Senate 2010

California
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/11; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/16). Tested: Sen. Barbara Boxer (D), '00 nominee/ex-Rep. Tom Campbell (R), Assemb. Chuck DeVore (R) and ex-Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina (R).

General Election Matchups

-            Now 2/11 1/14
B. Boxer     43% 45%  46%
T. Campbell  41  41   42
Other         6   4    3
Undec        10  10    8

-            Now 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23
B. Boxer     46% 47%  46%  46%   46%
C. DeVore    40  42   40   36    37
Other         4   6    4    5     7
Undec         9   5   10   13    10

-            Now 2/11 1/14 11/17 9/23 7/22 3/09    
B. Boxer     46% 46%  46%  46%   49%  45%  47%
C. Fiorina   40  42   43   37    39   41   38
Other         4   7    3    5     4    7   10
Undec        10   5    8   12     8    7    5

Fav/Unfav

-            Now     2/11    1/14    11/17   9/24    9/23
B. Boxer     48%/45% 51%/46% 51%/46% 51%/42%  n/a    51%/42%
T. Campbell  44 /29  44 /33  49 /23  40 /20  42%/27%  n/a
C. Fiorina   44 /31  37 /40  38 /34  40 /29   n/a    32 /35
C. DeVore    32 /28  32 /36  33 /29  31 /25   n/a    31 /37

North Carolina
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/12-15; surveyed 420 Dem primary LVs and 311 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.8% and 5.6%, respectively (release, 3/16). Tested: Atty/Iraq vet/ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D), Susan Harris (D), atty/Obama fundraiser Ken Lewis (D), '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D), atty Marcus Williams (D), librarian Ann Worthy (D), Sen. Richard Burr (R), Asheboro City councilor Eddie Burks (R), businessman Brad Jones (R) and disbarred atty/ex-state Rep. Larry Linney (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-              All Men Wom Wht Blk Oth 2/15
E. Marshall    20% 22% 18% 23% 14%  8% 29%
C. Cunningham  16  19  13  14  20  14  12
K. Lewis       11  12  10   9  13  17   5
S. Harris       4   4   5   4   4  11  n/a
M. Williams     2   1   3   1   2  14   2
A. Worthy       0   1   0   0   1  --  n/a
Undec          47  41  52  48  46  37  51

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-              All Men Wom 2/15
R. Burr        58% 62% 54% 55%
B. Jones        5   4   5  10
E. Burks        4   4   4   3
L. Linney       1   2  --  n/a
Undec          33  28  37  31

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-              All     Men     Wom     2/15
E. Marshall    27%/10% 27%/11% 27%/10% 29%/ 9%
K. Lewis        9 /12  12 /16   6 / 9   9 / 9
C. Cunningham   8 / 9   9 /11   7 / 8   9 / 7

A Lake Research Partners (D) poll; conducted 2/11-15 for Marshall; surveyed 600 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 3/15). Tested: Marshall, Cunningham, John Hendrix, Lewis, Williams and Worthy.

Primary Election Matchup

E. Marshall    31%
C. Cunningham   5
K. Lewis        4
M. Williams     3
J. Hendrix      1
A. Worthy      --
Undec          56

Pennsylvania
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/15; surveyed 481 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.5% (release, 3/16). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-07).

Primary Election Matchup

-           Now 2/8 1/18 12/8 10/13 8/11 6/16
A. Specter  48% 51% 53%  48%  46%   47%  51%
J. Sestak   37  36  32   35   42    34   32
Other        5   4   4    3    2     3    4
Undec        9   9  11   14   10    16   13

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     2/8     1/18    12/8    10/13   8/11
A. Specter  65%/31% 69%/29% 67%/31% 66%/25% 68%/30% 71%/25%
J. Sestak   47 /22  55 /23  54 /26  48 /22  45 /27  54 /23

A Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) poll; conducted 3/3-6; surveyed 700 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.7% (release, 3/12). Party reg. breakdown: 50%D, 42%R, 8%I. Tested: Specter and ex-Rep./ex-Club for Growth Pres. Pat Toomey (R). (Note: Toomey was IDed as "the Republican candidate," while Specter was IDed as "the Democrat candidate.")

General Election Matchup

-                                   RVs   RVs
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 10/12 5/30
P. Toomey   42% 14% 75% 40% 50% 34% 41%   37%
A. Specter  36  59   9  30  33  38  42    46
None/other   4   7   1   3   5   4   4     4
Undec       18  20  15  25  12  24  12    13

Governor 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 497 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/15). Tested: Businessman Dan Maes (R), Littleton library board member/Korean translator Yoon Joo Mager (R), ex-Rep. Scott McInnis (R) and Mark Vanderbilt (R).

Primary Election Matchup

-              All Men Wom
S. McInnis     58% 60% 56%
D. Maes         8  13   3
Y. Mager        2   2   2
M. Vanderbilt   1   1   1
Undec          31  24  39

Fav/Unfav

-              All     Men     Wom
S. McInnis     50%/10% 50%/13% 49%/ 6%

Florida
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 849 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.4% (release, 3/12). Tested: Gov. Charlie Crist (R), AG Bill McCollum (R) and CFO Alex Sink (D).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
C. Crist     47% 33% 63% 43% 52% 44% 49% 28% 57% 50%
A. Sink      27  45  11  25  25  29  27  34  22  29
Undec        26  22  26  32  23  28  24  38  22  21

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His Oth
B. McCollum  44% 20% 69% 38% 50% 39% 49% 23% 43% 21%
A. Sink      31  55  11  25  26  35  29  42  30  38
Undec        25  25  20  36  24  26  22  35  26  42

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
B. McCollum  25%/26% 17%/31% 33%/20% 21%/27% 27%/31% 22%/21%
A. Sink      23 /27  34 /18  14 /36  21 /25  19 /31  26 /23

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D), ex-Rep. Mark Neumann (R) and Milwaukee Co. Exec. Scott Walker (R).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-           Now 9/29
S. Walker   46% 39%
S. Neumann  27  14
T. Michels  n/a  4
Undec       27  43

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind
T. Barrett  34% 60% 18% 31%
S. Neumann  34  11  50  39
Undec       30  28  30  28

-           All Dem GOP Ind
S. Walker   36% 13% 57% 38%
T. Barrett  31  54  16  29
Undec       31  32  27  30

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
S. Walker   37%/16% 15%/27% 57%/ 7% 40%/16% 33%/16%
S. Neumann  36 /16  15 /27  53 / 7  39 /15  24 /12
T. Barrett  34 /18  44 / 7  25 /26  38 /19  36 /12

Senate 2010

Colorado
A Public Policy Polling (D) (IVR) poll; conducted 3/5-8; surveyed 451 Dem primary LVs and 497 GOP primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.6% and 4.4%, respectively (release, 3/15). Tested: Sen. Michael Bennet (D), ex-state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D), atty Steve Barton (R), Weld Co. DA Ken Buck (R), physician Robert Greenheck (R), Gary Kennedy (R), Vincent Martinez (R), ex-LG Jane Norton (R), businessman Cleve Tidwell (R), businessman Mark Van Wyk (R) and ex-state Sen. Tom Wiens (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-             All Men Wom
M. Bennet     40% 38% 42%
A. Romanoff   34  34  34
Undec         26  28  25

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-             All Men Wom
J. Norton     34% 39% 28%
K. Buck       17  21  12
T. Wiens       7   9   6
R. Greenheck   5   4   7
V. Martinez    2   2   2
S. Barton      1   1   1
C. Tidwell     1   1   1
G. Kennedy     0   1  --
M. Van Wyk    --  --  --
Undec         32  23  43

Bennet As Sen. (Dems)

-             All Men Wom
Approve       57% 51% 61%
Disapprove    21  31  14

Fav/Unfav (Dems)

-             All     Men     Wom
A. Romanoff   45%/15% 45%/19% 45%/13%

Fav/Unfav (GOPers)

-             All     Men     Wom
J. Norton     41%/26% 50%/21% 30%/32%
K. Buck       21 /17  24 /17  18 /17
T. Wiens      17 /16  19 /14  14 /20

Wisconsin
A WI Policy Research Institute/UW Political Science poll; conducted 3/7-9; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Subsample of 323 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.5% (release, 3/12). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 30%R, 28%D, 36%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D), ex-Gov./ex-HHS Sec. Tommy Thompson (R) and developer Terrence Wall (R).

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind
T. Thompson  51% 17% 81% 53%
R. Feingold  39  74  12  35
Undec         9   9   7   9

-            All Dem GOP Ind
R. Feingold  47% 78% 20% 48%
T. Wall      32   9  58  29
Undec        19  13  19  20

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     9/29
T. Thompson  57%/32% 33%/54% 77%/13% 60%/31%  n/a
R. Feingold  50 /39  81%/ 8% 25 /65  50 /41  54%/30%
T. Wall      10 / 7   5 /14  15 / 2  10 / 7   n/a

House 2010

IN-09
A Wilson Research Strategies (R) poll; conducted 2/28-3/3 for ex-Rep. Mike Sodrel (R); surveyed 300 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 5.7% (Indiana Legislative Insight, 3/15 issue). Tested: Sodrel, real estate investor Travis Hankins (R) and atty Todd Young (R).

Primary Election Matchup

M. Sodrel   46%
T. Hankins  19
T. Young    13
Undec       22

Governor 2010

California
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 GOP primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/11). Party ID breakdown of main sample: 41%D, 31%R, 28%I. Tested: AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R) and ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R).

Primary Election Matchups (GOPers)

-           All Men Wom
M. Whitman  52% 49% 55%
S. Poizner  19  23  15
Undec       29  28  30

General Election Matchups

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown    45% 76%  7% 41% 41% 49% 42%
M. Whitman  41  10  83  40  47  35  36
Undec       14  14  10  19  12  16  22

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 8/12
J. Brown    48% 79%  8% 46% 44% 52% 43%
S. Poizner  33   5  73  30  39  27  34
Undec       19  16  19  24  17  21  23

Fav/Unfav

-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     8/12
J. Brown    52%/40% 80%/15% 16%/77% 50%/37% 48%/37%
M. Whitman  51 /35  29 /55  79 /11  53 /32  41 /30
S. Poizner  37 /40  17 /55  64 /21  37 /40  35 /27

Minnesota
A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 3/10; surveyed 500 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.4% (release, 3/11). Tested: State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D), state Sen. Tom Bakk (D) ex-Sen. Mark Dayton (D), atty/ex-state House Min. Leader Matt Entenza (D), state Rep. Tom Rukavina (D), Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak (D), state Rep. Tom Emmer (R), state House Min. Leader Marty Seifert (R) and PR exec Tom Horner (IP).

General Election Matchups

T. Emmer              37%     M. Seifert            39%
M. Anderson Kelliher  34      M. Anderson Kelliher  35
T. Horner             10      T. Horner              8
Undec                 18      Undec                 19

T. Emmer              36%     M. Seifert            37%
T. Bakk               29      T. Bakk               30
T. Horner              8      T. Horner              9
Undec                 27      Undec                 24

M. Dayton             38%     M. Seifert            39%
T. Emmer              35      M. Dayton             38
T. Horner              7      T. Horner              7
Undec                 20      Undec                 16

T. Emmer              37%     M. Seifert            38%
M. Entenza            28      M. Entenza            30
T. Horner              8      T. Horner              9
Undec                 26      Undec                 23

T. Emmer              38%     M. Seifert            39%
T. Rukavina           29      T. Rukavina           30
T. Horner              7      T. Horner              9
Undec                 25      Undec                 22

R.T. Rybak            38%     M. Seifert            38%
T. Emmer              35      R.T. Rybak            38
T. Horner              9      T. Horner              8
Undec                 18      Undec                 16

Fav/Unfav

R.T. Rybak            49%/37%
M. Dayton             44 /45
M. Seifert            41 /33
M. Anderson Kelliher  39 /41
T. Emmer              38 /26
T. Bakk               27 /22
T. Rukavina           27 /27
M. Entenza            27 /31

Pennsylvania
A Daily Kos poll; conducted 3/8-10 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0%. Oversample of 400 Dem primary LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 3/12). Party ID Breakdown: 47%D, 39%R, 14%I. Tested: '04 SEN nominee/Montgomery Co. Commis./ex-Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D), Allegheny Co. Exec. Dan Onorato (D), Aud. Jack Wagner (D), state Sen. Tony Williams (D) and AG Tom Corbett (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-            All Men Wom
D. Onorato   19% 17% 21%
J. Hoeffel   12  14  10
J. Wagner    10  11   9
T. Williams   3   3   3
Undec        56  55  57

General Election Matchups

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   41%  8% 81% 39% 46% 36%
J. Hoeffel   31  56   5  23  28  34
Undec        28  36  14  38  26  30

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   40%  8% 79% 39% 44% 36%
D. Onorato   34  61   5  27  31  37
Undec        26  31  16  34  25  27

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   41%  8% 80% 41% 45% 37%
J. Wagner    32  57   5  25  29  35
Undec        27  35  15  34  26  28

-            All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
T. Corbett   47% 13% 84% 55% 53% 41%
T. Williams  19  33   3  18  16  22
Undec        34  54  13  27  31  37

Fav/Unfav

-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     Men     Wom
T. Corbett   39%/12% 10%/18% 76%/ 5% 32%/10% 43%/10% 35%/14%
D. Onorato   32 /15  47 / 8  14 /24  32 /14  30 /18  34 /12
J. Wagner    30 /14  47 / 6  11 /23  30 /13  28 /17  32 /11
J. Hoeffel   29 /15  44 / 8  11 /24  29 /13  27 /18  31 /12
T. Williams   9 / 3  12 / 2   5 / 5   8 / 2   9 / 4   9 / 2