House 2010

NY-14
A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 5/10-12 for Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D); surveyed 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/19). Tested: Maloney and ex-Hillary Clinton PAC atty Reshma Saujani (D).

Primary Election Matchup

C. Maloney  75%
R. Saujani   7
Undec       17

Fav/Unfav

C. Maloney  86%/ 7%
R. Saujani  14 / 5

House 2010

HI-01
A Honolulu Advertiser/Hawai'i News Now poll; conducted 4/23-28 by Ward Research; surveyed 349 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.2% (release, 5/2). Tested: Ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 56%D, 23%R, 20%I.

Special Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
C. Djou      37% 19% 79% 42% 40% 34%
E. Case      29  37  11  29  30  29
C. Hanabusa  22  34   4  11  22  23
Undec        11  10   6  18   8  15

PA-12
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/27-29 for the DCCC; surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Burns, Politico, 5/3). Tested: Businessman Tim Burns (R) and ex-Murtha staffer Mark Critz (D).

Special Election Matchup

M. Critz  43%
T. Burns  41

MD-01
A Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll; conducted 4/25-26 for Americans for Prosperity (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: Rep. Frank Kratovil (D), '08 nominee/state Sen. Andy Harris (R) and Richard Davis (L).

General Election Matchup

A. Harris    39%
F. Kratovil  36
R. Davis      6
Other         1
Undec        18

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.   30%
Wrong dir.   62

What Is The Most Important Issue To You In Deciding How To Vote?

Economy/jobs                 28%
Taxes/spending               18
Health care                  12
Budget deficit                9
Education                     7
Social Security/Medicare      6
Moral values                  6
Wars in Iraq/Afghanistan      4
Terrorism/homeland security   2
Illegal immigration           2
The environment               2
None                          1

Do You Favor/Oppose The Health Care Bill Recently Signed Into Law By Obama?

Favor   35%
Oppose  58

NY-13
A Global Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 4/7-11 for Rep. Mike McMahon (D); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/3). Tested: McMahon, enviro atty Michael Allegretti (R) and ex-FBI agent Michael Grimm (R).

General Election Matchups

M. McMahon     56%
M. Allegretti  24
Undec          20

M. McMahon     56%
M. Grimm       23
Undec          21

House - NY-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Siena College poll; conducted 11/1; surveyed 606 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 11/2). Party ID breakdown: 44%R, 32%D, 21%I. Tested: Accountant/ex-GOP candidate Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R). Note: The matchup IDed Scozzafava as having "suspended her campaign" on 10/31 and "released those individuals supporting her campaign to transfer their support as they see fit."

Special Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/29 10/13 9/29
D. Hoffman     41% 15% 63% 37% 46% 36% 35%   23%   16%
B. Owens       36  62  14  43  35  36  36    33    28
D. Scozzafava   6   6   9   2   4   8  20    29    35
Undec          18  17  14  18  14  20   9    16    21

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/29
D. Hoffman     47%/33% 31%/50% 66%/19% 37%/37% 41%/37%
J. Biden       41 /37  64 /18  26 /53  40 /33   n/a
B. Owens       37 /38  65 /17  18 /55  35 /36  40 /36
D. Scozzafava  27 /48  36 /41  25 /54  21 /46  29 /51

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 10/31-11/1; surveyed 1,747 LVs; margin of error +/- 2.3% (release, 11/1). Party ID breakdown: 47%R, 33%D, 20%I. Tested: Hoffman, Owens and Scozzafava. Note: A three-way matchup question was also asked, but the wording was changed on 10/31 to reflect Scozzafava's withdrawl, and again on 11/1 to reflect her endorsement of Owens, so it is not included here.

General Election Matchups
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Hoffman     54% 21% 75% 55% 60% 48%
B. Owens       38  74  15  33  33  42
Undec           8   5  10  11   7  10
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Hoffman     53% 25% 71% 58% 59% 48%
D. Scozzafava  36  57  24  31  32  40
Undec          10  17   5  11   9  12
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Owens       37% 68% 18% 29% 33% 40%
D. Scozzafava  34  21  45  28  34  34
Undec          30  11  38  43  34  26

House - NY-23 (2010)

House (2009)
A KPIX-TV poll; conducted 10/26-28 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 581 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 10/29). Tested: LG John Garamendi (D) and atty David Harmer (R).

Special Election Matchup
-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Garamendi  50% 77% 12% 35% 44% 55%
D. Harmer     40  15  81  42  44  37
Other          6   5   2  18   7   5
Undec          4   3   4   4   4   3

House - NY-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/29). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Accountant Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R).

Special Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/21
B. Owens       33% 64% 13% 28% 29% 37% 35%
D. Hoffman     32   8  41  47  41  23  23
D. Scozzafava  21  13  34  11  19  23  30
Undec          14  15  12  14  11  17  12

(If Hoffman) Which Candidate Would Be Your Second Choice?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/21
D. Scozzafava   6%  4%  9%  3%  4%  9%  9%
B. Owens        5   8   4   6   6   3   3
Won't vote     28  18  22  38  32  22  26
Undec          61  70  65  53  58  66  62

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     10/21
B. Obama       50%/42% 85%/10% 25%/68% 48%/40% 53%/39%
D. Hoffman     38 /23  15 /37  46 /18  53 /14  27 /19
B. Owens       36 /26  62 / 9  20 /40  31 /24  33 /24
D. Scozzafava  32 /46  25 /50  39 /43  29 /47  38 /35

House - NY-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 10/24-25 for the Club For Growth; surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 10/26). Tested: Accountant Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R).

General Election Matchup
D. Hoffman     31%
B. Owens       27
D. Scozzafava  20
Undec          22

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 10/19-21 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 10/23). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 32%D, 26%I. Tested: Hoffman, Owens and Scozzafava.

General Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Owens       35% 60% 18% 32% 31% 39%
D. Scozzafava  30  16  46  22  28  32
D. Hoffman     23   8  27  35  28  18
Undec          12  16   9  11  13  11

(If Hoffman) Which Candidate Would Be Your Second Choice?
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Scozzafava   9%  3% 13%  5%  7% 12%   
B. Owens        3   6   1   3   3   3
Won't vote     26  18  21  35  29  22
Undec          62  73  65  57  61  63

Fav/Unfav
-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama       53%/39% 83%/11% 28%/63% 57%/35% 49%/44% 57%/34%
C. Schumer     49 /42  79 /13  24 /65  53 /41  45 /47  53 /37
D. Scozzafava  38 /35  26 /48  49 /23  36 /39  35 /38  41 /32
B. Owens       33 /24  52 /10  21 /37  30 /20  30 /28  36 /20
D. Hoffman     27 /19  14 /27  32 /15  35 /16  30 /17  24 /21
D. Paterson    26 /57  50 /34   9 /74  24 /58  24 /60  28 /54
K. Gillibrand  24 /18  39 / 8  14 /27  22 /17  22 /19  26 /17

House - New York-23 (2009)

House (2009)
A Siena College poll; conducted 9/27-29; surveyed 622 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 10/1). Tested: Accountant/ex-GOP candidate Doug Hoffman (C), atty Bill Owens (D) and Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R).

Special Election Matchup
-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Scozzafava  35% 26% 47% 26% 33% 37%
B. Owens       28  48  16  23  29  27
D. Hoffman     16   6  22  20  17  15
Undec          21  20  16  31  21  21