Senate 2010

Arizona
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16). Tested: Sen. John McCain (R), ex-Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) and Tucson vice mayor Rodney Glassman (D).

General Election Matchups

J. McCain      54%
R. Glassman    32
Other           8
Undec           6

J.D. Hayworth  48%
R. Glassman    39
Other           7
Undec           7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     11/18
J. McCain      52%/46% 54%/43%
J.D. Hayworth  43 /49   n/a
R. Glassman    32 /34   n/a

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/13; surveyed 510 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 4/16). Tested: McCain and Hayworth.

Primary Election Matchup

-              Now 3/16 1/20 11/18
J. McCain      47% 48%  53%  45%
J.D. Hayworth  42  41   31   43
Other           2   3    7    6
Undec           8   8    8    7

Fav/Unfav

-              Now     3/16    1/20    11/18
J. McCain      67%/33% 60%/36% 74%/23% 74%/24%
J.D. Hayworth  58 /34  47 /43  58 /25  67 /16

Obama As POTUS

Approve        14%
Disapprove     86

New York
A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 4/12-15; surveyed 806 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 4/19). Tested: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), '98 Comp. nominee/ex-Nassau Co. legislator/ex-Port Authority Commis. Bruce Blakeman (R), ex-Rep. Joe DioGuardi (R), ex-Giuliani aide/ex-Bear Stearns chief economist David Malpass (R) and ex-Gov. George Pataki (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom
G. Pataki      60% 67% 53%
J. DioGuardi    5   5   5
B. Blakeman     2   2   3
D. Malpass      2   1   2
Undec          31  25  37

-              All Men Wom
J. DioGuardi   24% 28% 19%
B. Blakeman     7   6   8
D. Malpass      5   5   4
Undec          65  61  68

General Election Matchups

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19
K. Gillibrand  46% 66% 18% 40% 45% 47% 48%  51%
B. Blakeman    26   9  54  32  31  21  24   24
Undec          28  25  28  28  24  32  28   25

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  46% 66% 15% 41% 43% 48%
J. DioGuardi   27  11  57  31  31  24
Undec          27  23  28  29  26  28

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
K. Gillibrand  46% 68% 17% 37% 44% 48%
D. Malpass     24   8  51  30  28  21
Undec          30  24  32  33  28  31

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19 1/14 12/9
G. Pataki      47% 33% 73% 49% 54% 42% 45%  47%  51%  43%
K. Gillibrand  38  56  13  33  34  41  39   41   38   46
Undec          15  11  14  18  12  17  15   13   11   12

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/18
G. Pataki      62%/29% 59%/34% 77%/15% 55%/31% 56%/33%
K. Gillibrand  34 /25  42 /18  21 /37  33 /26  32 /29
J. DioGuardi   10 / 8  10 / 8  13 / 7   9 /11   n/a
B. Blakeman     6 / 6   5 / 7   6 / 7   8 / 4   8 / 8
D. Malpass      5 / 5   6 / 6   5 / 7   6 / 4   n/a

Elect Gillibrand?

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/18 2/19 1/14 12/9
Elect her      27% 34% 17% 28% 26% 29% 28%  30%  29%  30%
Prefer another 40  31  51  45  45  35  38   40   45   34
Undec          33  35  32  27  29  36  34   30   26   35

House 2010

HI-01
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/11-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/16) Tested: ex-HI-02 Rep. Ed Case (D), state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) and Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou (R). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 30%R, 31%I.

Special Election Matchup

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Asn Oth
C. Djou      32%  5% 72% 28% 38% 26% 47% 26% 22%
E. Case      29  44   8  29  28  30  26  32  28
C. Hanabusa  28  46   4  28  24  32  17  31  37
Other         4   3   4   6   5   3   4   3   5
Undec         7   2  12   9   5   9   6   8   8

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. Obama     61%/35% 85%/12% 24%/72% 66%/29% 57%/39% 65%/31%
E. Case      47 /25  71 /13  18 /45  44 /22  44 /27  50 /23
C. Djou      40 /27  20 /44  68 / 9  39 /23  43 /25  37 /29
C. Hanabusa  37 /31  55 /17  18 /48  33 /31  35 /34  39 /28

FL-10
An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 4/5-8 for state Sen. Charlie Justice (D); surveyed 406 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/14). Tested: Justice and Rep. Bill Young (R).

General Election Matchup

C.W. Young    49%
C. Justice    34

Re-Elect Young?

Re-elect him  47%
Someone new   41

TN-04
An OnMessage Inc. (R) poll; conducted 3/21-22 for the TN GOP; surveyed 300 RVs; margin of error +/- 5.9% (Humphrey, "Humphrey on the Hill," Knoxville News, 4/16). Tested: Rep. Lincoln Davis (D), atty/ex-Rep. Akin CoS Jack Bailey (R) and physician Scott DesJarlais (R).

General Election Matchups

L. Davis        44%
J. Bailey       33

L. Davis        44%
S. DesJarlais   33

Generic GOPer   44%
Generic Dem     29

Fav/Unfav

L. Davis    45%/30%
B. Obama    34 /60
N. Pelosi   21 /66

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.  20%
Wrong dir.  70

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 4/14; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/15). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                Now 3/4 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis       48% 48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper  42  42  49  42
Other             4   3   1   2
Undec             6   6   6   8

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     3/4     2/4     1/6     12/10
S. McInnis       57%/26% 53%/33% 52%/29% 60%/26% 52%/33%
J. Hickenlooper  55 /38  55 /36  56 /36  57 /32   n/a

Senate 2010

Arkansas
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 4/12-14 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 4/15). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 38%D, 33%R, 29%I. Tested: Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D), LG Bill Halter (D), state Sen. Gilbert Baker (R), Rep. John Boozman (R-03), Safe Foods Corp CEO Curtis Coleman (R), AR Tea Party org. pres. Tom Cox (R) and state Senate Min. Leader Kim Hendren (R). (Ed. note: Daily Kos has endorsed Halter and is encouraging its readers to support his campaign.)

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk 3/24 12/2
B. Lincoln  45% 48% 42% 48% 30% 44%  42%
B. Halter   33  29  37  32  35  31   26
Other        6   9   3   7   1  n/a  n/a
Undec       16  14  18  13  34  25   32

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
G. Baker    48% 16% 84% 50% 52% 44% 49%  41%  37%
B. Lincoln  41  75   6  36  36  46  41   42   44
Undec       11   9  10  14  12  10  10   17   19

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
J. Boozman  50% 18% 85% 53% 56% 44% 49%
B. Lincoln  43  78   7  38  38  48  42
Undec        7   4   8   9   6   8   9

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
C. Coleman  46% 13% 82% 49% 51% 41% 47%  39%  37%
B. Lincoln  43  78   5  39  38  48  44   44   45
Undec       11   9  13  12  11  11   9   17   18

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
T. Cox      46% 11% 84% 49% 50% 42% 47%  31%  29%
B. Lincoln  43  78   5  39  38  38  43   45   46
Undec       11  11  11  12  12  10  10   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2 9/10
K. Hendren  49% 17% 84% 52% 53% 45% 48%  30%  28%
B. Lincoln  42  77   6  36  39  45  43   46   47
Undec        9   6  10  12   8  10   9   24   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
G. Baker    45% 10% 83% 48% 50% 40% 46%  42%
B. Halter   43  78   7  38  39  47  44   34
Undec       12  12  10  14  11  13  10   24

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24
J. Boozman  48% 15% 84% 50% 53% 43% 48%
B. Halter   41  76   5  37  37  45  40
Undec       11   9  11  13  10  12  12

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   44% 82%  5% 39% 39% 49% 45%  35%
C. Coleman  43   7  82  46  49  37  44   40
Undec       13  11  13  15  12  14  11   25

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
B. Halter   44% 81%  5% 40% 40% 48% 45%  36%
T. Cox      43   8  81  45  50  36  43   32
Undec       13  11  14  15  10  16  12   32

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 3/24 12/2
K. Hendren  46% 12% 845 50% 50% 42% 45%  31%
B. Halter   43  78   6  38  39  47  44   36
Undec       11  10  10  12  11  11  11   33

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     3/24    12/2
B. Halter   47%/30% 69%/11%  n/a    46%/30% 46%/27% 36%/25%
J. Boozman  45 /31  17 /52  77 / 9  45 /29  44 /30   n/a
B. Lincoln  43 /53  65 /31  20 /74  41 /57  42 /52  41 /50
G. Baker    37 /30  15 /50  64 / 8  36 /27  36 /28  31 /25
K. Hendren  36 /28  14 /48  63 / 7  35 /26  34 /27  30 /24
C. Coleman  35 /30  15 /50  60 / 9  33 /27  34 /29  29 /24
T. Cox      33 /25  12 /43  57 / 7  33 /22  32 /26  28 /23

Nevada
A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 4/13-14 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research; surveyed 625 regular voters; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 4/16). Party ID breakdown: 44%D, 38%R, 18%I. Tested: Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid (D), ex-state GOP Chair Sue Lowden (R), Tea Party candidate/businessman Scott Ashjian, Navy vet/aircraft engineer/businessman Tim Fasano (IAP), Michael Harris (I), Jesse Holland (I), Jeffrey Reeves (I) and Will Stand (I). (Ed. note: The NV Sec/State's office reports that a "Michael Haines" has filed for an indie bid, but not a "Michael Harris," as appears in the poll.)

General Election Matchup

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 4/7
S. Lowden   47% 15% 84% 49% 52% 42% 46%
H. Reid     37  70   4  27  30  44  38
T. Fasano    3   2   2   6   4   2  n/a
S. Ashjian   2   2   2   3   2   2   5
M. Harris   --  --  --  --  --  --  n/a
J. Holland  --  --  --  --  --  --  n/a
J. Reaves   --  --  --  --  --  --  n/a
W. Stand    --  --  --  --  --  --  n/a
None         3   3   1   5   5   1  n/a
Undec        8   8   7  10   7   9  11

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     4/7     2/24    1/7     12/2    10/8
S. Lowden   45%/23% 40%/24% 36%/17% 32%/17% 33%/13% 31%/15%
H. Reid     33 /54  34 /56  33 /51  33 /52  38 /49  38 /50
T. Fasano    5 /11   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
M. Harris    3/  1   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
S. Ashjian   2 /19   1 /13   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Reaves    2 / 2   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
J. Holland   1 / 3   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a
W. Stand     1 / 2   n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a     n/a

House 2010

AR-01
A Cooper & Secrest Assoc. (D) poll; conducted 4/8-11 for '06 LG candidate/ex-state Sen. Tim Wooldridge (D); surveyed 503 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 4/14). Tested: Wooldridge, Rep. Berry ex-CoS Chad Causey (D), state Rep. David Cook (D), orthopedic surgeon Terri Green (D) and businessman/educator/author Ben Ponder (D).

Primary Election Matchup

T. Wooldridge  25%
D. Cook         8
C. Causey       6
S. Bryles       4
B. Ponder       3
T. Green        1
Undec          53

NC-08
A Diversified Research (R) poll; conducted 4/6-7 for ex-TV sportscaster Harold Johnson (R); surveyed 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (Morrill, "Campaign Tracker," Charlotte Observer, 4/14). Tested: Johnson, businessman Tim D'Annunzio, ret. Army Col. Lou Huddleston and tech. engineer Hal Jordan.

Primary Election Matchup

T. D'Annunzio  20%
H. Johnson     14
H. Jordan       9
L. Huddleston   6