Senate 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/11). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO/McCain Victory '08 chair Carly Fiorina (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-            All Men Wom
T. Campbell  33% 36% 30%
C. Fiorina   24  21  27
C. DeVore     7   9   5
Undec        36  34  38

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
B. Boxer     47% 80%  7% 43% 42% 52%
T. Campbell  43  11  85  45  49  37
Undec        10   9   8  12   9  11

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
B. Boxer     49% 83%  7% 46% 43% 55% 53%
C. DeVore    39   8  79  41  45  33  29
Undec        12   9  14  13  12  12  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
B. Boxer     49% 83%  7% 46% 44% 54% 52%
C. Fiorina   40   9  80  41  46  34  31
Undec        11   8  13  13  10  12  17

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12    1/7
B. Boxer     50%/45% 74%/23% 19%/76% 49%/44% 49%/43% 48%/46%
T. Campbell  46 /37  27 /57  72 /12  46 /35  38 /29   n/a
C. Fiorina   35 /43  14 /60  65 /22  34 /41  22 /29   n/a
C. DeVore    34 /42  12 /61  65 /20  33 /39  21 /27   n/a

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/16 4/19
M. Bennet    46% 81% 11% 41% 41% 50% 39%  40%
K. Buck      40   9  76  37  48  33  35   34
Undec        14  10  13  22  11  17  19   16

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bennet    43% 79%  9% 35% 37% 49%
J. Norton    43  11  77  44  51  34
Undec        14  10  14  21  12  17

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
M. Bennet    45% 79%  9% 42% 40% 49%
T. Wiens     37   8  73  32  44  31
Undec        18  12  19  25  16  20

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff  44% 81% 10% 35% 40% 49%
K. Buck      36   5  72  32  44  28
Undec        20  14  18  33  17  23

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff  44% 80% 11% 33% 37% 50%
J. Norton    39   6  76  37  46  32
Undec        17  13  13  30  17  18

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
A. Romanoff  45% 80% 11% 38% 41% 49%
T. Wiens     34   5  69  30  40  28
Undec        21  15  20  32  19  23

Bennet As Sen.

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/16 4/19
Approve      32% 57%  9% 25% 27% 38% 31%  34%
Disapprove   46  20  73  48  55  37  38   41

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/16    4/19
A. Romanoff  28%/26% 46%/14% 15%/38% 20%/30%  n/a     n/a
J. Norton    25 /35  12 /49  42 /24  23 /29   n/a     n/a
K. Buck      14 /18   7 /23  23 /14   9 /18  17%/18% 17%/22%
T. Wiens     11 /17   8 /17  17 /14   9 /20   n/a     n/a

Louisiana
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Sen. David Vitter (R) and Rep. Charlie Melancon (D-03).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/10 1/14 10/5
D. Vitter    57% 57%  53%  46%
C. Melancon  34  33   35   36
Other         3   3    4    5
Undec         6   7    8   13

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/10    1/14    10/5
D. Vitter    63%/32% 67%/26% 61%/33% 56%/34%
C. Melancon  43 /44  39 /45  39 /46  43 /39

An Anzalone Liszt Research (D) poll; conducted 2/18-24 for Melancon; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 3/3). Tested: Melancon and Vitter.

General Election Matchup

-            Now 5/14
D. Vitter    48% 47%
C. Melancon  38  37

Re-Elect Vitter

-                                 Now 5/14
Definitely/probably re-elect him  43% 39%
Prefer someone new                47  45

Vitter As Sen.

Approve      54%
Disapprove   38

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     5/14
D. Vitter    54%/38% 54%/33%

Missouri
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/11). Tested: Rep. Roy Blunt (R-07) and Sec/State Robin Carnahan (D).

General Election Matchup

-            Now 2/10 1/19 12/17 9/21
R. Blunt     47% 49%  49%  44%   46%
R. Carnahan  41  42   43   46    46
Other         4   3    3    4     2
Undec         8   6    5    6     5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/10    1/19    12/17   9/21
R. Blunt     56%/37% 54%/40% 56%/34% 50%/43% 57%/33%
R. Carnahan  47 /48  49 /45  49 /46  51 /43  52 /42

Ohio
A Mellman Group (D) poll; conducted 3/1-4 for the DSCC; surveyed 750 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.6% (release, 3/11). Tested: LG Lee Fisher (D) and ex-Rep./ex-OMB Dir. Rob Portman (R).

General Election Matchup

L. Fisher   36%
R. Portman  35

Fav/Unfav

L. Fisher   23%/16%
R. Portman  18 /12

Who Do You Think Is Most To Blame For The Economic Problems We Are Now Facing?

Politics in DC      31%
G. Bush             25
Wall St. banks      21
B. Obama             8
Strickland admin.    1

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom 8/12 5/6
A. Specter  51% 56% 47% 48%  56%
J. Sestak   32  28  35  33   11
Undec       17  16  18  19   33

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12 5/6
A. Specter  47% 81%  7% 46% 43% 51% 45%  55%
P. Toomey   41   8  81  41  46  36  40   31
Undec       12  11  12  13  11  13  15   14

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12 5/6
P. Toomey   42%  8% 83% 40% 47% 37% 41%  32%
J. Sestak   39  68   6  33  36  42  42   37
Undec       19  24  11  27  17  21  17   31

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12    5/6
A. Specter  48%/42% 72%/20% 20%/70% 47%/38% 52%/40% 54%/36%
P. Toomey   41 /36  13 /59  77 /10  35 /34  37 /34  33 /44
J. Sestak   35 /23  49 /13  18 /35  34 /23  37 /19  29 /15

House 2010

CT-04
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 1/19-20 for Easton Selectman/Private Equity Investment Co. Managing Dir. Tom Herrmann (R); surveyed 400 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9%. Oversample of 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 2/16). Tested: Rep. Jim Himes (D), Hermann, state Sens. Dan Debicella (R), '08 McCain staffer Will Gregory (R), businessman Rob Merkle (R), state Sen. Rob Russo (R) and businessman/ex-Bridgeport mayoral candidate Rick Torres (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

D. Debicella   7%
R. Russo       5
R. Torres      2
T. Herrmann    2
W. Gregory     1
R. Merkle     --

General Election Matchups

J. Himes      49%
T. Herrmann   30

Generic GOPer 43%
Generic Dem   41

Re-Elect Himes?

Re-elect him      28%
Consider another  64

Fav/Unfav

J. Himes      55%/26%

Obama As POTUS

Approve       50%
Disapprove    47

VA-11
A McLaughlin & Assoc. (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/1 for '08 nominee/businessman Keith Fimian (R); surveyed 300 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 3/5). Tested: Fimian and Rep. Gerry Connolly (D).

General Election Matchups

K. Fimian      40%
G. Connolly    35
Undec          25

Generic GOPer  52%
Generic Dem    33
Undec          15

Fav/Unfav

B. Obama       50%/48%
G. Connolly    38 /33
N. Pelosi      33 /62

Direction Of U.S.

Right dir.     28%
Wrong dir.     65

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 39%D, 36%R, 24%I. Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
J. Hickenlooper  50% 85% 13% 48% 45% 55%
S. McInnis       39   7  77  34  46  32
Undec            11   8  10  18   9  13

Fav/Unfav

-                All     Dem     GOP     Ind               
J. Hickenlooper  51%/27% 72%/12% 30%/41% 49%/28%
S. McInnis       28 /27  11 /42  49 /10  26 /30

Illinois
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Pat Quinn (D) and state Sen. Bill Brady (R).

General Election Matchup

-           Now 12/14
B. Brady    47% 30%
P. Quinn    37  45
Other        6  13
Undec        9  13

Quinn As Gov.

-           Now 2/3 12/9 8/11 6/9 4/14
Approve     43% 45% 52%  47%  57% 61%
Disapprove  55  53  47   49   41  37

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     12/14   8/11    6/9
B. Brady    51%/30% 36%/37% 29%/21%  n/a
P. Quinn    44 /51  52 /44  53 /43  55%/39%

Massachusetts
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Gov. Deval Patrick (D), Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO/ex-MA HHS/Finance sec. Charlie Baker (R), Treas. Tim Cahill (I) and '06 indie candidate/ex-MA Turnpike Authority board member Christy Mihos (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 11/23 10/22               Now 11/23 10/22
D. Patrick  35% 33%   34%     D. Patrick  34% 32%   34%
C. Baker    32  28    24      T. Cahill   30  28    23
T. Cahill   19  25    23      C. Mihos    19  26    23
Undec       14  14    19      Undec       16  14    19

Patrick As Gov.

-           Now 11/23 10/22 8/20 6/24 4/16 2/10
Approve     39% 34%   43%   39%  42%  34%  48%
Disapprove  61  64    56    60   57   65   51

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     11/23   10/22   8/20    6/24
T. Cahill   55%/28% 49%/28% 49%/25%  n/a     n/a
C. Baker    46 /26  42 /29  32 /29  40%/30% 37%/27%
D. Patrick  43 /55  42 /56  48 /50  40 /56  48 /51
C. Mihos    38 /42  46 /36  40 /36  50 /30  46 /35 

Michigan
A Denno-Noor poll; conducted 3/2-5 for the Rossman Group and Perricone Group; surveyed 205 Dem primary LVs and 217 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 6.8% and 6.7%, respectively (Agar, Grand Rapids Press, 3/10). Tested: Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, state House Speaker Andy Dillon (D), ex-Genesee Co. Treas. Dan Kildee, '02 LG candidate/state Rep. Alma Wheeler Smith (D), Oakland Co. Sheriff Mike Bouchard (R), AG Mike Cox (R), state Sen. Tom George (R), Rep. Pete Hoekstra (R-02) and ex-business exec. Rick Snyder (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

A. Dillon         13%
V. Bernero        11
A. Wheeler Smith   6
D. Kildee          6
Other/none         8
Undec             56

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-                 Now 11/17
P. Hoekstra       28% 21%
R. Snyder         18   5
M. Cox            12  15
M. Bouchard        8  13
T. George          2   3
Other/none         1   7
Undec             31  37

Senate 2010

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/10). Party ID breakdown: 42%R, 39%D, 19%I. Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-state House Speaker Marco Rubio (R) and Rep. Kendrick Meek (D-17). (Note: Crist was tested and IDed as a GOPer in a two-way matchup with Meek, as a Dem in a two-way matchup with Rubio, and as an indie in a three-way matchup with both Meek and Rubio.)

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist    46% 29% 65% 39% 51% 41% 49% 28% 43% 54%
K. Meek     33  51  17  29  30  35  31  53  22  25
Undec       22  20  19  32  19  24  20  19  35  21

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    44% 13% 77% 34% 52% 37% 51% 13% 35% 38%
K. Meek     39  67  11  41  30  45  33  59  48  46
Undec       18  20  12  25  17  18  16  28  17  17

-          All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    43% 21% 72% 29% 50% 38% 48% 16% 45% 39%
C. Crist    34  54  13  40  32  36  34  47  27  30
Undec       22  26  15  31  18  26  18  38  27  30

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth 
M. Rubio    34%  9% 62% 24% 41% 29% 39% 13% 35% 17%
C. Crist    27  32  18  35  25  28  27  29  22  33
K. Meek     25  47   7  22  22  28  22  45  22  29
Undec       14  12  13  20  12  15  12  13  22  21

Crist As Gov.

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth  
Approve     35% 45% 28% 29% 36% 34% 32% 42% 43% 33%
Disapprove  51  41  58  53  51  50  51  48  57  38

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
M. Rubio    31%/32% 13%/42% 52%/21% 25%/34% 36%/36% 28%/29%
K. Meek     17 /20  29 /13   8 /28   9 /19  13 /28  19 /15

North Carolina
A Civitas Institute (R) poll; conducted 2/15-18 by Tel Opinion Research (R); surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/8).

Fav/Unfav

-          All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/21
R. Burr    30%/18% 23%/25% 45%/ 9% 20%/13% 33%/20%

Oregon
A Grove Insight (D) poll; conducted 3/5-8 for Sen. Ron Wyden (D); surveyed 500 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Wyden, '06 candidate/state Sen. Jason Atkinson (R), Lewis & Clark College law prof. Jim Huffman (R), Rep. Greg Walden (R-02) and financial planner Marc Delphine (L).

General Election Matchups

R. Wyden     53%
J. Atkinson  22
M. Delphine   5
Undec        20

R. Wyden     53%
J. Huffman   23
M. Delphine   5
Undec        20

R. Wyden     52%
G. Walden    24
M. Delphine   5
Undec        18

Washington
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/9; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/10). Tested: Sen. Patty Murray (D), '98 WA-03 nominee/state Sen./ex-state GOP chair Don Benton (R), farmer/ex-Redskins tight end Clint Didier (R), '04/'08 GOV nominee Dino Rossi (R) and motivational speaker/author Chris Widener (R).

General Election Matchups

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
P. Murray   48% 50%           P. Murray   49% 49%
D. Benton   37  38            C. Didier   30  34
Other        3   3            Other        6   4
Undec       12   9            Undec       15  13

-           Now 2/11                      Now 2/11
D. Rossi    49% 48%           P. Murray   47% 48%
P. Murray   46  46            C. Widener  32  33
Other        3   1            Other        5   5
Undec        2   5            Undec       16  14

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/11
P. Murray   53%/41% 51%/45%
D. Rossi    51 /45  54 /41
C. Didier   27 /26  28 /28
C. Widener  26 /26  29 /26
D. Benton   26 /29  33 /28

Governor 2010

Alaska
A Basswood Research (R) poll; conducted 2/27-28 for Gov. Sean Parnell (R); surveyed 500 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/3). Tested: Parnell, Holland America VP/ex-state House Maj. Leader Ralph Samuels and atty Bill Walker.

Primary Election Matchup

S. Parnell  69%
R. Samuels   9
B. Walker    4
Undec       18

Parnell As Gov.

Approve     79%
Disapprove   8

Fav/Unfav

S. Parnell  71%/ 8%

Colorado
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/4; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/8). Tested: Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R).

General Election Matchup

-                Now 2/4 1/6
S. McInnis       48% 45% 45%
J. Hickenlooper  42  49  42
Other             3   1   2
Undec             6   6   8

Fav/Unfav

-                Now     2/4     1/6     12/10   9/9
J. Hickenlooper  55%/36% 56%/36% 57%/32%  n/a     n/a
S. McInnis       53 /33  52 /29  60 /26  52%/33% 42%/22%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 492 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/9). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist and AG Bill McCollum.

Primary Election Matchup

-            All Men Wom
B. McCollum  49% 52% 45%
C. Crist     35  38  33
Undec        16  10  22

Crist As Gov.

-            All Men Wom
Approve      29% 31% 26%
Disapprove   56  58  55

New York
A Marist College poll; conducted 3/8; surveyed 529 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.3% (release, 3/9).

Cuomo As AG

-               All Dem GOP Ind 3/1 1/27 1/14 11/17 9/10 6/25
Excellent/good  54% 65% 40% 53% 67% 62%  64%  66%   69%  67%
Fair/poor       39  28  53  39  28  32   30   28    26   27

Gov. Paterson Has Asked Cuomo To Investigate His Actions Surrounding A Conversation He Had With The Victim Of A Possible Domestic Violence Case Against One Of His Top Aides. Others Think A Special Prosecutor Should Be Appointed Since Cuomo Is Expected To Run For GOV This Year. Do You Think Cuomo Will Be Fair And Impartial In Conducting The Investigation, Or Do You Think It Is Necessary To Appoint A Special Prosecutor To Conduct The Investigation?

-                   All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Special prosecutor  58% 58% 63% 54% 58% 58%
Cuomo will be fair  38  40  31  42  37  40

South Carolina
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/3; surveyed 398 Dem primary LVs and 924 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.9% and 3.2%, respectively (release, 3/8). Tested: Lobbyist/atty Dwight Drake (D), state Sen. Robert Ford (D), Educ. Supt. Jim Rex (D), state Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D), Rep. Gresham Barrett (R-03), LG André Bauer (R), state Rep. Nikki Haley (R) and AG Henry McMaster (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

J. Rex       16%
V. Sheheen   16
R. Ford      12
D. Drake      5
Other        15
Undec        37

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

H. McMaster  21%
A. Bauer     17
G. Barrett   14
N. Haley     12
Other         9
Undec        29

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

J. Rex       38%/17%
V. Sheheen   24 /25
R. Ford      23 /25
D. Drake     22 /22

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

H. McMaster  55%/14%
G. Barrett   41 /20
A. Bauer     40 /43
N. Haley     34 /15

Obama As POTUS

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      80%  11%
Disapprove   19   88

Sanford As Gov.

-            Dems GOPers
Approve      22%  59%
Disapprove   76   39