Senate 2010

Florida
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/16; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/17). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (I), Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17) and ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R).

General Election Matchup

-         Now 5/3 4/21 3/18
M. Rubio  39% 34% 37%  42%
C. Crist  31  38  30   22
K. Meek   18  17  22   25
Undec     12  11  11   11

Crist As Gov.

-             Now 5/3 4/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/27 12/14 10/20
Approve       57% 62% 56%  57%  45%  52%  51%  52%   49%
Disapprove    42  38  43   42   54   45   47   45    49

Fav/Unfav

-         Now     5/3     4/21    3/18    2/18    1/27
C. Crist  57%/41% 57%/40% 55%/30% 49%/48% 55%/41% 58%/40%
M. Rubio  46 /43  42 /48  51 /37  48 /34  51 /27  51 /31
K. Meek   33 /36  32 /36  38 /31  33 /39  42 /33  38 /36

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 5/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 5/14). Tested: Sen. Mike Crapo (R) and businessman Tom Sullivan (D).

General Election Matchup

M. Crapo     66%
T. Sullivan  22
Other         2
Undec         9

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     3/23
M. Crapo     63%/28% 72%/20%
T. Sullivan  33 /30   n/a

Illinois
A Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) poll; conducted 5/11-13 for Treas. Alexi Giannoulias (D); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (Sweet, Chicago Sun-Times, 5/17). Tested: Giannoulias and Rep. Mark Kirk (R-10).

General Election Matchup

-               Now 4/29 2/14 10/28 8/2
M. Kirk         44% 43%  45%  43%   40%
A. Giannoulias  44  37   49   46    45

Kentucky
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 5/15-16; surveyed 1,065 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.0% (release, 5/16). Tested: Sec/State Trey Grayson (R), WW II vet Gurley Martin (R), ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R), Jon Scribner (R) and ex-Supt. of Public Instr. John Stephenson (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom 5/2 12/21
R. Paul        52% 31% 37% 46% 44%
T. Grayson     34  31  37  28  25
G. Martin       4   3   5   2  n/a
J. Stephenson   2   1   2   2  n/a
J. Scribner     1   2   1   0  n/a
Undec           7   7   8  21  32

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom     5/2     12/21
R. Paul        60%/23% 64%/21% 56%/24% 47%/22% 39%/13%
T. Grayson     42 /29  41 /31  44 /26  34 /21  22 /15

Bunning As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve        45% 51% 38% 43%
Disapprove     31  31  32  30

McConnell As Sen.

-              All Men Wom 5/2
Approve        57% 58% 56% 68%
Disapprove     25  27  23  20

Pennsylvania
A Quinnipiac Univ. poll; conducted 5/12-16; surveyed 951 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 3.2% (release, 5/17). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Joe Sestak (07).

Primary Election Matchup

-                                    RVs---------------->
-           All Men Wom 5/10 5/2 4/5 2/28 12/14 9/28 7/19
J. Sestak   42% 46% 40% 42%  39% 32% 29%  30%   25%  23%
A. Specter  41  41  41  44   47  53  53   53    44   55
Other       --  --  --   1   --  --   2    1     2    1
Not vote    --  --  --  --   --  --   2    1     1    2
Undec       16  13  18  14   14  15  14   15    28   19

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Men     Wom     5/10    5/2     4/5
A. Specter  50%/33% 52%/35% 48%/31% 50%/33% 57%/31% 60%/26%
J. Sestak   42 /11  47 /14  39 / 9  42 /10  43 /11  33 / 6

A Muhlenberg College/Allentown Morning Call tracking poll; conducted 5/12-15; surveyed 430 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.7% (release, 5/16). Tested: Specter and Sestak.

Primary Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14 5/13 5/12 5/11 5/10 5/9 5/8 5/7 5/6 5/5
A. Specter   44% 44%  45%  44%  45%  43%  42% 42% 42% 43% 45%
J. Sestak    44  43   43   44   45   47   47  46  44  43  40
Other/undec  11  12   12   12    9   10   11  12  14  13  14

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14    5/13    5/12    5/11    5/10
A. Specter   59%/30% 58%/31% 57%/33% 53%/36% 54%/35% 52%/34%
J. Sestak    51 /18  52 /15  52 /13  54 /11  55 / 9  56 /10

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/30; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/1). Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp. CEO Curtis Coleman (R), state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R) and '04 nominee/'06 LG nominee/ex-state Sen. Jim Holt (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28               
G. Baker    51% 45% 52% 51% 47%  47%    
B. Lincoln  36  40  33  39  41   39    
Other        6   6   6   3   6    5    
Undec        7   8   8   7   7    8

-           Now 3/1 2/1
J. Boozman  51% 48% 54%
B. Lincoln  36  39  35
Other        6   6   4
Undec        7   7   7

-           Now 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
C. Coleman  48% 43% 50% 48% 44%  43%
B. Lincoln  36  41  34  38  40   41
Other        7   7   7   4   7    5
Undec        8  10   9   9   9   11

-           Now 3/1 2/1 1/5 12/1 9/28
K. Hendren  51% 43% 51% 47% 46%  44%
B. Lincoln  35  38  35  39  39   41
Other        5   7   7   4   6    5
Undec        8  12   7  10   9   10

-           Now 3/1
J. Holt     51% 45%
B. Lincoln  35  38
Other        7   6
Undec        7  10

-           Now 3/1
G. Baker    44% 44%
B. Halter   36  37
Other        7   5
Undec       12  13

-           Now 3/1
J. Boozman  48% 52%
B. Halter   34  33
Other        8   6
Undec       11   9

-           Now 3/1
C. Coleman  40% 38%
B. Halter   37  35
Other       10   9
Undec       13  18

-           Now 3/1
K. Hendren  42% 42%
B. Halter   34  35
Other       10   7
Undec       13  15

-           Now 3/1
J. Holt     43% 42%
B. Halter   34  38
Other        9   8
Undec       14  12

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     3/1     2/1     1/5     12/1    9/28
J. Boozman  47%/25% 51%/27% 51%/24%  n/a     n/a     n/a
B. Halter   47 /40  48 /34   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holt     46 /24  44 /25   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
K. Hendren  38 /21  36 /23  35 /19  37%/20% 41%/19% 38%/22%
G. Baker    37 /25  38 /23  40 /22  42 /20  40 /19  39 /27
B. Lincoln  37 /61  41 /52  36 /59  38 /56  43 /52  45 /52

Idaho
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/23; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/31).

General Election Matchup

M. Crapo     60%
Generic Dem  28
Other         3
Undec         9

Fav/Unfav

M. Crapo     63%/28%