Governor 2010

Florida
A Mason-Dixon Polling & Research poll; conducted 5/3-5; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversamples of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/8). Party reg. breakdown of main sample: 43%D, 38%R, 19%I. Tested: AG Bill McCollum (R), state Sen. Paula Dockery (R), businessman Rick Scott (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

B. McCollum  38%
R. Scott     24
P. Dockery    7
Undec        31

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26 5/09
B. McCollum  45% 16% 79% 41% 49% 41% 49%  41%  40%
A. Sink      36  63   5  38  34  38  34   35   34
Undec        19  21  16  21  17  21  17   24   26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/25 6/26
A. Sink      41% 68%  9% 46% 39% 43% 44%  43%
P. Dockery   29   9  56  19  32  26  22   18
Undec        30  23  35  35  29  31  34   39

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Sink      38% 66%  6% 39% 35% 41%
R. Scott     36  11  70  26  38  34
Undec        26  23  24  35  27  25

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/25    6/26    5/09
B. McCollum  32%/24% 39%/21% 29%/13% 29%/12%
A. Sink      26 /18  24 /15  24 / 9  24 / 3
R. Scott     19 / 8   n/a     n/a     n/a
P. Dockery    6 / 5   4 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            Now     3/25    6/26
B. McCollum  46%/11% 56%/ 3% 39%/ 4%
R. Scott     28 / 1   n/a     n/a
P. Dockery   10 / 4   9 / 4   8 / 3

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 5/3-5 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/7). Party ID breakdown: 43%D, 30%R, 27%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and ex-'10 Dem LG nominee/pawnbroker Scott Lee Cohen (I).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 38% 43% 35%
P. Quinn     35  61   5  27  31  39
S. Cohen      3   6   0   2   4   2
Undec        23  21  16  33  22  24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/24
B. Brady     39% 12% 79% 37% 44% 34% 32%
P. Quinn     36  63   5  28  33  39  47
Other/undec  25  25  16  35  23  27  21

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/24
P. Quinn     37%/49% 59%/22%  9%/83% 34%/54% 37%/41%
B. Brady     35 /37  11 /59  70 / 8  34 /35  29 /41
S. Cohen     19 /24  28 /18   9 /30  16 /27   n/a

Maryland
A Washington Post poll; conducted 5/3-6; surveyed 1,030 adults; margin of error +/- 3.0%. Subsample of 851 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4%. Further subsample of 618 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 5/10). Party ID breakdown (RVs): 56%D, 27%R, 13%I. Tested: Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) and ex-Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R).

General Election Matchup (RVs)

-               All LVs 10/08
M. O'Malley     49% 47% 57%
B. Ehrlich      41  47  36
Other/neither    3   2   1
Not vote         1  n/a  1
Undec            6   4   5

O'Malley As Gov.

-           All RVs  RVs    All   RVs
-           Now Now  10/08  10/07 10/07
Approve     54% 58%  53%    53%   51%
Disapprove  34  34   37     36    39

O'Malley Handling State Budget/Taxes (RVs)

-           Now 10/07
Approve     46% 39%
Disapprove  40  52

How Much Would You Say O'Malley Has Accomplished As Gov.?

-               Now 10/07
A lot            8%  3%
A fair amount   38  25
Some            29  32
Not much        20  35

Would You Say You Are Following This Year's GOV Race ___? (RVs)

Very closely        26%
Fairly closely      35
Not too closely     23
Not at all closely  15

Are You Satisfied With The Choice Of O'Malley/Ehrlich, Or Do You Wish You Had More Choices? (RVs)

Satisfied       49%
Wish had more   45

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (RVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          41%       45%  12%     2%
Public education    39        39   14      7
Budget deficit      37        39   18      4
Taxes               36        40   17      7
Crime               35        42   16      6
Environment         29        37   23     11

How Important Is The Issue Of ___ In Determining Your Vote? (LVs)

-                   Extremely Very Fairly NotToo
MD economy          43%       43%  12%     2%
Budget deficit      41        38   16      4
Public education    40        37   14      8
Taxes               38        39   16      7
Crime               33        43   17      7
Environment         26        37   25     11

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   41%      31%      5%  10%     13%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      38       31      11    6      15
 state's future
Strong leader             35       37      10    6      12
He is honest/trustworthy  33       29      12   12      15

Does ___ Apply More To O'Malley/Ehrlich? (LVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
Understands problems of   39%      39%      4%  10%      9%
 people like you
Has a vision for the      36       38      11    5      10
 state's future
Strong leader             34       43      10    6       8
He is honest/trustworthy  31       36      12   11      10

Which Candidate Do You Trust To Do A Better Job On ___? (RVs)

-                         O'Malley Ehrlich Both Neither Undec
The environment           49%      25%      5%   5%     17%
Working effectively with  49       27       5    5      15
 the MD legislature
Public education          49       29       6    3      13
Crime                     40       34       5    6      16
State economy             39       43       2    4      11
State budget deficit      37       42       4    5      12
Taxes                     36       44       3    5      12

Do You Think ___'s Views On Most Issues Are Too Liberal/Too Conservative/Just About Right? (RVs)

-               TooLiberal TooConservative JustAboutRight
M. O'Malley     34%         8%             45%
B. Ehrlich       6         31              46

As Things Stand Now, Regardless Of Who Wins In Nov., Do You Think The Next Gov. Will Be Able To Meet The State's Needs Without Raising Taxes, Or Do You Think He Will Need To Raise Taxes In Order To Meet The State's Needs? (RVs)

Need to raise taxes          53%
Meet without raising taxes   36

Minnesota
A KSTP-TV poll; conducted 5/3-5 by SurveyUSA (IVR); surveyed 588 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 5/6). Party ID breakdown: 36%R, 35%D, Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R) and Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              41%  8% 79% 34% 43% 39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  33  66   7  26  30  36
T. Horner              9   7   5  17  12   5
Undec                 17  19  10  23  14  20

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 73% 40% 48% 35%
M. Dayton             34  66  13  25  31  38
T. Horner              9   6   7  16  10   8
Undec                 15  18   7  19  11  19

-                     All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Emmer              42% 10% 80% 36% 46% 39%
M. Entenza            31  61   7  28  31  31
T. Horner             10  10   5  19  12   8
Undec                 16  20   8  17  11  22

Pennsylvania
A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/6-9; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel, Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato, Aud. Jack Wagner, state Sen. Tony Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5 5/4 5/3 5/2 5/1
D. Onorato   35% 36% 35% 35% 34% 34% 36% 39% 41%
T. Williams  15  12   9  10   8   9   9   7   8
J. Wagner    10   8   8   8   9   8   8   6   5
J. Hoeffel    8   8  10  11  12  11   9   7   6
Other/undec  32  36  38  36  39  37  38  41  40

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/8     5/7     5/6     5/5     5/4
D. Onorato   42%/11% 39%/ 9% 38%/10% 40%/11% 38%/10% 40%/10%
T. Williams  26 /15  24 /13  21 /14  20 /12  18 /11  19 /12
J. Hoeffel   21 / 9  18 / 8  20 / 8  21 / 8  22 / 8  25 / 7
J. Wagner    19 /10  17 / 8  18 / 6  19 / 7  19 / 8  19 / 7

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/6; surveyed 408 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 5/10). Tested: Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and Williams.

Primary Election Matchup

D. Onorato   34%
J. Wagner    17
T. Williams  17
J. Hoeffel    9
Other         6
Undec        17

Fav/Unfav

D. Onorato   58%/22%
J. Wagner    43 /24
T. Williams  41 /34
J. Hoeffel   29 /34

Rendell As Gov.

-            Now 4/12
Approve      61% 60%
Disapprove   38  39

Governor 2010

Arizona
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/23-25; surveyed 387 GOP primary voters; margin of error +/- 5.0% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Jan Brewer, Maricopa Co. Sheriff Joe Arpaio, Treas. Dean Martin, NRA board member/firearms training center owner Owen "Buz" Mills and ex-state GOP Chair John Munger.

Primary Election Matchups

-           All Men Wom
J. Arpaio   33% 37% 29%
J. Brewer   25  29  20
D. Martin   15  11  19
B. Mills    11  11  12
J. Munger    1   1   2
Undec       15  11  19

-           All Men Wom
J. Brewer   38% 43% 32%
B. Mills    19  20  19
D. Martin   16  15  17
J. Munger    3   3   4
Undec       24  20  28

Brewer As Gov.

-           All Men Wom
Approve     52% 56% 48%
Disapprove  30  28  31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom
J. Arpaio   70%/22% 77%/20% 63%/24%
B. Mills    27 /11  29 /11  26 /12
D. Martin   26 /11  27 /13  25 / 9
J. Munger    5 / 9   4 /11   6 / 7

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/28; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 4/5 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  38  37  45
Other        5   7   6  13
Undec       11  10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 4/5 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     40% 43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  58  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/5     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    47%/32% 48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    43 /50  37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Nevada
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/29). Party ID Breakdown: 43%D, 40%R, 17%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           All    Dem     GOP     Ind     9/2
J. Gibbons  21%/59  7%/84% 39%/31% 14%/61% 17%/61%

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/27; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/29). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R) and Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D).

General Election Matchups

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
R. Reid       47% 43%  44% 44%
J. Gibbons    37  45   36  35
Other         12   8   15  13
Undec          3   4    4   8

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
M. Montandon  45% 45%  42% 36%
R. Reid       39  38   37  40
Other          9   9   13  14
Undec          8   8    8  10

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/3
B. Sandoval   53% 55%  53% 45%
R. Reid       35  34   35  33
Other          6   6    7  11
Undec          5   4    5  12

Gibbons As Gov.

-             Now 3/31 3/3 2/2 1/11 12/9
Approve       35% 42%  37% 39% 35%  35%
Disapprove    63  57   61  59  63   61

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     3/31    3/3     2/3
B. Sandoval   53%/28% 49%/29% 55%/30% 53%/30%
R. Reid       43 /48  36 /53  43 /48  40 /52
M. Montandon  41 /28  35 /32  39 /30  39 /29
J. Gibbons    32 /65  35 /62  33 /61  35 /63

New York
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31). Tested: AG Andrew Cuomo (D), '00 SEN nominee/JPMorgan exec. VP/ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R), Suffolk Co. Exec. Steve Levy (R) and atty/developer Carl Paladino (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 3/29 3/1 1/21 11/17 9/22
A. Cuomo     56% 52%  55% 54%  57%   65%
R. Lazio     24  29   30  35   29    26
Other         6   6    5   5    6     5
Undec        14  13   10   7    9     5

-            Now 3/29
A. Cuomo     50% 50%
S. Levy      27  26
Other         6   7
Undec        17  17

-            Now 3/29 3/1
A. Cuomo     55% 51%  56%
C. Paladino  25  28   27
Other         5   6    6
Undec        15  15   11

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/29    3/1     1/21    11/17   9/22
A. Cuomo     65%/28% 60%/31% 64%/29% 62%/29% 56%/34% 68%/25%
R. Lazio     38 /38  46 /32  40 /34  45 /34  36 /44  33 /49
S. Levy      35 /32  33 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
C. Paladino  27 /41  31 /31  30 /33   n/a     n/a     n/a

Utah
A Salt Lake Tribune poll; conducted 4/26-28 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 400 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/30). Tested: Gov. Gary Herbert (R) and Salt Lake Co. Mayor Peter Corroon (D).

Special Election Matchup

-           Now 1/20
G. Herbert  61% 55%
P. Corroon  30  30
Undec        9  15

Fav/Unfav

G. Herbert  51%/16%
P. Corroon  30 /14

Governor 2010

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 4/6; surveyed 301 Dem primary Lvs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 4/7). Tested: Ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D) and '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 4/09
R. Barnes     47% 36%  35%
T. Baker      18   7   11
D. Poythress   6   2    2
D. Porter      5   3    3
Other         n/a  4   n/a
Undec         24  48   49

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/8). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 3/8 12/14
B. Brady    45% 47% 30%
P. Quinn    38  37  45
Other        7   6  13
Undec       10   9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/09
Approve     43% 43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  56  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    48%/35% 51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    37 /59  44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/30-4/5; surveyed 1,412 RVs; margin of error +/- 2.6% (release, 4/8). Tested: AG Tom Corbett (R), '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D) and Aud. Jack Wagner (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14
T. Corbett   50% 18% 86% 48% 56% 44% 41%  46%
J. Hoeffel   28  62   3  19  25  30  30   30
Other        --  --  --   1   1  --   1    1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   1   1   1    1
Undec        21  19  12  30  17  24  27   23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   45% 11% 81% 43% 53% 37% 42%  45%   47%
D. Onorato   33  70   5  25  29  36  32   30    28
Other         1  --   1   1   1   1   1    1     1
Not vote      1   1  --   2   1   1   1    1     1
Undec        21  18  13  29  15  25  24   22    24

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 2/28 12/14 9/28
T. Corbett   48% 14% 84% 47% 56% 40% 42%  43%   44%
J. Wagner    29  65   3  20  24  33  30   33    29
Other         1  --  --   1   1  --   1    1     1
Not vote      1   2  --   2   2   1   1    1     1
Undec        21  20  12  30  17  26  26   23    25

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     2/28    12/14
T. Corbett   47%/13% 28%/21% 71%/ 3% 45%/13% 43%/ 7% 43%/ 6%
J. Wagner    18 / 8  30 / 4   9 /11  16 /12  20 / 7  22 / 5
D. Onorato   21 /11  35 / 6  13 /16  17 /12  20 / 8  18 / 9
J. Hoeffel   14 /10  19 / 5   8 /14  15 /11  15 / 7  13 / 7
S. Rohrer     7 / 4   4 / 4  13 / 3   4 / 3   5 / 3   n/a
T. Williams   3 / 3   6 / 3   1 / 4   1 / 2   3 / 2   n/a

AGs From Several States Have Said They Will Sue To Block The Health Care Overhaul Plan. Do You Think Filing A Lawsuit To Stop The Plan From Taking Effect Is A
Good/Bad Idea?

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Good idea    39% 13% 64% 39% 46% 33%
Bad idea     52  83  25  51  49  56

A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/29-4/1; surveyed 934 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 47%D, 41%R, 12%I. Tested: Corbett, Hoeffel, Onorato, Wagner and state Sen. Tony Williams (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   46% 20% 78% 37% 49% 43%
J. Hoeffel   31  53   7  26  31  31
Undec        23  27  14  37  20  26

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   45% 18% 79% 36% 50% 41%
D. Onorato   32  54   8  27  30  33
Undec        23  28  13  37  20  25

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   43% 14% 79% 33% 47% 40%
J. Wagner    30  52   6  23  28  31
Undec        27  34  15  44  25  29

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   45% 16% 80% 39% 50% 40%
T. Williams  27  49   4  19  24  30
Undec        28  35  17  42  26  30

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   27%/20% 17%/28% 38%/11% 24%/23% 32%/23% 22%/18%
J. Wagner    15 /10  18 / 9  10 /11  17 /10  17 /12  13 / 8
D. Onorato   15 /13  20 /12   8 /15  13 /13  14 /18  15 / 9
J. Hoeffel   10 /11  13 / 8   7 /14   9 /10   8 /14  11 / 8
T. Williams   6 / 7  10 / 7   3 / 7   3 /11   7 / 9   6 / 6

Governor 2010

Connecticut
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: '06 SEN nominee/businessman Ned Lamont (D), '06 candidate/Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy (D), LG Michael Fedele (R) and ex-U.S. Amb. to Ireland Tom Foley (R).

General Election Matchups

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
N. Lamont  41% 41%            T. Foley   44% 37%
M. Fedele  38  33             N. Lamont  37  40
Other       9   8             Other       7   9
Undec      12  18             Undec      13  14

-          Now 2/1                       Now 2/1
D. Malloy  40% 36%            T. Foley   44% 36%
M. Fedele  37  35             D. Malloy  35  37
Other       7   9             Other       8  10
Undec      16  21             Undec      14  18

Fav/Unfav

-          Now     2/1
D. Malloy  47%/29% 43%/29%
T. Foley   45 /25  42 /22
N. Lamont  43 /40  43 /35
M. Fedele  38 /26  39 /22

Georgia
An InsiderAdvantage (IVR) poll; conducted 2/28; surveyed 396 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Galloway, Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4/7). Tested: Rep. Nathan Deal (09), Sec/State Karen Handel, state Sen. Eric Johnson and Insurance Commis. John Oxendine.

Primary Election Matchup

-             Now 2/28 2/9 5/13
J. Oxendine   26% 27%  25% 21%
K. Handel     18  13   10   9
N. Deal        9   9    9  11
E. Johnson     5   7    7   3
Others        11   8    4   6
Undec         31  36   45  50

Illinois
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 4/1-5; surveyed 591 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 4/7). Party ID breakdown: 42%D, 30%R, 28%I. Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Brady    43% 19% 80% 39% 44% 42%
P. Quinn    33  53   7  31  34  32
Undec       24  28  13  30  22  26

Quinn As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/25
Approve     25% 37% 10% 23% 22% 27% 25%
Disapprove  53  36  77  54  58  49  55

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Brady    25%/20% 11%/27% 44%/11% 24%/19% 27%/25% 23%/17%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/5; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/7). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 
D. Patrick  35% 35% 33%   34%
C. Baker    27  32  28    24
T. Cahill   23  19  25    23
Undec       15  14  14    19

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  38% 34% 32%   34%
T. Cahill   33  30  28    23
C. Mihos    15  19  26    23
Undec       14  16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 3/8 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/09 2/09
Approve     46% 39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  53  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/8     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   49%/29% 55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
D. Patrick  49 /48  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40%/56% 48%/51%
C. Baker    43 /32  46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40 /30  37 /27
C. Mihos    31 /51  38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35

Michigan
An EPIC-MRA poll; conducted 3/28-31 for the Detroit Free Press/WXYZ-TV/WOOD-TV/WILX-TV/WJRT-TV; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversamples of 400 Dem primary LVs and 400 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% for each (release, 4/7). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero (D), state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-                 Now
A. Dillon         22%
V. Bernero        15
A. Wheeler Smith  11
Other             10
Undec             42

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 2/25 1/26 10/15
P. Hoekstra   27% 27%  25%  29%
M. Cox        21  21   32   28
R. Snyder     15  12    3    3
M. Bouchard   13  10   16   14
T. George      3   1    2    2
Other          3   3   n/a  n/a
Undec         18  26   22   24

General Election Matchups

M. Cox        44%
V. Bernero    30
Undec         26

-             Now 2/25 1/26
M. Cox        43% 43%  47%    
A. Dillon     34  36   30     
Undec         23  21   23

P. Hoekstra   42%
V. Bernero    29
Undec         29

-             Now 2/25 1/26
P. Hoekstra   40% 41%  40%
A. Dillon     33  37   32
Undec         27  21   28

R. Snyder     42%
V. Bernero    26
Undec         32

R. Snyder     42%
A. Dillon     30
Undec         28

Fav/Unfav

-                 Now     2/25    1/26    12/9
M. Cox            38%/26% 43%/19% 41%/20% 42%/20%
M. Bouchard       31 /10  35 / 9  33 /10  31 / 7
P. Hoekstra       30 /15  29 /11  30 /12  30 /12
R. Snyder         18 / 6  19 / 4   7 / 2   6 / 2
A. Dillon         16 /11  13 / 9  14 /11  14 /10
V. Bernero         8 / 6   7 / 4   7 / 4   6 / 3
A. Wheeler Smith   5 / 4   4 / 4   4 / 3   4 / 5
T. George          4 / 2   6 / 2   6 / 3   6 / 3

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 3/31-4/5; surveyed 921 Dem primary LVs and 491 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 3.2% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 4/7). Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D), AG Tom Corbett (R) and state Rep. Sam Rohrer (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
D. Onorato   20% 18% 22% 16%
J. Hoeffel   15  16  13  10
J. Wagner    13  15  12  11
T. Williams   5   6   4   2
Other         1   1   1   1
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        47  44  49  59

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom 2/28(RVs)
T. Corbett   58% 66% 51% 43%
S. Rohrer     7   7   6   5
Other         1  --   1  --
Not vote     --  --  --   2
Undec        35  27  42  49

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-            All     Men     Wom
D. Onorato   27%/ 6% 26%/ 7% 28%/ 6%
J. Wagner    20 / 5  24 / 5  18 / 4
J. Hoeffel   18 / 4  20 / 6  17 / 4
T. Williams   6 / 3   8 / 4   5 / 2

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-            All     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   51%/ 3% 59%/ 3% 44%/ 3%
S. Rohrer     8 / 2   8 / 3   8 /--

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hickenlooper  50% 85% 13% 48% 45% 55%
S. McInnis       39   7  77  34  46  32
Undec            11   8  10  18   9  13

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind               
J. Hickenlooper  51%/27% 72%/12% 30%/41% 49%/28%
S. McInnis       28 /27  11 /42  49 /10  26 /30

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 12/14
B. Brady    47% 30%
P. Quinn    37  45
Other        6  13
Undec        9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/14
Approve     43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 11/23 10/22               Now 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  35% 33%   34%     D. Patrick  34% 32%   34%
C. Baker    32  28    24      T. Cahill   30  28    23
T. Cahill   19  25    23      C. Mihos    19  26    23
Undec       14  14    19      Undec       16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve     39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
C. Baker    46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40%/30% 37%/27%
D. Patrick  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40 /56  48 /51
C. Mihos    38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35 

Michigan
A Denno-Noor poll; conducted 3/2-5 for the Rossman Group and Perricone Group; surveyed 205 Dem primary LVs and 217 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.8% and 6.7%, respectively (Agar, Grand Rapids Press, 3/10). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee, '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         13%
V. Bernero        11
A. Wheeler Smith   6
D. Kildee          6
Other/none         8
Undec             56

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 Now 11/17
P. Hoekstra       28% 21%
R. Snyder         18   5
M. Cox            12  15
M. Bouchard        8  13
T. George          2   3
Other/none         1   7
Undec             31  37

Governor 2010

Illinois
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 2/25). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), '06 candidate/state Sen. Bill Brady (R) and state Sen. Kirk Dillard (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
P. Quinn    46% 75%  7% 40% 43% 49%
K. Dillard  35   7  77  35  39  31
Other        1   1   1   1   1   1
Undec       18  17  15  24  17  19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
P. Quinn    37%/41% 18%/56% 69%/17% 34%/43% 40%/39% 34%/43%
K. Dillard  31 /37  10 /53  66 /10  29 /39  34 /33  28 /41
B. Brady    29 /41   7 /60  64 / 9  28 /43  33 /38  25 /44

Massachusetts
A WHDH-TV/Suffolk Univ. poll; conducted 2/21-24; surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4%. Subsamples of 273 Dem primary voters and 155 GOP primary voters; margins of error +/- 5.9% and 7.9%, respectively (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), '06 Green-Rainbow Party nominee Grace Ross (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '02 candidate Jill Stein (G).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom
D. Patrick  59% 56% 62%
G. Ross     15  22  10
Undec       26  22  28

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom 11/8 9/15
C. Baker    47% 43% 53% 30%  43%
C. Mihos    17  24   7  33   19
Undec       36  33  40  37   38

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  33% 58% 10% 21% 28% 37% 38%  36%
C. Baker    25  10  55  30  31  20  15   14
T. Cahill   23  21  25  24  20  25  26   23
J. Stein     3   1   0   4   3   2  n/a  n/a
Undec       16  11  10  21  17  15  22   26

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15
D. Patrick  34% 59% 13% 22% 29% 40% 36%  36%
T. Cahill   26  21  25  30  25  27  26   24
C. Mihos    19  10  47  19  26  12  20   17
J. Stein     3   2   0   5   3   3  n/a  n/a
Undec       18   9  15  25  17  18  18   23

Patrick As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8
Approve     35% 55% 20% 25% 31% 39% 42%
Disapprove  54  36  75  63  60  48  51

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     11/8    9/15
D. Patrick  38%/50% 60%/29% 20%/68% 25%/62% 43%/47% 42%/45%
T. Cahill   31 /16  29 /15  32 /22  32 /16  41 /13  35 /12
C. Mihos    20 /28  14 /37  25 /30  25 /21  30 /25  27 /23
C. Baker    18 /12   9 /18  33 / 5  21 / 8  13 / 7  15/ 11

Does Patrick Deserve To Be Re-Elected, Or Is It Time To Elect Someone Else?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 11/8 9/15 3/20
Re-elect him    29% 49% 13% 17% 26% 31% 32%  29%  34%
Someone else    60  41  80  70  65  56  55   56   47
Undec           11  11   7  12   9  13  13   15   20

Do You Think Patrick Is A Weak Leader, Or Is He A Victim Of The Bad Economy?

-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Weak leader     68% 55% 78% 70% 70% 65%
Bad economy     22  36  11  19  21  22

Do You Think MA Would Be Better Off With A GOP Gov.?

-       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 9/15
Yes     30% 12% 62% 36% 37% 24% 35%
No      48  76  15  35  42  54  54

Do You View Cahill As An Indie, Or Do You View Him As Still A Dem Who Left His Party To Run For GOV?

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Dem         47% 46% 53% 46% 48% 45%
Indie       26  24  28  26  25  26

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 2/22-24 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary regular voters; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/26). Tested: Gov. Jim Gibbons (R), ex-North Las Vegas Mayor Mike Montandon (R), Clark Co. Commis. Rory Reid (D) and ex-U.S. District Judge/ex-NV AG/ex-NV Gaming Commis. chair Brian Sandoval (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             Now 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   37% 39% 39%  41%  33%
J. Gibbons    30  23  18   20   17
M. Montandon   9   7   6    4    3
Others        n/a n/a --   --    1
Undec         24  31  37   35   46

General Election Matchups

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
R. Reid       42% 70%  9% 42% 36% 48% 43% 48%  49%  47%
J. Gibbons    38  12  71  35  48  28  36  34   37   35
Undec         20  18  20  22  16  24  21  18   14   18

-             All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 1/7 12/2 10/8 8/18
B. Sandoval   51% 23% 84% 49% 56% 46% 53% 49%  50%  49%
R. Reid       29  55   5  29  23  35  31  34   33   32
Undec         20  22  11  22  21  19  16  17   17   19

Fav/Unfav

-             Now     1/7     12/2    10/8    6/19    5/14
B. Sandoval   33%/ 7% 36%/ 5% 39%/ 6% 38%/ 7%  n/a     n/a
R. Reid       22 /36  25 /35  23 /28  21 /29   n/a     n/a
J. Gibbons    17 /51  18 /53  19 /50  15 /54  10%/57% 17%/52%

Governor - Illinois (2010)

Governor (2010)
An SIU-Carbondale Paul Simon Public Policy Institute poll; conducted 9/8-10/9; surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 322 Dem primary LVs and 201 GOP primary LVs; margins of error 5.5% and 6.9%, respectively (release, 10/16). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D), Comp. Dan Hynes (D), businessman Adam Andrzejewski (R), state Sen. Bill Brady (R), state Sen. Kirk Dillard (R), state Sen. Matt Murphy (R), radio commentator Dan Proft (R) and DuPage Co. Board Chair Bob Schillserstrom (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
P. Quinn           34%
D. Hynes           17
Other              14
Undec              35

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)
B. Brady           10%
K. Dillard          8
M. Murphy           4
B. Schillserstrom   4
D. Proft            4
A. Andrzejewski     2
Other              14
Undec              56

Quinn As Gov.
Approve     58%
Disapprove  29

Hynes As Comp.
Approve     49%
Disapprove  10