6 10 / 3 8 / 6 11 / 5 13 / 4 n/a

Specter As Sen.
-                Now 2/21 1/24 10/25 8/31 6/21 3/22 2/09 8/07
Excellent/good 30% 30% 34% 29% 35% 34% 52% 43% 51%
Only fair/poor 63 62 58 64 57 55 37 49 45

Utah
A Salt Lake Deseret News/KSL-TV poll; conducted 3/22 by Dan Jones & Assoc.; surveyed 406 adults; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/24).

Bennett As Sen.
-           Now 11/23 1/09
Approve 54% 58% 68%
Disapprove 37 31 20

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 494 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio.

Primary Election Matchup
-           Now 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20 8/17
M. Rubio 56% 54% 49% 43% 35% 31%
C. Crist 34 36 37 43 49 53
Other 1 4 3 5 4 5
Undec 8 7 11 9 12 11

Crist As Gov.
-           Now 2/18 12/14 10/20
Approve 49% 48% 56% 57%
Disapprove 48 49 43 42

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/18    1/27    12/14   10/20   8/17
M. Rubio 65%/19% 67%/15% 67%/14% 64%/15% 55%/22% 53%/19%
C. Crist 59 /40 54 /44 62 /37 61 /38 67 /32 75 /23

Indiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17-18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/23). Tested: Ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), ex-Rep. John Hostettler (R), state Sen. Marlin Stutzman (R) and Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D-08).

General Election Matchups
-              Now 2/17
D. Coats 49% 46%
B. Ellsworth 34 32
Other 6 7
Undec 12 15

-              Now 2/17
J. Hostettler 50% 46%
B. Ellsworth 32 27
Other 4 7
Undec 15 19

-              Now 2/17
M. Stutzman 41% 40%
B. Ellsworth 34 30
Other 6 9
Undec 18 21

Fav/Unfav
-              Now     2/17    1/24
D. Coats 53%/30% 54%/27% n/a
J. Hostettler 51 /26 48 /22 44%/27%
B. Ellsworth 43 /33 35 /29 n/a
M. Stutzman 37 /24 35 /25 31 /26

Iowa
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/17; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22). Tested: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R), '82 GOV nominee/ex-U.S. Atty Roxanne Conlin (D), atty/ex-state Sen. Tom Fiegen (D) and ex-state Rep. Bob Krause (D).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 2/18 1/26
C. Grassley 55% 53% 59%
R. Conlin 36 36 31
Other 4 5 4
Undec 5 6 5

-            Now 2/18 1/26
C. Grassley 57% 56% 61%
T. Fiegen 28 28 25
Other 7 6 4
Undec 9 11 10

-            Now 2/18 1/26 9/22
C. Grassley 57% 55% 59% 56%
B. Krause 31 33 26 30
Other 4 5 7 7
Undec 8 8 8 7

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/18    1/26    9/22
C. Grassley 66%/31% 68%/29% 67%/30% 68%/30%
R. Conlin 39 /39 35 /45 35 /45 n/a
B. Krause 33 /25 27 /31 27 /35 33 /30
T. Fiegen 23 /31 22 /34 23 /37 n/a

Vermont
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/18; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/22).

General Election Matchup
P. Leahy       58%
Generic GOPer 33
Other 2
Undec 7

Fav/Unfav
P. Leahy       66%/32%

Wisconsin
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/20-21; surveyed 700 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/23). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov/ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman/Army vet Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold 47% 89% 9% 40% 41% 52% 50%
T. Thompson 44 8 83 45 50 39 41
Undec 9 4 8 14 9 8 10

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold 48% 89% 8% 43% 41% 53% 48%
T. Wall 34 5 70 32 43 27 34
Undec 18 7 22 25 16 20 19

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
R. Feingold 48% 89% 10% 42% 43% 53% 47%
D. Westlake 31 4 64 28 39 25 32
Undec 21 8 26 29 19 23 21

Feingold As Sen
-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/22
Approve 45% 73% 14% 46% 40% 49% 45%
Disapprove 41 13 71 43 51 34 37

Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/22
T. Thompson 40%/44% 12%/73% 70%/16% 40%/40% 38%/45%
T. Wall 4 /17 2 /22 8 /14 2 /14 2 /13
D. Westlake 2 / 8 3 /10 2 / 9 2 / 6 2 / 9

Friday, March 19, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dems and 400 GOPers; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 3/18). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 37%R, 25%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested in both primaries. In general-election matchups, he was tested in a three-way matchup as an indie, and as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
-         All Men Wom Wht Blk His
K. Meek 24% 21% 26% 18% 45% 27%
C. Crist 21 25 18 23 12 24
Undec 55 54 56 59 43 49

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
-         All Men Wom 11/18
M. Rubio 58% 67% 46% 37%
C. Crist 30 23 40 47
Undec 12 10 14 16

General Election Matchups
-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18 1/09
C. Crist 45% 14% 79% 42% 50% 40% 53% 4% 38% 50% 49%
K. Meek 36 67 5 35 32 40 28 79 44 33 28
Undec 19 19 16 23 18 20 19 17 18 17 23

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18 1/09
M. Rubio 41% 8% 80% 33% 47% 35% 48% 3% 35% 30% 22%
K. Meek 40 75 5 38 35 45 32 82 49 38 31
Undec 19 17 15 29 18 20 20 15 16 32 47

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
M. Rubio 32% 10% 58% 24% 38% 26% 39% 3% 18% 27%
C. Crist 29 21 33 36 30 28 33 4 29 32
K. Meek 27 56 4 20 24 30 18 74 38 31
Undec 12 13 5 20 8 16 10 19 15 10

-         All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 11/18
M. Rubio 40% 15% 66% 39% 46% 34% 49% 4% 19% 34%
C. Crist 38 53 29 30 36 40 33 53 56 45
Undec 22 32 5 31 18 26 18 43 25 21

Fav/Unfav
-         All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/18   1/09
C. Crist 44%/45% 41%/50% 48%/40% 43%/45% 59%/32% 65%/23%
M. Rubio 29 /36 13 /52 48 /18 26 /38 21 /22 11 /17
K. Meek 25 /18 44 / 9 6 /28 25 /17 23 / 9 18 / 7

Wisconsin
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/18). Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R), developer Terrence Wall (R) and businessman Dave Westlake (R).

General Election Matchups
-            Now 2/17 1/26
T. Thompson 47% 48% 47%
R. Feingold 45 43 43
Other 3 6 6
Undec 4 4 4

-            Now 2/17                      Now 2/17
R. Feingold 49% 47% R. Feingold 51% 47%
T. Wall 40 39 D. Westlake 35 37
Other 3 6 Other 5 6
Undec 9 7 Undec 10 10

Fav/Unfav
-            Now     2/17    1/26
T. Thompson 59%/39% 63%/34% 56%/39%
R. Feingold 51 /47 50 /48 47 /48
T. Wall 39 /28 34 /35 n/a
D. Westlake 34 /26 33 /31 n/a

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 39%D, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested and IDed as a GOPer in a two-way matchup with Meek, as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio, and as an indie in a three-way matchup with both Meek and Rubio.)

General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist 46% 29% 65% 39% 51% 41% 49% 28% 43% 54%
K. Meek 33 51 17 29 30 35 31 53 22 25
Undec 22 20 19 32 19 24 20 19 35 21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 44% 13% 77% 34% 52% 37% 51% 13% 35% 38%
K. Meek 39 67 11 41 30 45 33 59 48 46
Undec 18 20 12 25 17 18 16 28 17 17

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 43% 21% 72% 29% 50% 38% 48% 16% 45% 39%
C. Crist 34 54 13 40 32 36 34 47 27 30
Undec 22 26 15 31 18 26 18 38 27 30

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio 34% 9% 62% 24% 41% 29% 39% 13% 35% 17%
C. Crist 27 32 18 35 25 28 27 29 22 33
K. Meek 25 47 7 22 22 28 22 45 22 29
Undec 14 12 13 20 12 15 12 13 22 21

Crist As Gov.
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth  
Approve 35% 45% 28% 29% 36% 34% 32% 42% 43% 33%
Disapprove 51 41 58 53 51 50 51 48 57 38

Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Rubio 31%/32% 13%/42% 52%/21% 25%/34% 36%/36% 28%/29%
K. Meek 17 /20 29 /13 8 /28 9 /19 13 /28 19 /15

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/8).

Fav/Unfav
-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/21
R. Burr 30%/18% 23%/25% 45%/ 9% 20%/13% 33%/20%

Oregon
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 3/5-8 for Sen. Ron Wyden (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Wyden, '06 candidate/state Sen. Jason Atkinson (R), Lewis & Clark College law prof. Jim Huffman (R), Rep. Greg Walden (R-02) and financial planner Marc Delphine (L).

General Election Matchups
R. Wyden     53%
J. Atkinson 22
M. Delphine 5
Undec 20

R. Wyden     53%
J. Huffman 23
M. Delphine 5
Undec 20

R. Wyden     52%
G. Walden 24
M. Delphine 5
Undec 18

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups
-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
P. Murray 48% 50% P. Murray 49% 49%
D. Benton 37 38 C. Didier 30 34
Other 3 3 Other 6 4
Undec 12 9 Undec 15 13

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
D. Rossi 49% 48% P. Murray 47% 48%
P. Murray 46 46 C. Widener 32 33
Other 3 1 Other 5 5
Undec 2 5 Undec 16 14

Fav/Unfav
-           Now     2/11
P. Murray 53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi 51 /45 54 /41
C. Didier 27 /26 28 /28
C. Widener 26 /26 29 /26
D. Benton 26 /29 33 /28
 
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