Polling Update: Senate 2010:OH Governor 2010:GA

Senate 2010
Ohio
A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/17-19; surveyed 619 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/23). Party ID Breakdown: 50%D, 35%R, 15%I. Tested: ex-Rep./ex-OMB dir. Rob Portman (R), LG Lee Fisher (D) and Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D).

General Election Matchups

  
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 1/18
  
J. Brunner  40% 37% 42% 65%  6% 35% 37% 62% 34%
  
R. Portman  32  40  24   7  69  26  35  10  42
  
Undec       29  23  33  28  25  40  28  28  24
  
 
  
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 1/18
  
L. Fisher   41% 36% 45% 68%  9% 27% 37% 68% 39%
  
R. Portman  32  42  24   8  68  26  35  13  41
  
Undec       27  21  32  23  24  47  28  18  20
  
Fav/Unfav
  
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     1/18
  
L. Fisher   32%/31% 51%/12% 13%/58% 17%/32% 40%/32%
  
J. Brunner  32 /32  51 /13   9 /58  23 /33  34 /36
  
R. Portman  22 /34  11 /49  43 /14  11 /30  28 /23

Governor 2010

Georgia

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/17; surveyed 463 GOP primary LVs and 247 Dem primary LVs; margins of error +/- 4.6% and +/- 6.2%, respectively (release, 6/22). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and Ray City Mayor Carl Camon (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

  
J. Oxendine     35%
  
K. Handel       11
  
N. Deal         10
  
E. Johnson       3
  
A. Scott         2
  
R. McBerry       1
  
Other            5
  
Undec           33
  
Primary Election Matchup (Dems)
  
R. Barnes       48%
  
T. Baker         8
  
D. Porter        5
  
D. Poythress     2
  
C. Camon         2
  
Other            5
  
Undec           31
  
 
  
Fav/Unfav
  
-               GOP     Dem
  
J. Oxendine     61%/18%   na
  
K. Handel       49 /12    na
  
N. Deal         28 /14    na
  
E. Johnson      21 /14    na
  
A. Scott        20 /11    na
  
R. McBerry      17 /14    na
  
R. Barnes         na    64%/12%
  
T. Baker          na    45 /17
  
D. Porter         na    25 /15
  
D. Poythress      na    22 /22
  
C. Camon          na    19 /16

Polling Update: Senate 2010: NV Governor 2010: NY,NV

Senate 2010

Nevada

A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/18-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/21). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 36%R, 20%I.

Reid As Sen.

-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
Excellent/good  43% 37% 49% 74%  8% 38%
Only fair/poor  55  62  48  23  91  59
 
Ensign As Sen.
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
Excellent/good  48% 51% 45% 35% 68% 43%
Only fair/poor  45  44  46  60  23  48
 
Fav/Unfav
-           Now     5/14
J. Ensign   39%/37% 53%/18%
H. Reid     34 /46  38 /50

Governor 2010

New York

A Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 6/15-18; surveyed 626 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.9%. Subsample of 299 Dems; margin of error +/- 5.7% (release, 6/22). Tested: Gov. David Paterson (D), AGAndrew Cuomo (D) and ex-NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R).

Primary Election Matchup (Dems)

-           All Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23
A. Cuomo    69% 67% 71% 78% 50% 58% 70%  64%  67%  53%  33%
D. Paterson 16  20  13  12  27  15  19   11   17   27   35
Other/undec 15  12  16   9  23  27  11   25   17   20   33
 
General Election Matchups
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/21 4/15
R. Giuliani 57% 44% 80% 60% 62% 53% 66% 18% 36% 59%  56%
D. Paterson 27  43   9  18  24  30  21  63  34  31   29
Undec       15  13  11  22  14  17  13  19  31  10   15
 
-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/21 4/15
A. Cuomo    49% 69% 24% 38% 42% 54% 43% 76% 66% 53%  53%
R. Giuliani 40  21  62  52  47  35  47  12  20  41   39
Undec       11  10  13   9  11  11  10  12  14   6    8
 
Elect Paterson In '10?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom 5/21 4/15 3/18
Elect him       15% 17% 13% 13% 16% 13% 15%  12%  14%
Prefer another  70  66  74  73  68  71  71   71   67
Undec           15  18  13  14  15  16  15   17   19
 
Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     5/21    4/15
A. Cuomo    71%/17% 78%/14% 62%/20% 67%/18% 66%/20% 66%/18%
R. Giuliani 62 /33  53 /43  78 /17  61 /30  61 /35  55 /41
D. Paterson 31 /57  38 /52  23 /61  28 /65  27 /60  27 /63
 
Paterson As Gov.
-              Now 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13 10/21
Excellent/good 20% 18%  18%  19%  28%  51%  55%   55%   55%
Fair/poor      78  81   81   78   69   45   40    41    40
 
Direction Of NY
-           Now 5/21 4/15 3/18 2/18 1/23 12/11 11/13 10/21
Right dir.  24% 33%  27%  30%  31%  39%  37%   39%   39%
Wrong dir.  63  52   57   52   53   42   44    43    41
 
Would You Prefer To See Cuomo Run For Reelection As AG Or For Gov.?
-               All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom Wht Blk His 5/21
For Gov.        46% 56% 37% 40% 43% 50% 46% 48% 48% 47%
Reelect as AG   35  28  38  41  39  32  37  35  20  33

Nevada

A Las Vegas Review-Journal poll; conducted 6/18-19 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research; surveyed 625 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.9% (release, 6/21). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 36%R, 20%I.

Fav/Unfav

-           Now     5/14
J. Gibbons  10%/57% 17%/52%
 
Gibbons As Gov.
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind
Excellent/good  14% 22%  6%  5% 25% 14%
Only fair/poor  82  76  88  90  74  81

Polling Update: Governor 2009:VA Senate 2010:HA,PA Governor 2010:NM

Governor 2009

Virginia

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 6/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Party ID Breakdown: 39%D, 32%R, 29%I. Tested: ex-AG Bob McDonnell (R) and state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D).

General Election Matchup

-             All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 6/3 5/20 4/8
B. McDonnell  45% 49% 41% 13% 84% 47% 59%  5% 46% 45%  38%
C. Deeds      44  40  48  74   7  44  34  71  34  32   31
Undec         11  11  11  13   9   9   7  24  20  23   31
 
Fav/Unfav
-            All     Dem     GOP     Ind     6/3    5/20
B. McDonnell 55%/36% 36%/58% 81%/10% 53%/35% 56%/34% 53%/33%
C. Deeds     47 /35  72 /12  17 /64  46 /34  41 /39  35 /36

Senate 2010

Hawaii

A Daily Kos poll; conducted 6/15-17 by Research 2000; surveyed 600 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Party ID Breakdown: 44%D, 23%R, 33%I. Tested: Sen. Daniel Inouye (D) and Gov. Linda Lingle (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Asn Oth His 12/17
D. Inouye   52% 49% 55% 80%  7% 46% 48% 54% 57% 54% 53%
L. Lingle   40  44  36  12  86  45  45  38  35  37  42
Undec        8   7   9   8   7   9   7   8   8   9   5
 
Fav/Unfav
-           All     Dem     GOP     Ind     12/17
D. Inouye   56%/38% 69%/24% 30%/64% 57%/39% 58%/37%
L. Lingle   51 /43  38 /56  79 /16  49 /44  53 /41

Pennsylvania

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 6/18). Tested: Sen. Arlen Specter (D), Rep. Joe Sestak(D-07) and '04 candidate/ex-Club for Growth pres./ex-Rep. Pat Toomey (R).

General Election Matchups

A. Specter  50%                 J. Sestak   41%
P. Toomey   39                  P. Toomey   35
Other        4                  Other        7
Undec        7                  Undec       18
 
Fav/Unfav
A. Specter  53%/43%
P. Toomey   50 /35
J. Sestak   42 /32

Governor 2010

New Mexico

A Harstad Strategic Research, Inc. (D) poll; conducted 5/31-6/4 for the DGA; surveyed 613 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.0% (release, 6/18). Tested: LG Diane Denish (D), '08 SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Steve Pearce (R) and '08 SEN candidate/ex-Rep. Heather Wilson (R).

General Election Matchups

-           All Wht His Men Wom CD1
D. Denish   57% 50% 70% 50% 61% 53%
H. Wilson   35  41  25  41  31  40
Undec        8   9   5   9   8  na
 
-           All Wht His Men Wom
D. Denish   57% 50% 70% 53% 60%
S. Pearce   35  43  24  37  34
Undec        8   7   6  10   6

Senate 2010

North Carolina

A Carolina Opinion Survey (IVR) (R) poll; conducted 6/15-16 for Sen. Richard Burr (R); surveyed 800 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 6/18). Party ID Breakdown: 46%D, 37%R, 17%I. Tested: Burr and '02 candidate/Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) .

General Election Matchup

-           All
R. Burr     52%
E. Marshall 37
Undec       11

Pennsylvania

A Rasmussen Reports (IVR) poll; conducted 6/16; surveyed 374 likely Dem voters; margin of error +/- 5% (release, 6/18).

Primary Election Matchup

Specter   51%
Sestak    32
Undec     17
 
Fav/Unfav
Specter   72%/26%
Sestak    57 /21

Polling Update: Senate 2010:GA, NC, WI Governor 2010:GA

Senate 2010

Georgia

A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 6/12-14; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%.

Isakson As Sen.

-           Now 4/19 11/2 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/08 5/08 12/07
Approve     56% 55%  50%  50%   51%  56% 58%  57%  58%
Disapprove  35  37   38   39    38   33  31   30   33
 
Chambliss As Sen.
-           Now 4/19 11/2 10/22 10/7 9/9 6/08 5/08 12/07
Approve     50% 48%  49%  48%   49%  53% 53%  54%  53%
Disapprove  40  41   40   40    41   36  33   32   34

North Carolina

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/12-14; surveyed 784 RVs; margin of error +/- 3.5% (release, 6/17). Party ID Breakdown: 45%D, 37%R, 18%I. Tested: Sen. Richard Burr (R).

General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk 3/15
Generic Dem 41% 45% 37% 71% 10% 32% 31% 76% 38%
R. Burr     38  38  38   9  73  39  48   5  42
Undec       21  16  24  20  17  29  21  19  20
 
Reelect Burr?
-               All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind Wht Blk
Another term    29% 32% 26% 11% 49% 34% 34% 10%
Someone else    49  52  46  66  26  52  43  67
Undec           22  16  28  23  26  14  23  24
 
Burr As Sen.
-          All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 5/10 4/11 3/15 2/15 1/18
Approve    34% 36% 32% 14% 57% 35% 36%  35%  35%  41%  33%
Disapprove 35  42  28  49  15  40  32   31   32   34   30

Wisconsin

A Public Policy Polling (IVR) (D) poll; conducted 6/9-10; surveyed 580 RVs; margin of error +/- 4.1% (release, 6/16). Party ID Breakdown: 42%D, 32%R, 26%I. Tested: Sen. Russ Feingold (D) and Rep.Paul Ryan (R-01).

General Election Matchup

-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-45 46-65 65+
R. Feingold 51% 50% 51% 88%  8% 45% 62%   48%   48%   51%
P. Ryan     39  43  35   3  85  38  31    42    37    43
Undec       11   7  14   9   7  17   8    10    15     6
 
Fav/Unfav
-           All     Men     Wom     Dem     GOP     Ind
R. Ryan     42%/24% 47%/26% 38%/21% 16%/46% 72%/ 3% 49%/13%
 
Feingold As Sen.
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-45 46-65 65+
Approve     53% 55% 51% 80% 20% 50% 54%   51%   54%   54%
Disapprove  36  39  32  12  66  37  31    44    35    32
 
Kohl As Sen.
-           All Men Wom Dem GOP Ind 18-29 30-45 46-65 65+
Approve     50% 50% 51% 74% 19% 50% 46%   45%   52%   55%
Disapprove  36  42  29  10  68  37  35    44    34    29

Governor 2010

Georgia

A Strategic Vision (R) poll; conducted 6/12-14; surveyed 800 LVs; margin of error +/- 3.5%. Subsamples of 368 GOPers and 328 Dems; margins of error +/- 5.1% and +/- 5.4%, respectively (release, 6/17). Tested: Insurance Commis. John Oxendine (R), Sec/State Karen Handel (R), Rep. Nathan Deal (R-09), state Sen. Eric Johnson (R), activist Ray McBerry (R), state Rep. Austin Scott (R), ex-Gov. Roy Barnes (D), AG Thurbert Baker (D), '98 candidate/ex-GA Nat'l Guard Adj. Gen. David Poythress (D) and state House Min. Leader Dubose Porter (D).

Primary Election Matchup (GOPers)

-               Now 4/19
J. Oxendine     35% 33%
K. Handel       13  14
N. Deal         12  na
E. Johnson       4  na
R. McBerry       2   2
A. Scott         2   2
Other           na  24
Undec           32  25
 
Primary Election Matchups (Dems)
-               Now 4/19
R. Barnes       49% 56%
T. Baker        30  29
D. Poythress     5   4
D. Porter        2   2
Undec           14   9
 
Direction Of GA
-               Now 4/19
Right dir.      49% 49%
Wrong dir.      44  43